1.Reasons and strategies of reoperation after oblique lateral interbody fusion
Zhong-You ZENG ; Deng-Wei HE ; Wen-Fei NI ; Ping-Quan CHEN ; Wei YU ; Yong-Xing SONG ; Hong-Fei WU ; Shi-Yang FAN ; Guo-Hao SONG ; Hai-Feng WANG ; Fei PEI
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(8):756-764
Objective To summarize the reasons and management strategies of reoperation after oblique lateral interbody fusion(OLIF),and put forward preventive measures.Methods From October 2015 to December 2019,23 patients who under-went reoperation after OLIF in four spine surgery centers were retrospectively analyzed.There were 9 males and 14 females with an average age of(61.89±8.80)years old ranging from 44 to 81 years old.The index diagnosis was degenerative lumbar intervertebral dics diseases in 3 cases,discogenie low back pain in 1 case,degenerative lumbar spondylolisthesis in 6 cases,lumbar spinal stenosis in 9 cases and degenerative lumbar spinal kyphoscoliosis in 4 cases.Sixteen patients were primarily treated with Stand-alone OLIF procedures and 7 cases were primarily treated with OLIF combined with posterior pedicle screw fixation.There were 17 cases of single fusion segment,2 of 2 fusion segments,4 of 3 fusion segments.All the cases underwent reoperation within 3 months after the initial surgery.The strategies of reoperation included supplementary posterior pedicle screw instrumentation in 16 cases;posterior laminectomy,cage adjustment and neurolysis in 2 cases,arthroplasty and neuroly-sis under endoscope in 1 case,posterior laminectomy and neurolysis in 1 case,pedicle screw adjustment in 1 case,exploration and decompression under percutaneous endoscopic in 1 case,interbody fusion cage and pedicle screw revision in 1 case.Visu-al analogue scale(VAS)and Oswestry disability index(ODI)index were used to evaluate and compare the recovery of low back pain and lumbar function before reoperation and at the last follow-up.During the follow-up process,the phenomenon of fusion cage settlement or re-displacement,as well as the condition of intervertebral fusion,were observed.The changes in in-tervertebral space height before the first operation,after the first operation,before the second operation,3 to 5 days after the second operation,6 months after the second operation,and at the latest follow-up were measured and compared.Results There was no skin necrosis and infection.All patients were followed up from 12 to 48 months with an average of(28.1±7.3)months.Nerve root injury symptoms were relieved within 3 to 6 months.No cage transverse shifting and no dislodgement,loosening or breakage of the instrumentation was observed in any patient during the follow-up period.Though the intervertebral disc height was obviously increased at the first postoperative,there was a rapid loss in the early stage,and still partially lost after reopera-tion.The VAS for back pain recovered from(6.20±1.69)points preoperatively to(1.60±0.71)points postoperatively(P<0.05).The ODI recovered from(40.60±7.01)%preoperatively to(9.14±2.66)%postoperatively(P<0.05).Conclusion There is a risk of reoperation due to failure after OLIF surgery.The reasons for reoperation include preoperative bone loss or osteoporosis the initial surgery was performed by Stand-alone,intraoperative endplate injury,significant subsidence of the fusion cage after surgery,postoperative fusion cage displacement,nerve damage,etc.As long as it is discovered in a timely manner and handled properly,further surgery after OLIF surgery can achieve better clinical results,but prevention still needs to be strengthened.
