Schistosomiasis is a major public health concern in the world, and precision control is crucial to combating this disease. Due to the complex and diverse transmission route of schistosomiasis, conventional statistical models have significant limitations for precision control of schistosomiasis. As an important branch of artificial intelligence, machine learning has shown remarkable advantages in schistosomiasis control and research. It has been shown that machine learning is highly effective for disease prediction and risk assessment, so as to optimize the disease control strategy and resource allocation and achieve the precision control target. This review summarizes the characteristics of machine learning models and their applications in the research of intermediate host snails and schistosomiasis.

国家自然科学基金项目(11932012、81400536),上海申康医院发展中心临床创新三年行动计划(SHDC2020CR3009A),上海交通大学医工(理)交叉基金(JYJC202130)

Objective: To describe the sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District and to analyze its correlation with the incidence of infectious diseases and associated lead or lag times, so as,to provide a scientific basis for the health and education departments to take measures. Methods: The regularity and symptom composition of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District from the 2010-2017 were described. The Joinpoint model was applied to analyze the changing trend of absenteeism. And the rate of school sickness absenteeism and incidences of 7 acute infectious diseases were compared through visual analysis. The time lagged correlation coefficients and Granger causality tests were applied to quantitatively analyze the correlation and lead/lag patterns. Results: The average rate of school sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Jiading District, Shanghai was 0.27%. Since the 2012 academic year, the overall rate of sickness absenteeism has been on the rise. Fever was the most common symptom of absenteeism (47.49%). The trend of sickness absenteeism rate was mainly consistent with the incidence of influenza, and showed a one way Granger causality. The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient was obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year with a value of 0.43 (95% CI =0.25-0.58). The maximum time lagged correlation coefficient between the rate of sickness absenteeism with fever and other respiratory symptoms and the incidence of influenza was also obtained in the second semester of the 2017 academic year and the maximum correlation coefficient was 0.50(95% CI =0.33-0.65). Conclusion The sickness absenteeism rate in primary and secondary school students is correlated to influenza incidence, and it has potential application value in supplementing early warning of influenza activities in the community.

Objective To optimize the culture and fermentation conditions of the Penicillium aurantiocandidum Z12 strain, a fungal strain with molluscicidal actions against Oncomelania hupensis, so as to provide the basis for the research and development of molluscicidal active substances from the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain and its fermentation broth and large-scale fermentation. Methods The carbon source, nitrogen source and mineral salts were identified in the optimal culture medium for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain with a single-factor experiment to determine the best fermentation condition for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain. Factors that significantly affected the growth of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain were identified using the Plackett-Burman design, and the best range of each factor was determined using the steepest climb test. Response surface analyses of temperature, pH value, seeding amount and liquid-filling quantity were performed using the Box-Behnken design to create a regression model for fermentation of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain to identify the optimal culture medium. Results Single-factor experiment preliminarily identified the best culture medium and conditions for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain as follows: sucrose as the carbon source at approximately 20 g/L, tryptone as the nitrogen source at approximately 5 g/L, K₂HPO₄ as the mineral salt at approximately 5 g/L, initial pH at approximately 8, temperature at approximately 28 °C, seeding amount at approximately 6%, and liquid-filling quantity at approximately 50 mL/100 mL. Plackett-Burman design showed that factors that significantly affected the growth of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain included temperature (t = −5.28, P < 0.05), seeding amount (t = 5.22, P < 0.05), pH (t = −4.30, P < 0.05) and liquid-filling quantity (t = −4.39, P < 0.05). Steepest climb test showed the highest mycelial growth at pH of 7.5, seeding amount of 8%, and liquid-filling quantity of 40 mL/100 mL, and this condition was selected as the central point of response surface analysis for the subsequent optimization of fermentation conditions. Response surface analyses using the Box-Behnken design showed that the optimal conditions for fermentation of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain included sucrose at 15 g/L, tryptone at 5 g/L, K₂HPO₄ at 5 g/L, temperature at 28.2 °C, pH at 7.5, seeding amount at 10%, and liquid-filling quantity at 35.8 mL/100.0 mL, resulting in 0.132 g yield of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain. Conclusion The optimal culture condition for the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain has been identified, and the optimized culture medium and fermentation condition may effectively improve the fermentation yield of the P. aurantiocandidum Z12 strain.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the effectiveness of lobulated pedicled rectus abdominis myocutaneous flap to repair huge chest wall defect. METHODS: Between June 2021 and June 2022, 14 patients with huge chest wall defects were treated with radical resection of the lesion and lobulated pedicled rectus abdominis myocutaneous flap transplantation for reconstruction of chest wall defects. The patients included 5 males and 9 females with an average age of 44.2 years (range, 32-57 years). The size of skin and soft tissue defect ranged from 20 cm×16 cm to 22 cm×22 cm. The bilateral pedicled rectus abdominis myocutaneous flaps in size of 26 cm×8 cm to 35 cm×14 cm were prepaired and cut into two skin paddles with basically equal area according to the actual defect size of the chest wall. After the lobulated pedicled rectus abdominis myocutaneous flap was transferred to the defect, there were two reshaping methods. The first method was that the skin paddle at the lower position and opposite side was unchanged, and the skin paddle at the effected side was rotated by 90° (7 cases). The second method was that the two skin paddles were rotated 90° respectively (7 cases). The donor site was sutured directly. RESULTS: All 14 flaps survived successfully and the wound healed by first intention. The incisions at donor site healed by first intention. All patients were followed up 6-12 months (mean, 8.7 months). The appearance and texture of the flaps were satisfactory. Only linear scar was left at the donor site, and the appearance and activity of the abdominal wall were not affected. No local recurrence was found in all tumor patients, and distant metastasis occurred in 2 breast cancer patients (1 liver metastasis and 1 lung metastasis). CONCLUSION The lobulated pedicled rectus abdominis myocutaneous flap in repair of huge chest wall defect can ensure the safety of blood supply of the flap to the greatest extent, ensure the effective and full use of the flap tissue, and reduce postoperative complications.
Male ; Female ; Humans ; Adult ; Myocutaneous Flap/surgery* ; Plastic Surgery Procedures ; Thoracic Wall/surgery* ; Rectus Abdominis/transplantation* ; Skin Transplantation ; Breast Neoplasms/surgery* ; Soft Tissue Injuries/surgery* ; Treatment Outcome

