1.Ultrahigh field 5.0T cardiac MRI:Status,challenges and future
Linqi GE ; Yubo GUO ; Haifeng WANG ; Yihang ZHOU ; Dong LIANG ; Hairong ZHENG ; Yanjie ZHU
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2024;40(5):666-670
Conventional 1.5T and 3.0T cardiac MRI(CMRI)had been widely used.The ultrahigh field MR behaved better in image resolution and signal-to-noise ratio.The domestic 5.0T whole-body ultrahigh field MRI had better balance between the field strength and quality in CMRI,which was expected to improve imaging quality and efficiency.The status challenges and future of 5.0T CMRI were reviewed in this paper.
2.Laboratory and clinical characteristics of patients with different SF3B1 genotypes in myelodysplastic syndromes
Huimin JIN ; Liying ZHU ; Fei HUANG ; Zhongxun SHI ; Hairong QIU ; Yan WANG ; Hui JIN ; Zijuan WU ; Guangsheng HE ; Jianyong LI ; Wenyi SHEN ; Chun QIAO
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2023;46(5):464-472
Objective:To analyze the distribution of different SF3B1 genotypes in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and its prognostic value.Methods:Totally, 377MDS patients who were initially diagnosed in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2014 to January 2022 were included in the retrospective analysis.The patients were divided into three different groups according to mutation stcote of SF3B1, including 317 patients with SF3B1 wild type (SF3B1 WT) (214 males and 103 females, 63(49, 71) years old),39 patients with SF3B1 K700E mutation(SF3B1 K700E(17 males and 22 females, 65(52, 73)years old)) and 21 patients with SF3B1 non-K700E mutation(SF3B1 non-K700E)(13 males and 8 females, 67(63, 73) years old). MDS-related 20 gene mutations were detected using targeted sequencing technology; Survival curves were constructed by the Kaplan-Meier method; Cox proportional hazards model was established to evaluate different factors at diagnosis on survival by univariate and multivariate analyses.. Results:Compared with SF3B1 non-K700E patients, SF3B1 K700E patients had a higher median absolute neutrophil count ( P=0.002) and were likely to be in the low/int-1 International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) categories ( P=0.023). A 20-gene targeted sequencing analysis showed that, compared with SF3B1 WT patients, SF3B1 K700E patients were associated with lower frequency of ASXL1 and U2AF1 mutations ( P=0.018 and P=0.003); while compared with SF3B1 non-K700E patients, the frequency of ASXL1 mutation was significantly lower in SF3B1 K700E cases ( P=0.029). Patients with SF3B1 K700E had better overall survival (OS) in comparison with SF3B1 WT and SF3B1 non-K700E in MDS patients ( P<0.001 and P=0.045, respectively). In comparison with SF3B1 WT patients, SF3B1 MUT patients had more favorable OS and progression-free survival (PFS) in MDS without excess blasts ( P<0.001 and P<0.001, respectively), but no significant difference was found in MDS with excess blasts ( P>0.05). Compared with SF3B1 WT patients, SF3B1 K700E patients had superior OS and PFS in the int-1 IPSS category ( P=0.010 and P=0.013, respectively). By multivariable analysis, the presence of SF3B1 K700Ewas an independent predictor of superior OS ( HR=0.461,95% CI 0.262-0.811, P=0.007). Conclusion:SF3B1 K700E and SF3B1 non-K700E patients had significantly improved OS in comparison with SF3B1 WT MDS patients. Furthermore, SF3B1 K700E patients were associated with a better OS compared with SF3B1 non-K700E MDS patients. SF3B1 mutation could not overcome the poor prognostic effect of excess blasts, which highlights the importance of the SF3B1 mutation subtype in risk assessment of MDS without excess blasts.
