1.Comparison of the effects of three time series models in predicting the trend of erythrocyte blood demand
Yajuan QIU ; Jianping ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Peilin LI ; Mengzhuo LUO ; Qiongying LI ; Ge LIU ; Qing LEI ; Kai LIAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):257-262
[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.
2.Correlation between adult mosquito density and meteorological factors in Pudong New Area of Shanghai, China
Ge GE ; Yongting YUAN ; Lei FENG ; Hanzhao LIU ; Chen LIN ; Ruohua GU ; Juan GE ; Jun LIU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(2):105-108
ObjectiveTo learn the density and seasonal variation of adult mosquitoes in Pudong New Area of Shanghai, and to explore the influence of meteorological factors on the density of adult mosquitoes. MethodsFrom April to November in 2017‒2021, adult mosquito density in Pudong New Area was monitored every ten days a time by using CO2 trapping light method. Meteorological data were collected during the same time, and Pearson correlation analysis and multiple linear regression model were used to investigate the correlation between adult mosquito density and meteorological factors. ResultsThe seasonal variation of adult mosquito density showed a single-peak pattern, with the peak of 7.09 mosquitoes·(set·time)-1 in July. The adult mosquito density was positively correlated with the monthly average temperature, monthly maximum temperature, monthly minimum temperature, and monthly average relative humidity (r=0.813, 0.793, 0.820, 0.617, all P<0.05), but negatively correlated with monthly average air pressure (r=-0.738, P<0.05). The regression equation of the adult mosquito density and monthly minimum temperature in Pudong New Area of Shanghai was Y=0.066 X3-0.884, with a corrected R2 of 0.673, indicating a good model fitting. ConclusionThe overall seasonal variation of adult mosquito density in Pudong New Area showed a single-peak pattern. The density of adult mosquitoes was correlated with the monthly average temperature, monthly maximum temperature, monthly minimum temperature, monthly average relative humidity, and monthly average air pressure, and linearly correlated with monthly minimum temperature.
3.Isolated coronary arteritis secondary to Behçet’s disease: a case report
Yang ZHANG ; Lei XU ; Xinying HU ; Hao JIANG ; Feng ZHANG ; Junbo GE
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(2):300-305
A 36-year-old male patient presented with repeated myocardial infarction. Despite regular dual-antiplatelet therapy and intensive lipid-lowering therapy, he still experienced restenosis after coronary stent implantation. He then transferred to the Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University. According to the disease history, combined with coronary artery inflammation observed by PET/CT and effective anti-inflammatory treatment, he was finally diagnosed with Behçet’s disease (BD) combined with isolated coronary arteritis. BD has been included in the Chinese Second Catalog of Rare Diseases, and the disease that only involves the coronary arteries is even rarer, which makes it very easy to misdiagnose and underdiagnosis in clinical practice. Strengthening the understanding of the complex clinical phenotypes of various vasculitis, attaching importance to multidisciplinary consultation, and dynamically following up are of great value for the early diagnosis of this disease.
