1.Application of ARIMA model in predicting the incidence of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province
Bilian ZHU ; Yingmei TANG ; Zhengrong DING ; Jibo HE ; Weimin BAO ; Qinnian LI
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(4):37-41
Objective To explore the application of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model in predicting the number of reported hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province,to use this model to predict the incidence trend of hepatitis E, and to provide reference for the scientific prevention and control of hepatitis E. Methods Monthly reported cases of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province from 2012 to 2021 were collected. The ARIMA model was established using SPSS 27.0, and the model was validated and parameters were optimized with data from January 2022 to December 2022. The optimal fitting model was used to predict the incidence of hepatitis E in 2023. Results Hepatitis E incidence in Yunnan Province showed a certain seasonal distribution, with most cases concentrated from March to August. All parameters of ARIMA(3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 passed statistical tests. The Ljung-Box test showed statistic Q =10.050, P = 0.346, residual sequence was a white noise sequence, and goodness-of-fit index stationary R² was 0.591. The model extrapolation effect was verified with 2022 data, and MAPE was 14.747, indicating that the model extrapolation effect was effective. The number of hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province in 2023 was expected to be 1,086. Conclusion The ARIMA (3,1,4)(1,1,1)12 model shows good fitting performance for hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province and can effectively predict short-term disease trends, providing a theoretical basis for formulating prevention and control measures for hepatitis E.
2.Downregulation of Serum PTEN Expression in Mercury-Exposed Population and PI3K/AKT Pathway-Induced Inflammation
Peng MEI ; Min En DING ; Yang Hao YIN ; Xue Xue DING ; Huan WANG ; Feng Jian WANG ; Lei HAN ; Dong Heng ZHANG ; Li Bao ZHU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2024;37(4):354-366
Objective This study investigated the impact of occupational mercury(Hg)exposure on human gene transcription and expression,and its potential biological mechanisms. Methods Differentially expressed genes related to Hg exposure were identified and validated using gene expression microarray analysis and extended validation.Hg-exposed cell models and PTEN low-expression models were established in vitro using 293T cells.PTEN gene expression was assessed using qRT-PCR,and Western blotting was used to measure PTEN,AKT,and PI3K protein levels.IL-6 expression was determined by ELISA. Results Combined findings from gene expression microarray analysis,bioinformatics,and population expansion validation indicated significant downregulation of the PTEN gene in the high-concentration Hg exposure group.In the Hg-exposed cell model(25 and 10 μmol/L),a significant decrease in PTEN expression was observed,accompanied by a significant increase in PI3K,AKT,and IL-6 expression.Similarly,a low-expression cell model demonstrated that PTEN gene knockdown led to a significant decrease in PTEN protein expression and a substantial increase in PI3K,AKT,and IL-6 levels. Conclusion This is the first study to report that Hg exposure downregulates the PTEN gene,activates the PI3K/AKT regulatory pathway,and increases the expression of inflammatory factors,ultimately resulting in kidney inflammation.
