1.Risk factors analysis for severe acute kidney injury in septic patients and establishment and validation of an hour-specific prediction model
Lan JIA ; Xueqing BI ; Jia MENG ; Hongye DONG ; Xian LI ; Lihua WANG ; Aili JIANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2024;36(9):910-916
Objective:To explore the risk factors of severe acute kidney injury (AKI) in septic patients, and to establish an hour-specific prediction model.Methods:Based on the information of septic patients in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-Ⅳ (MIMIC-Ⅳ) database, general information, comorbidities, vital signs, severity scoring system, laboratory indicators, invasive operations and medication use were recorded. The enrolled patients were randomized into a training set and a validation set according to a ratio of 7∶3. AKI was diagnosed according to the guidelines of Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcome (KDIGO). Based on Lasso regression and Cox regression, the risk factors of severe AKI (AKI stage 2 and stage 3) in septic patients were analyzed and hour-specific prediction model were established. Consistency index (C-index), area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curve were used to assess the predictive efficacy of the model.Results:A total of 20 551 septic patients were enrolled, including 14 385 patients in the training set and 6 166 patients in the validation set. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that atrial fibrillation [hazard ratio ( HR) = 1.266, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.150-1.393], heart failure ( HR = 1.348, 95% CI was 1.217-1.493), respiratory failure ( HR = 1.565, 95% CI was 1.428-1.715), heart rate ( HR = 1.004, 95% CI was 1.002-1.007), mean arterial pressure ( HR = 1.245, 95% CI was 1.126-1.377), lactic acid ( HR = 1.051, 95% CI was 1.025-1.077), simplified acute physiology score Ⅱ (SAPSⅡ, HR = 1.019, 95% CI was 1.016-1.023), serum creatinine ( HR = 1.171, 95% CI was 1.127-1.216), anion gap ( HR = 1.024, 95% CI was 1.010-1.038), serum potassium ( HR = 1.155, 95% CI was 1.079-1.236), white blood cell count ( HR = 1.006, 95% CI was 1.003-1.009) and furosemide use ( HR = 0.414, 95% CI was 0.368-0.467) were independently associated with severe AKI in septic patients (all P < 0.01). The above predictors were applied to construct an hour-specific prediction model for the occurrence of severe AKI in septic patients. The C-index of the prediction model was 0.723 and 0.735 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The AUC for the occurrence of severe AKI at 12, 24, and 48 hours were 0.795 (95% CI was 0.782-0.808), 0.792 (95% CI was 0.780-0.805), and 0.775 (95% CI was 0.762-0.788) in the training set, and the AUC were 0.803 (95% CI was 0.784-0.823), 0.791 (95% CI was 0.772-0.810), and 0.773 (95% CI was 0.752-0.793) in the validation set, respectively. The calibration curves of the two cohorts were in good agreement. Conclusion:The hour-specific prediction model effectively identifies high-risk septic patients for developing severe AKI within 48 hours, aiding clinicians in stratifying patients for early therapeutic interventions to improve outcomes.
2.Effects of cisapride on digestive symptoms and gastrointestinal hormones in elderly peritoneal dialysis patients
Bingyue WANG ; Aili JIANG ; Chunhong LI ; Jing XU ; Kun DONG ; Su WEI ; Ru JIA
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2020;39(2):172-175
Objective:To study the effects of cisapride on digestive symptoms and gastrointestinal hormones in elderly peritoneal dialysis patients.Methods:Forty-two elderly patients with renal failure undergoing peritoneal dialysis in our hospital from July 2017 to December 2017 were randomly selected as the study group.Meanwhile, 20 healthy elderly people in the corresponding time period were selected as the control group.Control group received continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis(CAPD)and other conventional basic therapy, and study group received cisapride as add-on therapy to treatment for control group.Serum levels of somatostatin(SS), motilin(MOT)and vasoactive intestinal peptide(VIP)were compared between the two groups.Gastrointestinal symptoms, serum levels of gastrointestinal hormones and biochemical indexes were compared before and after treatment in the study group.Results:The score of acid reflux, nausea, abdominal distension, belching and constipation were lower in the study group after treatment than before treatment( t=4.42, 4.32, 6.80, 6.29 and 6.76, all P=0.00). Before treatment, levels of MOT, SS and VIP were higher in the study group than in the control group[(636.65±32.02)pmol/L vs.(228.47±28.74)pmol/L, (64.02±16.32)mg/L vs.(42.38±6.42)mg/L, (118.64±17.68)ng/L vs.(58.62±11.63)ng/L, t=48.44, 7.47 and 15.93, all P=0.00]. The level of MOT was lower after than before treatment[(385.36±19.64)pmol/L vs.(636.65±32.02)pmol/L, t=43.36, P=0.00], and the levels of SS and VIP had no significant difference before versus after treatment( t=-0.11 and -0.42, P=0.91 and 0.68). After treatment, the level of MOT was still higher in the study group than in the control group[(385.36 ±19.64)pmol/L vs.(228.47 ±28.74)pmol/L, t=22.08, P=0.00]. There was no significant difference in blood urea nitrogen(BUN), creatinine, haemoglobin and kt/v levels between before and after treatment( P>0.05). The level of albumin(ALB)was higher after than before treatment[(38.60±1.89)g/L vs.(37.71±1.96)g/L, t=2.12, P=0.04]. Conclusions:Gastrointestinal symptoms are common in elderly patients with peritoneal dialysis, and the accumulation of gastrointestinal hormones is obvious, which leads to gastrointestinal dysfunction.The conventional treatment in combination with cisapride can improve gastrointestinal symptoms and reduce serum MOT level in these patients.
