[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.

BACKGROUND:We have successfully established an animal model of small ear pig in southern Yunnan province with internal tension relieving technique combined with autologous Achilles tendon for anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction,and verified the stability and reliability of the model.However,whether internal tension relieving technique can promote the ligamentalization process of autologous Achilles tendon graft has not been studied. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the differences in the process of ligamentalization between conventional reconstruction and internal reduction reconstruction of the anterior cruciate ligament by gross view,histology and electron microscopy. METHODS:Thirty adult female small ear pigs in southern Yunnan province were selected.Anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction was performed on the left knee joint with the ipsilateral knee Achilles tendon(n=30 in the normal group),and anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction was performed on the right knee joint with the ipsilateral knee Achilles tendon combined with the internal relaxation and enhancement system(n=30 in the relaxation group).The autogenous right forelimb was used as the control group;the anterior cruciate ligament was exposed but not severed or surgically treated.At 12,24,and 48 weeks after surgery,10 animals were sacrificed,respectively.The left and right knee joint specimens were taken for gross morphological observation to evaluate the graft morphology.MAS score was used to evaluate the excellent and good rate of the ligament at each time point.Hematoxylin-eosin staining was used to evaluate the degree of ligament graft vascularization.Collagen fibers and nuclear morphology were observed,and nuclear morphology was scored.Ultrastructural remodeling was evaluated by scanning electron microscopy and transmission electron microscopy. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The ligament healing shape of the relaxation group was better at various time points after surgery,and the excellent and good rate of MAS score was higher(P<0.05).Moreover,the relaxation group could obtain higher ligament vascularization score(P<0.05).(2)The arrangement of collagen bundles and fiber bundles in the two groups gradually tended to be orderly,and the transverse fiber connections between collagen gradually increased and thickened,suggesting that the strength and shape degree of the grafts were gradually improved,but the ligament remodeling in the relaxation group was always faster than that in the normal group at various time points after surgery.(3)The diameter,distribution density,and arrangement degree of collagen fibers in the relaxation group were better than those in the normal group at all time points,especially in the comparison of collagen fiber diameter between and within the relaxation group(P<0.05).

OBJECTIVE To evaluate the influence of pharmaceutical quality control on the efficiency and outcomes of standardized medication therapy management （MTM） services for patients with coronary heart disease by using Economic， Clinical and Humanistic Outcomes （ECHO） model. METHODS This study collected case data of coronary heart disease patients who received MTM services during January-March 2023 （pre-quality control implementation group， n＝96） and June-August 2023 （post-quality control implementation group， n＝164）. Using propensity score matching analysis， 80 patients were selected from each group. The study subsequently compared the economic， clinical， and humanistic outcome indicators of pharmaceutical services between the two matched groups. RESULTS There were no statistically significant differences in baseline data between the two groups after matching （P＞0.05）. Compared with pre-quality control implementation group， the daily treatment cost （16.26 yuan vs. 24.40 yuan， P＜0.001）， cost-effectiveness ratio [23.12 yuan/quality-adjusted life year （QALY） vs. 32.32 yuan/QALY， P＜0.001]， and the incidence of general adverse drug reactions （2.50% vs. 10.00%， P＝0.049） of post-quality control implementation group were decreased significantly； the utility value of the EuroQol Five-Dimensional Questionnaire （0.74± 0.06 vs. 0.71±0.07， P＝0.003）， the reduction in the number of medication related problems （1.0 vs. 0.5， P＜0.001）， the medication adherence score （[ 6.32±0.48） points vs. （6.10±0.37） points， P＝0.001]， and the satisfaction score （[ 92.56±1.52） points vs. （91.95±1.56） points， P＝0.013] all showed significant improvements. Neither group experienced serious adverse drug reactions. There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of new adverse reactions between the two groups （1.25% vs. 3.75%， P＝0.310）. CONCLUSIONS Pharmaceutical quality control can improve the quality of pharmaceutical care， and the ECHO model can quantitatively evaluate the effect of MTM services， making pharmaceutical care better priced and more adaptable to social needs， thus being worthy of promotion.

