1.Analysis of birth surveillance results in Baoshan Districtfrom 2013 to 2022
LI Lin ; SHEN Fangli ; MAO Jianying ; YIN Chunli ; ZHU Sanmei ; LIU Shiyou
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(1):13-16
Objective :
To investigate the fertility level of registered population in Baoshan District, Shanghai Municipality and the incidence of adverse birth outcomes of live births from 2013 to 2022, so as to provide the evidence for improving maternal and child health care strategies.
Methods:
The data pertaining to live births registered in Baoshan District from 2013 to 2022 were collected through the Shanghai Birth Medical Information System, including the basic information of live births and maternal fertility. The indicators such as fertility level, parity, birth age and incidence of adverse birth outcomes of live births were descriptively analyzed. The trend of crude birth rate and total fertility rate was analyzed by annual percent change (APC).
Results:
A total of 56 719 live births were registered in Baoshan District from 2013 to 2022. The crude birth rate was 6.54‰, the total fertility rate was 31.78‰, and the sex ratio at birth was 105.61. The crude birth rate showed a downward trend from 2016 to 2022 (APC=-11.054%, P<0.05), and the total fertility rate showed a downward trend from 2017 to 2022 (APC=-10.377%, P<0.05). The proportion of second parity and above showed an increasing trend from 2013 to 2017 (P<0.05) and a decreasing trend from 2017 to 2022 (P<0.05). The maternal childbearing age showed an increasing trend from 2013 to 2022 (P<0.05), the incidence of premature infants and low birth weight infants showed an increasing trend (both P<0.05). The incidence of premature infants and low birth weight infants increased with the rising childbearing age (both P<0.05).
Conclusions
The fertility level in Baoshan District was relatively low from 2013 to 2022. The proportion of second parity and above showed an upward trend followed by a downward trend. The incidence of premature infants and low birth weight infants increased with the rising childbearing age.
2.Analysis of colorectal cancer screening results among residents in Baoshan District
SHEN Fangli ; MAO Jianying ; MENG Yang ; ZHU Liming ; BO Hong ; TANG Dezhen ; LIU Shiyou
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(10):869-872,877
Objective:
To analyze the results of colorectal cancer screening among residents in Baoshan District, Shanghai Municipality from 2013 to 2021, so as to provide the basis for promoting colorectal cancer screening and prevention.
Methods:
Permanent residents aged 50 to 74 years in Baoshan District from 2013 to 2021 were selected as the screening population. The initial screening was conducted using a risk assessment form and fecal occult blood test. Positive results on either the risk assessment form or fecal occult blood test were considered positive for the initial screening. Participants with positive initial screening results were invited to undergo colonoscopy. The positive rate of the initial screening, colonoscopy compliance rate, and colonoscopy results were analyzed.
Results:
A total of 264 907 individuals underwent the initial colorectal cancer screening in Baoshan District from 2013 to 2021, with 65 333 individuals (24.66%) testing positive. Among them, the positive rate of the risk assessment form was 12.16%, and the positive rate of fecal occult blood test was 14.64%. A total of 14 473 individuals completed colonoscopy, with a compliance rate of 22.15%. A total of 1 284 precancerous lesions were detected, with a detection rate of 8.87%, and 386 cases of colorectal cancer were identified, with a detection rate of 2.67%. The positive rate of the initial screening, colonoscopy compliance rate, precancerous lesion detection rate, and colorectal cancer detection rate were higher in males than in females (25.55% vs. 24.06%, 23.12% vs. 21.45%, 11.60% vs. 6.74%, 3.62% vs. 1.93%, all P<0.05). With increasing age, the positive rate of the initial screening increased, the colonoscopy compliance rate decreased, the precancerous lesion detection rate and colorectal cancer detection rate increased (all P<0.05). From 2013 to 2021, the positive rate of the initial screening among residents showed a downward trend, while the colonoscopy compliance rate showed an upward trend (both P<0.05).
Conclusions
The detection rate of precancerous lesions in colorectal cancer was 8.87%, and the detection rate of colorectal cancer was 2.67% in Baoshan District from 2013 to 2021. Male and older individuals were the key populations for screening, and the colonoscopy compliance among residents needs to be improved.
