Objective: To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates. Methods: The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism. Results: During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model. Conclusion Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.

Objective:To investigate the role of Pink1/Parkin-induced mitophagy in acute lung injury of exertional heat stroke rats.Methods:Sixty SD rats were randomly divided into four groups, including normal group (CON group), normal Parkin overexpression group (CON+Parkin group), heat stroke group (EHS group) and heat stroke Parkin overexpression group (EHS+Parkin group), with fifteen rats in each group. The rat model of exertional heat stroke was established and the survival curve was drawn. Pulmonary coefficient and pulmonary capillary permeability were detected. HE staining was used to observe the pathological changes of lung tissue. ELISA was used to detect the contents of IL-6, IL-1β, TNF-α and ROS in lung tissue; immunohistochemistry was used to observe apoptosis in lung tissue; Western blot was used to determine the expression of Pink1, Parkin, P62 and LC3 in rat lung tissue, and the LC3II/LC3I ratio was calculated. Single factor multi-level group comparison was performed by single factor analysis of variance, SNK-q method was used to further pairwise comparison between groups.Results:Compared with the normal group, the survival rate of EHS group was decreased ( P<0.001), lung coefficient and pulmonary vascular permeability were increased [(4.39±0.42), (33.38±8.29) μg/g, P<0.05)], lung tissue was exudative and solid, the levels of inflammatory factors IL-6, IL-1β, TNF-α and ROS were significantly increased[(34.31±5.34) pg/mL, (34.03±4.78) pg/mL, (91.64±8.16) pg/mL, (259.01±89.17) U/mg, P<0.05)], and apoptosis was increased. Western and immunohistochemistry results showed that the expressions of Pink1 and Parkin were decreased, co-location of Pink1and Parkin was attenuated, LC3II/LC3I were decreased, and P62 expression was increased. Compared with the EHS group, the survival rate of EHS+Parkin group was significantly increased ( P<0.05), lung coefficient and pulmonary vascular permeability were decreased [(3.83±0.62), (22.49±7.90) μg/g, P<0.05)], exudation and consolidation and other pathological changes were significantly reduced, and the levels of the above inflammatory factors and ROS were significantly decreased [(14.09±3.24) pg/mL, (26.94±2.11) pg/mL、(63.35±11.62) pg/mL, (161.13±26.31) U/mg, P<0.05]. Lung tissue apoptosis was reduced. The co-location of Pink1and Parkin、Parkin expression and LC3II/LC3I ratio were increased ( P<0.05), P62 expression was decreased( P<0.05), while Pink1 expression was not significant different (q=0.75). There was no difference between normal group and normal Parkin overexpression group (q=0.95). Conclusion:Activation of Pink1/Parkin-induced mitophagy can alleviate the acute lung injury in exertional heat stroke rats.

Objective To investigate the presence of pepsin and trypsin in the middle ear effusion of children with acute suppurative otitis media(ASOM).Methods Middle ear effusion samples were collected from 71 children with ASOM at Children's Hospital of Xuzhou.According to the characteristics of the middle ear effusions,the effu-sion was divided into serous and mucous types.The pH testing,Western Blotting(WB),and enzyme-linked immu-nosorbent assay(ELISA)were performed.Results ① There were 49.29％(35/71)of ASOM patients had a posi-tive RSI score(＞13).② The positive rate of pepsin in ASOM children was 49.29％(35/71),and the positive rate of trypsin was 42.25％(30/71).In addition,the positive rate of pepsin in RSI-positive children was 100％(35/35),and the positive rate of trypsin was 60％(21/35).There was no significant difference in the positive rate of pepsin and trypsin between serous and mucous middle ear effusion(P＞0.05).③ The pepsin concentration was 47.80(39.80,69.30)ng/ml and the trypsin concentration was 291.87±20.45 ng/ml in middle ear effusion of chil-dren with ASOM who had a positive WB test,and the trypsin concentration was significantly higher than pepsin(P＜0.05).There was no significant difference between the pepsin and the trypsin concentrations in serous and mu-cous middle ear effusion(P＞0.05).④ The pH value of mucous middle ear effusion was 7.39±0.28,and the pH value of serous middle ear effusion was 7.36±0.26.There was no significant difference between the pH value in se-rous and mucous middle ear effusion(P＞0.05).Conclusion The detection rates of pepsin and trypsin in middle ear effusion of children with ASOM were high which has important diagnostic value for children with ASOM combined with LPRD.

