1.Predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in adult severe tetanus
Jinpeng ZHAO ; Xiaoyan LI ; Qinli SUN ; Xiang′an TIAN ; Liguang YANG ; Zhongjin ZHOU ; Naiqing LIU
Chinese Journal of Infectious Diseases 2022;40(7):411-414
Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) for adult severe tetanus by comparing the NLR in patients with severe and mild tetanus.Methods:A total of 65 adult tetanus patients from the Linyi Central Hospital from January 2009 to December 2020 were enrolled. The patients were divided into two groups including mild group and severe group according to the Ablett classification. The general conditions, laboratory data, and NLR of patients in two group were retrospectively compared using independent samples t test. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used for the analysis of risk factors for severe tetanus. Spearman correlation method was used for the analysis of the correlation between risk factors and Ablett grades. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used for the evaluation of the predictive value. Results:Among the 65 tetanus cases, 34 was in mild group and 31 in severe group. The latency period of patients in severe group was (7.00±3.19) d, which was shorter than that in mild group ((9.18±2.59) d), and the difference was statistically significant ( t=3.03, P=0.004). The NLR of patients in severe group was 4.251±1.936, which was higher than that of mild group (2.533±1.026) , and the difference was statistically significant ( t=4.41, P<0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NLR and latency period were independent risk factors for tetanus severity (odds ratio ( OR)=2.359, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.415 to 3.934, P=0.001 and OR=0.748, 95% CI 0.599 to 0.936, P=0.011, respectively). In tetanus patients, the NLR level was positively correlated with Ablett grade ( r=0.644, P<0.001). The ROC curve showed that NLR had good predictive value for adult severe tetanus at a cut-off value of 2.471 (area under the curve (AUC)=0.787), with the sensitivity and specificity of 87.1% and 61.8%, respectively. When combining NLR with latency period (cut-off value of 7.5 d), predictive efficiency was further improved (AUC=0.832) with the sensitivity of 87.1% and specificity of 67.6%( Z=3.43, P<0.001). Conclusions:NLR has a good predictive value for adult severe tetanus, and the predictive efficiency is further improved when combined with latency period.
2.Sample size estimation for survival analysis in single-arm trials
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2017;44(4):517-520
Objective To propose a method to calculate sample size for survival analysis in single-arm trials.Methods Through theoretical formula derivation,we provided sample size estimation method for survival analysis in single-arm trials.Monte-Carlo simulations using STATA software were conducted to obtain the empirical power,so as to verify the accuracy of the estimated sample size.Results Simulation results showed that,when α =0.025 and α =0.01,the power of the sample size calculated by the formula is in accordance with the predetermined power.Conclusions The formula of sample size estimation we proposed could achieve the predetermined power for survival analysis in single-arm trials.Findings of this study provide reliable basis for sample size estimation of early stage antineoplastic drug clinical studies.
3.Directed acyclic graphs: languages, rules and applications
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2017;38(8):1140-1144
Nearly all scientific studies explore causality,which will be met by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs).This paper systematically introduces graphic language,basic and interference rules of DAGs,and their applications into identifying research questions,understanding and undertaking research designs,guiding data analysis,classifying biases,etc.DAGs play key roles in causality studies.
