1.Feasibility study on the evaluation of parieto-occipital sulcus of normal fetuses by simplified grade of prenatal ultrasound
Yue QIN ; Dandan LUO ; Huaxuan WEN ; Qing ZENG ; Meiyu ZHENG ; Meiling LIANG ; Yimei LIAO ; Xin WEN ; Zhixuan CHEN ; Bocheng LIANG ; Shengli LI
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2024;33(9):776-783
Objective:To validate the morphological changes of the parieto-occipital sulcus on the transcalvarial axial plane between 20 and 32 weeks of gestation, simplify grade for assessing fetal parieto-occipital sulcus development, and confirm its clinical feasibility.Methods:This was a cross-sectional study analysis that included 550 cases of normal singleton fetuses between 20 and 32 weeks of gestation, who underwent routine ultrasound examinations at Shenzhen Maternity and Child Healthcare Hospital from September 2019 to June 2022. The morphological changes of the bilateral parieto-occipital sulci on the transcalvarial axial plane were observed. The development of the parieto-occipital sulcus was classified into 6 grades based on the developmental features of angulation, progressive closure, and curvilinear growth: straight or shallow arcuate (Grade 0), shallow and wide V-shaped (Grade 1), deep and narrow V-shaped (Grade 2), Y-shaped (Grade 3), I-shaped (Grade 4), and curvilinear (Grade 5). The gestational age at examination and pregnancy outcomes were recorded. The distribution of gestational weeks for fetuses with different grades of parieto-occipital sulci on the left and right sides was analyzed. The symmetry between bilateral parieto-occipital sulcus gradings within individuals, as well as the inter-observer and intra-observer reliability were assessed using the Weighted Kappa coefficient. The gender differences in asymmetry of parieto-occipital sulci grades between the left and right sides was analyzed. Moreover, a model for predicting the grade of the parieto-occipital sulcus based on gestational week was established.Results:Grade for the left parieto-occipital sulcus was obtained for 549 fetuses, while grade for the right was obtained for 550 fetuses. From 20 to 32 weeks of gestation, the morphology of the fetal parieto-occipital sulcus was divided into Grade 0-5, progressing from low to high with gestational development. Grade 0 showed that the sulcus was not visible or only had a slight arcuate indentation, occurring at 20-22 weeks; Grade 1 presented as a shallow and wide "V" shape with an obtuse angle at the top, appearing from 20 to 27 weeks; Grade 2 was a deep and narrow "V" shape with an acute angle at the top, appearing from 24 to 29 weeks; Grade 3 appeared as a "Y" shape with the top part partially closed and the bottom still open, occurring between 26 to 30 weeks; Grade 4 was a fully closed "I" shape, appearing at 29-32 weeks; Grade 5 presented as a curved shape, indicating the parieto-occipital sulcus was approaching maturity, appearing from 31 to 32 weeks. There was no statistically significant difference in the distribution of gestational weeks for bilateral parieto-occipital sulcus developmental grade ( P>0.05). Bilateral parieto-occipital sulcus grade could be assessed in 549 fetuses, of which 43 cases (7.83%) exhibited grade asymmetry with a one-grade difference between sides; such asymmetry showed no significant difference between male and female genders ( P=0.647). The weighted kappa coefficient analysis results indicated a strong consistency in the development of the parieto-occipital sulci on both sides within individuals, generally demonstrating symmetrical development ( P<0.001). The intra-observer and inter-observer weighted kappa coefficients were 0.92 and 0.75, respectively, with good consistency. Conclusions:Prenatal ultrasound via the transcalvarial axial plane enables a preliminary and rapid assessment of the development of bilateral parieto-occipital sulci, facilitating early evaluation of fetal cortical maturation.
