1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Correlation of daytime outdoor light exposure and moderate to vigorous physical activities with sleep quality among primary school students
WANG Ziyi, DUAN Zhihong, MAIHELIYAKEZI Tuersunniyazi, PENG Hui, ZHU Yanhong, SHI Huijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(3):351-354
Objective:
To analyze the independent and interaction effects of daytime outdoor light exposure and moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) duration on sleep quality of primary school students, so as to provide scientific evidence for interventions on children s sleep health.
Methods:
From April to June 2024, a total of 444 students from grades 3 and 4 in 2 primary schools in Jiading District, Shanghai were selected using stratified random cluster sampling method for continuous 7 day monitoring. Wearable devices "Clouclip" were used to monitor daytime outdoor activity time (represented by time with light intensity ≥ 1 000 lx ), and accelerometers were used to monitor MVPA time and sleep quality related indicators. Multiple linear regression was used to analyze the associations of daytime outdoor activity and MVPA with sleep quality.
Results:
Both daytime outdoor light exposure and MVPA duration(longer actual sleep duration per night,longer time in bed,fewer awakening and shorter post sleep awakening shic) were independently associated with multiple sleep indicators( β =0.52, 0.46, -0.83, -2.19, all P <0.05), with no significant interaction between the associations ( P >0.05). After controlling for MVPA, more daytime outdoor light exposure was significantly and independently associated with longer actual sleep time ( β =0.50, 95% CI =0.21-0.79, P <0.05). After controlling for light exposure, longer MVPA duration was independently associated with shorter post-sleep awakening duration ( β=-4.15, 95% CI = -6.33 to -1.96, P <0.05).
Conclusion
Increased daytime outdoor activity and MVPA are both associated with better sleep quality in primary school students.
3.Metabolism and metabolomics in senescence, aging, and age-related diseases: a multiscale perspective.
Ziyi WANG ; Hongying ZHU ; Wei XIONG
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(2):200-225
The pursuit of healthy aging has long rendered aging and senescence captivating. Age-related ailments, such as cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and neurodegenerative disorders, pose significant threats to individuals. Recent studies have shed light on the intricate mechanisms encompassing genetics, epigenetics, transcriptomics, and metabolomics in the processes of senescence and aging, as well as the establishment of age-related pathologies. Amidst these underlying mechanisms governing aging and related pathology metabolism assumes a pivotal role that holds promise for intervention and therapeutics. The advancements in metabolomics techniques and analysis methods have significantly propelled the study of senescence and aging, particularly with the aid of multiscale metabolomics which has facilitated the discovery of metabolic markers and therapeutic potentials. This review provides an overview of senescence and aging, emphasizing the crucial role metabolism plays in the aging process as well as age-related diseases.
Humans
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Aging/metabolism*
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Metabolomics/methods*
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Neurodegenerative Diseases/metabolism*
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Cardiovascular Diseases/metabolism*
4.Isolation,identification,and biological characterization of enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli from a South China tiger
Jing-ru XU ; Zhi-hao ZHU ; Yu-qi LI ; Si-si FAN ; Ya-li KANG ; Yu-bin ZHUO ; Ling-shan HUANG ; Shu-qi QIU ; XUE-YUXI ; Xiao-ping WU ; Yu-ting LIAO ; Wei-ye LIN ; Xiao-ziyi XIAO ; Xue-jin LI ; Teng-teng CHEN ; Xi-pan LIN ; Kai-xiong LIN ; Ke-wei FAN
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(6):567-573
This study was aimed at identifying the pathogenic bacteria responsible for the death of a young tiger at the Fujian Meihua Mountain South China Tiger Breeding Research Institute.Tissue samples from the lungs,liver,and intestines of the deceased tiger were collected,and the bacteria were cultured inasterile environment.The bacterial strains were characterized according to their morphological and molecular biological properties,including assessment of virulence genes and antibiotic resistance genes,mouse lethality tests,and antibiotic susceptibility evaluations.A predominant bacterial strain isolated from the liver of the deceased tiger was identified as enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli(ETEC)strain Tiger22513F.Phylogenetic analysis of the 16S rRNA gene revealed that the Tiger22513F strain exhibited close genetic similarity to the reference strain ETEC(MF919609.1),with 99.9%nucleotide similarity,and resided on the same evolutionary branch.The Tiger22513F strain contained 11 antibiotic resistance genes(tetA,sul1,sul3,cmlA,floR,blaTEM,blaSHV,blaCMY-2,qnrA,qnrS,and qnrD)along with five virulence genes(VT1,fyuA,tsh,iucD,and ST).Mouse lethality tests indicated significant pathogenicity toward mice,affecting primarily the lungs,liver,and intestines.Antibiotic susceptibility testing demonstrated that this strain exhibited resistance to various classes of beta-lactam antibiotics,as well as quinolones and aminoglycosides.This investigation successfully isolated a multi-drug resistant enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli strain with pronounced pathogenicity from the liver of a deceased tiger;thus providing valuable scientific insights for clinical diagnosis,as well as prevention and control measures,against ETEC infections in South China tigers.
