1.Value of PUSSOM and P-POSSUM for the prediction of surgical operative risk in patients undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary tumors.
Yingtai CHEN ; Yunmian CHU ; Xu CHE ; Email: DRCHEXU@163.COM. ; Zhongmin LAN ; Jianwei ZHANG ; Chengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2015;37(6):461-465
OBJECTIVETo investigate the value of Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUmeration of Mortality and morbidity (POSSUM) and a modification of the POSSUM system (P-P0SSUM) scoring system in predicting the surgical operative risk of pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary tumors.
METHODSPOSSUM and P-POSSUM scoring systems were used to retrospectively evaluate the clinical data of 432 patients with periampullar tumors who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy in the Department of Abdominal Surgery, Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from January 1985 to December 2010. The predictive occurrence of postoperative complications and mortality rate were calculated according to the formula. ROC curve analysis and different group of risk factors were used to determine the discrimination ability of the two score systems, and to determine their predictive efficacy by comparing the actual and predictive complications and mortality rates, using Hosmer-Lemeshow test to determine the goodness of fit of the two scoring systems.
RESULTSThe average physiological score of the 432 patients was 16.1 ± 3.5, and the average surgical severity score was 19.6 ± 2.7. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under ROC curve for mortality predicted by POSSUM and P-POSSUM were 0.893 and 0.888, showing a non-significant difference (P > 0.05) between them. The area under ROC curve for operative complications predicted by POSSUM scoring system was 0.575. The POSSUM score system was most accurate for the prediction of complication rates of 20%-40%, showing the O/E value of 0.81. Compared with the POSSUM score system, P-POSSUM had better ability in the prediction of postoperative mortality, when the predicted value of mortality was greater than 15%, the predictive result was more accurate, and the O/E value was 1.00.
CONCLUSIONSPOSSUM and P-POSSUM scoring system have good value in predicting the mortality of patients with periampullary tumors undergoing pancreaticoduodenectomy, but a poorer value of POSSUM score system in prediction of complications. We can establish a more suitable scoring system for pancreaticoduodenectomy by modifying the score constant and weight, to better predict surgical risk and reduce the operative complications and mortality.
Ampulla of Vater ; Common Bile Duct Neoplasms ; mortality ; surgery ; Humans ; Morbidity ; Pancreaticoduodenectomy ; adverse effects ; mortality ; Postoperative Complications ; diagnosis ; mortality ; Postoperative Period ; Predictive Value of Tests ; ROC Curve ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Assessment ; Risk Factors
3.Long-term outcome and prognostic factors of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.
Shao-qiang LI ; Li-jian LIANG ; Yun-peng HUA ; Bao-gang PENG ; Qiang HE ; Ming-de LU ; Dong CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2009;122(19):2286-2291
BACKGROUNDThe management of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains a challenge due to poor prognosis. The aim of this study was to summarize the surgical management experience in recent 10 years and to identify the influencing factors related to outcome of patients with ICC in a single hepatobiliary center.
METHODSFrom January 1995 to June 2005, 136 patients with ICC undergoing surgery were reviewed retrospectively. Survival rates of patients were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared by using the log-rank test. The prognostic factors were identified by the Cox regression model.
RESULTSSeventy-nine of 136 patients underwent resection, and 65 of 79 patients were curative (R0). The surgical mortality was 2.2%. The 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates of patients undergoing R0 resection were 72.1%, 35.6% and 20.1% respectively, which were significantly longer than those who underwent palliative resection and exploration, respectively (P < 0.01). At stage IV of the disease, 10 patients who underwent aggressive curative resection achieved a better median survival than those (n = 12) without resection (14 months vs 3 months, P < 0.001). The independent prognostic factors of the whole group were TNM stage (OR, 2.013, P = 0.008) and curative resection (OR, 2.957, P = 0.003). Higher TNM stage (OR, 1.894, P = 0.004) and lymph node metastasis (OR, 4.248, P = 0.005) linked to poor prognosis after R0 resection. For patients without lymph node metastasis, the median survival of those who underwent regional lymphadenectomy was comparable with those who did not (18 months vs 22 months, P = 0.817).
