Objective To explore the application of the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model in predicting the number of reported hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province，to use this model to predict the incidence trend of hepatitis E, and to provide reference for the scientific prevention and control of hepatitis E. Methods Monthly reported cases of hepatitis E in Yunnan Province from 2012 to 2021 were collected. The ARIMA model was established using SPSS 27.0, and the model was validated and parameters were optimized with data from January 2022 to December 2022. The optimal fitting model was used to predict the incidence of hepatitis E in 2023. Results Hepatitis E incidence in Yunnan Province showed a certain seasonal distribution, with most cases concentrated from March to August. All parameters of ARIMA(3,1,4)(1,1,1)₁₂ passed statistical tests. The Ljung-Box test showed statistic Q =10.050, P = 0.346, residual sequence was a white noise sequence, and goodness-of-fit index stationary R² was 0.591. The model extrapolation effect was verified with 2022 data, and MAPE was 14.747, indicating that the model extrapolation effect was effective. The number of hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province in 2023 was expected to be 1,086. Conclusion The ARIMA (3,1,4)(1,1,1)₁₂ model shows good fitting performance for hepatitis E cases in Yunnan Province and can effectively predict short-term disease trends, providing a theoretical basis for formulating prevention and control measures for hepatitis E.

Objective To investigate the diagnostic efficiency of artificial intelligence(AI)in rib frac-ture under the computed tomography(CT)images with different reconstruction slice thickness.Methods The first CT images of 100 patients with rib fractures were selected,and the interval-free recon-struction was carried out with the thickness of 0.625 mm,1.250 mm,2.500 mm and 5.000 mm,respectively.The rib fracture screening function of AI was used to automatically detect the CT images of four groups,and the diagnostic efficiency of AI for rib fracture under different reconstruction thickness conditions was com-pared.Results The sensitivity of AI in the diagnosis of rib fracture at 0.625 mm,1.250 mm,2.500 mm and 5.000 mm thickness was 99.32%(436/439),98.41%(432/439),89.52%(393/439)and 83.60%(367/439),respectively.The false positive rate was 4.80%(22/458),0.92%(4/436),0.76%(3/396)and 0.27%(1/368).The diagnostic sensitivity of AI in 0.625 mm and 1.250 mm thickness was higher than that in 2.500 mm and 5.000 mm,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.05),while there was no significant difference in the thickness of 0.625 mm and 1.250 mm.The false positive rate of AI in the diagnosis of 0.625 mm slice thickness was higher than that of 1.250 mm,2.500 mm and 5.000 mm,and the difference was sta-tistically significant(P<0.05),while there was no significant difference in the thickness of 1.250 mm,2.500 mm and 5.000 mm(P>0.05).Conclusion The diagnostic efficiency of AI in 1.250 mm CT images is better than that in 0.625 mm,2.500 mm and 5.000 mm CT images.

Normal human blood pressure has a certain circadian rhythm,which is high during the day and low at night,and two peaks and one valley of the arytenoid change. The theory of opening-closing-pivot is an essential part of the yin and yang theory in traditional Chinese medicine,which reflects the law of qi movement changes of the three yin and three yang. According to "time to heal six channels" in Shanghan Lun,the opening-closing-pivot of three yin and three yang have their own time. Following certain time laws,the ascending,descending,exiting,and entering of the yin and yang qi movement conform to the circadian rhythm,which is the basis for maintaining the normal circadian rhythm of human blood pressure. Jueyin closing and shaoyang pivot mainly regulate morning blood pressure,whereas yangming closing,taiyin opening,and shaoyin pivot mainly regulate night blood pressure. The opening-closing-pivot of three yin and three yang coordinate and influence each other to maintain the stability of the circadian rhythm of blood pressure. The abnormal opening-closing-pivot can lead to the disturbance of the circadian rhythm of blood pressure,which primarily manifests as early morning hypertension caused by jueyin closing and shaoyang pivot failure,and night hypertension caused by yangming closing,taiyin opening and shaoyin pivot failure. By adjusting the movement of opening-closing-pivot of three yin and three yang,the blood pressure of corresponding period can be regulated. Combined with Western medical research,a new idea and method of regulating the circadian rhythm of blood pressure with traditional Chinese medicine is put forward.

