1.Trends in global burden due to visceral leishmaniasis from 1990 to 2021 and projections up to 2035
Guobing YANG ; Aiwei HE ; Yongjun LI ; Shan LÜ ; Muxin CHEN ; Liguang TIAN ; Qin LIU ; Lei DUAN ; Yan LU ; Jian YANG ; Shizhu LI ; Xiaonong ZHOU ; Jichun WANG ; Shunxian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(1):35-43
Objective To investigate the global burden of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) from 1990 to 2021 and predict the trends in the burden of VL from 2022 to 2035, so as to provide insights into global VL prevention and control. Methods The global age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of VL and their 95% uncertainty intervals (UI) were captured from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) data resources. The trends in the global burden of VL were evaluated with average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (CI) from 1990 to 2021, and gender-, age-, country-, geographical area- and socio-demographic index (SDI)-stratified burdens of VL were analyzed. The trends in the global burden of VL were projected with a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model from 2022 to 2035, and the associations of age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs rates of VL with SDI levels were examined with a smoothing spline model. Results The global age-standardized incidence [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% CI: (-0.25%, -0.24%)], prevalence [AAPC = -0.06%, 95% CI: (-0.06%, -0.06%)], mortality [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% CI: (-0.25%, -0.24%)] and DALYs rates of VL [AAPC = -2.38%, 95% CI: (-2.44%, -2.33%)] all appeared a tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, and the highest age-standardized incidence [2.55/105, 95% UI: (1.49/105, 4.07/105)], prevalence [0.64/105, 95% UI: (0.37/105, 1.02/105)], mortality [0.51/105, 95% UI: (0, 1.80/105)] and DALYs rates of VL [33.81/105, 95% UI: (0.06/105, 124.09/105)] were seen in tropical Latin America in 2021. The global age-standardized incidence and prevalence of VL were both higher among men [0.57/105, 95% UI: (0.45/105, 0.72/105); 0.14/105, 95% UI: (0.11/105, 0.18/105)] than among women [0.27/105, 95% UI: (0.21/105, 0.33/105); 0.06/105, 95% UI: (0.05/105, 0.08/105)], and the highest mortality of VL was found among children under 5 years of age [0.24/105, 95% UI: (0.08/105, 0.66/105)]. The age-standardized incidence (r = -0.483, P < 0.001), prevalence (r = -0.483, P < 0.001), mortality (r = -0.511, P < 0.001) and DALYs rates of VL (r = -0.514, P < 0.001) correlated negatively with SDI levels from 1990 to 2021. In addition, the global burden of VL was projected with the BAPC model to appear a tendency towards a decline from 2022 to 2035, and the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALYs rates were projected to be reduced to 0.11/105, 0.03/105, 0.02/105 and 1.44/105 in 2035, respectively. Conclusions Although the global burden of VL appeared an overall tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, the burden of VL showed a tendency towards a rise in Central Asia and western sub-Saharan African areas. The age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates of VL were relatively higher among men, and the age-standardized mortality of VL was relatively higher among children under 5 years of age. The global burden of VL was projected to continue to decline from 2022 to 2035.
