Objective    To define the patient characteristics and perioperative management, and to define the mortality and its risk factors after arterial switch operation (ASO). Methods    We conducted a bidirectional cohort study with 571 consecutive patients undergoing ASO from 1997 to 2016 in our hospital. We enrolled patients who underwent ASO before 2012 retrospectively and after 2012 prospectively and followed up all the patients prospectively. Demographic characteristics, clinical information and mortality of these patients were summarized. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to identify the time trend of the overall mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate the mid- and long-term survival rate after ASO. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to explore the potential factors associated with mortality. The cumulative incidence of complications after ASO was predicted using competing risk models. Results    Several aspects of patients’ characteristics and perioperative management in our center differed from those in the developed countries. The overall mortality and in-hospital mortality after ASO was 16.3% and 15.1%, respectively. The overall cumulative survival rate at 5, 10 and 15 years after ASO was 83.3%, 82.8% and 82.8%, respectively. A significant decrease of overall mortality from 1997 to 2016 was observed. Independent risk factors of mortality included earlier ASO (1997-2006), single or intramural coronary anatomy and longer cardiopulmonary bypass time. Ten years after ASO, re-intervention, arrhythmia, pulmonary and anastomotic stenosis were the most common complications with a cumulative incidence over 10%. Conclusion    Significant improvements in the results of the ASO were observed and the postoperative mortality rate is close to reports from developed countries. Nonetheless, we have identified the need for further improvement in the early and late postoperative periods after ASO. Pulmonary stenosis, anastomotic stenosis and arrhythmia should be paid attention to during the long-term follow-up after ASO.

Objective: To explore the relationship between overnight urinary sodium to potassium ratio and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Methods: A subsample of 10 percent of the participants (35-59 years old) from the People's Republic of China-United States Collaborative Study of Cardiovascular and Cardiopulmonary Epidemiology (prospective survey) were used. Three consecutive overnight urine samples were collected in the autumn of 1983-1984 and the spring in 1985-1986, respectively. Urinary sodium and potassium were detected and calculated for 8 hours excretion. The occurrences of cardiovascular events were recorded in 2 years interval from 1987-1988 until December 31, 2005. Participants were divided into first ratio group, second ratio group, and third ratio group based on the tertiles of sodium to potassium ratio. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to determine the relationship between sodium to potassium ratio and risk of CVD. In addition, participants were divided into 2 subgroups by the median of overnight urinary sodium and potassium, and then combined each other for 4 subgroups including low sodium-low potassium group, low sodium-high potassium group, high sodium-low potassium group, and high sodium-high potassium group, to explore the relationship between different sodium-potassium combinations and the risk of CVD. Results: A total of 954 participants were included in the final analysis, of whom 459 (48.1%) were males. There were 318 cases in the first, second and third ratio group, respectively. There were 347 cases in low sodium-low potassium group and high sodium-high potassium group, and 130 cases in low sodium-high potassium group and high sodium-low potassium group. After a median follow-up of 18.6 (18.3, 19.3) years, cardiovascular events occurred in 81 participants, including 64 stroke and 20 coronary heart disease events. Multivariate analysis showed that comparing with the first ratio group, the hazard ratios (HR) in the second and the third ratio groups were 2.04 (95%CI 1.06-3.95, P=0.034) and 2.07 (95%CI 1.07-4.03, P=0.032), respectively. The CVD risk in low sodium-low potassium group was 24% higher than the low sodium-high potassium group (reference), but this result did not reach statistical significant level (P=0.685). The risks in high sodium-high potassium group (HR=3.32, 95%CI 1.26-8.76,P=0.015) and high sodium-low potassium (HR=3.04, 95%CI 1.05-8.83, P=0.041) group were both significantly increased. Conclusions Overnight urinary sodium to potassium ratio is positively correlated with the risk of cardiovascular events. High urinary sodium plays a more important role for the increased risk of cardiovascular events than low potassium.

Objective To retrospectively analyze the diagnosis and perinatal management of fetal congenital heart disease ( CHD) in our hospital during the past eight years.Methods A retrospective analysis of 358 cases of CHD diagnosed by fetal echocardiography prenatal and/or postnatal was done in Guangdong General Hospital from Jan 2006 to Dec 2013,the delivery conditions of these fetus were analyzed.Results Incidence of CHD was 1.85％(358/19338), 297 cases were prenatal diag-nosed, 61 cases were postnatal diagnosed.In the prenatal diagnosed group, 60.6％(180/297) were complex CHD.In the postnatal diagnosed group, 90.2％(55/61) were simple CHD.In the complex CHD, 96.8％(180/186) were prenatal diag-nosed.In the prenatal diagnosed group, the survival rate was 68.35％(203/297), of which the simple CHD was 93.16％(109/117), the complex CHD was 52.22％(94/180).The vaginal delivery rate(46.3％ vs 42.6％) in the prenatal diag-nosed group was higher than the postnatal diagnosed group, the difference was significant(P<0.001).Conclusion Through standardized screening and diagnosis methods, most of the complex CHD and part of simple CHD can be prenatal diagnosed . Except for obstetric indications, vaginal delivery was suggested for all of CHD, delivery way did not affect the prognosis.Most of postnatal diagnosed CHD were simple CHD, the prognosis was good.Integrated pattern of prenatal diagnosis and postnatal treatment was completely feasible .