3. Epidemic trend of corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in mainland China
Zhengbao ZHU ; Chongke ZHONG ; Kaixin ZHANG ; Chen DONG ; Hao PENG ; Tan XU ; Aili WANG ; Zhirong GUO ; Yonghong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2020;54(0):E022-E022
Objective:
In order to master the epidemic trend of corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and evaluate the effect of prevention and control, we evaluate the epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in mainland China, Hubei province, Wuhan city and other provinces outside Hubei from January 16 to February 14, 2020.
Methods:
We collected the daily number of new confirmed COVID-19 cases by nucleic acid detection reported by the National Health Commission from January 16, 2020 to February 14, 2020. The analysis includes the epidemic curve of the new confirmed cases, multiple of the new confirmed cases for period-over-period, multiple of the new confirmed cases for fixed-base, and the period-over-period growth rate of the new confirmed cases.
Results:
From January 16 to February 14, 2020, the cumulative number of new confirmed cases of COVID-19 in mainland China was 50 031, including 37 930 in Hubei province, 22 883 in Wuhan city and 12 101 in other provinces outside Hubei. The peak of the number of new confirmed cases in other provinces outside Hubei was from January 31 to February 4, 2020, and the peak of new confirmed cases in Wuhan city and Hubei province was from February 5 to February 9, 2020. The number of new confirmed cases in other provinces outside Hubei showed a significant decline (23% compared with the peak) from February 5 to February 9, 2020, while the number of new confirmed cases in Wuhan city (30% compared with the peak) and Hubei Province (37% compared with the peak) decreased significantly from February 10 to February 14, 2020.
Conclusion
The epidemic prevention and control measures taken by the state and governments at all levels have shown very significant effects, effectively curbing the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic in China.
4.Effects of different vascular access types on new atrial fibrillation in maintenance hemodialysis patients : a prospective cohort study
Haibo YU ; Xuewen WANG ; Guijiang SUN ; Bo LI ; Hongye DONG ; Aili JIANG
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2019;35(4):253-258
Objective To investigate the effects and related risk factors of different vascular access types on new atrial fibrillation in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients.Methods This was a single-center prospective cohort study.Patients who established long-term dialysis access and were voluntarily followed up in the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University from January 1,2013 to June 30,2013 were enrolled to follow-up for 5 years.Patients were divided into fistula group (patients with autogenous arteriovenous fistula) and catheter group (patients with tunneled cuffed internal jugular vein catheter).The incidences of new atrial fibrillation in the two groups were compared by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.Cox regression analysis and receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) were used to assess the risk factors of new atrial fibrillation.Results A total of 315 eligible patients were enrolled,including 150 males (47.62%).There were 189 patients (60.00%) in the fistula group,and 126 patients (40.00%) in the catheter group.Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that older age (HR=1.021,95%CI 1.003-1.040),arteriovenous fistula (HR=1.899,95%CI 1.019-3.539),increased dialysis blood flow (HR=1.030,95%CI 1.010-1.051) and left atrial diameter (HR=1.097,95%CI 1.022-1.177) were independent risk factors for new atrial fibrillation in MHD patients (all P < 0.05).Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the incidence of new atrial fibrillation in fistula group was higher than that in catheter group (Log-rank A2=9.53,P=0.002).ROC curve analysis showed that age [the area under the curve (AUC)=0.608,P=0.008],arteriovenous fistula (AUC=0.594,P=0.021),dialysis blood flow (AUC=0.659,P<0.001) and left atrial diameter (AUC=0.604,P=0.011) could predict the occurrence of new atrial fibrillation.Condusions Older age,arteriovenous fistula,increased blood flow during dialysis and left atrial diameter are independent risk factors for new atrial fibrillation in MHD patients,which can predict the occurrence of atrial fibrillation.The incidence of new atrial fibrillation in patients with arteriovenous fistula is higher than that in patients with catheter.
