[Purpose]To analyze the incidence trend and age,period,cohort effects of brain and other central nervous system tumors(brain tumor)in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2021.[Methods]The incidence data of brain tumor from 1972 to 2021 were collected from the Qidong cancer registry database.The crude incidence rate(CR),age-standardized rate by Chi-nese standard population(ASRC),age-standardized rate by world standard population(ASRW)and average annual percentage change(AAPC)were calculated.The age-period-cohort(APC)model was used to analyze the age,period,and cohort effects of brain tumor incidence in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021.[Results]A total of 2 801 cases of brain tumor occurred in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021,including 1 475 male cases and 1 326 female cases.From 1972-1976 to 2017-2021,the CR increased from 1.81/10 5 to 9.28/10 5,the ASRC increased from 2.07/10 5 to 4.96/10 5,and ASRW increased from 2.00/105 to 4.98/105.From 1972 to 2021 the AAPC of CR,ASRC and ASRW were 3.97％(3.53％for male and 4.37％for female),2.02％(1.66％for male and 2.24％for female)and 2.06％(1.63％for male and 2.24％for female)(all P＜0.001).The Wald's Chi-square test of the APC model showed that there were significant differences in the trends of age,period and birth cohort effect of brain tumor risk(all P＜0.05).The age effect showed that the incidence of brain tumor increased with age,starting from the age group of 45～49 years old and reaching a peak of 25.84/10 5 in age group of 75～79 years old(95％CI:21.17/10 5～31.53/10 5).The period ef-fect showed that the risk of recent period was higher than that in the early period using 1992-1996 period as the reference,reaching the highest in 2012-2016(RR=1.64,95％CI:1.38～1.95).The birth cohort effect showed that the highest risk was in 2017-2021 births cohort(RR=11.17,95％CI:4.26～29.26)using 1952-1956 birth cohort as the reference.[Conclusion]The incidence of brain tumor in Qidong City has been rising;and age,period and cohort are the main influencing factors,suggesting that the middle-aged and elderly population should be the focus of brain tumor prevention and control.

[Purpose]To analyze the changing trends of the disease burden of liver cancer related to hepatitis B virus(HBV)globally and in China from 1992 to 2021.[Methods]Based on the Global Burden of Disease database in 2021,indicators such as the age-standardized incidence rate and mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China from 1992 to 2021 were collected.The Joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the changing trends of epidemiologi-cal characteristics,and the age-period-cohort model was adopted to analyze the impacts of age,period,and cohort factors on the incidence and mortality risks of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China.[Results]From 1992 to 2021,the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer globally generally showed a trend of decreasing.The average annual percentage changes were-0.31％and-0.61％,respectively,and all the down-ward trends were statistically significant(both P＜0.05).During the same period,the average annu-al percentage changes of the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer in China were-0.45％and-0.90％,respectively,and all the downward trends were statistically significant(both P＜0.05).The results of the age-period-cohort model anal-ysis showed that from 1992 to 2021,the annual net drift rates of the incidence of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China were-0.71％(95％CI:-0.84％～-0.57％)and-0.73％(95％CI:-1.01％～-0.44％),respectively.The annual net drift rates of the mortality were-1.15％(95％CI:-1.28％～-1.02％)and-1.42％(95％CI:-1.69％～-1.14％),respectively,all showing an over-all decline.The age effect showed that the risk of HBV-related liver cancer incidence in both the global and Chinese populations began to increase after 30 years of age,peaking in the 70～74 age group,while the risk of mortality surged after 40 years of age and peaked in the population aged 80 and above.The period effect indicated that the incidence and mortality risks were the highest from 1997 to 2001 and the lowest from 2017 to 2021.The cohort effect revealed that the inci-dence and mortality risks gradually decreased in populations born after 1962,with the 2007-2011 birth cohort having the lowest risks.The results of the Wald x2 test showed that there were statistically significant differences in the changing trends of the age,period,and cohort effects on the incidence and mortality of HBV-related liver cancer globally and in China(all P＜0.05).[Con-clusion]From 1992 to 2021,the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate of HBV-related liver cancer showed a downward trend both globally and in China.The disease burden of HBV-related liver cancer in China was higher than the global level.The age-period-cohort model has revealed the historical changes in the incidence and mortality of HBV-related liver cancer.The current and future situation of the disease burden of HBV-related liver cancer is not optimistic.It is recommended to implement precise stratified interventions for populations of different ages,periods,and birth cohorts,and actively transform the prevention,treatment,and management strategies for HBV-related liver cancer.