3.Normal serum creatinine levels and diabetic kidney disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: A prospective cohort study
Dan CHENG ; Fangli TANG ; Wenjun WANG ; Huanhuan LIU ; Taojun LI ; Qingqing LOU
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2024;40(5):380-385
Objective:To explore the relationship between normal serum creatinine(Scr) level and diabetic kidney disease(DKD) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM).Methods:This was a prospective cohort study. Patients with yet not DKD who were regularly followed up at six centers of Li′s United Clinic in Taiwan, China from January 1, 2002 to December 31, 2018 were selected. At baseline, clinic information and lab tests were collected. According to whether the patients developed DKD during the follow-up period, they were divided into DKD group and non-DKD(NDKD) group. The exposure factor was the Scr(μmol/L) value, and it was used as a categorical variable. According to the quartiles of Scr, they were divided into 4 groups: Q1 group(Scr<57.68 μmol/L), Q2 group(57.68 μmol/L≤Scr<68.51 μmol/L), Q3 group(68.51 μmol/L≤Scr<80.44 μmol/L) and Q4 group(Scr≥80.44 μmol/L). The Cox regression model was used to explore the relationship between Scr level and the incidence of DKD. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve was used to analyze the predictive effect of normal level Scr on DKD. Results:A total of 2 202 T2DM patients without DKD at baseline were included. After a follow-up period of(5.2±2.17) years, there were 966 patients in the DKD group and 1 236 patients in the NDKD group. Compared with the NDKD group, the DKD group had older age, longer duration of diabetes, higher BMI, SBP, DBP, LDL-C, Scr, and UACR(all P<0.05). Cox regression analysis results showed that compared with the Q1 group as the reference, the risk of developing DKD in the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups after adjusting for confounding factors was 1.394, 1.688, and 2.821 times higher, respectively(all P<0.05). ROC curve analysis results showed that the area under the curve(AUC) for predicting DKD occurrence using normal serum creatinine level was 0.70(95% CI 0.678-0.722), with an optimal cutoff value of 74.27 μmol/L, sensitivity of 0.54, and specificity of 0.76. The cumulative risk plot showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, patients in the Q4 group had a higher cumulative risk of developing DKD compared to the Q1, Q2, and Q3 groups(all P<0.05). Conclusion:Scr is an independent risk factor for developing DKD in patients with T2DM. The higher the Scr level, the greater the risk, especially when Scr is greater than 74.27 μmol/L.
4.Prediction of core behaviors of self-management in diabetes mellitus by empowerment and theory of planned behavior
Fangli TANG ; Wenjun WANG ; Jiaohong LUO ; Danyu ZHANG ; Leilei ZHU ; Zhumin JIA ; Huanhuan LIU ; Qingqing LOU
Chinese Journal of Diabetes 2024;32(10):750-755
Objective To explore the predictive effect of empowerment and theory of planned behavior(TPB)on the four core behaviors of type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM)self-management,and analyze the influence path of TPB model and behavioral intention on the four core behaviors.Methods A total of 500 T2DM patients who were hospitalized in the Endocrinology Department of three tertiary general hospitals in different provinces from December 2022 to May 2023 were selected for investigation.Hierarchical multiple regression analysis was used to explore the predictive effects of empowerment and TPB models on self-management behaviors.Bootstrap method was used to analyze the influence path of TPB model and behavior intention on self-management behaviors.Results Empowerment had a predictive effect on self-management behavior,which was improved after the addition of TPB,with medication R2=0.194,blood glucose monitoring R2=0.308,regular diet R2=0.337 and regular exercise R2=0.343,respectively.Mediation effect analyses revealed that attitude,subjective norm,and perceived behavioral control were observed to predict behavior intention across the four behaviors,and the three except through the behavior intention indirectly affect behavior,can also directly affect the behavior.Conclusions Empowerment can predict self-management behavior,and adding TPB to this can improve the prediction effect.Attitude,subjective norms and perceived control can indirectly or directly affect self-management behavior through behavioral intention.
5.Construction of Risk Prediction Model of Type 2 Diabetic Kidney Disease Based on Deep Learning
Chuan YUN ; Fangli TANG ; Zhenxiu GAO ; Wenjun WANG ; Fang BAI ; Joshua D. MILLER ; Huanhuan LIU ; Yaujiunn LEE ; Qingqing LOU
Diabetes & Metabolism Journal 2024;48(4):771-779
Background:
This study aimed to develop a diabetic kidney disease (DKD) prediction model using long short term memory (LSTM) neural network and evaluate its performance using accuracy, precision, recall, and area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Methods:
The study identified DKD risk factors through literature review and physician focus group, and collected 7 years of data from 6,040 type 2 diabetes mellitus patients based on the risk factors. Pytorch was used to build the LSTM neural network, with 70% of the data used for training and the other 30% for testing. Three models were established to examine the impact of glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and pulse pressure (PP) variabilities on the model’s performance.
