1.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
2.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
3.Cost-effectiveness and return on investment of hepatitis C virus elimination in China: A modelling study
Meiyu WU ; Jing MA ; Xuehong WANG ; Sini LI ; Chongqing TAN ; Ouyang XIE ; Andong LI ; Aaron G LIM ; Xiaomin WAN
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology 2025;31(2):394-408
Background/Aims:
The World Health Organization set the goal of eliminating hepatitis C virus (HCV) by 2030, with 80% and 65% reductions in HCV incidence and mortality rates, respectively. We aimed to evaluate the health benefits, cost-effectiveness and return on investment (ROI) of HCV elimination.
Methods:
Using an HCV transmission compartmental model, we evaluated the benefits and costs of different strategies combining screening and treatment for Chinese populations. We identified strategies to achieve HCV elimination and calculated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for 2022–2030 to identify the optimal elimination strategy. Furthermore, we estimated the ROI by 2050 by comparing the required investment with the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV incidence and deaths.
Results:
The strategy that results in the most significant health benefits involves conducting annual primary screening at a rate of 14%, re-screening people who inject drugs annually and the general population every five years, and treating 95% of those diagnosed (P14-R4-T95), preventing approximately 5.75 and 0.44 million HCV infections and deaths, respectively, during 2022–2030. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $12,615, the P14-R4-T95 strategy is the most cost-effective, with an ICER of $5,449/DALY. By 2050, this strategy would have a net benefit of $120,997 million (ROI=0.868).
Conclusions
Achieving HCV elimination in China by 2030 will require significant investment in large-scale universal screening and treatment, but it will yield substantial health and economic benefits and is cost-effective.
4.Prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection and risk factors among family members in Qinghai Province, China
Chunxia LI ; Xuehong WANG ; Zhenqi MA ; Yonghua ZHAN ; Lijuan SHEN ; Fang WANG ; Yuanhua LI
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2024;63(1):41-45
Objective:To investigate the prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection among family members, and analyze associated risk factors. Methods:The current investigation was a cross-sectional study. The Qinghai region was stratified into urban areas, agricultural areas, and pastoral areas. The urban areas of Xining City, the agricultural areas of Haidong City, and the pastoral areas of Haibei Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture were selected. A total of 396 resident families (1 131 people) who underwent health checkups from 2021 to 2022 in the above areas were included in the survey study. Questionnaires were administered and H. pylori infection was detected using the 13C-urea breath test. Numerical data were expressed as cases and percentages, and the Chi-square test was used to compare differences in H. pylori infection rates in the populations and families in each group. Multifactorial logistic regression was used to analyze risk factors for H. pylori infection, and P<0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results:The prevalence of H. pylori infection in Qinghai province was 52.8% (597/1 131) and the prevalence of H. pylori infection in households was 80.6% (319/396). In H. pylori-positive households with at least 1 infected spouse, 40.4% (36/89) had only 1 infected spouse, and in 59.6% (53/89) both spouses were infected. In analysis of children infected by parents with H. pylori, 20.0% (9/45) of households had fathers and children infected, 48.9% (22/45) had mothers and children infected, and 31.1% (14/45) had both parents and children infected. In univariate analysis there was a statistically significant difference in the overall comparison of H. pylori infection rates among families with different numbers of people living together ( χ2=11.12, P=0.004), and between-group comparisons suggested that H. pylori infection rates were higher in families with 4 or 5 people and more than 5 people living together than in families with 2 or 3 people living together. The H. pylori infection rate was higher in families that did not use serving chopsticks and spoons during family meals than in families that did use serving chopsticks and spoons ( χ2=6.12, P=0.013). In multifactorial logistic regression analyses the number of people living together in a family and whether or not serving chopsticks and spoons were used at family meals were associated with H. pylori infection ( P<0.05). Conclusion:The H. pylori infection rate in families in Qinghai Province is high, and there is a clear association with family aggregation. It is more common for both members of a couple to be infected, and H. pylori infection of a mother has a greater effect on the children′s infection status than H. pylori infection of a father. The infection rate of H. pylori was lower in families that used serving chopsticks and spoons during dinner gatherings, and the fewer the number of people living together in the family, the lower the H. pylori infection rate.
