1.Risk prediction model of anastomotic fistula after radical resection of esophageal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Tao LI ; Yunlan JIANG ; Jing KANG ; Shuang SONG ; Qiufeng DU ; Xiaodong YI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(03):385-392
Objective To systematically evaluate the risk prediction model of anastomotic fistula after radical resection of esophageal cancer, and to provide objective basis for selecting a suitable model. Methods A comprehensive search was conducted on Chinese and English databases including CNKI, Wanfang, VIP, CBM, PubMed, EMbase, Web of Science, The Cochrane Library for relevant studies on the risk prediction model of anastomotic fistula after radical resection of esophageal cancer from inception to April 30, 2023. Two researchers independently screened literatures and extracted data information. PROBAST tool was used to assess the risk of bias and applicability of included literatures. Meta-analysis was performed on the predictive value of common predictors in the model with RevMan 5.3 software. Results A total of 18 studies were included, including 11 Chinese literatures and 7 English literatures. The area under the curve (AUC) of the prediction models ranged from 0.68 to 0.954, and the AUC of 10 models was >0.8, indicating that the prediction performance was good, but the risk of bias in the included studies was high, mainly in the field of research design and data analysis. The results of the meta-analysis on common predictors showed that age, history of hypertension, history of diabetes, C-reactive protein, history of preoperative chemotherapy, hypoproteinemia, peripheral vascular disease, pulmonary infection, and calcification of gastric omental vascular branches are effective predictors for the occurrence of anastomotic leakage after radical surgery for esophageal cancer (P<0.05). Conclusion The study on the risk prediction model of anastomotic fistula after radical resection of esophageal cancer is still in the development stage. Future studies can refer to the common predictors summarized by this study, and select appropriate methods to develop and verify the anastomotic fistula prediction model in combination with clinical practice, so as to provide targeted preventive measures for patients with high-risk anastomotic fistula as soon as possible.
2.Comparative study of UE and CDFI in distinguishing triple-negative breast cancer and fibroadenoma
Qiufeng LI ; Yeping FENG ; Huili LI ; Xiangyu LI ; Zhenxiu HUANG
China Medical Equipment 2024;21(1):88-92
Objective:To investigate the values of ultrasound elasticity(UE)imaging and color Doppler flow energy(CDFI)in differential diagnosis for triple negative breast cancer(TNBC)and fibroadenoma.Methods:A total of 50 TNBC patients who admitted to People's Hospital of Wanning from January 2021 to January 2022 and were confirmed by surgical pathology were selected,and they were divided into TNBC group.On the other hand,a total of 50 patients with fibroadenoma who were confirmed by surgical pathology during the same period were selected and they were divided into fibroadenoma group.All patients did not undergo any clinical intervention before ultrasound examination.UE and CDFI were used respectively to evaluate the degrees of softness and hardness of the tissues,the color blood flow and elasticity scores of lesions.The pathological result was used as the gold standard to analyze respectively the diagnostic efficacies of UE and CDFI for TNBC and fibroadenoma.Results:According to the characteristics of ultrasound imaging,the TNBC group mostly showed burr sign on lesion edge,the attenuation and hyperechoic halo of posterior echo,and existing axillary lymph node metastasis.The fibroadenoma group mostly showed clear boundaries of lesion area,regular lesion morphology,non-microcalcification.The diagnostic sensitivity,specificity and accuracy of UE detection were respectively 90.91%,82.14%and 86.00%,while these indicators of CDFI were respectively 73.08%,75.00%and 74.00%.In addition,the sensitivity,specificity and accuracy of the combined detection of them were respectively 94.23%,95.83%and 96.00%.The detection efficiency of the combined detection was higher than that of each single detection.Conclusion:UE has higher sensitivity in the differential diagnosis of TNBC and fibroadenoma,but it's specificity is not high.The combined detection of UE and CDFI can improve the specificity and accuracy of differential diagnosis.
3.Diagnostic yield of bronchoscopic rapid on-site evaluation in severe invasive bronchopulmonary aspergillosis.