Objective To verify the efficacy of a domestic human DNA quantification kit based on real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR in detecting the total human DNA concentration,male DNA concen-tration in mixed male/female DNA samples,the degree of DNA degradation and inhibitor tolerance.Methods Samples with different concentrations,different male/female ratios,different concentrations of inhibitors,and different degradation degrees were tested using the domestic human DNA quantification kit based on real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR.This kit was compared with a similar product on the market and was applied to the detection of DNA from real cases.Results This human DNA quan-tification kit can effectively detect human DNA as low as 0.001 65 ng/μL,and 6.25 pg/μL of male DNA in mixed samples with a male-to-female ratio of 1∶15 000.Even when the sample contains as high as 400 ng/μL of humic acid or 1 000 μmol/L of hemin alone,the DNA concentration can still be accurately detected.The degradation index can effectively characterize the degradation degree of the sample.This kit has been successfully applied in forensic practice.Conclusion This human DNA quan-tification kit is accurate and reliable in detection.It can accurately reflect the degradation of DNA and inhibitor tolerance.It has good performance in quantitative accuracy,determination of the male/female ratio in mixed samples,and inhibitor tolerance.It has application potential in forensic case examination.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to explore the association between body mass index (BMI) and mortality based on the 10-year population-based multicenter prospective study. METHODS: A general population-based multicenter prospective study was conducted at four sites in rural China between 2013 and 2023. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline analyses were used to assess the association between BMI and mortality. Stratified analyses were performed based on the individual characteristics of the participants. RESULTS: Overall, 19,107 participants with a sum of 163,095 person-years were included and 1,910 participants died. The underweight (< 18.5 kg/m ²) presented an increase in all-cause mortality (adjusted hazards ratio [ aHR] = 2.00, 95% confidence interval [ CI]: 1.66-2.41), while overweight (≥ 24.0 to < 28.0 kg/m ²) and obesity (≥ 28.0 kg/m ²) presented a decrease with an aHR of 0.61 (95% CI: 0.52-0.73) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.37-0.70), respectively. Overweight ( aHR = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.67-0.86) and mild obesity ( aHR = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.59-0.87) had a positive impact on mortality in people older than 60 years. All-cause mortality decreased rapidly until reaching a BMI of 25.7 kg/m ² ( aHR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) and increased slightly above that value, indicating a U-shaped association. The beneficial impact of being overweight on mortality was robust in most subgroups and sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSION This study provides additional evidence that overweight and mild obesity may be inversely related to the risk of death in individuals older than 60 years. Therefore, it is essential to consider age differences when formulating health and weight management strategies.
