1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Effect of Zishen-Yutai pills on refrozen-thawed embryo transfer in patients with diminished ovarian reserve
Jinghua ZHANG ; Lijing BAI ; Chunmei YU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2024;28(19):3037-3041
BACKGROUND:Currently,hormone replacement therapy is the main treatment in Western medicine for patients with decreased ovarian function,but these patients are not sensitive to exogenous hormones,leading to unsatisfactory therapeutic effect.Zishen-Yutai pills can nourish the blood and calm the fetus,tonify the kidney and spleen,invigorate qi and strengthen the body.Studies have confirmed that Zishen-Yutai pill is effective in reducing follicle-stimulating hormone index and improving traditional Chinese medicine symptoms in patients with diminished ovarian reserve.However,few studies have been conducted to improve the implantation rate of patients by improving endometrial receptivity. OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the effect of Zishen-Yutai pills on the clinical outcome of patients with diminished ovarian reserve undergoing frozen-thawed embryo transfer again. METHODS:A total of 300 patients with diminished ovarian reserve who underwent frozen-thawed embryo transfer to assist pregnancy after the first failure in the Center of Reproductive Medicine,Changzhou Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were selected as the study subjects.Subjects were randomly treated with a placebo or Zishen-Yutai pills in a ratio of 1:2,with 100 cases in the treatment group and 200 cases in the control group.However,13 patients fell off due to lack of contact,refusal to take medicine or other reasons.Finally,90 cases in the treatment group and 197 cases in the control group were included in the study.Oral medication was administered 7 days before frozen-thawed embryo transfer transplantation at a dose of 5 g/time,3 times/day.To investigate whether taking Zishen-Yutai pills could improve the clinical outcome of patients with diminished ovarian reserve after frozen-thawed embryo transfer again,the primary outcome measures included clinical pregnancy rate,implantation rate,abortion rate,live birth rate,offspring birth weight and birth defects. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Compared with the control group,the clinical pregnancy rate(P<0.05)and implantation rate(P=0.009)were significantly increased after the oral administration of Zishen-Yutai pills.Correlation analysis showed that taking the Zishen-Yutai pill was positively correlated with the number of implanted embryos(r=0.200,P=0.001)and clinical pregnancy(r=0.235,P=0.000).There was no correlation between taking Zishen-Yutai pills and indexes of endometrial thickness and blood flow.It is indicated that Zishen-Yutai pills can improve the clinical pregnancy rate and implantation rate of frozen-thawed embryo transfer recurrence in patients with diminished ovarian reserve.
3.Anesthesia management of children undergoing resection of pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma
Zenghua XU ; Jianmin ZHANG ; Nan ZOU ; Tiehua ZHENG ; Lianghong HUO ; Lijing LI ; Fang WANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(2):209-213
Objective:To retrospectively analyze the anesthetic management characteristics of children undergoing resection of pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma (PPGL).Methods:The clinical data from patients undergoing resection of PPGL and confirmed histologically from January 1, 2010 to June 30, 2023 were retrospectively collected. The baseline characteristics, intraoperative conditions and postoperative complications were recorded.Results:The clinical data from 47 pediatric patients were analyzed. The overall incidence of hemodynamic instability events was 68% (32 cases). Lowering preoperative blood pressure to normal levels and the maximum diameter of tumor≥6 cm was helpful in reducing the incidence of the intraoperative hemodynamic instability events ( P<0.05). Postoperative hypotension developed in 7 cases, acute left heart failure in 1 case, arrhythmia in 1 case, adrenocortical insufficiency in 4 cases, and pulmonary infection in 13 cases. Conclusions:Thorough preoperative preparation, evidence-based anesthetic management, and meticulous postoperative vital sign monitoring can increase the perioperative safety for children undergoing resection of PPGL, thereby reducing the incidence of complications.