Objective To explore the effect of the surgical treatment in neonates with congenital heart disease(CHD) and the factors related to the perioperative mortality during cardiopulmonary bypass. Methods Totally,666 neonates undergo-ing CHD operation were reviewed in a single center from Jan 2006 to Dec 2014,of which,431 cases had complete cardiopul-monary bypass records. Analysis was performed to investigate the association between perioperative mortality and potential fac-tors,especially the cardiopulmonary bypass factors during different periods. In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard model, factors with statistical significance(P < 0. 1)in the univariate analysis were included in the model,such as,surgeon grouping, year of surgery,Aristotle score,preoperative weight,preoperative and intraoperative sodium bicarbonate volume and postopera-tive low cardiac output. Results The neonates enrolled ranged 8 - 22 days after birth,and 2. 7 - 3. 6 kg at weight. The mor-tality rate decreased from 23. 7％ in 2006 to 12. 4％ in 2014,showing a gradual decline(P = 0. 02). The mortalities of differ-ent CHDs were:pulmonary atresia(24. 4％),coarctation of the aorta( 16. 7％),transposition of the great arteries( 13. 1％), total anomalous pulmonary venous connection( 11. 0％),ventricular septal defect( 10. 6％),and so on. The volume of preop-erative and intraoperative 5％ sodium bicarbonate was 30(20 - 50)mL in death group,higher than that in survival group[23 ( 15 - 30)ml]. While the preoperative weight was 3. 1(2. 7 - 3. 5)kg,lower than that in survival group[3. 3(3. 0 - 3. 6) kg]. The total amount of Plasmalyte/ Ringer,erythrocytes,ultrafiltration volume and the cardiac assist ratio were higher in the death group than in the survival group. After controlling the confounding effect of surgeons,the multivariable Cox proportional hazard model showed that:the independent risk factors for perioperative mortality were pulmonary atresia[aHR = 3. 89( 1. 78 -8. 42)],5％ sodium bicarbonate volume ≥50 ml[aHR = 2. 62( 1. 14 - 6. 04)],erythrocytes volume > 200 ml[aHR = 2. 26 ( 1. 1 - 4. 06)]and postoperative low cardiac output[aHR = 6. 76(3. 30 - 13. 87)]. Conclusion During the study period, the preoperative mortality for neonates with CHD had a dramatical decrease,although the preoperative risk factors for the pa-tients increased. Pulmonary atresia repair surgery had the highest mortality in neonates. Factors associated with the periopera-tive mortality includedpreoperative acidosis and postoperative low cardiac output. There is a significant association between the improvement of perioperative mortality and the improvement of the technology of minimized cardiopulmonary bypass circuit dur-ing neonatal operation. It is suggested that the total erythrocytes volume maintains less than 200 ml.

[Objective]To evaluate the effects of sutureless technique in comparison to conventional techniques for repair of total anomalous pulmonary venous connection(TAPVC)with the method of propensity score analysis.[Methods]From October 2007 to December 2013,179 consecutive patients were enrolled in this study. Patients were operated with sutureless technique(n = 81)or Conventional technique(n=98),and followed up at an interval of 1 month,3 months,6 months and then once a year post-operation. During analysis,three type of propensity-score matching methods,including nearest neighbor caliper matching,Mahalanobis metric matching with propensity score ,optimal full matching were used to create balanced groups of patients receiving each treatment. Surgeons’performance difference was assessed with random frailty proportional hazards models with gamma. Composite endpoints was defined by postoperative death or late death or postoperative pulmonary venous obstruction(PVO),which was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier curve and multivariable Cox proportional hazard model,adjusted by Preoperative-PVO,age,gender,weight and TAPVC type.[Results]Nearest neighbor caliper matching method was the best choice during propensity score analysis. After matching ,sutureless group included 73 patients and Conventional group73 patients. In sutureless group,cardiopulmonary bypass(CPB)time(Z=2.18, P=0.030),cross-clamp time(Z=3.63,P<0.001),rate of composite endpoints(HR 95%CI=0.20(0.06~0.61),P=0.005),late death(HR 95%CI=0.03(0.01~0.55),P=0.017)were significantly better than that in Conventional group. In subgroup analysis ,for patients with pre-PVO,decreased composite endpoints was seen in sutureless group.[Conclusion]Comparison using thepropensity score analysis demonstrated that sutureless strategy for primary repair of TAPVC may associate with decreased mortality rate of post-PVO and CPB time and cross-clamp time.

