1.Risk factors for concurrent hepatic hydrothorax before intervention in primary liver cancer and construction of a nomogram prediction model
Yuanzhen WANG ; Renhai TIAN ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Lixian CHANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(1):75-83
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for hepatic hydrothorax (HH) before intervention for primary hepatic carcinoma (PHC), and to construct and assess the nomogram risk prediction model. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 353 hospitalized patients who attended the Third People’s Hospital of Kunming for the first time from October 2012 to October 2021 and there diagnosed with PHC, and according to the presence or absence of HH, they were divided into HH group with 153 patients and non-HH group with 200 patients. General data and the data of initial clinical testing after admission were collected from all PHC patients. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. After the multicollinearity test was performed for the variables with statistical significance determined by the univariate analysis, the multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent influencing factors. The “rms” software package was used to construct a nomogram risk prediction model, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to assess the risk prediction model; the “Calibration Curves” software package was used to plot the calibration curve, and the “rmda” software package was used to plot the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve. ResultsAmong the 353 patients with PHC, there were 153 patients with HH, with a prevalence rate of 43.34%. Child-Pugh class B (odds ratio [OR]=2.652, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.050 — 6.698, P=0.039), Child-Pugh class C (OR=7.963, 95%CI: 1.046 — 60.632, P=0.045), total protein (OR=0.947, 95%CI: 0.914 — 0.981, P=0.003), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (OR=1.007, 95%CI: 1.001 — 1.014, P=0.025), and interleukin-2 (OR=0.801, 95%CI: 0.653 — 0.981, P=0.032) were independent influencing factors for HH before PHC intervention, and a nomogram risk prediction model was established based on these factors. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the model had a good degree of fitting (χ2=5.006, P=0.757), with an area under the ROC curve of 0.752 (95%CI: 0.701 — 0.803), a sensitivity of 78.40%, and a specificity of 63.50%. The calibration curve showed that the model had good consistency in predicting HH before PHC intervention, and the clinical decision curve and the clinical impact curve showed that the model had good clinical practicability within a certain threshold range. ConclusionChild-Pugh class, total protein, interleukin-2, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein are independent influencing factors for developing HH before PHC intervention, and the nomogram model established based on these factors can effectively predict the risk of developing HH.
2.Influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis
Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Weikun LI ; Zhijian DONG ; Lihua ZHANG ; Yijing CHENG ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(2):269-276
ObjectiveTo investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and to establish a predictive model. MethodsA total of 217 patients who were diagnosed with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis and were admitted to The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming l from January, 2019 to December, 2022 were enrolled, among whom 63 patients who were readmitted within at least 1 year and had no portal hypertension-related complications were enrolled as recompensation group, and 154 patients without recompensation were enrolled as control group. Related clinical data were collected, and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed for the factors that may affect the occurrence of recompensation. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed measurement data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed measurement data between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A binary Logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the influencing factors for recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive performance of the model. ResultsAmong the 217 patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, 63 (29.03%) had recompensation. There were significant differences between the recompensation group and the control group in HIV history (χ2=4.566, P=0.034), history of partial splenic embolism (χ2=6.687, P=0.014), Child-Pugh classification (χ2=11.978, P=0.003), grade of ascites (χ2=14.229, P<0.001), albumin (t=4.063, P<0.001), prealbumin (Z=-3.077, P=0.002), high-density lipoprotein (t=2.854, P=0.011), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (Z=-2.447, P=0.014), prothrombin time (Z=-2.441, P=0.015), carcinoembryonic antigen (Z=-2.113, P=0.035), alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (Z=-2.063, P=0.039), CA125 (Z=-2.270, P=0.023), TT3 (Z=-3.304, P<0.001), TT4 (Z=-2.221, P=0.026), CD45+ (Z=-2.278, P=0.023), interleukin-5 (Z=-2.845, P=0.004), tumor necrosis factor-α (Z=-2.176, P=0.030), and portal vein width (Z=-5.283, P=0.005). The multivariate analysis showed that history of partial splenic embolism (odds ratio [OR]=3.064, P=0.049), HIV history (OR=0.195, P=0.027), a small amount of ascites (OR=3.390, P=0.017), AFP (OR=1.003, P=0.004), and portal vein width (OR=0.600, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors for the occurrence of recompensation in patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis. The ROC curve analysis showed that HIV history, grade of ascites, history of partial splenic embolism, AFP, portal vein width, and the combined predictive model of these indices had an area under the ROC curve of 0.556, 0.641, 0.560, 0.589, 0.745, and 0.817, respectively. ConclusionFor patients with decompensated hepatitis C cirrhosis, those with a history of partial splenic embolism, a small amount of ascites, and an increase in AFP level are more likely to experience recompensation, while those with a history of HIV and an increase in portal vein width are less likely to experience recompensation.
