1.Risk assessment of human Spirometra mansoni infections and cross-sectional study on knowledge, attitude and practice towards sparganosis in endemic areas of Henan Province
Yalan ZHANG ; Tiantian JIANG ; Xiaohui MA ; Yan DENG ; Weiqi CHEN ; Yankun ZHU ; Zhenqiang TANG ; Xi-meng LIN ; Hongwei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2025;37(2):190-195
Objective To assess the risk of human Spirometra mansoni infections and investigate the knowledge, attitude and practice (KAP) towards sparganosis mansoni among residents in Henan Province, so as to provide insights into formulation of the sparganosis mansoni control measures. Methods Qinling Village in Fugou County of Zhoukou City, Bali Village in Yancheng District of Luohe City, Duzhai Village in Puyang County of Puyang City and Doushan Village in Luoshan County of Xinyang City were sampled as survey sites in Henan Province from July to August 2023, and more than 40 frogs were sampled from ponds or streams in each survey site for detection of Sparganum mansoni infections. At least 150 residents were sampled using a cluster sampling method from each survey site, and the sero-prevalence of anti-S. mansoni IgG antibody was estimated. In addition, a questionnaire survey was conducted on the KAP towards sparganosis mansoni among participants, and the proportion of eligible KAP, rate of correct KAP and KAP scores were calculated. Results A total 229 frogs were collected from 4 survey sites in 2023, and the overall prevalence of S. mansoni infection was 4.37% (10/229) in frogs, with 7.75% (10/129) prevalence in wild frogs and 0 in farm-bred frogs. A questionnaire survey was performed among 649 residents sampled from 4 survey sites, and 649 serum samples were collected. The seroprevalence of anti-S.mansoni IgG antibody was 0.15% (1/649) and the overall proportion of eligible KAP was 23.73% (154/649) among participants. There were age- (χ2 = 30.905, P = 0.000), educational level- (χ2 = 41.011, P = 0.000), and occupation-specific proportions of eligible KAP among participants (χ2 = 10.721, P = 0.005), and the proportion of eligible KAP decreased with age (χ2 trend = 22.717, P = 0.000) and increased with education levels (χ2 trend = 40.025, P = 0.000). The rates of correct KAP towards sparganosis mansoni were 40.81% (2 119/5 192), 96.66% (1 882/1 947) and 63.81% (3 727/5 841) (χ2 = 1 913.731, P = 0.000) among residents, respectively. The rates of correct KAP towards sparganosis mansoni varied significantly among survey sites (χ2 = 136.872, 42.347 and 255.157; all P values= 0.000, with the highest rate of correct knowledge (51.94%, 748/1 440) and practices (75.86%, 1 229/1 620) in Yancheng District of Luohe City and the highest rate of correct attitudes in Puyang County of Puyang City (99.11%, 446/450) (all P values< 0.05). Conclusions There is still a high transmission risk of sparganosis mansoni in Henan Province, and the KAP towards sparganosis mansoni is required to be improved among residents.