Results:
The developed model achieved an accuracy of 83% and an AUC of 0.83. When the risk factor of HbA1c variability, SBP variability, or PP variability was removed one by one, the accuracy of each model was significantly lower than that of the optimal model, with an accuracy of 78% (P<0.001), 79% (P<0.001), and 81% (P<0.001), respectively. The AUC of ROC was also significantly lower for each model, with values of 0.72 (P<0.001), 0.75 (P<0.001), and 0.77 (P<0.05).
Conclusion
The developed DKD risk predictive model using LSTM neural networks demonstrated high accuracy and AUC value. When HbA1c, SBP, and PP variabilities were added to the model as featured characteristics, the model’s performance was greatly improved.
6.Mortality and years of life lost of pancreatic cancer in Baoshan District of Shanghai from 2009 to 2021
Fangli SHEN ; Ye LI ; Jinchen WANG ; Jianying MAO ; Cui WU ; Shiyou LIU
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;35(9):889-892
ObjectiveTo investigate the mortality and years of life lost of pancreatic cancer in Baoshan District of Shanghai,from 2009 to 2021, and to provide scientific evidence for the prevention and control of pancreatic cancer in the future. MethodsThe death surveillance data of Baoshan District from 2009 to 2021 were collected from the Shanghai chronic disease surveillance information management system. Crude mortality, standardized mortality,potential years of life lost (PYLL), potential years of life lost rate (PYLLR) , average years of potential life lost (AYLL) , annual percentage change (APC) were calculated to analyze the trend of mortality and life loss of pancreatic cancer. ResultsFrom 2009 to 2021, a total of 2117 deaths of pancreatic cancer were reported in Baoshan District, accounting for 7.05% of all cancer deaths. The average age of the death cases was (71.18±10.97)years. The youngest was 3 years old and the oldest was 96 years old. The death component ratio of pancreatic cancer increased with time (P<0.05), and the average death age of women was higher than that of men (P<0.05). The crude mortality of pancreatic cancer was 17.38/105 in Baoshan District from 2009 to 2021, showing a rising tendency (P<0.05) with APC of 3.74%. The standardized mortality of pancreatic cancer was 7.84/105. The crude mortality of pancreatic cancer was 19.71/105 in men and 14.89/105 in women, both showed a tendency towards a rise (P<0.05 ) with APC of 4.44% and 2. 89%, respectively. The crude mortality of pancreatic cancer showed a tendency towards a decline in residents at ages of 45 to 60 years ( P<0.05 ), with APC of 4.74%. The PYLL and PYLLR of pancreatic cancer were 8 115 person-years and 0.67‰ in Baoshan District from 2009 to 2021, while the AYLL of pancreatic cancer was 3.83 years per person. The PYLL was higher in men than in women. ConclusionThe mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Baoshan District shows an increasing trend. The healthy life of elderly and men is affected largely by pancreatic cancer. It is necessary to strengthen the health education on the prevention/control of pancreatic cancer and healthy life style, thereby improving the tertiary prevention system of pancreatic cancer.