Objective: To describe the sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District and to analyze its correlation with the incidence of infectious diseases and associated lead or lag times, so as,to provide a scientific basis for the health and education departments to take measures. Methods: The regularity and symptom composition of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District from the 2010-2017 were described. The Joinpoint model was applied to analyze the changing trend of absenteeism. And the rate of school sickness absenteeism and incidences of 7 acute infectious diseases were compared through visual analysis. The time lagged correlation coefficients and Granger causality tests were applied to quantitatively analyze the correlation and lead/lag patterns. Results: The average rate of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District, Shanghai was 0.27%. Since the 2012 academic year, the overall rate of sickness absenteeism has been on the rise. Fever was the most common symptom of absenteeism (47.49%). The trend of sickness absenteeism rate was mainly consistent with the incidence of influenza, and showed a one way Granger causality. The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient was obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year with a value of 0.43 (95% CI =0.25-0.58). The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient between the rate of sickness absenteeism with fever and other respiratory symptoms and the incidence of influenza was also obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year and the maximum correlation coefficient was 0.50(95% CI =0.33-0.65). Conclusion The sickness absenteeism rate in primary and secondary school students is correlated to influenza incidence, and it has potential application value in supplementing early warning of influenza activities in the community.

Objective To optimize the culture and fermentation conditions of the Penicillium aurantiocandidum Z12 strain, a fungal strain with molluscicidal actions against Oncomelania hupensis, so as to provide the basis for the research and development of molluscicidal active substances from the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain and its fermentation broth and large-scale fermentation. Methods The carbon source, nitrogen source and mineral salts were identified in the optimal culture medium for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain with a single-factor experiment to determine the best fermentation condition for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain. Factors that significantly affected the growth of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain were identified using the Plackett-Burman design, and the best range of each factor was determined using the steepest climb test. Response surface analyses of temperature, pH value, seeding amount and liquid-filling quantity were performed using the Box-Behnken design to create a regression model for fermentation of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain to identify the optimal culture medium. Results Single-factor experiment preliminarily identified the best culture medium and conditions for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain as follows: sucrose as the carbon source at approximately 20 g/L, tryptone as the nitrogen source at approximately 5 g/L, K₂HPO₄ as the mineral salt at approximately 5 g/L, initial pH at approximately 8, temperature at approximately 28 °C, seeding amount at approximately 6%, and liquid-filling quantity at approximately 50 mL/100 mL. Plackett-Burman design showed that factors that significantly affected the growth of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain included temperature (t = −5.28, P < 0.05), seeding amount (t = 5.22, P < 0.05), pH (t = −4.30, P < 0.05) and liquid-filling quantity (t = −4.39, P < 0.05). Steepest climb test showed the highest mycelial growth at pH of 7.5, seeding amount of 8%, and liquid-filling quantity of 40 mL/100 mL, and this condition was selected as the central point of response surface analysis for the subsequent optimization of fermentation conditions. Response surface analyses using the Box-Behnken design showed that the optimal conditions for fermentation of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain included sucrose at 15 g/L, tryptone at 5 g/L, K₂HPO₄ at 5 g/L, temperature at 28.2 °C, pH at 7.5, seeding amount at 10%, and liquid-filling quantity at 35.8 mL/100.0 mL, resulting in 0.132 g yield of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain. Conclusion The optimal culture condition for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain has been identified, and the optimized culture medium and fermentation condition may effectively improve the fermentation yield of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the value of maximal rate of left ventricular pressure (dp/dtmax) in evaluating the changes of cardiac function before and after heart rate reduction in patients with sepsis-induced cardiomyopathy (SIC). METHODS: A single-center, prospective randomized controlled study was conducted. Adult patients with sepsis/septic shock admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of Tianjin Third Central Hospital from April 1, 2020 to February 28, 2022 were enrolled. Speckle tracking echocardiography (STE) and pulse indication continuous cardiac output (PiCCO) monitoring were performed immediately after the completion of the 1 h-Bundle therapy. The patients with heart rate over 100 beats/minutes were selected and randomly divided into esmolol group and regular treatment group, 55 cases in each group. All patients underwent STE and PiCCO monitoring at 6, 24 and 48 hours after admission in ICU and calculated acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA). Primary outcome measure: change in dp/dtmax after reducing heart rate by esmolol. Secondary outcome measures: correlation between dp/dtmax and global longitudinal strain (GLS); changes of vasoactive drug dosage, oxygen delivery (DO₂), oxygen consumption (VO₂) and stroke volume (SV) after the administration of esmolol; proportion of heart rate reaching the target after the administration of esmolol; 28-day and 90-day mortality in two groups. RESULTS: Baseline data on age, gender, body mass index, SOFA score, APACHE II score, heart rate, mean arterial pressure, lactic acid, 24-hour fluid balance, sepsis etiology and prior comorbidities were similar between esmolol group and regular treatment group, there were no significant differences between the two groups. All SIC patients achieved the target heart rate after 24 hours of esmolol treatment. Compared with regular treatment group, parameters reflecting myocardial contraction such as GLS, global ejection fraction (GEF) and dp/dtmax were significantly increased in esmolol group [GLS: (-12.55±4.61)% vs. (-10.73±4.82)%, GEF: (27.33±4.62)% vs. (24.18±5.35)%, dp/dtmax (mmHg/s): 1 312.1±312.4 vs. 1 140.9±301.0, all P < 0.05], and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) significantly decreased [μg/L: 1 364.52 (754.18, 2 389.17) vs. 3 508.85 (1 433.21, 6 988.12), P < 0.05], DO₂ and SV were significantly increased [DO₂ (mL×min^-1×m^-2): 647.69±100.89 vs. 610.31±78.56, SV (mL): 49.97±14.71 vs. 42.79±15.77, both P < 0.05]. The system vascular resistance index (SVRI) in esmolol group was significantly higher than that in regular treatment group (kPa×s×L^-1: 287.71±66.32 vs. 251.17±78.21, P < 0.05), even when the dosage of norepinephrine was similar between the two groups. Pearson correlation analysis showed that dp/dtmax was negatively correlated with GLS in SIC patients at 24 hours and 48 hours after ICU admission (r values were -0.916 and -0.935, respectively, both P < 0.05). Although there was no significant difference in 28-day mortality between esmolol group and regular treatment group [30.9% (17/55) vs. 49.1% (27/55), χ² = 3.788, P = 0.052], the rate of esmolol use in patients who died within 28 days was lower than that in patients who survived [38.6% (17/44) vs. 57.6% (38/66), χ² = 3.788, P = 0.040]. In addition, esmolol has no effect on the 90-day mortality of patients. Logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for SOFA score and DO₂ factors, patients who used esmolol had a significantly lower risk of 28-day mortality compared with patients who did not use esmolol [odds ratio (OR) = 2.700, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.038-7.023, P = 0.042]. CONCLUSIONS dp/dtmax in PiCCO parameter can be used as a bedside indicator to evaluate cardiac function in SIC patients due to its simplicity and ease of operation. Esmolol control of heart rate in SIC patients can improve cardiac function and reduce short-term mortality.
Adult ; Humans ; Prospective Studies ; Ventricular Pressure ; Sepsis/complications* ; Shock, Septic/drug therapy* ; Cardiomyopathies/etiology* ; Prognosis