3.Changes of selenium nutritional level of school-age children in Kashin-Beck disease areas in Tibet Autonomous Region from 2013 to 2021
Jinwei ZHU ; Linsheng YANG ; Hongqiang GONG ; Hairong LI ; Li WANG ; Shengcheng ZHAO ; Min GUO ; Chang KONG ; Yanan GUO ; Zhuo CHEN ; Lijuan GU ; Min MENG ; Xing YUAN
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2023;42(11):918-921
Objective:To assess the changes of selenium nutrition of school-age children in Kashin-Beck disease (KBD) areas of Linzhou County, Lhasa City and Xietongmen County, Shigatse City in Tibet Autonomous Region (referred to as Tibet), and provide a scientific basis for evaluating the effectiveness of prevention and control measures.Methods:According to the historical condition of KBD, a total of 344 children's hair samples were collected to determine the content of selenium in Kazi (KBD area) and Jiangxia townships (non-KBD area) of Linzhou County in 2013 and 2021, Renqinze (KBD area) and Tongmen townships (non-KBD area) of Xietongmen County in 2015 and 2021.Results:Compared to 2013/2015, in 2021, the hair selenium level of children in the four townships increased ( P < 0.001). The selenium nutritional level of more than 90% of the children reached medium or above (hair selenium > 0.25 μg/g) in 2021. The hair selenium levels of girls in the two KBD areas (Kazi and Renqinze townships) were lower than those of boys ( Z = - 2.83, - 2.83, P < 0.05). Conclusions:The selenium nutrition level of school-age children in KBD areas in Linzhou and Xietongmen counties has increased rapidly in recent years. However, the selenium nutrition level of girls is significantly lower than that of boys. It is necessary to strengthen prevention, controlling and monitoring, and to further improve the dietary structure of school-age children through the joint efforts of families and schools, to increase the proportion of exogenous high selenium food intake.
4.Epidemiological trends and major risk attribution analysis of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019
Yifei MA ; Hairong HE ; Tian'ao YAN ; Jiachun DING ; Ze'en ZHU ; Zheng WU ; Qingyong MA ; Zheng WANG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2022;21(4):507-519
Objective:To analyze the epidemiological trends and major risk attribution of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019.Methods:The descriptive epidemiological method was conducted. The overall incidence rate, mortality rate, age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019 were collected from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Database. Age-standardized rates were calculated based on the worldwide standardized population structure provided by GBD Database 2019. Observation indicators: (1) incidence and motality of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea in 2019; (2) age-period-cohort model analysis of incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019; (3) trends of ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019; (4) trends of major risk attribution of pancreatic cancer related death in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019. Count data were represented as absolute numbers, percentages and ratios. Joinpoint V.4.7.0.0 software was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC), the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in different time periods and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). The age-period-cohort model in STATA V.15.0 software was used to analyze the influence of different ages, periods and birth cohorts on the risk of onset and death of pancreatic cancer after controlling the other two variables, with the risk effect size described as relative risk (95% CI). Results:(1) Incidence and motality of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea in 2019. In 2019, the incidence rate of pancreatic cancer in China increased from 0.07/100,000 among 15-19 years old to 64.01/100,000 among 85-89 years old, with increasing from 0.09/100,000 to 94.71/100,000 in males and from 0.04/100,000 to 47.47/100,000 in females. The mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in China increased from 0.04/100,000 among 15-19 years old to 79.58/100,000 among 85-89 years old, with increasing from 0.05/100,000 to 116.50/100,000 in males and from 0.03/100,000 to 59.69/100,000 in females. The incidence rate of pancreatic cancer in Japan increased from 0.03/100,000 among 15-19 years old to 162.26/100,000 among 85-89 years old, with increasing from 0.03/100,000 to 177.67/100,000 in males and from 0.04/100,000 to 153.67/100,000 in females. The mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Japan increased from 0.02/100,000 among 15-19 years old to 154.88/100,000 among 85-89 years old, with increasing from 0.02/100,000 to 170.93/100,000 in males and from 0.02/100,000 to 145.94/100,000 in females. The incidence rate of pancreatic cancer in South Korea increased from 0.04/100,000 among 15-19 years old to 136.78/100,000 among 85-89 years old, with increasing from 0.03/100,000 to 153.78/100,000 in males and from 0.04/100,000 to 129.73/100,000 in females. The mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in South Korea increased from 0.02/100,000 among 15-19 years old to 135.98/100,000 among 85-89 years old, with increasing from 0.02/100,000 to 156.21/100,000 in males and from 0.02/100,000 to 127.59/100,000 in females. The peak incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer in China were found in males aged 65-69 years, and the overall incidence and mortality of males in different age groups were higher than those of females in the same age group. In Japan, the peak incidence of pancreatic cancer occurred in females aged 80-84 years and the peak mortality occurred in males aged 75-79 years. The morbidity and mortality of males aged <80 years were higher than those of females in the same age group, while the morbidity and mortality of males aged ≥80 years were lower than those of females in the same age group. In South Korea, the peak incidence of pancreatic cancer occurred in females aged 80-84 years, and the peak mortality occurred in males aged 70-74 years. The morbidity and mortality of males aged <75 years were higher than those of females in the same age group, while the morbidity and mortality of males aged ≥75 years were lower than those of females in the same age group. (2) Age-period-cohort model analysis of incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019. Age effect: after adjustment for the period and cohort effects, the risk of incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in both males and females of China, Japan and South Korea increased with age, which is more obvious in females than males, and more obvious in Japanese than Chinese and Korean populations. Period effect: after adjustment for age and cohort effects, the risk of incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in both males and females of China, Japan and South Korea increased from 1990 to 2019, with the period effect more significant in the Chinese population. Cohort effect: after adjustment for age and period effects, the risk of morbidity and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer decreased with the passage of birth cohort in China, Japan and South Korea. (3) Trends of ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019. The ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer in China increased yearly from 1990 to 2019, and the ASIR and ASMR in 2019 were 1.82 times and 1.79 times those in 1990, respectively. The ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer in Japan showed a slowly increasing trend, and the ASIR and ASMR in 2019 were 1.09 times and 1.05 times those in 1990, respectively. The ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer in South Korea increased firstly, then decreased, and slowly increased. From 1990 to 2019, the AAPC of ASIR of pancreatic cancer in China was 2.08% (95% CI as 1.91% to 2.24%, P<0.05) and AAPC of ASMR was 2.02% (95% CI as 1.86% to 2.19%, P<0.05). The AAPC of ASIR of pancreatic cancer in Japan was 0.28% (95% CI as 0.15% to 0.42%, P<0.05) and AAPC of ASMR was 0.13% (95% CI as 0.03% to 0.24%, P<0.05). The AAPC of ASIR of pancreatic cancer in South Korea was 0.50% (95% CI as 0.21% to 0.80%, P<0.05) and AAPC of ASMR was 0.15% (95% CI as -0.10% to 0.40%, P>0.05). (4) Trends of major risk attribution of pancreatic cancer related death in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019. The main risk factors for pancreatic cancer related death in China, Japan and South Korea from 1990 to 2019 were smoking, high fasting glucose and high body mass index (BMI). The trend of pancreatic cancer related death, mainly attributed to smoking, showed that the proportion of Chinese males increased from 31.4% in 1990 to 34.1% in 2000, then decreased to 31.1% in 2015, and then showed a slow increase to 31.7% in 2019. The proportion of Chinese females increased from 6.7% in 1990 to 10.4% in 2005 and then dropped to 8.7% in 2019. The proportion of Japanese males decreased from 38.8% in 1990 to 26.9% in 2019 and the proportion of Japanese females decreased from 20.9% in 1990 to 14.8% in 2019. The proportion of South Korean males decreased from 37.5% in 1990 to 30.3% in 2019 and the proportion of South Korean females decreased from 12.6% in 1990 to 10.0% in 2019. The trend of pancreatic cancer related death proportion, mainly attributed to high fasting blood glucose, showed that the proportion of Chinese males increased from 5.9% in 1990 to 7.1% in 2019 and the propor-tion of Chinese females increased from 6.2% in 1990 to 6.8% in 2019. The proportion of Japanese males increased from 7.0% in 1990 to 7.7% in 2019 and the proportion of females increased from 5.0% in 1990 to 5.5% in 2019. The proportion of South Korean males increased from 6.8% in 1990 to 9.7% in 2019 and the proportion of females increased from 6.1% in 1990 to 8.2% in 2019. The trend of pancreatic cancer related deaths proportion, attributed mainly to high BMI, showed that the proportion of Chinese males increased from 1.3% in 1990 to 3.0% in 2019 and the proportion of females increased from 2.1% in 1990 to 4.3% in 2019. The proportion of Japanese males increased from 2.0% in 1990 to 2.4% in 2019 and the proportion of females increased from 3.1% in 1990 to 3.4% in 2019. The proportion of South Korean males increased from 1.9% in 1990 to 3.1% in 2019 and the proportion of females increased from 3.4% in 1990 to 4.3% in 2019. Conclusions:The incidence of pancreatic cancer in China may continue to rise but to be stable in Japan and South Korea. The incidence of pancreatic cancer in females, especially elderly women, needs more attention. Smoking remains the most critical risk factor for pancreatic cancer. More attention should also be paid to the increased risk of pancreatic cancer associated with high BMI and high fasting plasma glucose.