7.Correlation between serum GDNF level and neuroimaging changes and cognitive impairment in patients with cerebral small vessel disease
Fangli YANG ; Hao LIU ; Fan WANG ; Qing LI ; Xiyan CHEN ; Ruiyan CAI ; Qingwu WU ; Jian ZHANG ; Sibei JI ; Chengbiao LU ; Shaomin LI ; Jianhua ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2023;32(9):809-815
Objective:To investigate the relationship between serum glial cell line-derived neurotrophic factor (GDNF) levels and neuroimaging changes and cognitive impairment in patients with cerebral small vascular disease (CSVD).Methods:135 patients with CSVD recruited from the Department of Neurology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University from September 2021 to July 2022 were assessed by cranial multimodal magnetic resonance imaging and Montreal cognitive function assessment (MoCA), and the basic data were analyzed at the same time.The serum GDNF concentration of all patients was detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). According to the median GDNF concentration, the patients were divided into low GDNF group and high GDNF group. The baseline data, MoCA score and imaging markers of the two groups were compared by Mann-Whitney U test, chi-square test, logistic regression, Kruskal-Wallis H test and Jonckheere-Terpstra trend test, and the correlation between serum GDNF level and imaging markers and cognitive function of patients with CSVD was analyzed. Results:The median serum GDNF concentration of all CSVD patients was 16.66 pg/mL. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that low serum GDNF level was a risk factor for white matter hyperintensity and total image load in patients with CSVD. Serum GDNF level was a protective factor of cognitive impairment in patients with CSVD in multiple logistic regression analysis. The area under the curve of ROC curve analysis of cognitive impairment after CSVD predicted by serum GDNF level was 0.735, the sensitivity was 66.4%, and the specificity was 71.4%. The level of serum GDNF was positively related with visual space and executive function, attention and computational power, delayed recall and orientation( r=0.267, 0.187, 0.219, 0.215, all P<0.05). Conclusion:The serum GDNF level is related to white matter hyperintensities, total imaging load and cognitive impairment in patients with CSVD. Serum GDNF level may play a predictive role in CSVD and cognitive impairment.
8.Correlation between serum VEGF level and white matter hyperintensity and cognitive dysfunction in patients with cerebral small vessel disease
Jin WANG ; Jianhua ZHAO ; Hao LIU ; Junli LIU ; Fangli YANG ; Qiong LI ; Minghua WANG ; Panpan ZHAO ; Fan WANG ; Qing LI ; Zhixiu XU ; Junyan YUE ; Jian ZHANG ; Sibei JI ; Ruiyan CAI ; Shaomin LI
Chinese Journal of Behavioral Medicine and Brain Science 2022;31(4):333-340
Objective:To investigate the relationship between serum vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) levels and white matter high signal and non-dementia vascular cognitive dysfunction in patients with cerebral small vascular disease (CSVD).Methods:Total 106 patients with CSVD who were admitted to the Department of Neurology of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical College from April 2019 to December 2020 were enrolled.They were divided into vascular cognitive impairment no dementia group (VCIND group, n=47) and no vascular cognitive impairment group (N-VCI group, n=59)according to mini-mental assessment scale (MMSE), Montreal cognitive assessment (MoCA) scale and activity of daily living scale (ADL). Serum VEGF levels were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). The baseline data, serum VEGF levels, MoCA score and Fazekas score were compared between the two groups.The correlation between serum VEGF level and white matter high signal and cognitive function was analyzed.SPSS 19.0 software was used for data processing.The statistical methods were t-test, Chi square test, nonparametric test, Logistic regression analysis, Pearson correlation analysis and Spearman correlation analysis. Results:There were significant differences in serum VEGF level((464.18±114.58)pg/mL, (414.17±45.80)pg/mL, F=22.880), MoCA score((13.07±6.48), (20.17±4.06), F=17.920) and Fazekas score (4(3, 5), 3(1, 3), Z=-4.189)between the two groups (all P<0.05). The level of VEGF( β=0.008, OR=1.008, 95% CI=1.001-1.015, P<0.05) was the influencing factor of cognitive function in patients with CSVD .The level of VEGF was negatively correlated with the total score of MoCA, attention and calculation power, and orientation ability ( r=-0.345, -0.373, -0.445, all P<0.05) and it was positively correlated with the total Fazekas score and the Fazekas score of paraventricular and deep white matter ( r=0.392, 0.495, 0.302, all P<0.05). There was a linear trend between the high signal grade of paraventricular and deep white matter and VCIND (both P<0.05). Conclusion:Serum VEGF level is correlated with cognitive function and white matter hyperintensity in patients with CSVD.The increase of VEGF level may be a factor reflecting cognitive dysfunction.In addition, with the increase of white matter hyperintensity level, the risk of VCIND in CSVD is increased.
9.Left Ventricular Remodeling in Patients with Primary Aldosteronism: A Prospective Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging Study
Tao WU ; Yan REN ; Wei WANG ; Wei CHENG ; Fangli ZHOU ; Shuai HE ; Xiumin LIU ; Lei LI ; Lu TANG ; Qiao DENG ; Xiaoyue ZHOU ; Yucheng CHEN ; Jiayu SUN
Korean Journal of Radiology 2021;22(10):1619-1627
Objective:
This study used cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to compare the characteristics of left ventricular remodeling in patients with primary aldosteronism (PA) with those of patients with essential hypertension (EH) and healthy controls (HCs).
