1.Exploring the Feasibility of Machine Learning to Predict Risk Stratification Within 3 Months in Chest Pain Patients with Suspected NSTE-ACS.
Zhi Chang ZHENG ; Wei YUAN ; Nian WANG ; Bo JIANG ; Chun Peng MA ; Hui AI ; Xiao WANG ; Shao Ping NIE
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2023;36(7):625-634
OBJECTIVE:
We aimed to assess the feasibility and superiority of machine learning (ML) methods to predict the risk of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACEs) in chest pain patients with NSTE-ACS.
METHODS:
Enrolled chest pain patients were from two centers, Beijing Anzhen Emergency Chest Pain Center Beijing Bo'ai Hospital, China Rehabilitation Research Center. Five classifiers were used to develop ML models. Accuracy, Precision, Recall, F-Measure and AUC were used to assess the model performance and prediction effect compared with HEART risk scoring system. Ultimately, ML model constructed by Naïve Bayes was employed to predict the occurrence of MACEs.
RESULTS:
According to learning metrics, ML models constructed by different classifiers were superior over HEART (History, ECG, Age, Risk factors, & Troponin) scoring system when predicting acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and all-cause death. However, according to ROC curves and AUC, ML model constructed by different classifiers performed better than HEART scoring system only in prediction for AMI. Among the five ML algorithms, Linear support vector machine (SVC), Naïve Bayes and Logistic regression classifiers stood out with all Accuracy, Precision, Recall and F-Measure from 0.8 to 1.0 for predicting any event, AMI, revascularization and all-cause death ( vs. HEART ≤ 0.78), with AUC from 0.88 to 0.98 for predicting any event, AMI and revascularization ( vs. HEART ≤ 0.85). ML model developed by Naïve Bayes predicted that suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS), abnormal electrocardiogram (ECG), elevated hs-cTn I, sex and smoking were risk factors of MACEs.
CONCLUSION
Compared with HEART risk scoring system, the superiority of ML method was demonstrated when employing Linear SVC classifier, Naïve Bayes and Logistic. ML method could be a promising method to predict MACEs in chest pain patients with NSTE-ACS.
Humans
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/epidemiology*
;
Bayes Theorem
;
Feasibility Studies
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Chest Pain/etiology*
;
Myocardial Infarction/diagnosis*
2.Value of glycosylated hemoglobin A1c and apolipoprotein A-1 ratio on predicting outcome of patients with acute coronary syndrome.
Yi Jia WANG ; Hong Na MU ; Rui Yue YANG ; Wen Duo ZHANG ; Xin Yue WANG ; Si Ming WANG ; Fu Sui JI ; Jun DONG ; Xue YU
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2023;51(1):38-44
Objective: To investigate the predictive value of glycosylated hemoglobin A1c/apolipoprotein A-1 (HbA1c/ApoA-1) ratio for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Methods: The present study is a retrospective cohort study. ACS patients who were hospitalized and underwent coronary angiography at Beijing Hospital from March 2017 to March 2019 were enrolled. Baseline information such as sex, age, previous history, Gensini score, HbA1c and ApoA-1 were analyzed. Patients were divided into two groups according to presence or absence of MACEs and the difference on HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio was compared between the two groups. According to the tertiles of HbA1c/ApoA-1 levels, patients were divided into high (5.87-16.12), medium (4.50-5.83) and low (2.11-4.48) HbA1c/ApoA-1 groups. Cox proportional risk model was used to evaluate the differences in MACEs and all-cause mortality among the three groups. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare the differences of MACEs between the various HbA1c/ApoA-1 groups. Results: A total of 366 ACS patients were included in this study. The mean age of the patients was (65.9±10.3) years. There were 59 MACEs and 10 all-cause deaths during the mean of (22.3±4.4) months follow-up. After adjusting for age, systolic blood pressure, history of diabetes and Gensini score, the incidence of MACEs was 2.45 times higher in the high HbA1c/ApoA-1 group than in the low HbA1c/ApoA-1 group (95%CI 1.16-5.18, P=0.019). There was no significant difference in all-cause mortality between the high and low HbA1c/ApoA-1 groups (P=1.000). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that patients in the high HbA1c/ApoA-1 group had the highest risk of MACEs, while patients in the low HbA1c/ApoA-1 group had the lowest risk of MACEs (P<0.01). Spearman rank correlation analysis showed that HbA1/ApoA-1 ratio was positively correlated with Gensini score in ACS patients (r=0.274, P<0.01). Conclusion: High HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio was an independent risk factor for MACEs in ACS patients. Patients with high HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio had more severe coronary artery disease lesions. HbA1c/ApoA-1 ratio may be used as a potential risk stratification biomarker for ACS patients, it might be useful for the early identification of high-risk population and for predicting the incidence of MACEs among ACS patients.
