[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.

Background and purpose:Rectal cancer is one of the malignant tumors that seriously harm human health in the world,ranking third in incidence and second in mortality.With the development of social and economic level,the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in China are increasing,and China becomes one of the countries with high incidence of colorectal cancer disease in the world.The recommended treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer is neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy combined with surgery,which greatly improves the prognosis of patients.However,intestinal adverse reactions such as diarrhea caused by neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy are increased,and some patients are forced to delay or interrupt treatment due to serious side effects.Amifostine is a broad-spectrum normal cell protective agent,which has good protective effect against various radiochemotherapy toxicity.We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who received neoadjuvant radiotherapy combined with irinotecan concurrent chemotherapy to investigate whether concurrent use of amifostine alleviated gastrointestinal and hematological toxicities.Methods:A retrospective cohort analysis was used in this study.Clinical data of patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy at the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Fudan University during the period of discharge from January 1,2018 to December 31,2019 were retrospectively collected.The patients were divided into 2 groups by whether amifostine was used during the same period.The main purpose of the study was to analyze whether amifostine can reduce gastrointestinal and hematological toxicities,and secondary objectives included whether amifostine could alter tumor marker levels,mesorectal fascia invasion(MRF)positive rate,extramural vascular invasion,positive rate of EMVI and pathological complete response(pCR).Using SAS9.4 statistical software,the normality test was carried out for continuous variables.The rank sum test of Wilcoxon was performed when the diarrhea grade did not conform to normal distribution.Analysis of variance was performed for intra-group comparison,and Wilcoxon rank sum test was performed for inter-group comparison.Because of the imbalance between groups,the difference between the two groups was compared using a generalized linear model.This study strictly followed the STrengthening the Reporting of OBservational studies in Epidemiology(STROBE)guidelines to ensure the transparency of the research methodology and the reliability of the results.Results:Finally,154 eligible patients were included,of whom 78 were in the amifostine group and 76 were in the control group.The highest grade of diarrhea in amifostine group was 1.00(1.00,1.00),lower than that in control group(2.00,3.00),and the difference between groups was statistically significant(P＜0.01).After radiotherapy,white blood cell count(WBC),hemoglobin(HB)and absolute neutrophil count(ANC)from the two groups were obtained.ANC and platelet count(PLT)showed no statistically significant difference(P＞0.05),and the lowest values of WBC,RBC and PLT did not have statistically significant difference between the two groups during neoadjuvant period(P＞0.05).Amifostine may not alleviate hematological toxicity.Carbohydrate antigen 72-4(CA72-4)(Z=2.22,P=0.03),carbohydrate antigen 50(CA50)(Z=-2.49,P=0.01)and carbohydrate antigen 24-2(CA24-2)had statistically significant difference(Z=-2.29,P=0.02).There were no significant differences in MRF positive rate(P=0.11),EMVI positive rate(P=0.61)and pCR rate(P=0.94)between the two groups.Conclusion:Concurrent administration of amifostine in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy can reduce gastrointestinal toxicity and reduce the levels of tumor markers CA72-4,CA50 and CA24-2.However,it may have no significant effect on improving hematological toxicity,MRF and EMVI positive rate and pCR rate.

Objective:To explore the clinical value of shear wave elastography in the diagnosis and pathological classification of nephrotic syndrome.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 43 patients with primary nephrotic syndrome (primary nephrotic syndrome group) diagnosed through renal biopsy at the Yongchuan Hospital Affiliated to Chongqing Medical University from June 2022 to March 2023. They were further divided into three subgroups: mesangial proliferative glomerulonephritis group, membranous nephropathy group, and minimal change nephropathy group. Another 30 healthy individuals were selected as the control group. We applied shear wave elastography to measure the shear wave velocity of the right renal lower pole parenchyma and statistically analyzed the differences in shear wave velocity between each group.Results:There was a statistically significant difference in shear wave velocity between the primary nephrotic syndrome group [(1.76±0.41)m/s] and the control group [(1.55±0.34)m/s] ( P<0.05); The shear wave velocity in the membranous nephropathy group [(1.97±0.36)m/s] was the highest, and there was a statistically significant difference ( P<0.05) compared to the small lesion nephropathy group [(1.54±0.42)m/s]; There was no statistically significant difference in shear wave velocity between the membranous nephropathy group and the mesangial proliferative glomerulonephritis group [(1.74±0.38)m/s], as well as between the mesangial proliferative glomerulonephritis group and the small lesion nephropathy group (all P>0.05). Conclusions:Shear wave elastography is a non-invasive examination that provides valuable clinical clues for the diagnosis and pathological classification of nephrotic syndrome by detecting the shear wave velocity of the kidney.

