BACKGROUND

Down syndrome or trisomy 21, the most common chromosomal disorder, results from the presence of a third copy of chromosome 21 and manifests as mild to moderate intellectual disability, growth retardation, congenital heart defects, gastrointestinal abnormalities, and characteristic facial features. Several methods have been used to screen for Down syndrome in the prenatal period, such as ultrasound, biomarkers, cell-free DNA testing, and combinations of these tests. A positive result from one or more of these screening tests signals the need for confirmatory karyotyping to clinch the diagnosis. Ultrasound between 11 to 14 weeks of gestation can evaluate nuchal translucency (NT) to screen for Down syndrome. During the second trimester, a triple or quadruple test can also be performed alone or in addition to NT to quantify Down syndrome risk. In limited resource settings however, only the measurement of NT via ultrasound can be performed since biomarker tests are either unavailable or inaccessible. While the diagnostic performance of NT measurement alone has been investigated in several observational studies, there is no consensus on its performance as a sole test to screen for Down syndrome.

To determine the diagnostic performance of NT during prenatal first-trimester ultrasound as a screening test for Down syndrome.

We performed a systematic search on the PubMed, ProQuest, and Cochrane Library databases for recent systematic reviews and meta-analyses that addressed the objective. The existing reviews found were then independently appraised by the two reviewers with the AMSTAR-2 checklist. To update the existing reviews, a systematic search was done in the same databases to identify additional primary diagnostic studies, which were appraised using the QUADAS-2 tool. Random-effects univariate meta-analysis and summary receiving operator curve (HSROC) analysis for the outcomes were performed using Review Manager version 5.4 and R version 4.2.2, respectively. Subgroup analysis was performed by stratifying the baseline risk of mothers for fetal anomaly as low- or high-risk. Highrisk mothers were defined as women with risk factors such as advanced age, positive serum screen, presence of other ultrasound anomalies, and history of previous fetus with anomaly.

We found 22 cohort studies (n=225,846) of women at low-risk for fetal anomaly. The pooled sensitivity was 67.8% (95% CI: 61.4%-73.6%, I2=70.4%) and specificity was 96.3% (95% CI: 95.5%-96.9%, I2=96.7%). For low-risk women, the overall certainty of evidence was low, due to different modes of verification and heterogeneity not completely explained by variability in baseline risk or cut-points. Seven studies (n=9,197) were on high-risk women. The pooled sensitivity was 62.2% (95% CI: 54.1%-69.7%, I2=38.8%) and specificity was 96.5% (95% CI: 93.6%-98.1%, I2=95.5%). For women at high-risk, the evidence was rated as moderate due to differential verification.

Our analysis showed that NT measured through first-trimester ultrasound is specific for Down syndrome but has low sensitivity. Despite this, it is a useful screening test for Down syndrome in low-resource settings where other strategies may not be available or accessible. Furthermore, interpretation of NT results must take into consideration its limited sensitivity as this may lead to missed cases.

BACKGROUND

Down syndrome or trisomy 21, the most common chromosomal disorder, results from the presence of a third copy of chromosome 21 and manifests as mild to moderate intellectual disability, growth retardation, congenital heart defects, gastrointestinal abnormalities, and characteristic facial features. Several methods have been used to screen for Down syndrome in the prenatal period, such as ultrasound, biomarkers, cell-free DNA testing, and combinations of these tests. A positive result from one or more of these screening tests signals the need for confirmatory karyotyping to clinch the diagnosis. Ultrasound between 11 to 14 weeks of gestation can evaluate nuchal translucency (NT) to screen for Down syndrome. During the second trimester, a triple or quadruple test can also be performed alone or in addition to NT to quantify Down syndrome risk. In limited resource settings however, only the measurement of NT via ultrasound can be performed since biomarker tests are either unavailable or inaccessible. While the diagnostic performance of NT measurement alone has been investigated in several observational studies, there is no consensus on its performance as a sole test to screen for Down syndrome.

To determine the diagnostic performance of NT during prenatal first-trimester ultrasound as a screening test for Down syndrome.