Humans ; Body Mass Index ; China/epidemiology* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Prospective Studies ; Rural Population/statistics & numerical data* ; Aged ; Follow-Up Studies ; Adult ; Mortality ; Cause of Death ; Obesity/mortality* ; Overweight/mortality*

Hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC),which is essentially primary liver cancer,is closely related to CD8+T cell immune infiltration and immune suppression.We constructed a CD8+T cells related risk score model to pre-dict the prognosis of HCC patients and provided therapeutic guidance based on the risk score.Using integrated bulk RNA sequencing(RNA-seq)and single-cell RNA sequencing(scRNA-seq)datasets,we identified stable CD8+T cell signatures.Based on these signatures,a 3-gene risk score model,comprised of KLRB1,RGS2,and TN-FRSF1B was constructed.The risk score model was well validated through an independent external validation co-hort.We divided patients into high-risk and low-risk groups according to the risk score and compared the differ-ences in immune microenvironment between these two groups.Compared with low-risk patients,high-risk patients have higher M2-type macrophage content(P＜0.0001)and lower CD8+T cells infiltration(P＜0.0001).High-risk patients predict worse response to immunotherapy treatment than low-risk patients(P＜0.01).Drug sensitivity a-nalysis shows that PI3K-β inhibitor AZD6482 and TGFβRII inhibitor SB505124 may be suitable therapies for high-risk patients,while the IGF-1R inhibitor BMS-754807 or the novel pyrimidine-based anti-tumor metabolic drug Gemcitabine could be potential therapeutic choices for low-risk patients.Moreover,expression of these 3-gene mod-el was verified by immunohistochemistry.In summary,the establishment and validation of a CD8+T cell-derived risk model can more accurately predict the prognosis of HCC patients and guide the construction of personalized treatment plans.

Objective:To analyze pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality data in China and worldwide and to provide data for pancreatic cancer prevention and control efforts.Methods:Data of pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality rates, along with historical and predictive data, were obtained from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database. Epidemiological characteristics of pancreatic cancer was analyzed by region, sex, age and Human Development Index (HDI). Spearman's correlation coefficient test was used to assess the relationship between HDI and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR).Results:In 2022, the global number of new cases and deaths of pancreatic cancer will be 511 thousand and 467 thousand, respectively, with an ASIR and ASMR of 4.7/10 5 and 4.2/10 5, respectively. North America and Europe had the highest pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality rates of 8.5/10 5 and 7.3/10 5, respectively. Global ASIR and ASMR in men were both 1.4 times higher than those in women. HDI levels were positively correlated with ASIR ( r=0.79, P＜0.001) and ASMR ( r=0.78, P＜0.001) of pancreatic cancer in all regions. The number of pancreatic cancer cases and deaths in China were 119 thousand and 106 thousand, respectively, while the ASIR and ASMR of pancreatic cancer were 4.4/10 5 and 3.9/10 5, respectively. Both ASIR and ASMR in men were both 1.5 times higher than those in women in China. The number of pancreatic cancer incidence and death cases in China in 2050 is predicted to be 216 thousand and 204 thousand cases, with an increase of 81.5% and 92.5% compared with 2022, respectively. Conclusions:The disease burden of pancreatic cancer varies significantly among different regions, genders and ages. Pancreatic cancer incidence and mortality are positively correlated with HDI. The incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in China are close to the global average, but the number of new cases and deaths is high. Prevention and control should be strengthened to improve the survival of pancreatic cancer patients.

