1.Application of ARIMA model in predicting the incidence of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province
Bilian ZHU ; Yingmei TANG ; Zhengrong DING ; Jibo HE ; Weimin BAO ; Qinnian LI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(4):37-41
Objective To explore the application of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model in predicting the number of reported hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province,to use this model to predict the incidence trend of hepatitis E, and to provide reference for the scientific prevention and control of hepatitis E. Methods Monthly reported cases of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province from 2012 to 2021 were collected. The ARIMA model was established using SPSS 27.0, and the model was validated and parameters were optimized with data from January 2022 to December 2022. The optimal fitting model was used to predict the incidence of hepatitis E in 2023. Results Hepatitis E incidence in Yunnan Province showed a certain seasonal distribution, with most cases concentrated from March to August. All parameters of ARIMA(3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 passed statistical tests. The Ljung-Box test showed statistic Q =10.050, P = 0.346, residual sequence was a white noise sequence, and goodness-of-fit index stationary R² was 0.591. The model extrapolation effect was verified with 2022 data, and MAPE was 14.747, indicating that the model extrapolation effect was effective. The number of hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province in 2023 was expected to be 1,086. Conclusion The ARIMA (3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 model shows good fitting performance for hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province and can effectively predict short-term disease trends, providing a theoretical basis for formulating prevention and control measures for hepatitis E.
2.Visual analysis of the impact of T cells on rheumatoid arthritis in the past decade based on multiple analysis methods
Xiaojun SU ; Wenju ZHU ; Huan WANG ; Qian HE ; Qiang BAO ; Ying GUO ; Yihong KE ; Haili SHEN ; Zhiming ZHANG
China Modern Doctor 2024;62(12):1-8
Objective Through a multi-software visual analysis of the literature on the influence of T cells on rheumatoid arthritis(RA)in recent ten years,the research hotspot and frontier development in this field were summarized.Methods The Chinese and English literature on the influence of T cells on RA from 2012 to 2022 years was retrieved from CNKI and Web of Science database as the research object.CiteSpace and VOSviewer software were used to analyze the number of publications,authors and keywords.Results 519 articles in Chinese and 861 in English were retrieved.The results showed that the number of articles in Chinese increased slowly from 2020 to 2022 years,while the overall trend in English was stable.Keyword analysis shows that it is predicted that future research in this field will focus on the pathogenesis of T cells in RA,the mechanism of bone destruction in RA,disease activity,oxidative stress.Conclusion The influence of T cells on RA has attracted much attention in the past,present and future,and has great research value.However,due to the differences in research priorities at home and abroad,the teams should interact positively and communicate with each other to reveal the internal mechanism of RA and provide theoretical basis for targeted therapy.
3.Molluscicidal effect of spraying different formulations of niclosamide ethanolamine salt with drones against Oncomelania hupensis in ditches
Zelin ZHU ; Xia ZHANG ; Junyi HE ; Ying CHEN ; Weisi WANG ; Hehua HU ; Chunli CAO ; Ziping BAO ; Suying GUO ; Liping DUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Jing XU ; Shizhu LI ; Xiaonong ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(5):527-530
Objective To evaluate the molluscicidal effect of spraying different formulations of niclosamide ethanolamine salt with drones against Oncomelania hupensis in ditches. Methods A semi-dry and semi-wet ditch with O. hupensis snails was selected in the second branch field of Jiangbei Farm, Jiangling County, Hubei Province in May 2023, and divided into 4 experimental areas, named groups A1, A2, B1 and B2. Environmental cleaning was performed in groups A1 and B2, and was not conducted in groups A2 or B2. Then, 50% wettable powder of niclosamide ethanolamine salt was sprayed with drones at an effective dose of 2 g/m2 in groups A1 and A2, and 5% niclosamide ethanolamine salt granule was sprayed with drones at an effective dose of 2 g/m2 in groups B1 and B2. O. hupensis snails were surveyed using the systematic sampling method 1, 3, 5, 7, 14 days after spraying, and the natural mortality and corrected mortality of O. hupensis snails were calculated. Results The occurrence of frames with living snails, mean density of living snails and natural mortality of snails were 97.50% (117/120), 6.30 snails/0.1 m2 and 1.18% (9/765) in the test ditch before spraying, respectively. There were significant differences in the mortality of snails among four groups 1, 3, 5, 7 and 14 days after spraying niclosamide formulations with drones (χ2 = 17.230, 51.707, 65.184, 204.050 and 34.435, all P values < 0.01). The overall mortality rates of snails were 94.51% (1 051/1 112), 79.44% (908/1 143), 96.54% (977/1 012) and 88.55% (1 021/1 153) in groups A1, A2, B1 and B2 (χ2 = 207.773, P < 0.05), respectively. In addition, there was no significant difference in the overall snail mortality between groups A1 and B1 (P > 0.05), and the snail mortality in groups A1 and B1 were both statistically different from that in groups A2 and B2 (all P values < 0.05). Conclusion Both 50% wettlable powder of niclosamide ethanolamine salt and 5% niclosamide ethanolamine salt granule sprayed with drones are active against O. hupensis snails in ditches, and environmental cleaning may improve the molluscicidal effect.