5.Characteristics of fat-free mass distribution in children aged 3-17 years in China
Xuehong PANG ; Zhenyu YANG ; Peipei XU ; Wei CAO ; Qian ZHANG ; Yuying WANG ; Tao XU ; Bowen CHEN ; Wenhua ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(11):1480-1486
Objective:To describe the distribution of fat-free mass (FFM) and fat-free mass index (FFMI) in children aged 3-17 years in China.Methods:Data were collected from National Nutrition and Health Systematic Survey in 0-18 years old children in China. By using multi-stage stratified randomized cluster sampling method, the project was conducted in 28 survey points in urban and rural areas in 14 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in 7 regions in China from 2019 to 2021. FFM was measured using bioelectrical impedance meter. Finally, the body composition data of 70 853 children were included in the analysis. M ( Q1, Q3) was used to describe the gender and age specific FFM and FFMI of the children in different regions. Kruskal-Wallis H rank sum test was used to compare FFM and FFMI of boys and girls in same age group, boys in different age groups, girls in different age groups, as well as boys in same age group and girls in same age group in different regions. DSCF method was used for pairwise comparisons. Results:After the age of 11 years, the difference of FFMI between boys and girls increased year by year. The FFMI was 14.2 kg/m 2 in boys and 13.8 kg/m 2 in girls at 11 years old, the difference was significant ( χ2=135.86, P<0.001). The difference of FFMI between boys and girls exceed 1.0 kg/m 2 from 12 years old, and FFMI was 15.3 kg/m 2 in boys and 14.2 kg/m 2 in girls at 12 year old, the difference was significant ( χ2=597.27, P<0.001). The FFMI was 17.5 kg/m 2 in boys and 14.7 kg/m 2 in girls at 16 years old, the difference was significant ( χ2=2 543.60, P<0.001). The FFMI was higher in boys in northeast China, while the FFMI was lower in both boys and girls in northwest China. Conclusions:Gender specific difference was observed in the increase of FFMI with age. The FFMI was significantly higher in boys than in girls after 11 years old. It is necessary to pay attention to the problem of FFM in children in northeastern and northwestern China.
6.Characteristics of body height, body weight and body mass index distributions in children aged 3-17 years in China
Wei CAO ; Peipei XU ; Titi YANG ; Xuehong PANG ; Zhenyu YANG ; Yuying WANG ; Tao XU ; Bowen CHEN ; Wenhua ZHAO ; Qian ZHANG ; Yuna HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(11):1487-1493
Objective:To investigate the distribution characteristics of body height, body weight and body mass index (BMI) in children aged 3-17 years in China.Methods:Data were obtained from the National Nutrition and Health Systematic Survey in 0-18 years old children in China. The study selected 70 853 children aged 3-17 years from 28 urban and rural survey sites in 14 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in 7 regions of China with multi-stage stratified cluster random sampling. M ( Q1, Q3) was used to describe the region, age and gender specific body height, body weight and BMI in the children aged 3-17 years. Wilcoxon rank sum test was used to compare the body height, body weight, and BMI between boys and girls in same age group. Kruskal-Wallis H rank sum test was used to compare the body height, body weight and BMI among boys in different age groups and among girls in different age groups, as well as among boys in same age group and among girls in same age group from different regions, and DSCF method was used for further pairwise comparisons. Results:In this study, the median body height and body weight were 172.0 cm and 62.9 kg in 17-year-old boys and 160.0 cm and 53.7 kg in 17-year-old girls. The median for children's body height, body weight, and BMI in most age groups were higher in northeastern and northern China than in southern China, and the differences could be observed until age 17 years. The differences in body weight and BMI in children in northeastern and northern China were greater in Q3 than in Q1 compared with southern China. Conclusions:The body height of children aged 3-17 years continues to increase in China. Northeastern and northern China have more children with higher bodyweight, showing an obvious body weight increase trend, to which close attention needs to be paid.
7.Characteristics of fat mass distribution in children aged 3-17 years in China
Peipei XU ; Xuehong PANG ; Wei CAO ; Wenhua ZHAO ; Zhenyu YANG ; Yuying WANG ; Tao XU ; Bowen CHEN ; Juan XU ; Qian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(11):1494-1500
Objective:To describe the distribution of fat mass (FM), fat mass percentage (FMP), and fat mass index (FMI) in children aged 3-17 years in China.Methods:Data of this study were from the National Nutrition and Health Systematic Survey in 0-18 years old children in China. A total of 70 853 children aged 3-17 years old selected from seven regions of China were included in this analysis. Body composition were measured by using bioelectrical impedance meter. The region, gender and age specific FM, FMP and FMI of the subjects were described by using M ( Q1, Q3). Kruskal-Wallis H rank sum test was used for the comparison of intergroup differences. DSCF method was used for pairwise comparisons. Results:The medians of FM, FMP and FMI were 3.0 kg, 18.3% and 2.9 kg/m 2 in boys aged 3 years and 2.9 kg, 19.0% and 2.9 kg/m 2 in girls aged 3 years, respectively. The FM increased with age and the FMP and FMI decreased with age in both boys and girls aged 3-5 years. After 11 years old, the FM, FMP and FMI decreased first and then increased in boys. From 6-17 years old, the FM, FMP and FMI increased gradually in girls. The FM, FMP and FMI were higher in girls than in boys after 12 years old (all P<0.05). The FM, FMP and FMI were relatively higher in children at the age of 6-14 in northeastern and northern China than in other regions. Conclusions:The age specific FM, FMP and FMI had different changing characteristics in boys and girls aged 3-17 years in seven regions of China. The FM, FMP and FMI also differed with region.