5.Improvement of myocardial injury by traditional Chinese medicine:mitochondrial calcium homeostasis mediates macrophage autophagy and pyroptosis pathway
Lingyun LIU ; Guixin HE ; Weibin QIN ; Hui SONG ; Liwen ZHANG ; Weizhi TANG ; Feifei YANG ; Ziyi ZHU ; Yangbin OU
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(6):1276-1284
BACKGROUND:The repair process of myocardial injury involves complex cellular and molecular mechanisms,especially mitochondrial calcium homeostasis,macrophage autophagy and pyroptosis pathways.Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)has shown significant clinical efficacy in improving myocardial injury,but its mechanism of action needs to be thoroughly investigated. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the role of mitochondrial calcium homeostasis-mediated macrophage autophagy and pyroptosis pathways in myocardial injury,and to summarize the progress of TCM in this field. METHODS:A computerized search was performed for relevant literature from the database inception to March 2024 in the Web of Science,PubMed and CNKI.The search terms were"mitochondrial calcium homeostasis,macrophage autophagy,macrophage pyroptosis,traditional Chinese medicine,myocardial injury,myocardial injury reperfusion"in Chinese and English.Through literature review,we analyzed the relationship between mitochondrial calcium homeostasis and macrophage autophagy and pyroptosis,explored the mechanism of their roles in myocardial injury,and summarized the pathways of multi-targeted,multi-pathway effects of TCM. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:The maintenance of mitochondrial calcium homeostasis has been found to be closely related to the normal function of cardiomyocytes.Macrophages can participate in the repair process of myocardial injury through autophagy and pyroptosis pathways.Autophagy contributes to cell clearance and regulation of inflammatory response,while pyroptosis affects myocardial repair by releasing inflammatory factors.TCM regulates mitochondrial calcium homeostasis and macrophage function through multiple mechanisms.For example,astragalosid regulates calcium homeostasis by lowering mitochondrial membrane potential and inhibiting cytochrome C,and epimedium glycoside plays a role in reducing β-amyloid deposition.In addition,herbal compounds and single drugs promote myocardial repair by activating or inhibiting specific signaling pathways,such as PI3K/AKT and nuclear factor-κB signaling pathways.Future studies should focus on the interactions between mitochondrial calcium homeostasis,autophagy and pyroptosis pathways,as well as how TCM can exert therapeutic effects through these pathways to provide new strategies and drugs for the treatment of myocardial injury.
