1.Bibliometric analysis of JAK/STAT signaling pathway in rheumatoid arthritis
Xiaojun SU ; Wenju ZHU ; Qiang BAO ; Huan WANG ; Qian HE ; Jun MA ; Haidong WANG ; Xuemei TIAN ; Fuhai MA ; Haili SHEN ; Huijun YANG
China Modern Doctor 2024;62(20):1-4,8
Objective Based on the multi-software visual analysis of the literature on the effect of Janus kinase(JAK)/signal transducer and activator of transcription(STAT)signaling pathway on rheumatoid arthritis in the past decade,the development trend and research hotspot in this field are summarized.To provide researchers with new directions and ideas to promote the innovative development of the field.Methods The literatures related to JAK/STAT signaling pathway in rheumatoid arthritis were collected from the Web of Science Core Collection database from 2013 to 2023.CiteSpace and VOSviewer software were used to analyze the number of publications,countries,authors and keywords of 354 articles retrieved.Results The number of published papers in this field continues to increase.According to the author's research direction,the presentation of high-frequency words,and the attention to the preface and hot topics,it is suggested that this field focuses on gene expression,immune mechanism,inflammatory mechanism,pathway inhibitors,drug therapy,etc.Future research will focus on the safety,mechanism and controlled trials of pathway inhibitors and antirheumatic drugs.Conclusion The effect of JAK/STAT signaling pathway on rheumatoid arthritis has attracted much attention in the past,present and future.There are differences in the research of different teams in this field,and the regional development is unbalanced,suggesting that we should strengthen cooperation and exchanges,focus on the international frontier,and carry out more high-quality research to promote the development and progress of this field,and provide clinical basis.
2.Early Enteral Nutrition and Sepsis-Associated Acute Kidney Injury: A Propensity Score Matched Cohort Study Based on the MIMIC-III Database
Jun WANG ; Li JIANG ; Sheng DING ; Si-Yi HE ; Shun-Bi LIU ; Zhong-Jie LU ; Yuan-Zhang LIU ; Li-Wen HOU ; Bin-Su WANG ; Jin-Bao ZHANG
Yonsei Medical Journal 2023;64(4):259-268
Purpose:
We aimed to analyze the optimal timing of enteral nutrition (EN) in the treatment of sepsis and its effect on sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI.) Materials and Methods: The MIMIC-III database was employed to identify patients with sepsis who had received EN. With AKI as the primary outcome variable, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were utilized to calculate the optimal cut-off time of early EN (EEN). Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to control confounding effects. Logistic regressions and propensity score-based inverse probability of treatment weighting were utilized to assess the robustness of our findings. Comparisons within the EEN group were performed.
Results:
2364 patients were included in our study. With 53 hours after intensive care units (ICU) admission as the cut-off time of EEN according to the ROC curve, 1212 patients were assigned to the EEN group and the other 1152 to the delayed EN group. The risk of SA-AKI was reduced in the EEN group (odds ratio 0.319, 95% confidence interval 0.245–0.413, p<0.001). The EEN patients received fewer volumes (mL) of intravenous fluid (IVF) during their ICU stay (3750 mL vs. 5513.23 mL, p<0.001). The mediating effect of IVF was significant (p<0.001 for the average causal mediation effect). No significant differences were found within the EEN group (0–48 hours vs. 48–53 hours), except that patients initiating EN within 48 hours spent fewer days in ICU and hospital.
Conclusion
EEN is associated with decreased risk of SA-AKI, and this beneficial effect may be proportionally mediated by IVF volume.
