1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Retrospective analysis of leukopenia in apheresis platelet donors
Xiaomei JIE ; Jingyi CAI ; Ziyi HE ; Yatao FEI ; Yingmei LIANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(1):90-96
Objective: To analyze the causes and distribution characteristics of leukopenia in apheresis platelet donors, and to formulate effective pre-donation intervention measures. Methods: The data of apheresis platelet donors with leukopenia in Dongguan Central Blood Station during the entire year of 2021 were collected. Combined with the results of peripheral blood smear examination, the related factors that may cause leukopenia were analyzed. Results: There were 57 apheresis platelet donors with leukopenia in peripheral blood, with an incidence of 1.53% (57/3 726). The rate of leukopenia showed no significant difference between male and female apheresis platelet donors (χ
=0.627, P>0.05), and was not related to the frequency of platelet donation (χ
=1.48, P>0.05). However, there were statistically significant differences in the rate of leukopenia across seasons (χ
=10.13, P<0.05), highly significant differences among different age groups (χ
=22.98, P<0.001), and a significant association with the number of apheresis platelet donations (χ
=7.80, P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (36-55 years old), number of donations (≥26 times), and season (first and fourth quarters) were independent risk factors for leukopenia in apheresis platelet donors, while gender had no significant independent effect on leukopenia. Peripheral blood smear examination was performed on all apheresis platelet donors with leukopenia, and primary malignant hematological diseases infiltrated into peripheral blood were excluded. Among them, two cases of peripheral blood smear showed left shift of granulocyte nucleus with increased and thickened granules, whereas the other 55 cases only showed decreased peripheral blood nucleated cell counts without obvious morphological abnormalities. Conclusion: Leukopenia in apheresis platelet donors mainly occurred in young and middle-aged people and those with ≥26 donations, with high incidence in winter and spring, and more common in males. Blood routine examination combined with blood smear examination can facilitate the detection of conditions that are not suitable for blood donation, including hematological malignant diseases and infection-related leukopenia. Strengthening health consultation before blood donation is an important measure to identify blood donors with leukopenia.
3.Intervention Strategies for Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction Using Combined Classical Formulas Based on the Theory of "Disease of Both Blood and Water"
Yuzhi JIA ; Qingyong HE ; Jie WANG ; Xin ZHAO ; Ziyi WANG ; Dongmei LI ; Junqiao AN
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2026;67(4):370-374
Based on the theory of "disease of both blood and water" in Essentials from the Golden Cabinet (《金匮要略》), and in combination with the dynamic syndrome evolution of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), this paper systematically clarifies the pathomechanism of HFpEF, characterized by yang deficiency as the root, blood stasis as the pivotal factor and water retention as the manifestation. Accordingly, the therapeutic principles have been proposed, which are warming yang and banking up original qi to consolidate the root, activating blood and unblocking collaterals to smooth the mechanism, and promoting urination and regulating pivot to remove the branch. On this basis, a compound formula structure of "one monarch, one minister and one assistant" is established, forming an integrated intervention strategy that synergistically combines the three methods of warming yang, activating blood, and promoting urination through combined classical formulas. Zhenwu Decoction (真武汤), which warms yang and dissolves rheum, is used to consolidate the root and directly target the source of yang deficiency, serving as the monarch; Guizhi Fuling Pills (桂枝茯苓丸), which activates blood, promotes urination and unblocks the pivot, assists in interrupting the binding of blood stasis and water retention, serving as the minister; Tingli Dazao Xiefei Decoction (葶苈大枣泻肺汤), which regulates qi, disperses retained fluids, and eliminates the manifestation, alleviates acute water-retention symptoms, serving as the assistant. This compound formula is warming without being drying, diuretic without being drastic, and dispels stasis without consuming blood, thereby achieving the therapeutic effects of warming yang, activating blood, and promoting urination.
4.Research Advances in Construction Methods and Novel Technologies for Animal Models of Pulmonary Hypertension
Ziyi CHEN ; Hongyan SUN ; Pinfang KANG ; Wenjuan WU
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2026;46(1):81-93
Pulmonary hypertension (PH), marked by sustained elevation of pulmonary artery pressure, imposes a heavy burden on the right ventricle and may culminate in right heart failure. Its pathogenesis is multifaceted, encompassing endothelial dysfunction, vascular smooth muscle proliferation, inflammation, thrombosis, and genetic factors. Animal models serve as core tools for exploring PH mechanisms and therapies, each with unique strengths and limitations. The single-dose monocrotaline (MCT) model is one of the most commonly used experimental animal models of PH and is widely applied in mechanistic studies, drug screening, and efficacy evaluation; it offers simplicity and cost-effectiveness, can induce PH within a short period, yet its pathophysiology differs to some extent from human idiopathic PH. In contrast, the Sugen5416 combined with chronic hypoxia model better mimics PH progression by placing animals under hypoxic conditions to induce pulmonary vasoconstriction and vascular remodeling, but it requires a longer modelling time, and the degree of hypoxia has a substantial impact on experimental outcomes. Beyond these two commonly used modeling approaches, a variety of emerging techniques have been applied in PH research; gene-editing technologies enable precise investigation of specific gene functions in PH. Additionally, induced pluripotent stem cell-based 3D organoid technology allows for individualized modelling while preserving patients' genetic information for precise clinical translation. Each model or technology can simulate different aspects of the pathological processes of human PH, and their findings provide key insights into the nature of the disease and serve as an important platform for the development of novel therapeutic targets. This paper comprehensively describes various animal models and emerging technologies used in PH research, analyzing their characteristics, applications, and limitations, with the aim of providing experimental and technical support for the development of new therapeutic strategies and drugs.