4.The bridging role of programmed cell death in association between periodontitis and rheumatoid arthritis
GE Ruiyang ; ZHOU Yingying ; MAO Haowei ; HAN Lei ; CUI Di ; YAN Fuhua
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2025;33(6):457-465
Periodontitis and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) are chronic inflammatory diseases that share similar inflammatory mechanisms and characteristics. Programmed cell death (PCD) has recently garnered attention for its crucial role in regulating inflammation and maintaining tissue homeostasis, as well as for its potential to link these two diseases. The various forms of PCD--including apoptosis, pyroptosis, and necroptosis--are closely controlled by signaling pathways such as Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) /NF-κB and MAPK. These pathways determine cell fate and influence inflammatory responses, tissue destruction, and repair, and they both play important roles in the pathogenesis of RA and periodontitis. In periodontitis, periodontal pathogens such as Porphyromonas gingivalis (P. gingivalis) and its virulence factors, including lipopolysaccharide (LPS), induce pyroptosis and necroptosis in immune cells such as macrophages via the TLR4/NF-κB pathway, which leads to an excessive release of pro-inflammatory cytokines such as interleukin (IL)-1β and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α. Concurrently, these pathogens inhibit the normal apoptotic process of immune cells, such as neutrophils, prolonging their survival, exacerbating immune imbalance, and aggravating periodontal tissue destruction. Similarly, in RA synovial tissue, fibroblast-like synoviocytes (FLS) acquire apoptosis resistance through signaling pathways such as the Bcl-2 family, JAK/STAT, and NF-κB, allowing for the consistent proliferation and secretion of matrix metalloproteinases and pro-inflammatory cytokines. Meanwhile, the continuous activation of pyroptotic pathways in neutrophils and macrophages results in the sustained release of IL-1β, further exacerbating synovial inflammation and bone destruction. Notably, dysregulated PCD fosters inter-organ crosstalk through shared inflammatory mediators and metabolic networks. Damage-associated molecular patterns (DAMPs) and cytokines that originate from periodontal lesions can spread systemically, influencing cell death processes in synovial and immune cells, thereby aggravating joint inflammation and bone erosion. By contrast, systemic inflammation in RA can upregulate osteoclastic activity or interfere with the normal apoptosis of periodontal cells via TNF-α and IL-6, ultimately intensifying periodontal immune imbalance. This review highlights the pivotal bridging role of PCD in the pathogenesis of both periodontitis and RA, providing a reference for therapeutic strategies that target cell death pathways to manage and potentially mitigate these diseases.
5.Epidemiological survey on pubertal developmental characteristics of primary school students in Yangzhou City
DOU Chengyin, ZHANG Lei, GE Baojin, WANG Lei
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(7):1019-1022
Objective:
To investigate the timing of puberty onset among primary school students, so as to provide the reference data for early identification of children with suspected precocious puberty.
Methods:
A study was conducted from October 23 to November 7, 2023, involving 10 225 students(5 412 boys, 4 813 girls) from grade 1 to 6 of four campuses in Meiling Primary School in Yangzhou. Breast development in girls and external genitalia in boys was assessed via visual inspection and palpation, with pubertal stages classified using the Tanner staging method. Puberty onset timing was determined based on age/sex reference values from Chinese Han children s pubertal milestone indicators. Descriptive analysis was performed using SPSS 26.0.
Results:
The median age for testicular volume reaching 4 mL in boys was 10.49 years, while the median age for breast development onset in girls was 9.70 years. Among boys with testicular volume ≥4 mL, 16.6%( n =217) were identified as suspected early puberty cases; among girls with Tanner stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ, 123(9.4%) and 165(18.5%) showed earlier breast development than the reference range. Overall, 14.4% of students exhibited suspected precocious puberty.
Conclusion
The onset age of puberty for girls in primary schools of Yangzhou aligns with findings from other regions, while boys show earlier pubertal initiation.
6.Effect of active music therapy on cognitive function for older adults with cognitive impairment: a systematic review based on ICD-11 and ICF
Hangyu WANG ; Keke GE ; Yonghong FAN ; Lilu DU ; Min ZOU ; Lei FENG
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2024;30(1):36-43
ObjectiveTo conduct a systematic review of the effect of active music therapy on cognitive function for older adults with cognitive impairment based on International Classification of Diseases, the 11th Revision (ICD-11), and International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF). MethodsA PICO framework was constructed. Thematic keyword searches were conducted in databases including PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, CNKI, VIP, and Wanfang data, for literature on the effect of active music therapy on cognitive function for older adults with cognitive impairment, published up to November 5th, 2023. Information on authors, countries, publication date, sample characteristics, study designs, intervention methods, measurement tools and outcomes were extracted. The methodological quality of the researches was evaluated using the Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro) scale. ResultsEight researches from six countries were included, which were all randomized controlled trials involving 356 older adults with mild cognitive impairment and dementia. The articles were published from 2014 to 2020, with an average of 7.4 of the PEDro scale. Active music therapy was used by singing and playing instruments. Interventions took place in hospitals, nursing homes, and health centers. The intervention duration ranged from mostly 30 to 60 minutes a time, with a few 120 minutes a time. Interventions were implemented mostly one to three times a week, lasting from eight to twelve weeks. Health outcomes focused on cognitive function, including overall cognitive function, executive function, attention function and memory function. ConclusionA theoretical framework for the benefits of active music therapy on the cognitive function for older adults with cognitive impairment has been constructed based on ICD-11 and ICF. Active music therapy can improve overall cognitive function, executive function, attention function and memory function for older adults with cognitive impairment.
