1.Effect Analysis of Different Interventions to Improve Neuroinflammation in The Treatment of Alzheimer’s Disease
Jiang-Hui SHAN ; Chao-Yang CHU ; Shi-Yu CHEN ; Zhi-Cheng LIN ; Yu-Yu ZHOU ; Tian-Yuan FANG ; Chu-Xia ZHANG ; Biao XIAO ; Kai XIE ; Qing-Juan WANG ; Zhi-Tao LIU ; Li-Ping LI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2025;52(2):310-333
Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a central neurodegenerative disease characterized by progressive cognitive decline and memory impairment in clinical. Currently, there are no effective treatments for AD. In recent years, a variety of therapeutic approaches from different perspectives have been explored to treat AD. Although the drug therapies targeted at the clearance of amyloid β-protein (Aβ) had made a breakthrough in clinical trials, there were associated with adverse events. Neuroinflammation plays a crucial role in the onset and progression of AD. Continuous neuroinflammatory was considered to be the third major pathological feature of AD, which could promote the formation of extracellular amyloid plaques and intracellular neurofibrillary tangles. At the same time, these toxic substances could accelerate the development of neuroinflammation, form a vicious cycle, and exacerbate disease progression. Reducing neuroinflammation could break the feedback loop pattern between neuroinflammation, Aβ plaque deposition and Tau tangles, which might be an effective therapeutic strategy for treating AD. Traditional Chinese herbs such as Polygonum multiflorum and Curcuma were utilized in the treatment of AD due to their ability to mitigate neuroinflammation. Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs such as ibuprofen and indomethacin had been shown to reduce the level of inflammasomes in the body, and taking these drugs was associated with a low incidence of AD. Biosynthetic nanomaterials loaded with oxytocin were demonstrated to have the capability to anti-inflammatory and penetrate the blood-brain barrier effectively, and they played an anti-inflammatory role via sustained-releasing oxytocin in the brain. Transplantation of mesenchymal stem cells could reduce neuroinflammation and inhibit the activation of microglia. The secretion of mesenchymal stem cells could not only improve neuroinflammation, but also exert a multi-target comprehensive therapeutic effect, making it potentially more suitable for the treatment of AD. Enhancing the level of TREM2 in microglial cells using gene editing technologies, or application of TREM2 antibodies such as Ab-T1, hT2AB could improve microglial cell function and reduce the level of neuroinflammation, which might be a potential treatment for AD. Probiotic therapy, fecal flora transplantation, antibiotic therapy, and dietary intervention could reshape the composition of the gut microbiota and alleviate neuroinflammation through the gut-brain axis. However, the drugs of sodium oligomannose remain controversial. Both exercise intervention and electromagnetic intervention had the potential to attenuate neuroinflammation, thereby delaying AD process. This article focuses on the role of drug therapy, gene therapy, stem cell therapy, gut microbiota therapy, exercise intervention, and brain stimulation in improving neuroinflammation in recent years, aiming to provide a novel insight for the treatment of AD by intervening neuroinflammation in the future.
2.Is unicompartmental knee arthroplasty a better choice than total knee arthroplasty for unicompartmental osteoarthritis? A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.
Kuanyu XIA ; Lang MIN ; Wenqing XIE ; Guang YANG ; Dong Keon YON ; Seung Won LEE ; Ai KOYANAGI ; Louis JACOB ; Lee SMITH ; Jae Il SHIN ; Masoud RAHMATI ; Wenfeng XIAO ; Yusheng LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(13):1568-1577
BACKGROUND:
The choice of unicompartmental knee arthroplasty (UKA) vs . total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in the surgical treatment of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) remains controversial. This study aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) to compare the clinical results of UKA and TKA for treating unicompartmental KOA.
METHODS:
PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched for articles published up to January 2, 2023. The literature was rigorously screened to include only RCTs comparing UKA and TKA for unicompartmental KOA. A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed to calculate the mean difference (MD), relative risk (RR), and 95% confidence interval (CI) according to the Cochrane standards.