We performed a systematic search on the PubMed, ProQuest, and Cochrane Library databases for recent systematic reviews and meta-analyses that addressed the objective. The existing reviews found were then independently appraised by the two reviewers with the AMSTAR-2 checklist. To update the existing reviews, a systematic search was done in the same databases to identify additional primary diagnostic studies, which were appraised using the QUADAS-2 tool. Random-effects univariate meta-analysis and summary receiving operator curve (HSROC) analysis for the outcomes were performed using Review Manager version 5.4 and R version 4.2.2, respectively. Subgroup analysis was performed by stratifying the baseline risk of mothers for fetal anomaly as low- or high-risk. Highrisk mothers were defined as women with risk factors such as advanced age, positive serum screen, presence of other ultrasound anomalies, and history of previous fetus with anomaly.

We found 22 cohort studies (n=225,846) of women at low-risk for fetal anomaly. The pooled sensitivity was 67.8% (95% CI: 61.4%-73.6%, I2=70.4%) and specificity was 96.3% (95% CI: 95.5%-96.9%, I2=96.7%). For low-risk women, the overall certainty of evidence was low, due to different modes of verification and heterogeneity not completely explained by variability in baseline risk or cut-points. Seven studies (n=9,197) were on high-risk women. The pooled sensitivity was 62.2% (95% CI: 54.1%-69.7%, I2=38.8%) and specificity was 96.5% (95% CI: 93.6%-98.1%, I2=95.5%). For women at high-risk, the evidence was rated as moderate due to differential verification.

Our analysis showed that NT measured through first-trimester ultrasound is specific for Down syndrome but has low sensitivity. Despite this, it is a useful screening test for Down syndrome in low-resource settings where other strategies may not be available or accessible. Furthermore, interpretation of NT results must take into consideration its limited sensitivity as this may lead to missed cases.

Objective: To evaluate the diagnostic value of serum human-βeta-defensin-1 level (HBD-1) for short-term (28-day) prognosis in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Methods: Fifty cases diagnosed with ACLF were selected. 20 cases with decompensated cirrhosis and 20 cases with compensated cirrhosis who were admitted at the same time were included. Age, gender, serum HBD-1 level, C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil count/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), blood routine, coagulation function, liver function, kidney function, and other indicators from the three groups of patients were collected. Patients with ACLF were screened for indicators related to the short-term (28-day) prognosis. Patients were divided into an improvement group and a worsening group according to the 28-day disease outcome. The serum HBD-1 level and other above-mentioned indicators were compared between the two patient groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyze the diagnostic efficacy of serum HBD-1 levels for short-term prognosis in patients with ACLF. PCT, NLR, and prothrombin activity (PTA) application as a mono indicator and HBD-1 in combination with NLR, PCT, and PTA were compared to evaluate diagnostic efficacy for short-term prognosis in patients with ACLF. The intergroup mean of measurement data was determined using a t-test or analysis of variance. χ (2) test was used for comparison of count data. Spearman's rank correlation analysis was used for correlation analysis. Results: There was no statistically significant difference in age and gender among the three groups: ACLF, decompensated cirrhosis, and compensated cirrhosis (P > 0.05). The expression levels of serum HBD-1 in the ACLF group, decompensated cirrhosis group, and compensated cirrhosis group were (319.1 ± 44.4) ng/ml, (264.5 ± 46.5) ng/ml and (240.1 ± 35.4) ng/ml, respectively, while the ACLF group expression levels were significantly increased, with statistical significance (P < 0.01).The serum HBD-1 level was significantly higher in the ACLF worsening group (346.2 ± 43.6) ng/ml than that in the improvement group (308.5 ± 40.6) ng/ml, and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05). Correlation analysis showed that HBD-1, NLR, PCT, prothrombin time (PT), and international standardized ratio (INR) were negatively correlated with the 28-day disease outcome (improvement) of patients (P < 0.05). PTA was positively correlated with 28-day disease outcome (improvement) (P < 0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for evaluating HBD-1's diagnostic efficacy for short-term prognosis in patients with ACLF was 0.774, with a sensitivity of 0.750, a specificity of 0.786, and a cut-off point of 337.96 ng/ml. PCT, NLR, and PTA had greater diagnostic efficacy. HBD-1 combined with PTA had the highest diagnostic efficacy, with an AUC of 0.802, a sensitivity of 0.778, and a specificity of 0.786. The diagnostic efficacy of HBD-1+PCT, HBD-1+NLR and HBD-1, PCT, and NCR was superior to PTA mono. Conclusion: The serum HBD-1 level gradually increases with the aggravation of liver function injury and is negatively correlated with the short-term prognosis in patients with ACLF. Serum HBD-1 level has high sensitivity and specificity in predicting short-term prognosis in patients with ACLF, and its diagnostic efficacy is superior to that of PCT, NLR, and PTA. The combined application of HBD-1 and PTA has higher diagnostic efficacy; however, when the serum HBD-1 level is greater than 337.96ng/ml, it indicates poor prognosis in patients.
Humans ; Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure/diagnosis* ; Prognosis ; Liver Cirrhosis ; C-Reactive Protein/analysis* ; ROC Curve ; Defensins ; Retrospective Studies

