Objective: To identify the predisposing factors, clinical characteristics, and risk factors of disease progression to establish a novel predictive survival model and evaluate its application value for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure. Methods: 153 cases of HBV-ACLF were selected according to the guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of liver failure (2018 edition) of the Chinese Medical Association Hepatology Branch. Predisposing factors, the basic liver disease stage, therapeutic drugs, clinical characteristics, and factors affecting survival status were analyzed. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to screen prognostic factors and establish a novel predictive survival model. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to evaluate predictive value with the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and the Chronic Liver Failure Consortium Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure score (CLIF-C ACLF). Results: 80.39% (123/153) based on hepatitis B cirrhosis had developed ACLF. HBV-ACLF's main inducing factors were the discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) and the application of hepatotoxic drugs, including Chinese patent medicine/Chinese herbal medicine, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, anti-tuberculosis drugs, central nervous system drugs, anti-tumor drugs, etc. 34.64% of cases had an unknown inducement. The most common clinical symptoms at onset were progressive jaundice, poor appetite, and fatigue. The short-term mortality rate was significantly higher in patients complicated with hepatic encephalopathy, upper gastrointestinal hemorrhage, hepatorenal syndrome, and infection (P < 0.05). Lactate dehydrogenase, albumin, the international normalized ratio, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, hepatic encephalopathy, and upper gastrointestinal bleeding were the independent predictors for the survival status of patients. The LAINeu model was established. The area under the curve for evaluating the survival of HBV-ACLF was 0.886, which was significantly higher than the MELD and CLIF-C ACLF scores (P < 0.05), and the prognosis was worse when the LAINeu score ≥ -3.75. Conclusion: Discontinuation of NAs and the application of hepatotoxic drugs are common predisposing factors for HBV-ACLF. Hepatic decompensation-related complications and infection accelerate the disease's progression. The LAINeu model can predict patient survival conditions more accurately.
Humans ; Hepatitis B virus ; Hepatic Encephalopathy/complications* ; Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/diagnosis* ; End Stage Liver Disease/complications* ; Severity of Illness Index ; Risk Factors ; ROC Curve ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome of acute decompensation accompanied by organ failure that occurs on the basis of chronic liver disease and has a high short-term mortality rate. Currently, there are still differences in relation to the definition of ACLF; thus, baseline characteristics and dynamic changes are important bases for clinical decision-making in patients with liver transplantation and others. The basic strategies for treating ACLF currently include internal medicine treatment, artificial liver support systems, and liver transplantation. Multidisciplinary active collaborative management throughout the whole course is of great significance for further improving the survival rate in patients with ACLF.
Humans ; Liver Transplantation ; Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/complications* ; Survival Rate ; Liver Cirrhosis/complications* ; Prognosis

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a potentially reversible entity that occurs in patients with chronic liver disease accompanied with or without cirrhosis and is characterized by extrahepatic organ failure and high short-term mortality. Currently, the most effective treatment method for patients with ACLF is liver transplantation; therefore, admission timing and contraindications must be emphasized. The function of vital organs such as the heart, brain, lungs, and kidneys should be actively supported and protected during the liver transplantation perioperative period in patients with ACLF. Focusing on the anesthesia management level during anesthesia selection, intraoperative monitoring, three-stage management, prevention and treatment of post-perfusion syndrome, monitoring and management of coagulation function, volume monitoring and management, and body temperature monitoring management for liver transplantation should strengthen anesthesia management. Additionally, standard postoperative intensive care treatment should be recommended, and grafts and other vital organ functions should be monitored throughout the perioperative period to promote early postoperative recovery in patients with ACLF.
Humans ; Liver Transplantation ; Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/surgery* ; Liver Cirrhosis/complications* ; Perioperative Period ; Prognosis