CONCLUSIONSR0 resection is mandatory for ICC patient to achieve long-term survival. Aggressive resection benefits for selected patients with local advanced disease. Higher TNM stage and lymph node metastasis were poor prognostic factors for ICC patients after R0 resection.
Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Bile Duct Neoplasms ; mortality ; pathology ; surgery ; Bile Ducts, Intrahepatic ; Cholangiocarcinoma ; mortality ; pathology ; surgery ; Female ; Humans ; Lymph Node Excision ; Lymphatic Metastasis ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Prognosis ; Survival Rate
4.Prevention and cure of the complications after radical pancreatoduodenectomy.
Ren-yi QIN ; Feng ZHU ; Xin WANG ; Sheng-quan ZOU
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2009;47(20):1525-1528
OBJECTIVETo investigate the causes and the measures of prevention and cure of the dangerous complications (bleeding, pancreatic fistula, biliary fistula and death) after radical pancreatoduodenectomy (RPD) for periampullary malignant tumor.
METHODSThe rate and management of dangerous complications of 156 cases with RPD which were continuous performed by Department of Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology between January 2006 and June 2008 were analyzed retrospectively, including 97 males and 59 females with 37 - 79 years old, the mean age was 56.9 years old.
RESULTSAmong the 156 cases with RPD, four patients had massive hemorrhage of gastrointestinal tract due to stress ulcer, two patients had bleeding in the pancreas-intestinal anastomosis after the operation, the rate of postoperative bleeding was 3.9% (6/156). One patient with massive hemorrhage of gastrointestinal tract due to stress ulcer had severe pulmonary infection and ARDS, and died of respiratory failure finally (the overall mortality rate was 0.7%) after ICU for two months. One patients with bleeding in the pancreas-intestinal anastomosis had pancreatic fistula (the rate of pancreatic fistula was 0.7%) 3 days after the second laparotomy to open the jejunum of the pancreas-intestinal anastomosis and make a transfixion of the bleeding points in the stump. Another patient who had the tumor located in the inferior segment of the bile common duct had biliary fistula 11 days after the operation (the rate of biliary fistula was 0.7%). Two patients with fistula had good recovery by expectant treatment of ultrasound-guided puncture and drainage.
CONCLUSIONSPrompt and effective treatment of the complications of bleeding, pancreatic fistula, biliary fistula could maximally decrease the perioperative death rate.
Adult ; Aged ; Ampulla of Vater ; Biliary Fistula ; etiology ; prevention & control ; Common Bile Duct Neoplasms ; surgery ; Duodenal Neoplasms ; surgery ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Pancreatic Fistula ; etiology ; prevention & control ; Pancreatic Neoplasms ; surgery ; Pancreaticoduodenectomy ; adverse effects ; mortality ; Postoperative Complications ; prevention & control ; Postoperative Hemorrhage ; prevention & control ; Retrospective Studies
5.The role of vascular resection and reconstruction in the treatment of hilar cholangiocarcinoma.
Li-Xin ZHOU ; Zhi-Yuan XU ; Jian-Min GUO ; Ze-Wei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2008;30(4):310-313
OBJECTIVETo evaluate the role of vascular resection and reconstruction in the treatment of hilar cholangiocarcinoma.
METHODS117 patients with potentially resectable hilar cholangiocarcinoma underwent exploration. Twenty-one patients had exploration or drainage only due to distant metastases, and the other 96 patients received surgical resection. Thirty-one of those had vascular resection and reconstruction, including portal vein resection alone in 21 patients, combined hepatic artery and portal vein resection in 2 and hepatic artery resection alone in 8. Therefore, the patients were divided into four groups: non-surgical resection (21), portal vain resection (21), hepatic artery resection (10) and non-vascular resection (65) and their clinical data were reviewed retrospectively.