2.Construction and validation of a risk prediction model of unplanned 30-day readmission in patients after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting
Xu CAO ; Wuwei WANG ; Hongwei JIANG ; Qiang ZHOU ; Xin CHEN ; Rui WANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(05):646-654
Objective To investigate the factors associated with unplanned readmission within 30 days after discharge in adult patients who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to develop and validate a risk prediction model. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of patients who underwent isolated CABG at the Nanjing First Hospital between January 2020 and June 2024. Data from January 2020 to August 2023 were used as a training set, and data from September 2023 to June 2024 were used as a validation set. In the training set, patients were divided into a readmission group and a non-readmission group based on whether they had unplanned readmission within 30 days post-discharge. Clinical data between the two groups were compared, and logistic regression was performed to identify independent risk factors for unplanned readmission. A risk prediction model and a nomogram were constructed, and internal validation was performed to assess the model’s performance. The validation set was used for validation. Results A total of 2 460 patients were included, comprising 1 787 males and 673 females, with a median age of 70 (34, 89) years. The training set included 1 932 patients, and the validation set included 528 patients. In the training set, there were statistically significant differences between the readmission group (79 patients) and the non-readmission group (1 853 patients) in terms of gender, age, carotid artery stenosis, history of myocardial infarction, preoperative anemia, and heart failure classification (P<0.05). The main causes of readmission were poor wound healing, postoperative pulmonary infections, and new-onset atrial fibrillation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that females [OR=1.659, 95%CI (1.022, 2.692), P=0.041], age [OR=1.042, 95%CI (1.011, 1.075), P=0.008], carotid artery stenosis [OR=1.680, 95%CI (1.130, 2.496), P=0.010], duration of first ICU stay [OR=1.359, 95%CI (1.195, 1.545), P<0.001], and the second ICU admission [OR=4.142, 95%CI (1.507, 11.383), P=0.006] were independent risk factors for unplanned readmission. In the internal validation, the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.806, and the net benefit rate of the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) was >3%. In the validation set, the AUC was 0.732, and the DCA net benefit rate ranged from 3% to 48%. Conclusion Females, age, carotid artery stenosis, duration of first ICU stay, and second ICU admission are independent risk factors for unplanned readmission within 30 days after isolated CABG. The constructed nomogram demonstrates good predictive power.
3.Anemoside B4 inhibits SARS-CoV-2 replication in vitro and in vivo.
Mingyue XIAO ; Ronghua LUO ; Qinghua LIANG ; Honglv JIANG ; Yanli LIU ; Guoqiang XU ; Hongwei GAO ; Yongtang ZHENG ; Qiongming XU ; Shilin YANG
Chinese Herbal Medicines 2024;16(1):106-112
OBJECTIVE:
Anemoside B4 (AB4), the most abundant triterpenoidal saponin isolated from Pulsatilla chinensis, inhibited influenza virus FM1 or Klebsiella pneumoniae-induced pneumonia. However, the anti-SARS-CoV-2 effect of AB4 has not been unraveled. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the antiviral activity and potential mechanism of AB4 in inhibiting human coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 in vivo and in vitro.
METHODS:
The cytotoxicity of AB4 was evaluated using the Cell Counting Kit-8 (CCK8) assay. SARS-CoV-2 infected HEK293T, HPAEpiC, and Vero E6 cells were used for in vitro assays. The antiviral effect of AB4 in vivo was evaluated by SARS-CoV-2-infected hACE2-IRES-luc transgenic mouse model. Furthermore, label-free quantitative proteomics and bioinformatic analysis were performed to explore the potential antiviral mechanism of action of AB4. Type I IFN signaling-associated proteins were assessed using Western blotting or immumohistochemical staining.
RESULTS:
The data showed that AB4 reduced the propagation of SARS-CoV-2 along with the decreased Nucleocapsid protein (N), Spike protein (S), and 3C-like protease (3CLpro) in HEK293T cells. In vivo antiviral activity data revealed that AB4 inhibited viral replication and relieved pneumonia in a SARS-CoV-2 infected mouse model. We further disclosed that the antiviral activity of AB4 was associated with the enhanced interferon (IFN)-β response via the activation of retinoic acid-inducible gene I (RIG-1) like receptor (RLP) pathways. Additionally, label-free quantitative proteomic analyses discovered that 17 proteins were significantly altered by AB4 in the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus infections cells. These proteins mainly clustered in RNA metabolism.
CONCLUSION
Our results indicated that AB4 inhibited SARS-CoV-2 replication through the RLR pathways and moderated the RNA metabolism, suggesting that it would be a potential lead compound for the development of anti-SARS-CoV-2 drugs.