7.Comparison of diagnostic efficacy between two imaging methods for training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle
Hai LUAN ; Lin LI ; Lei GE ; Hui LI ; Chunsheng WANG ; Litai ZHANG
Journal of Shenyang Medical College 2024;26(2):166-169
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic efficacy between magnetic resonance imaging(MRI)and ultrasound for training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle.Methods:Clinical data of 70 cases with lower limb training injury suspected to be in the medial head of gastrocnemius muscle from Jan 2013 to Jan 2022 were retrospectively analyzed.All patients were examined by ultrasound and MRI,and their sensitivity,specificity and accuracy according to the final clinical diagnosis was compared.Results:Of the 70 cases of training injury,48 cases were finally diagnosed as medial head injury of gastrocnemius muscle,and 22 cases had no gastrocnemius injury.And there were 19 cases of gastrocnemius tissue injury,28 cases of myofascial injury edema and tissue interstitial effusion,26 cases of tendon and tendon sheath injury,and 6 cases of tendon insertion enthesiopathy.The sensitivity of ultrasound and MRI in the diagnosis of training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle were 85.4%(41/48),97.9%(47/48)and the accuracy was 84.3%(59/70),95.7%(67/70),respectively.The diagnostic accuracy and sensitivity of MRI were higher than those of ultrasound(P<0.05).There was no significant difference in specificity between the two methods(P>0.05).Conclusion:MRI has higher accuracy and sensitivity compared with ultrasound in the diagnosis training injury of medial head of gastrocnemius muscle,which has important diagnostic value.
8.Association study between semen quality and lifestyle in human sperm bank of Anhui Province
Lei GE ; Qing TAN ; Hang LI ; Xiaohong MAO ; Feifei FU ; Bing SONG ; Qunshan SHEN
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2024;59(6):952-957
Objective To examines the correlation between lifestyle factors and semen quality among sperm donors at Anhui human sperm bank.Methods Demographic and lifestyle data were collected from 1,222 volunteers who donated sperm between January 2021 and December 2023,and their association with semen quality was analyzed.Results Univariate chi-square analysis revealed significant associations between several lifestyle factors and abnor-mal semen parameters(P<0.05),including non-student status,frequent masturbation,short-term abstinence,low exercise frequency,frequent staying up late,smoking,drinking,and short sleep duration.Moreover,multiva-riate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that non-student status,longer abstinence time,and insufficient sleep were linked to abnormal semen volume.Additionally,abstinence time,exercise frequency,staying up late,smok-ing,and sleep duration were significantly correlated with abnormal semen concentration and sperm motility(P<0.05).Conclusion Analysis reveals a close relationship between semen quality and volunteers'lifestyles,inclu-ding factors such as abstinence time,staying up late,sleep duration,smoking,drinking,and exercise frequency.