Sicheng XU ; Qiufeng WAN ; Jingwen LI ; Yujiao SHI ; Xi LUO ; Wenting JIA ; Ting YANG ; Xinying HU ; Xingli GU ; Guangming LIU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(11):1164-1170
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the diagnostic yield of bronchoscopic rapid on-site evaluation (B-ROSE) in patients with severe invasive bronchopulmonary aspergillosis (IBPA) and provide evidence for starting antifungal treatment before microbiological results were available.
METHODS:
A prospective cohort study was conducted to select patients with severe pneumonia suspected of IBPA admitted to the respiratory intensive care unit (RICU) in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from June 2014 to June 2022, and those who were primarily infected with other pathogens (such as bacteria, Mycobacterium tuberculosis) at admission were excluded. Whether the antifungal treatment was initiated or not on the basis of the bedside B-ROSE, the B-ROSE was administered as soon as possible within 24 hours after admission to RICU. The current international definition of invasive aspergillosis was used as the gold diagnostic standard, the diagnostic accordance rate, the sensitivity and specificity of B-ROSE were calculated respectively, and the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was also plotted, to evaluate the predictive value in diagnosing IBPA.
RESULTS:
A total of 176 patients with severe pneumonia suspected of IBPA were included in the study. According to international diagnostic standards, there were 81 cases of IBPA and 95 cases of non-IBPA. According to the early diagnosis of B-ROSE, there were 89 cases of IBPA and 87 cases of non-IBPA. The diagnostic accordance rate of B-ROSE was 84.09% (148/176), the area under the ROC curve for B-ROSE in diagnosing severe IBPA was 0.844, the 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.782-0.905, the sensitivity was 87.65%, the specificity was 81.05%, the positive predictive value was 79.78%, the negative predictive value was 88.51%, the rate of underdiagnosis was 12.35% (10/81), and the rate of misdiagnosis was 18.95% (18/95). Compared with the true negative group, the proportion of long-term (≥ 14 days) use of glucocorticoid [70.0% (7/10) vs. 9.1% (7/77), P < 0.01] and the proportion of cases with diabetes [40.0% (4/10) vs. 10.4% (8/77), P < 0.05] were significantly higher in the false negative group (underdiagnosis group). However, B-ROSE of both groups showed mucosal bleeding, congestion and edema [100.0% (10/10) vs. 94.8% (73/77), P > 0.05], indicating that acute mucosal inflammation was non-characteristic. Compared with the true positive group, the proportion of long-term (≥ 14 days) use of glucocorticoid in the false positive group (misdiagnosis group) was significantly reduced [33.3% (6/18) vs. 60.6% (43/71), P < 0.05]. The B-ROSE results showed the proportion of cases with mucosal white spots, black plaques and pseudomembrane was significantly reduced [16.7% (3/18) vs. 52.1% (37/71), P < 0.01] in the misdiagnosed group, which suggest that cases of long-term use of glucocorticoid and cases with B-ROSE showing mucosal white spots, black plaques and pseudomembrane were less likely to be misdiagnosed. The main diseases that were easily misdiagnosed as IBPA included pulmonary tuberculosis (38.9%, 7/18), inflammatory lung adenocarcinoma (27.8%, 5/18) and pulmonary vasculitis (16.7%, 3/18).
CONCLUSIONS
Before obtaining microbiological evidence, B-ROSE can assist in decision-making of early anti-aspergillus treatment for severe IBPA. This method is prompt, simple, and has high accuracy and reliability. If B-ROSE lacks characteristic manifestations, especially for severe pneumonia in patients with long-term use of glucocorticoid or diabetes, attention should be paid to the underdiagnosis of IBPA. Diseases such as lung tuberculosis, inflammatory lung adenocarcinoma and lung vasculitis should be vigilant against misdiagnosis as IBPA.
Humans
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Prospective Studies
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Antifungal Agents
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Glucocorticoids
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Rapid On-site Evaluation
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Reproducibility of Results
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Pulmonary Aspergillosis
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Pneumonia
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Diabetes Mellitus
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Adenocarcinoma of Lung
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Vasculitis
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Retrospective Studies
4.Rapid evaluation of the early pathogen of severe Chlamydophila psittaci pneumonia by diagnostic bronchoscopy
Jingwen LI ; Shengquan LI ; Na LIU ; Tiantian SONG ; Lixiao ZHAO ; Xueli WANG ; Mengya GUO ; Yamei GAO ; Qiufeng WAN ; Sicheng XU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2023;35(1):37-42
Objective:To explore the rapid evaluation of the early pathogen of severe Chlamydophila psittaci pneumonia by bedside diagnostic bronchoscopy, so as to start effective anti-infection treatment before the results of macrogenome next generation sequencing (mNGS) test. Methods:The clinical data of three patients with severe Chlamydophila psittaci pneumonia who were successfully treated in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, the First People's Hospital of Aksu District, and the First Division Hospital of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps from October 2020 to June 2021 were retrospectively analyzed, including the rapid assessment of early pathogens by bedside diagnostic bronchoscopy and the use of antibiotics to start anti-infection treatment. These patients were successfully treated. Results:The three patients were male, aged 63, 45 and 58 years old, respectively. Before the onset of the penumonia, they had a clear medical history of bird exposure. The clinical manifestations mainly included fever, dry cough, shortness of breath and dyspnea. One case had abdominal pain and lethargy. The results of laboratory examination indicated that the peripheral blood white blood cell count (WBC) of two patients were high [(10.2-11.9)×10 9/L], the percentage of neutrophils increased (85.2%-94.6%) and the percentage of lymphocytes decreased (3.2%-7.7%) in all 3 patients after admission to hospital and entering into intensive care unit (ICU). The procalcitonin (PCT) of 3 patients increased after admission, and still increased when entering ICU (0.3-4.8 ng/L), so did C-reactive protein (CRP, 58.0-162.0 mg/L) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR, 36.0-90.0 mm/1 h). After admission, serum alanine transaminase (ALT) increased in 2 cases (136.7 U/L, 220.5 U/L), so did aspartate transaminase (AST) in 2 cases (249.6 U/L, 164.2 U/L). ALT (162.2-267.9 U/L) and AST (189.8-223.2 U/L) increased in 3 patients when they entered ICU. The level of serum creatinine (SCr) of 3 patients were normal after admission and entering ICU. The chest computed tomography (CT) findings of 3 patients were acute interstitial pneumonia, bronchopneumonia and lung consolidation, of which 2 cases were accompanied by a small amount of pleural effusion, and 1 case was accompanied by more regular small air sacs. Multiple lung lobes were involved, but mainly one lung lobe. The oxygenation index (PaO 2/FiO 2) of the 3 patients admitting to ICU were 100.0, 57.5 and 105.4 mmHg (1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa), respectively, which met with the diagnostic criteria of moderate and severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). All three patients received endotracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation. Under the bedside bronchoscope, the bronchial mucosa of 3 patients were obviously congested and edematous, without purulent secretion, and there was 1 case with mucosal hemorrhage. Three patients underwent bedside diagnostic bronchoscopy, and the evaluation result of the pathogen was that it might be atypical pathogen infection, so they were given moxifloxacin, cisromet and doxycycline intravenously, respectively, and combined with carbapenem antibiotics intravenously. After 3 days, the detection results of mNGS in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) showed that only Chlamydia psittaci was infected. At this time, the condition was significantly improved, and PaO 2/FiO 2 was significantly increased. Therefore, the antibiotic treatment scheme remained unchanged, and mNGS only served to verify the initial diagnosis. Two patients were extubated on the 7th and 12th day of admission to the ICU, respectively, while one patient was extubated on the 16th day of admission to the ICU due to nosocomial infection. All 3 patients were transferred to the respiratory ward after the condition was stable. Conclusion:The bedside diagnostic bronchoscopy based on clinical characteristics is conducive to not only the rapid assessment of the early pathogens of severe Chlamydia psittaci pneumonia, but also effective anti-infection treatment before the returning of mNGS test results, which can make up for the lag and uncertainty of the mNGS test results.