RESULTS:
Thirteen publications involving 683 UKAs and 683 TKAs were analyzed. Except for one study with a follow-up period of 15 years, all outcome measures reported were within 5 years of follow-up. Meta-analysis showed better knee recovery (MD: 1.23; 95% CI: 1.01-1.45; P <0.001), greater knee function (MD: 1.78; 95% CI: 0.34-3.22; P = 0.020), less pain (MD: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.43-1.06; P <0.001), and better health status (MD: 3.75; 95% CI: 0.81-6.69; P = 0.010) after UKA than TKA. However, considering the minimal clinically important difference values for these variables, the findings were not clinically relevant. Moreover, UKA patients had fewer complications (RR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.45-0.78; P <0.001) and shorter hospital stays (MD: -0.89; 95% CI: -1.57 to -0.22; P = 0.009) than did TKA patients. There were no statistically significant differences in terms of postoperative range of movement, revision, failure, operation time, and patient satisfaction.
CONCLUSIONS
In terms of clinical efficacy, there was no obvious advantage of UKA over TKA in the surgical treatment of knee OA when considering the minimal clinically important difference. The main advantage of UKA over TKA is that it leads to fewer complications and a shorter length of hospital stay. It is ideal to perform prospective studies with longer follow-up periods to fully evaluate the long-term efficacy and safety of the two procedures in the future.
Humans
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Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/methods*
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Osteoarthritis, Knee/surgery*
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Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
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Treatment Outcome
3.Glucocorticoid Discontinuation in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis under Background of Chinese Medicine: Challenges and Potentials Coexist.
Chuan-Hui YAO ; Chi ZHANG ; Meng-Ge SONG ; Cong-Min XIA ; Tian CHANG ; Xie-Li MA ; Wei-Xiang LIU ; Zi-Xia LIU ; Jia-Meng LIU ; Xiao-Po TANG ; Ying LIU ; Jian LIU ; Jiang-Yun PENG ; Dong-Yi HE ; Qing-Chun HUANG ; Ming-Li GAO ; Jian-Ping YU ; Wei LIU ; Jian-Yong ZHANG ; Yue-Lan ZHU ; Xiu-Juan HOU ; Hai-Dong WANG ; Yong-Fei FANG ; Yue WANG ; Yin SU ; Xin-Ping TIAN ; Ai-Ping LYU ; Xun GONG ; Quan JIANG
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2025;31(7):581-589
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the dynamic changes of glucocorticoid (GC) dose and the feasibility of GC discontinuation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients under the background of Chinese medicine (CM).
METHODS:
This multicenter retrospective cohort study included 1,196 RA patients enrolled in the China Rheumatoid Arthritis Registry of Patients with Chinese Medicine (CERTAIN) from September 1, 2019 to December 4, 2023, who initiated GC therapy. Participants were divided into the Western medicine (WM) and integrative medicine (IM, combination of CM and WM) groups based on medication regimen. Follow-up was performed at least every 3 months to assess dynamic changes in GC dose. Changes in GC dose were analyzed by generalized estimator equation, the probability of GC discontinuation was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curve, and predictors of GC discontinuation were analyzed by Cox regression. Patients with <12 months of follow-up were excluded for the sensitivity analysis.
RESULTS:
Among 1,196 patients (85.4% female; median age 56.4 years), 880 (73.6%) received IM. Over a median 12-month follow-up, 34.3% (410 cases) discontinued GC, with significantly higher rates in the IM group (40.8% vs. 16.1% in WM; P<0.05). GC dose declined progressively, with IM patients demonstrating faster reductions (median 3.75 mg vs. 5.00 mg in WM at 12 months; P<0.05). Multivariate Cox analysis identified age <60 years [P<0.001, hazard ratios (HR)=2.142, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.523-3.012], IM therapy (P=0.001, HR=2.175, 95% CI: 1.369-3.456), baseline GC dose ⩽7.5 mg (P=0.003, HR=1.637, 95% CI: 1.177-2.275), and absence of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (P=0.001, HR=2.546, 95% CI: 1.432-4.527) as significant predictors of GC discontinuation. Sensitivity analysis (545 cases) confirmed these findings.
CONCLUSIONS
RA patients receiving CM face difficulties in following guideline-recommended GC discontinuation protocols. IM can promote GC discontinuation and is a promising strategy to reduce GC dependency in RA management. (Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, No. NCT05219214).