3.Effects of Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe on AIM2-mediated pyroptosis of renal cells in a golden hamster model of diabetic nephropathy
Yu-Peng XIAO ; Ying-Jun DING ; Bao-Zhu DING ; Shu-Jie HOU ; Si-Yang LIU ; Zi-Wei ZHANG ; Xiao-Xia LI ; Wen-Jie LIANG ; Nan ZHANG
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2024;46(11):3603-3612
AIM To investigate the effects and mechanism of Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe on renal AIM 2-mediated pyroptosis of a golden hamster model of diabetic nephropathy(DN).METHODS Fifty male golden hamsters of SPF grade were randomly divided into the control group and the model group.The golden hamsters of the model group successfully developed into DN models by feeding of high glucose and high fat diet and intraperitoneal injection of STZ were further randomly assigned into the model group,the enagliflozin group(10 mg/kg),and the low-dose and the high-dose Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe groups(12.8,25.6 g/kg)for 8 weeks gavage of the corresponding administration.The golden hamsters had their levels of fasting blood glucose,24 h-UTP,serum TC,LDL-C,Scr,and Sur detected by automatic biochemical analyzer;their serum SOD activity and MDA level detected by biochemical method;their serum levels of IL-1β,IL-18,and TNF-α detected by ELISA method;their pathomorphological changes of kidney tissue observed by HE and PAS staining;their protein expressions of ROS and γH2AX detected by immunofluorescence or immunohistochemistry;and their renal protein expressions of AIM 2,caspase-1 and GSDMD detected by Western blot and immunohistochemistry.RESULTS Compared with the control group,the model group showed atrophic glomeruli;enlarged glomerular capsule cavity;mesangial expansion;edema and necrosis in the dilated renal tubules;increased levels of fasting blood glucose,24 h-UTP,serum TC,LDL-C,Scr,Sur,IL-1β,IL-18,TNF-α,MDA and renal protein expressions of ROS,γH2AX,AIM2,caspase-1,GSDMD(P<0.01);and decreased serum SOD activity(P<0.01).Compared with the model group,the high-dose Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe group and the enagliflozin group displayed improved renal histopathology,decreased levels of 24 h-UTP,serum TC,LDL-C,Scr,Sur,IL-1β,IL-18,TNF-α,MDA and renal protein expressions of ROS,γH2AX,AIM2,caspase-1,GSDMD(P<0.05,P<0.01);and increased serum SOD activity(P<0.01).CONCLUSION Shenxiao Jiedu Tongluo Recipe can inhibit AIM 2-mediated cell death and alleviate renal inflammatory damage in golden hamsters by inhibiting their expression of ROS-dsDNA-AIM 2 signal pathway to attain reduction of their renal ROS level,DNA damage of renal intrinsic cells,and synthesis of AIM 2 inflammatory corpuscles as well.
4.Study on the changes of skeletal muscle index during chemoradiotherapy for patients with cervical cancer and its correlation with prognosis
Fan ZHOU ; Jin-Feng BAO ; Hui LU ; Mei-Qing DING ; Li-Ping DENG ; Zi YIN ; Zi-Qi CHEN ; Li-Jing ZHU
Parenteral & Enteral Nutrition 2024;31(4):211-219
Objective:To study the changes in skeletal muscle and serum nutritional indicators during concurrent chemoradiotherapy in cervical cancer patients,and to evaluate their correlation with short-term efficacy and long-term prognosis. Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 114 patients with cervical cancer who underwent radical concurrent chemoradiotherapy in the Department of Oncology,Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from February 2019 to February 2023. All patients underwent a treatment regimen comprising external beam radiation (EBRT),internal radiation,and concurrent chemotherapy. Serum nutritional data of the patients were collected before radiotherapy,one week,two weeks and five weeks after the onset of radiotherapy. CT images of the patients at the time of simulation and about five weeks after the onset of radiotherapy were imported into the Pinnacle 39.10 planning system,and the skeletal muscle index (SMI) of the third lumbar vertebra (L3) were calculated for each patients. The changes of the serum nutritional indicators of the patients prior to and post EBRT were analyzed statistically. The patients are categorized into two groups according to the baseline SMI:a sarcopenic group consisting of 35 cases and a non-sarcopenic group comprising 79 cases. The therapeutic outcomes between the two groups were compared,and logistic analysis of the relevant factors affecting the occurrence of sarcopenia during radiotherapy was conducted. The survival curves were drawn using Kaplan-Meier method and disease-free survival (DFS) between the two groups was compared using Log Rank test. We used Cox univariate and multivariate regression analysis to identify prognostic factors related to DFS. Results:The serum nutritional indicators of the patient at one week,two weeks,and five weeks after the beginning of EBRT were significantly lower than those before radiotherapy (P<0.05). The SMI from the CT images of simulation at five weeks after the onset of radiotherapy was significantly lower than that before radiotherapy (P<0.001). There was a significant correlation between hemoglobin levels prior to radiotherapy and incidence of sarcopenia during radiotherapy (P=0.046). There was no significant difference in efficacy between the two groups at the end of EBRT (P>0.05). At the end of radiotherapy,the complete response (CR) rate of the non-sarcopenia group was significantly higher than that of the sarcopenia group (P=0.040). However,the objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR) of both groups at the end of radiotherapy were 100%. The 2-year DFS of the sarcopenia group and the non-sarcopenia group were 66.7% and 85.5%,respectively,and the difference was statistically significant (P=0.016). Only four patients died during the 2-year follow-up,so OS was not reached. Baseline SMI,serum squamous cell antigen levels prior to radiotherapy,and degree of bone marrow suppression were three independent prognostic factors affecting DFS in the patients. Conclusion:Cervical cancer patients experience significant nutritional loss during chemoradiotherapy,and baseline SMI is significantly correlated with short-term efficacy and long-term prognosis and can serve as a predictive marker for patients with cervical cancer receiving chemoradiotherapy.
