Risk factors for lung metastasis of differentiated thyroid cancer
10.3760/cma.j.cn321828-20230911-00045
- VernacularTitle:分化型甲状腺癌肺转移危险因素研究
- Author:
Bowen CHEN
1
;
Wenhui MA
;
Zhiping YANG
;
Feng YU
;
Jing WANG
Author Information
1. 空军军医大学第一附属医院核医学科，西安 710032
- Keywords:
Thyroid neoplasms;
Neoplasm metastasis;
Lung;
Risk factors;
Forecasting
- From:
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging
2024;44(8):473-477
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the risk factors for lung metastasis from differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), predict the occurrence of lung metastasis, and diagnose lung metastasis early.Methods:From April 2013 to May 2023, 442 DTC patients (145 males, 297 females; age (41.6±13.1) years) who received 131I treatment in the First Affiliated Hospital of the Air Force Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. All patients were divided into lung metastasis group ( n=124) and non-lung metastasis group ( n=318) according to pathology or clinical, imaging and laboratory test results. Patients were randomly divided into training set ( n=309) and validation set ( n=133) at the ratio of 7∶3. The differences of clinical data between the two groups were compared by χ2 test and Mann-Whitney U test. Factors affecting lung metastasis were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression analysis. ROC curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the model. Results:The differences of sex, primary tumor type, multifocal, extra thyroid tissue invasion, number of operations, thyroglobulin (Tg) level before 131I treatment, maximum diameter of primary lesion, lymphocyte absolute value, neutrophil absolute value and B-Raf proto-oncogene, serine/threonine kinase (BRAF) V600E mutation between the two groups were statistically significant ( χ2 values: 7.72-107.77, z values: from -6.50 to -2.44, all P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that multifocal (odds ratio ( OR)=5.646, 95% CI: 1.763-18.089, P=0.004), BRAF V600E mutation ( OR=0.184, 95% CI: 0.062-0.543, P=0.002), Tg level before 131I treatment ( OR=1.015, 95% CI: 1.004-1.025, P=0.005), lymphocyte absolute value ( OR=0.395, 95% CI: 0.166-0.940, P=0.036) and maximum diameter of primary lesion ( OR=1.932, 95% CI: 1.207-3.093, P=0.006) were independent factors affecting lung metastasis. The AUCs of the training set and validation set obtained by the nomogram prognostic model were 0.899 and 0.889, respectively. Conclusion:Large primary tumor, multiple focus, non-mutated BRAF V600E gene, high Tg level before 131I treatment and low lymphocyte absolute value may be considered as risk factors for lung metastasis of DTC.