Adult
;
Aged
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Female
;
Humans
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Male
;
Middle Aged
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Arthritis, Rheumatoid/drug therapy*
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Glucocorticoids/therapeutic use*
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Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Retrospective Studies
4.Ursodeoxycholic acid inhibits the uptake of cystine through SLC7A11 and impairs de novo synthesis of glutathione.
Fu'an XIE ; Yujia NIU ; Xiaobing CHEN ; Xu KONG ; Guangting YAN ; Aobo ZHUANG ; Xi LI ; Lanlan LIAN ; Dongmei QIN ; Quan ZHANG ; Ruyi ZHANG ; Kunrong YANG ; Xiaogang XIA ; Kun CHEN ; Mengmeng XIAO ; Chunkang YANG ; Ting WU ; Ye SHEN ; Chundong YU ; Chenghua LUO ; Shu-Hai LIN ; Wengang LI
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(1):101068-101068
Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is a naturally occurring, low-toxicity, and hydrophilic bile acid (BA) in the human body that is converted by intestinal flora using primary BA. Solute carrier family 7 member 11 (SLC7A11) functions to uptake extracellular cystine in exchange for glutamate, and is highly expressed in a variety of human cancers. Retroperitoneal liposarcoma (RLPS) refers to liposarcoma originating from the retroperitoneal area. Lipidomics analysis revealed that UDCA was one of the most significantly downregulated metabolites in sera of RLPS patients compared with healthy subjects. The augmentation of UDCA concentration (≥25 μg/mL) demonstrated a suppressive effect on the proliferation of liposarcoma cells. [15N2]-cystine and [13C5]-glutamine isotope tracing revealed that UDCA impairs cystine uptake and glutathione (GSH) synthesis. Mechanistically, UDCA binds to the cystine transporter SLC7A11 to inhibit cystine uptake and impair GSH de novo synthesis, leading to reactive oxygen species (ROS) accumulation and mitochondrial oxidative damage. Furthermore, UDCA can promote the anti-cancer effects of ferroptosis inducers (Erastin, RSL3), the murine double minute 2 (MDM2) inhibitors (Nutlin 3a, RG7112), cyclin dependent kinase 4 (CDK4) inhibitor (Abemaciclib), and glutaminase inhibitor (CB839). Together, UDCA functions as a cystine exchange factor that binds to SLC7A11 for antitumor activity, and SLC7A11 is not only a new transporter for BA but also a clinically applicable target for UDCA. More importantly, in combination with other antitumor chemotherapy or physiotherapy treatments, UDCA may provide effective and promising treatment strategies for RLPS or other types of tumors in a ROS-dependent manner.
5.Clinical trial on the combination of dinald cream and sertraline hydrochloride for skin itching in hemodialysis patients with uremic blood
Xiao-Xia CHEN ; Xi-Sheng XIE ; Zhi-Peng ZHAN
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(20):2978-2982
Objective To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of desonide cream in combination with cetirizine hydrochloride for the treatment of skin itching in patients with uremia undergoing hemodialysis.Methods Patients with skin itching associated with uremia and hemodialysis were divided into control group and treatment group by random number table.The control group received oral cetirizine hydrochloride,10 mg per dose,once daily for 8 weeks.Patients in the treatment group were treated with desonide cream appropriate amout for external use on the basis of the treatment in the control group,once in the morning and once in the evening every day,and smeared on the pruritus of the patient's skin for 8 weeks.The clinical efficacy of the two groups were compared,and the pruritus symptoms,sleep quality and safety evaluation of the two groups were compared.Results During the trial,a total of 36 cases dropped out,with 52 cases ultimately included in the treatment and control groups,respectively.Following treatment,the total effective rates in the treatment and control groups were 82.69%(43 cases/52 cases)and 63.46%(33 cases/52 cases),respectively,showing statistically significant difference(P<0.05).After treatment,the visual analog scale(VAS)scores for the treatment and control groups were(2.87±1.29)and(3.62±1.76)points,respectively;the modified Dou's analogue grading(Dou's VAG)were(18.24±3.23)and(20.13±4.59)points,respectively;the Pittsburgh sleep quality index(PSQI)scores were(9.57±1.72)and(10.34±2.01)points,respectively.Compared with the control group,the above indexes in treatment group were statistically significant(all P<0.05).The adverse drug reactions of the treatment group were dizziness,nausea and vomiting,and the adverse drug reactions of the control group were dizziness,nausea and vomiting.The total incidence of adverse drug reactions in the treatment group and the control group was 9.62%(5 cases/52 cases)and 7.69%(4 cases/52 cases),respectively,and the difference was no statistically significant(P>0.05).Conclusion The combination of desonide cream and cetirizine hydrochloride has better efficacy and safety than cetirizine hydrochloride alone in treating the itching symptoms of uremic hemodialysis patients.
