1.Risk factors affecting morbidity and mortality in open repair of infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysms: A retrospective cohort study in the University of the Philippines Philippine General Hospital
Eduardo R. Bautista ; Tricia Angela G. Sarile ; Adrian E. Manapat ; Carlo Martin H. Garcia ; Racel Ireneo Luis C. Querol ; Leoncio L. Kaw
Acta Medica Philippina 2025;59(10):62-73
OBJECTIVES
To describe the treatment outcomes of patients who underwent open repair of infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) and to determine the risk factors affecting morbidity and mortality.
METHODSData were obtained from patients with infrarenal AAAs who underwent open surgical repair at the University of the Philippines-Philippine General Hospital (UP-PGH) from January 2013 to October 31, 2023. These patients’ demographic and clinical profile, and treatment outcomes were evaluated using frequencies and percentages. Student’s t-test and chi-square test were used for the inferential analysis. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with in-hospital mortality and morbidity.
RESULTSIn this study, 131 patients underwent open surgical repair of AAA. 82.4% of the patients were males, and 45.8% were between 61-70 years old. The majority of them had hypertension (81.4%) and were smokers (75%). The mortality rate was 17.6%, while the morbidity rate was 35.9%. For elective operations, the mortality was 8.9%, and for ruptured aneurysms, it was 56.5%. Eleven factors associated with mortality included ruptured aneurysm (OR=11.5, 95%CI=4.1 to 32.2), decreased hemoglobin (OR=1.1, 95%CI=1.05 to 1.2), decreased hematocrit (OR=1.1, 95%CI=1.06 to 1.4), emergency surgery (OR=10.3, 95%CI=2.9 to 36.3), higher volume of blood loss (OR=1.5, 95%CI=1.5 to 1.9), higher red cell transfusion (OR=1.3, 95%CI=1.1-1.5), intraoperative cardiopulmonary (CP) arrest (OR=15.9, 95%CI=1.6 to 159.2), need for multiple inotropes (OR=2.7, 95%CI=1.5-4.8), intraoperative hypotension (OR=3.6, 95%CI=1.4-9.7), juxta-renal location (OR=5.0, 95%CI=1.2 to 10.0), and presence of any complication (OR=5.7, 95%CI=2.1-15.1). Seven factors associated with morbidity included ruptured aneurysm (OR=3.9, 95%CI=1.5 to 9.8), decreased preoperative hemoglobin (OR=1.2, 95%CI=1.1 to 1.4), decreased preoperative hematocrit (OR=1.5, 95%CI=1.1 to 1.7), elevated preoperative creatinine (OR=1.1, 95%CI=1.06 to 1.9), higher intra-operative blood loss (OR=1.4, 95%CI=1.1 to 1.6), higher red cell transfusion (OR=1.6, 95%CI=1.3-2.1), and preexisting chronic renal disease (OR=3.3, 95%CI=1.4 to 7.5). Other preoperative and intraoperative factors did not show a significant association with mortality or morbidity.
CONCLUSIONThe open repair of an infrarenal AAA is linked to high overall mortality (17.6%) and morbidity (35.9%). The mortality rate for elective repair was 8.9%, but it significantly increased to 56.5% in cases of ruptured aneurysms. Factors with very high Odds Ratio such as emergency surgery, ruptured aneurysm, cardiac arrests during surgery, complex juxtarenal anatomy, and postoperative complications can lead to a high chance of mortality. Healthcare professionals should be vigilant and focus on early detection and repair of abdominal aneurysms to prevent emergency surgery, rupture, and mortality. It is crucial to prevent acute kidney injury, acute respiratory failure, and pneumonia, as these are common complications of open repair.
Human ; Morbidity ; Mortality
2.Association of ALBI grade, APRI score, and ALBI-APRI score with postoperative outcomes among patients with liver cirrhosis after non-hepatic surgery
Lorenz Kristoffer D. Daga ; Jade D. Jamias
Acta Medica Philippina 2025;59(10):74-84
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE
Patients with liver cirrhosis have an increased risk for poor postoperative outcomes after non-hepatic surgery, with liver dysfunction being the most important predictor of poor outcomes. This study aims to determine the association of the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI) score, and ALBI-APRI score with postoperative outcomes among cirrhotic patients who have undergone non-hepatic surgery.