5.Study on the measurable and traceable standards of quality markers for Compound xiebai capsules
Yueheng LIU ; Guoliang DAI ; Xuewen SHAO ; Ziyi YANG ; Wenzheng JU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(4):444-449
OBJECTIVE To explore and predict the quality markers (Q-markers) of Compound xiebai capsules for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) by constituents analysis combined with network pharmacology and molecular docking studies, and to establish the quality standard of Compound xiebai capsules. METHODS UHPLC-TOF-MS was used for qualitative analysis of Compound xiebai capsules, and the candidate Q-markers of Compound xiebai capsules were screened by combining network pharmacology and molecular docking technology. Further, HPLC was applied to establish the fingerprints of 15 batches of Compound xiebai capsules and to conduct quantitative analysis of the main components. RESULTS A total of 51 components were identified from Compound xiebai capsules. Among them, 15 components, namely oxyberberine, methylworenine, coptisine, tetrahydroberberine, epiberberine, berberine, magnoflorine, gandensin, cucurbitacin D, hydroxygenkwan, jatrorrhizine, columbamine, quercetin, cucurbitacin R, and palmatine, were determined as the candidate Q-markers for Compound xiebai capsules in the treatment of COPD. A total of 13 common peaks were calibrated in the fingerprints of 15 batches of Compound xiebai capsules for COPD treatment, with similarity values ranging from 0.976 to 0.999 compared to the reference fingerprint. Seven components were identified among these peaks, namely peak 5 (magnoflorine), peak 8 (jatrorrhizine), peak 9 (epiberberine), peak 10 (columbamine), peak 11 (coptisine), peak 12 (palmatine), and peak 13 (berberine). Their respective contents were (0.267±0.048), (0.453±0.084), (0.572±0.160), (0.392±0.074), (1.076±0.273), (1.477±0.271), and (6.664±1.249) mg/g ( n =3). CONCLUSIONS This study predicted 15 candidate Q-markers of Compound xiebai capsules in the treatment of COPD and established the fingerprint along with a quantitative determination method for seven major components.
6.Association between urinary levels of six per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances in early pregnancy and risk of gestational diabetes mellitus
Ziyi LIU ; Luming YAN ; Tingting JIANG ; Yaling LI ; Chao ZHANG ; Jiahu HAO
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(2):174-181
Background Per- and poly-fluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) can influence gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM); however, current studies on their association are limited and have yielded inconsistent findings. Objective To investigate the association between maternal exposure to PFAS, as measured by urinary concentrations in early pregnancy, and the risk of developing GDM. Methods Based on the Wuhu Birth Cohort in Anhui Province conducted between 2020 and 2023, this study included
7.Correlation of daytime outdoor light exposure and moderate to vigorous physical activities with sleep quality among primary school students
WANG Ziyi, DUAN Zhihong, MAIHELIYAKEZI Tuersunniyazi, PENG Hui, ZHU Yanhong, SHI Huijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(3):351-354
Objective:
To analyze the independent and interaction effects of daytime outdoor light exposure and moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) duration on sleep quality of primary school students, so as to provide scientific evidence for interventions on children s sleep health.
Methods:
From April to June 2024, a total of 444 students from grades 3 and 4 in 2 primary schools in Jiading District, Shanghai were selected using stratified random cluster sampling method for continuous 7 day monitoring. Wearable devices "Clouclip" were used to monitor daytime outdoor activity time (represented by time with light intensity ≥ 1 000 lx ), and accelerometers were used to monitor MVPA time and sleep quality related indicators. Multiple linear regression was used to analyze the associations of daytime outdoor activity and MVPA with sleep quality.
Results:
Both daytime outdoor light exposure and MVPA duration(longer actual sleep duration per night,longer time in bed,fewer awakening and shorter post sleep awakening shic) were independently associated with multiple sleep indicators( β =0.52, 0.46, -0.83, -2.19, all P <0.05), with no significant interaction between the associations ( P >0.05). After controlling for MVPA, more daytime outdoor light exposure was significantly and independently associated with longer actual sleep time ( β =0.50, 95% CI =0.21-0.79, P <0.05). After controlling for light exposure, longer MVPA duration was independently associated with shorter post-sleep awakening duration ( β=-4.15, 95% CI = -6.33 to -1.96, P <0.05).