Objective: To analyze the association and dose response relationship between physical activity and inflammatory markers in college students, so as to provide a reference for promoting cardiometabolic health in college students. Methods: A cluster random sampling method was used to select 747 college students from two universities in Hefei, Anhui Province and Shangrao, Jiangxi Province from April to May 2019. Physical activity was assessed by using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form (IPAQ-SF), and peripheral blood was collected to detect plasma inflammatory factor levels [including hypersensitive C reactive protein (hsCRP), interleukin-10 (IL-10), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α)]. The differences between the groups were compared by using the χ 2 test and the Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test, and the association between physical activity and inflammatory markers was analyzed by using the Generalized Linear Model. The dose response relationship between physical activity and inflammatory markers was analyzed using the Restricted Cubic Spline Model. Results: The proportions of low physical activity, moderate physical activity, and high physical activity groups of college students were 15.9%, 53.7% and 30.4%, respectively. The levels of hsCRP, IL-10, IL-1β, IL-6 and TNF-α in the high physical activity group were 0.38(0.21, 1.10)mg/L, 70.74(47.90, 116.43)pg/mL, 1.75(1.21, 2.64)pg/mL, 4.33(2.93, 6.82) pg/mL , 5.27(3.89, 7.30)pg/mL,the levels in the low physical activity group were 0.80(0.31, 1.30)mg/L, 73.88 (47.90, 124.24)pg/mL, 1.88(1.42, 2.81) pg/mL, 4.82 (3.64, 6.67) pg/mL, 5.63 (4.34, 7.62)pg/mL, the levels in the moderate physical activity group were 0.63(0.25, 1.30)mg/L, 89.78(58.21, 127.65)pg/mL, 2.21(1.59, 3.27)pg/mL, 5.15( 3.72 , 7.72)pg/mL, 5.87( 4.63 , 8.00)g/mL, and the differences were statistically significant ( H=10.66, 11.38, 27.79, 14.13, 9.44, P <0.05). After adjusting for variables such as gender, body mass index, smoking, alcohol consumption and health status, the results of Generalized Linear Model showed that compared with the high physical activity group, the low physical activity group ( OR=2.20, 95%CI = 1.46- 3.31) and the moderate physical activity group ( OR=1.65, 95%CI =1.22-2.25) were more likely to have high levels of hsCRP, and the moderate physical activity group was more likely to have high levels of IL-1β ( OR=1.85, 95%CI =1.36-2.51), IL-6 ( OR=1.44, 95%CI =1.06-1.96), and TNF-α ( OR=1.43, 95%CI =1.05-1.94) ( P <0.05). The Restricted Cubic Spline Model showed that there was no linear dose response relationship between the time of moderate to vigorous physical activity weekly and IL-10, IL-6, II-1β, and TNF-α ( P <0.05). Conclusion There is an association between physical activity and inflammation in college students, and moderate to high intensity per week could reduce inflammation levels to promote cardiometabolic health in college students.

Objective Logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of liver cancer in patients with hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on 504 patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis who were treated in a hospital from April 2021 to April 2024. The occurrence of liver cancer was counted. The risk factors of liver cancer in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis were analyzed by logistic regression analysis. Results Among the 504 patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis, 101 patients developed liver cancer and 403 patients did not develop liver cancer, which were included in the liver cancer group (n=101) and the non-liver cancer group (n=403).. Among hepatitis B cirrhosis, the incidence rate of liver cancer was 20.04%. Compared with the non-liver cancer group, the proportion of patients with long-term drinking history, family history of liver cancer, history of diabetes mellitus, antiviral therapy, and HBV-DNA load>104 were higher in the liver cancer group (P<0.05). logistic regression analysis found that long-term drinking history (OR=3.077, 95%CI: 1.130-8.378, P=0.028), history of diabetes mellitus (OR=3.747, 95%CI: 1.765-7.954, P=0.001), no antiviral therapy (OR=3.466, 95%CI: 1.337-8.985, P=0.011) and HBV-DNA load>104 (OR=3.149, 95%CI: 1.353-7.328, P=0.008) could independently affect the occurrence of liver cancer in patients with hepatitis B cirrhosis. Conclusion According to logistic regression analysis, long-term drinking history, history of diabetes mellitus, no antiviral therapy, and HBV-DNA load>104 are risk factors for liver cancer in patients with HBV-related cirrhosis.