4.Analysis of bullying prevalence and associated factors among middle school students in Shanghai
LI Shuman, ZHOU Xinyi, YAN Qiong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHAI Yani, LUO Chunyan, SUN Lijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(11):1555-1559
Objective:
To explore the current status and associated factors of bullying behavior among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide a reference basis for carrying out bullying intervention work.
Methods:
From May to June 2021, a stratified cluster sampling method was used to select 19 000 middle school students from 63 schools in 16 districts of Shanghai, and the Shanghai Youth Health Risk Behavior Survey Questionnaire was used to conduct an anonymous questionnaire survey of enrolled students. Chi square test and binary Logistic regression analysis were employed to investigate the associated factors of bullying among middle school students.
Results:
The prevalence of bullying behaviors in Shanghai was 15.5%, with males and junior high school students exhibiting the higher reporting rate(19.5%,17.2%). And malicious teasing or name calling had the highest reported rate at 9.4%. The results of binary Logistic regression analysis showed that fighting ( OR =5.02), attempting to smoke ( OR =3.22), having a feeling of sadness and hopelessness ( OR =2.50) and getting drunk( OR =1.72) were positively associated with bullying behavior among middle school students. Fighting ( OR =3.83-8.97), attempting to smoke ( OR =2.92-5.52), having a feeling of sadness and hopelessness ( OR =2.40-4.34), and getting drunk ( OR =1.66-2.34) were positively correlated with 6 forms of bullying (malicious teasing or name calling, intentionally damaging someone else s belongings, deliberately excluding someone from activities or isolating someone, threatening or intimidating others, hitting, kicking, or pushing someone, and verbally harassing or attacking someone online) ( P <0.05).
Conclusions
Bullying behavior of middle school students in Shanghai primarily presents as verbal harassment. In the future, greater attention should be directed towards bullies, and it should recognize potential hazards promptly and implement precise intervention measures.
5.Correlation between stress and Internet addiction among middle school students in Shanghai
YUAN Linlin, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, ZHAI Yani, YIN Xiaoya, LI Shuman, SUN Lijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(12):1757-1760
Objective:
To understand the relationship between stress and Internet addiction among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide a scientific basis for promoting students mental health and preventing Internet addiction.
Methods:
From May to June 2021, a stratified random cluster sampling method was used to select 6 123 middle and high school students in Shanghai for health risk behavior monitoring. Daily Stressors Evaluation Scale for Urban Secondary School Students was used to evaluate students' stress, and the Internet Addiction Test compiled by Young was used to evaluate students Internet addiction. The correlation between student stress and Internet addiction was analyzed by Kruskal-Wallis H test , Chi square test and multiple Logistic regression.
Results:
Total stress score of middle school students in Shanghai was 24 (12, 39), academic stress score was 8 (5, 13), physical and psychological stress score was 6 (2, 10), interpersonal stress score was 5 (1, 9), and family stress score was 4 (1, 8). The detection rate of Internet addiction was 4.7%. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the risk of Internet addiction among middle school students with high levels of stress was 8.05 times(95% CI =4.59-14.12) that of students with low levels of stress( P <0.05). The risk of Internet addiction among middle school students with high levels of academic stress, physical and psychological stress, interpersonal stress and family stress was 5.98(95% CI =3.69-9.70), 6.92(95% CI =4.03-11.88), 4.85(95% CI =3.11-7.55), and 4.18(95% CI =2.73-6.40) times that of students with low levels of stress, respectively( P <0.05).
Conclusion
The academic stress, physical and psychological stress, interpersonal stress, and family stress among middle school students can all lead to an increased risk of Internet addiction.