Aged
;
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnosis*
;
Apolipoprotein A-I/analysis*
;
Biomarkers/analysis*
;
Glycated Hemoglobin/analysis*
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Predictive Value of Tests
3.Atypical manifestations of acute coronary syndrome - throat discomfort: a multi-center observational study.
Yanqing FANG ; Xiaoting CHENG ; Wenhui PENG ; Xueying CHEN ; Chunping TANG ; Qiusheng HUANG ; Sihai WU ; Yibo HUANG ; Fanglu CHI ; Matthew R NAUNHEIM ; Huawei LI ; Bing CHEN ; Yilai SHU
Frontiers of Medicine 2022;16(4):651-658
To present the clinical characteristics and the misdiagnosis rate of acute coronary syndrome manifested primarily as throat discomfort, we conducted a multicentric and retrospective study in the cardiology and otorhinolaryngology departments. Records of patients with primary complaint of throat discomfort, absence of chest pain at onset, and an ultimate diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome, as well as patients with pharyngitis (as controls) were collected from May 2015 to April 2016. The patients' main manifestations were compared. Logistic regression results showed that chest tightness, dyspnea, perspiring, and exertional throat symptoms were significantly associated with acute coronary syndrome, with odds ratios of 8.3 (95% CI 2.2-31.5), 10.9 (95% CI 1.8-66.9), 25.4 (95% CI 3.6-179.9), and 81.2 (95% CI 13.0-506.7). A total of 25 (56.82%) out of 44 acute coronary syndrome patients, who were first admitted to the otorhinolaryngology department, were misdiagnosed, with a 12% (3/25) mortality rate. Throat discomfort can be the principal manifestation of acute coronary syndrome. Such patients exhibit high misdiagnosis and mortality rates. Exertional throat symptoms, chest tightness, perspiring, and dyspnea were important indicators of acute coronary syndrome in patients whose main complaint was throat discomfort. The awareness of this condition will result in prompt diagnosis and reduce morbidity and mortality.
Acute Coronary Syndrome/etiology*
;
Dyspnea/etiology*
;
Humans
;
Pharyngitis/diagnosis*
;
Pharynx
;
Retrospective Studies
4.Clinical characteristics of patients with the de Winter electrocardiogram pattern.
Li LIU ; Jie TIAN ; Aihua WANG ; Shuang YANG ; Xiaodan XU ; Zijun CHEN
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2020;45(12):1431-1436
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the electrocardiogram manifestations and clinical characteristics of patients with the de Winter electrocardiogram pattern.
METHODS:
This retrospective study was performed on acute coronary syndrome (ACS), patients with culprit lesion in left anterior descending branch (LAD), who admitted to Yongchuan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from August 2017 to October 2018. Patients were categorized into those with or without the de Winter electrocardiogram pattern. The characteristics of de Winter electrocardiogram were analyzed by the clinical data of the patients.
RESULTS:
Among 230 patients with left anterior descending branch lesion, 14 (6%) had the de Winter electrocardiogram pattern. Compared with the control group, patients with de Winter electrocardiogram pattern were younger [(53.86±10.26) years old vs (67.20± 11.60) years old
CONCLUSIONS
The de Winter electrocardiogram pattern syndrome in patients with acute chest pain mostly indicates that the left anterior descending or the diagonal branch is subtotal or completely occluded, which is a special ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction equivalent and should attract the clinicians' extensive attention.