Objective To investigate the levels and influencing factors for eye lens dose of interventional radiology workers, and to provide a basis for reasonable and scientific radiation protection. Methods Thermoluminescent eye lens dosimeters were used to monitor the left and right eye lens doses of interventional radiology workers in real time during different surgical positions and varying eye protection conditions. The annual eye lens doses for the operators were estimated based on their yearly workload. The differences in eye lens doses under different conditions were analyzed and the influencing factors were identified. Results For individual interventional operations, the range of personal dose equivalent H_p(3) of the left eye of interventional radiology workers was ( < MDL ~ 418.33) μSv, the median (Q₁, Q₃) was 9.29 ( < MDL, 40.79) μSv, and the mean was 40.79 ± 70.36 μSv. The estimated annual eye lens doses were 4.05 mSv and 17.80 mSv based on the median and mean values of the eye lens dose of a single operation multiplied by average annual frequency of operations per person, respectively. The left eye lens dose was higher than the right eye lens dose of the same operator (Z = −4.24, P < 0.05), and the dose of the right eye lens was strongly positively correlated with that of the left eye lens. The left eye lens dose of the first surgeon was higher than that of the second surgeon in the same operation (Z = −3.10, P < 0.05). The eye lens dose was influenced by operator position (χ² = 9.149, P = 0.002, OR = 8.343), eye protection (χ² = 4.619, P = 0.032, OR = 4.352), and air kerma area product (χ² = 8.032, P = 0.005, OR = 5.488). Conclusion According to the results of this study, a significant portion of interventional operators have eye lens doses that approach or exceed international occupational dose limits. It is recommended to pay attention to the operation frequency of the first operator and the air kerma area product of interventional operation, and strengthen radiation protection and dose monitoring for the eye lens of interventional radiology workers.

Objective: To assess the epidemiological, drug resistance, and their relative risk and prevalence for yielding clinical diseases ofStreptococcus mitisgroup(SMG) bloodstream infections in recent years. Methods : A total of 50 blood culture specimens were collected from patients with SMG bloodstream infection. These SMG isolates were identified by matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization time-of-flight mass spectrometry(MALDI-TOF MS). The susceptibility to antibiotics was tested by minimal inhibitory concentrations and Kirby-Bauer(K-B) disk diffusion methods. The data were comprehensively analyzed by statistical software combined with clinical data. Results : Five strains were identified in SMG bloodstream infection by mass spectrometry, namelyStreptococcus oralis/mitis(S.oralis/mitis),Streptococcus pneumonia(S.pneumonia),Streptococcus gordonii(S.gordonii),Streptococcus sanguinis(S.sanguinis), andStreptococcus parasanguinis. These SMG showed high resistance to erythromycin and clindamycin, but low resistance to penicillin, ampicillin and ceftriaxone. Reduced hemoglobin and albumin, elevated C-reactive protein and procalcitonin were the common hematological changes in patients with SMG bloodstream infections. In SMG bacteremia,S.gordonii,S.sanguinisandS.orals/mitiswere the leading group causing infective endocarditis. Patients with myocardial disease factor were more likely to cause infective endocarditis byS.gordoniiandS.sanguinis, compared withS.orals/mitis.S.oralis/mitisbacteremia more occurred in patients with renal transplants progressing to pulmonary infection. Conclusion In this area, β-lactam antibiotics are the best choice for treating SMG. SMG species with closely related phylogenetically show different prevalence and risk of clinical disease in bloodstream infection patients. Early prevention and diagnosis of bacteremia caused by SMG are necessary for clinical diagnosis, treatment and effective control of infectious diseases progression.