6.Non-pharmaceutical intervention of Traditional Chinese Medicine in stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a best evidence summary
Qian MA ; Lijuan ZHANG ; Yun CHEN ; Lijing LU ; Junchen LU ; Xie WU
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2024;40(24):1893-1902
Objective:To systematically review, assess, extract, and summarize the most effective evidence on non-pharmacological traditional Chinese medicine interventions for promoting pulmonary rehabilitation in stable patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, aiming to provide a theoretical foundation for clinical nurses to implement traditional Chinese medicine nursing interventions.Methods:According to the "6S" evidence model, relevant evidence on non-pharmacological traditional Chinese medicine interventions for stable chronic obstructive pulmonary disease was retrieved from domestic and foreign databases, guideline websites and professional society websites, including clinical decisions, guidelines, evidence summaries, systematic reviews, expert consensus, etc. The retrieval time was from January 1, 2018 to August 10, 2023. Two researchers evaluated the quality of the included literature, and extracted data and summarized evidence.Results:A total of 23 articles were included, including 6 guideline, 1 evidence summary, 7 systematic reviews, 8 Meta analysis and 1 expert consensus. The 37 evidences were summarized from 11 aspects, including target population, intervention focus, moxibustion therapy, acupoint sticking therapy, transcutaneous electrical acupoint stimulation, acupuncture therapy, acupoint injection therapy, traditional Chinese exercises, diet therapy, follow-up procedures, safety considerations.Conclusions:This study summarizes the evidences of traditional Chinese medicine non-drug pulmonary rehabilitation in the stable stage of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. When applying the evidence in clinical practice, the traditional Chinese medicine nursing ability of nurses and the actual situation of patients should be fully considered to formulate an individualized traditional Chinese medicine nursing plan.
7.The correlation between serum human β-defensin 3 and interleukin-12 levels and postoperative infection in hip replacement patients with femoral neck fractures
Mingxia SUN ; Yanbin SUN ; Jiao GUAN ; Lijing ZHANG ; Jinglei YAN ; Bing BAI
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2024;47(9):797-802
Objective:To explore the relationship between periprosthetic infection and preoperative serum levels of human β-defensin 3 (HBd-3) and interleukin-12 (IL-12) in patients with femoral neck fracture after hip replacement surgery.Methods:A prospective study was conducted to 268 patients with femoral neck fracture who underwent hip replacement surgery at Chengde Central Hospital from April 2020 to April 2022. They were divided into an infected group and an uninfected group based on whether they had periprosthetic infection within 2 weeks after surgery. The baseline data and preoperative laboratory indicators of the two groups were compared, and the relationship between preoperative serum HBd-3 and IL-12 levels and postoperative periprosthetic infection in patients was mainly analyzed.Results:Seventeen out of 268 patients with femoral neck fractures experienced periprosthetic infections after hip replacement surgery, with an infection rate of 6.34%(17/268). The body mass index, operation time, postoperative drainage time and IL-12 in the infected group were higher than those in the uninfected group: (23.75 ± 2.18) kg/m 2 vs. (21.86 ± 1.95) kg/m 2, (124.82 ± 15.93) min vs. (116.92 ± 14.75) min, (57.41±7.81) min vs. (49.65 ± 5.73) min, (64.82 ± 11.59) ng/L vs. (54.23 ± 9.55) ng/L, the preoperative albumin and HBd-3 were lower than those in the uninfected group: (32.56±4.63) g/L vs. (37.25 ± 5.81) g/L, (38.03 ± 6.74) μg/L vs. (46.84 ± 8.93) μg/L, and the differences were statistically significant ( P<0.05). The results of Logistic regression analysis showed that high body mass index, long surgical and postoperative drainage time, and high preoperative IL-12 levels were risk factors for periprosthetic infection after hip replacement surgery in patients with femoral neck fractures ( OR>1, P<0.05), while preoperative serum albumin and HBd-3 levels were protective factors ( OR<1, P<0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve results showed that preoperative serum HBd-3 and IL-12 alone and in combination predict AUC>0.70 for periprosthetic infection in patients with femoral neck fracture after hip replacement surgery, which had certain predictive value. The restricted cubic spline method combining spline function and Logistic regression was used for analysis, and the results showed a linear dose-response relationship between the levels of HBd-3 and IL-12 and the strength of the association with periprosthetic infection after hip replacement surgery in patients with femoral neck fracture ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Preoperative serum HBd-3 and IL-12 levels are associated with periprosthetic infection in patients with femoral neck fracture after hip replacement surgery, and can serve as predictive indicators for infection occurrence.