2.Factors influencing the recent transmission of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Hainan Province
ZHONG Yeteng ; WANG Jieying ; CHEN Zhuolin ; XU Yuni ; QIU Wenhua ; PEI Hua
China Tropical Medicine 2024;24(4):443-
Abstract: Objective To investigate the influencing factors related to the recent transmission of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) in Hainan Province, with the goal of providing an epidemiological basis for the region's prevention and control strategies, as well as clinical decision-making regarding MDR-TB. Methods Clinical respiratory specimens from MDR-TB patients treated at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University from July 2019 to June 2021 were collected for mycobacterial isolation and cultivation. Isolates of multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MDR-MTB) identified through proportional drug-susceptibility screening were subjected to whole-genome sequencing (WGS). In conjunction with clinical and epidemiological data, factors influencing recent MDR-TB transmission were analyzed. Results A total of 202 MDR-TB patients were included in the study, primarily distributed across 18 cities and counties of Hainan Province (excluding Sansha City), and the patients were predominantly male. Phylogenetic analysis of the MDR-MTB strains showed that 56.4% (114/202) belonged to Lineage 2.2 (Beijing), 27.2% (55/202) to Lineage 2.1 (non-Beijing), 13.4% (27/202) to Lineage 4 (Euro-American), and 3.0% (6/202) to Lineage 1 (Indo-Oceanic). Through genetic distance analysis, 42 strains of MDR-MTB were found to be grouped into 15 clusters, with a clustering rate of 20.8%, indicating a significant level of recent transmission. Analysis of transmission-related factors revealed that non-agricultural occupations, initial treatment, and unmarried status were positively correlated with recent MDR-TB transmission, while older age and a history of smoking were negatively correlated. Notably, Lineage 2.2 (Beijing) showed a higher likelihood of MDR-TB transmission compared to Lineage 2.1 (non-eijing). Multivariate logistic regression analysis further identified that patients receiving initial treatment were an independent risk factor for recent MDR-TB transmission. Conclusions MDR-TB in Hainan Province exhibits distinctive genetic diversity, with Lineage 2.2 (Beijing) being the predominant epidemic strain. Recent transmission of MDR-TB in Hainan Province is associated with non-agricultural occupations, initial treatment, unmarried status, and Lineage 2.2 (Beijing), with the initial treatment being a likely independent risk factor for transmission. These findings offer vital clues for controlling MDR-TB and are expected to guide the formulation of targeted prevention and control strategies to reduce the transmission of the MDR-TB epidemic.
3.A multicenter study of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China
Li-Xiu SHI ; Jin-Xing FENG ; Yan-Fang WEI ; Xin-Ru LU ; Yu-Xi ZHANG ; Lin-Ying YANG ; Sheng-Nan HE ; Pei-Juan CHEN ; Jing HAN ; Cheng CHEN ; Hui-Ying TU ; Zhang-Bin YU ; Jin-Jie HUANG ; Shu-Juan ZENG ; Wan-Ling CHEN ; Ying LIU ; Yan-Ping GUO ; Jiao-Yu MAO ; Xiao-Dong LI ; Qian-Shen ZHANG ; Zhi-Li XIE ; Mei-Ying HUANG ; Kun-Shan YAN ; Er-Ya YING ; Jun CHEN ; Yan-Rong WANG ; Ya-Ping LIU ; Bo SONG ; Hua-Yan LIU ; Xiao-Dong XIAO ; Hong TANG ; Yu-Na WANG ; Yin-Sha CAI ; Qi LONG ; Han-Qiang XU ; Hui-Zhan WANG ; Qian SUN ; Fang HAN ; Rui-Biao ZHANG ; Chuan-Zhong YANG ; Lei DOU ; Hui-Ju SHI ; Rui WANG ; Ping JIANG ; Shenzhen Neonatal Data Network
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(5):450-455
Objective To investigate the incidence rate,clinical characteristics,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen,China.Methods Led by Shenzhen Children's Hospital,the Shenzhen Neonatal Data Collaboration Network organized 21 institutions to collect 36 cases of neonatal stroke from January 2020 to December 2022.The incidence,clinical characteristics,treatment,and prognosis of neonatal stroke in Shenzhen were analyzed.Results The incidence rate of neonatal stroke in 21 hospitals from 2020 to 2022 was 1/15 137,1/6 060,and 1/7 704,respectively.Ischemic stroke accounted for 75%(27/36);boys accounted for 64%(23/36).Among the 36 neonates,31(86%)had disease onset within 3 days after birth,and 19(53%)had convulsion as the initial presentation.Cerebral MRI showed that 22 neonates(61%)had left cerebral infarction and 13(36%)had basal ganglia infarction.Magnetic resonance angiography was performed for 12 neonates,among whom 9(75%)had involvement of the middle cerebral artery.Electroencephalography was performed for 29 neonates,with sharp waves in 21 neonates(72%)and seizures in 10 neonates(34%).Symptomatic/supportive treatment varied across different hospitals.Neonatal Behavioral Neurological Assessment was performed for 12 neonates(33%,12/36),with a mean score of(32±4)points.The prognosis of 27 neonates was followed up to around 12 months of age,with 44%(12/27)of the neonates having a good prognosis.Conclusions Ischemic stroke is the main type of neonatal stroke,often with convulsions as the initial presentation,involvement of the middle cerebral artery,sharp waves on electroencephalography,and a relatively low neurodevelopment score.Symptomatic/supportive treatment is the main treatment method,and some neonates tend to have a poor prognosis.