Objective:To evaluate the impact of different methods of human milk fortifier (HMF) on the growth and development of preterm infants.Methods:Computer searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase, Clinicaltrials, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Data, VIP Database, and China National Full-text Database for biomedical literature from database inception to December 1, 2022. The inclusion criteria encompassed randomized controlled studies (RCTs) involving infants with a gestational age of less than 37 weeks who were subjected to HMF. The quality of included studies was assessed using the Cochrane bias analysis tool. Meta-analyses were performed using RevMan 5.3 software to compare individual fortification with standard fortification, targeted fortification with adjusted fortification of breast milk, and their effects on preterm infant weight gain, length, head circumference growth rates, as well as the incidence of bronchopulmonary dysplasia, osteopenia, feeding intolerance, and necrotizing enterocolitis.Results:A total of 11 RCTs were included, with 10 having low to moderate bias risk and 1 having a high bias risk. The results of meta-analysis showed that compared to standard fortification, individual fortification led to an increase in the weight gain rate of preterm infants ( SMD=0.87,95% CI 0.36-1.38 ,P<0.001), with no statistically significant differences observed in the effects on length and head circumference growth rates ( SMD=0.64,95% CI -0.07-1.34, P=0.08; SMD=0.58, 95% CI -0.06-1.22, P=0.08). The incidence of feeding intolerance and necrotizing enterocolitis in the individual intensive group was lower than that in the standard intensive group ( RR=0.45, 95% CI 0.22-0.89, P=0.02; RR=0.32, 95% CI 0.13-0.78, P=0.01), but no statistically significant difference in the incidence of bronchopulmonary dysplasia ( RR=0.93, 95% CI 0.76-1.20, P=0.67). Only two studies compared targeted fortification with adjusted fortification for growth and development outcomes in preterm infants, but the results were not consistent. Only one RCT showed no statistically significant difference in the incidence of osteopenia between the targeted fortification and adjusted fortification groups. Conclusions:Compared with standard fortification, individual intensive breastfeeding appears to promote the early growth and development of preterm infants. However, the effect of targeted and adjustable fortification on the growth and development of preterm infants is not significantly different.

Objective:To explore the value of detecting pneumocystis carini(PC)rapidly in immunocompromised patients by loop mediated isothermal amplification(LAMP).Methods:Respiratory tract specimens of immunocompromised children suspected of pneumocystis carinii pneumonia(PCP) at Shanghai Children′s Medical Center, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University were collected from May 2020 to May 2021.PCR and LAMP methods were used to detect PC.Firstly, LAMP primers of PC were synthetized according to the conserved region of PC gene, and the LAMP reaction system and reaction conditions were optimized to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity.Then, the results of pathogens were compared with those of PCR detection.Results:The established LAMP detection technology for PC had high specificity and super sensitivity.The detection results could be obtained within 1 hour.In 12 clinical samples, 10 cases were positive and 2 cases were negative, the coincidence rate of LAMP and PCR technique was 100%.Conclusion:LAMP can detect PC more rapidly and sensitively than PCR, and it can provide a good support for clinical rapid diagnosis of PCP.