4.Urogenital solitary fibrous tumor: a review of 20 cases
Hongwei SHEN ; Bo JIANG ; Xin WANG ; Changwei JI ; Yongming DENG ; Shiwei ZHANG ; Hongqian GUO
Journal of Modern Urology 2024;29(2):130-135
【Objective】 To explore the diagnosis, treatment, prognosis and long-term follow-up of urogenital solitary fibrous tumor (SFT) and to differentiate the characteristics between benign and malignant SFT. 【Methods】 Clinical data of 20 patients with urogenital SFT treated in our hospital during Jan.2004 and Aug.2021 were respectively analyzed, including the general characteristics, clinical symptoms, imaging results, treatment methods, pathological results, and long-term follow-up results. 【Results】 Of the 20 cases, 9 cases had tumor in kidney, 7 in pelvic cavity, 3 in bladder and 1 in prostate.Six patients showed non-specific clinical symptoms, including lower extremity weakness, urodynia, dysuria, frequent urination with changes in stool habits, low back pain, and abdominal wall mass with abdominal pain, and the other 14 cases were asymptomatic.The median diameter of SFT was 5.2 cm (range:1.7-15.0 cm).All patients received surgical treatment, including robotic-assisted surgery in 8 cases, open surgery in 5 cases, laparoscopic surgery in 5 cases, and transurethral resection of tumor in 2 cases.CT plain scan showed high, low and mixed density soft tissue masses, and enhanced CT showed enhanced results.Pathology results revealed frequent nuclear divisions, morphological variations and necrosis in malignant SFT, which had higher expression of Ki-67 than benign SFT.The results of the modified Demicco prognostic risk stratification model showed that all malignant SFT cases were at intermediate risk. The DFS of the SFT radical tumor resection group was slightly longer than that of the simple tumor resection group but the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.203). 【Conclusion】 Markers such as CD34, Bcl2, STAT6 and CD99 are used to diagnose SFT, while Ki-67 and tumor necrosis are used to differentiate benign and malignant SFT.The modified Demicco prognostic risk stratification model plays an important role in predicting the prognosis of SFT.Surgical resection is the most common treatment with excellent prognosis.In addition, benign SFT has much better prognosis than malignant case.
5.Effects of liraglutide on cardiovascular metabolism,left ventricular structure and function in NAFLD patients with T2DM
Baili SONG ; Liujun FU ; Yina CHANG ; Yuan YUAN ; Hongwei JIANG ; Huifang PENG
China Pharmacy 2024;35(14):1737-1742
OBJECTIVE To observe the effects of liraglutide on cardiovascular metabolism, left ventricular structure and function of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS Totally 351 NAFLD patients with T2DM were enrolled retrospectively, who visited the Department of Endocrinology in our hospital from January 2019 to December 2022. They were divided into control group (196 cases) and observation group (155 cases) according to different treatment regimens. The control group received conventional standard treatment, and the observation group was additionally given Liraglutide injection 0.6 mg/d subcutaneously once a day based on the control group, adjusted to 1.2 mg/d after 7 days. Both groups received regular treatment for more than 12 months. The propensity matching method was used to match the two groups of patients at a ratio of 1∶1. The cardiovascular metabolism indexes and cardiac ultrasound parameters were compared, and the correlation between left ventricular structure, function parameters and cardiovascular metabolism indexes was analyzed. RESULTS After propensity score matching, there was no significant difference in baseline clinical data between the two groups (each 155 cases) before treatment (P>0.05). After 12 months of treatment, the waist circumference, weight, body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure (SBP), fasting blood glucose (FBG), glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and triglyceride (TG) of both groups, as well as the diastolic blood pressure (DBP), total cholesterol (TC), uric acid (UA) and left ventricular mass (LVM) of the observation group, exhibited a significant decrease compared to pre-treatment levels (P<0.05). The high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and E/A ratio in both groups, as well as the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) in the control group and the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in the observation group, were all significantly increased compared with before treatment in the same group (P<0.05). Moreover, the improvement of the above indicators (except for TG and SBP) in the observation group was generally more significant than those in the control group (P<0.05). The left ventricular structure and functional parameters (LVM, LVEF, E/A ratio) of the two groups before and after treatment had varying degrees of correlation with the patients’ waist circumference, body weight, BMI, SBP, FBG and HbA1c. Moreover, BMI (observation group: β= 0.229, P=0.004) and SBP (control group: β=0.240, P=0.004; observation group: β=0.226, P=0.007) were independent influential factors for LVM of the patients. CONCLUSIONS Liraglutide combined with conventional standard treatment can effectively control blood glucose in NAFLD patients with T2DM, reduce waist circumference, body weight and blood pressure, improve blood lipid disorders, and protect their cardiac structure and function.