RESULTSThe hepatic artery resection group had significantly higher perioperative morbidity and mortality rate (80.0% and 20.0%) than non-vascular resection group (16.9% and 1.5%), respectively, (P < 0.05), while no significant difference was found between the portal vein resection alone group and the non-vascular resection group (P > 0.05). Of all resected vessel specimens, vascular wall invasion beyond the adventitia was pathologically confirmed in 82.6% of the portal veins and 50.0% of the hepatic arteries. The 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates were 59.0%, 34.0%, and 16.0% in the non-vascular resection group, versus 44.0%, 23.0% and 11.0% in the portal vein resection alone group (P < 0.05) and 18.0%, 0 and 0 in the hepatic artery resection group (P < 0.01), respectively, with a significant difference among the three groups. The 1-, 3- and 5-year survival rates in the non-surgical resection group were 13.0%, 0 and 0, respectively, which were similar to those in the hepatic artery resection group. Though a significant difference in survival rates existed between the portal vein resection alone group and non-resected group (P < 0.001), no significant difference was found between the hepatic artery resection group and non-resected group (P > 0.05).
CONCLUSIONBoth portal vein and hepatic artery resection can improve resection rate for hilar cholangiocarcinoma, and portal vein resection may improve the prognosis in selected patients. However, hepatic artery resection can not improve survival and may even lead to an increase of perioperative morbidity and mortality.
Adult ; Aged ; Bile Duct Neoplasms ; mortality ; surgery ; Bile Ducts, Intrahepatic ; Cholangiocarcinoma ; mortality ; surgery ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Hepatic Artery ; pathology ; surgery ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasm Invasiveness ; Portal Vein ; pathology ; surgery ; Reconstructive Surgical Procedures ; mortality ; Retrospective Studies ; Survival Rate ; Vascular Surgical Procedures ; mortality
6.Prognostic factors for elderly patients with pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary tumor.
Xu CHE ; Yi SHAN ; Huai-Yu ZHU ; Cheng-Feng WANG ; Dong-Bing ZHAO ; Yong-Fu SHAO ; Ping ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2008;46(13):985-987
OBJECTIVESTo analyze the prognostic factors for elderly patients with pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary tumor.
METHODSA retrospective analysis of the prognostic factors for the mortality rate was made in 127 elderly patients within 30 days of pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary tumor from January 1985 to November 2006 Chi-squared test, Fisher's exact test, t-test were used.
RESULTSThe prognostic factors for the first-month mortality rate in elderly patients with pancreaticoduodenectomy included time length of the operation, operative hemorrhage, postoperative hemorrhage, pulmonary infection, and postoperative TP.
CONCLUSIONSAn overall consideration should be paid to the factors that affect the prognosis of elderly patients with pancreaticoduodenectomy for periampullary tumor during the perioperative period. The security of the patients can be promoted by controlling these prognostic factors.
Aged ; Ampulla of Vater ; Common Bile Duct Neoplasms ; surgery ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Pancreaticoduodenectomy ; mortality ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Survival Analysis
7.Analysis of Survival and Factors Affecting the Survival after Surgical Resection of Peripheral Cholangiocarcinoma: 318 Cases in Single Institute.