2.Establishment of HPLC fingerprint and content determination of Gerbera delavayi
Lisha SUN ; Li JIANG ; Li LI ; Lin TIAN ; Yang WANG ; Jie PAN ; Yueting LI ; Yongjun LI
China Pharmacy 2025;36(9):1052-1058
OBJECTIVE To establish the fingerprint of Gerbera delavayi and the methods for the content determination of 11 components in G. delavayi. METHODS High-performance liquid chromatography(HPLC)was adopted to establish the fingerprints of 13 batches of G. delavayi(No. S1-S13), and the similarities were evaluated according to Similarity Evaluation System of Chromatographic Fingerprint of TCM (2012 edition), while the common peaks were identified. Hierarchical clustering analysis (HCA), principal component analysis (PCA) and orthogonal partial least square-discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA) were carried out by using SPSS 25.0 software and SIMCA 14.1 software. The contents of neochlorogenic acid, chlorogenic acid, cryptochlorogenic acid, 3,8-dihydroxy-4-methoxy-2-oxo-2H-1-benzopyran-5-carboxylic acid, caffeic acid, 3-hydroxy-4-methoxy-2- oxo-2H-1-benzopyran- 5-carboxylic acid, luteolin-7-O-β-D-glucoside, isochlorogenic acid A, apigenin-7-O-β-D-glucoside, isochlorogenic acid C and xanthotoxin were determined by HPLC. RESULTS The similarities in HPLC fingerprint of 13 batches of G. delavayi were 0.801-0.994; a total of 38 common peaks were identified and 13 common peaks were identified. The results of HCA showed that S1-S5 and S7 were clustered into one group, S6 into one category, S8 into one category, S9 and S11 into one category, S10, S12 and S13 into one category, and the results of PCA were consistent with them. The results of OPLS-DA showed that variable importance values for the projection of peak 7 (chlorogenic acid), peak 21 (isochlorogenic acid A), peak 26 (xanthotoxin), peak 19 (isochlorogenic acid B), peak 33, peak 13, peak 23 (isochlorogenic acid C), peak 2 (new chlorogenic acid), peak 17 (luteolin-7-O-β-D- glucoside) were greater than 1. The above 11 components had good linearity in their respective detection concentration ranges (r was greater than 0.999). RSDs of precision, repeatability, and stability tests were not more than 2% (n=6). The average recovery rates were 92.54%-105.55%, and the RSDs were 0.83%-1.93% (n=6). The average contents of 11 components were 0.744, 5.014, 0.646, 0.431, 0.069, 0.582, 0.979, 2.754, 0.157, 1.284 and 2.943 mg/g, respectively. CONCLUSIONS The constructed HPLC fingerprint and content determination methods are simple, accurate and stable, which can provide reference for quality control of G. delavayi. Xanthotoxin, chlorogenic acid, isochlorogenic acid A, luteolin-7-O- β -D-glucoside, isochlorogenic acid C and new chlorogenic acid can be used as markers for G. delavayi.
3.A heart sound segmentation method based on multi-feature fusion network
Pian TIAN ; Peiyu HE ; Jie CAI ; Qijun ZHAO ; Li LI ; Yongjun QIAN ; Fan PAN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2024;31(05):672-681
Objective To propose a heart sound segmentation method based on multi-feature fusion network. Methods Data were obtained from the CinC/PhysioNet 2016 Challenge dataset (a total of 3 153 recordings from 764 patients, about 91.93% of whom were male, with an average age of 30.36 years). Firstly the features were extracted in time domain and time-frequency domain respectively, and reduced redundant features by feature dimensionality reduction. Then, we selected optimal features separately from the two feature spaces that performed best through feature selection. Next, the multi-feature fusion was completed through multi-scale dilated convolution, cooperative fusion, and channel attention mechanism. Finally, the fused features were fed into a bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) network to heart sound segmentation results. Results The proposed method achieved precision, recall and F1 score of 96.70%, 96.99%, and 96.84% respectively. Conclusion The multi-feature fusion network proposed in this study has better heart sound segmentation performance, which can provide high-accuracy heart sound segmentation technology support for the design of automatic analysis of heart diseases based on heart sounds.
4.Effects of Huatan Quyu Decoction on Cognitive Function and Expressions of GABA and VILIP-1 in Brain Tissue in Rats with Cerebral Small Vessel Disease
Yuqian TIAN ; Yongjun FANG ; Yali HU ; Hui ZHANG ; Xiaofeng HUANG ; Pengfang WEI ; Xinya ZHAO ; Yongmei YAN
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;31(2):123-129
Objective To observe the effects of Huatan Quyu Decoction on cognitive function and the expressions of GABA and VILIP-1 in brain tissue of rats with cerebral small vessel disease;To discuss its mechanism for treatment on cerebral small vessel disease.Methods Totally 48 male SD rats were randomly divided into blank group,model group,Huatan Quyu Decoction low-and high-dosage groups,with 12 rats in each group.Except for the blank group,a rat model of cerebral small vessel disease was prepared by in vitro injection of homologous microemboli.Huatan Quyu Decoction low-and high-dosage groups were given Huatan Quyu Decoction 1.25 and 2.5 g/kg by gavage,the blank group and model group were gavage with equal amounts of distilled water for 28 consecutive days.Morris water maze experiment was conducted on day 1,7,14,and 28 after administration to evaluate the learning and memory abilities of rats,HE staining was used to observe pathological changes in hippocampal tissue,and immunohistochemical staining was used to detect the expressions of GABA and VILIP-1 proteins in brain tissue.Results Compared with the blank group,the escape latency of Morris water maze experiment in model group significantly prolonged(P<0.05),and the number of crossing platforms was significantly reduced(P<0.05);the arrangement of hippocampal tissue cells was disordered,gaps widen,and nuclei atrophy and necrosis,the GABA expression in brain tissue significantly decreased(P<0.05),while the VILIP-1 expression significantly increased(P<0.05).Compared with the model group,the escape latency of Morris water maze experiment in the Huatan Quyu Decoction low-and high-dosage groups significantly shortened(P<0.05)on day 7,14,and 28 of administration,and the number of crossing platforms significantly increased(P<0.05),GABA expression significantly increased(P<0.05),while VILIP-1 expression significantly decreased(P<0.05).Compared with the Huatan Quyu Decoction low-dosage group,the escape latency of Morris water maze experiment in Huatan Quyu Decoction high-dosage group decreased at various time points,and the number of crossing platforms increase,the pathological damage of hippocampal tissue was reduced,the expression of GABA in brain tissue increased,and the expression of VILIP-1 decreased,with statistical significance(P<0.05).Conclusion Huatan Quyu Decoction can increase the expression of GABA in brain tissue and inhibit the expression of VILIP-1,thereby improve the cognitive function of rats with cerebrovascular disease.