Objective: To study using isotope-labeled relative and absolute quantitative proteomics methodologies to screen for salivary biological markers as a simple, non-invasive tool for identifying hepatitis B-related HCC at an early stage. Methods: Saliva samples were collected to extract salivary proteins. Isotope-labeled relative and absolute quantitative proteomics were used to analyze the differentially expressed proteins between the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and non-HCC groups. Western blotting, immunohistochemistry, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays were used to verify differential proteins and identify markers in liver cancer tissues and saliva. Statistical analysis was used to analyze the diagnostic efficiency of salivary biomarkers. Results: 152 differentially expressed salivary proteins were screened out between the HCC and non-HCC groups. Western blot, immunohistochemistry, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays validated that the expressions of α-1-acid glycoprotein 1 (ORM1) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were significantly increased in HCC (P < 0.05). There was a significant correlation between salivary AFP and serum AFP (P < 0.05). HCC was diagnosed when salivary α-1-acid glycoprotein 1 combined with AFP. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.8726 (95% confidence interval: 0.8104 ~ 0.9347), the sensitivity was 78.3%, and the specificity was 88%. Conclusion: Salivary AFP and α-1-acid glycoprotein 1 can serve as potential biomarkers for hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma.
Humans ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/metabolism* ; Liver Neoplasms/pathology* ; alpha-Fetoproteins/metabolism* ; Biomarkers ; Hepatitis B ; ROC Curve ; Glycoproteins ; Biomarkers, Tumor

Objective: To investigate the clinical value of plasma scaffold protein SEC16A level and related models in the diagnosis of hepatitis B virus-related liver cirrhosis (HBV-LC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HBV-HCC). Methods: Patients with HBV-LC and HBV-HCC and a healthy control group diagnosed by clinical, laboratory examination, imaging, and liver histopathology at the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University between June 2017 and October 2021 were selected. Plasma SEC16A level was detected using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was detected using an electrochemiluminescence instrument. SPSS 26.0 and MedCalc 15.0 statistical software were used to analyze the relationship between plasma SEC16A levels and the occurrence and development of liver cirrhosis and liver cancer. A sequential logistic regression model was used to analyze relevant factors. SEC16A was established through a joint diagnostic model. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the clinical efficacy of the model for liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma diagnosis. Pearson correlation analysis was used to identify the influencing factors of novel diagnostic biomarkers. Results: A total of 60 cases of healthy controls, 60 cases of HBV-LC, and 52 cases of HBV-HCC were included. The average levels of plasma SEC16A were (7.41 ± 1.66) ng/ml, (10.26 ± 1.86) ng/ml, (12.79 ± 1.49) ng /ml, respectively, with P < 0.001. The sensitivity and specificity of SEC16A in the diagnosis of liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma were 69.44% and 71.05%, and 89.36% and 88.89%, respectively. SEC16A, age, and AFP were independent risk factors for the occurrence of HBV-LC and HCC. SAA diagnostic cut-off values, sensitivity, and specificity were 26.21 and 31.46, 77.78% and 81.58%, and 87.23% and 97.22%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for HBV-HCC early diagnosis were 80.95% and 97.22%, respectively. Pearson correlation analysis showed that AFP level was positively correlated with alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bilirubin (TBil), and γ-glutamyltransferase (GGT) with P < 0.01, while the serum SEC16A level was only slightly positively correlated with ALT and AST in the liver cirrhosis group (r = 0.268 and 0.260, respectively, P < 0.05). Conclusion: Plasma SEC16A can be used as a diagnostic marker for hepatitis B-related liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. SEC16A, combined with age and the AFP diagnostic model with SAA, can significantly improve the rate of HBV-LC and HBV-HCC early diagnosis. Additionally, its application is helpful for the diagnosis and differential diagnosis of the progression of HBV-related diseases.
Humans ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/pathology* ; Liver Neoplasms/pathology* ; alpha-Fetoproteins/metabolism* ; Endoplasmic Reticulum/metabolism* ; Golgi Apparatus/metabolism* ; Vesicular Transport Proteins ; Liver Cirrhosis/complications* ; Hepatitis B/complications* ; ROC Curve ; Hepatitis B virus/metabolism* ; Biomarkers, Tumor

