1.Comparison of the in-hospital mortality risk predictive models among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia based on interpretable machine learning
Yaoyong TAI ; Shengyong WU ; Xiao LUO ; Ronghui ZHU ; Qian HE ; Cheng WU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):199-205
ObjectiveTo predict the in-hospital mortality risk among patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia using interpretable machine learning methods, so as to provide more evidence-based support for the prognosis prediction of patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. MethodsMedical record of 308 patients diagnosed with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅳ (MIMIC-Ⅳ) (2.0) in the United States were retrospectively analyzed. Features of the research data were screened based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and which were randomly divided into a training set and a test set at a ratio of 7∶3. Then ten models, including logistic regression, random forest, K-nearest neighbor, linear discriminant analysis, naive bayes (NB), neural network, quadratic discriminant analysis, recursive partitioning tree, extreme gradient boosting tree, and support vector machine, etc. were constructed. The predictive effect was measured by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristics. In addition, the calibration curve and Brier score were used to evaluate the calibration degree of the model, and the decision curve was drawn to reflect the clinical net benefit. The Shapley additive explanation method was used to analyze the interpretability of the black box model and explore the important decision-making factors. ResultsThe NB model in the test set showed better predictive ability compared with other models (AUC=0.85, 95%CI: 0.83‒0.88). After interpretability analysis, it was found that blood urea nitrogen (BUN), age, sequential organ failure assessment, bicarbonate, chloride, and hypertension were important risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. ConclusionThe comprehensive performance of the NB model is better than that of the other nine models in predicting the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients with ischemic stroke combined by dysphagia. The interpretability of the model can help clinicians better understand the reasons behind the results and take further reasonable intervention measures for risk factors to improve the survival probability of patients.
2.Analysis of Current Situation and Influencing Factors of Digital Health Literacy of the Elderly in Shanghai
Hui WAN ; Jun PENG ; Hongxia WEN ; Yuhang ZHANG ; Ying XU ; Chunguang GU ; Ronghui ZHU ; Cheng WU
Journal of Medical Informatics 2024;45(10):53-58
Purpose/Significance To investigate and analyze the current status and influencing factors of digital health literacy(DHL)of the elderly,and to provide references for relevant departments.Method/Process The eHEALS scale is used to investigate the DHL status of 419 elderly people aged 60 and above in Shanghai through convenience sampling,and the influencing factors are explored through binary logistic regression analysis.Result/Conclusion Low education,smoking,and health anxiety are risk factors,while regular physical exami-nation is protective factor.Relevant departments should focus on the elderly people with lower education,and strengthen research and edu-cation on health examinations,smoking hazards,and the alleviation of anxiety.
3.Perioperative blood management of a patient with coagulation factor Ⅴ deficiency and literature review
Ronghui SHI ; Qiang MENG ; Jianjun WU ; Lan YANG ; Xiaoqiong LONG ; Li ZHANG ; Shuming ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2023;36(11):1057-1060
【Objective】 To explore the perioperative blood management in patients with pancreatic pseudocyst combiend with coagulation factor Ⅴ(FⅤ) deficiency. 【Methods】 Preoperative: In order to determine the effect of cryoprecipitated antihemophilic factor and fresh frozen plasma (FFP) on the elevation level of factor Ⅴ, we alternately infused cryoprecipitate and FFP in the resting state. TEG, coagulation function and coagulation factor activity were monitored before and 1 h, 24 h and 48 h after infusion, and intraoperative and postoperative blood transfusion strategies were formulated. FFP 600 mL and cryoprecipitate 10 U were supplemented preoperatively. Intraoperative: The operation procedure was performed for 7 hours with an infusion of 600 mL FFP without significant bleeding. Postoperative: FFP was infused. 【Results】 Preoperative: The coagulation factor Ⅴ activity on pre-operation was 1.9% and 1.8%. After alternating infusion cryoprecipitate 10 U and FFP 1 200 mL, the FⅤactivity increased to 5.1% and 6.0%, respectively. There was no significant difference in TEG parameters, PT and ATPP results were decreased to varying degrees. Intraoperative: The operation was successful without obvious bleeding. Postoperative: FFP 500 mL was infused 2 h after operation, and FFP 250-500 mL was injected daily from 1 to 7 days after surgery. No significant bleeding was observed in the wound, the results of TEG, PT, APTT and hemoglobin (Hb) did not change significantly compared with those before surgery. The patient was discharged successfully 12 days after surgery. The genetic test results showed that he had inherited coagulation factor Ⅴ deficiency, which was a compound heterozygous variation. 【Conclusion】 Perioperative blood management in patients with FⅤ deficiency combined with surgical disease, requiring pre-transfusion evaluation and post-transfusion evaluation in combination with laboratory investigations and clinical manifestations, cryoprecipitate and fresh frozen plasma can be effective in supplementing coagulation factors. The TEG seems to be better than the Seven items of coagulation function in judging the clotting status of patients with FⅤ deficiency.