3.Value of FibroScan, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio, S index, interleukin-6, and tumor necrosis factor-α in the diagnosis of HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B liver fibrosis
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Danqing XU ; Huan MU ; Chunyan MOU ; Lixian CHANG ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Hongyan WEI ; Li LIU ; Weikun LI ; Chunyun LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(4):670-676
ObjectiveTo investigate the value of noninvasive imaging detection (FibroScan), two serological models of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) score and S index, and two inflammatory factors of interleukin-6 (IL-6) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in predicting liver fibrosis in patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B (CHB), as well as the consistency of liver biopsy in pathological staging, and to provide early warning for early intervention of CHB. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for 131 HBeAg-positive CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy in The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming from January 2019 to December 2023. The results of liver biopsy were collected from all patients, and related examinations were performed before liver biopsy, including total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, platelet count, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, albumin, IL-6, TNF-α, liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and abdominal ultrasound. An analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. A Kappa analysis was used to investigate the consistency between LSM noninvasive histological staging and pathological staging based on liver biopsy, and the Spearman analysis was used to investigate the correlation between each variable and FibroScan in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis stage. The Logistic regression analysis was used to construct joint predictive factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the value of each indicator alone and the joint predictive model in the diagnosis of liver fibrosis, and the Delong test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve (AUC). ResultsIn the consistency check, inflammation degree based on liver biopsy had a Kappa value of 0.807 (P<0.001), and liver fibrosis degree based on liver biopsy had a Kappa value of 0.827 (P<0.001), suggesting that FibroScan noninvasive histological staging and liver biopsy showed good consistency in assessing inflammation degree and liver fibrosis stage. Age was positively correlated with LSM, GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α (all P<0.05), and GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α were positively correlated with LSM (all P<0.05). GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α were all independent risk factors for diagnosing significant liver fibrosis (≥S2) and progressive liver fibrosis (≥S3) (all P<0.05). As for each indicator alone, GPR score had the highest value in the diagnosis of significant liver fibrosis (≥S2), followed by S index, IL-6, and TNF-α, while S index had the highest value in the diagnosis of progressive liver fibrosis (≥S3), followed by GPR score, TNF-α, and IL-6. The joint model had a higher predictive value than each indicator alone (all P<0.05). ConclusionThere is a good consistency between FibroScan noninvasive histological staging and pathological staging based on liver biopsy. GPR score, S index, IL-6, and TNF-α are independent risk factors for evaluating different degree of liver fibrosis in CHB, and the combined prediction model established by them can better diagnose liver fibrosis.