4.Targeting the chromatin structural changes of antitumor immunity
Li NIAN-NIAN ; Lun DENG-XING ; Gong NINGNING ; Meng GANG ; Du XIN-YING ; Wang HE ; Bao XIANGXIANG ; Li XIN-YANG ; Song JI-WU ; Hu KEWEI ; Li LALA ; Li SI-YING ; Liu WENBO ; Zhu WANPING ; Zhang YUNLONG ; Li JIKAI ; Yao TING ; Mou LEMING ; Han XIAOQING ; Hao FURONG ; Hu YONGCHENG ; Liu LIN ; Zhu HONGGUANG ; Wu YUYUN ; Liu BIN
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2024;14(4):460-482
Epigenomic imbalance drives abnormal transcriptional processes,promoting the onset and progression of cancer.Although defective gene regulation generally affects carcinogenesis and tumor suppression networks,tumor immunogenicity and immune cells involved in antitumor responses may also be affected by epigenomic changes,which may have significant implications for the development and application of epigenetic therapy,cancer immunotherapy,and their combinations.Herein,we focus on the impact of epigenetic regulation on tumor immune cell function and the role of key abnormal epigenetic processes,DNA methylation,histone post-translational modification,and chromatin structure in tumor immunogenicity,and introduce these epigenetic research methods.We emphasize the value of small-molecule inhibitors of epigenetic modulators in enhancing antitumor immune responses and discuss the challenges of developing treatment plans that combine epigenetic therapy and immuno-therapy through the complex interaction between cancer epigenetics and cancer immunology.
5.Development History and Frontier Research Progress of Pharmacokinetics of Traditional Chinese Medicine
Li-Jun ZHU ; Zhuo-Ru HE ; Cai-Yan WANG ; Dan-Yi LU ; Jun-Ling YANG ; Wei-Wei JIA ; Chen CHENG ; Yu-Tong WANG ; Liu YANG ; Zhi-Peng CHEN ; Bao-Jian WU ; Rong ZHANG ; Chuan LI ; Zhong-Qiu LIU
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(10):2746-2757
Pharmacokinetics of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)is a discipline that adopts pharmacokinetic research methods and techniques under the guidance of TCM theories to elucidate the dynamic changes in the absorption,distribution,metabolism and excretion of active ingredients,active sites,single-flavour Chinese medicinal and compounded formulas of TCM in vivo.However,the sources and components of TCM are complex,and the pharmacodynamic substances and mechanisms of action of the majority of TCM are not yet clear,so the pharmacokinetic study of TCM is later than that of chemical medicines,and is far more complex than that of chemical medicines,and its development also confronts with challenges.The pharmacokinetic study of TCM originated in the 1950s and has experienced more than 70 years of development from the initial in vivo study of a single active ingredient,to the pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic study of active ingredients,to the pharmacokinetic study of compound and multi-component of Chinese medicine.In recent years,with the help of advanced extraction,separation and analysis technologies,gene-editing animals and cell models,multi-omics technologies,protein purification and structure analysis technologies,and artificial intelligence,etc.,the pharmacokinetics of TCM has been substantially applied in revealing and elucidating the pharmacodynamic substances and mechanisms of action of Chinese medicines,research and development of new drugs of TCM,scientific and technological upgrading of large varieties of Chinese patent medicines,as well as guiding the rational use of medicines in clinics.Pharmacokinetic studies of TCM have made remarkable breakthroughs and significant development in theory,methodology,technology and application.In this paper,the history of the development of pharmacokinetics of TCM and the progress of cutting-edge research was reviewed,with the aim of providing ideas and references for the pharmacokinetics of TCM and related research.