4.Impact and predictive value of time-dependent acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ score on death risk in patients with severe stroke: data analysis based on MIMIC-Ⅲ
Yi CHENG ; Qi CHEN ; Shengyong WU ; Ronghui ZHU ; Cheng WU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2021;33(10):1237-1242
Objective:To study the influence of time-dependent acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) score on 14-day death risk in patients with severe stroke, and to provide reference for clinical diagnosis and treatment.Methods:Data of 3 229 patients with severe stroke were enrolled from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-Ⅲ (MIMIC-Ⅲ). According to the main types of stroke, the patients were divided into subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), ischemic stroke (IS) and other groups. According to age, patients were divided into > 60 years old and ≤ 60 years old subgroups. According to the baseline of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, they were divided into subgroups of > 3 and ≤ 3. The daily measured values of APACHE Ⅱ scores in each patient were recorded. And all-cause death within 14 days after admission to intensive care unit (ICU) was used as the outcome index to obtain the survival status and survival time of patients. Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data were established to evaluate the effect of APACHE Ⅱ score measured at multiple time points on the death risk of patients, and a subgroup analysis was performed.Results:Among the joint models, the one which include APACHE Ⅱ score, and the interaction items between APACHE Ⅱ and age showed the better fitting. Further analysis showed that APACHE Ⅱ score was affected by age, gender, hospital admission, baseline SOFA score and smoking history. After controlling for these confounding factors, APACHE Ⅱ score was significantly associated with 14-day all-cause death in patients with severe stroke [hazard ratio ( HR) = 1.48, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) was 1.31-1.66, P < 0.001], which indicated that the risk of death increased by 48% (95% CI was 31%-66%) for each 1-point increase in APACHE Ⅱ score. Subgroup analysis showed that for different types of severe stroke patients, APACHE Ⅱ score had a greater impact on the risk of 14-day death in SAH patients ( HR = 1.43, 95% CI was 1.10-1.85), but had a smaller impact on ICH and IS groups [HR (95% CI) was 1.37 (1.15-1.64) and 1.35 (1.06-1.71), respectively]. There was no significant difference in APACHE Ⅱ score on the risk of 14-day death between the patients aged > 60 years old and those aged ≤ 60 years old [ HR (95% CI): 1.37 (1.08-1.72) vs. 1.35 (1.07-1.70), respectively]. Compared with patients with SOFA score > 3, APACHE Ⅱ score had a greater impact on the risk of 14-day death in patients with SOFA score ≤ 3 [ HR (95% CI): 1.40 (1.16-1.70) vs. 1.34 (1.16-1.55)]. Conclusion:Time-dependent APACHE Ⅱ score is an important indicator to evaluate the risk of death in patients with severe stroke.
5.Autologous platelet-rich plasma(PRP) for treatment of knee arthritis: A comparative study between PRP prepared by manual and automatic plateletapheresis
Renxue XIANG ; Jianjun WU ; Jiajia WANG ; Jian CAI ; Ronghui SHI ; Shuming ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2021;34(7):695-698
【Objective】 To explore the quality of autologous platelet-rich plasma prepared by manual and automatic method and to study the clinical injection therapeutic effects in patient with knee arthritis. 【Methods】 28 patients with knee arthritis in Orthopedics Department of our hospital were enrolled. PRP was prepared manually in 12 patients and automatically in 16. The whole blood of 50~70 mL was drawn from 12 patients and prepared into PRP of 10 mL manually by centrifugation. The 20~30 mL PRP was collected by automatic apheresis. Plt, RBC, WBC and other related indexes of PRP were detected after collection. Among the 28 patients, 12 in the manual group received injection twice, while 16 in the automatic group 4 episodes, with an interval of 15~20 days. The treatment effect was evaluated after the last treatment. 【Results】 The PRP prepared by two methods can both reach the required quality standard of platelet counts..The patient′s pain symptoms relieved significantly after injection treatment and the effect was remarkable. There was no significant difference in clinical efficacy between the two groups. 【Conclusion】 The PRP prepared by manual and automatic methods can be used for injection treatment for patient with knee arthritis. The clinical therapeutic effects were good and worth promotion and application.