4.Efficacy and safety of coblopasvir hydrochloride combined with sofosbuvir in treatment of patients with genotype 3 hepatitis C virus infection
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Huan MU ; Danqing XU ; Chunyan MOU ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Weikun LI ; Li LIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(6):1075-1082
ObjectiveTo investigate the efficacy and safety of the direct-acting antiviral agents coblopasvir hydrochloride/sofosbuvir (CLP/SOF) regimen used alone or in combination with ribavirin (RBV) in the treatment of patients with genotype 3 hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in terms of virologic response rate, liver function recovery, improvement in liver stiffness measurement (LSM), and adverse drug reactions, and to provide a reference for clinical medication. MethodsA total of 98 patients with genotype 3 HCV infection who attended The Third People’s Hospital of Kunming from January 2022 to December 2023 were enrolled, and according to the treatment method, the patients were divided into CLP/SOF+RBV treatment group with 55 patients and CLP/SOF treatment group with 43 patients. The patients were observed in terms of rapid virologic response at week 4 (RVR4), sustained virologic response (SVR), previous treatment experience, underlying diseases, laboratory and imaging indicators, and adverse reactions during treatment. The course of treatment was 12 weeks, and the patients were followed up for 12 weeks after drug withdrawal. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the Friedman test was used for comparison within each group at different time points, and the Bonferroni method was used for further comparison and correction of P value; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to investigate the influencing factors for SVR12. ResultsBefore treatment, there were significant differences between the CLP/SOF+RBV treatment group and the CLP/SOF treatment group in terms of LSM, total bilirubin (TBil), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), HCV genotype, and the presence or absence of liver cirrhosis and compensation (all P<0.05). The 98 patients with genotype 3 HCV infection had an RVR4 rate of 81.6% and an SVR12 rate of 93.9%. The patients with genotype 3a HCV infection had an RVR4 rate of 84.44% and an SVR12 rate of 97.78%, while the patients with genotype 3b HCV infection had an RVR4 rate of 79.25% and an SVR12 rate of 90.57%. There were significant differences in RVR4 and SVR12 rates between the patients without hepatocellular carcinoma and those with hepatocellular carcinoma, there was a significant difference in RVR4 rate between the patients without HIV infection and those with HIV infection, and there was a significant difference in SVR12 rate between the previously untreated patients and the treatment-experienced patients (all P<0.05). The univariate Logistic regression analysis showed that treatment history, hypertension, hepatocellular carcinoma, ascites, albumin (Alb), and platelet count were influencing factors for SVR12 (all P<0.05), and the multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that hepatocellular carcinoma (odds ratio=0.034, 95% confidence interval: 0.002 — 0.666, P=0.026) was an independent influencing factor for SVR12. After treatment with CLP/SOF combined with RBV or CLP/SOF alone, the patients with genotype 3 HCV infection showed gradual reductions in the liver function parameters of TBil, GGT, and alanine aminotransferase (all P<0.05) and a gradual increase in the level of Alb (P<0.05). As for renal function, there were no significant changes in blood urea nitrogen and creatinine after treatment (P>0.05). For the patients with or without liver cirrhosis, there was a significant reduction in LSM from baseline after treatment for 12 weeks (P<0.05). Among the 98 patients with genotype 3 HCV infection, 9 tested positive for HCV-RNA at 12 weeks after treatment, 2 showed no response during treatment, 4 showed virologic breakthrough, and 3 experienced recurrence. The overall incidence rate of adverse events during treatment was 17.35% for all patients. ConclusionCLP/SOF alone or in combination with RBV has a relatively high SVR rate in the treatment of genotype 3 HCV infection, with good tolerability and safety in patients during treatment, and therefore, it holds promise for clinical application.
5.Correlation between resilience,post-traumatic stress disorder and quality of life of front-line medical staff in public health emergencies
Bailu ZHU ; Huan LIU ; Qingling ZHONG ; Yuanzhen LI ; Xiufang HOU ; Xiubin TAO
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2024;26(1):43-47,52
Objective:To explore the correlation between post-traumatic stress disorder(PTSD),resilience and quality of life of front-line medical staff in public health emergencies.Methods:From Nov to Dec 2020,the medical staff of 4 COVID-19 designated hospitals in Wuhan were investigated with the general demographic questionnaire,10-item Connor-Davidson Resilience Scale,PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 and Simplify Qualify of Life Scale.Spearman correlation analysis and hierarchical regression analysis were used to investigate the correlation between PTSD,resilience and quality of life.Results:A total of 545 questionnaires were collected in this survey and the valid effective rate was 97.8% (533/545).The score of psychological resilience,PTSD and quality of life of medical staff were 26(20,30),17(8,25),and 20(18,23),respectively.And 13.1% (70/533)of medical staff had obvious PTSD symptoms.There were significant differences in the score of quality of life among medical staff with different genders,occupations and PTSD levels.Spearman correlation analysis results showed that the score of PTSD was negatively correlated with quality of life and psychological resilience(r=-0.488 and-0.464,P<0.01).The score of psychological resilience was positively correlated with the score of quality of life(r =0.578,P<0.01).Psychological resilience and PTSD were important predictors of quality of life,with an explanatory capacity of 37.0% .Conclusions:PTSD is a risk factor for quality of life,and psychological resilience is a protective factor for quality of life.In public health emergencies,improving psychological resilience,preventing and treating PTSD can improve the quality of life of medical staff.