Objective To investigate the effect of Guizhi Fuling Capsule on NF-κB and MAPK signaling pathway in lipopolysaccharide(LPS)-induced rat endometritis model.Methods The rats were randomly divided into 6 groups according to body weight,namely sham-operation group,model group,positive group(dexamethasone,2.5 mg·kg-1),Guizhi Fuling Capsule high-dose,medium-dose and low-dose groups(0.54,0.27,0.14 g·kg-1),with 10 rats in each group.The sham operation group and the model group were given 0.5%CMC-Na by gavage,and the other groups were given corresponding drugs by gavage once a day for 7 consecutive days.One hour after the last administration,the animals were anesthetized by intraperitoneal injection of 10%chloral hydrate.The rats in the sham operation group only underwent laparotomy and abdominal closure.The left uterus of the rats in the other groups was scratched and injected with a syringe(1.0 μg·μL-1)LPS normal saline solution 0.25 mL.24 hours after LPS injection,the uterine tissues of rats were collected and the pathological changes and MPO,TNF-α,IL-1β,IL-6 were measured in uterine tissues.The expression levels of NF-κB p65,IκBα,ERK,p38 and their phosphorylated proteins were measured in uterine tissues.Results Compared with sham operation group,histopathological score,MPO,TNF-α,IL-1β and IL-6 levels in model group were significantly increased(P<0.01),and NF-κBp65,IκBα,ERK,p38 protein phosphorylation levels were significantly increased(P<0.01).Compared with model group,Guizhi Fuling capsule significantly decreased pathological score of uterus,TNF-α,IL-1β,and IL-6 levels(P<0.01),and significantly decreased NF-κBp65,IκBα,ERK,p38 protein phosphorylation levels(P<0.01).Conclusion Guizhi Fuling capsule plays an anti-inflammatory role in endometritis by inhibiting the transmission of NF-κB and MAPK signaling pathways and inhibiting the secretion of inflammatory factors IL-1β,TNF-α and IL-6 in uterine tissue.