2.A cross-sectional study of simplified grade of the transcalvarial axial plane in evaluating the convexity sulci of normal fetuses
Yue QIN ; Huaxuan WEN ; Dandan LUO ; Qing ZENG ; Meiyu ZHENG ; Meiling LIANG ; Yimei LIAO ; Xin WEN ; Bocheng LIANG ; Ying YUAN ; Shengli LI
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2024;33(10):884-890
Objective:To study the stability and morphological changes of the convexity sulci in normal fetuses between 20 and 32 weeks, and to explore the simplified grade for evaluating the convexity sulci development and analyzing its clinical significance.Methods:This study was a cross-sectional analysis. A total of 551 cases of normal singleton pregnancies between 20 and 32 weeks of gestation were retrospectively collected, who underwent routine ultrasound examinations at Shenzhen Maternity and Child Healthcare Hospital from September 2019 to June 2022. The display of the far-field convexity sulci on the transcalvarial axial plane was observed as 0 for not displayed and 1 for displayed.Further, based on the morphology and number of convexity sulci, they were classified into five grades: no sulcus displayed (grade 0), one sulcus (grade 1), two sulci (grade 2), three sulci (grade 3), and four or more sulci (grade 4). The gestational age at examination and pregnancy outcomes were recorded. The distribution characteristics of gestational weeks for each grade of the convexity sulci were analyzed, and the gestational week distribution of the left and right convexity sulci was compared to analyze bilateral symmetry. The Weighted Kappa coefficient was used to analyze inter-observer and intra-observer consistency, and curve regression analysis was employed to establish a model for predicting grade based on gestational weeks.Results:Before 25 weeks of gestation, the convexity of the fetal cranial vertex was completely smooth.The central sulcus consistently appeared after 26 weeks, while the superior frontal sulcus, intraparietal sulcus, postcentral sulcus, and precentral sulcus consistently appeared between 28 and 31 weeks. Among these, the superior frontal sulcus had a lower display rate before 29 weeks. By 32 weeks, all convexity sulci of the cranial vertex should be visible. Three hundred and eleven fetuses were graded for the left, and 240 fetuses were graded for the right. The developmental grade of the convexity sulci increased from Grade 0 to Grade 4 as the gestational age progressed. Grade 0 appeared between 20-26 weeks, grade 1 between 25-28 weeks, grade 2 between 26-28 weeks, grade 3 between 27-30 weeks, and grade 4 between 27-32 weeks. The distribution of grade did not differ significantly between the left and right sides of grade 0, 1, 3 and 4 (all P>0.05), while there was a significant difference in the distribution of gestational age between the convexity sulci of grade 2 ( P<0.05). The Weighted Kappa coefficients for intra-observer and inter-observer consistency were 0.94 and 0.86, respectively, indicating strong consistency. Conclusions:The simplified grade for assessing the development of convexity sulci in normal fetuses on the transcalvarial axial plane via prenatal ultrasound can provide a preliminary evaluation of the maturation of convexity sulci in fetuses between 20 and 32 weeks of gestation.