8.Development and validation of a prediction model for enteral feeding intolerance in critically ill patients
Lijing BU ; Feier CHENG ; Aiqin ZHANG ; Minyan ZHAO ; Yidan ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2024;59(15):1877-1883
Objective To explore the factors influencing enteral nutrition intolerance in critically ill patients and to develop a risk prediction model to provide medical staff with a tool for early identification of patient intolerance.Methods Domestic and international databases such as CNKI,PubMed and Web of Science were searched and supplemented by searching references and grey literature.The search period was from inception to November 2022.Data were independently screened and extracted by 2 systematically trained researchers,and the quality of the literature was evaluated.Meta-analysis was performed using Review Manager 5.4 software.The OR value of the comprehensive effect of the factors was taken as the coefficient of each factor in the formula,and the natural logarithm of the ratio of intolerance incidence and non-incidence was the constant term of the formula.From December 2022 to June 2023,360 patients who met the inclusion and exclusion criteria in the ICU of a tertiary hospital were collected as a model verification group by convenient sampling method,and the collected clinical data were substituted into the formula to evaluate the discrimination and calibration of the model.Results A total of 13 articles were included.7 influencing factors with more than 3 times of reports and statistically significant results were obtained.For age[OR=0.97,95%CI(0.94,0.99),P=0.010],Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation scoreⅡ[OR=1.17,95%CI(1.01,1.36),P=0.040],comorbidity with diabetes[OR=1.21,95%CI(1.05,1.40),P=0.008],comor-bidity with neurological diseases[OR=0.85,95%CI(0.74,0.98),P=0.020],mechanical ventilation[OR=3.21,95%CI(1.82,5.66),P<0.001],using sedative analgesics[OR=2.27,95%CI(1.66,3.10),P<0.001],using gastric motility drugs[OR=0.23,95%CI(0.15,0.36),P<0.001].The incidence of enteral nutrition intolerance was 35.00%.The risk prediction model for enteral nutrition intolerance in critically ill patients was logit(P)=-0.619-0.031×age+0.157 × APACHE Ⅱ+0.191 ×comorbidity with diabetes-0.163 ×comorbidity with neurosurgery+0.820 ×using sedatives and analgesics+1.166×mechanical ventilation-1.470×using gastric dynamic drugs.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model was 0.864.The maximum Youden index was 0.589.The sensitivity was 0.922.The specificity was 0.667.The corresponding clinical diagnostic threshold was 0.536.Hosmer-Leme-show test x2=13.410,P=0.098.Brier score was 0.195.Conclusion The risk prediction model of enteral nutrition intolerance in critically ill patients based on large sample evidence-based medicine is universal,scientific and practical.It provides a tool for medical staff to identify patients with enteral nutrition feeding intolerance in ICU.
9.Effect of cTBS magnetic stimulation over contralateral premotor areas on post-stroke spastic gait in severe hemiplegia patients
Lijing NIE ; Qian DENG ; Huifang ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2024;26(9):1044-1048
Objective To determine the effects of continuous θ burst stimulation of contralateral premotor areas on post-stroke spasticity gait in patients with severe hemiplegia.Methods A pro-spective trial was conducted on 186 stroke patients with severe hemiplegia admitted to our depart-ment from January 2019 to January 2024.They were randomly into control group(93 cases,con-ventional rehabilitation training)and observation group(93 cases,continuous θ burst transcranial stimulation).In 4 weeks after treatment,gait parameters,Fugl-Meyer assessment of lower ex-tremity(FMA-LE)score,Berg balance scale(BSS)score,clinic spasticity index(CSI)score,lower limb sensation,spasticity improvement,and total effective rate were compared between the two groups.Results After treatment,both the 2 groups had significantly higher hip flexion,knee flex-ion,stride length,step frequency,step speed,FMA-LE score,BSS score,CSI score,and H wave latency,and lower two-point discrimination perception and H/M ratio when compared with the levels before treatment(P<0.01).What's more,all above indicators were obviously better in the observation group than the control group(P<0.01).The observation group had 1(1.1%),11(11.8%),48(51.6%),31(33.3%)and 2 cases(2.2%),respectively,of spasticity improvement grades 1,1+,2,3,and 4,and the control group had 0,7(7.5%),29(31.2%),44(47.3%),and 13 cases(14.0%),respectively,with statistical differences between the two group(P<0.01).The total effective rate was notably higher in the observation group than the control group(96.8%vs 77.4%,x2=15.500,P<0.01).Conclusion For severe hemiplegia patients,continuous θ burst stimulation can improve muscle spasm,restore gait,and better improve lower limb sensory and motor function.