6.Risk Prediction of SBP in Patients with Primary Liver Cancer Complicated with Ascites
Hongyan WEI ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Lixian CHANG ; Huan MU ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2024;45(3):133-140
Objective To explore the influencing factors of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis in patients with primary liver cancer complicated with ascites and establish a prediction model.Methods A total of 292 patients with primary liver cancer complicated with ascites who were hospitalized for the first time in the Third People's Hospital of Kunming from January 2012 to December 2021 were selected as the study objects.General data,etiological indicators,serological indicators and complications of these subjects were collected.Then they were divided into the infection group(n = 114)and the control group(n = 178)according to whether spontaneous bacterial peritonitis(SBP)was complicated.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to analyze the influencing factors of SBP in patients with primary liver cancer complicated with ascites.Finally,ROC curves were constructed to more intuitively represent the individual and combined predictive value of these targets.Results Am-ong 292 hepatocellular carcinoma patients with ascites,there were 235 males(80.48%)and 57 females(19.52%),among which 114 patients with SBP were in the infection group and 178 patients without SBP were in the control group.The results of univariate analysis showed that compared with the control group,the levels of WBC,neutrophils,prothrombin time,total bilirubin,albumin,CD3,CD4,CD8,CD4/CD8 ratio,CD19 procalcitonin,serum amyloid A,hypersensitive C-reactive protein,sodium,chlorine,alcohol consumption,shock,hepatorenal syndrome,hepatic encephalopathy,massive ascites in the infection group had statistically significant difference(P<0.05).Multi-factor analysis revealed that CD8,CD4/CD8 ratio were protective factors for SBP in patients with liver cancer ascites,CD19,procalcitonin,serum amyloid A,and massive ascites were risk factors for SBP in patients with ascites.ROC curve construction showed that serum amyloid A,CD8,CD4/CD8 ratio,CD19,procalcitonin,massive ascites area under curve(AUC)of massive ascites were 0.724,0.637,0.653,0.820,0.705,0.686,respectively.Conclusion CD8,CD4/CD8 ratio,CD19,procalcitonin,serum amyloid A,and a large volume of ascites are significant factors contributing to the development of spontaneous bacterial peritonitis(SBP)in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma ascites.The predictive value of combination is substantial,demonstrating a level of accuracy in forecasting SBP occurrence
7.The correlation between the ratio of C-reactive protein to albumin and Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome in patients with severe COVID-19
Lan LI ; Caijun WU ; Linqin MA ; Yuanzhen JIAN ; Jiahui SU ; Junxi LIU ; Yiyuanzi ZHAO
Journal of Chinese Physician 2024;26(2):172-175
Objective:To explore the correlation between the ratio of C-reactive protein (CRP) to albumin (CAR) and the syndrome type of Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue in patients with severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).Methods:A case-control study was conducted to select 63 severe patients with COVID-19 admitted to the Dongzhimen Hospital of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine from December 2022 to December 2023, including 50 severe cases and 13 critical cases. The clinical data of the patients were collected. According to the syndrome differentiation of Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue, there were 21 cases of Qi syndrome, 20 cases of Ying syndrome and 22 cases of Xue syndrome. The differences of CRP, ALB and CAR levels in patients with different Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndromes were compared. Spearman correlation test was used to test the correlation between CRP, ALB, CAR and the Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome type, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to detect the diagnostic efficacy of CRP, ALB and CAR on the Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome type.Results:There was a statistically significant difference in the clinical classification of Western medicine among the three groups ( P<0.05). The CAR of the Ying group and the Xue group was higher than that of the Qi group ( P<0.05), while there was no statistically significant difference in age and comorbidities (all P>0.05). The CRP of the Xue group was higher than that of the Qi group ( P<0.05), and the ALB of the Ying group and the Xue group was lower than that of the Qi group (all P<0.05). Correlation analysis showed that there was a correlation between the Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome type and CRP, ALB and CAR ( P<0.05), among which CAR changed most significantly with the change of Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome type. ROC curve analysis showed that CRP, ALB and CAR had good diagnostic value for Qi syndrome and Xue syndrome ( P<0.05). The critical values of the diagnosis of Qi syndrome were 48.57 mg/L, 34.20 g/L and 2.97. The critical values of the diagnosis of Xue syndrome were 28.30 mg/L, 26.6 g/L and 5.96. Conclusions:CAR ratio is correlated with the Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome type of severe COVID-19 patients, and its level changes are in line with the evolution law of Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome. CAR≤2.97 is contributed to the diagnosis of Qi syndrome, and CAR>5.96 is contributed to the diagnosis of Xue syndrome. CAR may be an objective index related to the Wei-Qi-Ying-Xue syndrome type of severe COVID-19 patients.
