Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To establish a predictive model of the first cesarean delivery in multiparous women based on the situation of two consecutive pregnancies.Methods:The data of patients with two consecutive deliv-eries of single live birth and the previous delivery was vaginal delivery in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow U-niversity during the second delivery time range from January 1,2018 to December 31,2021 were retrospectively analyzed.According to whether the second pregnancy occurred cesarean section,the patients were divided into two groups(vaginal delivery group and cesarean section group).Univariate,stepwise,and multiple Logistic re-gression analyses were used to screen the influencing factors of multipara's first cesarean section delivery,and the prediction model was established.R language was used to build the model's nomogram and calibration curve.The bootstrap resampling method was used for internal verification.After establishing the model,clinical data of patients with two consecutive births of single live birth between January 1,2022 and April 1,2023 were retrospec-tively collected for external verification of the model.Results:①A total of 2709 patients were included in this study for modeling,of which 6.31％(171/2709)underwent cesarean section for the first time.603 cases were included for external verification.②According to univariate,stepwise and multivariate Logistic regression analysis,all the variables affecting the first delivery by cesarean section were screened out,including:abnormal labor in previous labor,age of current delivery,assisted reproductive technology,hypertension disorder complicating pregnancy,pregnancy with thrombocytopenia,oligohydramnios,excessive amniotic fluid,macrosomia,fetal growth restriction,abnormal fetal position,fetal distress,all of the above variables P＜0.05 and incorporated into the final prediction model.③The AUC of this model was 0.949(95％CI 0.928-0.969),and the calibration curve showed that the model intercept was 0 and the slope was 1.Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P＞0.05,indicating that the model had a high accuracy.④The AUC of external validation was 0.958,the slope of the calibration curve was 0.972,and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test had a P of 0.49.Conclusions:The prediction model of the first delivery by cesarean section during the second pregnancy has been established.The prediction efficiency of the model is good,and it can provide a tool for the individualized evaluation of menstrual women in clinical work.

Objective:To analyze the perioperative clinical characteristics of patients with oral cancer underwent radical resection and flap reconstrution and the nursing managements.Methods:From January 2020 to December 2020, 658 patients with oral cancer underwent radical resection and flap reconstrution in the Department of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University were retrospectively analyzed. All patients were divided into the elderly group (≥60 years) and the younger group (< 60 years), including 279 cases in the elderly group and 379 cases in the younger group. The perioperative clinical data of the patients were collected, and the perioperative general situation, postoperative complications and influencing factors of complications were analyzed.Results:There were differences between the two groups in the aspects of sex ( χ2 = 12.38, P<0.001), preoperative BMI ( t = 2.43, P = 0.015), smoking history ( χ2 = 18.34, P<0.001), preoperative anesthesia grade ( χ2 = 25.61, P = 0.001), preoperative coexisting disease ( χ2 = 46.97, P<0.001), whether oral floor or tongue cancer ( χ2 = 16.68, P<0.001), whether free flap ( χ2 = 6.81, P = 0.003), operation time ( t = 2.19, P = 0.029), preoperative test index hemoglobin ( t = 4.96, P<0.001), albumin ( t = 5.44, P<0.001), D-dimer( Z = -13.52, P<0.001), calcium levels ( t = 4.07, P<0.001) and postoperative complications ( χ2 = 14.55, P<0.001). Multivariate analysis of postoperative complications showed that the age ( OR = 1.021, 95% CI = 1.005-1.037, P = 0.011), preoperative D-dimer ( OR = 1.219, 95% CI = 1.026-1.447, P = 0.024) and the preoperative coexisting disease ( OR = 1.642, 95% CI = 1.108-2.432, P = 0.013) were the risk factors for the postoperative complications. Multivariate analysis of discharge with tube showed that the age ( OR = 1.017, 95% CI = 1.003-1.031, P = 0.017), preoperative BMI ( OR = 0.917, 95% CI = 0.873-0.963, P = 0.001), whether oral floor or tongue cancer ( OR = 2.135, 95% CI = 1.475-3.091, P<0.001), and operation time ( OR = 1.220, 95% CI = 1.120-1.328, P<0.001) were the related factors for the discharge with tube. Conclusion:In view of the above risk factors, it is beneficial for the physical and mental recovery of patients to pay attention to preoperative evaluation, make adequate preoperative preparation, postoperative nursing and observation, improve swallowing function training, prepare for discharge, pay attention to continuous nursing, and establish a tertiary hospital-community-family rehabilitation system.

Objective To investigate the effect of radial artery calcification (RAC) on survival of arteriovenous fistula (AVF) and the patients in end?stage renal disease. Methods Adult ESRD patients undergoing AVF surgery between January 2013 and January 2016 at the Eighth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat?sen University were enrolled in this study. The clinical and biochemical data were collected. Segment of radial artery were obtained from the operation of AVF. RAC at the site of anastomotic were observed by alizarin red S and hematoxylin and eosin staining. According to RAC, the patients were divided into calcification group and non?calcification group. Kaplan?Meier analysis was performed to analyze the survival rates of the two groups, and Cox proportional hazards regression——model was used to estimate the risk factors of AVF dysfunction and all?cause mortality in ESRD patients. Results Among 180 cases of ESRD patients, 38 cases (21.1％) were developed RAC at the site of anastomotic in different degrees. Compared with the non?calcification groups, the calcification groups had a longer dialysis vintage, a higher proportion of diabetes and higher level of HbAlc (all P﹤0.05). Binary logistic regression analysis showed that dialysis vintage>5 years and diabetics were two independent risk factors of RAC at the site of anastomotic. Kaplan?Meier survival analysis demonstrated that there were no statistical differences between two groups in AVF survival (χ2=0.009, P=0.926). Calcification group had higher all?cause mortality than non?calcification groups (χ2=9.809, P=0.002). Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that homocysteine was independent risk factor for AVF dysfunction (HR=1.027, 95％CI: 1.003-1.051, P=0.027). Age was independent risk factor for all?cause mortality (HR=1.078, 95％CI: 1.035-1.122, P=0.000). Conclusions Dialysis vintage>5 years and diabetes were two independent risk factors of RAC at the site of anastomotic in ESRD patients. RAC at the site of anastomotic had no effect on AVF survival, but increased all?cause mortality.