1.Construction and verification of nomogram prediction model for survival prognosis of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma
Jiayi GUO ; Zhengyu SONG ; Haiping ZHANG ; Liwei ZHANG ; · ; Awut EDRIS
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(05):718-727
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective To investigate the prognostic value of preoperative serum albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the overall survival (OS) of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and to establish an individualized nomogram model and evaluate its efficacy, in order to provide a possible evaluation basis for the clinical treatment and postoperative follow-up of ESCC patients. Methods AGR, NLR, clinicopathological and follow-up data of ESCC patients diagnosed via pathology in the Department of Thoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from 2010 to 2017 were collected. The correlation between NLR/AGR and clinicopathological data were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test were used for survival analysis. The optimal cut-off values of AGR and NLR were determined by X-tile software, and the patients were accordingly divided into a high-level group and a low-level group. At the same time, univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors affecting OS in the ESCC patients, and a nomogram prediction model was constructed and internally verified. The diagnostic efficacy of the model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve, and the clinical application value was evaluated by decision curve analysis. Results A total of 150 patients were included in this study, including 105 males and 45 females with a mean age of 62.3±9.3 years, and the follow-up time was 1-5 years. The 5-year OS rate of patients in the high-level AGR group was significantly higher than that in the low-level group (χ2=6.339, P=0.012), and the median OS of the two groups was 25 months and 12.5 months, respectively. The 5-year OS rate of patients in the high-level NLR group was significantly lower than that in the low-level NLR group (χ2=5.603, P=0.018), and the median OS of the two groups was 18 months and 39 months, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that AGR, NLR, T stage, lymph node metastasis, N stage, and differentiation were independent risk factors for the OS of ESCC patients. The C-index of the nomogram model was 0.689 [95%CI (0.640, 0.740)] after internal validation. The area under the ROC curve of predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rate was 0.773, 0.724 and 0.725, respectively. At the same time, the calibration curve and the decision curve suggest that the model had certain efficacy in predicting survival and prognosis. Conclusion Preoperative AGR and NLR are independent risk factors for ESCC patients. High level of AGR and low level of NLR may be associated with longer OS in the patients; the nomogram model based on AGR, NLR and clinicopathological features may be used as a method to predict the survival and prognosis of ESCC patients, which is expected to provide a reference for the development of personalized treatment for patients.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
2.Predictive value of glycemia and serum calcium in aortic root dilation disease: A propensity score matching study
Ziyao LI ; Zhengkun SONG ; Awut Edris· ; ; Qiang HUO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(09):1327-1332
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			Objective To explore the effects of glycemia and serum calcium on occurrence and development of aortic root dilation disease. Methods The clinical data of patients with aortic root dilation who underwent surgical treatment in the Department of Cardiac Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from January 2011 to October 2021 were retrospectively collected. They were divided into two groups according to whether they were accompanied by acute aortic dissection (Stanford type A), and were matched with the propensity scoring method. Logistic univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to analyze the glycemia and the serum calcium of the patients in 24 hours at admission, and their receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted. Results  Finally 184 pairs of patients were matched, including 297 males with an average age of 48.76±9.62 years and 71 females with an average age of 49.97±10.97 years. There were statistical differences in ethnicity, history of hypertension, aortic root diameter, serum calcium and glycemia between the two groups (P<0.05). Logistic multivariate regression analyses results showed that age<40 years (OR=4.106, P=0.010), Han nationality (OR=2.863, P<0.001), aortic root diameter<45 mm (OR=5.063, P<0.001), hypertension (OR=2.736, P=0.001), hyperglycemia (OR=4.426, P<0.001) and hypocalcemia (OR=5.375, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for aortic root dilation disease with dissection. ROC curve analysis suggested that the area under the curve (AUC) of glycemia was 0.742 and the AUC of serum calcium was 0.737, all of which had some predictive value. Conclusion  Hyperglycemia and hypocalcemia are risk factors for the development of aortic root dilation disease, and to some extent, they can be used as indicators for screening high-risk patients with aortic root dilation disease.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
3.Changes and effects of lymphatic vessels and lymphatic endothelial cells in lymph node metastasis of esophageal cancer
Jiayi GUO ; Muming ALIMUJIANG ; Awut EDRIS ; Haiping ZHANG ; Liwei ZHAGN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2023;30(05):766-772
		                        		
		                        			
		                        			The lymphatic system is the main way of tumor metastasis and diffusion. Esophageal cancer is one of the typical cancers that are prone to metastasis through the lymphatic system. At present, an increasing number of studies show that the interaction between tumor cells and lymphatic endothelial cells is the first step in tumor lymphatic metastasis, but the underlying molecular mechanism is unclear. This article reviews the role and changes of tumor-related lymphatic vessels and lymphatic endothelial cells in the process of tumor lymphatic metastasis, which lays a foundation for further study of the specific molecular mechanism of esophageal cancer lymphatic metastasis and provides a new treatment direction for esophageal cancer patients.
		                        		
		                        		
		                        		
		                        	
            
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