5.Clinical analysis of chronic mild occupational carbon disulfide poisoning
Xiaoyan CAO ; Xiaomin ZHU ; Zhongjie XU ; Xiaoqing JI ; Youhong BAO ; Bangmei DING
China Occupational Medicine 2023;50(1):73-78
6.Impact of COVID-19 epidemic on inventory of red blood cells in local and municipal blood stations in China
Weina CHEN ; Jianling ZHONG ; Yueping DING ; Weizhen LYU ; Jian ZHANG ; Lin BAO ; Feng YAN ; Li LI ; Dexu CHU ; Guanlin HU ; Ruijuan YANG ; Bo LI ; Xiaofeng ZHEN ; Youhua SHEN ; Wen ZHANG ; Jie YANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Yunfei LI ; Liang BAI ; Ning LI ; Yian LIANG ; Lili ZHU ; Qingsong YUAN ; Qingjie MA
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2023;36(10):903-906
【Objective】 To evaluate and analyze the impact of COVID-19 epidemic on inventory of red blood cells (RBCs)in local and municipal blood stations in China, and to provide reference for the management of public health emergencies. 【Methods】 Relevant data from 2018 to 2021 were collected, and the differences in the volume of qualified RBCs, the usage efficiency of inventory RBCs, the average daily distribution of RBCs,the blood distribution rate of RBCs prepared by 400 mL whole blood, the difference in the average storage days of RBCs at the time of distribution, the average daily inventory of RBCs and the time of the average daily inventory of RBCs to maintain the distribution in 24 local and municipal blood stations in China during the COVID-19 epidemic and non-epidemic periods were retrospectively analyzed. 【Results】 Compared with non-epidemic periods, the volume of qualified RBCs [(117 525.979 ±52 203.175)U] and the average daily distribution of RBCs [( 156. 468 ± 70. 186) U ] increased significantly, but the usage efficiency of inventory RBCs decreased(97.24%±0.51%) significantly (P<0.05).There was no significant difference in the blood distribution rate of RBCs prepared by 400 mL whole blood(73.88%±20.30%), the average storage days of RBCs distribution(13.040 ±3.486), the average daily stock quantity of RBCs[(2 280.542 ±1 446.538) U ] and the time of the average daily inventory of RBCs to maintain the distribution[(15.062 ±7.453) d] (P>0.5). 【Conclusion】 During the COVID-19 epidemic, the inventory management of RBCs operated well, the overall inventory remained relatively stable, the stock composition and storage period showed no significant change.