Objective: To explore carnosine dipeptidase 1 (CNDP1) potential value as a diagnostic and prognostic evaluator of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: A gene chip and GO analysis were used to screen the candidate marker molecule CNDP1 for HCC diagnosis. 125 cases of HCC cancer tissues, 85 cases of paracancerous tissues, 125 cases of liver cirrhosis tissues, 32 cases of relatively normal liver tissue at the extreme end of hepatic hemangioma, 66 cases from serum samples of HCC, and 82 cases of non-HCC were collected. Real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR, immunohistochemistry, western blot, and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay were used to detect the differences in mRNA and protein expression levels of CNDP1 in HCC tissue and serum. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Kaplan-Meier survival were used to analyze and evaluate the value of CNDP1 in the diagnosis and prognosis of HCC patients. Results: The expression level of CNDP1 was significantly reduced in HCC cancer tissues. The levels of CNDP1 were significantly lower in the cancer tissues and serum of HCC patients than those in liver cirrhosis patients and normal controls. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of serum CNDP1 in the diagnosis of HCC patients was 0.753 2 (95% CI 0.676-0.830 5), and the sensitivity and specificity were 78.79% and 62.5%, respectively. The combined detection of serum CNDP1 and serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) significantly improved the diagnostic accuracy (AUC = 0.820 6, 95% CI 0.753 5-0.887 8). The diagnostic sensitivity and specificity of serum CNDP1 for AFP-negative HCC patients were 73.68% and 68.75% (AUC = 0.793 1, 95% CI 0.708 8-0.877 4), respectively. In addition, the level of serum CNDP1 distinguished small liver cancer (tumor diameter < 3 cm) (AUC = 0.757 1, 95% CI 0.637 4-0.876 8). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that CNDP1 was associated with a poor prognosis in HCC patients. Conclusion: CNDP1 may be a potential biomarker for the diagnostic and prognostic evaluation of HCC, and it has certain complementarity with serum AFP.
Humans ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/genetics* ; Liver Neoplasms/pathology* ; Prognosis ; Carnosine ; alpha-Fetoproteins/metabolism* ; Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics* ; Liver Cirrhosis/diagnosis* ; ROC Curve