Background::The incidence rate of lung cancer in women has significantly increased over the past decade, and previous evidence has indicated a significant relationship between the elevated levels of sex hormones and the risk of lung cancer. Therefore, we hypothesized that female hormone-related cancer (FHRC) patients, including breast, endometrial, cervical, and ovarian cancer patients, may experience a higher risk of developing subsequent lung cancer. This meta-analysis aimed to identify the risk of lung cancer among FHRC patients compared to the general population.Methods::The PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and CNKI databases were searched up to May 11, 2022. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used to identify the risk of subsequent lung cancer after FHRC. Subgroup analyses based on the follow-up time and tumor type were also conducted.Results::A total of 58 retrospective cohort studies involving 4,360,723 FHRC participants were included. The pooled results demonstrated that FHRC patients had a significantly increased risk of developing subsequent primary lung cancer (SIR = 1.61, 95% CI: 1.48-1.76, P <0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed an obvious trend of increasing lung cancer risk over time (SIRs for <5 years, ≥5 years, ≥10 years, ≥20 years, and ≥30 years after FHRC: 1.32, 1.59, 1.57, 1.68, and 1.95, respectively). In addition, subgroup analysis stratified by tumor type indicated an increased risk of developing subsequent lung cancer after breast (SIR = 1.25, P <0.001), endometrial (SIR = 1.40, P = 0.019), cervical (SIR = 2.56, P <0.001), and ovarian cancer (SIR = 1.50, P = 0.010). Conclusion::FHRC patients are more likely to develop lung cancer than the general population. Furthermore, the increased risk of subsequent primary lung cancer is more obvious with a longer survival time and is observed in all types of hormone-related cancer.Registration::International Platform of Registered Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Protocols: No. INPLASY202270044; https://inplasy.com/

OBJECTIVE To construct a clinical model of motion sickness(MS),provide a relatively objective diagnostic model for MS research,and provide a basis for further clinical intervention of the disease.METHODS A total of 60 subjects were included and divided into experimental group and control group according to the presence or absence of MS.The MS clinical model was established using SRM-IV rotating chair.Peripheral blood was collected before and after acceleration exposure,and the contents of adrenocorticotropic hormone(ACTH),growth hormone(GH),prolactin(PRL),follicle stimulating hormone(FSH),luteinizing hormone(LH),thyroid stimulating hormone(TRH)and gastrin-17(G-17),acetylcholine(ACH)and 5-hydroxytryptamine(5-HT)were detected,Graybiel scale was used to evaluate the severity of MS.The correlation between MS symptoms and signs and peripheral blood indexes was analyzed by multiple linear regression,and the diagnostic model was established.construct a clinical model of MS and a diagnostic model based on blood parameters,so as to provide a reliable clinical model and an objective diagnostic model for MS research,and to provide a basis for further clinical intervention of the disease.RESULTS After acceleration exposure,the Graybiel scores,ACH,5-HT,ACTH,GH and PRL levels in peripheral blood of the experimental group were higher than those before exposure,and were significantly different from those of the control group(P<0.001).There was no significant difference in FSH,LH,TRH and G-17 between the two groups before and after acceleration exposure(P>0.05).Multi-index combined diagnostic model:Graybiel scores=-9.32+0.131×ACTH+0.055×ACH+0.041×5-HT.CONCLUSION The levels of ACH,5-HT,ACTH,GH and PRL increased during the onset of MS.The multi-index combined diagnosis model can provide a certain basis for the objective diagnosis of MS in clinical practice.

Objective To analyze the current research status and hotspots in the field of operating room efficiency both domestically and internationally,and provide theoretical and practical guidance for the improvement and evaluation of operating room efficiency.Methods Using bibliometric methods to search for domestic and foreign literature on operating room efficiency in CNKI and Web of Science core collection databases,Citespace software was used for visual analysis of publication volume,core authors,publication institutions,keyword co-occurrence,clustering,and emergence.Results A total of 387 foreign litera-ture on operating room efficiency were retrieved,with the United States ranking first in terms of publication volume.Research in-stitutions mostly collaborate closely,with research hotspots mainly focusing on time management,anesthesia management,cost management,and quality management.Research frontiers include artificial intelligence,quality improvement,etc;A total of 235 domestic literature have been searched,but a close cooperation network has not yet formed.The research hotspots mainly include lean management,process management,nursing management,etc.The research frontiers include information systems,quality and safety,etc.Conclusion China should integrate research capabilities,strengthen institutional cooperation,pay attention to research hotspots and frontiers,and increase the importance of research on operating room efficiency.