Gi Won SONG ; Sung Gyu LEE ; Young Joo LEE ; Kwang Min PARK ; Shin HWANG ; Ki Hun KIM ; Chul Soo AHN ; Deok Bog MOON ; Tae Yong HA ; Dong Hwan JUNG
The Korean Journal of Hepatology 2007;13(2):208-221
BACKGROUNDS/AIMS: Although the survival rate after surgical resection of peripheral cholangiocarcinoma is low, surgical resection is only potentially curative therapy. The aim of this study is to evaluate clinicopathological factors affecting survival after surgical resection of peripheral cholangiocarcinoma. METHODS: Between February 1990 and December 2005, surgical intervention with curative intent was performed on 318 patients and 292 patients underwent resection. We retrospectively analyzed survival data of 318 patients and clinicopathological factors affecting survival by reviewing the medical record. RESULTS: Among the 292 cases of resection, curative resection with tumor-free margin (R0) has been resulted in 221 cases. The 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year survival rate of R0 resection were 74.9, 46.9, 36.9 and 15.2%, respectively. The survival rate of patient undergoing R0 resection was significantly better than that of R1, R2 or nonresection. Multivariate analysis showed that curative resectability, macroscopic type of tumor and lymph node metastasis were statically significant independent prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: The survival after surgical resection of peripheral cholangiocarcinoma depends on curability of surgical resection, macroscopic type of tumor and status of lymph node. Particullary in R0 resection for intraductal growth type without lymph node metastasis, there is great chance for long-term survival. Surgical resection attaining tumor free margin should be attempted if liver function and general condition of patient are acceptable for hepatectomy.
Aged
;
Bile Duct Neoplasms/diagnosis/*mortality/surgery
;
*Bile Ducts, Intrahepatic
;
Cholangiocarcinoma/diagnosis/*mortality/surgery
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Lymphatic Metastasis
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Multivariate Analysis
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Survival Rate
;
Treatment Outcome
9.Assessment of the Definition of Early Extrahepatic Bile Duct Cancer through the Prognosis Analysis of Patients Who Had Received Curative Resection.
The Korean Journal of Gastroenterology 2007;50(2):136-139
No abstract available.
Bile Duct Neoplasms/*diagnosis/mortality/surgery
;
*Bile Ducts, Extrahepatic
;
Humans
;
Neoplasm Invasiveness
;
Neoplasm Staging
;
Prognosis
10.Assessment of the Definition of Early Extrahepatic Bile Duct Cancer through the Prognosis Analysis Who Had Received Curative Resection.
Hong Jeoung KIM ; Seungmin BANG ; Seung Woo PARK ; Si Young SONG ; Kyung Sik KIM ; Woo Jung LEE ; Jae Bock CHUNG
The Korean Journal of Gastroenterology 2007;50(2):101-107
BACKGROUND/AIMS: The definition of early extrahepatic bile duct cancer might be different from that of other gastrointestinal cancer because of the differences of histologic features including the lack of muscularis mucosa and submucosal layer in bile duct. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the concept of early extrahepatic bile duct cancer in Korea. METHODS: We evaluated seventynine cases of extrahepatic bile duct cancer who had received curative resection in Severence Hospital, Yonsei University from March 1986 to October 2005. We retrosptectively reviewed the medical records and analyzed variable prognostic factors to define early extrahepatic bile duct cancer. RESULTS: Invasion limited to the mucosa was noted in 5 cases (6.3%), fibromuscular layer in 12 cases (15.2%), adventitia of fibromuscular layer and serosa in 26 cases (32.9%), and invasion of adjacent organs in 36 cases (45.6%). Disease free 5-year survival according to the depth of invasion were 80.7% in tumor confined within mucosa, 80.0% within fibromuscular layer, 57.2% within adventitia of fibromuscular layer and serosa, and 51.5% in tumor with invasion of adjacent organ. There was no significant difference in the survival rate between patients with tumor confined to mucosa and patients with tumor invasion limited to the fibromuscular layer. However, the survival rate of patients with tumor limited to the mucosa or fibromuscular layer was significantly higher than that of patients with tumor invaded beyond fibromusular layer. In early cancer, there were more papillary polypoid type in gross finding and papillary adenocarcinoma in pathologic finding when compared to advanced cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Early extrahepatic bile duct cancer can be defined as the tumor invasion limited to the mucosa and fibromuscular layer.
Aged
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Bile Duct Neoplasms/*diagnosis/mortality/surgery
;
*Bile Ducts, Extrahepatic
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Neoplasm Invasiveness
;
Neoplasm Staging
;
Prognosis
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Survival Analysis
Result Analysis
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