Objective This retrospective cohort study aims to evaluate and compare the prognosis of surgical repair for total anomalous pulmonary venous connection(TAPVC) with different drainage type.Methods From January 2006 to Decem-ber 2013, 328 consecutive patients were enrolled in this study .The distribution of the defects was 109 cases with cardiac, 161 with supracardiac, 32 with infracardiac, and 26 with mixed type of the drainage into the systemic circulation .The clinical re-cords of all the patients were reviewed.Studied variables were extracted from the clinical records.Followed-up was conducted at an interval of 1 month, 3 months, 6 months and then once a year post-operation.Prevalence of peri-operative conditions were compared among four different types.Studied endpoints was defined by postoperative total death or pulmonary venous obstruc-tion(PVO), which was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier curve and multivariable Cox proportional hazard model, adjusted by differ-ent surgical strategy, emergency operation, preoperative-PVO, neonates, weight, combing with other complex cardiac defects,NYHA cardiac function, severe pulmonary hypertension and severe tricuspid regurgitation.Results There were significant discrepancyof preoperative conditions among four types of TAPVC.Patients with infracardiac TAPVC presented the most criticalsymptoms and clinical indexes, which included having largest proportion of neonates, preoperative PVO, severe NYHA grading,pulmonary hypertension and tricuspid regurgitation, having lowest body weight at operation and youngest age.The cardiopulmonarybypass time, aortic crossclamp time and mechanical ventilation time were significantly longer in infracadiac and mixedTAPVC comparing to the other two types.For early mortality(death in hospital), infracadiac(9.4%) and mixed(11.5%)TAPVC demonstrated higher rates of death than cardiac(4.6%) and supracardiac(7.5%)TAPVC, although had no statisticalsignificance.For intermediate-term results, mortality in infracadiac(21.9%) and mixed(30.8%) TAPVC were significantlyhigher than cardiac ( 8.3%) and supracardiac (11.8%) TAPVC.Reoperation was more frequently required in mixed(19.2%), then infracadiac(15.6%)TAPVC.Mixed and infracadiac types are independent risk factors for TAPVC prognosis,after adjusting by the confounding factors.Conclusion Mixed and infracadiac types are independent risk factors for postoperativedeath and PVO among TAPVC patients.This study provided evidence for clinical assessment and management strategy fordifferent types of TAPVC.

Competing risks occur frequently in the analysis of survival data that should be dealt with competing risk models.Competing risk is an event whose occurrence precludes the occurrence of the primary event of interest.Previous commonly used Kaplan-Meier method tends to overestimate the cumulative survival functions,while the traditional Cox proportional hazards model falsely evaluates the effects of covariates on the hazard related to the occurrence of the event.There are few domestic reports mentioning the concept,application and methodology of competing risk model as well as the implementation procedures or resolution of model conditions and parameters.The current work aims to explain the core concept and methodology of the competing risk model and to illustrate the process of analysis on cumulative incidence rate,using both the cause-specific hazard function model and the sub-distribution hazard function model.Software macro code in SAS 9.4 is also provided to assist clinical researchers to further understand the application of the model so to properly analyze the survival data.

Objective To investigate the relationship on the excision repair cross complementing gene 1(ERCC1)‐4533/8092 site single nucleotide polymorphisms(SNPs) and the susceptibility to hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) in Guangxi Zhuang population . Methods Polymerase chain reaction‐restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR‐RFLP) method was used to detect the ER‐CC1‐4533/8092 gene polymorphism in 88 cases with primary liver cancer and 82 cases of normal controls .Results There was no difference in the frequency distribution of ERCC1‐4533 in the case group and the control group ,the frequency distribution of the ERCC1‐8092 in the case group and the control group was different(P< 0 .05) .Compared with ERCC1‐8092 CC ,ERCC1‐C8092 CA/AA had higher risk of primary hepatocellular carcinoma(CA :OR=2 .556 ,95% CI:1 .345 -4 .855;AA :OR= 8 .667 ,95% CI:1 .000-75 .092) .ERCC1‐8092 C allele as a reference ,ERCC1‐8092 A allele can increase the risk of primary liver cancer (OR=2 .387 ,95% CI:1 .428-3 .992) .Conclusion The genetic polymorphisms of ERCC1‐8092 sites are associated with susceptibility to hepatocellular carcinoma in Guangxi Zhuang population .