10.Feasibility of wavelet index in monitoring depth of sedation with propofol in pediatric patients
Tingting ZI ; Jianmin ZHANG ; Xiaoxia PENG ; Lijing LI ; Jie YU ; Muyang TIAN ; Xiaohuan CUI ; Fang WANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(8):1000-1005
Objective:To assess the feasibility of wavelet index (WLI) in monitoring the depth of sedation with propofol in pediatric patients.Methods:This was a prospective observational trial. One hundred and sixty-five pediatric patients, aged >1-12 yr, of American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status classification Ⅰ or Ⅱ, undergoing elective surgery requiring general anesthesia with endotracheal intubation or laryngeal mask airway from July to December 2016 in our hospital, were divided into 11 age groups ( n=15 each): >1-2 yr group, >2-3 yr group, >3-4 yr group, >4-5 yr group, >5-6 yr group, >6-7 yr group, >7-8 yr group, >8-9 yr group, >9-10 yr group, >10-11 yr group, and >11-12 yr group. General anesthesia was induced by injection of propofol 3 mg/kg for more than 30 s. WLI and BIS values were recorded immediately before administration and at 30, 40, 50, 60, 90, 120, 180 and 240 s after the end of administration. If there were differences among age groups, age groups with no statistically significant differences were combined and re-grouped. Pearson linear correlation analysis and Bland-Altman consistency analysis were performed. Results:A total of 149 pediatric patients were actually included. There were no significant differences in BIS values between 4 groups aged > 1-5 yr and between 7 groups aged > 5-12 yr ( P>0.05). Regrouping was performed based on the aforementioned results, 4 groups of children aged > 1-5 yr were divided into > 1-5 yr group ( n=60), and 7 groups of children aged > 5-12 yr were divided into > 5-12 yr group ( n=89). WLI values and BIS values were significantly decreased at each time point after administration compared with immediately before administration in group aged > 1-5 yr and in group aged >5-12 yr ( P<0.05). The BIS values were the lowest at 60 s after the end of the administration, and the WLI values were the lowest at 120 and 180 s after the end of the administration in two groups ( P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences between WLI values and BIS values at 90 s and 240 s after the end of the administration ( P>0.05), and there was statistically significant difference at the other time points in group aged > 1-5 yr ( P<0.05). There was no significant difference between WLI values and BIS values at 180 s and 240 s after the end of the administration ( P>0.05), but there were significant differences at the other time points in group aged > 5-12 yr ( P<0.05). The Pearson correlation coefficients between WLI values and BIS values were 0.61 and 0.56 in group aged > 1-5 yr and group aged > 5-12 yr, respectively ( P<0.001). Bland-Altman agreement analysis: In group aged > 1-5 yr and group aged > 5-12 yr, the 95% agreement limits were -0.484-0.621 and -0.551-1.015, respectively, and there were 4.6% (23/504) and 5.1% (40/777) of the points outside the 95% agreement limits, respectively, and both limits exceeded the clinically acceptable range. Conclusions:WLI is feasible for monitoring the depth of sedation with propofol in pediatric patients aged > 1-12 yr, but the accuracy is lower than BIS.


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