6.Application of allogeneic platelet gel in surgical operation for giant aortic aneurysms, one case
Jianjun WU ; Bin JIANG ; Renxue XIANG ; Ronghui SHI ; Kang YANG ; Wei LIU ; Xin CUI ; Shuming ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2021;34(7):698-701
【Objective】 To explore the effect of allogeneic platelet gel on hemostasis and repair of vascular anastomoses and wounds in patients with giant aortic aneurysms during surgery. 【Methods】 One adult dose of allogeneic platelets, applied as platelet rich plasma (PRP), was prepared as platelet gel (PG) (about 220 mL) for spraying or smearing at the vascular anastomosis and thoracic wound during the surgery of giant aortic aneurysms. 【Results】 The gel formation was presented about 30 seconds after spraying or smearing with PG on the anastomotic and wound surface. The hemostatic effect is good, with less postoperative drainage fluid from pericardium and mediastinum than usual, and the ICU stay was 4 days. 【Conclusion】 Allogeneic platelets as a source of PRP to prepare PG may be applied to obtain the clotting and healing during surgical operation.
7.Effects and cell signaling mechanism of glutamine on rat cardiomyocytes intervened with serum from burned rat
Shangjun LYU ; Ronghui FAN ; Dan WU ; Xi PENG
Chinese Journal of Burns 2021;37(12):1149-1157
Objective:To investigate the effects and cell signaling mechanism of glutamine on rat cardiomyocytes intervened with serum from burned rat (hereinafter referred to as burn serum).Methods:The experimental research method was applied. Ten gender equally distributed Wistar rats aged 7-8 months were taken to prepare normal rat serum (hereinafter referred to as normal serum), another twenty gender equally distributed Wistar rats aged 7-8 months were taken to prepare burn serum after full- thickness burn injury of 30% total body surface area, and primary cardiomyocytes were isolated and cultured from 180 Wistar rats aged 1-3 days by either gender and used in the following experiments. The cells were divided into normal serum group and burn serum group according to the random number table (the same grouping method below) and cultured with the corresponding serum. At post culture hour (PCH) 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12, trypanosoma blue test was used to detect the cell survival rate. The cells were divided into burn serum alone group, burn serum+4 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+8 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+16 mmol/L glutamine group, and burn serum+20 mmol/L glutamine group, which were treated with burn serum alone or burn serum added with the corresponding final molarity of glutamine and cultured for the time screened in the experiment before, and then the cell survival rate was detected as before. The cells were divided into normal serum group, burn serum alone group, burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+16 mmol/L glutamine group, and burn serum+20 mmol/L glutamine group and treated the same as before. After 30 min of culture, phosphorylation levels of mammalian target of rapamycin complex 1 (mTORC1), p70 ribosomal protein S6 kinase (p70 S6K), and eukaryotic translation initiation factor 4E-binding protein 1 (4E-BP1) were detected by Western blotting. Cells were divided into normal serum group, burn serum alone group, burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine+25 ng/mL rapamycin group, and treated correspondingly. At PCH 1, 3, and 6, the expressions of heat shock protein 70 (HSP70) and metallothionein (MT), and the morphology of microtubule were determined with immunofluorescence method. The sample numbers in each index at each time point in each group were all 10. Data were statistically analyzed with analysis of variance for factorial design, one-way analysis of variance, least significant difference t test, least significant difference test, and Bonferroni correction. Results:At PCH 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12, the cell survival rates in burn serum group were significantly lower than those in normal serum group ( t=4.950, 16.752, 35.484, 34.428, 27.781, P<0.01). Compared within the group at PCH 1, the cell survival rate was significantly decreased in burn serum group at PCH 3, 6, 9, and 12 ( P<0.05). Compared within the group at PCH 3, the cell survival rate was significantly decreased in burn serum group at PCH 6, 9, and 12 ( P<0.05). Compared within the group at PCH 6 and 9, the cell survival rate was significantly decreased in burn serum group at PCH 12 ( P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in the cell survival rates in burn serum group between PCH 6 and 9 ( P>0.05). Thus PCH 6 was selected as the subsequent intervention time of burn serum. At PCH 6, compared with burn serum alone group, the cell survival rates in burn serum+4 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+8 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+16 mmol/L glutamine group, and burn serum+20 mmol/L glutamine group were significantly increased ( P<0.01). There were no statistically significant