Acute Coronary Syndrome/diagnosis*
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Coronary Angiography
;
Electrocardiography
;
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction
5.A Case of Zaltoprofen Induced Kounis Syndrome
Seong You LEE ; Won Young SUNG ; Jang Young LEE ; Sang Won SEO ; Won Suk LEE
Journal of The Korean Society of Clinical Toxicology 2019;17(1):32-37
Kounis syndrome is defined as the occurrence of acute coronary syndrome associated with vasoactive mediators, such as histamines in the setting of hypersensitivity and allergic reactions or anaphylactic insults. The condition can be caused by various drugs, foods, or environmental factors that cause allergic reactions. A 35-year-old male visited the emergency room with anaphylaxis accompanied by chest pain approximately 20 minutes after taking zaltoprofen, a nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug. After acute treatment for the anaphylaxis, the patient was stabilized and all symptoms disappeared, but the ischemic changes in the electrocardiogram and elevation of the cardiac enzymes were observed. The emergency cardiac angiography and echocardiography were all normal. The allergic reaction of this patient to zaltoprofen was believed to cause a temporary coronary arterial vasospasm, inducing Type 1 Kounis syndrome. Thus far, there have been case reports of Kounis syndrome caused by a range of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, but there are no reports of the condition being caused by zaltoprofen. According to the pathophysiology, both cardiac and allergic symptoms must be solved simultaneously, so rapid treatment and diagnosis are needed. Doctors treating acute allergic reactions and anaphylaxis patients must check the cardiovascular symptoms thoroughly and consider the possibility of Kounis syndrome.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
;
Adult
;
Anaphylaxis
;
Angiography
;
Chest Pain
;
Diagnosis
;
Echocardiography
;
Electrocardiography
;
Emergencies
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Humans
;
Hypersensitivity
;
Male
6.Comparison of acute phase reactant levels of Kawasaki disease patients who visited with less than 5 days duration of fever and with 5 days or longer
Hyun Jeong DO ; Jin Hee JEONG ; Dong Hoon KIM ; Tae Yun KIM ; Changwoo KANG ; Soo Hoon LEE ; Sang Bong LEE
Pediatric Emergency Medicine Journal 2019;6(1):11-16
PURPOSE: Kawasaki disease (KD) is a common, acute systemic vasculitis in children. Acute phase reactants (APRs) have been used to assist diagnosis, and to predict outcome in children with KD. However, it remains unknown on levels of APRs depending on duration of fever. We aimed to compare APR levels of children with KD who visited with < 5 days duration of fever and with ≥ 5 days. METHODS: Children (≤ 15 years) with complete KD who visited the emergency department were enrolled from March 2012 through February 2018. The children were divided into the early (fever < 5 days) and late (fever ≥ 5 days) presenters. The baseline characteristics, APR levels, such as platelet count, and outcomes were compared between the 2 groups. RESULTS: A total of 145 children with complete KD were enrolled. Median age was 27.0 (interquartile range [IQR], 12.0–46.5) months, and boys accounted for 60.0%. The early presenters (63 [43.4%]) had a younger age (17.0 [IQR, 7.0–45.0] vs. 32.5 [IQR, 14.0–48.0] months; P = 0.006), shorter duration of fever (3.0 [IQR, 2.0–4.0] vs. 6.0 [IQR, 5.0–7.0] days; P < 0.001), and a lower platelet count (336.7 ± 105.2 [× 10³/µL] vs. 381.6 ± 121.8 [× 10³/µL], P = 0.02) than the late presenters. The other APR levels, and frequency of resistance to intravenous immunoglobulin and coronary artery abnormalities showed no differences between the 2 groups. CONCLUSION: Children with KD who visited with < 5 days duration of fever had a lower platelet count compared to those with ≥ 5 days. No differences were found in the other APR levels and the outcomes. It may be necessary to consider the differences in APR levels depending on duration of fever when treating children with KD.
Acute-Phase Proteins
;
Blood Platelets
;
C-Reactive Protein
;
Child
;
Coronary Vessels
;
Diagnosis
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Fever
;
Humans
;
Immunoglobulins
;
Leukocyte Count
;
Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome
;
Platelet Count
;
Systemic Vasculitis
7.Evaluation of the Patterns of Non-Adherence to Anti-Platelet Regimens in Stented Patients Bleeding Score for Predicting the Long-term Out-of-hospital Bleeding Risk in Chinese Patients after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.
Xue-Yan ZHAO ; Jian-Xin LI ; Xiao-Fang TANG ; Jing-Jing XU ; Ying SONG ; Lin JIANG ; Jue CHEN ; Lei SONG ; Li-Jian GAO ; Zhan GAO ; Shu-Bin QIAO ; Yue-Jin YANG ; Run-Lin GAO ; Bo XU ; Jin-Qing YUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2018;131(12):1406-1411
BackgroundThe Patterns of Non-Adherence to Anti-Platelet Regimens in Stented Patients (PARIS) bleeding score is a novel score for predicting the out-of-hospital bleeding risk after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, whether this score has the same value in non-European and American populations is unclear. This study aimed to assess the PARIS bleeding score's predictive value of bleeding in patients after PCI in the Chinese population.