Objective:To explore the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of emerging snail-infested sites in different environmental types in Yunnan Province.Methods:The data of snail-infested sites in Yunnan Province from 1950 to 2014 (from Yunnan Institute for Endemic Diseases Control and Prevention), were collected and sorted out, a spatial and temporal database on the distribution of emerging snail-infested sites were established, and the changes in the spatial and temporal distribution of emerging snail-infested sites in different environments types (ditches, tangerines, paddy fields, dry land, beaches and other environments) were studied by using spatial autocorrelation analysis and scanning statistics analysis.Results:From 1950 to 2014, the annual number of emerging snail-infested sites in Yunnan Province reached a peak (1 730) in 1955 and then showed a fluctuating downward trend. From 1993 to 2014, the number of emerging snail-infested sites remained below 100, and increased to 160 and 131, respectively, in 2004 and 2013. The longest mean duration of 43.85 years was recorded for the beaches environment for emerging snail-infested sites, followed by the paddy fields environment with a mean duration of 37.01 years, and the shortest mean duration of 20.44 years for the tangerines environment. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was a positive spatial correlation between the duration of emerging snail-infested sites of different environmental types (global Moran's I ranged from 0.43 to 0.64, P < 0.05). Scanning statistics analysis showed that emerging snail-infested sites of different environmental types had spatial and temporal aggregation ( P < 0.001), with 3- 6 clusters of statistically significant aggregation detected respectively. Conclusion:The emerging snail-infested sites in different environments types in Yunnan Province have spatial and temporal aggregation, and it is necessary to strengthen monitoring and prevention and control of the aggregation areas of different environment types to prevent further spread of the snail.

Objective:To study the evaluation method of protein energy wasting (PEW) in maintenance hemodialysis patients.Methods:A total of 166 maintenance hemodialysis patients were selected. Their medical records, physical indicators, as well as NS2002, PG-SGA, and MUST nutrition scale scores were also collected. The patients were divided into PEW and non-PEW groups according to whether PEW occurred or not, and the differences in each index between the two groups were compared to analyze the diagnostic efficacy of each index and nutrition score scale results on the occurrence of PEW.Results:The differences in body mass, body mass index(BMI), body surface area, abdominal circumference, triceps skinfold thickness, upper arm circumference, and calf circumference between the PEW and non-PEW groups were statistically significant(all P<0.05). The diagnostic efficacy of a single physical index or nutrition score for PEW was limited. A simplified formula for the PEW risk was obtained by logistic model analysis. The formula had a sensitivity of 67.7% and a specificity of 94.4% for the diagnosis of PEW, as analyzed by the subject's working characteristic curve. Conclusions:Four indicators, including abdominal circumference, primary hand grip strength, BMI, and upper arm circumference, can be combined to comprehensively assess the presence of PEW to improve the diagnostic efficacy of the occurrence of malnutrition in maintenance hemodialysis patients.

Objective:To explore the main risk factors of protein energy expenditure (PEW) in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients.Methods:According to diagnostic criteria, 166 patients with MHD were divided into PEW group and control group. The general clinical data, physical indexes, and physical and chemical analysis results of all patients was collected, and the differences in indexes between the two groups of patients were compared. Logistic analysis was used to find the risk factors of MHD combined with PEW.Results:There were statistically significant differences in blood pressure, protein intake, vitamin intake, and uric acid, creatinine, blood calcium levels between the PEW group and the control group (all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that blood pressure, daily sleep time, whether to take vitamins, body mass index (BMI), creatinine and parathyroid hormone (PTH) were the risk factors of MHD combined with PEW. Conclusions:In clinical practice, more attention should be paid to controlling blood pressure, improving sleep, and supplementing vitamins in patients with MHD.