Objective:To analyze the changing trends of the epidemic characteristics of human brucellosis in Hangzhou City, and to provide a basis for further formulating prevention and control measures.Methods:The epidemic data of brucellosis in Hangzhou City from 2004 to 2021 were collected from the "China Disease Control and Prevention Information System" and the annual reports, compilations and summaries of prevention and control work of brucellosis in Hangzhou City, and the epidemiological characteristics and trends of brucellosis cases in Hangzhou City from 2004 to 2009, 2010 to 2015, and 2016 to 2021 were compared and analyzed.Results:A total of 186 cases of brucellosis were diagnosed in Hangzhou City from 2004 to 2021, with an average annual incidence rate of 0.151/100 000, ranging from 0.016/100 000 to 0.286/100 000. The incidence rate showed a stage-by-stage upward trend from 2004 to 2009, 2010 to 2015, and 2016 to 2021 ( Z = 3.15, P = 0.002). The age of onset of brucellosis cases was predominantly 18 - 60 years old, accounting for 78.49% (146/186). The male-to-female ratio was 2.10∶1.00 (126∶60). The occupational and non-occupational populations accounted for 62.90% (117/186) and 37.10% (69/186), respectively, with the proportion of non-occupational cases in the three stages being 28.57%, 23.29% and 51.76%, showing an increasing trend (χ 2trend = 9.85, P = 0.002). The regional distribution was dominated by Yuhang District, accounting for 55.91% (104/186), followed by Jianggan District (9.14%, 17/186) and Fuyang District (7.53%, 14/186). The number of brucellosis epidemic counties (cities, districts) increased from 6 to 9. The seasonal analysis showed that the proportion of cases from January to June decreased from 84.93% (23/28) from 2004 to 2009 to 54.12% (46/85) from 2016 to 2021. The proportion of infection from outside the province in the three stages was 0, 10.96% and 27.38%, respectively, showing an upward trend (χ 2trend = 18.16, P < 0.001), the main infected areas were Henan Province, Heilongjiang Province, and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. In clinical symptoms and signs, the incidence of muscle and joint pain and low back pain increased from 60.71% (17/28) and 10.71% (3/28) from 2004 to 2009, respectively, to 83.53% (71/85) and 25.88% (22/85) from 2016 to 2021, both showing an upward trend (χ 2trend = 9.92, 4.67, P = 0.002, 0.031). Conclusions:The incidence of human brucellosis in Hangzhou City is on the rise, and the number of cases of non-occupational population has increased significantly in recent years. The sheep breeding places have gradually become the high incidence areas of brucellosis in Hangzhou City. It is recommended to strengthen the promotion and education of knowledge on brucellosis prevention among the general public, and focus on actively monitoring human brucellosis in high-risk areas.

Patients with severe trauma require an extremely timely treatment and transfusion plays an irreplaceable role in the emergency treatment of such patients. An increasing number of evidence-based medicinal evidences and clinical practices suggest that patients with severe traumatic bleeding benefit from early transfusion of low-titer group O whole blood or hemostatic resuscitation with red blood cells, plasma and platelet of a balanced ratio. However, the current domestic mode of blood supply cannot fully meet the requirements of timely and effective blood transfusion for emergency treatment of patients with severe trauma in clinical practice. In order to solve the key problems in blood supply and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma, Branch of Clinical Transfusion Medicine of Chinese Medical Association, Group for Trauma Emergency Care and Multiple Injuries of Trauma Branch of Chinese Medical Association, Young Scholar Group of Disaster Medicine Branch of Chinese Medical Association organized domestic experts of blood transfusion medicine and trauma treatment to jointly formulate Chinese expert consensus on blood support mode and blood transfusion strategies for emergency treatment of severe trauma patients ( version 2024). Based on the evidence-based medical evidence and Delphi method of expert consultation and voting, 10 recommendations were put forward from two aspects of blood support mode and transfusion strategies, aiming to provide a reference for transfusion resuscitation in the emergency treatment of severe trauma and further improve the success rate of treatment of patients with severe trauma.