Conditional logistic regression analysis and unconditional logistic regression analysis are commonly used in case control study,but Cox proportional hazard model is often used in survival data analysis.Most literature only refer to main effect model,however,generalized linear model differs from general linear model,and the interaction was composed of multiplicative interaction and additive interaction.The former is only statistical significant,but the latter has biological significance.In this paper,macros was written by using SAS 9.4 and the contrast ratio,attributable proportion due to interaction and synergy index were calculated while calculating the items of logistic and Cox regression interactions,and the confidence intervals of Wald,delta and profile likelihood were used to evaluate additive interaction for the reference in big data analysis in clinical epidemiology and in analysis of genetic multiplicative and additive interactions.

Objective:To explore the environmental risk factors of different categories of congenital heart defects ( CHD) and provide evidence for further risk factors and prevention research of CHD pheno-types. Methods:Data of Guangdong CHD Register Study from 2004 to 2012 were used. In the study, 3 038 CHD cases and 3 038 paired controls from 34 hospitals distributed in 17 cities were registered and related information were collected using uniform, and structured questionnaires. All the CHD phenotypes were coded according to the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision (ICD-10) and classified into 6 categories according to their pathological features. Univariate analyses were adopted to filter poten-tial risk factors for each category of CHD. Then multivariate conditional Logistic regression was used to calculate the odds ratios of the risk factors for each category of CHD. Results:The risk factors for left-to-right shunt CHD included low ( OR=2 . 63 , 95%CI:2 . 04 -3 . 39 ) or over birth weight ( OR =2 . 21 , 95%CI:1 . 47-3 . 32 ) , premature delivery ( OR=1 . 95 , 95%CI:1 . 53-2 . 49 ) , polyembryony ( OR=1. 99, 95%CI: 1. 22 -3. 26), maternal low education, mother as factory worker (OR =1. 62, 95%CI:1 . 32-1 . 98 ) , parity≥2 ( OR =1 . 38 , 95%CI: 1 . 13 -1 . 69 ) , maternal abnormal reproduction history ( OR=2 . 29 , 95%CI:1 . 75-3 . 01 ) , fever ( OR=2 . 38 , 95%CI:1 . 26-4 . 48 ) , virus infection ( OR=1 . 80 , 95%CI:1 . 29 -2 . 51 ) , medicine usage ( OR=1 . 73 , 95%CI:1 . 11 -2 . 69 ) , passive smoking ( OR=1 . 69 , 95%CI:1 . 26-2 . 29 ) , chemical agent contact ( OR=8 . 71 , 95%CI:2 . 33 -32 . 58 ) , living in newly decorated houses ( OR=2 . 56 , 95%CI:1 . 60-4 . 09 ) or room close to the main road ( OR=1 . 40 , 95%CI:1 . 14-1 . 72 ) in the first 3 months of pregnancy and father as factory worker ( OR=1 . 46 , 95%CI:1 . 23-1 . 73 ) . The risk factors for pulmonary outflow tract obstruction CHD in-cluded low ( OR =5 . 98 , 95% CI: 2 . 88 -12 . 44 ) or over birth weight ( OR = 6 . 56 , 95% CI:1. 19-36. 26), maternal low education, parity≥2 (OR=2. 08, 95%CI:1. 03-4. 22), virus infection in the first 3 months of pregnancy ( OR =4 . 30 , 95%CI: 1 . 27 -13 . 45 ) . The risk factors for left ventricular outflow tract obstruction CHD included father as factory worker ( OR=6 . 01 , 95%CI:1 . 05-34. 59). The risk factors for transposition of the great arteries included low birth weight (OR=12. 93, 95%CI:1. 14-146. 26), maternal low education, mother as factory worker (OR=3. 69, 95%CI:1. 53-8. 91). The risk factors for conditions with intra cardiac mixing of oxygenated and deoxygenated blood in-cluded parity=2 ( OR=3 . 45 , 95%CI:1 . 42-8 . 38 ) . The risk factors for other CHD included over birth weight (OR=4. 87, 95%CI:1. 19-19. 94), maternal abnormal reproduction history (OR=2. 96, 95%CI:1. 14 - 7. 68 ), virus infection ( OR = 4. 92, 95% CI: 1. 56 - 15. 47 ), medicine usage (OR=4. 90, 95%CI:1. 22-19. 77) or passive smoking (OR=10. 31, 95%CI:1. 25-85. 05) in the first 3 months of pregnancy. Conclusion:The environmental risk factors were discrepant among different categories of CHD. Further risk factors study of CHD phenotypes should be performed specially. To prevent CHD, attention should be paid to the risk factors which are related to multi or complex categories of CHD.