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognostic value of hemoglobin-to-red cell distribution width ratio (HRR) in patients with cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted. Patients aged ≥ 18 years with OHCA who were transferred to intensive care unit (ICU) after successful CPR from the emergency room of the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from August 2016 to February 2022 were enrolled. General clinical data, initial vital signs, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), Glasgow coma scale (GCS), first laboratory indicators after admission to ICU [including white blood cell count (WBC), red blood cell count (RBC), hemoglobin (Hb), pH value, lactic acid (Lac), 6-hour lactic acid clearance (LCR), red cell distribution width (RDW), HRR], length of ICU stay were collected. According to whether the patients died in hospital, the patients were divided into survival group and death group. Binary Logistic regression was used to analyze the independent factors influencing the prognosis of patients after CPR. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of independent influencing factors for the prognosis of patients after CPR. RESULTS: A total of 122 patients were enrolled after OHCA CPR, of which 88 died in hospital, the in-hospital mortality was 72.13%. There were no significant differences in age, past medical history, initial vital signs and WBC in ICU between the two groups. Compared with the death group, the survival group had higher GCS score, RBC, Hb, pH value, 6-hour LCR, HRR, lower APACHE II score, Lac, RDW level, and longer length of ICU stay. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that APACHE II score, GCS score, 6-hour LCR, HRR, length of ICU stay were independent factors influencing the prognosis of patients after CPR [APACHE II score: odds ratio (OR) = 0.784, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.683-0.901, P = 0.001; GCS score: OR = 1.390, 95%CI was 1.059-1.823, P = 0.018; 6-hour LCR: OR = 1.039, 95%CI was 1.015-1.064, P = 0.001; HRR: OR = 2.047, 95%CI was 1.383-3.029, P < 0.001; length of ICU stay: OR = 1.128, 95%CI was 1.046-1.216, P = 0.002]. ROC curve analysis showed that HRR, 6-hour LCR and APACHE II score could predict the prognosis of patients after CPR. The sensitivity was 85.3% and the specificity was 54.5% when the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of HRR was 0.731, and the cut-off value was 8.555. The sensitivity was 88.2% and the specificity was 46.6%, when the AUC of 6-hour LCR was 0.701, and the cut-off value was 28.947%. The sensitivity was 73.9% and the specificity was 79.4% when the AUC of APACHE II score was 0.848, the cut-off value was 22.000. The predictive value of the combination of HRR and 6-hour LCR was higher than that of a single index. The sensitivity was 79.3% and the specificity was 76.1%, when the AUC was 0.796, the cut-off value was 0.296. CONCLUSIONS HRR, 6-hour LCR and APACHE II score have high prognostic value in patients with OHCA after CPR. HRR < 8.555, 6-hour LCR < 28.947% and APACHE II score > 22.000 indicated poor prognosis.
Humans ; Erythrocyte Indices ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies ; Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest/therapy* ; ROC Curve ; Intensive Care Units ; Hemoglobins ; Lactic Acid ; Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation ; Sepsis/diagnosis*

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the correlation of procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6) and antithrombin III (AT III) with the severity of sepsis, and to compare the predictive value of the above indicators alone or in combination. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Eighty-five patients with sepsis admitted to the department of intensive care medicine of Shandong Provincial Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical University from April 2021 to September 2022 were enrolled. General information, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score within 24 hours of admission, inflammatory indicators [PCT, IL-6, serum amyloid A (SAA), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and C-reactive protein (CRP)] and coagulation indicators (D-dimer and AT III) levels at admission, and 28-day prognosis were collected. The differences of the above indicators were compared among patients with different prognosis at 28 days and different severity of sepsis. The correlation between PCT, IL-6, AT III and the severity of sepsis was analyzed by Spearman rank correlation method. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the predictive value of PCT, IL-6 and AT III alone or in combination on the 28-day death of patients with sepsis. RESULTS: Eighty-five patients were enrolled finally, 67 cases survived and 18 cases died at 28 days. The mortality was 21.2%. There were no statistical significant differences in gender, age and other general data between the two groups. The patients in the death group were more serious than those in the survival group, and PCT, IL-6, and CRP levels were significantly higher than those in the survival group [PCT (μg/L): 4.34 (1.99, 14.42) vs. 1.17 (0.31, 3.94), IL-6 (ng/L): 332.40 (50.08, 590.18) vs. 61.95 (31.64, 194.20), CRP (mg/L): 149.28 (75.34, 218.60) vs. 83.23 (48.22, 174.96), all P < 0.05], and AT III activity was significantly lower than that in the survival group [(53.67±28.57)% vs. (80.96±24.18)%, P < 0.01]. However, there were no significant differences in D-dimer, NLR and SAA between the two groups. Among the 85 patients, 36 had sepsis with single organ dysfunction, 29 had sepsis with multiple organ dysfunction, and 20 had septic shock with multiple organ dysfunction. With the increase of the severity of sepsis, PCT and IL-6 levels gradually increased [PCT (μg/L): 0.36 (0.19, 1.10), 3.00 (1.22, 9.94), 4.34 (2.18, 8.86); IL-6 (ng/L): 43.99 (20.73, 111.13), 100.00 (45.37, 273.00), 332.40 (124.4, 693.65)], and the activity of AT III decreased gradually [(89.81±21.42)%, (71.97±24.88)%, and (53.50±25.41)%], all with statistically significant differences (all P < 0.01). Spearman rank correlation analysis showed that PCT and IL-6 levels in sepsis patients were significantly positively correlated with the severity of the disease (r values were 0.562 and 0.517, respectively, both P < 0.01), and AT III activity was significantly negatively correlated with the severity of the disease (r = -0.523, P < 0.01). ROC curve analysis showed that PCT, IL-6, and AT III alone or in combination had some predictive value for the death of sepsis patients at 28 days. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the above three indicators in combination was higher than that of the individual tests (0.818 vs. 0.722, 0.725, and 0.770), with a sensitivity of 83.3% and a specificity of 73.1%. CONCLUSIONS PCT, IL-6, and AT III were significantly correlated with the severity of sepsis patients. The combined assay of the above three indicators can effectively improve the prediction of the prognosis of sepsis patients.
Humans ; Procalcitonin ; Interleukin-6 ; Antithrombin III ; Retrospective Studies ; Multiple Organ Failure ; ROC Curve ; Sepsis/diagnosis* ; Prognosis ; C-Reactive Protein/analysis* ; Anticoagulants