4.Large sample follow-up of single centre and assessment of pediatric urolithiasis caused by melamine-contaminated milk powder
Xinyu KUANG ; Jian GAO ; Hong XU ; Longhai JIAN ; Wenyan HUANG ; Naiqing ZHAO ; Jia RAO ; Qiangying QIAN ; Xianying CHENG ; Zhimin FENG ; Jing XU ; Xin ZHANG ; Xiang WANG ; Shuangsui RUAN ; Li SUN ; Qian SHEN ; Qi CAO ; Xiaoyan FANG ; Lijun ZHOU ; Sujuan WANG ; Xiaoling GE ; Libo WANG
Chinese Journal of Nephrology 2010;26(12):887-891
Objective To assess the prognosis and effect on renal function of pediatric urolithiasis caused by melamine-contaminated milk powder (PUMMP) in a long-term follow-up.Methods One hundred and two of 8335 children (≤ 6-year-old) with history of consuming melamine-contaminated milk powder screened in our hospital were followed up for eighteen months after diagnosis. Urinary system ultrasonography, urinalysis, urinary microprotein profiles [microalbumin (ALBU), immunoglobulin G (IgG), and N-acetyl-β-D-glucosidase (NAG)], urinary melamine and cyanuric acid were examined in the first visit and at the end of follow-up. Results Follow-up was completed in 91 children and the stone was excreted in 82 children (90.1%).Stones less than 5 mm in diameter were most vulnerable to discharge, and stones larger than 10 mm could not be expelled without interventions. At the end of follow-up, no melamine or cyanuric acid was found in the urine samples of 74 patients. Urinalysis showed that incidences of proteinuria, microscopic hematuria and leukocyturia were 0%, 5.1% and 2.0%, which were significant different from those in the first visit (Pproteinutria=0.123, Phemnatuna=0.038 and Pleukocyhuris=0.005).Urinary microprotein profiles revealed that some children whose urinalysis was normal still presented glomerular and renal tubular injury and the abnormal rates were 8.8% and 12.1%respectively. The glomerular injury was mainly related to persistent stone, male and younger.Conclusions 90.1% of children with PUMMP passes urinary stones at the end of follow-up.Stone size is the major risk factor of discharge. No melamine or cyanuric acid is found in the urine of children. After eighteen months, glomerular and renal tubular injury is still found in some patients. Further follow-up is necessary.
5.Comparisons of the life quality and its influential factors among the senior citizens in communities, nursing homes and elderly wards in Shanghai Minhang district
Junke TANG ; Huiying LI ; Linli CHEN ; Jiakai YOU ; Naiqing ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2010;29(1):72-76
Objective To understand the life quality of elderly person in communities, nursing homes and elderly wards, and to find out the related influencing factors for providing references for policy-makers to improve the life quality of the elderly. Methods The senior citizens in 9 communities, 3 villages, 12 nursing homes and 5 elderly wards in Shanghai Minhang District were enrolled by stratified cluster sampling. And the life quality and its influential factors among the inhabitants in communities, nursing homes and elderly wards were compared by adopting Short-Form 36 (SF-36) questionnaire. Results Regarding to the life qualities of senior citizens, community showed that physical functioning was (71. 9 ± 23. 3)scores, role physical was (73. 6 ± 43. 0) scores, bodily pain was (80. 2±20. 3)scores, general health was (53. 2± 19. 1)scores, vitality was (70. 4± 15. 7)scores, social function was ( 83. 8 ± 20. 2) scores, role emotional was ( 81. 1 ± 37. 2 ) scores, mental health was (78. 1 ± 15. 4) scores, weighted average was (74. 1 ± 17. 5) scores. Nursing home showed that physical functioning was (42. 1 ±30. 7) scores, role physical was (57. 9 ±48. 1) scores, bodily pain was (78.0±23.0)scores, general health was (50. 2± 19. 5)scores, vitality was (66. 0± 19. 5)scores, social function was (70. 8 ± 26. 3) scores, role emotional was (66. 8 ± 45. 7) scores, mental health was (73. 6 ± 19. 6) scores, weighted average was (63. 2 ± 21. 0) scores. Elderly ward showed that physical functioning was (20. 4 ± 26. 0) scores, role physical was (36. 1 ± 47. 0) scores, bodily pain was (65. 4±29. 5)scores, general health was (43. 1±17. 1)scores, vitality was (59. 0± 18. 0)scores, social function was (57. 9 ± 25. 3) scores, role emotional was (49. 5 ± 48. 7) scores, mental health was (66. 2 ± 18. 3) scores, weighted average was (49. 7 ±18. 3) scores. The major influential factors on the life quality were gender, education, marriage, profession, age, disease, residence, entertainment, physical exercise for community; Age, disease, residence, entertainment, physical exercise for nursing home; Age, etc for elderly ward. Conclusions The influences of demographic factors on life quality of the senior citizens in communities are more significant than in nursing home and elderly wards. Variations on the degree of satisfaction (in residence, entertainment, health care and transportation) and the situation of physical exercise have made vast difference in the life quality of the senior citizens both in communities and nursing homes.
