OBJECTIVE: To analyze the current status and temporal trends of the disease burden of spinal fractures in China from 1990 to 2021 based on data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021), aiming to provide evidence for developing prevention and treatment strategies. METHODS: Epidemiological data on spinal fractures in China, the United States of America (USA), and globally were extracted from the GBD 2021 database. Joinpoint regression models were applied to analyze temporal trends. Age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates were calculated, with comparisons of gender- and age-group disparities. RESULTS: In 2021, the number of incident cases, prevalent cases, and DALYs of spinal fractures in China increased by 52.28%, 113.68%, and 106.98%, respectively, compared to 1990. The age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and DALYs rates rose by 11.80%, 16.11%, and 14.79%, respectively. The disease burden escalated significantly with age, peaking in individuals aged ≥75 years. Males exhibited higher age-standardized incidence and DALYs rates than females. Comparative analysis revealed that the age-standardized DALYs rate in China (4.19/100 000) was lower than that in globally (6.62/100 000) and USA (15.92/100 000). However, China showed an upward trend [annual average percentage change (AAPC)=0.19%], contrasting with a declining trend in the USA (AAPC=-0.08%). CONCLUSION The escalating disease burden of spinal fractures in China is closely linked to population aging, gender disparities, and insufficient targeted prevention policies. Future strategies should integrate age- and gender-specific interventions, including strengthened osteoporosis prevention, trauma risk control, and big data-driven precision measures, to mitigate this burden.
Humans ; China/epidemiology* ; Global Burden of Disease/trends* ; Male ; Female ; Spinal Fractures/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Prevalence ; Incidence ; Adult ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; Aged, 80 and over ; United States/epidemiology* ; Cost of Illness ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years ; Child

OBJECTIVE:  To estimate the population attributable disease burden (PAD) of low bone mineral density (LBMD) related fractures (fragility fractures) among Chinese people over 50 years old from 1990 to 2023, using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 (GBD 2023), and to provide evidence for prevention strategies and health resource allocation. METHODS:   Based on the GBD 2023, the LBMD summary exposure values (SEV), fracture incidence, years lived with disability (YLDs), and LBMD-related falls YLDs of Chinese people over 50 years old from 1990 to 2023 were extracted. PAD was calculated with population attributable fraction (PAF), and an entropy-weight method was applied to evaluate the contribution of individual fracture sites. Temporal trends and sex differences were examined with Joinpoint regression. RESULTS:  From 1990 to 2023, the age-standardized SEV of LBMD in people over 50 years old showed an overall decline [average annual percent change (AAPC)=-0.564%]. Age-standardized fracture incidence, fracture YLDs rate, and LBMD-related falls YLDs rate all exhibited W-shaped upward trends (AAPC=1.045%, 0.296%, and 0.724%, respectively). PAF-based estimates indicated that LBMD-attributable fracture incidence likewise increased in a "W-shaped" manner (AAPC=0.558%), whereas the corresponding YLDs rate showed an overall W-shaped decline (AAPC=-0.193%). In international comparison, China and the global average displayed broadly concordant directions of change, with greater volatility in China and a progressive narrowing of the gap after 2015. Regarding sex differences, fracture YLDs rates were consistently higher in the males, whereas the other burden indicators were higher in the females; the temporal patterns were similar in both sexes. Entropy weight method identified hip fractures as contributing most to incidence (weight 0.133), and pelvic fractures as the largest contributor to YLDs rate (weight 0.115). CONCLUSION Since 1990, the LBMD attributable fracture burden in China's older population has risen, with female and hip or pelvic fractures bearing the heaviest load. Strengthened osteoporosis screening, improved insurance coverage, and targeted health education are urgently needed to curb further increases in disease burden.
Humans ; China/epidemiology* ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Male ; Bone Density ; Aged ; Incidence ; Osteoporotic Fractures/epidemiology* ; Aged, 80 and over ; Accidental Falls/statistics & numerical data* ; Cost of Illness ; Global Burden of Disease ; Osteoporosis/complications* ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Fractures, Bone/epidemiology*