MethodsWe performed a prospective, observational study of 10,724 patients who underwent PCI from January to December 2013, in Fuwai Hospital, China. We defined the primary end point as major bleeding (MB) according to Bleeding Academic Research Consortium definition criteria including Type 2, 3, or 5. The predictive value of the PARIS bleeding score was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve.
ResultsOf 9782 patients, 245 (2.50%) MB events occurred during the 2 years of follow-up. The PARIS bleeding score was significantly higher in the MB group than that of non-MB group (4.00 [3.00, 5.00] vs. 3.00 [2.00, 5.00], Z = 3.71, P < 0.001). According to risk stratification of the PARIS bleeding score, the bleeding risk in the intermediate- and high-risk groups was 1.50 times (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.50; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.160-1.950; P = 0.002) and 2.27 times higher (HR: 2.27; 95% CI: 1.320-3.900; P = 0.003) than that in the low-risk group. The PARIS bleeding score showed a moderate predictive value for MB in the overall population (AUROC: 0.568, 95% CI: 0.532-0.605; P < 0.001) and acute coronary syndrome (ACS) subgroup (AUROC: 0.578, 95% CI: 0.530-0.626; P = 0.001) and tended to be predictive in the non-ACS subgroup (AUROC: 0.556, 95% CI: 0.501-0.611; P = 0.054).
ConclusionThe PARIS bleeding score shows good clinical value for risk stratification and has a significant, but relatively limited, prognostic value for out-of-hospital bleeding in the Chinese population after PCI.
Acute Coronary Syndrome ; pathology ; surgery ; Aged ; Blood Platelets ; physiology ; China ; Female ; Hemorrhage ; diagnosis ; prevention & control ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Percutaneous Coronary Intervention ; methods ; Prognosis ; Prospective Studies
8.Prognostic significance of non-chest pain symptoms in patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction.
Inna KIM ; Min Chul KIM ; Keun Ho PARK ; Doo Sun SIM ; Young Joon HONG ; Ju Han KIM ; Myung Ho JEONG ; Jeong Gwan CHO ; Jong Chun PARK ; Myeong Chan CHO ; Jong Jin KIM ; Young Jo KIM ; Youngkeun AHN
The Korean Journal of Internal Medicine 2018;33(6):1111-1118
BACKGROUND/AIMS: Chest pain is an essential symptom in the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome (ACS). One-third of patients with ACS present atypically, which can influence their receiving timely lifesaving therapy. METHODS: A total of 617 NSTEMI patients from the Korea Acute MI Registry (KAMIR) and the Korea Working Group on MI (KorMI) databases were analyzed. The study population was divided into two groups by symptoms at presentation (typical symptoms group, 128; atypical symptoms groups, 128). RESULTS: In this study population, 23% of patients presented without chest pain. After propensity score matching, the contact-to-device time (2,618 ± 381 minutes vs. 1,739 ± 241 minutes, p = 0.050), the symptoms-to-balloon time (3,426 ± 389 minutes vs. 2,366 ± 255 minutes, p = 0.024), and the door-to-balloon time (2,339 ± 380 minutes vs. 1,544 ± 244 minutes, p = 0.002) were significantly higher in the patients with atypical symptoms than in those with typical symptoms, respectively. Atypical symptoms were an independent predictor for 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 2.820; 95% confidence interval, 1.058 to 7.515; p = 0.038). The Kaplan-Meier estimates showed higher risk for 12-month mortality in patients with atypical symptoms (p = 0.048) and no significant difference for 12-month major adverse cardiac events (p = 0.487). CONCLUSIONS: Acute myocardial infarction patients with atypical symptoms were not rare in clinical practice and showed a high risk of delayed reperfusion therapy. After imbalance between the groups was minimized by use of propensity score matching, patients who presented atypically had a high mortality rate.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
;
Chest Pain
;
Diagnosis
;
Humans
;
Korea
;
Mortality
;
Myocardial Infarction*
;
Propensity Score
;
Reperfusion
9.Takotsubo Syndrome Resulting from Traumatic Multiple Rib Fractures.