differences in cell survival rates between burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group and burn serum+16 mmol/L glutamine group ( P>0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in cell survival rates in burn serum+16 mmol/L glutamine group and burn serum+20 mmol/L glutamine group ( P>0.05). Thus 12, 16, and 20 mmol/L were selected as the subsequent intervention concentrations of glutamine. After 30 min of culture, the phosphorylation levels of mTORC1, p70 S6K, and 4E-BP1 of cells were respectively 1.001±0.042, 0.510±0.024, 0.876±0.022, 0.836±0.074, 0.856±0.041, 1.00±0.11, 0.38±0.09, 0.95±0.13, 0.96±0.13, 0.89±0.24, 1.00±0.07, 0.29±0.08, 0.87±0.27, 0.68±0.08, 0.60±0.21 in normal serum group, burn serum alone group, burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group, burn serum+16 mmol/L glutamine group, and burn serum+20 mmol/L glutamine group. Compared with normal serum group, the phosphorylation levels of mTORC1, p70 S6K, and 4E-BP1 of cells were significantly decreased in the other 4 burn serum groups ( P<0.01). Compared with those of burn serum alone group, the phosphorylation levels of mTORC1, p70 S6K, and 4E-BP1 of cells were significantly increased in the other 3 burn serum groups ( P<0.01). The phosphorylation level of 4E-BP1 of cells in burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group was significantly higher than the levels in burn serum+16 mmol/L glutamine group and burn serum+20 mmol/L glutamine group ( P<0.05). The expression of MT of cells in burn serum alone group was significantly lower than that in normal serum group at PCH 1 ( P<0.05), while the expressions of MT of cells in burn serum alone group were significantly higher than those in normal serum group at the other time points ( P<0.05). At PCH 1, 3, and 6, the expressions of HSP70 of cells in burn serum alone group were significantly higher than those in normal serum group ( P<0.05), the expressions of HSP70 and MT of cells in burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group were significantly higher than those in burn serum alone group ( P<0.05), and the expressions of HSP70 and MT of cells in burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine+25 ng/mL rapamycin group were significantly lower than those in burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group ( P<0.01). The microtubular structures were intact, displaying grid alinement and uniform staining in cells of normal serum group at PCH 1, 3, and 6. In burn serum alone group, some microtubules showed fracture and irregular grid arrangement at PCH 1; the microtubular structures near the nucleus were clear, while the microtubules at the distal end of the nucleus were blurry at PCH 3; the microtubular structures were blurry at PCH 6. The microtubular damage of cells was alleviated in burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine group as compared with that in burn serum alone group at each time point of culture. The morphology of microtubules of cells in burn serum+12 mmol/L glutamine+25 ng/mL rapamycin group at each time point of culture was similar to that of burn serum alone group. Conclusions:The burn serum can lead to damages to cardiomyocytes and significant decrease of cell survival rate in rats. Glutamine can exert cell protective function through the regulation of mTOR/p70 S6K/4E-BP1 signaling pathway, thus promoting the expressions of HSP70 and MT and stabilizing the microtubule structures.
8. Association between weight control and recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation in overweight and obese patients
Zhaoxu JIA ; Chao JIANG ; Shangxin LU ; Jiapeng LIU ; Xueyuan GUO ; Songnan LI ; Nian LIU ; Chenxi JIANG ; Caihua SANG ; Ribo TANG ; Deyong LONG ; Ronghui YU ; Rong BAI ; Jiahui WU ; Xin DU ; Jianzeng DONG ; Changsheng MA
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2019;47(8):595-601
Objectives:
This study explored the relationship between weight control and atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after catheter ablation in overweight and obese patients.
Methods:
We prospectively enrolled consecutive 333 overweight and obese patients aged 28 to 87 years old, who underwent catheter ablation for AF in Beijing Anzhen Hospital between October 2015 and February 2016. Data of patients′ characteristics, laboratory examination and treatment were collected at baseline. Each patient was followed up at 3, 6 and 12 months after ablation to collect information on weight, AF recurrence, stroke, major bleeding, hospitalization for cardiovascular reasons and death, etc. Patients were divided into weight controlled group (ΔBMI<-1 kg/m2) and weight uncontrolled group (ΔBMI≥-1 kg/m2), according to the changes in the most recent exposure BMI before AF recurrence in patients with recurrence or the BMI at 12 months′ follow-up in patients without recurrence and the BMI at baseline. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to adjust other known risk factors of AF recurrence and to explore the association between weight control and AF recurrence after catheter ablation.