Objective:To investigate the pathogens and drug resistance of bacterial enteritis in children, analyze the clinical characteristics of bacterial enteritis in children, and provide basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods:The fecal culture strain and drug sensitivity of patients with bacterial enteritis admitted to our hospital from January 2016 to December 2020 were analyzed and summarized, and the clinical characteristics of patients who were infected by Salmonella and Escherichia coli were compared.Results:There were a total of 173 patients, aged from 21 days to 15 years, with a median age of 2.00(1.10, 3.54)years.Bacterial enteritis was most likely to occur in summer and autumn, and the incidence rate was 40.5% and 29.5%, respectively.One hundreds and seventy-three strains of bacteria were cultured in feces, including 148 strains of Salmonella(85.5%), 18 strains of Escherichia coli(10.4%), five strains of Staphylococcus aureus and two strains of Shigella.One hundreds and one of 141 patients who were infected with Salmonella were detected for leukocytes of in feces(71.6%), and four of 16 patients with Escherichia coli were detected for leukocytes(25.0%). The difference was significant( χ2=14.1, P<0.001). Eighty-eight of 113 patients(77.9%) who were infected by Salmonella with increased CRP(CRP>8 mg/L)and the proportion in Escherichia coli infection cases was 6/13(46.2%). There was significant difference( χ2=4.63, P=0.03). The drug sensitivity of Salmonella and Escherichia coli was summarized.There was no carbapenem resistant strain cultured; The sensitivity to piperacillin/tazobactam and cefoperazone/sulbactam was higher than 85%; The sensitivity to cefepime, ceftazidimeand ceftriaxone was higher than 75%; The sensitivity to ampicillin was lower than 30%, and the sensitivity to quinolones was between 20%-40%. Conclusion:Children aged 1-3 years are prone to bacterial enteritis in summer and autumn.The most common pathogens causing bacterial enteritis are Salmonella and Escherichia coli.White blood cells are more easily detected in feces of patients with Salmonella infection, and the increase rate of C-reactive protein in peripheral blood is higher.Patients with bacterial enteritis are recommended to use the third-generation cephalosporins and aforementioned antibiotics and piperacillin/tazobactam for empirical treatment.The sensitivity to quinolones is reduced, and may not be suitable for clinical application.

Objective:To understand the current situation of nurses in 52 hospitals in China on mastery of knowledge about skin injury in the elderly based on the background of mixed-mode homogenization training.Methods:Using the convenient sampling method, a total of 1 067 nurses from 52 hospitals in China were selected as the research objects in January 2021. A self-designed questionnaire on knowledge of skin injury in the elderly was used to investigate the nurses through the questionnaire star and univariate analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors. A total of 1 067 questionnaires were distributed and 1 067 valid questionnaires were recovered, and the effective recovery rate was 100%.Results:The knowledge scores of pressure injury, incontinence-associated dermatitis, skin tear and xerosis cutis among 1067 nurses were (95.66±7.37) , (95.65±9.15) , (91.37±15.45) and (87.67±15.91) , respectively. The results of univariate analysis showed that hospital grade was the influencing factor of nurses' knowledge score of pressure injury, skin tear and incontinence-associated dermatitis ( P<0.05) , educational background was the influencing factor of nurses' knowledge score of skin tear ( P<0.05) , professional title was the influencing factor of nurses' knowledge scores of pressure injury, incontinence-associated dermatitis and xerosis cutis ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:Hospitals at all levels need to strengthen the theoretical and practical knowledge training for nurses on skin xerosis and skin tear in the elderly, especially for nurses with primary titles and lower education in grassroots hospitals.

Objective:To explore the status and influencing factors of incontinence-associated dermatitis among elderly inpatients in 52 hospitals nationwide, and to analyze the nursing of elderly inpatients with incontinence, so as to provide a reference for clinical intervention.Methods:On March 31, 2021, convenience sampling was used to select 14 675 elderly inpatients from 52 hospitals across the country as the research object. The self-designed Incontinence-associated Dermatitis Questionnaire for Elderly Inpatients was used to collect general demographic data, health status, incontinence, and skin nursing. Binomial Logistic regression was used to investigate the influencing factors of incontinence-associated dermatitis in elderly inpatients.Results:Among 14 675 elderly inpatients, the prevalence rates of xerosis cutis, incontinence and incontinence-associated dermatitis were 38.78% (5 691/14 675) , 11.06% (1 623/14 675) and 1.91% (280/14 675) , respectively. The prevalence of mild, moderate and severe incontinence-associated dermatitis were 1.27% (186/14 675) , 0.55% (81/14 675) , and 0.09% (13/14 675) , respectively. Among the nursing of 1 623 elderly inpatients with incontinence, the items with low implementation rate were the use neutral lotion to clean skin (14.17%, 230/1 623) , use of skin protectant after moisturizing (17.68%, 287/1 623) , moisturizing after cleansing the skin (28.90%, 469/1 623) . The results of binomial Logistic regression analysis showed that xeroderma, fecal incontinence, urinary and fecal incontinence, ≥2 kinds of combined medication, and hospital stay >30 days were risk factors for incontinence-associated dermatitis in elderly inpatients.Conclusions:The risk factors of incontinence-associated dermatitis in elderly inpatients mainly include xerosis cutis, type of incontinence, ≥2 kinds of combined medication, and hospital stay >30 days.