5.Effect of sequential suture and adhesion on craniomaxillofacial skin contusion and laceration
Zhaofeng LU ; Yitong ZHU ; Yaqiong WANG ; Jiafa YANG ; Ruoyu LU ; Hairong LI ; Mengjia LIU
Chinese Journal of Medical Aesthetics and Cosmetology 2022;28(5):368-371
Objective:To investigate the effect of sequential suture and adhesion on craniomaxillofacial skin contusion and laceration.Methods:A total of 189 patients with craniomaxillofacial skin contusion and laceration (CMFSCL) were randomly divided into three groups: 66 cases in SSA group, 63 cases in CS group and 60 cases in TS group. Operation time, visual analogue scale (VAS), Vancouver scar scale (VSS) and adverse reactions incidence were compared and analyzed between the three groups. Effect and satisfactory scale were evaluated.Results:Operation time in SSA group (10.67±1.26) min was significantly less than that in CS (18.91±1.38) min and TS group (17.96±1.43) min ( P<0.05). VAS in SSA group 24 h post-operation (3.11±1.01) was significantly lower than that in CS and TS group ( P<0.05). VSS in SSA group 6 months post-operation (1.18±0.21) was significantly lower than that in CS (3.78±1.01) ( P<0.05) and TS group (5.98±1.06) ( P<0.01). Total effective rate of SSA group (96.5%) was significantly higher than that in CS (85.7%) ( P<0.05) and TS group (56.1%) ( P<0.01); total effective rate in CS group was significantly higher than that in TS group ( P<0.05). Infection and dehiscence rates in SSA group were lower than those in CS and TS group ( P<0.01). Satisfactory rate of SSA group (99%) was significantly higher than that of CS (89.1%) and TS group (71.3%) ( P<0.05); the satisfactory rate of CS group was significantly higher than that of TS group ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Sequential suture and adhesion technique is simple and effective for craniomaxillofacial skin contusion and laceration, which is worthy of clinical promotion.
6.Bevacizumab in combination with pemetrexed and platinum for elderly patients with advanced non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer: a retrospective analysis.
Yaru TIAN ; Hairong TIAN ; Xiaoyang ZHAI ; Hui ZHU ; Jinming YU
Frontiers of Medicine 2022;16(4):610-617
Bevacizumab, an anti-VEGF monoclonal antibody, has significantly improved the clinical outcomes of patients with advanced non-squamous NSCLC (ns-NSCLC). However, the safety and efficacy of bevacizumab for elderly patients with advanced NSCLC require further investigation. Thus, 59 patients were included in the present retrospective study, 22 patients in the bevacizumab plus pemetrexed and platinum (B + PP) group, and 37 patients in the pemetrexed and platinum (PP) group. For the entire cohort of patients, the median OS was 33.3 months, and the 1-year and 2-year overall survival rates were 88.5% and 67.8%, respectively. The median OS and 1-year and 2-year OS rates were 20.5 months, 70.3% and 0%, respectively, in the B + PP group and 33.4 months, 97.0% and 89.4%, respectively, in the PP group (P < 0.001). The incidence of grade ⩾ 3 adverse events was higher in the B + PP group than in the PP group (27.3% vs. 10.8%, respectively; P = 0.204). Univariate and multivariate analyses suggested that the receipt of ⩾ 5 cycles of first-line chemotherapy was an independent favorable prognostic factor for OS, whereas the addition of bevacizumab was an unfavorable prognostic factor. With increased toxicities, the addition of bevacizumab to PP does not improve the overall survival of elderly patients with advanced ns-NSCLC.