3.Prenatal imaging classification and potential diseases of fetal abnormal sylvian fissure
Yimei LIAO ; Bing WANG ; Huaxuan WEN ; Shuyuan OUYANG ; Dongming HAN ; Caiqun LUO ; Yang LIU ; Bingguang LIU ; Qing ZENG ; Yue QIN ; Dandan LUO ; Meiling LIANG ; Xin WEN ; Zhixuan CHEN ; Haishan XIANG ; Ying YUAN ; Guanxun CHENG ; Shengli LI
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2023;32(3):211-219
Objective:To assess the ultrasonographic features and potential diseases of fetal abnormal sylvian fissure(SF), and to explore the value of whole-genome sequencing (WGS) in prenatal detection.Methods:A total of 28 fetuses with a sonographic diagnosis of abnormal SF in Shenzhen Maternal and Child Health Hospital Affiliated to Southern Medical University between October 2018 and October 2020 were prospectively included. The fetal brain was evaluated by neuroultrasound and intrauterine MRI in detail. Amniotic fluid/cord blood obtained by amniocentesis or tissue samples from umbilical cord after birth were collected for WGS. Pregnancy outcomes and postnatal MRI were recorded, and neurodevelopment of live-born infants was followed up for more than 24 months after delivery.Results:During the study period, 28 fetuses with abnormal SF were identified, with a gestational age of 21.3-30.0 (24.8±2.0) weeks. Abnormal SF presented in MCD ( n=15, 53.6%), chromosomal anomalies ( n=3, 10.7%) or single-gene genetic syndromes ( n=3, 10.7%) with the affected fetuses showing developmental delay, hydrocephalus or leukomalacia ( n=4, 14.2%), corpus callosal agenesis with large interhemispheric cysts ( n=1, 3.6%), benign subarachnoid space enlargement with arachnoid cysts ( n=1, 3.6%), and multiple malformations ( n=1, 3.6%). Among the 15 cases with MCD, the most common pathology was lissencephaly/pachygyria, followed by schizencephaly, severe microcephaly, hemimegalencephaly with paraventricular heterotopia, and polymicrogyria. Abnormal SF presented bilaterally in 23 fetuses and unilaterally in 5. All cases were categorized into six types depending on SF morphology in the transthalamic section: no plateau-like or a small insula, linear type, irregular corrugated SF, Z-shaped, and cyst occupying type. In addition to abnormal SF, associated anomalies or mild variations were identified in all fetuses. There were 17 cases underwent intrauterine MRI, and 13 cases underwent postnatal MRI examination.And 25 pregnancies were terminated; 3 were born alive, and 2 had typical syndromic changes with poor neurodevelopmental prognosis. A related pathogenic genetic variant was detected in 57.1% (16/28) fetus, and the incidence of single nucleotide variants(SNVs) was 42.9% (12/28), among which de novo SNVs accounted for 91.7% (11/12). Conclusions:Fetal abnormal SF could be classified based on the ultrasonographic features of transthalamic section. Fetal abnormal SF may indicate MCD, some chromosomal abnormalities or single-gene genetic syndromes that may lead to poor neurodevelopmental outcomes, and may be affected by extra-cortical factors. It is suggested to carry out targeted prenatal genetic diagnosis for fetuses with abnormal SF.
4.Study on Pharmacokinetics and Bioavailability of Naproxen Choline Ionic Liquid in Rat
TANG Yimei ; HU Benquan ; ZHANG Bo ; XIN Nina ; HE Maofang ; ZHANG Yuzhen
Chinese Journal of Modern Applied Pharmacy 2023;40(18):2506-2511
OBJECTIVE To investigate the pharmacokinetics and bioavailability of naproxen choline ionic liquid in rats after intragastric administration. METHODS Naproxen choline ionic liquid was given to rats by intragastric administration. Blood samples were collected at different time points after administration. The blood samples were precipitated by methanol and then centrifuged, and then an Extend-C18 column(4.6 mm×250 mm, 5 μm) was used. Methanol(A)-0.3% phosphoric acid aqueous solution(B) (74:26) was used as the mobile phase, the flow rate was 0.8 mL·min-1, and the detection wavelength was 230 nm. Indomethacin and naproxen were used as internal standard and tested object in determination of naproxen choline ionic liquid in rat plasma. Pharmacokinetic parameters were calculated using DAS 2.0 software. RESULTS After intragastric administration of naproxen suspension to rats, its t1/2α was 5.12 h, t1/2β was 10.13 h, Tmaxwas 2 h, Cmax was 112.92 mg·L-1, and AUC(0-t) was 1 091.01 mg·L-1·h. After intragastric administration of naproxen choline, its t1/2α was 5.64 h, t1/2β was 69.32 h, Tmax was 1 h, Cmax was 135.97 mg·L-1, AUC(0-t) was 1 305.79 mg·L-1·h, and the relative bioavailability was 119.686%. CONCLUSION After intragastric administration of naproxen choline to rats, the peak concentration and bioavailability of the naproxen in vivo are higher than those of the common suspension, and the peak time is earlier.