6.A multicenter retrospective cohort study on the attributable risk of patients with Acinetobacter baumannii sterile body fluid infection
Lei HE ; Dao-Bin JIANG ; Ding LIU ; Xiao-Fang ZHENG ; He-Yu QIU ; Shu-Mei WU ; Xiao-Ying WU ; Jin-Lan CUI ; Shou-Jia XIE ; Qin XIA ; Li HE ; Xi-Zhao LIU ; Chang-Hui SHU ; Rong-Qin LI ; Hong-Ying TAO ; Ze-Fen CHEN
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(1):42-48
Objective To investigate the attributable risk(AR)of Acinetobacter baumannii(AB)infection in criti-cally ill patients.Methods A multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted among adult patients in inten-sive care unit(ICU).Patients with AB isolated from sterile body fluid and confirmed with AB infection in each cen-ter were selected as the infected group.According to the matching criteria that patients should be from the same pe-riod,in the same ICU,as well as with similar APACHE Ⅱ score(±5 points)and primary diagnosis,patients who did not infect with AB were selected as the non-infected group in a 1:2 ratio.The AR was calculated.Results The in-hospital mortality of patients with AB infection in sterile body fluid was 33.3%,and that of non-infected group was 23.1%,with no statistically significant difference between the two groups(P=0.069).The AR was 10.2%(95%CI:-2.3%-22.8%).There is no statistically significant difference in mortality between non-infected pa-tients and infected patients from whose blood,cerebrospinal fluid and other specimen sources AB were isolated(P>0.05).After infected with AB,critically ill patients with the major diagnosis of pulmonary infection had the high-est AR.There was no statistically significant difference in mortality between patients in the infected and non-infec-ted groups(P>0.05),or between other diagnostic classifications.Conclusion The prognosis of AB infection in critically ill patients is highly overestimated,but active healthcare-associated infection control for AB in the ICU should still be carried out.
7.Application Study of Enzyme Inhibitors and Their Conformational Optimization in The Treatment of Alzheimer’s Disease
Chao-Yang CHU ; Biao XIAO ; Jiang-Hui SHAN ; Shi-Yu CHEN ; Chu-Xia ZHANG ; Yu-Yu ZHOU ; Tian-Yuan FANG ; Zhi-Cheng LIN ; Kai XIE ; Shu-Jun XU ; Li-Ping LI
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2024;51(7):1510-1529
Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a central neurodegenerative disease characterized by progressive cognitive dysfunction and behavioral impairment, and there is a lack of effective drugs to treat AD clinically. Existing medications for the treatment of AD, such as Tacrine, Donepezil, Rivastigmine, and Aducanumab, only serve to delay symptoms and but not cure disease. To add insult to injury, these medications are associated with very serious adverse effects. Therefore, it is urgent to explore effective therapeutic drugs for AD. Recently, studies have shown that a variety of enzyme inhibitors, such as cholinesterase inhibitors, monoamine oxidase (MAO)inhibitors, secretase inhibitors, can ameliorate cholinergic system dysfunction, Aβ production and deposition, Tau protein hyperphosphorylation, oxidative stress damage, and the decline of synaptic plasticity, thereby improving AD symptoms and cognitive function. Some plant extracts from natural sources, such as Umbelliferone, Aaptamine, Medha Plus, have the ability to inhibit cholinesterase activity and act to improve learning and cognition. Isochromanone derivatives incorporating the donepezil pharmacophore bind to the catalytic active site (CAS) and peripheral anionic site (PAS) sites of acetylcholinesterase (AChE), which can inhibit AChE activity and ameliorate cholinergic system disorders. A compound called Rosmarinic acid which is found in the Lamiaceae can inhibit monoamine oxidase, increase monoamine levels in the brain, and reduce Aβ deposition. Compounds obtained by hybridization of coumarin derivatives and hydroxypyridinones can inhibit MAO-B activity and attenuate oxidative stress damage. Quinoline derivatives which inhibit the activation of AChE and MAO-B can reduce Aβ burden and promote learning and memory of mice. The compound derived from the combination of propargyl and tacrine retains the inhibitory capacity of tacrine towards cholinesterase, and also inhibits the activity of MAO by binding to the FAD cofactor of monoamine oxidase. A series of hybrids, obtained by an amide linker of chromone in combine with the benzylpiperidine moieties of donepezil, have a favorable safety profile of both cholinesterase and monoamine oxidase inhibitory activity. Single domain antibodies (such as AAV-VHH) targeted the inhibition of BACE1 can reduce Aβ production and deposition as well as the levels of inflammatory cells, which ultimately improve synaptic plasticity. 