6.Analysis on genetic etiology of disorders of sex development using whole exome sequencing
Liu-Jiao WU ; Chan-Chan JIN ; Shu ZHU ; Wen-Ming HUANG ; Jian-Hong YE ; Tao LYU ; Bao-Sheng ZHU ; Jing HE
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2024;49(5):495-503
Objective To elucidate the molecular genetic etiology of patients with disorders of sex development(DSD)using whole exome sequencing(WES),thereby enhancing our understanding of the underlying mechanisms of sexual development abnormalities.Methods Retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data of 60 DSD patients diagnosed in the First People's Hospital of Yunnan Province between March 2008 and August 2021,with an additional family study for one proband.Genomic DNA was extracted from patients for WES analysis.Single nucleotide polymorphism(SNP)and insertions/deletion(InDel)tests were identified using SAMtools software in conjunction with established SNP and InDel databases.Copy number variations(CNVs)at the exon level were detected using ExomeDepth,while the potential pathogenicity of mutations was predicted with PolyPhen-2,Mutation taster and PyMol software,with Sanger sequencing employed for confirmation.Results The study included 22 patients with 46,XX DSD and 38 with 46,XY DSD.Among the 46,XX DSD patients,the SRY gene was detected in 14 patients.In the remaining 8 patients and a proband's families,single nucleotide site variations(SNVs)of NR5A1,PROKR2 and ANOS1 genes were identified in 2 patients,and CNVs in CYP21A2 gene were found in 4 patients.The pathogenicity of CYP21A2 EX1 Dup has been previously reported,while the remaining 3 CNVs were of uncertain significance,and no DSD-related mutations were detected in 2 patients.In the WES analysis of 46,XY DSD patients,10 pathogenic or likely pathogenic SNVs across 5 genes(SRY,AR,SRD5A2,CYP17A1,and NR5A1)were identified in 14 patients.Additionally,5 likely pathogenic CNVs involving the CYP21A2,AKR1C2,CBX2,and NR5A1 genes were detected in 5 patients,comprising 3 deletions and 2 duplications.Novel SNVs in NR5A1(c.722G>T,c.48C>G)and ANOS1 c.564A>T were identified,with no prior reports in relevant databases.The pathogenicity of CYP21A2 EX1 Dup is documented in related databases,while the remaining CNVs have not been previously reported.Conclusion The utilization of WES technology has enhanced the diagnostic potential for DSD,broadened the spectrum of known DSD-related gene mutations,and deepened our comprehension of DSD pathogenesis,offering valuable support for genetic counseling.
7.Stent implantation for treating idiopathic intracranial hypertension complicated with venous sinus stenosis
Zhen XU ; Hao HE ; Yingge XU ; Wenying BAO ; Song ZHANG ; Ming ZHU ; Yinyin WU ; Lei YAN ; Shaofeng SHUI
Chinese Journal of Interventional Imaging and Therapy 2024;21(9):513-516
Objective To observe the value of stent implantation for treating idiopathic intracranial hypertension(IIH)complicated with venous sinus stenosis(VSS).Methods Data of 54 patients with IIH complicated with VSS who underwent stent implantation were retrospectively analyzed.The papillary edema grade,lumbar puncture-opening pressure(LP-OP)and trans-stenotic pressure gradient of venous sinus(ΔP)before and after stent implantation were compared,and the symptom improvement and treatment-related complications during the follow-up period were recorded.Results Totally 60 stents were successfully implanted in 54 patients.Before stent implantation,the papillary edema grade was 3(3,3),LP-OP was(391.39±92.62)mmH2O and the ΔP was 18.50(15.00,25.00)mmHg,which decreased to 1(0,1),(208.80±62.31)mmH2O and 1.25(0.88,2.55)mmHg after stent implantation,respectively,all with significant differences(all P<0.001).Clinical symptoms improved after stent implantation in all 54 patients.At the end of follow-up,disappearance of headache,papillary edema,visual disorder,abducent nerve paralysis and tinnitus were noticed in 30(30/37,81.08%),38(38/45,84.44%),41(41/45,91.11%),8(8/10,80.00%)and 9 cases(9/10,90.00%),respectively.Treatment-related complications occurred in 4 cases(4/54,7.41%),all improved after intervention.Conclusion Stent implantation was effective and safe for treating IIH complicated with VSS.
8.Finite element analysis of titanium rods after vertebral column decancellation osteotomy for ankylosing spondylitis
Bao-Ke SU ; Yong-Qing WANG ; Zhi-Jie KANG ; Hai-Yan WANG ; Feng JIN ; Xiao-He LI ; Zhen-Hua CAO ; Jia-Xuan HUO ; Yong ZHU ; Feng LI
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2024;55(3):339-344
Objective To analyze the stress changes of thoracic vertebra(T)11-sacrum(S)titanium rods in patients with ankylosing spondylitis after vertebral column decancellation(VCD)osteotomy,and provide reference for the selection and improvement of titanium rods before surgery.Methods The original data of the continuous scanning tomographic images of patients with ankylosing spondylitis after VCD osteotomy were imported into Mimics 21.0 in DICOM format,and T11-S vertebrae,screws and titanium rods were respectively reconstructed.They were imported into 3-Matic to establish a preliminary geometric modeling,and then processed with noise removal,paving,smoothing,etc.The improved model was imported into Hypermesh 10 software for grid division,and the material was imported into ANSYS 19.2 to display the finite element model after attribute assignment,Set the boundary and load conditions,and measure the stress value at the connection between the screw and the titanium rod.Results Under neutral position,forward bending,lateral bending,and axial rotation conditions,the titanium rod had the highest stress at the upper vertebrae(T11)and the lowest stress at the top vertebrae(L3);Under the backward extension condition,the titanium rod has the highest stress at the lower end vertebra(L5).Conclusion In the upper and lower vertebrae,it is possible to consider increasing the diameter of the titanium rod,enhancing its hardness,or changing it to a double rod.