5.Role of nicotinamide phosphoribosyltransferase in delaying smooth muscle cell senescence and protecting abdominal aortic aneurysm
Hangzhen YANG ; Yimei HONG ; Yanya LIN ; Xin LI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2022;34(6):646-650
Objective:To investigate the protective effect of nicotinamide phosphoribosyltransferase (NAMPT) on abdominal aortic aneurysm by delaying the senescence of aortic vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMC).Methods:The primary VSMC cells from normal and patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm were cultured by tissue adherence method. Cells were divided into normal human-derived VSMC group (Ctrl-VSMC group), abdominal aortic aneurysm patient-derived VSMC group (AAA-VSMC group), and angiotensinⅡ(AngⅡ) in vitro abdominal aortic aneurysm model group (AngⅡ-VSMC group, 100 nmol/L AngⅡ treated normal human-derived VSMC for 48 hours), AngⅡ+P7C3 group and AAA+P7C3 group after NAMPT agonist P7C3 intervention (adding 5 μmol/L P7C3 on the basis of AngⅡ-VSMC group and AAA-VSMC group, respectively). Immunofluorescence staining was used to identify VSMC; cell proliferation-associated antigen Ki67 staining was used to detect cell proliferation; senescence associated β-galactosidase (SA-β-gal) staining was used to detect cell senescence in each group; Western blotting was used to detect the protein expression levels of senescence-related proteins p21, p16 and NAMPT in each group. Results:Compared with the Ctrl-VSMC group, the positive rate of SA-β-gal staining and the expression levels of senescence-related proteins p21 and p16 in the AAA-VSMC group and AngⅡ-VSMC group were significantly increased [SA-β-gal staining positive rate: (74.1±4.4)%, (68.6±5.5)% vs. (36.8±10.3)%, p21/GAPDH: 0.61±0.07, 0.51±0.03 vs. 0.31±0.03, p16/GAPDH: 0.77±0.03, 0.72±0.06 vs. 0.33±0.26, all P < 0.01]. However, the expression of NAMPT was significantly decreased (NAMPT/GAPDH: 0.88±0.07, 0.79±0.14 vs. 1.29±0.02, both P < 0.01). Compared with the AngⅡ-VSMC group, the positive rate of SA-β-gal staining and the expressions levels of senescence-related proteins p21 and p16 in the AngⅡ+P7C3 group were significantly lower [SA-β-gal staining positive rate: (49.1±3.2)% vs. (68.6±5.5)%, p21/GAPDH: 0.35±0.06 vs. 0.51±0.03, p16/GAPDH: 0.47±0.08 vs. 0.72±0.06, all P < 0.05], while the expression of NAMPT was significantly increased (NAMPT/GAPDH: 1.15±0.06 vs. 0.79±0.14, P < 0.01). Compared with the AAA-VSMC group, the positive rate of SA-β-gal staining and the expression levels of senescence-related proteins p21 and p16 in the AAA+P7C3 group were significantly lower [SA-β-gal staining positive rate: (54.1±6.0)% vs. (74.1±4.4)%, p21/GAPDH: 0.38±0.02 vs. 0.61±0.07, p16/GAPDH: 0.50±0.13 vs. 0.77±0.03, all P < 0.05], but the expression of NAMPT was significantly increased (NAMPT/GAPDH: 1.25±0.28 vs. 0.88±0.07, P < 0.01). Conclusion:NAMPT agonist P7C3 can delay the senescence of VSMC and play a protective role in abdominal aortic aneurysm.