Aged
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Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/adverse effects*
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Bevacizumab/adverse effects*
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Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/drug therapy*
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Humans
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Lung Neoplasms/drug therapy*
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Pemetrexed/adverse effects*
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Platinum/therapeutic use*
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Retrospective Studies
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Treatment Outcome
7.The correlation of CD49d expression pattern with molecular genetics and hotspot gene mutants in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia
Jing ZHU ; Lu LIU ; Xiao CHEN ; Fang LIU ; Sishu ZHAO ; Huimin JIN ; Hairong QIU ; Chun QIAO ; Jianyong LI ; Yujie WU
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2022;43(6):463-468
Objective:To explore the correlation of CD49d expression patterns with molecular genetics and hotspot gene mutants in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia.Methods:The expression of CD49d was detected by flow cytometry and grouped into homogeneous, bimodal, negative and positive expression. Panel fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) was used for molecular genetics analysis and next-generation sequencing (NGS) was conducted for gene mutation detection.Results:There were 43 patients (23.89% ) with positive CD49d expression, 137 patients (76.11% ) with negative CD49d expression, 96 patients (53.33% ) with homogeneous CD49d expression and 84 patients (46.67% ) with bimodal CD49d expression. Compared with patients in the CD49d negative group, patients in the CD49d positive group had higher Rai stage ( P=0.048) and higher proportion of spleen enlargement ( P=0.030) . Compared with patients with homogeneous expression of CD49d, patients with bimodal expression of CD49d had a higher proportion of spleen enlargement ( P=0.009) . The expression rate of 11q22- in bimodal CD49d - group was significantly higher than that in homogeneous CD49d - group (24.29% vs 10.45% , P=0.043) . The incidence of +12 in homogeneous CD49d group was higher than that in bimodal CD49d group (16.67% vs 5.95% , P=0.035) . The incidence of +12 in homogeneous CD49d + group was higher than that in bimodal CD49d - group (17.24% vs 4.29% , P=0.045) . The incidence of +12 in homogeneous CD49d - group was higher than that in bimodal CD49d - group (16.42% vs 4.29% , P=0.024) . BIRC3 mutation rate in CD49d positive group was higher than that in CD49d negative group (11.63% vs 2.92% , P=0.037) . Conclusion:There were significant correlations between CD49d and 11q22-, +12 and BIRC3 gene mutation. Patients with bimodal CD49d were more correlated with poor prognosis indexes.
8.Study of cytogenetics and molecular biology in typical and atypical immunophenotypic chronic lymphocytic leukemia
Huimin JIN ; Chun QIAO ; Sishu ZHAO ; Hairong QIU ; Xiao CHEN ; Hui YANG ; Liying ZHU ; Jianyong LI ; Yujie WU
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2022;43(6):469-474
Objective:To analyze the differences in immunophenotype, cytogenetics, and molecular biology between typical and atypical immunophenotype chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) , and explore the correlation of cytogenetic anomalies with gene mutations.Methods:This study included 488 patients diagnosed in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University between November 2014 and May 2021. Of these, 382 patients scored 4-5 points, which was typical CLL (tCLL) , and 106 scored 3 points, which was atypical CLL (aCLL) as per the Royal Marsden Hospital Immunomarker Integral System. Peripheral blood cells were collected for immunophenotype by multiparameter flow cytometry in 488 patients, fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) was employed to detect cytogenetic anomalies in 359 patients, and gene mutations were detected by next-generation sequencing (NGS) in 330 patients.Results:The positive rates of CD10, CD22, CD49d, CD81, and FMC7 were significantly higher in the aCLL compared with the tCLL group ( P=0.020, P<0.001, P<0.001, P=0.027, and P<0.001, respectively) , while the positive rates of CD5, CD23, CD148, and CD200 were lower in the former compared to the latter ( P<0.001, P=0.017, P=0.041, and P<0.001, respectively) . aCLL exhibited a higher frequency of trisomy 12 and lower frequency of del (13q14) compared to the tCLL group ( P<0.001 and P<0.001, respectively) . Moreover, aCLL patients also showed a higher incidence of NOTCH1 mutations than the tCLL patients ( P=0.038) , while no statistically significant differences in other gene mutations occurred between the two groups. No significant differences in overall survival (OS) and treatment-free survival (TFS) occurred between aCLL and tCLL using Kaplan-Meier analysis ( P>0.05) . Conclusion:aCLL has characteristic immunophenotype, cytogenetic, and somatic mutation that differ from tCLL, and this can provide reliable information for the diagnosis and differential diagnosis between the two groups.