Objective:To describe the epidemiological characteristics of breast cancer incidence in Qidong City between 1972 and 2021, and provide guidelines for preventive and control measures and strategies.Methods:The cancer registry data were collected and breast cancer incidences during 1972 and 2021 in Qidong by sex, age, and time were analyzed. Crude incidence rate (CR), China age-standardized rate (ASRC), world age-standardized rate (ASRW), annual percentage change (APC), and average annual percentage change (AAPC) were calculated by Joinpoint software. The age-period-cohort model was used to analyze the influence of age, period, and birth cohort on the changes in the incidence trend of breast cancer.Results:From 1972 to 2021, there were 6 929 patients with breast cancer in Qidong, accounting for 4.70% of all new cancer cases, with a CR of 12.35/10 5, a ASRC of 6.63/10 5, and a ASRW of 8.89/10 5. The truncated incidence rate among people aged 35-64 years was 21.90/10 5. The cumulative incidence rate of the ages between 0 and 74 years was 0.96%. The cumulative risk was 0.96%. There were 98 male patients, whose CR, ASRC, and ASRW were 0.35/10 5, 0.17/10 5, and 0.25/10 5, respectively. The number of female patients was 6 831, and the CR, ASRC, and ASRW were 24.02/10 5, 12.86/10 5, and 17.13/10 5, respectively. The AAPC of ASRW of female breast cancer was 3.45% (95% CI: 2.90%-4.01%). The increasing trend of the incidence rate was statistically significant ( P＜0.05). The AAPCs of females aged 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years were 2.78% (95% CI: 0.88%-4.72%), 2.20% (95% CI: 0.83%-3.60%), 3.81% (95% CI: 2.45%-5.19%), 4.48% (95% CI: 3.12%-5.85%), 3.79% (95% CI: 2.19%-5.43%), and 2.87% (95% CI: 1.14%-4.63%). The increasing trends of the incidence rates in all age groups were statistically significant ( P＜0.05). The age-period-cohort model showed that the risk of breast cancer increased with age, and people born later were faced with a higher risk of the disease ( P＜0.05). Conclusion:The incidence of breast cancer presented a rising trend in the past fifty years in Qidong. The increasing trend of the incidence rate was statistically significant since the beginning of this century. The health administrative department should formulate preventive and control measures to reduce the burden of breast cancer.

Objective:To analysis the prevalence characteristics of cancer mortality among the elderly in Qidong City, Jiangsu Province, from 1972 to 2021, and to provide scientific basis for the development of precise prevention and control strategies for cancer in the elderly.Methods:Data of cancers were obtained from Qidong Cancer Registry, a descriptive study method was used to calculate the crude mortality rate (CMR) of cancer among the elderly (≥60 years old). The China age-standardized rate (ASR-C) was calculated using the age structure of the Chinese population in 2000, and world age-standardized rate (ASR-W) was calculated using Segi's world standard population. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed using Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 software to calculate the annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) of mortality.Results:From 1972 to 2021, there were 74 723 cancer deaths in the elderly in Qidong, with CMR of 752.08/10 5, ASR-C of 666.03/10 5 (994.22/10 5 for males and 470.29/10 5 for females) and ASR-W of 681.11/10 5. The ASR-C showed little fluctuation before 2000, increased rapidly from 2001 to 2011, and then decreased from 2011 to 2021. From 2017 to 2021, the CMR was 791.01/10 5, the ASR-C was 689.80/10 5 (956.77/10 5 for males and 469.98/10 5 for females), and the ASR-W was 657.53 /10 5. The CMR for the 60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, and 80+ age groups from 2012 to 2021 were 385.42/10 5 505.51/10 5, 721.64/10 5, 1 213.28/10 5, and 1 705.32/10 5, respectively. The CMR of elderly under 75 years old were lower from 2012 to 2021 than in other periods, while those of elderly people aged more than 75 years were higher from 2012 to 2021 than in other periods. The AAPC for ASR-C of all cancers over the 50 years was 0.22%, with APC of -1.59% in 2008-2021 (both P＜0.05). Over the 50 years, the top five cancers in terms of mortality were lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, colorectal cancer, and esophageal cancer. Their AAPCs of ASR-C were 1.61%, -2.36%, -0.10%, 1.44%, and -2.03%, respectively. The increasing trends of mortality rates for lung cancer and colorectal cancer and the decreasing trends for gastric cancer and esophageal cancer were statistically significant ( P＜0.05). Conclusions:The mortality of cancers among elderly is at a high level in Qidong. The overall mortality since 2008 have shown a decreasing trend, and the prevention and control of some cancers have been effective.