6.Analysis of the infection status and clinical parameters of metapneumovirus in 2669 children with respiratory tract infections in Jianyang area
Ziyi ZHU ; Yulong LI ; Xiaoyue YANG ; La HE ; Chengji JI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Laboratory Science 2025;43(3):222-226
Objective To investigate the infection status and clinical parameters of human metapneumovirus(HMPV)in children with acute respiratory tract infections in Jianyang area.Methods A total of 2 669 hospitalized children with acute respiratory tract infec-tions at Jianyang People's Hospital from March 2023 to February 2024 were enrolled.Thirteen kinds of respiratory pathogens were de-tected using multiplex PCR and capillary electrophoresis.The clinical data of HMPV-infected children were collected and analyzed.Re-sults Out of 2 669 children with acute respiratory tract infections,209 were detected with HMPV,with a positive rate of 7.83%.HMPV-positive children were mainly concentrated in under 5 years old(73.21%),with cough,fever,wheezing,and shortness of breath as main clinical manifestations.The rate of single HMPV infection was 58.85%,and those of mixed bacterial infection and mixed viral infection were 26.69% and 13.88%,respectively.The levels of white blood cells(WBC),lymphocytes(LYM),platelets(PLT),C-reactive protein(CRP),alanine aminotransferase(ALT),aspartate aminotransferase(AST),lactate dehydrogenase(LDH),troponin I(cTn I),and procalcitonin(PCT)in the mixed infection group were significantly higher than those in the single HMPV infection group(P<0.05),while the levels of hemoglobin(Hb),total protein(TP),and creatinine(Cr)were significantly lower than those in the single HMPV infection group(P<0.05).Compared with the non-severe pneumonia group,the levels of WBC,Hb,PLT,and CRP in the severe pneumonia group were significantly increased(P<0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that age<3 years,co-infection,and CRP≥20 mg/L were risk factors for severe HMPV pneumonia(P<0.05).Conclusion HMPV is one of the important pathogens causing acute respiratory tract infections in children in Jianyang area.The elevated levels of some laboratory indicators are associated with the severity of infection.Early and comprehensive bacteriological testing and detection of inflammatory markers are beneficial for guiding clinical treatment.
7.Effects of aerobic exercise on hypothalamic autophagy and leptin resis-tance in obese mice
Guangming ZHU ; Ziyi YANG ; Xinzhuang WANG ; Yan LIU ; Chunlu FANG ; Liangming LI ; Shujing LIU
Chinese Journal of Pathophysiology 2025;41(8):1457-1466
AIM:This study aims to investigate the effects of aerobic exercise on hypothalamic autophagy and central leptin resistance in obese mice,and to explore the potential mechanisms.METHODS:Forty male C57BL/6J mice,aged 7 to 8 weeks,were randomly assigned to 5 groups:normal control(CON)group,high-fat diet(HFD)group,HFD+exercise(HFD+Exe)group,HFD+phosphate-buffered saline(PBS)group,and HFD+rilmenidine(autophagy ago-nist)group,with 8 mice in each group.Additionally,twelve fibronectin type Ⅲ domain-containing protein 5(Fndc5)gene(encoding irisin precursor protein)knockout(Fndc5 KO)mice were randomly allocated to Fndc5 KO+HFD group and Fndc5 KO+HFD+Exe group,with 6 mice in each group.All mice were fed for 28 weeks.The mice in CON group re-ceived a normal diet,while those in the remaining groups were provided with an HFD.The mice in HFD+Exe and Fndc5 KO+HFD+Exe groups engaged in aerobic treadmill exercise while continuing an HFD from weeks 17 to 28.The mice in HFD+PBS group received intraperitoneal injections of PBS as a control,while those in HFD+rilmenidine group received in-traperitoneal injections of rilmenidine(10 mg?kg-1?d-1),4 times a week over a total duration of 12 weeks(weeks 17 to 28).Following the intervention,serum metabolite levels,as well as concentrations of leptin and irisin,were quantified by ELISA.Morphological alterations in the liver and white adipose tissues were evaluated through oil red O staining and he-matoxylin-eosin(HE)staining.Western blot was utilized to assess the hypothalamic protein levels of autophagy markers,autophagy-related protein 7(ATG7),beclin-1,microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3(LC3)and p62,and leptin resistance markers,suppressor of cytokine signaling 3(SOCS3)and protein tyrosine phosphatase 1B(PTP1B).RE-SULTS:Observations of mouse phenotypes indicated that HFD feeding significantly increased body weight,blood lipid content and serum leptin level(P<0.05).The results of HE and oil red O staining demonstrated that HFD feeding marked-ly promoted lipid accumulation in the liver and caused ballooning of white adipocytes.Western blot analyses revealed that HFD feeding significantly down-regulated the protein levels of ATG7,beclin-1 and LC3-Ⅱ/LC3-I,but up-regulated the pro-tein level of p62(P<0.05),thus reducing cellular autophagy capacity.Furthermore,HFD feeding elevated the protein levels of leptin resistance markers SOCS3 and PTP1B(P<0.05).Aerobic exercise and autophagy agonist were found to partially reverse these changes,enhancing cellular autophagy capacity and alleviating leptin resistance.However,these effects were diminished after knockout of Fndc5 gene,further substantiating the role of irisin in exercise-mediated en-hancement of cellular autophagy and attenuation of leptin resistance.CONCLUSION:Aerobic exercise alleviates hypo-thalamic autophagy defect and central leptin resistance in obese mice,which may be associated with exercise-induced irisin.