Objective:To evaluate the prognostic value of sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) in patients with sepsis.Methods:From January 2019 to December 2021, patients with sepsis admitted to the Intensive Care Unit of our hospital were retrospectively classified into the SIC group and non-SIC group according to SIC diagnostic criteria. The baseline clinical data, severity score, total length of hospital stay, length of ICU stay and 28-day survival were compared between the two groups. Kaplan-Meier was used to compare the 28-day survival of patients with sepsis between the two groups. Cox proportional hazard regression model was employed to analyze the risk factors of prognosis in patients with sepsis.Results:Totally 274 patients with sepsis were included in the analysis, including 139 patients in the SIC group and 135 patients in the non-SIC group. The two groups were compared in the perspectives of the Platelet count (PLT), prothrombin time (PT) , procalcitonin (PCT), D dimer, hematocrit, red blood cell distribution width, hemoglobin, acute kidney injury (AKI), the use of continuous renal replacement treatment (CRRT), the use of vasoactive drugs, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation (APACHEⅡ) score were compared between the two groups and the difference were statistically different (all P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 28-day mortality rate in the SIC group was significantly higher than that in the non-SIC group (32.4% vs. 14.1%, P<0.05). COX proportional hazard model showed that SIC score ( HR= 2.17, 95% CI: 1.15-3.91, P<0.05), APACHEⅡ score ( HR= 1.13, 95% CI: 1.09-1.17, P<0.05) and the use of vasoactive drugs ( HR=3.66, 95% CI: 1.53-8.75, P<0.05) were independent influencing factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis. Conclusions:Patients with sepsis and SIC have more severe disease and increased mortality risk. SIC score exhibits good clinical value in predicting the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of modified all-arthroscopic reconstruction of medial patella femoral ligament (MPFL) for the treatment of recurrent patellar dislocation.Methods:A retrospective case series study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 38 patients (46 knees) with recurrent patellar dislocation, who were treated at First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University from January 2017 to January 2020. The patients included 12 males (12 knees) and 26 females (34 knees), aged 14-40 years [(24.6±5.4)years]. All patients underwent the modified all-arthroscopic MPFL reconstruction procedure. The femoral tunnel locations were assessed by 3D-CT immediately after surgery. The MRI was performed at 6 and 12 months after operation to assess the healing morphology of the reconstructed MPFL. The Lysholm score and Kujala score were used to assess the knee function before operation, at 6 months after operation, at 12 months after operation and at the last follow-up. The time to return to sports as well as complications were observed.Results:All patients were followed up for 26-48 months [(32.4±8.6)months]. Postoperative 3D-CT examination showed that the femoral tunnels were located in the groove area of the medial epicondyle of the femur and the adductor tubercle. At 6 and 12 months after operation, MRI T2 images showed that the reconstructed MPFL had a low signal and well tensioned ligament tissue, indicating that the MPFL was healed well. The Lysholm scores at 6 and 12 months postoperatively and at the last follow-up were (81.1±12.0)points, (91.2±3.8)points, and (92.2±9.8)points, respectively, being significantly higher than the preoperative (52.4±10.6)points (all P<0.01). The Kujala scores at 6 and 12 months postoperatively and at the last follow-up were (85.4±3.9)points, (91.4±3.6)points, and (93.1±8.5)points, respectively, being significantly higher than the preoperative (55.2±6.8)points (all P<0.01). Compared with 6 months postoperatively, the Lysholm score and Kujala score were significantly improved at 12 months postoperatively and at the last follow-up (all P<0.05). All patients returned to sports, with the time to return to sports for 3-12 months [(8.7±2.3)months] after operation. One patient had poor wound healing but was healed after dressing changes. No wound infection, nerve injury, joint stiffness, patella re-dislocation or other complications occurred. Conclusion:For recurrent patellar dislocation, the modified all-arthroscopic MPFL reconstruction has advantages of accurate bone tunnel positioning, good ligament healing, good function recovery, early return to sports, and less postoperative complications.