8.Comparison of clinical efficacy of TMF and TDF in the treatment of hepatitis B liver fibrosis
Yingyuan ZHANG ; Chunyan MOU ; Danqing XU ; Yuanzhen WANG ; Lixian CHANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Weikun LI ; Hong-Yan WEI ; Li LIU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(22):3215-3220
Objective This study is to explore the clinical efficacy and common adverse reactions of PEG-IFN α-2b combined with TMF and TDF in the treatment of hepatitis B liver fibrosis,and provide more clinical reference for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B.Methods From January 2022 to December 2023,we selected 130 patients with chronic hepatitis B liver fibrosis who were admitted to Kunming Third People's Hospital.Divided into TMF combined group and TDF combined group,the virus reduction level,virus response rate,liver fibrosis four items,instantaneous elastography(FibroScan)and other indicators were compared between the two groups of patients after 48 weeks of treatment.The changes in liver fibrosis grading and adverse reactions before and after treatment were also compared.Results After 48 weeks of treatment,the TMF combined group showed a significant increase in HBV DNA seroconversion rate and HBeAg seroconversion rate compared to the TDF combined group,with statistical significance(P<0.05).However,there was no statistically significant difference in HBsAg seroconversion rate between the two groups of patients(P>0.05).After 48 weeks of treatment,the TMF combined group showed more significant efficacy in reducing the levels of HA,PC Ⅲ,Ⅳ-C,and LN,with a significant difference(P<0.05);After 48 weeks of treatment,both groups of patients showed improvement in the degree of liver tissue fibrosis.Compared with the TDF combined group,the TMF combined group had a more significant effect on tissue improvement.After 48 weeks of treatment,the incidence of dyslipidemia,hypothyroidism,and diarrhea was higher in the TMF combined group than in the TDF combined group(P<0.05);After 48 weeks of treatment,there was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of gingival bleeding,anemia,and thrombocytopenia between the two groups of patients(P>0.05);The incidence of elevated uric acid and joint pain in the TDF combined group was higher than that in the TMF combined group after 48 weeks of treatment(P<0.05).Conclusion TMF combined with PEG-IFN α-2b has better clinical efficacy in treating chronic hepatitis B,strong antiviral ability,greater inhibition of liver fibrosis,good drug safety,better prognosis,and can provide more effective medication basis for clinical cure of hepatitis B.
9.Establishment and validation of a risk prediction model for primary liver cancer complicated with pulmonary infection before intervention
Yuanzhen WANG ; Hongyan WEI ; Lixian CHANG ; Yingyuan ZHANG ; Chunyun LIU ; Li LIU
Tianjin Medical Journal 2024;52(9):940-945
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of pulmonary infection in patients with primary liver cancer(PHC)before intervention,and establish a nomogram risk prediction model to verify it.Methods A total of 1 635 patients with PHC diagnosed and hospitalized for the first time were selected and divided into the infected group(197 cases)and the non-infected group(1 438 cases)according to whether they had pulmonary infection.General data such as body mass index(BMI),chronic hepatitis B(CHB),chronic hepatitis C(CHC),Barcelona stage(BCLC),white blood cells(WBC),neutrophils(NEU),hemoglobin(Hb)and other blood routine indicators were collected.Total protein(TP),prealbumin(PA),aspartate aminotransferase(AST),gamma glutamylaminotransferase(GGT),alkaline phospholipase(ALP),abnormal prothrombin(PIVKA-Ⅱ),alpha-fetoprotein(AFP),carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA),procalcitonin(PCT),hypersensitive C-reactive protein(hs-CRP),cholinesterase(ChE),total cholesterol(TC)and other blood biochemical indicators,CD3 cell count(CD3+),CD4 cell count(CD4+),CD4/CD8 ratio(CD4+/CD8+),CD19 cell count(CD19+),interleukin(IL)-2,interferon(IFN)-α,tumor necrosis factor(TNF)-α and other cytokines were also collected.Univariate analysis and Lasso regression were used to screen variables,and binary Logistic regression analysis was used to determine risk factors for pulmonary infection in PHC patients before