4.Susceptibility detection of multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis by broth microdilution method
Ye-Teng ZHONG ; Jie-Ying WANG ; Zhuo-Lin CHEN ; Yu-Ni XU ; Wen-Hua QIU ; Hua PEI
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2024;23(7):840-846
Objective To evaluate the application effect of broth microdilution(BMD)method in susceptibility testing of multidrug-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis(MDR-MTB).Methods The Roche's proportion method and BMD method were adopted in drug susceptibility testing on 108 MDR-MTB strains and 11 non-MDR-MTB strains in Hainan Province.Whole genome sequencing(WGS)was performed on strains with inconsistent results by the above two methods.Results The average time to acquire drug susceptibility testing results by Roche's propor-tional method and BMD method were 28.0 and 8.5 days,respectively.Roche's proportional method showed higher resistance rates to isoniazid(INH),rifampicin(RFP),ethambutol(EMB),kanamycin(KM),and capreomycin(CPM)than BMD method(all P<0.001).BMD method showed higher resistance rates to protionamide(PTO)and para-aminosalicylic acid(PAS)than Roche's proportional method(both P<0.001).Taking Roche's proportional method as the gold standard,the sensitivity and specificity of BMD method for testing drug resistance were 50.00%-100%and 95.69%-100%,respectively.Except EMB(87.39%)and INH(94.96%),the consistency rates of the BMD method in testing drug resistance of other drugs were all ≥95.00%.The overall consistency rate between Roche's proportional method and WGS was 76.19%(32/42),while the consistency rate between BMD method and WGS was 23.81%(10/42),difference was statistically significant(x2=23.048,P<0.001).34 MTB strains showed inconsistent results by two drug susceptibility testing methods.Among the 26 MTB strains that were resis-tant in Roche's proportion method but sensitive in BMD method,22 strains(84.62%)had mutations in relevant re-sistance genes.Among the 11 MTB strains that were sensitive in Roche's proportion method but resistant in BMD method,5 strains(45.45%)had mutations in relevant resistance genes.Conclusion BMD method is an accurate and rapid MDR-MTB susceptibility testing method,but further improvement and optimization are still needed.Drug resistance is closely related to mutations in relevant resistance genes.
5.Effects of sulforaphane on endothelin-1-induced proliferation in rat vascular smooth muscle cells
Chen-Jing WANG ; Shu-Yan PEI ; Xiao-Kun WANG ; Feng SUN ; Zhong GUO
The Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology 2024;40(3):363-367
Objective To investigate the effects and the mechanisms of sulforaphane(SFN)on endothelin-1(ET-1)-induced proliferation in rat vascular smooth muscle cell(VSMC).Methods Rat VSMC were cultured by using the modified tissue explant technique in vitro and were randomly divided into control group(normal culture),model group(treated with 0.1 μmol·L-1 ET-1)and experimental-L,-M,-H groups(treated with 5,10,20 SFN+0.1 μmol·L-1 ET-1).The survival rate of VSMC were measured by methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium.The proliferation and apoptosis related genes in mRNA level in VSMC were respectively examined with real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction;the relative fluorescence intensity of reactive oxygen species(ROS)in VSMC were measured by fluorescent probe 2',7'-dichlorodihydrofluorescein diacetate;the protein expression of B-cell lymphoma-2(Bel-2),cysteinyl aspartate-specific proteinase-3(caspase-3),p38 mitogen-activated protein kinases(p38MAPK),phosphorylated p38 mitogen-activated protein kinases(p-p38MAPK),and p53 in VSMC were investigated by Western blot.Results The proliferation activities of the control group,model group,experimental-L,-M,-H groups were 0.27±0.02,0.50±0.04,0.40±0.03,0.38±0.03 and 0.34±0.03;the expression levels of Bcl-2 mRNA were 1.57±0.28,1.00±0.00,0.87±0.05,0.75±0.08 and 0.41±0.18;the expression levels of caspase-3 mRNA were 0.84±0.10,1.00±0.00,1.33±0.10,1.61±0.15 and 1.83±0.16;the relative fluorescence intensities of ROS in VSMC were 6.05±1.50,31.45±3.12,30.03±1.85,18.39±5.62 and 17.18±1.97;the relative expression levels of Bel-2 protein were 0.65±0.02,0.60±0.02,0.49±0.02,0.48±0.03 and 0.49±0.01;the relative expression levels of caspase-3 protein were 0.03±0.00,0.25±0.01,0.42±0.01,0.46±0.02 and 0.64±0.03;the protein expression ratios of p-p38MAPK/p38MAPK were 0.97±0.05,1.44±0.04,1.62±0.10,2.18±0.05 and 2.70±0.05;the relative expression levels of p53 protein were 0.20±0.01,0.30±0.01,0.34±0.02,0.37±0.01 and 0.42±0.01 respectively.There were statistically significant differences in the above indicators between model group and control group,between model group and experimental-M,-H groups(P<0.05,P<0.01).Conclusion These demonstrate that SFN may inhibit proliferation and prompt apoptosis in ET-1-stimulated VSMC by anti-oxidant and activating p38MAPK and p53-depended apoptosis signal pathway.