Conclusion
Increased daytime outdoor activity and MVPA are both associated with better sleep quality in primary school students.
8.Red blood cell transfusion refractoriness due to mimicking alloantibodies: a case report
Xiaomei JIE ; Ziyi HE ; Yiming HU ; Menghui BEI ; Yatao FEI
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(3):397-401
Objective: To identify the mimicking autoantibodies using papain-enhanced erythrocyte agglutination in a case of repeated red blood cell transfusion refractoriness, aiming to explore the immune hematological methods for identifying mimicking alloantibodies, autoantibodies and alloantibodies, and to develop a safe and effective blood transfusion strategy based on the results. Methods: ABO, RhD and RhEeCc blood groups were detected using routine blood group serological method. The unexpected antibodies in plasma were screened and identified, followed by identification using a two-step papain-treated indirect antiglobulin test (enzyme-IAT). The cause of transfusion refractoriness of red blood cells was analyzed and summarized, and the prognosis was followed up. Results: The patient's blood type was type A, CCDee. The direct antiglobulin test (DAT) was positive. Unexpected antibody screening and identification using saline tube method, polybrene method, IAT were negative, and the release fluid (acid release) IAT identification was negative. Mimicking anti-e antibodies in plasma was identified by enzyme-ITA. The cause of red blood cell transfusion refractoriness in patients was autoimmune hemolysis caused by mimicking anti-e antibodies. After choosing to avoid antibodies corresponding to antigen-positive red blood cells, the patient's hemoglobin (Hb) increase value is in line with theoretical expectations, indicating effective red blood cell transfusion. Conclusion: Mimicking antibodies can cause immune destruction of red blood cells by non-specific binding to their own red blood cells and specific binding to red blood cells, resulting in red blood cell transfusion refractoriness.
9.The Potential Role of Immune Checkpoint Molecules in the Pathogenesis of Autoimmune Hepatitis and in Targeted Therapy
Haixia LI ; Aiping TIAN ; Miao XUE ; Ziyi LI ; Xiaorong MAO
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(2):512-518
Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a chronic, immune-mediated liver injury of unknown etiology. The onset of this disease involves the activation and recruitment of diverse immune and non-immune cells, which in turn trigger hepatic damage. Immune checkpoint molecules (ICM) are expressed on the surface of multiple cell types. By regulating cellular functional states, they help limit the intensity and duration of immune responses, thereby preventing excessive inflammation and tissue damage, and maintaining immune homeostasis. In AIH, however, this natural "braking" mechanism is impaired, leading to aberrant activation of both immune and non-immune cells and the breakdown of immune homeostasis. Consequently, ICM are likely to play a critical role in the pathogenesis of AIH. A deeper understanding of the function of ICM in AIH not onlyadvances our insight into the disease mechanism, but also suggests that targeting these molecules may represent a promising therapeutic strategy for the treatment of AIH.
10.Pharmacoeconomic evaluation of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant in the second-line treatment of HR+/HER2− locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer
Ran LIU ; Shengnan GAO ; Congxin LI ; Yuxi ZHANG ; Ranran ZHANG ; Yue WANG ; Ziyi LIU ; Guoqiang LIU
China Pharmacy 2026;37(8):1033-1038
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant as second-line treatment for patients with hormone receptor-positive(HR+)/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (HER2–) locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer, within the context of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS A partitioned survival model was established based on the CULMATE-1 study, with a simulation time horizon set at 15 years and a cycle length of 28 days. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant versus fulvestrant monotherapy as second-line treatment for HR+/HER2– breast cancer was calculated. One-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to assess the robustness of the model. Meanwhile, scenario analysis of culmerciclib price reduction was conducted; the required price reduction and price to reach the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold in this study were calculated. RESULTS The results of the base-case analysis indicated that, compared with the fulvestrant monotherapy regimen, culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant yielded an additional 0.823 quality-adjusted life year (QALY), with a corresponding ICER of 371 696.26 yuan/QALY, which exceeded the WTP threshold (199 330 yuan/QALY). The results of the univariate sensitivity analysis indicated that the cost of culmerciclib, the discount rate, the utility values for progression disease and progression free survival status were significant factors influencing the ICER; both the univariate sensitivity analysis and the probabilistic sensitivity analysis validated the robustness of the model results. Scenario analysis indicated that when the price of culmerciclib was reduced by 30%, 55% and 85% respectively, the corresponding ICER values fell below 3, 2, and 1 times China’s per capita GDP in 2025, with the probability of cost-effectiveness being 3.00%, 94.90%, 100%. When the cost of culmerciclib (60 mg) was reduced by 52.6% to 50.96 yuan, the ICER value met the WTP threshold established in this study. CONCLUSIONS When the WTP threshold is set at twice China’s per capita GDP in 2025, second-line treatment with culmerciclib combined with fulvestrant for HR+/HER2– locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer does not exhibit cost-effectiveness advantage over fulvestrant monotherapy. Therefore, a reasonable price reduction is required to alleviate the financial burden on patients.


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