5.Value of MRI findings for the evaluation of a hernia sac in fetuses with congenital diaphragmatic hernia
Xinyun WANG ; Qiufeng YIN ; Xueyao WANG ; Yuzhen ZHANG ; Ming LIU ; Yuhua LI ; Dengbin WANG
Chinese Journal of Radiology 2022;56(5):509-514
Objective:To explore the value of MRI signs in assessing the presence or absence of hernia sacs in fetuses with congenital diaphragm hernia.Methods:MRI images of 57 patients with congenital diaphragm hernia confirmed by postpartum surgery were analyzed from November 2016 to December 2020 in Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, with a gestational age of 20-40 (28±5) weeks. In postpartum surgery, 18 cases were found with hernia sacs (hernia sac group) and 39 cases without hernia sacs (hernia-free group). Seven MRI signs were analyzed, including hernia peripheral enveloping sensation, smooth lung-hernia interface, crescent-shaped lung compression, residual lung tissue on the affected side, heart displacement, effusion above the lung-hernia interface and effusion below the lung-hernia interface. The differences in MRI signs between the hernia sac and hernia-free groups were compared using the χ 2 test or Fisher′s exact probability method. The diagnostic efficacy of each sign was calculated. The MRI signs with statistical differences between the two groups were included in the predictive integration model, and 1 point was scored for each sign, the imaging score of each fetus was calculated, and the efficacy of imaging points in diagnosing the presence or absence of hernia sacs was assessed by the subject manipulation receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. Results:There were statistically significant differences in 5 MRI signs between the hernia sac and the hernia-free groups, namely hernia peripheral enveloping sensation (χ2=25.74, P<0.001), smooth lung-hernia interface (χ2=48.20, P<0.001), crescent-shaped lung compression (χ2=57.00, P<0.001), residual lung tissue on the affected side (χ2=12.14, P<0.001) and effusion above the lung-hernia interface (χ2=4.31, P=0.022). Among them, the sign of crescent-shaped lung compression had the highest diagnostic efficacy, and the sensitivity, specificity and accuracy all were 100%. Five statistically significant MRI signs were included in the predictive integration model, and the area under the ROC curve was 0.999, the sensitivity was 100%, the specificity was 94.9%, and the optimal threshold was 2 points. Conclusion:Fetal MRI signs and predictive integration model can effectively identify the presence or absence of hernia sacs in fetuses with congenital diaphragm hernia, which has certain clinical significance.
6.Factors influencing the choice of endotracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome caused by viral pneumonia
Meng KANG ; Jingwen LI ; Qiufeng WAN ; Xi LUO ; Wenting JIA ; Ting YANG ; Xinying HU ; Xingli GU ; Sicheng XU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2022;34(6):586-591
Objective:To investigate the influencing factors of endotracheal intubation and mechanical ventilation (ETI-MV) in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) caused by viral pneumonia, and to provide evidence for individualized use of ETI-MV.Methods:Patients with ARDS due to viral pneumonia admitted to the respiratory intensive care unit (RICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University were retrospectively analyzed from November 2017 to March 2022. The gender, age, concomitant diseases, clinical symptoms and signs, complications, lab results, ARDS severity, infectious virus type, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ), respiratory support methods and prognosis-related variables were collected. Univariate analysis was performed on each factor, and the variables with statistical significance in the univariate analysis were subjected multivariate logistic regression analysis. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of each index for the implementation of ETI-MV.Results:A total of 117 patients were enrolled in the study, including 61 patients in the ETI-MV group, and 3 patients (4.9%), 39 patients (63.9%) and 19 patients (31.1%) with mild, moderate and severe ARDS, respectively. There were 56 patients in non-ETI-MV group, and the mild, moderate and severe ARDS cases were 16 cases (28.6%), 38 cases (67.8%) and 2 cases (3.6%), respectively. There was significant difference between the two groups ( P < 0.05). Univariate analysis showed that during 24 hours admitted to RICU, the levels of interleukin-6 [IL-6 (ng/L): 104.0±90.0 vs. 62.4±76.0], oxygenation index [PaO 2/FiO 2 (mmHg, 1 mmHg≈0.133 kPa): 123.9±30.9 vs. 173.6±28.5], the proportion of cases with pulmonary infiltrating opacity distribution range ≥ 3/4 lung fields [85.3% (52/61) vs. 21.5% (12/56)], APACHE Ⅱ score ≥ 16.5 [67.2% (41/61) vs. 42.9% (24/56)], the rate of nosocomial invasive aspergillus infection [14.8% (9/61) vs. 3.6% (2/56)], the percentage of nosocomial bacterial infection [16.4% (10/61) vs. 3.6% (2/56)], and the lowest CD4 + T lymphocyte count in the course of the disease [cells/mm 3: 192.2±35.8 vs. 215.0±58.3] had significant differences between ETI-MV and non-ETI-MV group (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that during 24 hours admitted to RICU the distribution range of pulmonary infiltrating opacity ≥ 3/4 the lung fields [odds ratio ( OR) = 12.527, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 3.279-47.859, P < 0.001], APACHE Ⅱ score ≥ 16.5 ( OR = 30.604, 95% CI = 4.318-216.932, P = 0.001), PaO 2/FiO 2 ( OR = 0.948, 95% CI = 0.925-0.972, P < 0.001), CD4 + T lymphocytes cell count ( OR = 0.975, 95% CI = 0.955-0.995, P = 0.015), and nosocomial bacterial infection ( OR = 38.338, 95% CI = 1.638-897.158, P = 0.023) were independent risk factors for ETI-MV. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of ROC showed that PaO 2/FiO 2 had the greatest predictive value for ETI-MV, with AUC of 0.903, sensitivity of 91.1% and specificity of 95.1% in case of cutoff value of 151 mmHg. The AUC of pulmonary infiltrating opacity distribution range was 0.809, the sensitivity of 85.2%, specificity of 78.6% when the cutoff value was ≥ 3/4 lung field. APACHE Ⅱ scores had the lowest predictive value for selecting ETI-MV, with AUC of 0.704, sensitivity of 83.6% and specificity of 57.1% under the cutoff value was 16.5. Conclusions:For patients with ARDS caused by viral pneumonia, PaO 2/FiO 2 is still the classic reference for selecting ETI-MV, however, the distribution range of pulmonary infiltrating opacity and the systemic severity of the disease during 24 hours admitted to the RICU may provide supplemental helpful information to determine whether the patients choose ETI-MV, especially for moderate ARDS.
7.Expression of farnesoid X receptor in colorectal cancer and its clinical significance
Qiufeng HE ; Lin LI ; Yiyan LU ; Caili ZHANG ; Yuanmin ZHU
Cancer Research and Clinic 2021;33(8):579-584
Objective:To investigate the expression changes of farnesoid X receptor (FXR) in the evolution of normal intestinal mucosa, colorectal adenoma (CRA) and colorectal cancer (CRC), and the correlation of FXR expression with clinicopathological features and prognosis of patients with colorectal tumors.Methods:The UALCAN website tool was used to analyze the expression level of FXR gene transcripts of CRC and normal colorectal tissues in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The patients undergoing colonoscopy and treatment in the Aerospace Center Hospital from January 2019 to September 2020 were selected, and the immunohistochemistry was used to detect the expression of FXR protein in 100 CRA tissues, 47 CRC tissues and 11 normal colonic mucosal tissues from healthy people (healthy control). Combining with clinical data, the relationship between FXR protein expression and clinicopathological characteristics of patients with colorectal tumors was analyzed. According to the Kaplan-Meier Plotter online database, the median expression level of FXR gene transcripts in CRC patients was analyzed, and the patients were divided into FXR low-expression group and high-expression group, the relationship between the expression of FXR gene and prognosis of CRC patients was investigated.Results:The analysis of data from TCGA database