3.Ursolic acid in
Yanhong BAO ; Qiang WANG ; Wenlong ZHANG ; Na GE ; Nan LI ; Jun SU ; Kexin LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2023;39(7):1617-1626
Objective To investigate the inhibitory effect of ursolic acid in Hippophae rhamnoides L. on hepatocyte apoptosis in rats with alcoholic liver disease based on the mitochondria-cytochrome c pathway. Methods A total of 50 specific pathogen-free male Wistar rats were divided into normal control group, alcohol model group, and low-, middle-, and high-dose ursolic acid groups using a random number table, with 10 rats in each group. The rats in the normal control group were given normal saline by gavage once a day for 8 weeks; the rats in the alcohol model group were given alcohol at increasing concentrations by gavage for 8 consecutive weeks; the rats in the low-, middle-, and high-dose ursolic acid groups were given ursolic acid at a dose of 50, 100, and 150 mg/kg, respectively, followed by an equal volume of alcohol as the model group 1 hour later. Serum liver function parameters were measured for each group; HE staining was used to observe liver histopathology; an electron microscope was used to observe hepatocyte ultrastructure; the TUNEL method was used to measure hepatocyte apoptosis; Western Blotting was used to measure the protein expression levels of cytochrome c and activated caspase-3 in hepatocyte mitochondria and cytoplasm. A one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison of continuous data between multiple groups, and the least significant difference t -test was used for further comparison between two groups. Results Compared with the alcohol model group, the middle- and high-dose ursolic acid groups had significant reductions in the serum level of alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, and cholinesterase (all P < 0.05). The rats in the alcohol model group had disordered arrangement of hepatic cords with marked hepatocyte edema and fatty degeneration, while those in the middle- and high- dose ursolic acid groups had basically normal arrangement of hepatic cords and a significant improvement in hepatocyte fatty degeneration, as well as a significant increase in the number of hepatocyte mitochondria and a significant improvement in morphology. Compared with the alcohol model group, the middle- and high-dose ursolic acid groups had significantly lower hepatocyte apoptosis rate and protein expression levels of cytochrome c and caspase-3 in cytoplasm (all P < 0.05). Conclusion Ursolic acid in Hippophae rhamnoides L. can improve the liver function and histomorphology of rats with alcoholic liver disease, possibly by inhibiting the release of cytochrome c in hepatocyte mitochondria, the activation of caspase-3, and the apoptosis of hepatocytes via the mitochondria-cytochrome c pathway.
4.Association of maternal isolated thyroid peroxidase antibody positive in the first trimester with fetal growth.
Jin Hui XU ; Na HAN ; Tao SU ; Li Zi LIN ; Yue Long JI ; Shuang ZHOU ; He Ling BAO ; Zheng LIU ; Shu Sheng LUO ; Xiang Rong XU ; Hai Jun WANG
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2023;55(5):886-892
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the association of isolated thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) positive in the first trimester with fetal growth.
METHODS:
A total of 16 446 pregnant women were included in the birth cohort study, whose last menstrual period was between May 2016 and April 2019 and with singleton pregnancy. Maternal serum samples were collected when they firstly came for prenatal care in the first trimester. The pregnant women were consecutively seen and followed in the hospital and the information of pregnant women was extracted from the electronic medical information system. The pregnant women were divided into isolated TPOAb positive group (n=1 654) and euthyroid group (n=14 792). Three fetal ultrasound examinations were scheduled during the routine prenatal visits at the hospital and were performed by trained sonographers. All fetal growth indicators were quantified as gestational age- and gender- adjusted standard deviation score (Z-score) using the generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS). Fetal growth indicators included estimated fetal weight (EFW), abdominal circumference (AC), biparietal diameter (BPD), femur length (FL) and head circumference (HC). Fetal growth restriction (FGR) was defined as AC or EFW Z-score<3rd centile based on clinical consensus. Generalized estimating equation (GEE) analysis was applied to assess the association of maternal isolated TPOAb positive with fetal growth. The generalized linear model was further used to analyze the association between isolated TPOAb positive and fetal growth indicator at different gestational ages when the fetal growth indicator was significantly associated with isolated TPOAb positive in the GEE mo-del.
RESULTS:
The median gestational age at three ultrasound measurements was 23.6 (23.3, 24.1), 30.3 (29.7, 30.9), 37.3 (37.0, 37.7) weeks, respectively. The BPD Z-score was higher in isolated TPOAb positive women, compared with the euthyroid pregnant women after adjustment (β=0.057, 95%CI: 0.014-0.100, P=0.009). The generalized linear model showed the BPD Z-score was higher in the isolated TPOAb positive women at the end of 21-25 weeks (β=0.052, 95%CI: 0.001-0.103, P=0.044), 29-32 weeks (β=0.055, 95%CI: 0.004-0.107, P=0.035) and 36-40 weeks (β=0.068, 95%CI: 0.011-0.125, P=0.020), compared with the euthyroid pregnant women. There was no difference in other fetal growth indicators (EFW, AC, FL and HC) and FGR between the isolated TPOAb positive and euthyroid pregnant women.