OBJECTIVE To conduct a rapid qualitative study on the chemical constituents of the methanol extract in Thamnolia subuliformis (Ehrh.) W.Culb. by UHPLC-Q-Exactive Focus-MS/MS. METHODS The chromatographic separation was performed on a Waters Acquity UPLC BEH C18(2.1 mm×50 mm, 1.7 μm) column with acetonitrile(A)-0.1% formic acid aqueous solution(B) as mobile phase for gradient elution, the flow rate was 0.3 mL·min–1 and the column temperature was 30 ℃. Mass spectrometry was performed using an electrospray ionization and data was collected in negative ion modes, and the detection range was m/z 80−1 200. The chemical constituents in Thamnolia subuliformis (Ehrh.) W.Culb. were identified rapidly and comprehensively based on the accurate relative molecular and combined with literature data and reference substances. RESULTS A total of 39 chemical constituents were speculatively identified, including 9 mono-substituted phenyl rings, 11 depsides, 5 depsidones, 2 dibenzofuran, 10 lipids, and 2 others. CONCLUSION The chemical constituents in the Thamnolia subuliformis (Ehrh.) W.Culb. can be identified accurately and rapidly by this method. Among them, 3 compounds(β-resorcylic acid, usnic acid, atranorin) are unambiguously identified by comparing with reference standards, 19 compounds are found from Thamnolia subuliformis (Ehrh.) W.Culb. for the first time. This paper can provide the important basis for study on pharmacodynamic material and substitute development of Thamnolia subuliformis (Ehrh.) W.Culb..

Objective:To determine the erythromycin resistance of Bordetella pertussis isolates and their ptxP1 and ptxP3 phenotypic composition and compare clinical manifestations of children with pertussis caused by the two types of strains. Methods:This was a cross-sectional study, the pertussis cases diagnosed using bacterial culture from January 2019 to December 2022 in Beijing Children′s Hospital and the First People′s Hospital of Wuhu were collected.Any suspected Bordetella pertussis colonies were identified by the slide agglutination test.The susceptibility of isolates to erythromycin was detected by the E-test and K-B test.The ptxP gene was amplified by polymerase chain reaction and sequenced to determine its genotype. t-test, Mann-Whitney U-test, Chi-square test and Fisher′s exact test were use to statistical analysis. Results:A total of 192 strains of Bordetella pertussis were identified, including 188 (97.9%) erythromycin-resistant strains.Among the 188 strains, 30.3%(57/188) belonged to the ptxP1 genotype and 69.7%(131/188) belonged to the ptxP3 genotype.In children aged below 1 year old, the incidence of paroxysmal cough caused by infection with the ptxP3 strain was higher than that with the ptxP1 strain (57.1% vs.29.4%, P<0.05), and children infected with the ptxP3 strain were more likely to develop apnea or asphyxia (23.8% vs.17.6%), post-tussive vomiting (44.4% vs.32.4%), whooping cough (72.0% vs.50.0%) and pneumonia or bronchitis (85.7% vs.73.5%) compared to those infected with the ptxP1 strain, but the differences were not statistically significant(all P>0.05). In children aged 1 year old and above, the white blood cell count of children infected with the ptxP1 strain was higher than that of infections with the ptxP3 strain [13.5(9.9, 24.5)×10 9/L, 10.3 (7.0, 16.4)×10 9/L, P<0.05], and children infected with the ptxP1 strain were more likely to contract other pathogen infections than those infected with the ptxP3 strain (17.4% vs.4.4%, P>0.05). Conclusions:ptxP3 erythromycin-resistant Bordetella pertussis has become the main pathogen of pertussis.Infants with pertussis caused by the ptxP3 erythromycin-resistant strain show more significant manifestations and a higher possibility of severe symptoms than those infected with the ptxP1 erythromycin-resistant strain.

In this study,structural optimization of borneol was carried out to improve their solubility and promote their further application in stroke therapy.BP-3,a prodrug of borneol,was designed and synthesized based on the principle of phosphate modification.The solubility of BP-3 was determined by evaporative light scattering detector(ELSD),and the degree and speed of drug release were tested in mouse plasma,and the neuroprotective effect of BP-3 was evaluated in mouse model of transient middle cerebral artery occlusion(tMCAO).According to the results,BP-3 was completely soluble in saline at 20 mg/mL;in mouse plasma,approximately 40%of the borneol were released within 2 h;in the tMCAO mouse model,TTC staining showed that BP-3 was effective in reducing the infarct area;Nissl staining showed that BP-3 ameliorated the neuronal injury;the grip and grasping strength tests elucidated that BP-3 reduced the damage of sports ability caused by injury;and the rotating rod test proved that BP-3 could promote the recovery of motor ability in mice.BP-3 has good water solubility,suitable drug release rate and excellent neuroprotective effects,and has broad prospects for drug development.