5.Effectiveness of cinacalcet in combination with calcitriol for secondary hyperparathyroidism in patients with maintenance hemodialysis
Guijiang SUN ; Fang WEI ; Haibo YU ; Bo LI ; Haiyan CHEN ; Ruining ZHANG ; Bo WANG ; Jia MENG ; Hongye DONG ; Aili JIANG
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2018;17(9):717-720
One hundred and twenty maintenance hemodialysis patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism were randomly assigned to receive cinacalce,calcitriol or combination of cinacalce and cacitriol for treatment,with 40 cases in each group.Patients were followed up for 12 months;and the blood tests,echocardiography,examinations for osteoporosis and soft tissue calcification were performed every month.After 3 months of treatment,the serum levels of parathyroid hormone were decreased in all three groups (P < 0.01);while the parathyroid hormone decreased more markedly with less influence on serum calcium and phosphorus levels in combination group.There were no significant changes in alkaline phosphatase,osteoporosis and cardiac valve calcification after treatment,compared with before treatment.There were no cases of hypercalcemia and hypocalcemia appearing in combination group after treatment.The study indicates that the combination of cinacalcet with calcitriol has better therapeutic effect for treatment of secondary hyperparathyroidism in maintenance dialysis patients.
6.Risk factors for progression of aortic arch calcification in patients on maintenance hemodialysis
Zhe WANG ; Fang WEI ; Xueqing BI ; Hongye DONG ; Lan JIA ; Pinghua MENG ; Aili JIANG
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2018;34(5):327-333
Objective To investigate the possible risk factors for the progression of abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) in MHD patients.Methods Total of 170 patients on MHD between June 2014 and October 2014 in the dialysis center of the Second Hospital of Tianjin Medical University were included prospectively.Lateral lumbar radiography were applied to evaluate patients' AAC score (AACs) at baseline and after two-years of follow-up respectively.According to the change of AACs,the patients were divided into rapid AAC progression group and non-rapid AAC progression group.Multivariable Logistic regression models were used to determine the risk factors for the progression of AAC in MHD patients.Results At baseline,the presence of AAC (AACs≥1) was 43.5%(74/170).The mean follow-up duration was 27.6(24.7,28.0) months.AACs were available in 111 patients,and the presence of AAC was 78.4%(87/111).During the follow up,36 patients developed new AAC;rapid AAC progression was seen in 54 patients,and non-rapid AAC progression was seen in 57 patients.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that hyperphosphatemia (OR=4.373,95% CI 1.562-7.246,P=0.005) and high density lipoprotein (HDL) (OR=0.031,95%CI 0.003-0.338,P=0.004) were independent risk factors for AAC progression in MHD patients.Conclusions Hyperphosphatemia and low HDL may promote the progression of AAC.Well-controlled serum phosphate and lipid metabolism may slow the progression of vascular calcification,reducing cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.
7.Effects of cisapride on symptoms of digestive and gastrointestinal hormones in chronic renal failure patients
Bingyue WANG ; Aili JIANG ; Chunhong LI ; Jing XU ; Jie TIAN ; Su WEI ; Kun DONG
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2018;34(8):574-578
Objective To study the effects of cisapride on symptoms of digestive and gastrointestinal hormones in chronic renal failure patients.Methods There were 46 cases of chronic renal failure patients in this paper,all patients were given routine treatment of the underlying disease and were randomly divided into two groups.23 patients were additionally treated with cisapride as research group,and the others as control group.The gastrointestinal symptoms,serum somatostatin (SS),motilin (MOT) and vasoactive intestinal peptide (VIP) and other gastrointestinal hormones and renal function in two groups of patients were compared before and after treatment.Results The score of acid reflux,nausea,vomiting,abdominal distension,belching and other symptoms of hard feces and other gastrointestinal after treatment were significantly lower than that before treatment in research group and after treatment in control group (all P < 0.05).There was no significant change between before and after treatment in SS and VIP of two group (all P > 0.05),and MOT in control group (P >0.05),but the MOT in research group was decreased significantly(P < 0.05).There was no significant difference in Scr,Ccr and BUN between the control and research group after treatment (all P > 0.05).Conclusion Conventional treatment combined with cisapride can improve the effect of gastrointestinal symptoms in patients with chronic renal failure,while reducing serum motilin level.