Yoo Jin JUNG ; Su Wan KIM ; Joon Hyouk CHOI
Journal of Acute Care Surgery 2018;8(1):30-32
Takotsubo syndrome, also known as stress-induced cardiomyopathy, is a transient cardiac syndrome that mimics acute coronary syndrome. This condition should be suspected if the patient presents with chest pain after intense emotional stress, accompanied by an abnormal electrocardiogram, elevated levels of myocardial enzymes, and left ventricular apical akinesia on echocardiography. Coronary angiography should be performed for prompt differentiation from ischemic heart disease. A 77-year-old female presented with traumatic multiple fractures of the left sixth and seventh ribs resulting from a violent strike. Clinical findings of physical examination, laboratory tests, electrocardiogram, and coronary angiography provided the diagnosis of Takotsubo syndrome. We performed conservative management including pain control, and the patient was uneventfully discharged seven days after admission.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
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Aged
;
Cardiomyopathies
;
Chest Pain
;
Coronary Angiography
;
Diagnosis
;
Echocardiography
;
Electrocardiography
;
Female
;
Fractures, Multiple
;
Humans
;
Myocardial Ischemia
;
Physical Examination
;
Rib Fractures*
;
Ribs*
;
Stress, Psychological
;
Strikes, Employee
;
Takotsubo Cardiomyopathy*
10.Evaluation of CRUSADE and ACUITY-HORIZONS Scores for Predicting Long-term Out-of-Hospital Bleeding after Percutaneous Coronary Interventions.
Xue-Yan ZHAO ; Jian-Xin LI ; Xiao-Fang TANG ; Ying XIAN ; Jing-Jing XU ; Ying SONG ; Lin JIANG ; Lian-Jun XU ; Jue CHEN ; Yin ZHANG ; Lei SONG ; Li-Jian GAO ; Zhan GAO ; Jun ZHANG ; Yuan WU ; Shu-Bin QIAO ; Yue-Jin YANG ; Run-Lin GAO ; Bo XU ; Jin-Qing YUAN
Chinese Medical Journal 2018;131(3):262-267
BACKGROUND:
There is scanty evidence concerning the ability of Can Rapid Risk Stratification of Unstable Angina Patients Suppress Adverse Outcomes with Early Implementation of the ACC/AHA Guidelines (CRUSADE) and Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage Strategy and Harmonizing Outcomes with Revascularization and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction (ACUITY-HORIZONS) scores to predict out-of-hospital bleeding risk after percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs) with drug-eluting stents (DES) in patients receiving dual antiplatelet therapy. We aimed to assess and compare the long-term prognostic value of these scores regarding out-of-hospital bleeding risk in such patients.
METHODS:
We performed a prospective observational study of 10,724 patients undergoing PCI between January and December 2013 in Fuwai Hospital, China. All patients were followed up for 2 years and evaluated through the Fuwai Hospital Follow-up Center. Major bleeding was defined as Types 2, 3, and 5 according to Bleeding Academic Research Consortium Definition criteria.
RESULTS:
During a 2-year follow-up, 245 of 9782 patients (2.5%) had major bleeding (MB). CRUSADE (21.00 [12.00, 29.75] vs. 18.00 [11.00, 26.00], P < 0.001) and ACUITY-HORIZONS (9.00 [3.00, 14.00] vs. 6.00 [3.00, 12.00], P < 0.001) risk scores were both significantly higher in the MB than non-MB groups. Both scores showed a moderate predictive value for MB in the whole study cohort (area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve [AUROC], 0.565; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.529-0.601, P = 0.001; AUROC, 0.566; 95% CI, 0.529-0.603, P < 0.001, respectively) and in the acute coronary syndrome (ACS) subgroup (AUROC: 0.579, 95% CI: 0.531-0.627, P = 0.001; AUROC, 0.591; 95% CI, 0.544-0.638, P < 0.001, respectively). However, neither score was a significant predictor in the non-ACS subgroup (P > 0.05). The value of CRUSADE and ACUITY-HORIZONS scores did not differ significantly (P > 0.05) in the whole cohort, ACS subgroup, or non-ACS subgroup.
CONCLUSIONS
CRUSADE and ACUITY-HORIZONS scores showed statistically significant but relatively limited long-term prognostic value for out-of-hospital MB after PCI with DES in a cohort of Chinese patients. The value of CRUSADE and ACUITY-HORIZONS scores did not differ significantly (P > 0.05) in the whole cohort, ACS subgroup, or non-ACS subgroup.
Acute Coronary Syndrome
;
therapy
;
Aged
;
Angina, Unstable
;
therapy
;
Drug-Eluting Stents
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Myocardial Infarction
;
therapy
;
Percutaneous Coronary Intervention
;
Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors
;
adverse effects
;
Postoperative Hemorrhage
;
chemically induced
;
diagnosis
;
epidemiology
;
surgery
;
Practice Guidelines as Topic
;
Prognosis
;
Prospective Studies
;
Research Design
;
Risk
;
Risk Assessment
;
Treatment Outcome

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