CONCLUSION
The BPD Z-score was slightly increased in the isolated TPOAb positive pregnant women in the first trimester, while other fetal growth indicators were not changed. The reproducibility and practical significance of this result need to be confirmed.
Pregnancy
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Female
;
Humans
;
Pregnancy Trimester, First
;
Iodide Peroxidase
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Cohort Studies
;
Reproducibility of Results
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Fetal Development
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Fetal Weight
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Fetal Growth Retardation
;
Ultrasonography, Prenatal
5.Outcomes at discharge of preterm infants born <34 weeks' gestation.
Ning Xin LUO ; Si Yuan JIANG ; Yun CAO ; Shu Jun LI ; Jun Yan HAN ; Qi ZHOU ; Meng Meng LI ; Jin Zhen GUO ; Hong Yan LIU ; Zu Ming YANG ; Yong JI ; Bao Quan ZHANG ; Zhi Feng HUANG ; Jing YUAN ; Dan Dan PAN ; Jing Yun SHI ; Xue Feng HU ; Su LIN ; Qian ZHAO ; Chang Hong YAN ; Le WANG ; Qiu Fen WEI ; Qing KAN ; Jin Zhi GAO ; Cui Qing LIU ; Shan Yu JIANG ; Xiang Hong LIU ; Hui Qing SUN ; Juan DU ; Li HE
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2022;60(8):774-780
Objective: To investigate the incidence and trend of short-term outcomes among preterm infants born <34 weeks' gestation. Methods: A secondary analysis of data from the standardized database established by a multicenter cluster-randomized controlled study "reduction of infection in neonatal intensive care units (NICU) using the evidence-based practice for improving quality (REIN-EPIQ) study". This study was conducted in 25 tertiary NICU. A total of 27 192 infants with gestational age <34 weeks at birth and admitted to NICU within the first 7 days of life from May 2015 to April 2018 were enrolled. Infants with severe congenital malformation were excluded. Descriptive analyses were used to describe the mortality and major morbidities of preterm infants by gestational age groups and different admission year groups. Cochran-Armitage test and Jonckheere-Terpstra test were used to analyze the trend of incidences of mortality and morbidities in 3 study-years. Multiple Logistic regression model was constructed to analyze the differences of outcomes in 3 study-years adjusting for confounders. Results: A total of 27 192 preterm infants were enrolled with gestational age of (31.3±2.0) weeks at birth and weight of (1 617±415) g at birth. Overall, 9.5% (2 594/27 192) of infants were discharged against medical advice, and the overall mortality rate was 10.7% (2 907/27 192). Mortality for infants who received complete care was 4.7% (1 147/24 598), and mortality or any major morbidity was 26.2% (6 452/24 598). The incidences of moderate to severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia, sepsis, severe intraventricular hemorrhage or periventricular leukomalacia, proven necrotizing enterocolitis, and severe retinopathy of prematurity were 16.0% (4 342/27 192), 11.9% (3 225/27 192), 6.8% (1 641/24 206), 3.6% (939/25 762) and 1.5% (214/13 868), respectively. There was a decreasing of the overall mortality (P<0.001) during the 3 years. Also, the incidences for sepsis and severe retinopathy of prematurity both decreased (both P<0.001). However, there were no significant differences in the major morbidity in preterm infants who received complete care during the 3-year study period (P=0.230). After adjusting for confounders, infants admitted during the third study year showed significantly lower risk of overall mortality (adjust OR=0.62, 95%CI 0.55-0.69, P<0.001), mortality or major morbidity, moderate to severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia, sepsis and severe retinopathy of prematurity, compared to those admitted in the first study year (all P<0.05). Conclusions: From 2015 to 2018, the mortality and major morbidities among preterm infants in Chinese NICU decreased, but there is still space for further efforts. Further targeted quality improvement is needed to improve the overall outcome of preterm infants.
Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia/epidemiology*
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Gestational Age
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Humans
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Infant
;
Infant Mortality/trends*
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Infant, Newborn
;
Infant, Premature
;
Infant, Premature, Diseases/epidemiology*
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Patient Discharge
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Retinopathy of Prematurity/epidemiology*
;
Sepsis/epidemiology*
6.Cytomegalovirus pneumonia after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation
Su LI ; Zaihong SHEN ; Liping WAN ; Aihua BAO ; Jun YANG ; Yin TONG ; Chun WANG
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2021;60(6):556-560
To compare the clinical features and prognosis in patients with cytomegalovirus pneumonia from other pneumonia after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). A total of 118 patients with pulmonary complications after allo-HSCT from March 2016 to June 2019 were analyzed retrospectively, who were divided into cytomegalovirus (CMV) pneumonia group ( n=34) and the non-CMV pneumonia group ( n=84). Compared with non-CMV pneumonia group, CMV pneumonia group presented earlier median onset time (1.8 vs.6.0 months, P=0.015) after allo-HSCT, more dyspnea (41.2% vs. 19.0%, P=0.012), hypoxemia (38.2% vs. 13.1%, P=0.006), and interstitial pneumonia (82.4% vs. 23.8%, P<0.01).The incidence of CMV-viremia and serum viral load in CMV pneumonia group were significantly higher than those in non-CMV pneumonia group. Consistently, and the development of mixed infection in CMV pneumonia group was higher than that of non-CMV pneumonia group (41.2% vs. 16.7%, P=0.013). The median follow-up time was 12.8 (0.4-46.5) months. The 1-year attributable mortality in CMV pneumonia group was significantly higher than that in non-CMV pneumonia group (26.5% vs. 10.7%, P=0.004), while the 1-year overall survival rate was significantly lower than that in non-CMV pneumonia group (61.8% vs. 85.7%, P=0.001). Reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC)( P=0.036), high flow ventilation ( P=0.033) and negative CMV-viremia ( P=0.009) were unfavorable prognostic factors of patients with CMV pneumonia. Compared with those with non-CMV pneumonia, patients with CMV pneumonia had more characteristic clinical manifestations and imaging features. However, due to the higher incidence of mixed infections, the causes of pneumonia need to be identified by bronchoscopic alveolar lavage. In conclusion, patients with CMV pneumonia have worse clinical outcome. RIC, high flow ventilation and negative CMV-viremia are adverse prognostic factors for CMV pneumonia.
7.A clinical epidemiological investigation of neonatal acute respiratory distress syndrome in southwest Hubei, China.
Yong-Fang ZHANG ; Xin-Qiao YU ; Jian-Hua LIAO ; Feng YANG ; Cong-Rong TAN ; Su-Ying WU ; Shi-Qing DENG ; Jun-Yuan FENG ; Jia-Yan HUANG ; Zuo-Fen YUAN ; Kai-Dian LIU ; Zhen-Ju HUANG ; Li-Fang ZHANG ; Zheng-Guo CHEN ; Hong XIA ; Lin-Lin LUO ; Yan HU ; Hua-Sheng WU ; Hong-Ling XIE ; Bao-Min FEI ; Qing-Wei PANG ; Song-Hua ZHANG ; Bi-Xia CHENG ; Lang JIANG ; Chang-Tao SHEN ; Qiong YI ; Xiao-Guang ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2020;22(9):942-947
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the clinical features and outcome of neonatal acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in southwest Hubei, China.
METHODS:
According to the Montreux definition of neonatal ARDS, a retrospective clinical epidemiological investigation was performed on the medical data of neonates with ARDS who were admitted to Department of Neonatology/Pediatrics in 17 level 2 or level 3 hospitals in southwest Hubei from January to December, 2017.
RESULTS:
A total of 7 150 neonates were admitted to the 17 hospitals in southwest Hubei during 2017 and 66 (0.92%) were diagnosed with ARDS. Among the 66 neonates with ARDS, 23 (35%) had mild ARDS, 28 (42%) had moderate ARDS, and 15 (23%) had severe ARDS. The main primary diseases for neonatal ARDS were perinatal asphyxia in 23 neonates (35%), pneumonia in 18 neonates (27%), sepsis in 12 neonates (18%), and meconium aspiration syndrome in 10 neonates (15%). Among the 66 neonates with ARDS, 10 neonates (15%) were born to the mothers with an age of ≥35 years, 30 neonates (45%) suffered from intrauterine distress, 32 neonates (49%) had a 1-minute Apgar score of 0 to 7 points, 24 neonates (36%) had abnormal fetal heart monitoring results, and 21 neonates (32%) experienced meconium staining of amniotic fluid. Intraventricular hemorrhage was the most common comorbidity (12 neonates), followed by neonatal shock (9 neonates) and patent ductus arteriosus (8 neonates). All 66 neonates with ARDS were treated with mechanical ventilation in addition to the treatment for primary diseases. Among the 66 neonates with ARDS, 10 died, with a mortality rate of 15% (10/66), and 56 neonates were improved or cured, with a survival rate of 85% (56/66).