6.Discussion and analysis of laboratory developed tests management model with the goal of product registration
Hongwei ZHOU ; Dingqiang CHEN ; Yan HE ; Lingxiao JIANG ; Qian WANG
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2024;47(1):20-23
Currently, the management of domestic laboratory developed test (LDT) is still in the exploration stage, and new plans and ideas need to be investigated that are suitable for our national development. By analyzing encountered issues, combining the actual needs of the government, healthcare reform, and patients, this article proposes that "promoting healthy development of LDT projects and focusing on the organic combination of patients′ interest protection and innovation support" is an important direction for LDT management, around which the new idea for LDT project management is proposed, that is, LDT management model targeting product registration. The core of this management model is to target product registration and to ensure low service fees for patients and continuous real-time data monitoring. Benefit and risk analysis demonstrate that this management model can to a larger extent balance the realistic demands of patients, medical institutions, in vitro diagnostics companies, and government management departments, which benefits promoting the perfection and development of LDT projects in our country.
7.Distribution and seasonal fluctuation of visceral leishmaniasis vectors sandflies in Henan Province in 2023
Zhiquan HE ; Dan WANG ; Yuanjing KOU ; Chengyun YANG ; Yiying SUN ; Penghui JI ; Tiantian JIANG ; Deling LU ; Dan QIAN ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Ying LIU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2024;36(4):346-351
Objective To investigate the geographical distribution and seasonal fluctuations of visceral leishmaniasis vectors sandflies in Henan Province in 2023, so as to provide insights into the prevention and control of visceral leishmaniasis vectors. Methods A total of 23 counties (districts) were sampled from 18 cities of Henan Province from May to September, 2023 as sandfly surveillance sites, and sandflies were captured using human capture and light trapping methods. Following morphological identification, the changes in the sandfly density were calculated at different months and in different breeding habitats. Results A total of 406 light traps were set at sandfly surveillance sites in Henan Province from May to September, 2023, and a total of 3 137 female sandlies were captured, with an average density of 7.73 sandlies/(light·night). A total of 1 494 Phlebotomus chinensis sandflies were captured, including 1 222 female sandflies, with an average density of 3.01 sandflies/(light·night), and the highest density of P. chinensis was found in Gongyi City [17.00 sandflies/(light·night)]. A total of 5 544 sandflies were captured using the human capture method, including 230 P. chinensis, and the density of P. chinensis appeared a unimodal distribution, with a peak in early July [5.81 sandflies/(light·night)]. Among different breeding habitats, the highest P. chinensis density was detected in pigpens [4.50 sandflies/(light·night)]. Conclusions P. chinensis was predominantly distributed in hilly areas of northern and central-western Henan Province in 2023, and the sandfly density appeared a unimodal distribution. Intensified monitoring of visceral leishmaniasis vectors is recommended.