3-O-trans-p-coumaroyl maslinic acid from the extract of Ligustrum lucidum can specifically inhibit the activity of γ-secretase, thereby rescuing the long-term potentiation and enhancing synaptic plasticity in APP/PS1 mice. Inhibiting γ-secretase activity which leads to the decline of inflammatory factors (such as IFN-γ, IL-8) not only directly improves the pathology of AD, but also reduces Aβ production. Melatonin reduces the transcriptional expression of GSK-3β mRNA, thereby decreasing the levels of GSK-3β and reducing the phosphorylation induced by GSK-3β. Hydrogen sulfide can inhibitGSK-3β activity via sulfhydration of the Cys218 site of GSK-3β, resulting in the suppression of Tau protein hyperphosphorylation, which ameliorate the motor deficits and cognitive impairment in mice with AD. This article reviews enzyme inhibitors and conformational optimization of enzyme inhibitors targeting the regulation of cholinesterase, monoamine oxidase, secretase, and GSK-3β. We are hoping to provide a comprehensive overview of drug development in the enzyme inhibitors, which may be useful in treating AD.
8.Analysis of fertility preservation and HPV negative conversion rate of LEEP by separating the vesicorectal space
Ting JIANG ; Yu XIE ; Ying-Xin GONG ; Yun-Qiang ZHANG ; Yue SHI ; Ruo-Yi GUO ; Qing WANG ; Xiao-Xia LIU
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2024;51(2):211-217
Objective To explore the eradication rate of human papillomavirus(HPV)and gestational outcome of patients with high-grade squamous intraepithelial disease of the cervix(HSIL)after loop electrosurgical excision procedure(LEEP)by transvaginal dissection of the vesicorectal form the cervix.Methods A total of 53 patients treated with LEEP by transvaginal dissection of the vesicorectal form the cervix in Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital,Fudan University from Jan to Dec,2019 were investigated.Clinical information of cervical cytological examination,HPV test and cervical biopsy under colposcopy were followed up for 6,12 and 24 months post-LEEP were collected.HPV infection in these 53 patients were compared before and after LEEP surgery.The rate of successful fertility of the cohort,the HPV conversion rate of patients with hysterectomy and LEEP done were compared.The association between the pathological type and positive surgical margin and the association between HPV infection type and positive surgical margin were analyzed.Results HPV infection rate of was 94.3%(50/53)and the proportion of HPV16 and/or 18 infection was 75.5%(40/53).Mono-HPV infection rate(69.8%,37/53)was significantly higher than mixed HPV infection rate(22.7%,13/53).Thirty-eight patients(71.7%)were found with positive surgical margin in previous LEEP operation.Fifteen patients had recurrence(28.3%)and 40 patients(75.5%)successfully delivered baby after surgery.Postoperative pathology was mainly HSIL,accounting for 66%(30/53),and 28.3%patients(15/53)had no pathological change.Forty cases had satisfying fertility-conservative operation outcome with negative surgical margin,and 38 patients eradicated HPV infection after LEEP,which took up 95%of patients with satisfying fertility-conservative operation.There was no significant difference of positive resection margin rate in between groups of HPV16/18 infection and other types.Five cases had successful delivery(12.5%,5/40)with 1 case of vaginal delivery and 4 cases of cesarean section.Among these 5 cases,3 cases undertook preventive cervical cerclage,with 1 case of vaginal delivery and 2 cases of cesarean sections.Conclusion HPV eradication rate and surgical outcome could be significantly improved by LEEP with transvaginal dissection of the vesicorectal from the cervix,which satisfied the fertility preservation of females at reproductive age.
