Influencing factors for surgical site infection after gastrointestinal perfora-tion repair surgery:analysis based on decision tree and logistic regression model
10.12138/j.issn.1671-9638.20245130
- VernacularTitle:应用决策树和logistic回归模型分析胃肠道穿孔修补术后手术部位感染的影响因素
- Author:
Deng-Min HU
1
;
Run XU
;
Jian LI
;
Yu AI
Author Information
1. 绵阳市第三人民医院(四川省精神卫生中心)普通外科,四川绵阳 621000
- Keywords:
gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery;
surgical site infection;
risk factor;
logistic regression;
decision tree
- From:
Chinese Journal of Infection Control
2024;23(7):826-832
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To analyze the influencing factors for surgical site infection(SSI)after gastrointestinal per-foration repair surgery by decision tree and logistic regression model.Methods Patients who underwent gastroin-testinal perforation repair surgery at a hospital of Mianyang City from January 2018 to January 2023 were selected as the research subjects.Clinical data of the patients were collected.Patients were divided into the SSI(+)group(n-41)and the SSI(-)group(n-322)based on whether SSI occurred after surgery.Influencing factors for SSI after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression.Re-levant decision tree prediction model was constructed.Results Among the 363 patients who underwent gastrointes-tinal perforation repair surgery,41 developed postoperative SSI,with an incidence of 11.29％.Univariate analysis results showed that there were statistically significant differences between two groups of patients in body mass index(BMI),albumin level,preoperative antimicrobial use,duration of preoperative abdominal pain,and duration of sur-gery(all P＜0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that higher BMI(OR=2.059,95％CI:1.103-3.842),albumin levels＜35 g/L(OR=2.761,95％CI:1.312-5.811),duration of preoperative abdominal pain≥24 hours(OR=3.589,95％CI:1.659-7.763),and duration of surgery ≥2 hours(OR=3.314,95％CI:1.477-7.435)were independent risk factors for postoperative SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation re-pair surgery(P＜0.05),while preoperative antimicrobial use was a protective factor(OR=0.338,95％CI:0.166-0.690,P＜0.05).The decision tree model based on the above factors was constructed to predict the risk of SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery.Validation of the model showed that the area under the re-ceiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC)was 0.811(95％CI:0.794-0.825).Conclusion The risk factors for postoperative SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery include high BMI,albumin level＜35 g/L,duration of preoperative abdominal pain ≥24 hours,and duration of surgery ≥2 hours.The pro-tective factor is antimicrobial use before surgery.The decision tree model constructed based on the influencing factors has good predictive ability for the risk of postoperative SSI in patients after gastrointestinal perforation repair surgery.