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the 28-day survival status and influencing factors of adult patients with sepsis, providing reference for early diagnosis of sepsis prognosis and reducing sepsis mortality. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. A total of 160 adult patients with sepsis in the department of intensive care unit of the 940th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA from January 2021 to December 2022 were enrolled. The general information, laboratory examination results within 24 hours after admission, clinical treatment measures, and prognosis of patients were collected. Univariate analysis and binary multivariate Logistic regression were performed to screen the risk factors that might affect the short-term prognosis of patients with sepsis. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was plotted to analyze the predictive value of various risk factors on the short-term death risk of sepsis patients. RESULTS: A total of 160 patients with sepsis were enrolled, of whom 91 survived in 28 days, and 69 died with a mortality of 43.12%. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group were older, more severe, had higher blood lactic acid (Lac) level, and had more complications such as hypertension and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). A total of 22 related factors were statistically significant: age, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, length of hospital stay, Lac, interleukin-6 (IL-6), fibrinogen (FIB), international normalized ratio (INR), ratio of prothrombin time (PT) to healthy people, prothrombin activity (PTA), PT, thrombin time (TT), oxygenation index (PaO₂/FiO₂), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), ratio of AST to alanine amninotransferase (ALT), serum creatinine (SCr), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), site of infection, history of hypertension, concurrent MODS, implementation of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), and treatment with vasoactive drugs. Combined with the results of the univariate analysis, variables that might affect the short-term prognosis of septic patients were included in the multivariate Logistic regression analysis. The results showed that APACHE II score ≥ 20 [odds ratio (OR) = 1.106, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.003-1.219], Lac ≥ 5 mmol/L (OR = 1.430, 95%CI was 1.041-1.964), combined with hypertension (OR = 13.879, 95%CI was 1.082-178.016), concurrent MODS (OR = 98.139, 95%CI was 18.252-527.672) was an independent risk factor for 28-day death in adult septic patients (all P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the combination of the four indicators including APACHE II score, Lac, combined with hypertension, concurrent MODS, had predictive value for short-term outcomes in patients with sepsis. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was higher than that of the 4 indicators alone [AUC (95%CI): 0.952 (0.918-0.986) vs. 0.745 (0.670-0.820), 0.816 (0.748-0.883), 0.608 (0.518-0.699), 0.868 (0.810-0.927)], the sensitivity was 94.2%, and the specificity was 90.1%. CONCLUSIONS APACHE II score within 24 hours, Lac, combined with hypertension, and concurrent MODS are independent risk factors for short-term mortality in adult septic patients in ICU. The combination of these indicators can make meaningful early clinical judgments on the short-term prognosis of septic patients, thereby reducing the mortality.
Adult ; Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; ROC Curve ; Sepsis/diagnosis* ; Prognosis ; Intensive Care Units ; Risk Factors ; Hypertension