Objective: To investigate the ABC prognostic classification and the updated version of Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score 3.0 and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B ACLF Ⅱ score (COSSH-ACLF Ⅱ score) to evaluate the prognostic value in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Methods: ABC classification was performed on a 1 409 follow-up cohorts. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was used to analyze MELD, MELD 3.0, COSSH-Ⅱ and COSSH-Ⅱ score after 3 days of hospitalization (COSSH-Ⅱ-3d). The prognostic predictive ability of patients were evaluated for 360 days, and the prediction differences of different classifications and different etiologies on the prognosis of ACLF were compared. Results: The survival curve of 1 409 cases with ACLF showed that the difference between class A, B, and C was statistically significant, Log Rank (Mantel-Cox) χ²=80.133, P<0.01. Compared with class A and C, χ²=76.198, P<0.01, the difference between class B and C, was not statistically significant χ²=3.717, P>0.05. AUROC [95% confidence interval (CI)] analyzed MELD, MELD 3.0, COSSH-Ⅱ and COSSH-Ⅱ-3d were 0.644, 0.655, 0.817 and 0.839, respectively (P<0.01). COSSH-Ⅱ had better prognostic predictive ability with class A ACLF and HBV-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) for 360-days, and AUROC (95% CI) were 0.877 and 0.881, respectively (P<0.01), while MELD 3.0 prognostic predictive value was not better than MELD. Conclusion: ACLF prognosis is closely related to ABC classification. COSSH-Ⅱ score has a high predictive value for the prognostic evaluation of class A ACLF and HBV-ACLF. COSSH-Ⅱ score has a better prognostic evaluation value after 3 days of hospitalization, suggesting that attention should be paid to the treatment of ACLF in the early stage of admission.
Humans ; Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure ; Prognosis ; End Stage Liver Disease/complications* ; Retrospective Studies ; Severity of Illness Index

OBJECTIVE: To establish a model for predicting the short-term prognosis of patients with HBV-related acute-onchronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) based on red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores. METHODS: A total of 245 patients with HBV-ACLF were retrospectively analyzed for their clinical data and results of routine hematological tests, liver function, renal function, coagulation test, HBV-DNA, and other indicators at admission. Univariate analysis and binary logistic regression analysis were used to test the short-term risk factors for death of the patients, and the MELD-RDW model was established. The accuracy of each index and the established model was verified using the ROC curve. RESULTS: The surviving patients with HBV-ACLF had significantly decreased RDW (14.97 ± 1.38) and MELD score (23.54±4.35) compared with those in the patients dead within 90 days (17.05±2.92 and 28.95±5.99, respectively). Multivariate analysis indicated that RDW was a significant independent prognostic factor for mortality in patients with HBVACLF (OR=1.840, 95%CI: 1.47902.289, < 0.005). The risk assessment model was [logisticMELD-RDW]=-9.375+0.582×RDW- 0.091×ALB-0.05×PTA+0.186×MELD. The area under the ROC curve of MELD score combined with RDW was 0.878, which was higher than RDW (0.724) and MELD score (0.780) alone. CONCLUSIONS RDW is an independent prognostic indicator for mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF. Compared with MELD score, the risk assessment model based on MELD and RDW has a greater value in predicting the short-term prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure ; blood ; mortality ; Cell Size ; End Stage Liver Disease ; blood ; mortality ; Erythrocyte Volume ; Erythrocytes ; cytology ; Hepatitis B ; blood ; complications ; mortality ; Humans ; Prognosis ; ROC Curve ; Retrospective Studies

OBJECTIVETo evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of Yinchen Zhufu Decoction (, YCZFD) in the treatment of acute-on-chronic liver failure caused by hepatitis B virus (HBV-ACLF) with cold pattern in Chinese medicine (CM).