8.Study on risk factors of mycobacterium tuberculosis infection among health workers in medical institutions
Lin HE ; Wei QI ; Shimiao TANG ; Hongwei CAO ; Yiwen JIANG
Chinese Journal of Industrial Hygiene and Occupational Diseases 2024;42(2):96-101
Objective:To understand the infection status of mycobacterium tuberculosis among health workers in tuberculosis designated medical institutions and explore the risk factors of infection.Methods:From September 2021 to June 2022, a questionnaire survey was conducted among health workers in relevant departments of 4 tuberculosis designated medical institutions by cluster stratified sampling, including the implementation of hospital infection control measures in medical institutions and occupational exposure of medical staff to mycobacterium tuberculosis. Peripheral blood interferon gamma release assays (IGRAs) and lung imaging examination were performed to determine the mycobacterium tuberculosis infection. Factors with statistical significance in univariate analysis were included in multivariate logistic regression to analyze the risk factors of mycobacterium tuberculosis infection.Results:A total of 657 people completed the lung imaging examination and questionnaire, of which 654 people had peripheral blood IGRAs detection, and the latent infection rate of tuberculosis was 39.45% (258/654) . Univariate analysis showed that age, sex, marital status, economic income, occupational category, professional title, length of service, and other variables had statistical significances in tuberculosis latent infection ( P<0.05) . In terms of personal health status, there were statistically significant differences in the distribution of health workers in terms of their tuberculosis history, tuberculosis history of their immediate family members, previous tuberculin skin test (TST) ( P<0.05) . Multivariate analysis showed that there were four risk factors related to tuberculosis, including professional title ( X1) , years of tuberculosis related works ( X2) , tuberculosis history ( X3) and previous TST ( X4) . The regression equation of the probability of tuberculosis among health workers was y=-1.920+0.246 X1+0.046 X2+1.231 X3+0.478 X4. Conclusion:The latent infection rate of tuberculosis among health workers in tuberculosis designated medical institutions is high. It is necessary to strengthen the management of infection control, carry out regular screening, enhance the self-protection awareness of health workers, and reduce their exposure to mycobacterium tuberculosis and infection risk.
9.Effects of pharyngeal cavity and mentolingual muscle exercise on polysomnography,cardiac function and MACE in patients with mild OSAHS left after palatopharyngoplasty with diastolic cardiac dysfunction
Sheng LI ; Mang XIAO ; Xiaohua JIANG ; Qingye YANG ; Jinshan LAN ; Hongjian LIAO ; Hongwei ZHANG ; Yin FU
Chinese Archives of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery 2024;31(7):461-466
OBJECTIVE To investigate the effect of pharyngeal cavity and genoglossus muscle exercises in patients with mild obstructive sleep apnea syndrome(OSAHS)left over after palatopharyngoplasty with diastolic cardiac dysfunction.METHODS A total of 75 patients with mild OSAHS left after palatopharyngoplasty with diastolic cardiac dysfunction from January 2021 to August 2023 were selected for retrospective study.Among them,37 patients underwent pharyngeal cavity and mentoglossum muscle exercise(observation group),while 38 patients did not(control group).Using postoperative data as baseline value.mean blood oxygen saturation(MSpO2),lowest oxygen saturation(LSpO2),sleep efficiency,apnea index(AI),sleep latency,apnea hypopnea index(AHI),hypopnea index(HI),microarousal index(MAI),rapid eye movement latency,arterial blood pressure of carbon dioxide(PaCO2),pH,arterial partial oxygen pressure(PaO2),left ventricular end-systolic diameter(LVDs),blood lactic acid,left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),Tei index,left ventricular end-diastolic diameter(LVDd),daytime Epworth sleepiness scale(ESS)score,Pittsburgh sleep quality index(PSQI)score and incidence of adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)were compared at baseline and 3 months later.RESULTS After 3 months,AHI,HI and AI in observation group were lower than those in control group,and MSpO2 and LSpO2 were higher than those in control group(P<0.05);Sleep efficiency of observation group was higher than control group,daytime ESS score,PSQI score and MAI were lower than control group(P<0.05).There were no significant differences in PaCO2,LVDd,PaO2,blood lactic acid,sleep latency,pH,LVEF,rapid eye movement latency,LVDd,Tei index between the observation group and the control group(P>0.05).The incidence of MACE in the observation group was 5.41%(2/37),compared with 13.16%(5/38)in the control group,there was no significant difference(P>0.05).CONCLUSION In patients with mild OSAHS left after palatopharyngoplasty with diastolic cardiac dysfunction,the exercise of pharyngeal cavity and genoglossus can improve hypopnea,alleviate clinical symptoms and improve sleep quality,but it has limited effect on the improvement of cardiac function.