8.Association between dynamic indexes of maternal progesterone in the first trimester of pregnancy and fetal head circumference growth and development
Hui NIU ; Juan XIN ; Jinlu LIANG ; Jiayuan FENG ; Sijing ZHU ; Xiaoxue LI ; Yin YANG ; Liu FANG ; Mengfei SUN ; Ziyi CHEN ; Wenfang YANG
Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(5):871-879
Objective To explore the association between dynamic indexes of maternal progesterone in early pregnancy and the average level and growth rate of fetal head circumference(HC)in mid-and late pregnancy.Methods This study adopted a retrospective cohort design and included 255 singleton pregnant women in the maternal and infant cohort of The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2015 to December 2024.The progesterone levels of their early venous blood were detected and divided into two groups of progesterone trajectories,namely,fluctuating type and increasing type,by morphology.The dynamic indicators of progesterone in early pregnancy were constructed:cumulative dynamic deviation index in the first trimester(CDDI-P1T),gestational age at progesterone peak(GA-PP),and maximal relative progesterone decline in the first trimester(MRD-P1T).The average head circumference level and linear growth rate of the fetuses in the middle and late pregnancy were calculated.Generalized linear regression(GLM)was used to analyze the linear association between progesterone dynamic indicators and head circumference development.The key gestational weeks of progesterone affecting fetal head development were explored by linear regression of gestational weeks.Ordinary least squares(OLS)regression and restricted cubic spline(RCS)plots were used to draw the nonlinear association between progesterone dynamic indicators and head circumference.Results Among the 255 pregnant women included,92.5%of the progesterone trajectories in early pregnancy were fluctuating,and 7.5%were increasing.The growth rates of the increasing progesterone trajectory group were higher in the second and third trimesters than in the fluctuating group,but the differences were not statistically significant(all P>0.05).GLM analysis showed that for every 1 unit increase in CDDI-P1T,the head circumference in the middle and late pregnancy increased significantly by 1.574 cm and 1.193 cm(Z=3.714,2.885,P<0.01).The delay of GA-PP was negatively correlated with the head circumference in the middle pregnancy(β=-0.190 cm,95%CI:-0.339--0.041,P=0.010)but positively correlated with the head circumference growth rate in the late pregnancy(β=0.022 cm/week,95%CI:0.003-0.041,P=0.025).A 10%decrease in the decline of CDDI-P1T increased the head circumference in the middle pregnancy by 0.200 cm(95%CI:0.016-0.384,P=0.033),and a 100%decrease in the decline increased the head circumference growth rate in the late pregnancy by 0.201 cm/week(95%CI:0.002-0.399,P=0.048).The analysis of the key time window showed that for every 20 nmol/L increase in progesterone during 9.5-13 weeks of pregnancy,the mid-term head circumference increased by 0.035-0.166 cm(Z=2.452-3.517,allP<0.05),and the late-term head circumference increased by 0.767 cm during 9-13 weeks of pregnancy(Z=2.452-3.517,all P<0.05).When progesterone increased during 9.5-10.5 weeks of pregnancy,the growth rate of mid-term head circumference increased by 0.013-0.023 cm/week(Z=2.074-2.243,all P<0.01).When progesterone increased during 8.5-10.5 weeks of pregnancy,the growth rate of late-term head circumference increased by 0.010-0.026 cm/week(Z=2.061-3.137,all P<0.05).Conclusion Progesterone dynamic index is a new sensitive tool for evaluating fetal head circumference development.There is a stage-specific window period for progesterone regulation.9.5-13 weeks of pregnancy is the critical period for progesterone to affect head circumference growth,and 9.5-10.5 weeks of pregnancy is the core window for regulating the growth rate of head circumference.Therefore,it is necessary to combine progesterone dynamic index and time window for individualized intervention to promote the transformation of prenatal care from pregnancy maintenance to eugenics intervention.
