Risk factors and construction of prediction model of perineural invasion of gallbladder carcinoma based on enhanced CT-image features
- VernacularTitle:基于增强CT的胆囊癌神经浸润危险因素分析及预测模型构建
- Author:
Wenli HUO
1
;
Xuechun KOU
;
Qi LI
;
Zhe LIU
;
Ting LIANG
Author Information
- Keywords: gallbladder carcinoma(GBC); perineural invasion(PNI); enhanced computed tomography; prediction model
- From: Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 2024;45(3):455-460
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
- Abstract: Objective To construct the prediction model of perineural invasion(PNI)in gallbladder carcinoma(GBC)based on preoperative enhanced CT image features and evaluate its prediction efficiency.Methods The clinical,imaging and pathological data of 180 GBC patients undergoing radical operation were retrospectively analyzed.They were divided into positive and negative groups according to the presence or absence of PNI.Preoperative enhanced CT imaging features(including presence of gallstones,imaging hepatic invasion,vascular invasion,T-stage,and hilar or retroperitoneal lymph node metastases)were evaluated by two radiologists.Independent sample t-test,Mann Whitney U test,and X2 test were used to compare the correlation between CT signs and PNI.Logistics regression analysis was used to screen independent risk factors and establish the prediction model formula.ROC curve was used to evaluate the prediction efficiency of the prediction model and the corresponding area under the curve(AUC)was calculated.Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test was used to verify the prediction model.Results Unifactorial analysis showed that CA199,CA125,imaging hepatic invasion,vascular invasion(hepatic artery or portal vein),T-stage,and hilar or retroperitoneal lymph node metastasis were correlated with nerve invasion(P＜0.05).Logistics multi-factor analysis results showed that CA199,imaging vascular invasion(hepatic artery or portal vein),and imaging T stage were independent risk factors for PNI.Based on the above independent risk factors,a prediction model formula was established and ROC curve was drawn,with an AUC of 0.807(95％CI:0.734～0.879),sensitivity of 0.792,specificity of 0.697,and the chi-square value of Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test of 0.594(P=0.997),indicating that the predicted value of the model was close to the actual value.Conclusion Combining CA199,imaging vascular invasion,T-stage,and other preoperative clinically-enhanced CT features to establish a prediction model can effectively predict postoperative PNI of GBC.