intervention.The risk prediction model was established and evaluated.Results Compared with the non-infected group,age,smoking rate,CHC,pleural effusion,gastrointestinal hemorrhage,Child-Pugh grade C,BCLC Phase A/C/D ratio,WBC,NEU,AST,GGT,ALP,PIVKA-Ⅱ,AFP,CEA,PCT,hs-CRP,IL-2,IL-5,IL-6,IL-8,IL-10,IL-12,IFN-γ and TNF-α levels were higher in the infected group,and levels of BMI,CHB ratio,Hb,TP,PA,ChE,TC,CD3+,CD4+,CD4+/CD8+,CD19+and IFN-α were lower(P<0.05).Lasso regression and binary Logistic regression analysis showed that pleural effusion,gastrointestinal hemorrhage,higher level of age,WBC,Hb and lower level of TP were independent risk factors for pulmonary infection in patients with PHC before intervention.The area under receiver operating curve(ROC)of the established nomogram model was 0.700(95%CI:0.659-0.740),and Hosmer-Lemeshow test results showed good goodness-fit of the model.Self-sampling was repeated 1 000 times for internal verification.The consistency of the model was good.Conclusion Pleural effusion,gastrointestinal hemorrhage,higher level of age,WBC,Hb and lower level of TP are independent risk factors for pulmonary infection in PHC patients before intervention.The established nomogram prediction model can effectively evaluate the risk of pulmonary infection in PHC patients before intervention.
10.Distribution and prognosis analysis of TCM syndromes elements in elderly patients with sepsis and septic shock
Fuyao NAN ; Caijun WU ; Junxi LIU ; Xiang JI ; Yuanzhen JIAN ; Lan LI ; Wei BI
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;46(9):1113-1120
Objective:To analyze the distribution pattern of TCM syndrome elements in elderly patients with sepsis and septic shock, as well as the relationship between TCM syndrome elements, Sepsis Sequential Organ Failure Score (SOFA), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Score Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ), and short-term mortality prognosis.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 58 patients treated in the Emergency Department and ICU of Dongzhimen Hospital of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine and the Third Affiliated Hospital of Beijing University of Chinese Medicine from January 1, 2021, to May 1, 2022. The patients were divided into a sepsis group of 38 cases and a septic shock group of 20 cases based on disease type. Basic information, TCM syndromes, SOFA score, and APACHE Ⅱ score of the two groups were collected. The survival and death statuses of the two groups within 28 days of admission were separately analyzed. Association rule analysis was used to investigate the distribution pattern of TCM syndromes in patients, and logistic regression analysis was performed to explore the relationship between TCM syndromes, SOFA score, APACHE Ⅱ score, and death prognosis.Results:In the sepsis group, the main TCM syndromes included yin deficiency, lung, phlegm, qi deficiency, blood stasis, heat, and yang deficiency; while in the septic shock group, the main TCM syndromes were yin deficiency, lung, yang deficiency, and qi deficiency. Multifactor logistic regression analysis showed that in the sepsis group, liver syndromes [ OR (95% CI)=0.080 (0.011, 0.578), P=0.012], meridians and collaterals [ OR (95% CI)=0.088 (0.011, 0.718), P=0.024], SOFA score [ OR (95% CI)=0.524 (0.310, 0.886), P=0.016], and APACHE Ⅱ score [ OR (95% CI)=0.426 (0.186, 0.977), P=0.044] were independent influencing factors for patient mortality prognosis. In the septic shock group, phlegm [ OR (95% CI)=0.014 (0.001, 0.267), P=0.005], meridians and collaterals [ OR (95% CI)=0.041 (0.003, 0.618), P=0.021], yang deficiency [ OR (95% CI)=0.028 (0.002, 0.427), P=0.010], SOFA score [ OR (95% CI)=0.543 (0.310, 0.950), P=0.032], and APACHE Ⅱ score [ OR (95% CI)=0.633 (0.408, 0.985), P=0.042] were independent influencing factors for patient mortality prognosis. Conclusions:The sepsis group mainly exhibits a mixture of deficiency and excess, while the septic shock group predominantly shows deficiency. Qi deficiency and yin deficiency are consistent throughout the disease progression. Meridians and collaterals, high SOFA score, and high APACHE Ⅱ score in elderly patients with sepsis and septic shock may indicate a poorer prognosis.

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