9.Value of SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 level in evaluating the condition and prognosis of children with refractory mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia
Xia LI ; Jing XIE ; Xiangli XIAO
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2024;45(22):2758-2761,2766
Objective To explore the value of serum amyloid A(SAA)/C-reactive protein(CRP),lactate dehydrogenase(LDH),and Gal-9(Gal-9)levels in the condition and prognosis of children with refractory my-coplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(RMPP).Methods A prospective study was conducted on totally 200 chil-dren with mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(MPP)who visited the hospital from September 2021 to De-cember 2023.They were divided into general mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia(GMPP)group(n=132)and RMPP group(n=68)based on their condition,and they were divided into effective group(n=47)and in-effective group(n=21)based on the outcome of RMPP.General line data and laboratory data of pediatric pa-tients were collected,enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect SAA,CRP,LDH,Gal-9,and SAA/CRP was calculated.Baseline data and laboratory indicators of children with different MPP conditions and RMPP children with different prognosis outcomes were compared.Multivariate Logistic regression analy-sis was used to analyze the independent influencing factors on clinical efficacy in children with RMPP.The cor-relation between SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 was analyzed.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve a-nalysis was analyzed to predict the clinical efficacy of SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 in children with RMPP.Re-sults The levels of SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 in the RMPP group were higher than those in the GMPP group(P<0.05).The levels of SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 in the ineffective group were higher than those in the effective group(P<0.05).Logistic analysis showed that SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 were all independent influencing factors for clinical efficacy in children with RMPP(P<0.05).Pearson correlation analysis showed that SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 were positively correlated pairwise(r=0.427,0.431,0.378).The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve(AUC)of the combination of SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 in pre-dicting the clinical efficacy of RMPP was 0.816(95%CI:0.775-0.913),which was higher than those of sin-gle serum marker diagnosis(P<0.05).Conclusion The serum levels of SAA/CRP,LDH,and Gal-9 in chil-dren with RMPP could be used for disease condition and prognosis evaluation,and there is a close correlation between the above indicators.The combined prediction has a relatively high efficacy in predicting the prognosis of children with RMPP.
10.Trend and genotype characteristics of single-center HPV infection in Tian-jin area based on ARIMA model
Yang LI ; Gui-Lan TAN ; Yi LI ; Xiao-Yuan XIE ; Shu LI ; Fang WU ; Xia LIU
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(10):1249-1257
Objective To construct time-series by adopting autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model for analyzing the trend and genotype characteristics of single-center human papillomavirus(HPV)infection in Tianjin area.Methods A total of 7 236 female patients who underwent HPV testing in a hospital from January 2018 to December 2022 were selected.HPV infection status and genotype distribution in Tianjin area from 2018 to 2022 were compared.ARIMA model time-series was constructed,and model fitting was analyzed.The number of HPV infections in 2023 was predicted and compared with the actual occurrence,the predictive performance of the model was evaluated.Results HPV infection rate in Tianjin area from 2018 to 2022 was 14.41%,with the highest rate(15.47%)in the age group of 31-40 years.Among the positive specimens,the proportion of single type HPV infection was the highest,accounting for 73.54%(767/1 043),with high-risk HPV being the main type.The highest infection rates of low-risk and high-risk types were type HPV-6(2.59%)and type HPV-16(16.06%),re-spectively.ARIMA model was constructed,and the optimal model was ARIMA(0,1,2)(0,1,1)12,with akaike in-formation criterion(AIC)and bayesian information criterion(BIC)values of 3.877 and 4.005,respectively.There was no statistical significance in Ljung-Box Q=8.828 showed by white noise test(P>0.05).The number of HPV infection in 2023 was predicted by the model.The overall trend of the actual value and the predicted value was basi-cally consistent,RMSE,MAPE and MAE of the model were 6.289,34.149 and 4.706,respectively,suggesting that the model had a good prediction effect.Conclusion Among the female population in Tianjin area,HPV infec-tion is mainly caused by single,high-risk type,with HPV-16 having the highest infection rate.There is seasonal variation in HPV infection in Tianjin.ARIMA model has good prediction effect on the prevalence trend of HPV in-fection,which is suitable for short-term prediction.

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