5.Clinical observation of dapagliflozin in the treatment of heart failure combined with chronic kidney disease
Zhiyun YANG ; Yongjun ZHU ; Feng CAI ; Hongyan MA ; Aiying TIAN
China Pharmacy 2024;35(20):2512-2516
OBJECTIVE To explore the effect and safety of dapagliflozin on cardiac function and renal function, blood glucose, and quality of life in patients with heart failure (HF) combined with chronic kidney disease (CKD). METHODS A total of 156 patients with HF combined with CKD admitted to Shangqiu First People’s Hospital from January 1, 2021 to January 1, 2023 were included. According to the random number table, the patients were randomly divided into conventional treatment group (n=80) and dapagliflozin group (n=76). Conventional treatment group was given conventional treatment; dapagliflozin group was additionally given Dapagliflozin tablets 10 mg orally, once a day, based on conventional treatment group. Both groups were treated for 6 months. Cardiac function [left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), left ventricular end-systolic diameter (LVESD), left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)], renal function [blood creatinine, urea nitrogen, urinary albumin excretion rate (UAER), glomerular filtration rate (GFR), creatinine 806731979@qq.com clearance rate (CCR)], glycosylated hemoglobin, and the quality of life were observed in 2 groups before and after treatment. The occurrence of ADR was recorded. RESULTS After treatment, LVESD, LVEDD, NT-proBNP, blood creatinine, urea nitrogen, UAER in 2 groups as well as the level of glycosylated hemoglobin in dapagliflozin group were significantly lower than before treatment; the dapagliflozin group was significantly lower than the conventional treatment group. LVEF, GFR, CCR and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire score were significantly higher than before treatment, and the dapagliflozin group was significantly higher than the conventional treatment group (P<0.05). There was no statistical significance in glycosylated hemoglobin of conventional treatment group before and after treatment (P> 0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of dizziness, rash, liver dysfunction, urinary system infection, new dialysis and hypotension between the two groups (P>0.05). CONCLUSIONS Dapagliflozin can improve the cardiac function and renal function of patients with HF complicated with CKD, improve patients’ quality of life and lower blood sugar levels without increasing the risk of adverse events.