9.Clinical features and prediction of 152 patients of acute pancreatitis complicated with portal vein system thrombosis
Ruochang LI ; Jingli ZHANG ; Rui LI ; Yuyan ZHANG ; Jie ZHU ; Wendi DONG ; Hairong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2021;41(1):29-34
Objective:To explore the clinical features of acute pancreatitis (AP) complicated with portal vein system thrombosis (PVST) and the clinical prediction of symptomatic PVST.Methods:From January 2014 to December 2019, at First Affiliated Hospital and Second Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, 152 hospitalized patients who met the diagnostic criteria of AP complicated with PVST and had complete clinical data were retrospectively analyzed, and the clinical characteristics of them were analyzed. According to whether there were clinical manifestations caused by PVST (esophago-gastric variceal bleeding, persistent ascites, intestinal ischemia), AP patients complicated with PVST were divided into symptomatic group ( n=48) and asymptomatic group ( n=104). The differences in general information, laboratory test indicators, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ), Balthazar computed tomography (CT) score, local and systemic complications were compared between symptomatic group and asymptomatic group. Two independent sample t test, two sample rank sum test, and chi-square test were used for statistical analysis. The binary logistic regression was used for multivariate analysis. Results:The severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) complicated with PVST was common, accounted for 73.0% (111/152), and the hospital mortality rate was 14.5% (22/152). The splenic vein (46.1%, 70/152) was the most common single vessel involved. The hospital stay of the symptomatic group was longer than that of the asymptomatic group, the hospitalization costs and hospital mortality of the symptomatic group were both higher than those of the asymptomatic group ((26.31±19.38) d vs. (15.11±9.31) d, (103 463.68±15 312.74) yuan vs. (37 199.38±4 647.17) yuan, 25.0%, 12/48 vs. 9.6%, 10/104, respectively), and the differences were statistically significant ( t=-3.809 and -4.141, χ2=6.280; all P<0.05). The lactic acid dehydrogenase, C-reactive protein, and prothrombin time of the symptomatic group were all higher than those of the asymptomatic group (4.78 μmol·s -1·L -1, 2.96 μmol·s -1·L -1 to 7.82 μmol·s -1·L -1 vs. 4.42 μmol·s -1·L -1, 3.29 μmol·s -1·L -1 to 9.30 μmol·s -1·L -1; 69.53 mg/L, 29.49 mg/L to 147.14 mg/L vs. 40.90 mg/L, 8.88 mg/L to 104.89 mg/L; (16.88±8.23) s vs. (14.12±1.59) s), however the hematocrit and blood calcium in the symptomatic group were both lower than those of the asymptomatic group ((34.97±8.96)% vs. (39.18±7.17)%, (2.01±0.32) mmol/L vs. (2.17±0.19) mmol/L), and the differences were all statistically significant ( Z=-2.067 and -1.977, t=-2.281, 3.072 and 3.083; all P<0.05). The scores of APACHE Ⅱand Balthazar CT, the rate of local complications of pancreatic necrosis, and systemic complications including abdominal hemorrhage, septic shock, acute respiratory distress syndrome, lung infection and pleural effusion of the symptomatic group were higher than those of the asymptomatic group (7.21±3.84 vs. 5.27±2.31, 7.10±1.57 vs. 4.83±1.87, 87.5%, 42/48 vs. 28.8%, 30/104; 10.4%, 5/48 vs. 1.9%, 2/104; 18.8%, 9/48 vs. 1.9%, 2/104; 25.0%, 12/48 vs. 3.8%, 4/104; 91.7%, 44/48 vs. 60.6%, 63/104; 85.4%, 41/48 vs. 49.0%, 51/104; respectively), and the differences were statistically significant ( t=-3.241 and -7.331, χ2=45.320, 5.393, 13.852, 15.604, 15.323 and 18.191; all P<0.05). The results of binary logistic regression showed that Balthazar CT score was an independent risk factor for symptomatic PVST ( P<0.01), and odds ratio (95% confidence interval) was 1.79 (1.41 to 2.29). Conclusions:Balthazar CT score is an influencing factor of symptomatic PVST in AP patients, and patients with high scores should be treated early to improve the prognosis.