METHODSThis was a retrospective cohort study involving 34 patients. Age, ASA class, urgency of surgery, etiology of liver cirrhosis, preoperative Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, ALBI grade, APRI score, and ALBI-APRI score were documented. The outcomes analyzed were postoperative hepatic decompensation (POHD) and in-hospital mortality. Bivariate analysis using the Mann-Whitney U test and Fisher’s exact test was performed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to compare the ability of the liver scoring systems to predict the occurrence of study outcomes. Binary logistic regression was performed to measure the odds ratio.
RESULTSThe ALBI grade and ALBI-APRI score were significantly associated with both POHD and in-hospital mortality. Both scores were non-inferior to the CTP and MELD scores in predicting study outcomes. Compared to CTP and MELD scores, the ALBI grade was more sensitive but less specific in predicting POHD and as sensitive but more specific in predicting in-hospital mortality. The ALBI-APRI score was less sensitive but more specific than the ALBI grade in predicting both POHD and in-hospital mortality.
CONCLUSIONThe ALBI grade and ALBI-APRI score were both associated with postoperative hepatic decompensation and in-hospital mortality and were noninferior to the CTP score and MELD score in predicting short-term in-hospital outcomes among cirrhotic patients after non-hepatic surgery.
Liver Cirrhosis ; In-hospital Mortality ; Hospital Mortality
3.Clinical profile and outcomes of COVID-19 positive patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) in a tertiary government COVID-19 referral center
Mary Bianca Doreen F. Ditching ; Joel M. Santiague
Acta Medica Philippina 2025;59(1):41-47
INTRODUCTION
It is anticipated that Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) has greater risk in acquiring COVID-19 infection and poorer outcome. However, current worldwide data are conflicting.
OBJECTIVESThis study primarily aims to compare the outcomes of COVID-19 patients with COPD and those without COPD in terms of length of hospital stay (LOS), recovery or mortality, treatment received, and predictors of mortality.
METHODSThis is a retrospective cohort chart review of 1,017 admitted adult COVID-19 patients from July to December 2020. Age, gender, smoking status, current control and medications for COPD, COVID-19 severity, symptoms, treatment, and outcomes of the two study groups were compared.
RESULTSPrevalence rate of COPD was 3.8%. COVID-19 patients with COPD were older (median age of 69 vs 54, pCONCLUSION
COPD increases the risk for severe COVID-19 and lengthens LOS.
Human ; Covid-19 ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive ; Mortality
4.Identifying COVID-19 confirmed patients at elevated risk for mortality and need of mechanical ventilation using a novel criteria for Hyperinflammatory Syndrome: A retrospective cohort, single-center, validation study
Jayvee Rho-an D. Descalsota ; Abdul Walli R. Cana ; Inofel I. Chin ; Jessie F. Orcasitas
Acta Medica Philippina 2025;59(3):104-115
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES
A mounting evidence links dysregulated immune response to cases of fatal pneumonia seen in COVID-19 infection. We aimed to validate the COVID-19-associated Hyperinflammatory Syndrome (cHIS) score, a novel clinical tool devised to identify those at risk for adverse outcomes, in a local population and investigate the relationship of cHIS score taken at admission and the risk of mortality and the need of mechanical ventilation.
METHODSThis retrospective cohort study analyzed the sociodemographic, clinical, and laboratory data of 1,881 COVID-19 patients admitted at a tertiary hospital in Davao City, Philippines from January to December 2021. We calculated the cHIS score, composed of six clinical and laboratory criteria from admission, and used multivariate logistic regression to determine the risk of mortality and need of mechanical ventilation.
RESULTSThe cHIS score taken at admission, regardless of cut-off value, was a significant predictor of mortality (OR 0.979 [99% CI 0.894-1.064]) and need of mechanical ventilation (OR 0.586 [99% CI 0.4975-0.6745]). Using the Youden Index, a cut-off cHIS score of 3 or more was a better predictor of mortality (sensitivity, 88.59%; specificity, 71.72%), and a cut-off score of 2 or more was a better predictor of need of mechanical ventilation (sensitivity, 84.02%; specificity, 70.82%) than other cutoff cHIS scores.
CONCLUSIONAmong COVID-19 patients, the cHIS score at admission correlated with the risk of mortality and the need of mechanical ventilation. Cutoff scores of 3 and 2 had the optimal sensitivities and specificities to predict the risk of mortality and the need of mechanical ventilation, respectively.
Human ; Covid-19 ; Inflammation ; Mortality ; Mechanical Ventilation ; Respiration, Artificial ; Cytokine Storm ; Cytokine Release Syndrome
5.Social determinants of health: Analysis of the effect of socio-environmental factors to diseases, injury-related DALYs, and deaths based on WHO, ILO, and WB data.