6.The ratio of urine albumin to creatinine used in screening for albuminuria among the middle-aged and elderly at high-risk for diabetes in an urban community with casual and morning urine specimens
Sunfang JIANG ; Xin GAO ; Limin REN ; Xusheng CHEN ; Naiqing ZHAO
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2009;8(1):22-26
Objective To compare the value of clinical application of the ratio of urine albumin to creatinine (ACR) in the community-dwelled middle-aged and elderly at high-risk for diabetes in screening for albuminuria with casual and morning urine specimens. Methods Totally, 443 middle-aged and elderly people (234 men and 209 women) at high-risk for diabetes, with an average age of (59±8) years, were recruited from Changfeng Community of Shanghai in screening for albuminuria with casual and morning urine specimens collected on the same day, as well as another two morning urine specimens collected at an interval of two weeks, for determination of urine ACR. Albuminuria was defined as ACR equal to or more than 30 mg (albumin)/g (creatinnine) in two or more of the three urine specimens collected. Results Overall prevalence of albuminuria was 6. 3% ( 28/443 ) in the middle-aged and elderly according to diagnostic standard mentioned above, significantly higher in casual urine specimens than in morning urine specimens (14. 9% vs. 5.9%, P <0. 05). Urine ACR of casual urine specimens was significantly higher than that of morning urine (7. 1 mg/g vs. 3. 2 mg/g, P<0. 001 ). There was no significant difference in sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) between casual and morning urine specimens in screening for albuminuria (96. 4% vs. 92. 9%, and 99.7% vs. 99. 5%, respectively, P >0. 05). Specificity and negative predictive value (NPV) of casual urine specimens was significantly lower than those of morning urine specimens (90.6% vs. 100.0%, and 40.9% vs. 100.0%, respectively, P<0.05). The optimal cut-off value of ACR by casual urine specimens was 40. 0 mg/g in screening for albuminuria, based on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, with sensitivity of 96. 4%, specificity 95.2%, PPV 57.5% and NPV 99. 8%. The middle-aged and elderly with negative albuminuria in morning urine but positive in casual urine had more risk factors for cardiovascular and chronic kidney diseases than those with negative albuminuria in both morning and casual urine specimens. Conclusions Morning urine specimen is better than casual urine for albuminuria screening in the middle-aged and elderly people with risk factors for diabetes in urban community, but casual urine used in screening for albuminuria is very convenient for collection. It is suggested that urine ACR of 40. 0 mg/g be used as an optimal cut-off value for casual urine in albuminuria screening among them.
7.Development and evaluation of an inquiry scale for diagnosis of heart system syndromes in traditional Chinese medicine.
Guoping LIU ; Yiqin WANG ; Ying DONG ; Naiqing ZHAO ; Zhaoxia XU ; Fufeng LI ; Haixia YAN ; Peng QIAN ; Rui GUO ; Xiaodan ZHANG ; Dan DI
Journal of Integrative Medicine 2009;7(1):20-4
To develop an inquiry scale for diagnosis of heart system syndromes, and to discuss the provisional standardization of the inquiry method in traditional Chinese medicine (TCM).
8.Cut-off value of waist circumference for identifying metabolic syndrome in middle-aged and elder residents in Changfeng community of Shanghai
Sunfang JIANG ; Xin GAO ; Limin REN ; Xusheng CHEN ; Naiqing ZHAO
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2008;7(12):818-821
Objective To explore an optimal cut-off value of waist circumference(WC)for identifying metabolic syndrome(MS)in middle-aged and elder residents in an urban community.Methods Database of 1558 residents aged 40-79 years at high-risk in screening for diabetes from Changfeng community,Putuo District,Shanghai during 2005 to 2007 was used to analyze sensitivity and specificity of varied cut-off values of WC for identifying two or more components of MS in men and women,respectively.Receiver operating characteristics(ROC)curve was used to explore the optimal value.Results Optimal cut-off value of WC was 85.0 cm for men and 80.0 cm for women,respectively,for identifying two or more components of MS bv ROC curve,with sensitivity of 72.3%and 74.9%,and specificity of 50.2%and 62.2%,respectively.Based on that optimal cut-off value of WC and definition of International Diabetes Federation(IOF),prevalence of MS was 38.8%in this population,40.7%in men and 37.8%in women,respectively.Conclusion The optimal cut-off value of WC was 85.0 cm in men and 80.0 cm in women,respectively,for identifying MS in the middle-aged and eldedy in an urban community of Shanghai.