6.Feasibility study of prenatal ultrasound in the evaluation of normal fetal sylvian fissure maturation by simplified grading
Yimei LIAO ; Huaxuan WEN ; Bing WANG ; Haishan XIANG ; Qing ZENG ; Yue QIN ; Dandan LUO ; Meiling LIANG ; Xin WEN ; Yan DING ; Mengyu ZHANG ; Zhixuan CHEN ; Ying YUAN ; Shengli LI
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2022;31(1):30-36
Objective:To observe the morphological changes of the sylvian fissure on the transthalamic section of fetal brain at 20-32 weeks, and grade the fetal sylvian fissure development by means of a simple scoring system and explore its clinical feasibility.Methods:From September 2018 to June 2020, 487 normal single fetuses of 20-32 weeks were examined in Shenzhen Maternal and Child Health Hospital Affiliated to Southern Medical University. The sylvian fissure maturation was analyzed on the transthalamic section of fetal brain at 20-32 weeks and was graded from 0 to 5: un-visualized (grade 0), shallow arc (grade 1), obtuse-angled platform (grade 2), right-angled platform (grade 3), acute-angled platform (grade 4), and closed operculum (grade 5). The pregnancy outcomes and gestational age were recorded.Statistical analysis was performed by SPSS 20.0 software using box plot, Mann-Whitney U test, Weighted Kappa coefficient. Results:Left sylvian fissuer grades were obtained in 280 fetuses and right sylvian fissure grades were obtained in 247 fetuses. The fetal sylvian fissure maturation at 20-32 weeks was graded from 0 to 5, which increased with advancing gestation. Grade 0 only appeared in 3 fetuses at 20 weeks, and 99.4% fetuses at 20 weeks had grade ≥1. Grade 1 appeared in 20-22 weeks, grade 2 in 20-25 weeks, grade 3 in 22-26 weeks, grade 4 in 25-32 weeks, and grade 5 in 27-32 weeks. Box-plot and Mann-Whitney U test showed that gestational week distribution of sylvian fissure at all grades was symmetric on both sides ( P>0.05). The Weighted Kappa coefficients were 0.857(95% CI=0.750-0.957) and 0.939 (95% CI=0.859-1.000), respectively, with strong consistency regarding inter- and intra-observer agreements. Conclusions:Fetal sylvian fissure maturation at 20-32 weeks can be evaluated by means of a simple scoring system with symmetrical grading of both sides.
7.Post-thyroidectomy syndrome following endoscopic thyroidectomy via areola approach vs open operation: a retrospective cohort study
Li YU ; Yuan HU ; Xiting BAO ; Xin LIU ; Yiqing SHI ; Yimei JIANG ; Ming XIANG ; Qinghua WU
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2021;15(4):382-386
Objective:To estimate and analyze the occurrence of post-thyroidectomy syndrome (PTS) following endoscopic thyroidectomy via areola approach (ETAA) vs open thyroidectomy (OT) .Methods:Data of 903 consecutive cases, aged from 20 to 66 with 231 males and 672 females, in Department of General Surgery, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine, from Jan. 2016 to Dec. 2017 were analyzed retrospectively. They were enrolled according to the same criteria. Based on different procedures, the cases were divided into ETAA group (n=162) and OT group (n=741) . Intraoperative procedure was according to unified principle. Drainage tube was removed if 24-hour drainage volume was less than 20 ml. Following-up was implemented by telephone or outpatient clinic. Data of 2 groups of 5 PTS items during 1 m, 3 m, 6 m and 1 y postoperatively and the scores of the medical outcomes study short form 36-item health survey (SF-36) V2 were analyzed by independent sample t test and repeated measures analysis of variance. Results:The patients of 2 groups were all followed up for more than 1 y with 43 cases censored (4.8%) . Demographic data of the rest of 2 groups were not different statistically ( P>0.05) . Median of every phase scores of the 5 items of PTS were 0 to 1. Scores of the 5 items were decreased gradually in accordance with time factor ( P=0.000) . The scores of peculiar feeling at the surgical site and discomfort in neck were different statistically during 1 m and 3 m postoperatively ( P=0.000) . Incidence of peculiar feeling at the surgical site in 1 m and 3 m postoperatively in ETAA group (54, 38.8% and 8, 5.8%) was higher than that in OT group (153, 21.2% and 20, 2.8%) . However, incidence of discomfort in neck in ETAA group (14, 10.1% and 0) was lower than in OT group (194, 26.9% and 53, 7.4%) . The other 3 items at all phases were not different statistically ( P>0.05) . The SF-36 V2 scores at 1 y postoperatively of 2 groups were not different statistically ( P=0.458) . Conclusions:PTS is a common symptom after OT or ETAA. It is frequent within early phase after thyroidectomy and is decreased significantly within 6 m. Peculiar feeling at the surgical site occurs less in OT than in ETAA in early postoperative phase and discomfort in neck occurs more, conversely.