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the disease burden of pelvic fractures at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2023 using data from the 2023 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), and to predict the disease burden through 2050. METHODS: Leveraging data from the GBD 2023, this study investigated the disease burden of pelvic fractures across 204 countries and regions. Assessment indicators included incidence rate, prevalence rate, and years lived with disability (YLDs). The Joinpoint regression model was employed to analyze trends in pelvic fracture burden from 1990 to 2023, while the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to quantify this temporal trend. The relationship between the socio-demographic index and pelvic fracture burden was evaluated. Furthermore, the long short-term memory (LSTM) model was applied to predict trends in pelvic fracture burden through 2050. RESULTS: In 2023, the estimated number of new pelvic fracture cases globally was 7 479 884 [95% uncertainty interval ( UI): 5 293 401-10 611 876], representing a 42.74% increase from 1990. In the same year, the number of prevalent pelvic fracture cases and YLDs were 23 007 508 (95% UI: 21 021 518-25 327 165) and 3 909 228 person-years (95% UI: 2 725 498-5 194 385), respectively. Additionally, age-standardized rates exhibited an opposing downward trend. Significant disparities in the disease burden of pelvic fractures were identified across different age groups, genders, and social contexts. According to predictions from the LSTM model, the global age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of pelvic fractures will be approximately 88.44 per 100 000 persons by 2050, while the total number of incident cases will rise to 8 547 095. CONCLUSION Although the overall incidence rate, prevalence rate, and YLDs of pelvic fractures have exhibited an upward trend over the past three decades, the ASIR, age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized years of life lost rate (ASYR) have shown a downward trend. It is predicted that over the upcoming 26-year period, the age-standardized rate of disease burden due to pelvic fractures will further decrease, while the number of incident cases and prevalent cases will continue to exhibit an upward trend. Formulating more targeted disease prevention strategies is critical to addressing disparities across genders, regions, and other dimensions, and to mitigating the burden of pelvic fractures.
Humans ; Fractures, Bone/epidemiology* ; Pelvic Bones/injuries* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Incidence ; Prevalence ; Aged ; Global Burden of Disease/trends* ; Global Health ; Adolescent ; Cost of Illness ; Young Adult ; Forecasting ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Memory, Short-Term

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the current status and trends of the disease burden of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) in China from 1990 to 2023, and to examine the epidemiological characteristics of age, gender differences, and attribution to high body mass index (BMI), in order to provide a basis for formulating prevention and treatment strategies to reduce the disease burden of KOA in China. METHODS: Based on the 2023 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database, data on the number, rate, and age-standardized rate of incidence, prevalence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for KOA, and DALYs for KOA attributable to high BMI in the Chinese population from 1990 to 2023 were integrated. The Joinpoint 5.4.0.0 software was used to analyze the age and gender differences in KOA and the epidemiological characteristics attributable to high BMI. RESULTS: The standardized incidence, prevalence, and DALYs rates of KOA in China in 2023 increased by 6.46%, 6.43%, and 6.93%, respectively, compared with 1990. In terms of age, the disease burden of KOA in China was lowest in the age group of 30-34 years, with the highest incidence rate in the age group of 50-54 years, whereas the prevalence rate and DALYs rate continued to increase with age, and both were highest in the age group of ≥70 years. In terms of gender, all disease burden standardized rate indicators were higher in females than in males, and the difference widened with age. The rate of BMI-attributable DALYs increased at an annual average rate of 1.57% (95% CI: 1.55, 1.59) from 1990 to 2023, again with significant age and gender differences. CONCLUSION The continued growth of the KOA disease burden and significant population differences characterizing China call for focused attention on the female middle-aged and elderly population, enhanced weight management, and implementation of targeted preventive and control measures.
Humans ; Osteoarthritis, Knee/epidemiology* ; China/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Incidence ; Aged ; Adult ; Prevalence ; Body Mass Index ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Cost of Illness ; Aged, 80 and over ; Sex Factors ; Global Burden of Disease ; Age Factors ; Young Adult ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years