Objective:To analyze the incidence trends of malignant tumors in the elderly population aged over 60 years in Qidong City from 1972 to 2021, as well as to predict the incidence rate for the next decade.Methods:Data were obtained from the Qidong Cancer Registry and Reporting System.The crude incidence rate(CR), age-standardized incidence rate using the Chinese standard population(ASRC), and age-standardized incidence rate based on Segi's world standard population(ASRW)were calculated.Joinpoint regression analysis was conducted using Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 software to determine the average annual percentage change(AAPC)in incidence.Additionally, the ARIMA model implemented in SAS 9.2 software was utilized for time series analysis to forecast incidence trends over the forthcoming 10 years.Results:In Qidong City, a total of 87, 401 malignant tumors were reported in the elderly population.The ASRW increased from 736.85 per 100, 000 in the years 1972-1976 to 1 056.33 per 100, 000 in 2017-2021.Specifically, the ASRW for males rose from 968.56 per 100, 000 to 1 332.75 per 100, 000, while the ASRW for females increased from 550.62 per 100, 000 to 825.44 per 100, 000, with AAPC values of 1.16%, 0.94%, and 1.44% over 50 years(all P<0.001).The incidence trend exhibited an upward trajectory with age, peaking in the 75-79 age group.The AAPC values for the incidence rates in the age groups of 60-64, 65-69, 70-74, 75-79, and those aged over 80 were 0.64%, 0.93%, 0.92%, 2.02%, and 2.44%, respectively(all P<0.001).Among the various cancers, lung cancer, which ranked first, saw an increase in ASRW from 100.87 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 248.84 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.In contrast, gastric cancer, ranked second, decreased from 216.23 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 103.54 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.Liver cancer, ranked third, fluctuated from 113.47 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 125.13 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.Colorectal cancer, ranked fourth, increased from 40.06 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 123.47 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021, while esophageal cancer, ranked fifth, decreased from 63.42 per 100, 000 in 1972-1981 to 28.65 per 100, 000 in 2012-2021.The AAPC values over 50 years for these cancers were 2.25%, -1.89%, 0.36%, 3.13%, and -1.86%, respectively(all P<0.05).Projections indicate that by 2031, the incidence of malignant tumors among the elderly population in Qidong will reach 1 253.84 per 100, 000, with estimates of 1 566.67 per 100, 000 for males and 983.14 per 100, 000 for females. Conclusions:The incidence of malignant tumors among the elderly population in Qidong City is increasing.Common types of cancer in this demographic include lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, colorectal cancer, and esophageal cancer.Notably, lung cancer, liver cancer, and colorectal cancer are on the rise and should be prioritized in cancer prevention and control efforts.

Thoracolumbar spine fracture often leads to severe pain, functional impairments, and neurological deficits, for which open reduction and internal fixation can effectively restore the spinal structural stability. Open decompression and reduction with internal fixation can help relieve spinal cord compression and improve spinal function in cases of concomitant cord injury. Although spinal stability can be restored through surgery, patients often face chronic pain and functional impairments postoperatively. A postoperative rehabilitation program is critical in optimizing therapeutic outcomes, reducing complications, and minimizing the risk of secondary injuries. However, current rehabilitation methods, such as physical therapy, functional training, and pain management, are confronted with problems in clinical practice, including significant variation in efficacy, poor patient adherence, and prolonged rehabilitation period. There is an urgent need for a unified rehabilitation strategy to address these problems. To this end, the Spinal Trauma Group of the Orthopedic Physicians Branch of the Chinese Medical Association and the Spine Health Professional Committee of the Chinese Human Health Technology Promotion Association organized experts from relevant fields to formulate Evidence-based guidelines for rehabilitation treatment after internal fixation of thoracolumbar spine fracture in adults ( version 2025) by integrating evidences from clinical researches and advanced rehabilitation concepts at home and abroad. A total number of 14 recommendations concerning the rehabilitation treatment with multimodal analgesia, psychological intervention, deep vein thrombosis prevention, core muscle and extremity exercise, appropriate use of braces, early weight-bearing, device-aided rehabilitation exercise, neuroregulatory therapy, rehabilitation team were put forward, aiming to standardize the post-operative rehabilitation process following internal fixation, promote the functional recovery, and enhance patients′ quality of life.