Jinky Leilanie LU ; Paolo L. CONCEPCION
Acta Medica Philippina 2025;59(Early Access 2025):1-13
INTRODUCTION
The social determinants of health refer to an individual's social, political, and economic situation and environment, which can have an impact on their health. On the other hand, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) reflect the mortalities and morbidities incurred due to disease and injury.
OBJECTIVESThis study aims to analyze the social determinants of health indicators and their association with communicable, non-communicable, and injury-related DALYs and deaths.
METHODSData from World Health Organization, World Bank, and International Labor Organization were used and considered for the 17 Social Determinants of Health categories. Logistic regression was used to determine the relationship of social determinants of health indicators with communicable, non-communicable, and injury-related DALYs and deaths.
RESULTSResults show that an increase in the population, monetary poverty, adult illiteracy, and fine particulate matter increase IPNN DALYs. This study also found correlations of socioeconomic factors to NCD deaths and DALYs attributable to the environment. NCD DALYs and deaths are found to increase with the number of poor living with 3.10 dollars a day, while median daily per capita income, and increase in persons above retiring age receiving pension decrease NCD DALYs attributable to the environment. Focusing on injury DALYs and deaths, an increase in the number of poor living at 3.10 dollars a day, non-agricultural informal employment, and total average concentration of f ine particulate matter increases injury DALYs while the latter is observed to decrease when there is an increase in the medial daily per capita income, agricultural employment outside the formal sector, and vulnerable persons covered by social assistance.
CONCLUSIONSocio-economic factors such as income, employment, education, and social welfare program affect morbidity, disability, and mortality.
Human ; Social Determinants Of Health ; Disability-adjusted Life Years ; Injury ; Wounds And Injuries ; Morbidity ; Mortality
6.Association of nutritional status using the short nutritional assessment questionnaire (SNAQ) and malnutrition risk using the malnutrition screening tool (MST) with in-hospital mortality and intensive care unit admission among non-critically-ill patients: A single center, prospective cohort study.
Karl Homer NIEVERA ; Mark Henry JOVEN
Journal of the ASEAN Federation of Endocrine Societies 2025;40(1):80-88
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE
Although nutritional assessment tools have been available internationally, local data for their use in foreseeing adverse outcomes among admitted patients are currently unavailable. The primary objective of this study was to determine the association of nutritional status using Short Nutritional Assessment Questionnaire (SNAQ) and malnutrition risk using the MST (Malnutrition Screening Tool) with ICU admission and in-hospital mortality.
METHODOLOGYThis was a prospective-cohort study which included 122 purposively-selected adult participants who were non-intubated, admitted for medical and surgical managements, stayed for at least 24 hours, had no COVID-19 infection, and were not admitted in any critical care unit. The SNAQ and MST questionnaires, which are validated tools and consists of two to three easy-to-answer questions, were used among the participants and their scores were tallied in order to get their nutritional status and malnutrition risk. Primary endpoints measured were length of hospital stay, incidence of mortality, and ICU admission rate. Comorbidities were taken into account using the Charlson Comorbidity Index.
RESULTCategorizing the SNAQ scores showed 33.61% were severely malnourished which was similar when using the MST classification, wherein 34.43% were at risk of malnutrition. None of the participants were admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Malnutrition risk and nutritional status was not significantly associated with 30-day in-hospital mortality (p >0.05). On the other hand, results of the Cox proportional hazards showed that SNAQ and MST significantly predicted the hazard of 30-day in-hospital mortality, increasing the hazard of mortality by 2.58 times and 3.67 times, respectively, for every 1-unit increase in SNAQ and MST scores. Similarly, nutritional status using the SNAQ classification indicated the severely malnourished category significantly predicted the hazard of mortality, increasing it by 9.22 times for those who are severely malnourished. Also, malnutrition risk using the MST classification indicated that those who were at risk of malnutrition were 9.80 times at greater hazard of mortality than those who were not at risk of malnutrition.
CONCLUSIONThe MST and SNAQ classification are screening tools for nutritional status (SNAQ) and malnutrition risk (MST) that can be administered at the onset of the patient’s hospital course and have been demonstrated in this study to predict 30-day in-hospital mortality. It is important to note that none of the patients included in this study required intensive care unit admission.
Human ; Malnutrition ; Netherlands ; Eating ; Surveys And Questionnaires ; Mortality
7.Accuracy of the Brighton Pediatric Early Warning Score in detecting clinical deterioration events among pediatric patients: Retrospective cohort study
Giselle Godin ; Mae Anne Cansino-Valeroso ; Diana M. Dadia
Southern Philippines Medical Center Journal of Health Care Services 2025;11(1):8-8
BACKGROUND
Pediatric Early Warning Scores (PEWS) help identify children at risk of clinical deterioration, but their accuracy across diverse settings, populations, interventions, and outcomes remains unexplored.
OBJECTIVETo determine the accuracy of PEWS in detecting clinical deterioration events (CDE) among pediatric patients seen at the emergency department (ED).
DESIGNRetrospective cohort study.
PARTICIPANTSPediatric patients aged 1 month to 18 years seen at the ED.
SETTINGSouthern Philippines Medical Center Emergency Department, Davao City, Philippines from January 2021 to December 2022.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURESArea under the curve (AUC) of PEWS in detecting CDE; Brighton PEWS optimal cut-off and its sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), positive likelihood ratio (+LR), and negative likelihood ratio (-LR).
MAIN RESULTSAmong the 345 patients, 56 experienced CDE and 289 did not. Patients with CDE had significantly lower median age (1.00 year vs 5.00 years; p < 0.001), oxygen saturation (93.00% vs 98.00%; p < 0.001), and pediatric Glasgow Coma Scale scores (8.00 vs 15.00; p < 0.0001) compared to those without CDE. Heart rate (135.00 vs 111.00 beats per minute; p < 0.001), and respiratory rate (32.50 vs 24.00 breaths per minute; p < 0.001) were significantly higher in patients with CDE. The two groups also differed significantly in terms of comorbidity distribution (p < 0.001) and diagnosis (p < 0.001). The AUC of Brighton PEWS was 0.9064 (95% CI 0.8716 to 0.9357), with an optimal cut-off score of ≥4.00. This threshold yielded 76.79% sensitivity, 88.58% specificity, 56.60% PPV, 95.20% NPV, 6.72 LR+, and 0.26 LR-.
CONCLUSIONThe Brighton PEWS demonstrates strong diagnostic accuracy in predicting CDE among pediatric patients. A cut-off score of ≥4.00 offers a balanced combination of sensitivity, specificity, and likelihood ratios for ED application.
Human ; Emergency Departments ; Emergency Service, Hospital ; Resuscitation ; Mortality
8.Association of electrocardiographic abnormalities with in-hospital mortality in adult patients with COVID-19 infection
Jannah Lee Tarranza ; Marcellus Francis Ramirez ; Milagros Yamamoto
Philippine Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(2):32-42
OBJECTIVES
The study aimed to determine the association of electrocardiographic (ECG) abnormalities and in-hospital mortality of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection admitted in a tertiary care hospital in the Philippines.
METHODSWe conducted a retrospective study of confirmed COVID-19–infected patients. Demographic and clinical characteristics and clinical outcomes were extracted from the medical records. Electrocardiographic analysis was derived from the 12-lead electrocardiogram recorded upon admission. The frequencies and distributions of various clinical characteristics were described, and the ECG abnormalities associated with in-hospital mortality were investigated.
RESULTSA total of 163 patients were included in the study; most were female (52.7%) with a median age of 55 years. Sinus rhythm with any ECG abnormality (65%), nonspecific ST and T-wave changes (35%), and sinus tachycardia (22%) were the frequently reported ECG findings. The presence of any ECG abnormality was detected in 78.5% of patients, and it was significantly associated with in-hospital mortality (P = 0.038). The analysis revealed a statistically significant association between in-hospital mortality and having atrial fibrillation or flutter (P = 0.002), supraventricular tachycardia (P = 0.011), ventricular tachycardia (P = 0.011), third-degree atrioventricular block (P = 0.011), T-wave inversion (P = 0.005), and right ventricular hypertrophy (P = 0.011).
The presence of any ECG abnormality in patients with COVID-19 infection was associated with in-hospital mortality. Electrocardiographic abnormalities that were associated with mortality were atrial fibrillation or flutter, supraventricular tachycardia, ventricular tachycardia, third-degree atrioventricular block, T-wave inversion, and right ventricular hypertrophy.
Human ; Covid-19 ; Electrocardiography ; Mortality ; Philippines
9.Among patients with COVID-19, should remdesivir be used for treatment? A systematic review and meta-analysis.