9.Research progress on risk factors and predictive tools for neurogenic bladder upper urinary tract injury
Yanru CHAI ; Xueqiong ZHU ; Ziyi YANG ; Ziyuan YU
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2025;41(19):1512-1518
Upper urinary tract injury is one of the serious complications in patients with neurogenic bladder, which seriously affects the life health and quality of life of patients. Early identification of high-risk patients and active and timely intervention can prevent the occurrence of upper urinary tract injury.In this paper, we reviewed the risk factors and predictive tools of upper urinary tract injury in patients with neurogenic bladder, and introduced and compared the characteristics of different risk prediction tools. The aim is to provide ideas for the construction of a prediction tool with high clinical applicability and prediction accuracy, and provide a basis for the early identification of risk factors of upper urinary tract injury and taking preventive measures.
10.Isolation,identification,and biological characterization of enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli from a South China tiger
Jing-ru XU ; Zhi-hao ZHU ; Yu-qi LI ; Si-si FAN ; Ya-li KANG ; Yu-bin ZHUO ; Ling-shan HUANG ; Shu-qi QIU ; XUE-YUXI ; Xiao-ping WU ; Yu-ting LIAO ; Wei-ye LIN ; Xiao-ziyi XIAO ; Xue-jin LI ; Teng-teng CHEN ; Xi-pan LIN ; Kai-xiong LIN ; Ke-wei FAN
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(6):567-573
This study was aimed at identifying the pathogenic bacteria responsible for the death of a young tiger at the Fujian Meihua Mountain South China Tiger Breeding Research Institute.Tissue samples from the lungs,liver,and intestines of the deceased tiger were collected,and the bacteria were cultured inasterile environment.The bacterial strains were characterized according to their morphological and molecular biological properties,including assessment of virulence genes and antibiotic resistance genes,mouse lethality tests,and antibiotic susceptibility evaluations.A predominant bacterial strain isolated from the liver of the deceased tiger was identified as enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli(ETEC)strain Tiger22513F.Phylogenetic analysis of the 16S rRNA gene revealed that the Tiger22513F strain exhibited close genetic similarity to the reference strain ETEC(MF919609.1),with 99.9%nucleotide similarity,and resided on the same evolutionary branch.The Tiger22513F strain contained 11 antibiotic resistance genes(tetA,sul1,sul3,cmlA,floR,blaTEM,blaSHV,blaCMY-2,qnrA,qnrS,and qnrD)along with five virulence genes(VT1,fyuA,tsh,iucD,and ST).Mouse lethality tests indicated significant pathogenicity toward mice,affecting primarily the lungs,liver,and intestines.Antibiotic susceptibility testing demonstrated that this strain exhibited resistance to various classes of beta-lactam antibiotics,as well as quinolones and aminoglycosides.This investigation successfully isolated a multi-drug resistant enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli strain with pronounced pathogenicity from the liver of a deceased tiger;thus providing valuable scientific insights for clinical diagnosis,as well as prevention and control measures,against ETEC infections in South China tigers.


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