METHODSThis is a multi-center randomized controlled trial of integrative treatment of CM and Western medicine (WM) for the management of HBV-ACLF patients. A total of 200 HBV-ACLF patients with cold pattern were equally randomly assigned to receive YCZFD and WM (integrative treatment) or WM conventional therapy alone respectively for 4 weeks. The primary end point was the mortality for HBV-ACLF patients. Secondary outcome measures included Model for End-Stage Liver disease (MELD) score, liver biochemical function, coagulation function and complications. Adverse events during treatment were reported.

RESULTSThe mortality was decreased 14.28% in the integrative treatment group compared with WM group (χ(2) =6.156, P=0.013). The integrative treatment was found to signifificantly improve the MELD score (t=2.353, P=0.020). There were statistically signifificant differences in aspartate transaminase, total bilirubin, indirect bilirubin, direct bilirubin and prothrombin time between the two groups (P<0.05 or P<0.01). The complications of ascites (χ(2)=9.033, P=0.003) and spontaneous bacteria peritonitis (χ(2)=4.194, P=0.041) were improved signifificantly in the integrative treatment group. No serious adverse event was reported.

CONCLUSIONSThe integrative treatment of CM and WM was effective and safe for HBV-ACLF patients with cold pattern in CM. The Chinese therapeutic principle "treating cold pattern with hot herbs" remains valuable to the clinical therapy. (Trial registration No. ChiCTR-TRC-10000766).

Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure ; complications ; drug therapy ; mortality ; virology ; Adult ; Ascites ; complications ; Demography ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal ; adverse effects ; pharmacology ; therapeutic use ; Electrolytes ; Female ; Hepatitis B ; complications ; drug therapy ; mortality ; physiopathology ; Hepatitis B virus ; physiology ; Humans ; Integrative Medicine ; Liver ; drug effects ; pathology ; physiopathology ; virology ; Liver Function Tests ; Male ; Peritonitis ; complications ; Time Factors ; Treatment Outcome

Patients with cirrhosis who are hospitalized for an acute decompensation (AD) and also have organ failure(s) are at high risk of short-term death. These patients have a syndrome called Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF). ACLF is now considered as a new syndrome that it is distinct from "mere" AD not only because of the presence of organ failure(s) and high short-term mortality but also because of younger age, higher prevalence of alcoholic etiology of cirrhosis, higher prevalence of some precipitants (such as bacterial infections, active alcoholism), and more intense systemic inflammatory response. ACLF is a new syndrome also because severe sepsis or severe alcoholic hepatitis do not account for 100% of the observed cases; in fact, almost 50% of the cases are of "unknown" origin. In other words, severe sepsis, severe alcoholic hepatitis and ACLF of "unknown origin" are subcategories of the syndrome.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/complications/mortality/*pathology ; Age Factors ; Cytokines/metabolism ; Hepatitis, Alcoholic/complications ; Humans ; Liver Cirrhosis/*complications/diagnosis ; Sepsis/complications ; Severity of Illness Index ; Survival Rate

Patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (HBV-ACLF) show high morbidity and mortality. Independent prognostic predictors of short-term HBV-ACLF mortality include the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, other MELD-based indices and the dynamic changes in these indices. The aims of this study were to evaluate the existing prognostic scores in a large cohort of HBV-ACLF patients and create a new predictive model. We retrospectively reviewed 392 HBV-ACLF patients from December 2008 to November 2011 and evaluated their 3-month survival. The predictive accuracy of CTP, MELD and MELD-based indices and the dynamic changes in the MELD-related scores (Δ scoring systems) upon admission and after two weeks of treatment were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve method. Life-threatening factors and a series of bio-clinical parameters were studied by univariate and multivariate analyses. Among the existing scores, MELD had the best predictive ability. However, our new regression model provided an area under the curve of 0.930 ± 0.0161 (95% CI: 0.869 to 0.943), which was significantly larger than that obtained with the MELD score at admission and after two weeks of treatment as well as with the dynamic changes of the MELD score (0.819, 0.921, and 0.826, respectively) (Z=3.542, P=0.0004). In a large cohort of patients retrospectively reviewed for this study, our prognostic model was superior to the MELD score and is, therefore, a promising predictor of short-term survival in patients with HBV-ACLF.
Acute Disease ; Adult ; Chronic Disease ; Female ; Hepatitis B ; complications ; Humans ; Liver Failure ; etiology ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Prognosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure has a poor prognosis. However, the advent of potent oral antiviral agents means that some patients can now recover with medical treatment. We aimed to identify the prognostic factors for hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure including the initial as well as the dynamically changing clinical parameters during admission. METHODS: Sixty-seven patients were retrospectively enrolled from 2003 to 2012 at Samsung Medical Center. The patients were classified into three categories: Recovery group (n=23), Liver transplantation group (n=28), and Death group (n=16). The Liver transplantation and Death groups were combined into an Unfavorable prognosis group. We analyzed the prognostic factors including the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores determined at 3-day intervals. RESULTS: A multivariable analysis showed that the unfavorable prognostic factors were a high initial MELD score (> or =28) (odds ratio [OR] =6.64, p=0.015), moderate-to-severe ascites at admission (OR=6.71, P=0.012), and the aggravation of hepatic encephalopathy during hospitalization (> or =grade III) (OR=15.41, P=0.013). Compared with the baseline level, significant reductions in the MELD scores were observed on the 7th day after admission in the Recovery group (P=0.016). CONCLUSIONS: Dynamic changes in clinical parameters during admission are useful prognostic factors for hepatitis-B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure.
Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/*diagnosis/drug therapy/etiology ; Adult ; Aged ; Antibodies, Monoclonal, Murine-Derived/therapeutic use ; Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use ; Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use ; Cyclophosphamide/therapeutic use ; DNA, Viral/analysis ; Doxorubicin/therapeutic use ; Female ; Hepatitis B virus/genetics ; Hepatitis B, Chronic/complications/*diagnosis/drug therapy ; Hospitalization ; Humans ; Liver Transplantation ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Multivariate Analysis ; Odds Ratio ; Prednisone/therapeutic use ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Severity of Illness Index ; Vincristine/therapeutic use ; Young Adult

OBJECTIVETo compare the clinical values of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-Na scoring system and the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scoring system for predicting the short-term prognosis of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure.

METHODSA total of 339 patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure and admitted to the Eighth People's Hospital of Guangzhou and Nanfang Hospital of Southern Medical University between January 2010 and December 2012 were included in this retrospective analysis. The short-term predictive values of MELD-Na and CTP scores were compared for this patient population.

RESULTSThe mean MELD-Na score in the advanced stage of liver failure was significantly higher than those in the early and middle stages, respectively (both P less than 0.01). The mean MELD-Na score in the middle stage of liver failure was also significantly higher than that in the early stage (P less than 0.01). In contrast, the mean CTP scores for the three stages of liver failure were not significantly different (all P more than 0.05). The MELD-Na score showed a stronger correlation with the stage of liver failure (rs =0.485, P less than 0.01) than did the CTP score (rs =0.306, P less than 0.01). The short-term mortality rates were significantly different for the three stages of liver failure (P less than 0.01). The mean MELD-Na score of the death group was significantly higher than that of the survival group (P less than 0.01). The CTP scores, however, were not significantly different between the death and survival groups (P more than 0.05).The short-term mortality rate of liver failure was significantly higher for patients with increased scores for the MELD-Na and CTP systems (both P less than 0.01). The areas under the curve of the MELD-Na and CTP scores were 0.813 and 0.823, respectively. The MELD-Na and CTP score have similar predictive values (P more than 0.05).

CONCLUSIONThe MELD-Na scoring system is slightly superior to the CTP scoring system for predicting short-term prognosis of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure.The predictive value may improve for both the MELD-Na score and the CTP score when combined with expert clinical practice and experience.

Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure ; etiology ; Hepatitis B ; Hepatitis B, Chronic ; complications ; Humans ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Sodium