9.The effectiveness of an intervention program in the promotion of condom use among sexually transmitted disease patients.
Jinhua XU ; Jiyao WANG ; Naiqing ZHAO ; Shiyao CHEN ; Pingyu ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2002;23(3):218-220
OBJECTIVETo assess the effectiveness of an educational intervention program in sexually transmitted disease (STD) and condom-related knowledge and promoting condom use among STD patients.
METHODSSTD clinic patients were randomly assigned to three groups (A, control group; B, video viewing group; group C, video viewing plus education with talk) after administered with baseline questionnaire. Each patient was then scheduled to complete the questionnaire regarding the change of STD knowledge and use of condom in two weeks and 3 months.
RESULTSSix hundred and forty-eight patients entered the study. More than half of the patients were aware of STD-related knowledge. However the rate of condom use was very low. When having intercourse with the casual sexual partners the percentage of condom use was only 20%. Seventeen per cent of the patients knew nothing about how to use condom correctly. Follow up results showed that the education program increased the knowledge about STD to some degree. However the percentage of condom use in the latest sexual intercourse increased greatly both in intervention and control groups, but more in intervention groups (P < 0.05).
CONCLUSIONSTD education should be focused on advocating and correcting condom use.
Adult ; Condoms ; statistics & numerical data ; utilization ; Female ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Health Promotion ; methods ; statistics & numerical data ; Humans ; Male ; Patient Education as Topic ; methods ; Sexually Transmitted Diseases ; prevention & control ; Videotape Recording
10.Retrospective study of adverse events in patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with second-line drugs.
Lindi JIANG ; Naiqing ZHAO ; Liqing NI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2002;23(3):213-217
OBJECTIVETo evaluate rates on the adverse side effect and discontinuation of second-line drugs frequently used in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).
METHODEight hundred and sixty-four RA patients were studied in a retrospective program.
RESULTSUpper abdominal discomfort was most commonly seen when using second-line drugs. Rash was often associated with D-penicillamine (20.6%) and Sinomenium therapy (13.7%). Methotrexate (MTX) was uniquely characterized by substantial upper GI toxicity (32.2%) and Tripterygium wilfordii Hook. f. (TWH) (14.4%) by menstrual abnormality. Sulfasalazine users reported adverse events including upper abdominal trouble (39.0%), nausea (7.3%) and anorexia (7.3%) while the risk of GI malaise was greater. Patients taking hydroxychloroquine complained of blurred vision (19.6%) but no one went blind. Toxic side effects seemed to be the most common reasons for stoppages, and the patients taking MTX had the lowest discontinuation rate. Combination of D-penicillamine and Methotrexate did not increase the incidence of adverse events.
CONCLUSIONSKnowledge on these different patterns of toxicity provided choices in the selection of second line agents for particular RA patients. However, long-term monitor are required when drugs are being used.
Adult ; Anorexia ; chemically induced ; Antirheumatic Agents ; adverse effects ; therapeutic use ; Arthritis, Rheumatoid ; drug therapy ; Exanthema ; chemically induced ; Female ; Gastrointestinal Diseases ; chemically induced ; Humans ; Hydroxychloroquine ; adverse effects ; therapeutic use ; Male ; Methotrexate ; adverse effects ; therapeutic use ; Middle Aged ; Nausea ; chemically induced ; Penicillamine ; adverse effects ; therapeutic use ; Phytotherapy ; Plant Preparations ; adverse effects ; therapeutic use ; Retrospective Studies ; Sinomenium ; Sulfasalazine ; adverse effects ; therapeutic use

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail