1.Development and validation of a nomogram model for predicting the risk of ventilator-associated pneumonia in patients with mechanical ventilation
Jiaying LI ; Guifang LI ; Ziqing LIU ; Hongxiao YANG ; Jincong WANG ; Xingyu YANG ; Qiuyan YANG ; Yao BIAN ; Rong MA
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(1):47-54
Objective:To develop a nomogram model for predicting the risk of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in patients with mechanical ventilation (MV) and to validate the stability of the prediction performance of the model.Methods:The patients with MV admitted to the Department of Critical Care Medicine of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from January 2019 to December 2022 were retrospectively selected according to the order of admission. The patients with MV were divided into the non-VAP group and the VAP group according to whether VAP occurred. The clinical data of the two groups, including general information, disease, medication, condition, and operation-related indicators were collected as candidate predictors of the model for comparison. Multivariate logistic stepwise forward regression analysis was used to screen the predictors that finally entered the model, and a nomogram model was constructed. The model discrimination was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the diagnostic test results of the model at the predicted threshold were calculated, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the model fit, and the Bootstrap resampling was used 1 000 times for internal validation, and model calibration and clinical applicability were evaluated by calibration curve and decision analysis curve, respectively.Results:A total of 1 250 patients with MV were included, including 1 102 patients in the non-VAP group and 148 patients in the VAP group, and the prevalence of VAP was 11.8%. The detection of multidrug-resistant organisms, chronic kidney disease, brain injury, oxygenation index, the place of tracheal intubation, reintubation, use of bronchoscopy, use of antibiotics, and MV duration were model predictors of VAP. The AUC of the nomogram model was 0.917 (95% CI: 0.895-0.939), the maximum Youden index of 0.697 corresponded to a prediction threshold of 0.096. The model accuracy, sensitivity and specificity were 0.836, 0.865, and 0.832, respectively. The positive predictive value and the negative predictive value were 0.409 and 0.979, respectively. The Hosmer- Lemeshow test indicated that the model fit well ( P=0.938). The results of the internal validation of the model showed that the predicted risk of the calibration curve was generally consistent with the actual risk, and the decision threshold probability of the decision analysis curve ranged from 2% to 90%. Conclusions:The nomogram model developed in this study is simple, convenient and has relatively stable prediction performance, which can be externally validated to evaluate the extrapolation of the model, and provide a basis for individualized clinical prediction of the risk of VAP in patients with MV.
2.Informationized surveillance of central line-associated bloodstream infections in maintenance hemodialysis patients and risk factors
Ziqing GUO ; Menghan ZHAO ; Bing ZHANG ; Qi QI ; Yaoyao MA ; Jinping LIU ; Yiping MAO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(5):752-757
OBJECTIVE To explore the risk factors for central line-associated bloodstream infection(CLABSI)in the maintenance hemodialysis(MHD)patients based on the informatization surveillance system and establish and verify the risk prediction model so as to provide bases for early identification and prevention of CLABSI.METHODS A total of 300 MHD patients who were treated in hemodialysis center of the Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University from Jan.2020 to Dec.2023 were recruited as the research subjects and were randomly divided into the training set group with 210 cases and the validation set group with 90 cases in a 7∶3 ratio.The risk factors for the CLABSI were analyzed,the prediction model was established and verified.The performance of the model was evaluated by the area under the curve(AUC)of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test.RESULTS Among the 300 MHD patients who were treated with central venous catheters,32 were diagnosed with CLABSI,and the incidence was 0.65 per 1,000 catheter days.Multivari-ate analysis showed that catheter indwelling time,repeated catheterization,previous history of catheter-related in-fection and diabetes mellitus were the risk factors for the CLABSI in the MHD patients(P<0.05).The model based on the logistic regression equation was established as follows:logit(P)=-5.661+0.024 × catheter in-dwelling duration(week)+2.037 × repeated catheterization+1.546 × previous history of catheter-related infec-tion+3.391× diabetes mellitus.ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the training set was 0.916(95%CI:0.837 to 0.994),with the sensitivity 87.00%,the specificity 86.63%,Youden index 0.736;the AUC of the vali-dation set was 0.797(95%CI:0.632 to 0.962),with the sensitivity 77.78%,the specificity 82.72%,the Youden index 0.605.The model showed excellent discrimination and calibration degree.CONCLUSION The logistic regres-sion equation that is established based on the 4 risk factors,catheter indwelling duration,repeated catheterization,previous history of catheter-related infection and diabetes mellitus,shows remarkable predictive efficiency,and it can provide evidence for clinical screening and prevention of CLABSI.
3.Current status of healthcare-associated infection management in 62 prima-ry medical institutions in Jiangsu Province
Menghan ZHAO ; Qi QI ; Ziqing GUO ; Jinping LIU ; Yaoyao MA ; Yiping MAO
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2025;24(4):539-544
Objective To understand the application of healthcare-associated infection(HAI)quality control indi-cators and current status of HAI management in primary medical institutions in Jiangsu Province,and provide refe-rence and basis for primary medical institutions to improve HAI management quality and for health administrative departments to formulate HAI management relevant policies.Methods Data on HAI quality control indicators co-llected by Jiangsu Provincial Primary Healthcare Professional Quality Control Center from the first batch of 62 pri-mary sentinel medical institutions in the province were analyzed.Results of on-site inspections and assessments of 20 institutions were summarized and analyzed.Results From July 2023 to May 2024,a total of 145 814 inpatients were monitored,219 patients had 220 episodes of HAI.The incidence and case incidence of HAI were both 0.15%,and the main HAI site was upper respiratory tract(40.45%).The compliance rate and correct rate of hand hygiene were 81.34%(14.29%-100%)and 87.90%(18.46%-100%),respectively.The removal rate of surface pollu-tant from environmental objects was 77.24%(20.00%-100%),and the qualified rate of cleaning of device,appli-ances,and articles was 98.76%(10.00%-100%).The monitoring data records of quality control indicators in most primary healthcare institutions during on-site inspections didn't match the monthly data reported to the Jiangsu Provincial Primary Healthcare Professional Quality Control Center.Most healthcare workers in primary healthcare institutions lacked sufficient awareness and knowledge in infection prevention and control.Multiple HAI-related safety hazards existed in key departments of most primary medical institutions.Conclusion After nearly a year of continuous monitoring on HAI,the primary sentinel medical institutions have established their own data on the inci-dence of HAI.The compliance rate and correct rate of hand hygiene,as well as the removal rate of surface pollu-tants from environmental objects are still relatively low in some medical medical institutions,and there is much room for improvement.There is still a significant gap in terms of HAI prevention and control in some primary medical in-stitutions when referring to the standards.
4.Expert Consensus on Optimisation of Emergency Management Procedure for Hand Injury in Microsurgery (2025)
Ziqing ZHANG ; Jianxi HOU ; Kelie WANG ; Jian QI ; Rongfeng ZHANG ; Dong HUANG ; Xiaoju ZHENG ; Muwei LI ; Qiqiang DONG ; Xianyou ZHENG ; Shuqiang XIE ; Qiao HOU ; Gangyi LIU ; Jian LIN ; Jihui JU ; Huaqiao WANG ; Liqiang GU
Chinese Journal of Microsurgery 2025;48(4):361-372
Standardised emergency management protocols for hand injury in microsurgery is critical, as it directly determines ultimate clinical outcomes. This consensus consolidates expert insights regarding diagnostic and treatment procedure for hand injury in microsurgery, emergency support protocols and key points of emergency workflow optimisation. It summarises the opinions of experts and puts forward standardised recommendations to guide clinical practice in microsurgical treatment process, so as to further improve the quality of treatment for hand injury in microsurgery and maximise the protection of limb function and quality of life of patients.
5.Plasmid characteristics and genome tracing analysis of a bacterial dysentery outbreak in Shandong Province, originating from Shigella sonnei producing extended spectrum β-lactamase
Shuang WANG ; Lu LIU ; Yu MA ; Hui LYU ; Xiaolin YU ; Ziqing LIU ; Yuzhen CHEN ; Ming FANG ; Yi LIU ; Gaoxiang SUN ; Yanru CHEN ; Lianchen FU ; Zengqiang KOU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(6):901-907
Objective:To investigate the drug resistance gene characteristics, plasmid characteristics and genome tracing of Shigella sonnei causing a bacillary dysentery outbreak in Shandong Province. Methods:Sixty-five Shigella sonnei strains isolated from a 2021 outbreak in a county of Shandong Province were analyzed using antimicrobial susceptibility testing, whole genome sequencing (WGS), characterization of resistance and virulence genes, plasmid profiling, core genome multilocus sequence typing (cgMLST), and single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) analysis. Results:All isolates had the same resistance phenotype and genotypes and were multidrug-resistant ESBL-producing Shigella sonnei, carrying important virulence genes. Plasmid analysis revealed a conserved genetic arrangement, pil( M/ N/ O2/ P)-tra( F/ H/ J/ K/ N/ O/ P/ Q)-IS Ecp1- blaCTX-M-14-Tn 903- yub( J/ I/ F/ G/ E/ D), and shared across strains from diverse regions and bacterial species. The cgMLST and SNP analyses demonstrated concordant clustering, with all 65 outbreak-related strains forming a single cluster alongside human-derived strains from Guangxi. Conclusion:The ESBL-producing Shigella sonnei responsible for the outbreak shares a homologous relationship with Guangxi human-derived strains, and the detected resistance plasmids and virulence genes underscore the need to strengthen drug resistance surveillance and genome tracing.
6.Analysis of influencing factors of blood transfusion in children with traumatic brain injury and construc-tion of prediction model:A multi-center retrospective study
Wei LIU ; Jun HOU ; Longquan TANG ; Peng ZHOU ; Yan ZHONG ; Qinyan LUO ; Xiaoyu KUANG ; Hua LIU ; Ziqing XIONG ; Wei XIONG ; Chenggao WU ; Aiping LE
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(4):553-560
Objective To develop a predictive model for guiding blood transfusion decisions in pediatric patients with traumatic brain injury(TBI)by identifying and analyzing key factors that influence blood transfusion requirements.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 1,535 pediatric patients with TBI admitted to four medical institutions from January 1,2015,to December 31,2022.Patients were divided into two groups:those who received red blood cell transfusions during hospitalization and those who did not.Comparative analyses were performed on demographic,clinical,and laboratory data between these two groups.Logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors associated with in-hospital blood transfusion,and a predictive model was developed using a nomogram.The performance of this model was evaluated using a receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results Significant differences were observed between the blood transfusion and non-blood transfusion groups in terms of baseline demographics,clinical indicators,and laboratory test results(all P<0.05).Patients in the blood transfusion group exhibited significantly higher in-hospital mortality,compli-cation rates,use of mechanical ventilation,ICU admission rates,and length of stay compared to those in the non-blood transfusion group(all P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified heart rate,presence of other fractures,treatment methods,hemoglobin(Hb),platelet count(Plt),activated partial thromboplastin time(APTT),and D-dimer levels as independent risk factors for blood transfusion in TBI patients.The area under the ROC curve for the blood transfusion prediction model,based on these independent risk factors,was 0.95(95%CI:0.94~0.97),indicating excellent predictive accuracy.Calibration and decision curves further validated the robust-ness and reliability of the model's predictive capacity.Conclusions Heart rate,presence of other fractures,treatment methods,Hb,Plt count,APTT,and D-dimer levels serve as independent risk factors for blood transfusion in TBI patients.The prediction model developed based on these factors demonstrates excellent predictive performance,thereby guiding clinicians in making informed blood transfusion decisions and enhancing the success rate of patient outcomes.
7.Targeted surveillance on healthcare-associated infection in patients in emergency rescue room and observation room
Yaoyao MA ; Jinping LIU ; Qi QI ; Ziqing GUO ; Menghan ZHAO ; Yiping MAO
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2025;24(10):1409-1415
Objective To explore the current situation of healthcare-associated infection(HAI)in patients in emergency rescue room and observation room,and analyze the causes.Methods Targeted surveillance was per-formed on patients in emergency rescue room and observation room of a tertiary first-class hospital in Xuzhou City from January 1 to December 31,2023 using prospective survey method.HAI,antimicrobial use,as well as invasive procedures and related infection rates were analyzed.Results The incidence of HAI in 540 patients was 0.19%(n=1),and the daily incidence of HAI was 0.54‰(1/1 841).The utilization rates of invasive ventilators,central ve-nous catheters,and indwelling urinary catheters were 6.79%(125/1 841),1.09%(20/1 841),and 2.93%(54/1 841),respectively.The incidences of ventilator-associated pneumonia,central line-associated bloodstream infec-tion,and catheter-associated urinary tract infection were 8.00‰(1/125),0(0/20),and 0(0/54),respectively.Pathogen detection rate before antimicrobial treatment was 99.22%(382/385).Conclusion The incidence of HAI in patients in emergency rescue room and observation room is low,the retention time of patients in rescue room is short,and pathogen detection of specimens before antimicrobial treatment is high.Patients in emergency rescue room and observation room are at high risk of HAI.It is necessary to carry out targeted surveillance on HAI to re-duce its incidence.
8.Study on the correlation between the degree of intracranial vascular stenosis and culprit plaque characteristics with the risk of stroke recurrence
Lin HAN ; Jie WANG ; Zi'ang LI ; Yu GAO ; Ziqing YANG ; Xinhui MA ; Haipeng LIU ; Ruifang YAN ; Hongling ZHAO ; Hongkai CUI
Journal of Practical Radiology 2025;41(10):1593-1599
Objective To evaluate the application of high-resolution magnetic resonance vessel wall imaging(HRMR-VWI)in identifying high-risk features of intracranial atherosclerotic plaques,and to analyze the correlation between plaque characteristics and stroke recurrence under varying degrees of stenosis.Methods The data from 368 patients with intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis(ICAS)across two centers were retrospectively analyzed.Based on the degree of stenosis,all patients were categorized into mild-to-moderate stenosis group(luminal stenosis<70%,n=155)and severe stenosis group(luminal stenosis≥70%,n=213).HRMR-VWI images and clinical information of the patients were collected and analyzed,and the culprit plaques were quantitatively analyzed.Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were employed to identify the risk factors for stroke recurrence,and the predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the curve(AUC)of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results Higher normalized wall index(NWI)[odds ratio(OR)=1.082,95%confidence interval(CI)1.050-1.118,P<0.05]and the presence of intraplaque hemorrhage(IPH)(OR=1.843,95%CI 1.120-3.036,P<0.05)were risk factors for stroke recurrence in all patients.And these two factors were also significant in the mild-to-moderate stenosis group(NWI:OR=1.088,95%CI 1.009-1.186,P<0.05;IPH:OR=4.049,95%CI 1.227-16.065,P<0.05).A predictive model for stroke recurrence was constructed using the combination of IPH and NWI,with the best performance in the mild-to-moderate stenosis group(AUC=0.813,95%CI 0.723-0.906).Conclusion In patients with luminal stenosis<70%,the increase of NWI and the presence of IPH have been validated as significant and effective indicators for predicting stroke recurrence,demonstrating notable predictive performance.In contrast,among patients with luminal stenosis≥70%,the utility of plaque characteristics in predicting stroke recurrence is relatively lower,indicating that the correlation between plaque characteristics and stroke recurrence varies across different degrees of stenosis.
9.Modified probiotics and the related combinatorial therapeutics.
Luo ZHAO ; Mengya NIU ; Zilin MA ; Fengyun HE ; Xinxin LIU ; Xunwei GONG ; Zhanfei CHAI ; Ziqing WANG ; Qianhua FENG ; Lei WANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(5):2431-2453
Probiotics have shown excellent application prospects in preventing and treating many diseases. However, their sensitivity to the harsh environment in vivo always leads to a massive loss of viability and insufficient therapeutic effect. Fortunately, modified probiotics have emerged and provide multiple possibilities for their use in various diseases. Modification not only endows probiotics with extra capacity to resist severe environments but also gives them exogenous characteristics, such as prolonged retention time and improved therapeutic effects. Modified probiotics could combine with other therapies, which has opened up new avenues to enhance the efficacy of probiotic-based therapy. In this review, we have summarized the current physicochemical and biological modification strategies of probiotics. In addition, the progress of research on probiotic-based combination therapy has also been extensively reviewed, which contributes to the enhanced delivery of probiotics or other active constituents and provides new ideas for disease treatment, bioimaging, and diagnosis.
10.Analysis and evaluation of platelet bank establishment strategy from the perspective of donor loss
Zheng LIU ; Yamin SUN ; Xin PENG ; Yiqing KANG ; Ziqing WANG ; Jintong ZHU ; Juan DU ; Jianbin LI
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):238-243
[Objective] To analyze the loss rate of platelet donors and evaluate the strategies for establishing a platelet donor bank. [Methods] A total of 1 443 donors who joined the HLA and HPA gene donor bank for platelets in Henan Province from 2018 to 2020 were included in this study. Data on the total number of apheresis platelet donations, annual donation frequency, age at enrollment, donation habits (including the number of platelets donated per session and whether they had previously donated whole blood), and enrollment location were collected from the platelet donor information management system. Donor loss was determined based on the date of their last donation. The loss rates of different groups under various conditions were compared to assess the enrollment strategies. [Results] By the time the platelet bank was officially operational in 2022, 421 donors had been lost, resulting in an loss rate of 29% (421/1 443). By the end of 2023, the overall cumulative loss rate reached 52% (746/1 443). The loss rate was lower than the overall level in groups meeting any of the following conditions: total apheresis platelet donations exceeding 50, annual donation frequency of 10 or more, age at enrollment of 40 years or older, donation of more than a single therapeutic dose per session, or a history of whole blood donation two or more times. Additionally, loss rates varied across different enrollment locations, with higher enrollment numbers generally associated with higher loss rates. [Conclusion] Through a comprehensive analysis of donor loss, our center has adjusted its strategies for establishing the donor pool. These findings also provide valuable insights for other blood collection and supply institutions in building platelet donor banks.

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