Materials and Methods:
This prospective study enrolled 35 patients with PA, in addition to 35 age- and sex-matched patients with EH, and 35 age- and sex-matched HCs, all of whom underwent comprehensive clinical and cardiac MRI examinations. The analysis of variance was used to detect the differences in the characteristics of left ventricular remodeling among the three groups. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to determine the relationships between left ventricular remodeling and the physiological variables.
Results:
The left ventricular end-diastolic volume index (EDVi) (mean ± standard deviation [SD]: 85.1 ± 13.0 mL/m2 for PA, 75.9 ± 14.3 mL/m2 for EH, and 77.3 ± 12.8 mL/m2 for HC; p = 0.010), left ventricular end-systolic volume index (ESVi) (mean ± SD: 35.2 ± 9.8 mL/m2 for PA, 30.7 ± 8.1 mL/m2 for EH, and 29.5 ± 7.0 mL/m2 for HC; p = 0.013), left ventricular mass index (mean ± SD: 65.8 ± 16.5 g/m2 for PA, 56.9 ± 12.1 g/m2 for EH, and 44.1 ± 8.9 g/m2 for HC; p < 0.001), and native T1 (mean ± SD: 1224 ± 39 ms for PA, 1201 ± 47 ms for EH, and 1200 ± 44 ms for HC; p = 0.041) values were higher in the PA group compared to the EH and HC groups. Multivariable linear regression demonstrated that log (plasma aldosteroneto-renin ratio) was independently correlated with EDVi and ESVi. Plasma aldosterone was independently correlated with native T1.
Conclusion
Patients with PA showed a greater degree of ventricular hypertrophy and enlargement, as well as myocardial fibrosis, compared to those with EH. Cardiac MRI T1 mapping can detect left ventricular myocardial fibrosis in patients with PA.
10.Left Ventricular Remodeling in Patients with Primary Aldosteronism: A Prospective Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Imaging Study
Tao WU ; Yan REN ; Wei WANG ; Wei CHENG ; Fangli ZHOU ; Shuai HE ; Xiumin LIU ; Lei LI ; Lu TANG ; Qiao DENG ; Xiaoyue ZHOU ; Yucheng CHEN ; Jiayu SUN
Korean Journal of Radiology 2021;22(10):1619-1627
Objective:
This study used cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to compare the characteristics of left ventricular remodeling in patients with primary aldosteronism (PA) with those of patients with essential hypertension (EH) and healthy controls (HCs).
Materials and Methods:
This prospective study enrolled 35 patients with PA, in addition to 35 age- and sex-matched patients with EH, and 35 age- and sex-matched HCs, all of whom underwent comprehensive clinical and cardiac MRI examinations. The analysis of variance was used to detect the differences in the characteristics of left ventricular remodeling among the three groups. Univariable and multivariable linear regression analyses were used to determine the relationships between left ventricular remodeling and the physiological variables.
Results:
The left ventricular end-diastolic volume index (EDVi) (mean ± standard deviation [SD]: 85.1 ± 13.0 mL/m2 for PA, 75.9 ± 14.3 mL/m2 for EH, and 77.3 ± 12.8 mL/m2 for HC; p = 0.010), left ventricular end-systolic volume index (ESVi) (mean ± SD: 35.2 ± 9.8 mL/m2 for PA, 30.7 ± 8.1 mL/m2 for EH, and 29.5 ± 7.0 mL/m2 for HC; p = 0.013), left ventricular mass index (mean ± SD: 65.8 ± 16.5 g/m2 for PA, 56.9 ± 12.1 g/m2 for EH, and 44.1 ± 8.9 g/m2 for HC; p < 0.001), and native T1 (mean ± SD: 1224 ± 39 ms for PA, 1201 ± 47 ms for EH, and 1200 ± 44 ms for HC; p = 0.041) values were higher in the PA group compared to the EH and HC groups. Multivariable linear regression demonstrated that log (plasma aldosteroneto-renin ratio) was independently correlated with EDVi and ESVi. Plasma aldosterone was independently correlated with native T1.
Conclusion
Patients with PA showed a greater degree of ventricular hypertrophy and enlargement, as well as myocardial fibrosis, compared to those with EH. Cardiac MRI T1 mapping can detect left ventricular myocardial fibrosis in patients with PA.


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