OBJECTIVE: To explore the current status and changing trends of the disease burden of traumatic brain injury (TBI) in China from 1990 to 2023, and to quantitatively assess the impact of different influencing factors on this disease burden, thereby providing references for the prevention of TBI. METHODS: Based on the 2023 Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), indicators including incidence and years lived with disability (YLDs) were used to analyze the status and changing trends of TBI disease burden in China from 1990 to 2023. Additionally, the decomposition method established by Gupta was adopted to quantify the effects of population growth, population aging, age-specific incidence rate, and disease severity on YLDs. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2023, the age-standardized incidence rate and YLDs rate of TBI in China showed an overall upward trend, with a significant downward trend between 2015 and 2020, followed by a resumption of upward trend after 2020. The disease burden of TBI in males was higher than that in females, with a larger increase amplitude. The elderly population had higher TBI incidence rate and YLDs rate, also with a larger upward amplitude. Falls were the main cause of TBI in China, and the changing trend of the disease burden caused by falls was consistent with the overall trend of TBI disease burden; meanwhile, the elderly population bore a relatively high disease burden from falls. Taking 1990 as the baseline, the growth rates of YLDs in males and females in 2023 were 101.54% and 101.40%, respectively. For males, the proportions of YLDs growth attributed to population growth, population aging, age-specific incidence rate, and disease severity were 26.91%, 49.62%, 37.74%, and -12.73%, respectively; for females, the corresponding proportions were 28.85%, 57.69%, 27.65%, and -12.79%. CONCLUSION From 1990 to 2023, population aging had a significant impact on the disease burden of TBI in China. Strengthening the prevention and control of falls and paying close attention to males and the elderly population should be the key focuses of TBI prevention and control work in China in the future.
Humans ; Brain Injuries, Traumatic/epidemiology* ; China/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Incidence ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Adult ; Cost of Illness ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Persons with Disabilities/statistics & numerical data* ; Child ; Global Burden of Disease ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Child, Preschool ; Infant ; Aged, 80 and over

OBJECTIVE: To explore the epidemiological characteristics of knee osteoarthritis (KOA) among the elderly in the community, and its correlation with bone mass loss. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted on elderly community population over 50 year old from 12 community health service centers in Zhejiang province. Their gender, age, body mass index (BMI), T value and KOA diagnosis were collected using face to face questionnaire survey. Univariate regression was used to analyze the influence of age, gender, BMI and bone loss on KOA. Logistic multivariate regression model was used to analyze the independent effect of bone mass loss on KOA. RESULTS: Among 4 173 subjects in this study, 1 710 of them were had a KOA. The prevalence rate was 40.9%. The mean age, the proportion of females and the mean BMI in KOA patients were (65.5±3.8) years old, 67.7%(1 158/1 710) and(24.59±1.28) kg·m^-2, respectively, which were significantly higher than (58.5±3.2) years old, 51.3%(1 263/2 463), and (23.48±1.25) kg·m^-2 in non-KOA subjects (P<0.001). In the population aged from 60 to 69 years old, the influence of osteopenia and osteoporosis on the prevalence of KOA was[OR=1.21, 95%CI(1.00, 1.46), P=0.053 2], [OR=1.42, 95%CI(1.14, 1.78), P=0.002 2]. The influence of male and female osteoporosis on the prevalence of KOA was [OR=1.52, 95%CI(1.16, 1.99), P=0.002 7] and [OR=1.87, 95%CI(1.51, 2.32), P<0.000 1], respectively. In the population of 24 kg·m^-2≤BMI<28 kg·m^-2, the influence of osteopenia and osteoporosis on the prevalence of KOA was [OR=1.47, 95%CI(1.21, 1.80), P=0.000 1], [OR=2.69, 95%CI(2.11, 3.42), P<0.000 1], respectively. After controlling the confounding factors of age, gender and BMI, compared with people with normal bone mass, the effect of osteopenia on the prevalence of KOA was [OR=1.34, 95%CI(1.08, 1.67), P=0.009 2], and the effect of osteoporosis on the prevalence of KOA was [OR=1.38, 95%CI(1.06, 1.79), P=0.017 9]. CONCLUSION Elderly overweight women are more likely to develop KOA. Bone mass loss is an independent risk factor for KOA, which will significantly increase the prevalence of KOA in people overweight or aged 60 to 69 years old.
Humans ; Female ; Male ; Aged ; Osteoarthritis, Knee/etiology* ; Middle Aged ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Bone Density ; Aged, 80 and over ; Incidence ; Body Mass Index ; China/epidemiology* ; Osteoporosis/epidemiology*