10.Establishment and validation of prediction model for severity of acute pancreatitis
Rui LI ; Yuyuan ZHANG ; Ruochang LI ; Jie ZHU ; Wendi DONG ; Hairong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2021;41(8):554-560
Objective:To establish and internally validate a visualized model for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP).Methods:From September 1st 2017 to August 31st 2020, 600 patients with AP diagnosed in the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were enrolled. According to the Atlanta classification of AP, the 600 patients were divided into severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) group (128 cases) and non-severe acute pancreatitis (NSAP) group (472 cases). The general clinical data (age, gender, body mass index, etc), laboratory indicators (fasting blood glucose, urea nitrogen, creatinine, etc.), complicated with ascites or pleural effusion, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation Ⅱ (APACHE Ⅱ) scores and bedside index of severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) score between the two groups were compared. The potential predictors of SAP were screened with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The screened predictors were included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis to establish the logistic regression model. The operation characteristic curves of the model, APACHE Ⅱ scores and BISAP were drawn, the discriminative capability of the model was evaluated by comparing the area under the curve (AUC). Calibration, Hosmer-Lemesshow test and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the accuracy and clinical practicability of the prediction model. Bootstrap was used for internally validation of the model. Independent sample t test, Wilcoxon test and chi-square test were used for statistical analysis. Results:The difference of gender composition ratio between SAP and NSAP group was statistically significant ( χ2=4.092, P<0.05). The fatality rate of SAP group was higher than that of NSAP group(21.1%, 27/128 vs. 0, 0/472); the length of hospital stay of SAP group was longer than that of NSAP group((20.33±16.21) d vs. (8.42±4.26) d); the hospitalization cost, fasting blood glucose level, urea nitrogen level, creatinine level, C-reactive protein(CRP) level, D-dimer level, fibrinogen level, white blood cell count, percentage of neutrophils, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, APACHEⅡ and BISAP scores, the incidence of complicated with pleural effusion or ascites and the constituent ratio of alcoholic etiology of SAP group were all higher than those of NASP group (44 837.58 yuan (23 017.73 yuan, 102 579.77 yuan) vs. 12 301.46 yuan (8 649.26 yuan, 18 823.88 yuan); (10.48±4.84) mmol/L vs. (8.45±4.80) mmol/L; (8.80±6.50) mmol/L vs. (4.90±2.33) mmol/L; (139.56±127.75) mmol/L vs. (80.05±38.54) mmol/L; (187.33±87.25) mg/L vs. (90.81±82.53) mg/L; 5.19 mg/L (2.96 mg/L, 8.52 mg/L) vs.1.29 mg/L (0.53 mg/L, 2.87 mg/L); 6.13 mg/L (4.64 mg/L, 7.31 mg/L) vs. 4.58 mg/L (3.50 mg/L, 5.98 mg/L); (14.87±5.82)×10 9/L vs. (11.79±4.86)×10 9/L; 0.84±0.12 vs.0.78±0.12; 13.16±7.57 vs. 8.77±7.28; 9.80±6.09 vs. 3.79±2.59; 2.12±0.89 vs. 1.04±0.78; 65.6%, 84/128 vs. 12.9%, 61/472; 70.3%, 90/128 vs. 20.3%, 96/472; 18.8%, 24/128 vs. 11.4%, 54/472); serum albumin level, blood calcium level, and hematocrit level of SAP group were all lower than those of NSAP group ((30.86±4.95) g/L vs. (37.14±5.44) g/L; (1.98±0.31) mmol/L vs. (2.16±0.20) mmol/L; (42.40±8.67)% vs.(44.30±6.45)%), and the differences were all statistically significant ( χ2=99.403, t=8.235, Z=-13.330, t=4.239, 10.759, 5.207 and 11.227, Z=-11.406 and -6.234, t=6.097, 4.829, 6.011, 10.899 and 12.395, χ2=152.604, 117.563 and 4.757, t=-11.788, -6.180 and -2.310, all P<0.05). LASSO regression analysis screened out four predictors of CRP, urea nitrogen, D-dimer and ascites. The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that CRP (odds ratio ( OR)=1.009, 95% (confidence interval) CI 1.006 to 1.012), urea nitrogen( OR=1.185, 95% CI 1.097 to 1.280), D-dimer( OR=1.166 95% CI 1.082 to 1.256), ascites ( OR= 4.848, 95% CI 2.829 to 8.307) were the independent predictors of SAP (all P<0.01). The AUC of the model (0.895 , 95% CI 0.865 to 0.926) was higher than those of the APACHE Ⅱ(AUC=0.835, 95% CI 0.791 to 0.878)and BISAP score (AUC=0.803, 95% CI 0.760 to 0.846), and the differences were statistically significant ( Z=2.578 and 4.466, both P<0.05). The results predicted by the model in the calibration chart and the Hosmer-Lemesshow test were highly consistent with the results of actual clinical observation. When the probability of SAP in the model was 10% to 95%, the DCA curve of the model was higher than the two extreme lines, which had certain clinical practical value. After bootstrap internal validation, the model had a high discrimination ability (AUC=0.892), and its predicted AP severity curve was still in good agreement with the actual clinical AP severity curve. Conclusion:The prediction model established based on CRP, urea nitrogen, D-dimer and ascites can predict the severity of AP, and help doctors to make more scientific clinical decision.

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