Objective    To review our experience of reoperations for pulmonary venous stenosis (PVS) after total anomalous pulmonary venous connection (TAPVC) repair for the past decade in Fuwai Hospital. Methods    Nine patients underwent reoperation for PVS between 2009 and 2019 in Fuwai Hospital, including 4 males and 5 females with an average age of 5.10±5.00 years. The patients were divided into a sutureless group (n=3) and a non-sutureless group (n=6). Clinical data were reviewed and analyzed. Results    For primary TAPVC type, 4 patients were supracardiac, 2 patients were cardiac, 1 patient was infracardiac, and 2 patients were mixed-type anomaly. The median cardiopulmonary bypass time was 95 (63, 208) min, aortic clamping time was 58 (30, 110) min, ICU stay was 24 (24, 2 136) h. Early hospital death occured in 1 (11.1%) patient. One (11.1%) patient with single ventricle physiology had hospital comorbidity, who underwent hemofitration therapy. The follow-up time was 11.9 (2.2, 18.0) months, during which 1 patient died of restenosis of pulmonary vein and another patient died of stroke. No statistically significant difference was found between the sutureless group and non-sutureless group in postoperative or follow-up results (P>0.05). Conclusion    Surgery is effective for treatment of PVS after repair of TAPVC, yet with a realatively high morbidity and mortality. The advantage of sutureless repair over conventional repair for this particular group of patients is yet to be verified.

Objective:To explore the application value of FilmArray detection in children with acute lower respiratory tract infection and conduct economics analysis.Methods:From December 1, 2016 to November 30, 2017, 1 380 patients were enrolled in our study.Some children(FilmArray group) were tested for respiratory pathogens with FilmArray, while others (control group) were tested by 7-box antigen test of respiratory virus, gold colloid test of influenza and mycoplasma antibody.Those with underlying diseases were excluded.A total of 160 cases in the FilmArray group and 160 cases in the control group were obtained with tendency score matching method.The physical examination of pathogens, clinical indicators, usage of anti-infective drugs and hospitalization related costs were compared.Results:The positive rate of FilmArray test was significantly higher than that in control group (86.88% vs. 45.91%). The most common pathogens detected by FilmArray were adenovirus(39 cases), rhinovirus(34 cases), and parainfluenza virus(30 cases). In the FilmArray group, nine cases were positive for botulinum pertussis, accounting for 5.6% of the total.The hospitalization time of FilmArray group was shorter than that in control group [(8.89±6.23 days vs.(11.51±14.43)days]. In FilmArray group, the antibiotics were used for a shorter time, and 18 children did not use antibiotics during hospitalization.Compared with the control group, the hospitalization cost had no significant difference in the FilmArray group, but the antibiotic cost was less, as well as hospitalization time was shorter.The average hospitalization cost saved by using the FilmArray test was nearly 2 000 yuan per person. Conclusion:The application of FilmArray detection in children with acute lower respiratory tract infection can quickly and accurately identify a various infections of virus, bacteria and atypical pathogen, which guides using anti-infective drugs more reasonably.The application of FilmArray detection shortens the average hospitalization days of children, increases the utilization efficiency of medical resources, and reduces the medical cost and indirect economic loss of children’s families, which has certain economics significance.