7.Age-related change in mitochondrial DNA copy number and its correlation with intrinsic capacity and body composition
Tingting HUANG ; Danmei ZHANG ; Li QIN ; Shu CHEN ; Yan MAO ; Haitong BAO ; Xiao WANG ; Qianqian ZHU ; Qiangwei TONG ; Guoxian DING ; Juan LIU
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2023;42(1):1-6
Objective:To investigate the correlation of peripheral blood relative mitochondrial DNA copy number(mtDNAcn)with intrinsic capacity and body composition, and to identify potential biomarkers for healthy aging.Methods:Clinical data of 416 patients admitted to our hospital from September 2019 to June 2021 were consecutively collected.MtDNA was extracted from peripheral blood of these subjects, and mtDNAcn was determined by a real-time fluoresence quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction(qRT-PCR). Intrinsic capacity assessment included 5 aspects that were exercise[Morse Fall Scale(MFS), Physiological Frailty Phenotype(PFP), Sarcopenia Questionnaire(SARC-CALF), Short Physical Performance Battery(SPPB), Time Up and Go Test(TUG)]; vitality[Mini Nutritional Assessment(MNA), Multidimensional Prognostic Index(MPI)]; cognition[Mini-Mental State Examination(MMSE)scale]; psychology[Geriatric Depression Scale(GDS), Self-rating Anxiety Scale(SAS)]; sensory capacities[Cumulative Illness Rating Scale-the Comorbidity Index(CIRS-CI)]. To assess body composition, dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry was used to measure body fat, including trunk fat, total body fat, fat in the abdominal region, fat in the buttock region, and then to calculate fat index(FMI)and limb skeletal muscle mass index(ASMI).Results:Spearman correlation analysis showed that mtDNAcn had a negatively correlation with age( r=-0.176, P<0.05). After adjustment for gender and body mass index, partial correlation analysis showed mtDNAcn were still negatively correlated with age( r=-0.144, P<0.05). Furthermore, mtDNAcn was significantly correlated with 4 m gait speed, the scores of SARC-CalF, MFS, MNA, MMSE, MPI and its sub-scale's Activities of Daily Living(ADL)and Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire(SPMSQ)( r=0.171, -0.207, -0.163, 0.221, 0.184, -0.210, 0.241, -0.269, all P<0.05). After adjustment for age, gender and body mass index, partial correlation analysis showed mtDNAcn still had a significant correlation with gait speed, the scores of MFS, MNA, MPI and SPMSQ( r=0.170, -0.170, 0.148, -0.242, -0.188, all P<0.05). In addition, the Spearman correlation analysis showed that mtDNAcn was positively correlated with FMI, trunk fat, total body fat, abdominal fat and fat in the buttock region( r=0.168, 0.143, 0.175, 0.116, 0.199, all P<0.05). However, after adjustment for age and gender, mtDNAcn was only correlated with FMI, total body fat, fat in the buttock region( r=0.126, 0.131, 0.127, all P<0.05). On the other hand, multiple linear regression analysis showed that mtDNAcn was significantly correlated with age, gait speed, FMI, total body fat, fat in the buttock region, the scores of MFS, PFP, MNA and MPI( β=-0.191, 0.156, 0.126, 0.131, 0.125, -0.119, -0.145, 0.151, -0.171, all P<0.05). Conclusions:MtDNAcn is correlated with physical function, frailty, nutrition, falling, cognition and body composition, and may be considered as a biomarker for the evaluation of the locomotion and vitality of human intrinsic capacity.
8.Development of Surgical Robots in Recent Years.
Lixiao YANG ; Zhengsong HOU ; Wei TANG ; Sinan ZHU ; Qi BAO ; Jiabin TONG ; Xiuwen DING
Chinese Journal of Medical Instrumentation 2023;47(1):1-12
OBJECTIVE:
To study the development of surgical robots at home and abroad in recent years.
METHODS:
Through a large number of literature review and analysis, the qualification approval and technical function characteristics of domestic and foreign surgical robots from January 2019 to July 2022 were analyzed.
RESULTS:
The related situations of 39 surgical robots were analyzed and reported, and the shortcomings and future development direction of the current surgical robots were summarized.
CONCLUSIONS
The development of surgical robots in China is now in a rapid development stage. At present, surgical robots generally have the disadvantages of high cost, lack of tactile feedback (force feedback), large size, large space occupation and difficult to move. In the future, it will develop towards intelligent, miniaturized, remote, open and low-cost.