Carol Stephanie C. Tan-Lim ; Natasha Ann R. Esteban-Ipac
Acta Medica Philippina 2024;58(14):50-66
BACKGROUND
Remdesivir is an intravenously administered antiviral drug that inhibits RNA-dependent RNA polymerase. In vitro studies have shown that remdesivir can inhibit the growth of the COVID-19 virus in infected Vero cells and can inhibit infection in human cell lines.
OBJECTIVETo determine the efficacy and safety of remdesivir in treating patients with COVID-19 infection.
METHODSA systematic search of electronic medical literature databases was done from inception until September 4, 2022. Search for ongoing studies and preprints was also done. Risk of bias assessment was done using Cochrane risk of bias tool version 2.0. Measures of effect used were relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Subgroup analysis by disease severity was preplanned. The estimates for efficacy and safety of remdesivir was calculated using Review Manager 5.4 software.
RESULTSNine randomized controlled trials with 13,085 participants were identified. Eight of the included studies recruited confirmed COVID-19 patients needing hospitalization, while one study limited recruitment to nonhospitalized patients. Remdesivir showed significant benefit for outpatients with mild to moderate disease with at least one risk factor for disease progression in terms of COVID 19-related hospitalization (RR 0.13 95% CI 0.03 to 0.59), all-cause hospitalization (RR 0.28, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.75), and need for medically-attended visits (RR 0.19, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.56). For hospitalized patients, remdesivir had a slight benefit in reducing all-cause mortality at day 28 (RR 0.90, 95% CI 0.83 to 0.98). Subgroup analysis by disease severity showed a trend towards reduction in mortality among those with severe disease (RR 0.61, 95% CI 0.35 to 1.07), with no effect on those with critical disease (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.87 to 1.04), and inconclusive effect for those with mild-moderate disease (RR 0.74, 95% CI 0.49 to 1.11). Remdesivir showed benefit in decreasing clinical deterioration (RR 0.75, 95% CI 0.61 to 0.89), improving recovery rate (RR 1.07, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.13), and reducing the need for mechanical ventilation (RR 0.68, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.90). There was inconclusive effect on the need for ICU admission (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.43 to 2.22). No increased risk of adverse events (RR 0.98, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.06), including serious adverse events (RR 0.77, 95% CI 0.57 to 1.03), was seen.
DISCUSSIONBased on the available evidence, remdesivir shows benefit in the treatment for patients with mild, moderate, and severe COVID-19 infection. However, there was no benefit in mortality noted among those with critical disease requiring mechanical ventilation. Remdesivir demonstrated a good safety profile, with no increased risk of adverse events compared to control. These results are consistent with the international agencies’ recommendations for the use of remdesivir among patients with mild, moderate or severe COVID-19 infection, but not for those with critical infection.
CONCLUSIONCurrent evidence supports the use of remdesivir as treatment for selected patients with COVID-19.
Covid-19 ; Mortality
10.Admission neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as a predictive factor in the outcome of acute spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage
Edrome F. Hernandez ; Chris Jordan T. Go ; Ma. Epifania V. Collantes
Acta Medica Philippina 2024;58(15):61-66
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE
A growing body of evidence supports that inflammatory mechanisms are involved in secondary brain injury after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) which has implications on the morbidity and mortality of stroke patients. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a comprehensive index marker of inflammation and immune status of a patient. The prognostic value of NLR in predicting in-hospital mortality and functional outcome of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage will be assessed in this study.
METHODSWe retrospectively selected 151 hemorrhagic stroke patients, and demographic and clinical characteristics were collected and computed for NLR. Receiver operating characteristic analysis using Youden’s index was utilized to determine the NLR cut-off value with the best sensitivity and specificity. The association of NLR with the inhospital mortality and functional outcome was assessed using Logistic regression analysis. Pearson Product Model Correlation was employed to evaluate the correlation of NLR with ICH volume.
RESULTSAdmission NLR >7 showed a significant association (p = <0.001 OR 7.99) with in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 70.83% and specificity of 72.82%. Furthermore, computed NLR of more than 6.4 showed significant association (p = 0.040 OR 2.92) with poor functional outcome. However, our study revealed that admission NLR showed a low level of correlation (r=0.2968, p=0.002) with the volume of ICH.
CONCLUSIONThis study demonstrated that ICH patients with an elevated NLR is associated with increased inhospital mortality and poor functional outcome and that NLR can be used to predict clinical outcome among patients with spontaneous ICH.
Cerebral Hemorrhage ; Intracerebral Hemorrhage ; Hospital Mortality ; In-hospital Mortality


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