Objective:To explore the spatial and temporal distribution patterns of emerging snail-infested sites in different environmental types in Yunnan Province.Methods:The data of snail-infested sites in Yunnan Province from 1950 to 2014 (from Yunnan Institute for Endemic Diseases Control and Prevention), were collected and sorted out, a spatial and temporal database on the distribution of emerging snail-infested sites were established, and the changes in the spatial and temporal distribution of emerging snail-infested sites in different environments types (ditches, tangerines, paddy fields, dry land, beaches and other environments) were studied by using spatial autocorrelation analysis and scanning statistics analysis.Results:From 1950 to 2014, the annual number of emerging snail-infested sites in Yunnan Province reached a peak (1 730) in 1955 and then showed a fluctuating downward trend. From 1993 to 2014, the number of emerging snail-infested sites remained below 100, and increased to 160 and 131, respectively, in 2004 and 2013. The longest mean duration of 43.85 years was recorded for the beaches environment for emerging snail-infested sites, followed by the paddy fields environment with a mean duration of 37.01 years, and the shortest mean duration of 20.44 years for the tangerines environment. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was a positive spatial correlation between the duration of emerging snail-infested sites of different environmental types (global Moran's I ranged from 0.43 to 0.64, P < 0.05). Scanning statistics analysis showed that emerging snail-infested sites of different environmental types had spatial and temporal aggregation ( P < 0.001), with 3- 6 clusters of statistically significant aggregation detected respectively. Conclusion:The emerging snail-infested sites in different environments types in Yunnan Province have spatial and temporal aggregation, and it is necessary to strengthen monitoring and prevention and control of the aggregation areas of different environment types to prevent further spread of the snail.

ObjectiveTo explore the changing trend of negative predictive value and number of false negatives in screening tests under the condition of low infection rate of infectious diseases. MethodsAssuming that the population is 20 million， to calculate the negative predictive value， numbers of true negatives and false negatives of the combination of different sensitivity （75.0%， 80.0%， 85.0%， 90.0%， 95.0%， 99.0%） and specificity （90.0%， 95.0%， 99.0%， 99.9%） when the disease infection rate of the population is 0.10%， 1.0% and 5.0% respectively. ResultsWhen the population infection rate is 0.1%， with the screening test sensitivity ≥75.0% and specificity ≥90.0%， the number of true negatives in 20 million people is about 17.98‒19.96 million. When the sensitivity is 75.0%， the negative predictive value is 99.972%‒99.975%， and the number of false negatives is 5 000； When the sensitivity increases to 99.0%， the negative predictive value is 99.999%， and the number of false negatives decreases to 200. When the population infection rate is 1.0%， a screening test with sensitivity ≥75.0% and specificity ≥90.0% can detect about 17.82‒19.78 million true negatives in 20 million population. When the sensitivity is 75.0%， the negative predictive value is 99.720%‒99.748%， and the number of false negatives is 50 000； When the sensitivity increases to 99.0%， the negative predictive value increases to 99.990%， and the number of false negatives decreases to 2 000. When the population infection rate is 5.0%， with sensitivity ≥75.0% and specificity ≥90.0%， the number of true negatives in 20 million people is about 17.10‒18.98 million； when the sensitivity is 75.0%， the negative predictive value is 98.559%‒98.700%， and the number of false negatives can reach 250 000； When the sensitivity is 99.0%， the negative predictive value increases to 99.942%‒99.947%， and the number of false negatives decreases to 10 000. The lower the infection rate of the population， the fewer false negatives will appear in the screening. ConclusionThe number of false negatives in large-scale screenings increases exponentially with the increase of infection rate. Screenings should be carried out as early as possible in a pandemic of infectious diseases， so as to control the spread of the pandemic as soon as possible.