CONCLUSIONS
Neonatal ARDS in southwest Hubei is mostly mild or moderate. Perinatal asphyxia and infection may be the main causes of neonatal ARDS in this area. Intraventricular hemorrhage is the most common comorbidity. Neonates with ARDS tend to have a high survival rate after multimodality treatment.
China
;
Female
;
Humans
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Infant, Newborn
;
Meconium Aspiration Syndrome
;
Pregnancy
;
Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Newborn
;
Retrospective Studies
8.Clinical study of 34 patients with cytomegalovirus pneumonia after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation
Su LI ; Zaihong SHEN ; Liping WAN ; Aihua BAO ; Jun YANG ; Yin TONG ; Chun WANG
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2020;41(10):843-847
Objective:To analyze the clinical features and prognosis of cytomegalovirus pneumonia after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation(allo-HSCT).Methods:We reviewed the clinical features and laboratory data of cytomegalovirus pneumonia patients after allogeneic peripheral blood HSCT from March 1, 2016 to June 30, 2019 at the hematology department of the Shanghai general hospital and analyze the prognostic factors.Results:Of the 411 allo-HSCT patients, 34(8.3%)developed CMV pneumonia after transplantation, including 18 men and 16 women, with a median age of 32(8-62)y. Total 14 patients had acute myeloid leukemia, 10 had acute lymphoblastic leukemia, 5 had myelodysplastic syndrome, 3 had non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma, and 2 had aplastic anemia. The median onset time for CMV pneumonia was 53(36-506)d after transplantation. The main symptoms were cough(26 cases, 76.5%), fever(23 cases, 67.6%), and shortness of breath(14 cases, 41.2%). Only 17.6%(6/34)patients had expectoration, and 2 cases(5.9%)had no obvious symptoms in the early stage, but were diagnosed on routine chest CT examination. Twenty-eight(82.4%)patients showed signs of typical interstitial pneumonia, such as lobular central nodule and diffuse ground glass opacity; 6(17.6%)patients showed atypical imaging changes of patch, nodule, and consolidation. Further, 26 patients(76.5%)were positive for CMV-DNA, and the copy number was lower than that of BALF[1.70×10 7(5.44×10 5-4.45×10 9)copies/L vs 1.45×10 8(1.10×10 7-1.10×10 11)copies/L, P=0.004]. Thirteen(38.24%)patients with CMV pneumonia had mixed infection with other lower respiratory tract pathogens(10 strains of fungi, 6 strains of bacteria, and 1 of adenoviruses). The median follow-up duration was 12.8(0.4-46.5)months. The OS rate was 58.82%. Age ≥ 40 y and high flow ventilation were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in CMV pneumonia patients( P=0.049, P=0.009). Conclusion:Bronchoscopic bronchoalveolar lavage fluid detection helps in improving the accuracy of the etiological diagnosis of CMV pneumonia after allo-HSCT. Age ≥ 40 y and high flow ventilation were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with CMV pneumonia.
9.Blockade of Endogenous Angiotensin-(1-7) in Hypothalamic Paraventricular Nucleus Attenuates High Salt-Induced Sympathoexcitation and Hypertension.