8.Effect of inhaling hydrogen on proteomics during acute lung injury in septic mice
Yingxue BIAN ; Chao QIN ; Keliang XIE ; Yang YU ; Hongguang CHEN ; Yanyan WANG ; Aili DONG ; Peng ZHANG ; Yonghao YU
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2017;37(2):218-223
Objective To evaluate the effect of inhaling hydrogen (H2) on proteomics during acute lung injury in septic mice.Methods Sixty male ICR mice,aged 6 weeks,weighing 20-25 g,were divided into 4 groups (n=15 each) using a random number table:sham operation group (Sh group),sham operation plus H2 group (Sh+H2 group),sepsis group (S group) and sepsis plus H2 group (S+H2 group).Sepsis was produced by cecal ligation and puncture.The mice in Sh+H2 and S+H2 groups inhaled 2% H2 for 1 h starting from 1 and 6 h after operation.At 24 h after operation,lungs were removed for identification of proteins by isobaric tags for relative and absolute quantification and liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry analysis,and the differentially expressed proteins were screened.The differentially expressed proteins were used for KEGG pathway enrichment analysis and STRING protein-protein interaction networks analysis.Western blot was used to confirm the 4 differentially expressed proteins semaphorin 7A,transferrin,OTULIN and mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase 1.Results A total of 4 472 quantifiable proteins were identified.A total of 192 proteins which were related to acute lung injury during H2 inhalationinduced reduction of sepsis were identified.The 192 proteins involved phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase/serine0threonine kinase signaling pathway,chemokine signaling pathway,hypoxia-inducible factor 1 signaling pathway,complement and coagulation cascades,peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor signaling pathway and proteins including ribosome proteins,myosin and troponin,collagen and adhesion-related proteins,coagulation-related proteins found in STRING protein-protein interaction networks.Conclusion Inhaling H2 can induce changes in the expression of 192 proteins,which may be the mechanism of lung protection in septic mice.
9.Effect of hydrogen on mitochondrial dynamics during endotoxin-induced damage to human umbilical vein endothelial cells
Yanyan WANG ; Aili DONG ; Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Lu WANG ; Yingxue BIAN ; Hongguang CHEN ; Guolin WANG ; Yonghao YU ; Keliang XIE
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2017;37(2):227-230
Objective To evaluate the effect of hydrogen on mitochondrial dynamics during endotoxin-induced damage to human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs).Methods HUVECs cultured in vitro were seeded in the culture plate and divided into 4 groups using a random number table:control group (group C),hydrogen-saturated culture medium group (H group),endotoxin group (group E) and endotoxin + hydrogen-saturated culture medium group (group E+H).The cells were cultured in the plain culture medium in C and E groups.The cells were cultured in the hydrogen-saturated culture medium containing lipopolysaccharide (LPS) with the final concentration of 10 μg/ml in H and E+H groups.At 2,8 and 24 h of culture or incubation with LPS,the cell viability was detected by methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium assay,the intracellular ATP content was measured using the phosphomolybdic acid colorimetric method,and the expression of dynamin-related protein 1 (DRP1) was detected by using Western blot.The expression of DRP1 was detected by immunofluorescence at 8 h of incubation with LPS.Results Compared with group C,the cell viability and ATP content were significantly decreased,and the expression of DRP1 was up-regulated at each incubation time point in E and E +H groups (P<0.05),and no significant change was found in the parameters mentioned above in group H (P>0.05).Compared with group E,the cell viability and ATP content were significantly increased,and the expression of DRP1 was down-regulated at each incubation time point in group E+H (P<0.05).Conclusion The mechanism by which hydrogen reduces endotoxin-induced damage to HUVECs is related to down-regulation of DRP1 expression and inhibition of excessive mitochondrial fission.
10.Effect of hydrogen on expression of Drp1 in myocardial mitochondria of septic mice
Yuanyuan ZHANG ; Aili DONG ; Yanyan WANG ; Keliang XIE ; Yonghao YU
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2017;37(9):1136-1138
Objective To evaluate the effect of hydrogen on the expression of Drp1 in the myocardial mitochondria of septic mice.Methods Fifty-four pathogen-free healthy male ICR mice,aged 6 weeks,weighing 20-25 g,were divided into 3 groups (n=18 each) using a random number table:sham operation group (S group),sepsis group (Sep group) and hydrogen group (H2 group).Sepsis was produced by cecal ligation and puncture in anesthetized mice.The mice inhaled 2% hydrogen for 1 h starting from 1 and 6 h after operation in group H2.The mice were sacrificed at 1 day after operation,and hearts were removed for microscopic examination of the pathological changes which were scored and for determination of apoptosis in cardiomyocytes.Apoptosis rate was calculated.The myocardial mitochondria were isolated for measurement of respiratory control ratio (RCR) (using a Clark-type electrode),ATP content (by using a bioluminescence technique) and Drp1 expression (by Western blot).Results Compared with group S,the pathological score and apoptosis rate were significantly increased,the RCR and ATP content in mitochondria were decreased,and the expression of Drp1 was up-regulated in Sep and H2 groups (P<0.05).Compared with group Sep,the pathological score and apoptosis rate were significantly decreased,the RCR and ATP content in mitochondria were increased,and the expression of Drp1 was down-regulated in group H2 (P<0.05).Conclusion The mechanism by which hydrogen mitigates myocardial injury is related to down-regulating expression of Drp1 in the myocardial mitochondria and improving mitochondrial function in septic mice.

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