6.Effects of Huatan Quyu Decoction on cognitive function of vascular dementia rats by regulating Wnt/β-catenin signal pathway
Mengyuan LIU ; Yongjun FANG ; Yali HU ; Pengfang WEI ; Sen QIAO ; Yuqian TIAN ; Xinya ZHAO ; Hui LIU ; Jingyuan KONG ; Xiaona ZHU
International Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;46(10):1310-1315
Objective:To observe the effects of Huatan Quyu Decoction on the protein expressions of β-catenin and GSK-3 β and the expression of anticardiolipin antibody and β-amyloid protein related to cognitive function in rats with vascular dementia based on Wnt/β-catenin signal pathway.Methods:A total of 96 male SD rats were divided into blank group, model group, Donepezil hydrochloride group and Huatan Quyu Decoction low-, midium-, high-dosage group according to random number table method, with 16 rats in each group. Except for the blank group, the rat model of vascular dementia was prepared by modified 2-VO method. Huatan Quyu Decoction low-, medium- and high-dosage groups were administrated with Huatan Quyu Decoction 6.1, 12.1 and 24.2 g/kg, respectively; the Western medicine group was administrated with Donepezil hydrochloride 0.5 mg/kg; the blank group and the model group were administrated with the same amount of normal saline for 28 consecutive days. On the 1st, 7th, 14th and 28th day after administration, the learning and memory ability of rats was evaluated by Morris water maze test, the levels of ACA and Aβ in serum were measured by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and the expressions of β-catenin and GSK-3β proteins related to Wnt/β-catenin signal pathway in hippocampus were measured by Western blot.Results:Compared with model group, the escape latency was shortened in the Huatan Quyu Decoction high-dosage group and Donepezil group on 7 and 14 days of administration ( P<0.05), and the times of crossing the platform increased in Huatan Quyu Decoction high-dosage group on 1 and 28 days of administration ( P<0.05). Compared with model group, the serum ACA level in Donepezil group, Huatan Quyu Decoction medium- and high-dosage groups decreased at day 1, 7, 14 and 28 after administration ( P<0.05). The serum Aβ level in Donepezil group, Huatan Quyu Decoction medium- and high-dosage groups decreased at 7, 14 and 28 days after administration ( P<0.05); On the 14th and 28th days after administration, the levels of ACA and Aβ in TCM low-dosage group decreased ( P<0.05). Compared with model group, the expression of β-catenin protein in hippocampus of Donepezil group and Huatan Quyu Decoction medium- and high-dosage groups increased ( P<0.05), while the expression of GSK-3β in hippocampus of Donepezil group and Huatan Quyu Decoction low-, medium- and high-dosage groups decreased ( P<0.01). Conclusion:Huatan Quyu Decoction can activate the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway, up-regulate the expression of β-catenin protein in hippocampal tissue of rats, inhibit the expression of GSK-3β, reduce the levels of ACA and Aβ in serum of rats, and improve the cognitive function of rats with vascular dementia.
7.Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients (version 2024)
Yao LU ; Yang LI ; Leiying ZHANG ; Hao TANG ; Huidan JING ; Yaoli WANG ; Xiangzhi JIA ; Li BA ; Maohong BIAN ; Dan CAI ; Hui CAI ; Xiaohong CAI ; Zhanshan ZHA ; Bingyu CHEN ; Daqing CHEN ; Feng CHEN ; Guoan CHEN ; Haiming CHEN ; Jing CHEN ; Min CHEN ; Qing CHEN ; Shu CHEN ; Xi CHEN ; Jinfeng CHENG ; Xiaoling CHU ; Hongwang CUI ; Xin CUI ; Zhen DA ; Ying DAI ; Surong DENG ; Weiqun DONG ; Weimin FAN ; Ke FENG ; Danhui FU ; Yongshui FU ; Qi FU ; Xuemei FU ; Jia GAN ; Xinyu GAN ; Wei GAO ; Huaizheng GONG ; Rong GUI ; Geng GUO ; Ning HAN ; Yiwen HAO ; Wubing HE ; Qiang HONG ; Ruiqin HOU ; Wei HOU ; Jie HU ; Peiyang HU ; Xi HU ; Xiaoyu HU ; Guangbin HUANG ; Jie HUANG ; Xiangyan HUANG ; Yuanshuai HUANG ; Shouyong HUN ; Xuebing JIANG ; Ping JIN ; Dong LAI ; Aiping LE ; Hongmei LI ; Bijuan LI ; Cuiying LI ; Daihong LI ; Haihong LI ; He LI ; Hui LI ; Jianping LI ; Ning LI ; Xiying LI ; Xiangmin LI ; Xiaofei LI ; Xiaojuan LI ; Zhiqiang LI ; Zhongjun LI ; Zunyan LI ; Huaqin LIANG ; Xiaohua LIANG ; Dongfa LIAO ; Qun LIAO ; Yan LIAO ; Jiajin LIN ; Chunxia LIU ; Fenghua LIU ; Peixian LIU ; Tiemei LIU ; Xiaoxin LIU ; Zhiwei LIU ; Zhongdi LIU ; Hua LU ; Jianfeng LUAN ; Jianjun LUO ; Qun LUO ; Dingfeng LYU ; Qi LYU ; Xianping LYU ; Aijun MA ; Liqiang MA ; Shuxuan MA ; Xainjun MA ; Xiaogang MA ; Xiaoli MA ; Guoqing MAO ; Shijie MU ; Shaolin NIE ; Shujuan OUYANG ; Xilin OUYANG ; Chunqiu PAN ; Jian PAN ; Xiaohua PAN ; Lei PENG ; Tao PENG ; Baohua QIAN ; Shu QIAO ; Li QIN ; Ying REN ; Zhaoqi REN ; Ruiming RONG ; Changshan SU ; Mingwei SUN ; Wenwu SUN ; Zhenwei SUN ; Haiping TANG ; Xiaofeng TANG ; Changjiu TANG ; Cuihua TAO ; Zhibin TIAN ; Juan WANG ; Baoyan WANG ; Chunyan WANG ; Gefei WANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Hongjie WANG ; Peng WANG ; Pengli WANG ; Qiushi WANG ; Xiaoning WANG ; Xinhua WANG ; Xuefeng WANG ; Yong WANG ; Yongjun WANG ; Yuanjie WANG ; Zhihua WANG ; Shaojun WEI ; Yaming WEI ; Jianbo WEN ; Jun WEN ; Jiang WU ; Jufeng WU ; Aijun XIA ; Fei XIA ; Rong XIA ; Jue XIE ; Yanchao XING ; Yan XIONG ; Feng XU ; Yongzhu XU ; Yongan XU ; Yonghe YAN ; Beizhan YAN ; Jiang YANG ; Jiangcun YANG ; Jun YANG ; Xinwen YANG ; Yongyi YANG ; Chunyan YAO ; Mingliang YE ; Changlin YIN ; Ming YIN ; Wen YIN ; Lianling YU ; Shuhong YU ; Zebo YU ; Yigang YU ; Anyong YU ; Hong YUAN ; Yi YUAN ; Chan ZHANG ; Jinjun ZHANG ; Jun ZHANG ; Kai ZHANG ; Leibing ZHANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Rongjiang ZHANG ; Sanming ZHANG ; Shengji ZHANG ; Shuo ZHANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Weidong ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Xingwen ZHANG ; Guixi ZHANG ; Xiaojun ZHANG ; Guoqing ZHAO ; Jianpeng ZHAO ; Shuming ZHAO ; Beibei ZHENG ; Shangen ZHENG ; Huayou ZHOU ; Jicheng ZHOU ; Lihong ZHOU ; Mou ZHOU ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Xuelian ZHOU ; Yuan ZHOU ; Zheng ZHOU ; Zuhuang ZHOU ; Haiyan ZHU ; Peiyuan ZHU ; Changju ZHU ; Lili ZHU ; Zhengguo WANG ; Jianxin JIANG ; Deqing WANG ; Jiongcai LAN ; Quanli WANG ; Yang YU ; Lianyang ZHANG ; Aiqing WEN
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2024;40(10):865-881
Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.
8.An interpretable machine learning method for heart beat classification
Jinbao ZHANG ; Peiyu HE ; Pian TIAN ; Jianmin CAI ; Fan PAN ; Yongjun QIAN ; Qijun ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2023;30(02):185-190
Objective To explore the application of Tsetlin Machine (TM) in heart beat classification. Methods TM was used to classify the normal beats, premature ventricular contraction (PVC) and supraventricular premature beats (SPB) in the 2020 data set of China Physiological Signal Challenge. This data set consisted of the single-lead electro-cardiogram data of 10 patients with arrhythmia. One patient with atrial fibrillation was excluded, and finally data of the other 9 patients were included in this study. The classification results were then analyzed. Results The classification results showed that the average recognition accuracy of TM was 84.3%, and the basis of classification could be shown by the bit pattern interpretation diagram. Conclusion TM can explain the classification results when classifying heart beats. The reasonable interpretation of classification results can increase the reliability of the model and facilitate people's review and understanding.