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the risk factors associated with the development of knee osteoarthritis (OA) following arthroscopic surgery for degenerative lesions of the posterior horn of the medial meniscus. METHODS: Between January 2012 and January 2014, a retrospective analysis was conducted on 506 patients who underwent arthroscopic surgery for degenerative disease of the posterior horn of the medial meniscus. The cohort included 230 males and 276 females, aged from 32 to 58 years old with an average of (46.77±9.02) years old. According to the results of postoperative follow-up, patients were categorized into a knee osteoarthritis(OA) group and a non-OA group. The following parameters were recorded for each subject:gender, medial proximal tibial angle (MPTA), hip-knee-ankle angle (HKA), presence of bone edema on MRI, physical characteristics (including McMurray test results, locking symptoms, and medial knee tenderness points), meniscus protrusion, type of meniscus injury, and free body condition as observed via arthroscopy. Multivariate unconditional Logistic regression analysis was employed to investigate the associated factors influencing the 10-year postoperative incidence of knee osteoarthritis following surgery for degenerative injury of the posterior horn of the medial meniscus. Independent risk factors potentially influencing the development of postoperative OA were identified, and a nomogram-based predictive model for postoperative OA was established. The discriminatory ability and calibration accuracy of the model were assessed using the C-index and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, respectively. Furthermore, internal validation was performed using the bootstrap resampling method. RESULTS: Within a 10-year period following arthroscopic surgery, there were 123 patients in the OA group and 383 patients in the non-OA group. Significant differences were observed between two groups with respect to gender (χ²=5.156, P=0.023), MPTA<86.6° (χ²=21.671, P<0.001), varus lower limb alignment( χ²= 80.086, P<0.001). Additionally, meniscus extrusion (χ²=6.371, P=0.012), meniscus transverse tear (χ²=14.573, P<0.001), and bone edema detected on MRI(χ²=9.881, P=0.002) were identified as factors associated with the development of postoperative knee OA. The multifactorial Logistic regression analysis revealed that the lower limb line of force inversion OR=4.324, 95%CI (1.391, 13.443), P=0.011;MPTA <86.6°, OR=2.519, 95%CI (1.150, 5.519), P=0.021;transverse meniscus tear, OR=4.546, 95%CI (1.827, 11.310), P=0.001;meniscus ectropion, OR=5.401, 95%CI (1.992, 14.646), P=0.001;and bone edema manifestation on MRI OR=2.692, 95%CI (1.169, 6.200), P=0.020. They were independent risk factors associated with the development of postoperative OA. The area under the ROC curve predicted by the model was 0.927, 95%CI (0.903, 0.950). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, used to evaluate the accuracy of the model, yielded P=0.689. Additionally, the internally sampled calibration curve demonstrated good consistency with the actual postoperative OA outcomes. CONCLUSION Varus alignment of the lower extremity, MPTA <86.6°, transverse meniscus tear, lateral meniscus injury, and bone marrow edema observed on MRI were independent risk factors for the development of knee osteoarthritis following arthroscopic surgery. Additionally, the prognostic model demonstrated excellent predictive performance.
Humans ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Arthroscopy/adverse effects* ; Adult ; Retrospective Studies ; Tibial Meniscus Injuries/surgery* ; Osteoarthritis, Knee/epidemiology* ; Risk Factors ; Menisci, Tibial/surgery* ; Incidence ; Postoperative Complications/epidemiology*