6.A prospective study of association between physical activity and ischemic stroke in adults
Hao WANG ; Kaixu XIE ; Lingli CHEN ; Yuan CAO ; Zhengjie SHEN ; Jun LYU ; Canqing YU ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Pei PEI ; Jieming ZHONG ; Min YU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(3):325-330
Objective:To explore the prospective associations between physical activity and incident ischemic stroke in adults.Methods:Data of China Kadoorie Biobank study in Tongxiang of Zhejiang were used. After excluding participants with cancers, strokes, heart diseases and diabetes at baseline study, a total of 53 916 participants aged 30-79 years were included in the final analysis. The participants were divided into 5 groups according to the quintiles of their physical activity level. Cox proportional hazard regression models was used to calculate the hazard ratios ( HR) for the analysis on the association between baseline physical activity level and risk for ischemic stroke. Results:The total physical activity level in the participants was (30.63±15.25) metabolic equivalent (MET)-h/d, and it was higher in men [(31.04±15.48) MET-h/d] than that in women [(30.33±15.07) MET-h/d] ( P<0.001). In 595 526 person-years of the follow-up (average 11.4 years), a total of 1 138 men and 1 082 women were newly diagnosed with ischemic stroke. Compared to participants with the lowest physical activity level (<16.17 MET-h/d), after adjusting for socio-demographic factors, lifestyle, BMI, waist circumference, and SBP, the HRs for the risk for ischemic stroke in those with moderate low physical activity level (16.17-24.94 MET-h/d), moderate physical activity level (24.95-35.63 MET-h/d), moderate high physical activity level (35.64-43.86 MET-h/d) and the highest physical activity level (≥43.87 MET-h/d) were 0.93 (95% CI: 0.83-1.04), 0.87 (95% CI: 0.76-0.98), 0.82 (95% CI: 0.71-0.95) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.64-0.89), respectively. Conclusion:Improving physical activity level has an effect on reducing the risk for ischemic stroke.
7.Analysis of the causes of cage subsidence after oblique lateral lumbar interbody fusion
Zhong-You ZENG ; Ping-Quan CHEN ; Xing ZHAO ; Hong-Fei WU ; Jian-Qiao ZHANG ; Xiang-Qian FANG ; Yong-Xing SONG ; Wei YU ; Fei PEI ; Shun-Wu FAN ; Guo-Hao SONG ; Shi-Yang FAN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2024;37(1):33-44
Objective To observe the cage subsidence after oblique lateral interbody fusion(OLIF)for lumbar spondylo-sis,summarize the characteristics of the cage subsidence,analyze causes,and propose preventive measures.Methods The data of 144 patients of lumbar spine lesions admitted to our hospital from October 2015 to December 2018 were retrospectively ana-lyzed.There were 43 males and 101 females,and the age ranged from 20 to 81 years old,with an average of(60.90±10.06)years old.Disease types:17 patients of lumbar intervertebral disc degenerative disease,12 patients of giant lumbar disc hernia-tion,5 patients of discogenic low back pain,33 patients of lumbar spinal stenosis,26 patients of lumbar degenerative spondy-lolisthesis,28 patients of lumbar spondylolisthesis with spondylolisthesis,11 patients of adjacent vertebral disease after lumbar internal fixation,7 patients of primary spondylitis in the inflammatory outcome stage,and 5 patients of lumbar degenerative scoliosis.Preoperative dual-energy X-ray bone mineral density examination showed 57 patients of osteopenia or osteoporosis,and 87 patients of normal bone density.The number of fusion segments:124 patients of single-segment,11 patients of two-seg-ment,8 patients of three-segment,four-segment 1 patient.There were 40 patients treated by stand-alone OLIF,and 104 patients by OLIF combined with posterior pedicle screw.Observed the occurrence of fusion cage settlement after operation,conducted monofactor analysis on possible risk factors,and observed the influence of fusion cage settlement on clinical results.Results All operations were successfully completed,the median operation time was 99 min,and the median intraoperative blood loss was 106 ml.Intraoperative endplate injury occurred in 30 patients and vertebral fracture occurred in 5 patients.The mean follow-up was(14.57±7.14)months from 6 to 30 months.During the follow-up,except for the patients of primary lumbar interstitial in-flammation and some patients of lumbar spondylolisthesis with spondylolisthesis,the others all had