Results:
There were 54 patients in weight controlled group and 279 patients in weight uncontrolled group. There were no significant differences in age, gender, education level, left atrial size and history of hypertension between the two groups (all
9.Association between weight control and recurrence of atrial fibrillation after catheter ablation in overweight and obese patients
Zhaoxu JIA ; Chao JIANG ; Shangxin LU ; Jiapeng LIU ; Xueyuan GUO ; Songnan LI ; Nian LIU ; Chenxi JIANG ; Caihua SANG ; Ribo TANG ; Deyong LONG ; Ronghui YU ; Rong BAI ; Jiahui WU ; Xin DU ; Jianzeng DONG ; Changsheng MA
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2019;47(8):595-601
Objectives This study explored the relationship between weight control and atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence after catheter ablation in overweight and obese patients. Methods We prospectively enrolled consecutive 333 overweight and obese patients aged 28 to 87 years old, who underwent catheter ablation for AF in Beijing Anzhen Hospital between October 2015 and February 2016. Data of patients′ characteristics, laboratory examination and treatment were collected at baseline. Each patient was followed up at 3, 6 and 12 months after ablation to collect information on weight, AF recurrence, stroke, major bleeding, hospitalization for cardiovascular reasons and death, etc. Patients were divided into weight controlled group (ΔBMI<-1 kg/m2) and weight uncontrolled group (ΔBMI≥-1 kg/m2), according to the changes in the most recent exposure BMI before AF recurrence in patients with recurrence or the BMI at 12 months′ follow?up in patients without recurrence and the BMI at baseline. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to adjust other known risk factors of AF recurrence and to explore the association between weight control and AF recurrence after catheter ablation. Results There were 54 patients in weight controlled group and 279 patients in weight uncontrolled group. There were no significant differences in age, gender, education level, left atrial size and history of hypertension between the two groups (all P>0.05). The proportion of patients using angiotensin?converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers was higher in the weight controlled group (50.0%(27/54) vs. 34.8%(97/279), P=0.034). However, there was no significant difference in the proportion of patients with obesity (33.3% (18/54) vs. 29.7% (83/279)), paroxysmal AF (59.3% (32/54) vs. 56.6% (158/279)) and AF duration less than 5 years (76.9% (40/52) vs. 65.4% (178/272)) between the weight controlled group and the uncontrolled group. During 1?year follow?up after ablation, the recurrence rate of AF was significantly lower in the weight controlled group than that in the weight uncontrolled group (14.8% (8/54) vs. 32.6%(91/279), P=0.009). Multivariable logistic regression analysis shows that weight control is independently associated with a lower postoperative AF recurrence rate ( OR=0.40, 95%CI 0.18-0.90, P=0.026). Conclusion Weight control is strongly associated with a lower AF recurrence rate after catheter ablation in overweight and obese patients.
10.Evaluation and countermeasure research on the output of scientific papers of 24 comprehensive three—A hospitals in Fujian Province from 2006 to 2015
Huihua WU ; Xuezhen CHEN ; Ronghui JIANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Science Research Management 2018;31(6):447-452
Objective To explore the scientific research output of the comprehensive three-A hospitals in Fujian Province,provide reference for the development of deepening medical reform work plan in Fujian Province.Methods The bibliometric method was used to analyze the publication of scientific and technical papers of 24 comprehensive Three-A hospitals in Fujian Province from 2006 to 2015 and the number of projects of each hospital in this decade.Results Compared with the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan",the five-year growth rate of the total number of papers published by 24 hospitals has increased 13.1% in the "twelfth Five-Year Plan",and increasing rate of SCI papers was 308.7%.The number of publication during the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" was higher than previous one.The total number of publications in recent ten years was keeping increasing.The number of papers published by coastal city hospitals is significantly higher than that of mountain city hospitals.Conclusions The publication of research papers in 24 comprehensive Three-A hospitals in Fujian Province from 2006 to 2015 showed an overall upward trend.Compared with the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan",the research papers have significantly improved both in quantity and quality.The research output of the third-grade class-A hospitals in Fujian Province is regionally strong.It is recommended that the medical and health departments of Fujian Province should pay attention to the scientific research investment of mountainous city hospitals,avoid regional imbalances,strengthen the construction of high-level talents,establish scientific research incentives and promote inter-regional cooperation.

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