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of intubation with electromyographic (EMG) endotracheal tubes versus conventional wire-reinforced (CWR) tubes on the incidence of postoperative sore throat (POST) in patients undergoing thyroidectomy under general anesthesia and identify the risk factors for POST. METHODS: We retrospectively collected the clinical data from a cohort of 245 patients undergoing elective thyroid surgery under general anesthesia at the Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between October, 2024 and March, 2025. Patients received intubation with either EMG endotracheal tubes (n=100) or CWR tubes (n=145) during the operation, and the incidences of POST and other postoperative complications were compared between the two groups. Propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to adjust for the baseline differences, and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors for POST. RESULTS: Comparisons of the baseline data revealed significant differences between the two groups (P<0.05). After PSM, 90 patients in EMG group and 75 in CWR group were included in the final analysis with matching baseline characteristics (P>0.05). Post-matching analysis showed that the EMG group had a shorter operative time (P=0.002) but a higher incidence of POST (P=0.001). Multivariate logistic regression identified the use of EMG tubes (OR=17.50, 95% CI: 2.25-136.03, P<0.01) as an independent risk factor for POST. CONCLUSIONS Intubation with EMG endotracheal tubes can shorten the operative time and allow recurrent laryngeal nerve monitoring during thyroidectomy under general anesthesia, but their structural design may increase the risk of POST. Clinical decisions should be made to balance nerve protection and postoperative patient comfort by selecting appropriate tube types and optimizing intubation strategies to enhance perioperative outcomes.
Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; Intubation, Intratracheal/instrumentation* ; Thyroidectomy/adverse effects* ; Anesthesia, General ; Postoperative Complications/epidemiology* ; Pharyngitis/epidemiology* ; Electromyography ; Risk Factors ; Female ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Incidence

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to estimate the incidence of hypertension and determine the risk factors for hypertension among apparently healthy adult Filipinos.

This observational prospective community-based study included apparently healthy adult individuals aged 20–50 years from the Life Course Study in Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology (LIFECARE) Philippine cohort at baseline and followed-up after an average of four years. Sociodemographic data, psychosocial stress, and clinical and metabolic profiles were obtained and analyzed. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with the development of hypertension.

A total of 2,089 non-hypertensive participants were included, with 59% women and average age of 35 years (SD = 8.4). The incidence rate of hypertension was 38.1 per 1,000 person-years. The cumulative incidence of hypertension over a mean follow-up time of four years was 15.4% (95% CI = 13.9–17.0%). The risk of incident hypertension was higher among males (aHR=1.3, 95% CI: 1.0–1.8; p=0.044), ≥40 years old (aHR=3.9, 95% CI: 2.6–5.8; pCONCLUSION

The 4-year incidence rate of hypertension among apparently healthy adult Filipinos is high. Increased age, male sex, family history of hypertension, abdominal obesity, and high normal blood pressure were significantly associated with the development of hypertension.

INTRODUCTION: Postoperative urinary retention (POUR) frequently complicates the course of patients following hip and knee arthroplasty. Intrathecal morphine (ITM) was identified as a significant risk factor for POUR. The objective of this study was to investigate the incidence and risk factors for POUR in fast-track total joint arthroplasty (TJA) under spinal anaesthesia (SA) with ITM. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of our institutional joint registry of patients who underwent primary TJA under SA with ITM between October 2017 and May 2021. Preoperative (baseline demographics) and perioperative data were collected. The primary outcome was the incidence of POUR after 8 h or earlier, either due to lack of voiding or according to patient's complaints of bladder distension. Univariate and adjusted analyses were performed to identify predictors of POUR. RESULTS: Sixty-nine patients who underwent total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and 36 patients who underwent total hip arthroplasty (THA) under SA with ITM were included in the study. POUR requiring bladder catheterisation was diagnosed in 21% of patients. Independent predictors of POUR were age over 65 years and male gender. CONCLUSIONS SA with ITM for TJA is associated with high rates of POUR in males older than 65 years of age. Other previously identified risk factors such as intraoperative fluid administration or comorbidities may not be as influential.
Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; Male ; Urinary Retention/epidemiology* ; Arthroplasty, Replacement, Knee/adverse effects* ; Anesthesia, Spinal/adverse effects* ; Female ; Arthroplasty, Replacement, Hip/adverse effects* ; Morphine/adverse effects* ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Risk Factors ; Postoperative Complications/epidemiology* ; Injections, Spinal ; Incidence ; Analgesics, Opioid/adverse effects* ; Aged, 80 and over