different degrees of cage subsidence.Cage subsidence classification:119 patients were normal subsidence,and 25 patients were abnormal subsidence(23 patients were grade Ⅰ,and 2 patients were grade Ⅱ).There was no loosening or rupture of the pedicle screw system.The height of the intervertebral space recovered from the preoperative average(9.48±1.84)mm to the postoperative average(12.65±2.03)mm,and the average(10.51±1.81)mm at the last follow-up.There were statistical differences between postop-erative and preoperative,and between the last follow-up and postoperative.The interbody fusion rate was 94.4%.The low back pain VAS decreased from the preoperative average(6.55±2.2 9)to the last follow-up(1.40±0.82),and there was statistically significant different.The leg pain VAS decreased from the preoperative average(4.72±1.49)to the final follow-up(0.60± 0.03),and the difference was statistically significant(t=9.13,P<0.000 1).The ODI index recovered from the preoperative av-erage(38.50±6.98)%to the latest follow-up(11.30±3.27)%,and there was statistically significant different.The complication rate was 31.3%(45/144),and the reoperation rate was 9.72%(14/144).Among them,8 patients were reoperated due to fusion cage subsidence or displacement,accounting for 57.14%(8/14)of reoperation.The fusion cage subsidence in this group had obvious characteristics.The monofactor analysis showed that the number of abnormal subsidence patients in the osteopenia or osteoporosis group,Stand-alone OLIF group,2 or more segments fusion group,and endplate injury group was higher than that in the normal bone mass group,OLIF combined with pedicle screw fixation group,single segment fusion group,and no endplate injury group,and the comparison had statistical differences.Conclusion Cage subsidence is a common phenomenon after 0-LIF surgery.Preoperative osteopenia or osteoporosis,Stand-alone OLIF,2 or more segments of fusion and intraoperative end-plate injury may be important factors for postoperative fusion cage subsidence.Although there is no significant correlation be-tween the degree of cage subsidence and clinical symptoms,there is a risk of cage migration,and prevention needs to be strengthened to reduce serious complications caused by fusion of cage subsidence,including reoperation.
8.Trends of age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019.
Ning MA ; Di SHI ; Shan CAI ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jing LI ; Yan Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Bin DONG ; Tian Jiao CHEN ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():36-41
Objective: To analyze the trends of the age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years from 2010 to 2019. Methods: Data were extracted from the Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019. A total of 253 037 Han girls aged 9 to 18 years with complete data on menarche were selected in this study. They were asked one-on-one about their menstrual status, age and residence information. The median age of menarche was estimated by probability regression. U tests were used to compare the difference in median age at menarche in different years. Results: The median age at menarche (95%CI) among Chinese Han girls was 12.47 (12.09-12.83) years in 2010, 12.17 (11.95-12.38) years in 2014 and 12.05 (10.82-13.08) years in 2019, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the median age at menarche in 2019 decreased by 0.42 years (U=-77.27, P<0.001). The annual average changes were-0.076 years from 2010 to 2014 (U=-57.19, P<0.001) and-0.023 years from 2014 to 2019 (U=-21.41, P<0.001), respectively. The average annual changes in urban areas in the periods of 2010 to 2014 and 2014 to 2019 were-0.071 years and 0.006 years, respectively, while those in rural areas were-0.082 years and-0.053 years, respectively. The average annual changes in the regions of north, northeast, east, south central, southwest and northwest were-0.064, -0.099, -0.091, -0.080, -0.096 and-0.041 years in the period of 2010 to 2014 and 0.001, -0.040, -0.002, -0.005, -0.043 and-0.081 years in the period of 2014 to 2019. Conclusion: The age of menarche among Chinese Han girls aged 9 to 18 years shows an advanced trend from 2010 to 2019, and the trends in urban and rural areas and different regions have different characteristics.
9.Long-term trend of the age of spermarche and its association with nutritional status among Chinese Han boys aged 11-18 from 2010 to 2019.