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the safety of laparoscopic pancreaticoduodenectomy (LPD) in elderly patients and the related risk factors admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) after LPD. METHODS: The perioperative data of patients who underwent LPD in Tianjin Medical University General Hospital from February 2017 to June 2023 were retrospectively collected, including basic data, preoperative laboratory indicators, intraoperative and postoperative indicators, pathological results (tumor size, lymph node dissection and pathological type), postoperative complications, ICU postoperative management and prognosis. The patients were divided into the elderly group (≥ 65 years) and the non-elderly group (< 65 years) according to age. Perioperative data between two groups were compared. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was drawn to analyze the survival rate of the elderly group and the non-elderly group, and the pancreatic head carcinoma group and other type of tumors group after LPD. Logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors of ICU stay (length of ICU stay > 1 day) after LPD in elderly patients. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of this risk factor for ICU stay after LPD in elderly patients. RESULTS: A total of 160 patients were enrolled, including 57 cases in the elderly group (17 cases of vascular reconstruction) and 103 cases in the non-elderly group (40 cases of vascular reconstruction). All patients underwent R0 resection and were transferred to the comprehensive ICU for treatment. The follow-up time of patients with malignant tumors was 43 (6, 72) months. The elderly group had significantly longer surgery time, postoperative hospital stay and oral feeding time than the non-elderly group, and the incidence of delayed gastric emptying (DGE) was significantly higher than that in the non-elderly group. There were no significant differences in intraoperative blood transfusion rate, intraoperative blood loss, pathological results, short-term and severe postoperative complications, reoperation rate and 90-day mortality between the two groups. In patients with vascular resection reconstruction, the intraoperative blood loss in the elderly group was significantly higher than that in the non-elderly group, and the operation time and postoperative hospital stay were significantly longer. During ICU, the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II [APACHE II: 12 (9, 14) vs. 8 (7, 10)], sequential organ failure assessment [SOFA: 6 (4, 8) vs. 3 (2, 5)] within 24 hours after admission to ICU were significantly increased in the elderly group (both P < 0.05), the time of mechanical ventilation [hours: 12 (10, 15) vs. 9 (5, 13)] and the length of ICU stay [days: 2 (1, 2) vs. 1 (1, 1)] were significantly increased in the elderly group (both P < 0.05), and the proportion of multi-disciplinary team (MDT) was also significantly increased in the elderly group (33.3% vs. 17.4%, P < 0.05), there were no significant differences in the levels of hemoglobin (Hb), albumin, and blood lactic acid between the two groups. Logistic regression analysis showed that the APACHE II score was an independent risk factor for ICU stay after LPD in elderly patients (β = 1.737, P = 0.028). ROC curve showed that the prediction performance was the best when the APACHE II score was 13, with the sensitivity of 72.41% and the specificity of 96.43%, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.884. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that there were no significant difference in median survival time (months: 24.1 vs. 24.7) and 5-year survival rate (19.01% vs. 19.02%) between the elderly group (52 cases) and the non-elderly group (92 cases) among the 144 patients with malignant tumors (both P > 0.05). The median survival time in the pancreatic head carcinoma group was significantly shorter than that in the other tumors group (63 cases; months: 20.2 vs. 40.1, P < 0.05), 5-year survival rate was significantly lower than that in the other tumors group (21.98% vs. 30.91%, P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS LPD is a safe and feasible treatment for elderly patients. APACHE II score has a certain predictive value for ICU stay after LPD in elderly patients.
Humans ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Sepsis/therapy* ; ROC Curve ; Pancreaticoduodenectomy/adverse effects* ; Retrospective Studies ; Blood Loss, Surgical ; Prognosis ; Pancreatic Neoplasms/surgery* ; Postoperative Complications ; Intensive Care Units