Xiao-Jing YU ; Yu-Wang MIAO ; Hong-Bao LI ; Qing SU ; Kai-Li LIU ; Li-Yan FU ; Yi-Kang HOU ; Xiao-Lian SHI ; Ying LI ; Jian-Jun MU ; Wen-Sheng CHEN ; Wei CUI ; Guo-Qing ZHU ; Philip J EBENEZER ; Joseph FRANCIS ; Yu-Ming KANG
Neuroscience Bulletin 2019;35(1):47-56
Angiotensin (Ang)-(1-7) is an important biologically-active peptide of the renin-angiotensin system. This study was designed to determine whether inhibition of Ang-(1-7) in the hypothalamic paraventricular nucleus (PVN) attenuates sympathetic activity and elevates blood pressure by modulating pro-inflammatory cytokines (PICs) and oxidative stress in the PVN in salt-induced hypertension. Rats were fed either a high-salt (8% NaCl) or a normal salt diet (0.3% NaCl) for 10 weeks, followed by bilateral microinjections of the Ang-(1-7) antagonist A-779 or vehicle into the PVN. We found that the mean arterial pressure (MAP), renal sympathetic nerve activity (RSNA), and plasma norepinephrine (NE) were significantly increased in salt-induced hypertensive rats. The high-salt diet also resulted in higher levels of the PICs interleukin-6, interleukin-1beta, tumor necrosis factor alpha, and monocyte chemotactic protein-1, as well as higher gp91 expression and superoxide production in the PVN. Microinjection of A-779 (3 nmol/50 nL) into the bilateral PVN of hypertensive rats not only attenuated MAP, RSNA, and NE, but also decreased the PICs and oxidative stress in the PVN. These results suggest that the increased MAP and sympathetic activity in salt-induced hypertension can be suppressed by blockade of endogenous Ang-(1-7) in the PVN, through modulation of PICs and oxidative stress.
Angiotensin I
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antagonists & inhibitors
;
metabolism
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Animals
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Antioxidants
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pharmacology
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Blood Pressure
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drug effects
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Hypertension
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chemically induced
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drug therapy
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Male
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Oxidative Stress
;
drug effects
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Paraventricular Hypothalamic Nucleus
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drug effects
;
Peptide Fragments
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antagonists & inhibitors
;
metabolism
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Reactive Oxygen Species
;
metabolism
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Sodium Chloride, Dietary
;
pharmacology
10.Anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody predicts the development of rheumatoid arthritis in patients with undifferentiated arthritis
Li CHUN ; Zhang YAN ; Song HUI ; Gao JIE ; Zhao DONG-BAO ; Zhu QI ; He DONG-YI ; Wang LI ; Li XIANG-PEI ; Liu XU-DONG ; Xiao WEI-GUO ; Wu XIN-YU ; Wu HUA-XIANG ; Tu WEI ; Hu SHAO-XIAN ; Wang XIN ; Li ZHI-JUN ; Lu ZHI-MIN ; Da ZHAN-YUN ; Liang BO ; Liu XIAO-MIN ; Zhao JIN-WEI ; Li LING ; Han FENG ; Qi WU-FANG ; Wei WEI ; Ma XU ; Li ZHEN-BIN ; Zheng GUI-MIN ; Zhang FENG-XIAO ; Li YI ; Wang YOU-LIAN ; Ling GUANG-HUI ; Chen JIN-WEI ; Hou XIAO-QIANG ; Zhang JING ; Chen QING-PING ; Liu CHANG-LIAN ; Zhang YAN ; Zeng JIA-SHUN ; Zou QING-HUA ; Fang YONG-FEI ; Su YIN ; Li ZHAN-GUO
Chinese Medical Journal 2019;132(24):2899-2904
Background:Clinical outcomes of undifferentiated arthritis (UA) are diverse,and only 40 % of patients with UA develop rheumatoid arthritis (RA) after 3 years.Discovering predictive markers at disease onset for further intervention is critical.Therefore,our objective was to analyze the clinical outcomes of UA and ascertain the predictors for RA development.Methods:We performed a prospective,multi-center study from January 2013 to October 2016 among Chinese patients diagnosed with UA in 22 tertiary-care hospitals.Clinical and serological parameters were obtained at recruitment.Follow-up was undertaken in all patients every 12 weeks for 2 years.Predictive factors of disease progression were identified using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression.Results:A total of 234 patients were recruited in this study,and 17 (7.3%) patients failed to follow up during the study.Among the 217 patients who completed the study,83 (38.2%) patients went into remission.UA patients who developed RA had a higher rheumatoid factor (RF)-positivity (42.9% vs.16.8%,x2=8.228,P=0.008),anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (CCP) antibodypositivity (66.7% vs.10.7%,x2 =43.897,P < 0.001),and double-positivity rate of RF and anti-CCP antibody (38.1% vs.4.1%,x2 =32.131,P < 0.001) than those who did not.Anti-CCP antibody but not RF was an independent predictor for RA development (hazard ratio 18.017,95% confidence interval:5.803-55.938;P < 0.001).Conclusion:As an independent predictor of RA,anti-CCP antibody should be tested at disease onset in all patients with UA.

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