10.Construction of a model based on multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy for predicting pathological complete response after neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer
Ying JIN ; Zhiwei ZHAI ; Liting SUN ; Pingdian XIA ; Hang HU ; Chongqiang JIANG ; Baocheng ZHAO ; Hao QU ; Qun QIAN ; Yong DAI ; Hongwei YAO ; Zhenjun WANG ; Jiagang HAN
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(4):403-411
Objective:To investigate the value of transanal multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy (TMFP) in predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant radiotherapy and chemotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and to establish a predictive model for providing clinical guidance regarding the treatment of LARC.Methods:In this multicenter, prospective, cohort study, we collected data on 110 LARC patients from four hospitals between April 2020 and March 2023: Beijing Chaoyang Hospital of Capital Medical University (50 patients), Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University (41 patients), Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (16 patients), and Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University (three patients). The patients had all received TMFP after completing standard nCRT. The variables studied included (1) clinicopathological characteristics; (2) clinical complete remission (cCR) and efficacy of TMFP in determining pCR after NCRT in LARC patients; and (3) hospital attended, sex, age, clinical T- and N-stages, distance between the lower margin of the tumor and the anal verge, baseline and post-radiotherapy serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 concentrations, chemotherapy regimen, use of immunosuppressants with or without radiotherapy, radiation therapy dosage, interval between surgery and radiotherapy, surgical procedure, clinical T/N stage after radiotherapy, cCR, pathological results of TMFP, puncture method (endoscopic or percutaneous), and number and timing of punctures. Single-factor and multifactorial logistic regression analysis were used to determine the factors affecting pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. A prediction model was constructed based on the results of multivariat analysis and the performance of this model evaluated by analyzing subject work characteristics (ROC), calibration, and clinical decision-making (DCA) curves. pCR was defined as complete absence of tumor cells on microscopic examination of the surgical specimens of rectal cancer (including lymph node dissection) after NCRT, that is, ypT0+N0. cCR was defined according to the Chinese Neoadjuvant Rectal Cancer Waiting Watch Database Study Collaborative Group criteria after treatment, which specify an absence of ulceration and nodules on endoscopy; negative rectal palpation; no tumor signals on rectal MRI T2 and DWI sequences; normal serum CEA concentrations, and no evidence of recurrence on pelvic computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging.Results:Of the 110 patients, 45 (40.9%) achieved pCR after nCRT, which was combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors in 34 (30.9%). cCR was diagnosed before puncture in 38 (34.5%) patients, 43 (39.1%) of the punctures being endoscopic. There were no complications of puncture such as enterocutaneous fistulae, vaginal injury, prostatic injury, or presacral bleeding . Only one (2.3%) patient had a small amount of blood in the stools, which was relieved by anal pressure. cCR had a sensitivity of 57.8% (26/45) for determining pCR, specificity of 81.5% (53/65), accuracy of 71.8% (79/110), positive predictive value 68.4% (26/38), and negative predictive value of 73.6% (53/72). In contrast, the sensitivity of TMFP pathology in determining pCR was 100% (45/45), specificity 66.2% (43/65), accuracy 80.0% (88/110), positive predictive value 67.2% (45/67), and negative predictive value 100.0% (43/43). In this study, the sensitivity of TMFP for pCR (100.0% vs. 57.8%, χ 2=24.09, P<0.001) was significantly higher than that for cCR. However, the accuracy of pCR did not differ significantly (80.0% vs. 71.8%, χ 2=2.01, P=0.156). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that a ≥4 cm distance between the lower edge of the tumor and the anal verge (OR=7.84, 95%CI: 1.48-41.45, P=0.015), non-cCR (OR=4.81, 95%CI: 1.39-16.69, P=0.013), and pathological diagnosis by TMFP (OR=114.29, the 95%CI: 11.07-1180.28, P<0.001) were risk factors for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. Additionally, endoscopic puncture (OR=0.02, 95%CI: 0.05-0.77, P=0.020) was a protective factor for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.934 (95%CI: 0.892-0.977), suggesting that the model has good discrimination. The calibration curve was relatively close to the ideal 45° reference line, indicating that the predicted values of the model were in good agreement with the actual values. A decision-making curve showed that the model had a good net clinical benefit. Conclusion:Our predictive model, which incorporates TMFP, has considerable accuracy in predicting pCR after nCRT in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This may provide a basis for more precisely selecting individualized therapy.

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