showed that the expression level of FXR gene transcripts in CRC tissues was lower than that in normal colorectal tissues ( P < 0.01). Immunohistochemical examination of the collected tissues showed that the positive rate of FXR protein gradually decreased from the cecum to the rectum. The positive rates of FXR protein in healthy control, CRA patients and CRC patients were 90.9% (10/11), 24.0% (24/100), 6.3% (3/47), and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2 = 35.56, P < 0.01); the positive rate of FXR protein in cancer tissues from CRC patients was lower than that in normal tissues adjacent to cancer [6.3% (3/47) vs. 65.2% (15/23)], and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2 = 27.98, P < 0.01). There was no statistical difference in the positive rate of FXR among CRA patients with different gender, age, maximum diameter of adenoma, and aggression (all P > 0.05). There was also no statistical difference in the positive rate of FXR among CRC patients with different gender, age, tumor site, maximum diameter of tumor, degree of differentiation, TNM staging, and vascular tumor thrombus (all P > 0.05). According to the survival analysis of Kaplan-Meier Plotter online database, the recurrence-free survival of CRC patients with high expression of FXR was better than that of patients with low expression of FXR ( P = 0.003). Conclusions:The expression level of FXR gradually decreases in the intestinal tissues of healthy people, CRA patients and CRC patients. The prognosis of CRC patients with low FXR expression is poor.
8.Risk factors analysis of central neck lymph node metastases in clinically node-negative papillary thyroid carcinoma and the rationality of prophylactic central neck dissection
Qiufeng JIN ; Peng LI ; Jinxing QI ; Shasha ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2018;41(10):878-882
Objective To explore the risk factors of central neck lymph node metastases in clinically node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and the rationality of prophylactic central neck dissection. Methods The clinical data of 1359 patients who had underwent PTC treatment at the Department of Head and Neck Surgery , Henan Provincial Cancer Hospital during the five years (from 2011-01 to 2015-12) were analyzed retrospectively. Results There were 376 patients (27.67%, 376/1359) with central neck lymph node metastases. Single factor analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the central neck lymph node metastases were related to tumor max diameter≥10 mm, extrathyroidal extension (P<0.01), age<55 years old (P<0.01), multifocality (P<0.01), and PTC located at the isthmus (P<0.01). Conclusions Risk stratification should be performed on cN0 PTC. Prophylactic central neck dissection should be performed in cN0 patients with the tumor max diameter ≥ 10 mm, capsule invasion, age <55 years, multiple tumors, isthmus PTC and Hashimoto thyroiditis patients.
9.Predictive factors for failure of non-invasive positive pressure ventilation in immunosuppressed patients with acute respiratory failure
Xiangli JIA ; Ci YAN ; Sicheng XU ; Xingli GU ; Qiufeng WAN ; Xinying HU ; Jingwen LI ; Guangming LIU ; Shareli CAIKAI ; Zhijin GUO
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2018;30(2):107-111
Objective To evaluate the predictive factors for failure of non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NIPPV) in immunosuppressed patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF). Methods The clinical data of 118 immuno-deficient patients treated with NIPPV in the respiratory and intensive care unit (RICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from January 2012 to August 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into a non-endotracheal intubation (ETI) group (n = 62) and ETI group (n = 56) according to whether ETI was performed during the hospitalization period or not. Each observed indicator was analyzed by univariate analysis, and factors leading to failure of NIPPV were further analyzed by Logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to evaluate the predictive value of risk factors for failure of NIPPV in immunosuppressed patients with ARF. Results The non-intubation rate for NIPPV in immunosuppressed patients was 50.8% (60/118). Compared with the non-ETI group, the body temperature, pH value in the ETI group were significantly increased, the partial pressure of arterial carbon dioxide (PaCO2) was significantly decreased, the ratio of oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2) < 100 mmHg (1 mmHg = 0.133 kPa), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ(APACHE Ⅱ) score ≥ 20, and the number of cases requiring catecholamine were significantly increased, the mortality was significantly increased. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the APACHE Ⅱ score ≥ 20 [odds ratio (OR) = 15.274, 95% confidence internal (95%CI) = 2.175-107.252, χ2= 7.516, 1 = 0.006], PaO2/FiO2< 100 mmHg (OR = 0.075, 95%CI = 0.014-0.408, χ2= 8.968, 1 = 0.003), and need for catecholamine (OR = 35.736, 95%CI = 6.974-183.124, χ2= 18.400, 1 < 0.001) were independent risk factors for failure of NIPPV. ROC curve analysis showed that the APACHE Ⅱ score ≥ 20 and PaO2/FiO2< 100 mmHg could predict failure of NIPPV, the area under ROC curve (AUC) of the APACHE Ⅱ score ≥ 20 was 0.787, the sensitivity was 83.93%, the specificity was 69.35%, the positive predict value (PPV) was 71.21%, the negative predict value (NPV) was 82.69%, the positive likelihood ratio (PLR) was 2.74, the negative likelihood ratio (NLR) was 0.23, and Youden index was 0.53; the AUC of PaO2/FiO2< 100 mmHg was 0.757, the sensitivity was 80.65%, the specificity was 66.07%, the PPV was 68.18%, the NPV was 78.85%, the PLR was 2.38, the NLR was 0.29, and Youden index was 0.47. Conclusions 50.8% of immunocompromised and ARF patients treated with NIPPV did not require ETI, which is independent of the etiology of ARF. APACHE Ⅱ score ≥ 20, PaO2/FiO2<100 mmHg, and the need for catecholamine are predictive factors for failure of NIPPV in immunocompromised patients.
10.Traditional Chinese medicine combined with radiotherapy for treatment of middle and advanced esophageal neoplasms: an analysis of prognostic factors
Yuqiang WANG ; Yonghong ZHANG ; Mian LI ; Hui GENG ; Qiufeng GUO ; Hongchao LU ; Zengping QI
Cancer Research and Clinic 2018;30(7):464-467
Objective To explore the prognostic factors of middle and advanced esophageal neoplasms treated by traditional Chinese medicine combined with radiotherapy.Methods A total of 462 esophageal neoplasms patients treated by traditional Chinese medicine combined with radiotherapy from March 2009 to March 2012 in Civil Administration Hospital of Hebei Province were retrospectively analyzed.The overall median survival time and the survival rate of 1,3 and 5 years were calculated by using life table.Log-rank test was used for single-factor analysis and Cox model was used for multiple-factor analysis.Results The median survival time of 462 esophageal neoplasm patients was 24.2 months (12.9-36.6 months).The survival rate of 1,3 and 5 years was 80.3 %,30.6 % and 10.5 % respectively.Single-factor analysis showed that the age (x2 =89.773,P =0.000),tumor diameter (x2 =102.373,P =0.000),clinical staging (x2 =128.903,P =0.000),concomitant with other diseases (x2 =65.366,P =0.000) and the short term effect (x2 =64.948,P =0.000) were associated with prognosis of middle and advanced esophageal neoplasms treated by traditional Chinese medicine combined with radiotherapy.Multiple-factor analysis showed that the age (RR =1.625,95 % CI 1.251-2.111,P=0.000),clinical staging (RR =2.437,95 % CI 1.874-3.168,P=0.000),concomitant with other diseases (RR =1.1.628,95 % CI 1.278-2.076,P =0.000) and the short term effect(RR =1.865,95 % CI 1.594-2.182,P =0.000) were the independent prognosis factors for middle and advanced esophageal neoplasms treated by traditional Chinese medicine combined with radiotherapy.Conclusion Elderly patients,esophageal neoplasms in stage Ⅲ,concomitant with other diseases and poor short-term effect could influence the prognosis of the patients with middle and advanced esophageal neoplasms treated by traditional Chinese medicine combined with radiotherapy.

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