ObjectiveTo explore the positive predictive value （PPV） and false positive （FP） number of screening test in mass testing when the prevalence of infection is low. MethodsAssuming a population of 20 million with the prevalence of disease infection ranging from 0.1% to 5.0%， PPV， true positive （TP） and FP numbers were calculated under different scenarios of combination of sensitivity （99.0%， 99.5%， and 100.0%） with specificity （97.0%， 97.5%， 98.0%， 98.5%， 99.0%， 99.5%， and 99.9%）. ResultsFor low infection prevalence （≤5.0%）， specificity has a greater impact on PPV than sensitivity； with the decrease of infection prevalence， the increase in PPV elevates when the specificity increases. When the infection prevalence is >1.0%， the closer the specificity is to 99.9%， the closer the PPV is to 100.0%. However， when the infection prevalence is <1.0%， the maximum PPV is only about 90.0%. When the infection rate is 0.1%， a screening test with more than 99.0% sensitivity could detect about 20 thousand TP cases in a population of 20 million. Additionally， the FP and PPV are estimated to be 599 thousand and 3.2% if the specificity is 97.0%， and 20 thousand and 50.0% if the specificity is 99.9%. When the infection rate is 1.0%， a screening test with ≥99.0% sensitivity and ≥97.0% specificity could detect about 0.198‒0.200 million TP cases； and the number of FP decreases from 594 thousand to 20 thousand when the specificity increases from 97.0% to 99.9%. When the infection rate is 5.0%， a screening test with ≥99.0% sensitivity and ≥97.0% specificity could detect about 0.99‒1.00 million TP cases； and the number of FP decreases from 570 thousand to 19 thousand when the specificity increases from 97.0% to 99.9%. When the infection prevalence is ≤5.0% in a total population of 20 million， there are about 20，000 FP cases even if the sensitivity and specificity reach the maximum values of 100.0% and 99.9%， respectively. ConclusionWhen the population is large and the infection prevalence is low， in addition to improving the specificity of the screening test in mass testing， the problem of a large number of false positives cannot be ignored.

Animals ; Antibodies, Neutralizing/biosynthesis* ; Antibodies, Viral/biosynthesis* ; Body Weight/immunology* ; COVID-19/virology* ; Disease Models, Animal ; Disease Progression ; Humans ; Immunohistochemistry ; Lung/virology* ; Male ; Mesocricetus ; Nasal Cavity/virology* ; RNA, Viral/immunology* ; SARS-CoV-2/pathogenicity* ; Severity of Illness Index ; Viral Load

Objective: To investigate the method and effect of free anterolateral thigh myocutaneous flap combined with pedicled latissimus dorsi myocutaneous flap transfer for functional reconstruction after resection of huge shoulder tumor. Methods: The clinical data of 6 patients who were treated with pedicled latissimus dorsi myocutaneous flap combined with free anterolateral thigh myocutaneous flap to repair large-area complex defects after shoulder tumor resection at Department of Oncology Plastic Surgery, Hunan Province Cancer Hospital from December 2015 to December 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 2 males and 4 females, with an average age of 41.7 years (range:29 to 56 years). There were 2 cases of synovial sarcoma,2 cases of phylloid cell sarcoma,1 case of liposarcoma and 1 case of fibrosarcoma. Before this operation, tumor resection had been performed for 1 to 5 times on each case,and the course of disease was 6 to 24 months. Pedicled latissimus dorsi myocutaneous flap combined with free anterolateral thigh myocutaneous flap were used to repair soft tissue defects and reconstruct deltoid function. Postoperative flap status, complications, appearance and function of upper limbs and tumor recurrence were recorded. Results: Six patients were followed up for an average of 21.6 months (range: 12 to 36 months). There were no serious complications after operation,and all flaps survived. No tumor recurrence was found. The appearance of shoulder contour reconstructed by flaps was satisfactory. The reinnervation effect of lateral femoral muscle was confirmed recovered smoothly by neuroelectromyography 3 months after operation. Shoulder function was mildly limited in 3 patients,moderately limited in 2 patients and severely limited in 1 patient. All patients reported significant improvement in shoulder discomfort.The overall functional results of all patients were satisfactory. Conclusion: Combined myocutaneous flaps transplantation can perfectly repair the wound left after the resection of huge shoulder tumor,minimize the recurrence of tumor,reconstruct the function of shoulder joint and greatly improve the quality of life of patients.
Male ; Female ; Humans ; Adult ; Myocutaneous Flap ; Thigh ; Superficial Back Muscles ; Shoulder ; Quality of Life ; Retrospective Studies ; Skin Transplantation ; Plastic Surgery Procedures/methods* ; Mammaplasty ; Upper Extremity ; Sarcoma ; Treatment Outcome ; Soft Tissue Injuries