China
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Robotics
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Robotic Surgical Procedures
9.Effects of preoperative home-based rehabilitation in patients undergoing lung cancer surgery
Xiaoxia CHEN ; Zirui DING ; Lei HE ; Lijuan BAN ; Wenjuan ZHU ; Qingzhu BAO
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2023;29(18):2482-2487
Objective:To explore the effect of preoperative home-based rehabilitation in patients undergoing lung cancer surgery.Methods:From January 2021 to June 2022, convenience sampling was used to select 118 lung cancer patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Xinxiang First People's Hospital of Henan Province. The patients were randomly divided into an observation group and a control group, with 59 cases each. The control group received routine nursing, while the observation group received preoperative home-based rehabilitation. We compared the lung function, nutritional indicators, incidence of postoperative atelectasis and pulmonary infection, as well as the duration of thoracic closed drainage tube insertion and postoperative hospital stay between the two groups.Results:After intervention, the forced vital capacity (FVC), maximum ventilation volume (MVV), the percentage of forced expiratory volume in one second to the predicted value (FEV 1%), ventilate storage ratio (VSR), hemoglobin and serum albumin in the control group were lower than those before intervention, and the levels of FVC, MVV, FEV 1%, VSR, hemoglobin and serum albumin in the observation group after intervention were higher than those in the control group, with statistical differences ( P<0.05). The incidence of postoperative atelectasis and pulmonary infection in the observation group were lower than that in the control group, and the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). The observation group had shorter duration of thoracic closed drainage tube insertion and postoperative hospital stay compared to the control group, with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:Preoperative home-based rehabilitation can effectively maintain postoperative lung function and nutritional status of patients, reduce postoperative complications, shorten postoperative drainage tube insertion time and hospital stay, and facilitate postoperative recovery.
10.Naoxintong Capsule for Secondary Prevention of Ischemic Stroke: A Multicenter, Randomized, and Placebo-Controlled Trial.
Xiao-Fei YU ; Xu-Ying ZHU ; Can-Xing YUAN ; Dan-Hong WU ; Yu-Wu ZHAO ; Jia-Jun YANG ; Chang-de WANG ; Wei-Wen WU ; Xue-Yuan LIU ; Zhen-Guo LIU ; Zhi-Yu NIE ; Ben-Qiang DENG ; Huan BAO ; Long-Xuan LI ; Chun-Yan WANG ; Hong-Zhi ZHANG ; Jing-Si ZHANG ; Ji-Han HUANG ; Fan GONG ; Ming-Zhe WANG ; Yong-Mei GUO ; Yan SUN ; Ding-Fang CAI
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2022;28(12):1063-1071
OBJECTIVE:
To examine whether the combination of Naoxintong Capsule with standard care could further reduce the recurrence of ischemic stroke without increasing the risk of severe bleeding.
METHODS:
A total of 23 Chinese medical centers participated in this trial. Adult patients with a history of ischemic stroke were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio using a block design to receive either Naoxintong Capsule (1.2 g orally, twice a day) or placebo in addition to standard care. The primary endpoint was recurrence of ischemic stroke within 2 years. Secondary outcomes included myocardial infarction, death due to recurrent ischemic stroke, and all-cause mortality. The safety of drugs was monitored. Results were analyzed using the intention-to-treat principle.
RESULTS:
A total of 2,200 patients were enrolled from March 2015 to March 2016, of whom 143 and 158 in the Naoxintong and placebo groups were lost to follow-up, respectively. Compared with the placebo group, the recurrence rate of ischemic stroke within 2 years was significantly lower in the Naoxintong group [6.5% vs. 9.5%, hazard ratio (HR): 0.665, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.492-0.899, P=0.008]. The two groups showed no significant differences in the secondary outcomes and safety, including rates of severe hemorrhage, cerebral hemorrhage and subarachnoid hemorrhage (P>0.05).
CONCLUSION
The combination of Naoxintong Capsule with standard care reduced the 2-year stroke recurrence rate in patients with ischemic stroke without increasing the risk of severe hemorrhage in high-risk patients. (Trial registration No. NCT02334969).
Adult
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Humans
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Secondary Prevention/methods*
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Ischemic Stroke
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Stroke/prevention & control*
;
Cerebral Hemorrhage/complications*
;
Double-Blind Method
;
Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors


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