Di SHI ; Ning MA ; Yun Fei LIU ; Jia Jia DANG ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Shan CAI ; Li CHEN ; Yan Hui DONG ; Pei Jin HU ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA ; Jing LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():42-48
Objective: To analyze the long-term trend of the age of spermarche among Chinese Han boys aged 11 to 18 from 2010 to 2019 and its association with nutritional status. Methods: The data from Chinese National Surveys on Students' Constitution and Health in 2010, 2014 and 2019 were used. The age, residence and spermarche of the participants were collected by questionnaire, and their height and weight were measured. A total of 184 633 Han boys aged 11‒18 years with complete data on spermarche, height, and weight were included in this study. The probability regression method was used to calculate the median age (95%CI) at spermarche in different areas, and the trend of age at spermarche in different groups was compared. The multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between nutritional status and spermarche of Chinese Han boys aged 11‒18 years. Results: The median age of spermarche (95%CI) was 13.85 (13.45-14.22) years old among Chinese Han boys aged 11‒18 years in 2019, with 0.18 years earlier than that in 2010. The median age at spermarche in urban and rural boys was 13.89 and 13.81 years, respectively. Compared with that in 2010, the age at spermarche in urban and rural boys was 0.08 and 0.27 years earlier, respectively. After adjusting for age, province and urban/rural areas, compared with normal weight, spermarche was negatively associated with wasting and positively associated with overweight and obesity, with OR (95%CI) about 0.73 (0.67-0.80), 1.09 (1.02-1.17) and 1.09 (1.01-1.18), respectively. Conclusion: The age of spermarche generally shows an advanced trend among Chinese Han boys and is associated with nutritional status.
10.Epidemiology and prediction of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China from 1985 to 2019.
Yan Hui DONG ; Li CHEN ; Jie Yu LIU ; Tao MA ; Yi ZHANG ; Man Man CHEN ; Pan Liang ZHONG ; Di SHI ; Pei Jin HU ; Jing LI ; Bin DONG ; Yi SONG ; Jun MA
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2023;57():11-19
Objective: To analyze and predict the epidemic trend of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China from 1985 to 2019. Methods: Data were collected from the Chinese National Survey on Students Constitution and Health in 1985, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2014, and 2019 with the sample size of 409 945, 204 931, 209 209, 234 420, 215 317, 214 353, and 212 711, respectively. Overweight and obesity were evaluated according to the "classification standard of the weight index value of overweight and obesity screening for Chinese school-age children and adolescents" of the Working Group on Obesity in China (WGOC). The detection rate and average annual growth rate of overweight and obesity, and single obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years were calculated, and ArcGis10.6 software was used to analyze the difference in the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents in different regions in 2019. Polynomial regression function was used to fit the prevalence and average annual growth rate of overweight and obesity, and single obesity among children and adolescents from 1985 to 2019, and to predict the prevalence of overweight and obesity and single obesity among children and adolescents in China. Results: In 2019, the total prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China was 23.4%, and the prevalence of single obesity was 9.6%. The prevalence of overweight and obesity among urban children and adolescents was higher than that in rural areas (25.4% vs. 21.5%), and the prevalence in boys was higher than that in girls (28.4% vs. 18.4%) (both P values<0.001). In 2019, there was a large regional disparity in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in different provinces, with the lowest in Guangdong (12.2%) and the highest in Shandong (38.9%), and the high epidemic areas were mainly concentrated in North China and Northeast China. From 1985 to 2019, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China increased from 1.2% to 23.4%, with an increase of 18.1 times, while the prevalence of obesity alone increased from 0.1% to 9.6%, with an increase of 75.6 times. The prevalence of overweight and obesity in urban boys, urban girls, rural boys and rural girls increased from 1.3%, 1.5%, 0.5%, and 1.6% in 1985 to 31.2%, 19.4%, 25.6%, and 17.4% in 2019, with an increase of 22.3, 11.7, 54.2, and 10.1 times, respectively. According to the prediction model, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents aged 7-18 years in China will increase from 23.4% in 2019 to 32.7% in 2030, and the prevalence of obesity alone will increase from 9.6% in 2019 to 15.1% in 2030. The growth of rural children and adolescents is obvious. By 2025, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among rural children and adolescents in China will comprehensively exceed that of urban, and there will be an "urban-rural reversal" phenomenon. At the same time, the prevalence of children's obesity in China's low, medium and high epidemic areas will also continue to increase. By 2035, the prevalence of overweight and obesity among children and adolescents in medium epidemic areas will exceed that in high epidemic areas, and there will be a "provincial reversal" phenomenon. Conclusion: From 1985 to 2019, the overweight and obesity of children and adolescents in China will continue to grow rapidly with large regional differences.

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