9.Identification of Kidney-Yang Deficiency Syndrome in Osteoporosis Patients Based on Rule Ensemble Method of Bagging Combining LASSO Regression
Feibiao XIE ; Jing WANG ; Xinghua XIANG ; Wenyuan XU ; Weiguo BAI ; Mengyu LIU ; Yaxin TIAN ; Qianzi CHE ; Yongjun WANG ; Wei YANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2023;29(23):150-157
ObjectiveTo investigate the identification of kidney Yang deficiency syndrome of patients with osteoporosis(OP), and to form the clinical syndrome identification rules of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM). MethodBasic information, etiology, clinical symptoms and other characteristics of 982 OP patients were included, and statistical tests were used to screen the variables associated with kidney Yang deficiency syndrome. Taking the decision tree as the base model, bootstrap aggregation algorithm(Bagging algorithm) was utilized to establish the classification model of kidney Yang deficiency syndrome in OP, generating numerous rules and removing redundancy. Combining least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO) regression to screen key rules and integrate them to construct an identification model, achieving the identification of kidney Yang deficiency syndrome in OP patients. ResultEighteen key identification rules were screened out, and of these, where 11 rules with regression coefficients>0 correlated positively with the kidney Yang deficiency syndrome, the rule with the highest coefficient was chilliness(present)&feverish sensation over the palm and sole(absent). The other 7 rules with regression coefficients<0 correlated negatively with the syndrome, the rule with the lowest coefficient was reddish tongue(present)&diarrhea(absent)&deficiency of endowment(absent). According to the regression coefficients of each key rule, variables with importance>0.2 were ranked as chilliness, reddish tongue, feverish sensation over the palm and sole, cold limbs, clear urine, diarrhea, deficiency of endowment, prolonged illness. The results of the partial dependence analysis of the identification model showed that compared to OP patients without chilliness, those with chilliness(present) had a 0.266 8 higher probability of being identified as having kidney Yang deficiency syndrome, indicating that this variable had the highest impact on identification of the syndrome. Similarly, compared to OP patients without reddish tongue, those with reddish tongue had a 0.141 9 lower probability of being identified as having kidney Yang deficiency syndrome, indicating that this variable had the highest impact on identifying non-kidney Yang deficiency syndrome. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and area under receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) of the established kidney Yang deficiency syndrome identification model in the test set were 0.865 9, 0.853 7, 0.872 0 and 0.931 5, respectively. ConclusionA precise identification model of OP kidney Yang deficiency syndrome is conducted basing on the rule ensemble method of Bagging combining LASSO regression, and the screened key rules can explain the identification process of kidney Yang deficiency syndrome. In this research, according to the regression coefficients of rules, the importance and partial dependence of variables, combined with the thinking of TCM, the influence of patient characteristics on the identification of syndromes is described, so as to reveal the primary and secondary syndromes of identification and assist the clinical identification of kidney Yang deficiency syndrome.
10.Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio predicts discharge outcome in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke receiving intravenous thrombolytic therapy
Yafang ZHU ; Shoujiang YOU ; Xia ZHANG ; Yan QIN ; Fengmei TIAN ; Liping TAN ; Yongjun CAO ; Dongqin CHEN
International Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2023;31(12):889-894
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on the discharge outcome in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) receiving intravenous thrombolysis (IVT).Methods:Elderly patients with AIS received IVT in the Department of Neurology, the Second Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from August 2018 to August 2020 were retrospectively included. The modified Rankin Scale was used to evaluate discharge outcome, and the score >2 was defined as poor outcome. Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (sICH) was defined as any intracranial hemorrhage found on imaging examination accompanied by neurological deterioration, where the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score increased by ≥4 from baseline or bleeding led to death. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors for sICH and poor discharge outcome. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyze the predictive value of NLR for sICH and poor discharge outcome. Results:A total of 228 elderly patients with AIS receiving IVT were enrolled, including 118 males (51.8%), aged 73.64±8.16 years, with a baseline NIHSS score of 6.23±6.54. Ninety patients (39.5%) had poor outcome at discharge, and 16 (7.0%) developed sICH. Univariate analysis showed that the NLR in the poor outcome group was significantly higher than that in the good outcome group ( P<0.01). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that a higher NLR was an independent risk factor for poor discharge outcome (odds ratio [ OR] 1.245, 95% confidence interval [ CI] 1.044-1.484; P< 0.05) and sICH ( OR 1.124, 95% CI 1.010-1.251; P<0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of NLR for predicting poor discharge outcome was 0.693 (95% CI 0.620-0.765; P<0.01). The optimal cutoff value was 4.345. Its corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 47.8% and 87.7%, respectively. The area under the curve of NLR for predicting sICH was 0.651 (95% CI 0.498-0.804; P<0.05). The optimal cutoff value was 3.515. Its corresponding sensitivity and specificity were 68.8% and 61.8%, respectively. Conclusions:A higher NLR is independently associated with sICH and poor discharge outcome in elderly patients with AIS receiving IVT, and have certain predictive value for sICH and poor discharge outcome.

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