8.Relationship between body mass index and fat mass percentage in children aged 3-17 years in China
Hongliang WANG ; Peipei XU ; Wei CAO ; Xuehong PANG ; Hui PAN ; Tao XU ; Bowen CHEN ; Yuying WANG ; Zhenyu YANG ; Qian ZHANG ; Wenhua ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(11):1501-1506
Objective:To analyze the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and fat mass percentage (FMP) in children aged 3-17 years in China.Methods:The BMI and FMP data of children aged 3-17 years from the National Nutrition and Health Systematic Survey in 0-18 years old children in China was analyzed. BMI- Z score/BMI and FMP were used to classify the subjects, respectively. Spearman correlation was used to analyze the correlation between BMI and FMP. The consistency between BMI- Z score/BMI and FMP in classifying the subjects was measured using Kappa coefficient. Results:The FMP of malnutrition, normal and overweight/obesity in boys was higher in age group 10-13-year than in other age groups (all P<0.001). The FMP of all nutritional status in girls increased with age (all P<0.05). The BMI of boys in all the FMP levels increased with age (all P<0.05). When the FMP of girls was 25%- or ≥30%, BMI increased with age (all P<0.001). The relationship between BMI and FMP was strong ( r=0.705, P<0.001), with r of 0.618 in boys and 0.884 in girls. The consistency between BMI- Z score/BMI and FMP in classifying the subjects was found to be moderate (Kappa=0.574, P<0.001). Conclusions:There was a strong relationship between BMI and FMP. The consistency between BMI- Z score/BMI and FMP in classifying the subjects was moderate.
9.Consistency between bioelectrical impedance analysis and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry in body composition measurement in children aged 6-17 years in China
Ruihe LUO ; Liping SHEN ; Qian ZHANG ; Wei CAO ; Hongliang WANG ; Peipei XU ; Zhenyu YANG ; Qian GAN ; Xuehong PANG ; Tao XU ; Bowen CHEN ; Yuying WANG ; Wenhua ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(11):1507-1512
Objective:To evaluate the consistency between bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) and dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in the measurement of body composition in children aged 6-17 years in China.Methods:Fat-free mass, fat mass and fat mass percentage were measured by both BIA and DXA in 1 161 children. t-test or Wilcoxon paired test was used to evaluate the different outcome of the two methods. The correlation and consistency between the methods were evaluated by Spearman correlation coefficients ( r) and Bland-Altman analysis. Results:Body compositions measured by BIA was positively correlated with those measured by DXA (fat mass r=0.95, fat-free mass r=0.98, fat mass percentage r=0.86, all P<0.05). Comparing with DXA, BIA underestimate children's fat mass [the mean difference is -3.15 kg, and the SD is 2.35 kg, 95% limits of agreement (LoA): -7.74-1.45 kg] and fat mass percentage (the mean difference is -8.45%, and the SD is 4.63%, 95% LoA: -17.53%-0.64%). Conclusions:Body compositions measured by BIA was highly positively correlated with those measured by DXA. BIA has certain application value in the measurement of body fat mass and fat-free mass of children aged 6-17 years.
10.Diammonium glycyrrhizinate alleviates lung injury in rat models with lung tuberculosis
Peiqian CAO ; Zhigang WANG ; Xuehong MIAO
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2024;44(11):1544-1550
Objective To investigate the effect of diammonium glycyrrhizinate(DG)on pulmonary injury of rats with pulmonary tuberculosis.Methods The rat models of pulmonary tuberculosis were constructed and then the an-imals were randomly divided into model group,diammonium glycyrrhizinate treatment groups(low-dose,medium-dose and high-dose)groups,high dose of diammonium glycyrrhizinate plus peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ(PPARγ)inhibitor group(H-DG+GW9662 group),and another 18 rats were selected as control group.The colony count of Mycobacterium tuberculosis(Mtb)in lung tissue was detected.HE staining microscopy was ap-plied to detect lung histopathology.TUNEL was applied to detect apoptosis of lung tissue cells.ELISA was applied to detect serum level of inflammatory factors.Western blot was applied to measure PPARγ,phosphorylated p38 mi-togen-activated protein kinase(p-p38MAPK)and p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase(p38MAPK)in lung tissue.Results Compared with the control group,the lung tissue structure in model group was severely damaged with a large number of proliferative tuberculosis nodules,changes of alveolar morphology,inflammatory cell infiltration and even caseous necrosis were found,and the number of tuberculosis colonies,apoptosis rate,TNF-α,IL-6,IFN-γ,COX-2 levels,and p-p38MAPK/p38MAPK expression were all increased,while PPARγ expression was decreased(P<0.05).In L-DG,M-DG,H-DG groups improvement of lung tissue structure,alveolar morphology,inflammatory cell infiltration,and caseous necrosis were found as compared to the model group,while the counting number of tuberculosis colonies decreased and rate of cell apoptosis decreased.The level of TNF-α,IL-6,IFN-γ,COX-2 and expression of p-p38MAPK/p38MAPK reduced,the expression of PPARγ all increased.The H-DG group showed the most significant changes(P<0.05).GW9662 treatment significantly reversed the improvement of DG on pulmonary injury in rats with pulmonary tuberculosis.Conclusions DG improves lung injury in rats with pul-monary tuberculosis and its mechanism is potentially related to the activation of PPARγ pathway and inhibition of p38MAPK pathway.

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