8.Analysis of the safety and feasibility of transabdominal preperitoneal approach in the treatment of huge inguinoscrotal hernia
Qinghua WU ; Xin LIU ; Xiting BAO ; Jiele HU ; Xiaowei YAN ; Kun LIU ; Yimei JIANG ; Ming XIANG
International Journal of Surgery 2020;47(10):658-661
Objective:To summarize the experience of laparoscopic transabdominal preperitoneal hernia repair (TAPP) and to discuss its safety and feasibility.Methods:Data of 26 consecutive cases from January 2015 to March 2018 in Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine were analyzed retrospectively. They were all males, aged (68.3±14.1) years, with a range from 57 to 86 years. Body mass index was (23.3±4.1) kg/m 2. Bathel indexwas 91.4±5.6. Intraoperative main procedures were done in accordance to Guideline of Standardized Operation for Laparoscopic Inguinal Hernia Repair. A drainage tube or catheter was not routinely placed intraoperatively. Patients were discharged but for any complaints. Observation data included intraoperative, postoperative and following-up data. The following-up period was more than 12 months by telephone or clinic. The long-term complications and the changes of Barthel index were observed. Paired sample t test was used to compare the changes of Barthel index before and after operation. Results:Of the 26 cases, none was converted to open procedure and no intra- or post-operative serious complications occurred. Occurrence of surgical site seroma was 17 (65.4%) cases. The operating time was (76.5±23.6) min. Intraoperative blood loss was (8.6±4.4) mL. The postoperative hospitalization was (2.3±1.2) d. Bathel index in 1 month postoperative was 96.9±3.2. It was higher statistically than that preoperative ( t=-6.968, P=0.000). Conclusions:TAPP in the treatment of huge inguinoscrotal hernia is safe and feasible. Mastering the anatomical characteristics and the according procedures is an important factor for successful operation.
9.Robustness of MRI-based manual segmentation of organs at risk for cervical cancer
Shaoling MO ; Yimei LIU ; Xin YANG ; Liru HE ; Sijuan HUANG
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2020;40(9):674-678
Objective:The aim of the study is to investigate the inter-observer and intra-observer precision in manually segmentation of organs-at-risk(OARs) for cervical cancer on the basis of MR image, and to preliminarily explore sequence selection designed for radiotherapy planning.Methods:Thirty cervical cancer patients scanned by MR-sim from 2016 to 2018 in the department of radiotherapy of Sun Yat-sen university cancer center were retrospectively analyzed. T1WI, T1dixonc and T2WI sequence from MR-simulator were selected and imported into Monaco planning system. Manual segmentation of 5 organs-at-risk (bladder, rectum, anal canal, and left/ right femoral head) was done by 2 independent experienced physicians on three sequences acquired from these patients. A month later, the second segmentation of the OARs in the T1WI sequence was done by one of the two physicians. Dice similarity coefficient (DSC), Hausdorff distance (HD) and position difference(Δ x, Δ y, Δ z) of each OAR were used to analyze the robustness of inter-observer and intra-observer segmentation OARs. Results:The HD values of five OARs segmentation by the two physicians in T1WI, T1dixonc and T2WI sequences and the same physician in T1WI at different time were all less than 2 mm; the position differences were less than 5 mm. The DSC values, HD values and difference position values of the two physician and the same physician at different time was positively correlated with the volume of OARs ( R=0.178-0.582, P<0.05). Due to the small volume of the anal canal (7.385±1.555) cm 3, the DSC values were less than 0.7 and the performance was slightly worse. The average DSC values of other OARs were all greater than 0.82. Comparing the DSC, HD