9.Bibliometric analysis of JAK/STAT signaling pathway in rheumatoid arthritis
Xiaojun SU ; Wenju ZHU ; Qiang BAO ; Huan WANG ; Qian HE ; Jun MA ; Haidong WANG ; Xuemei TIAN ; Fuhai MA ; Haili SHEN ; Huijun YANG
China Modern Doctor 2024;62(20):1-4,8
Objective Based on the multi-software visual analysis of the literature on the effect of Janus kinase(JAK)/signal transducer and activator of transcription(STAT)signaling pathway on rheumatoid arthritis in the past decade,the development trend and research hotspot in this field are summarized.To provide researchers with new directions and ideas to promote the innovative development of the field.Methods The literatures related to JAK/STAT signaling pathway in rheumatoid arthritis were collected from the Web of Science Core Collection database from 2013 to 2023.CiteSpace and VOSviewer software were used to analyze the number of publications,countries,authors and keywords of 354 articles retrieved.Results The number of published papers in this field continues to increase.According to the author's research direction,the presentation of high-frequency words,and the attention to the preface and hot topics,it is suggested that this field focuses on gene expression,immune mechanism,inflammatory mechanism,pathway inhibitors,drug therapy,etc.Future research will focus on the safety,mechanism and controlled trials of pathway inhibitors and antirheumatic drugs.Conclusion The effect of JAK/STAT signaling pathway on rheumatoid arthritis has attracted much attention in the past,present and future.There are differences in the research of different teams in this field,and the regional development is unbalanced,suggesting that we should strengthen cooperation and exchanges,focus on the international frontier,and carry out more high-quality research to promote the development and progress of this field,and provide clinical basis.
10.Chinese expert consensus on clinical treatment of adult patients with severe traumatic brain injury complicated by corona virus disease 2019 (version 2023)
Zeli ZHANG ; Shoujia SUN ; Yijun BAO ; Li BIE ; Yunxing CAO ; Yangong CHAO ; Juxiang CHEN ; Wenhua FANG ; Guang FENG ; Lei FENG ; Junfeng FENG ; Liang GAO ; Bingsha HAN ; Ping HAN ; Chenggong HU ; Jin HU ; Rong HU ; Wei HE ; Lijun HOU ; Xianjian HUANG ; Jiyao JIANG ; Rongcai JIANG ; Lihong LI ; Xiaopeng LI ; Jinfang LIU ; Jie LIU ; Shengqing LYU ; Binghui QIU ; Xizhou SUN ; Xiaochuan SUN ; Hengli TIAN ; Ye TIAN ; Ke WANG ; Ning WANG ; Xinjun WANG ; Donghai WANG ; Yuhai WANG ; Jianjun WANG ; Xingong WANG ; Junji WEI ; Feng XU ; Min XU ; Can YAN ; Wei YAN ; Xiaofeng YANG ; Chaohua YANG ; Rui ZHANG ; Yongming ZHANG ; Di ZHAO ; Jianxin ZHU ; Guoyi GAO ; Qibing HUANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2023;39(3):193-203
The condition of patients with severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI) complicated by corona virus 2019 disease (COVID-19) is complex. sTBI can significantly increase the probability of COVID-19 developing into severe or critical stage, while COVID-19 can also increase the surgical risk of sTBI and the severity of postoperative lung lesions. There are many contradictions in the treatment process, which brings difficulties to the clinical treatment of such patients. Up to now, there are few clinical studies and therapeutic norms relevant to sTBI complicated by COVID-19. In order to standardize the clinical treatment of such patients, Critical Care Medicine Branch of China International Exchange and Promotive Association for Medical and Healthcare and Editorial Board of Chinese Journal of Trauma organized relevant experts to formulate the Chinese expert consensus on clinical treatment of adult patients with severe traumatic brain injury complicated by corona virus infection 2019 ( version 2023) based on the joint prevention and control mechanism scheme of the State Council and domestic and foreign literatures on sTBI and COVID-19 in the past 3 years of the international epidemic. Fifteen recommendations focused on emergency treatment, emergency surgery and comprehensive management were put forward to provide a guidance for the diagnosis and treatment of sTBI complicated by COVID-19.


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