9.Analysis of characteristics of males with autologous sperm preservation in Anhui human sperm bank
Hang LI ; Qunshan SHEN ; Qing TAN ; Feifei FU ; Lei GE ; Xiaohong MAO ; Gang ZHAO ; Ping ZHOU ; Zhaolian WEI
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2024;59(6):957-960
Objective To analyze the characteristics of males with autologous sperm preservation(ASP)in Anhui human sperm bank,and to explore the future direction of ASP in human sperm bank.Methods The basic infor-mation of males applied for ASP in Anhui human sperm bank from January 2019 to December 2023 was retrospec-tively analyzed.Results During this period,there were 424 males applied for ASP.93.40%(396/424)came from Anhui Province,of which 46.46%(197/424)came from Hefei.The age range of them was 15 to 59 years old.66.04%(280/424)had a college degree or above.23.11%(98/424)were employees of public institutions or enterprises.26.89%(114/424)were unmarried and 89.39%(379/424)were childless.67.45%(286/424)patients applied for ASP because of assisted reproductive technology treatment.15.33%(65/424)patients did it due to tumors,among which testicular cancer,lymphoma,leukemia and seminoma were the main reasons.A total of 1 163 semen samples were saved,and 53 males had used their sperm.Conclusion Only a few people applied for ASP,and the characteristics of males with ASP can be used to further strengthen publicity for key groups,espe-cially cancer patients,so as to benefit more people with autologous sperm preservation.
10.Correlation between grip strength promotion and improvement of body composition and metabolic disorders in health examination population of different genders
Yang WANG ; Wei ZHAO ; Hongli WANG ; Hua WU ; Jie GE ; Lei TIAN ; Na LIU ; Ying CHE ; Peng WANG
Chinese Journal of Health Management 2024;18(1):18-23
Objective:To explore the correlation between grip strength promotion and improvement of body composition and metabolic disorders in health examination population of different genders.Methods:In this retrospective cohort study, clinical data of 600 people who received health examination and grip strength check-up two times or more in the Medical Examination Center of Peking University Third Hospital from January 2018 to November 2022 were selected. The general data, physical examination, biochemical parameters, body composition and grip strength results were collected. After the first physical examination, the grip strength test was conducted, appropriate resistance strength exercises were given based on individual evaluation results. A health lecture was held, and the information related to health exercise was pushed through WeChat official account every week. The grip strength test was completed at the same time at the second physical examination, and the difference between the two test results was calculated before and after the second physical examination. The generalized estimation equation was used to analyze the correlation between the improvement of grip strength and the improvement of body composition and metabolic disorders in different gender health-check population.Results:In man and women, the body mass index [(25.50±3.66) vs (25.33±3.74) kg/m 2, (22.41±3.55) vs (22.25±3.46) kg/m 2] and grip strength [(42.71±7.30) vs (41.77±7.36) kg, (25.28±5.30) vs (23.98±4.87) kg] at the second health check-up were all significantly higher than those at the first time, and the diastolic blood pressure [(72.79±10.30) vs (74.47±9.85) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa), (66.93±8.90) vs (68.92±9.42) mmHg] and serum homocysteine [(17.96±14.09) vs (19.27±14.26) μmol/L, (9.47±3.91) vs (10.26±3.90) μmol/L] were all significantly lower than those at the first time (all P<0.05). Among man, the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) at the second physical examination was significantly lower than that at the first time [(2.94±0.78) vs (3.00±0.69) mmol/L] (all P<0.05). Among women, the systolic blood pressure and uric acid at the second health check-up were both significantly lower than those at the first time [(109.34±12.85) vs (110.54±12.32) mmHg, (276.91±62.46) vs (287.16±68.78) μmol/L], and the waist-hip ratio was significant higher (85.8%±5.1% vs 85.4%±5.0%) (all P<0.05). In males, the decreased aspartate aminotransferase ( OR=0.932, 95% CI: 0.888-0.978) and the increased skeletal muscle index ( OR=75.370, 95% CI: 29.012-195.806) were both positively correlated with the elevation of grip strength (all P<0.05); and in females, the decreased homocysteine ( OR=0.876, 95% CI: 0.782-0.982) and glycosylated hemoglobin ( OR=0.423, 95% CI: 0.222-0.805) and increased skeletal muscle index ( OR=22.918, 95% CI: 11.114-47.256) were all positively correlated with the elevation of grip strength (all P<0.05). Conclusion:There is a positive correlation between the improvement of grip strength and the improvement trend of body composition and metabolic disorders in in health examination population of different genders.


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