and position differences of OARs in the three sequences, DSC values of rectum, left / right femoral head and bladder, HD values of left/right femoral head and rectum, and Δ z axis difference of anal canal and right femoral head of T1WI sequence were better than T1dixonc ( t=-3.116-3.604, P<0.05); DSC value of rectum and HD value of anal canal in T1WI sequence were better than T2WI sequence( t= 2.934, 3.677, P<0.05 ); T1dixonc sequence rectal DSC, right femoral head Δ z axis difference were slightly better than T2WI( t=6.806, 2.130, P<0.05 ). T2WI sequence bone tissue (left/right femoral head) stability was better than T1WI, T1dixonc, and the difference was statistically significant ( t=-6.580-6.542, P<0.05). Conclusions:From three index of DSC, HD and position difference, the robustness of inter-observer and intra-observer segmentation of bladder, rectum and femoral head are fine based on MR sequence, followed by anal canal. In addition, the robustness of OARs segmentation by T1WI sequence is better than that of T1dixonc and T2WI sequence.
10.Construction of risk prediction model for acute type A aortic dissection
Yanya LIN ; Fei MA ; Gen YE ; Yimei HONG ; Xin LI
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2019;28(6):729-735
Objective To analyze the risk factors associated with acute type A aortic dissection,and to establish an effective predictive scoring model for early clinical intervention.Methods A retrospective review of 200 patients diagnosed as acute type A aortic dissection in the Department of Emergency,Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital between April 1,2012 and March 31,2017 was conducted as a modeling group.There were 160 males and 40 females with age of (53.30 ±13.19) years.According to the criteria of dissection rupture within 72 h after CTA examination,patients were divided into a rupture group (100 cases) and an unruptured group (100 cases).A prediction model of rupture risk was established based on the multivariate Logistic regression analysis of the risk factors of acute A-type aortic dissection in the early stage.After the establishment of the model,a prospective review of 80 patients diagnosed as acute type A aortic dissection in our hospital between April 1,2017 and May 31,2018 was conducted as a validation group.There were 57 males and 23 females with age of (54.00 ±13.68) years.In the validation group,there were 53 patients with rupture and 27 patients without rupture.Furthermore,this model was verified in the validation group.The scores were divided into low-risk rupture and high-risk rupture according to the best cut-off value of the receiver operating model curve of the modeling group.Results Logistic regression analysis showed that 10 factors were finally established the rupture risk prediction score model.The factors were as following:age >63 years (2 points),women (2 points),ventilator assisted ventilation (3 points),AST >80 U/L (2 points),no distortion of the inner membrane (2 points),diameter of the aortic sinus >41 mm (1 point),maximum diameter of the ascending aorta >48 mm (1 point),ratio of false lumen area to true lumen area >2.12 (2 points),Lac >1.9 mmol/ L (3 points),and WBC >14.2×109/L (1 point).The results of validation showed that the scoring model had a high predictive value (AUC =0.928,95% CI:0.872-0.984,P < 0.001) and goodness of fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow x2 =8.331,P =0.402).Moreover,the scoring model was further divided into low-risk (0-6 points) and high-risk (7-19 points),with sensitivity of 83.0% and specificity of 86.0%.Conclusions The predictive model of dissection risk in the acute type A aortic dissection constructed within 72 h after CTA is helpful for the evaluation of the disease and early intervention,and has certain clinical application value.


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