1.Construction and evaluation of a predictive model for mortality risk factors in patients with multiple trauma complicated with thoracic injuries
Sitong MOU ; Xiaoling ZHU ; Shixiong YANG ; Heyue YANG ; Ke LUO ; Xian WU ; Zhiqun ZHAN ; Hongli TENG ; Li YE ; Ming LI ; Huamin TANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(1):72-81
Objective:To construct a predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries and evaluate its predictive value.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 184 patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries admitted to the International Zhuang Medicine Hospital Affiliated to Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine from April 2019 to December 2023, including 129 males and 55 females, aged 19-85 years [(46.1±13.7)years]. According to the prognostic outcomes at 3-month follow-up after discharge, the patients were divided into survival group ( n=145) and death group ( n=39). Data were recorded in both groups at admission, including gender, age, and cause of injury, laboratory tests such as systolic blood pressure, oxygen saturation (SaO 2), hemoglobin (Hb), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate, combined injuries such as the number of combined injuries, number of rib fracture, bilateral rib fracture, first-rib fracture, sternum fracture, thoracic vertebral fracture, bilateral pulmonary contusion, bilateral pneumothorax, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, epidural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, cervical vertebral fracture, brain herniation, cerebral contusion, lumbar vertebral fracture, pelvic and abdominal cavity hematoma, liver injury, kidney injury, spleen injury, clavicle fracture, scapular fracture, femoral fracture, and pelvic fracture, and injury scores such as shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), injury severity score (ISS), revised trauma score (RTS), Glasgow coma score (GCS), and thoracic trauma severity (TTS) score. Univariate binary logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors of death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries. LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis were employed to identify predictive variables and independent risk factors for mortality in those patients and to construct a regression equation. A nomogram prediction model based on the regression equation was developed using R language. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the discrimination of the model. The ROC curves were internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 resamples. The calibration of the model was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness-of-fit test. The clinical application value of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) analysis. Results:There were statistically significant differences between the survival group and the death group in systolic blood pressure, SaO 2, NLR, lactate, number of combined injuries, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, brain herniation, liver injury, SI, MSI, ISS, RTS, GCS, and TTS ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The results of the univariate binary logistic regression analysis showed that the above-mentioned related variables except for systolic blood pressure were all significantly associated with death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Five predictive variables, TTS, GCS, brain herniation, ISS, and lactate were obtained in LASSO regression analysis. The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that GCS ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.58, 0.83), brain herniation ( OR=46.18, 95% CI 4.27, 499.26), TTS ( OR=1.71, 95% CI 1.30, 2.24), and lactate ( OR=1.35, 95% CI 1.01, 1.80) were independent risk factors for death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Based on the aforementioned independent risk factors, a regression formula was constructed as follows: P=e x/(1+e x), with the x=-0.36×"GCS"+3.83×"brain herniation"+0.53×"TTS"+0.30×"lactate levels"-11.03. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on the equation was 0.97 (95% CI 0.93, 1.00). The AUC was internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 samples, resulting in an AUC of 0.97 (95% CI 0.91, 1.00). The results of the H-L goodness-of-fit test showed that the bias-corrected calibration curve of the model was in good consistence with the actual curve and both of them were close to the ideal curve. In the evaluation of the clinical application value of the predictive model, the DCA results showed that the predictive model could achieve good clinical net benefit. The CIC results showed that when the threshold probability was greater than 0.7, the model-identified high-risk patients for death highly matched the patients who actually died. Conclusion:The predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on GCS, brain herniation, TTS, and lactate has good predictive performance and clinical application value.
2.Construction and evaluation of a predictive model for mortality risk factors in patients with multiple trauma complicated with thoracic injuries
Sitong MOU ; Xiaoling ZHU ; Shixiong YANG ; Heyue YANG ; Ke LUO ; Xian WU ; Zhiqun ZHAN ; Hongli TENG ; Li YE ; Ming LI ; Huamin TANG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(1):72-81
Objective:To construct a predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries and evaluate its predictive value.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 184 patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries admitted to the International Zhuang Medicine Hospital Affiliated to Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine from April 2019 to December 2023, including 129 males and 55 females, aged 19-85 years [(46.1±13.7)years]. According to the prognostic outcomes at 3-month follow-up after discharge, the patients were divided into survival group ( n=145) and death group ( n=39). Data were recorded in both groups at admission, including gender, age, and cause of injury, laboratory tests such as systolic blood pressure, oxygen saturation (SaO 2), hemoglobin (Hb), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lactate, combined injuries such as the number of combined injuries, number of rib fracture, bilateral rib fracture, first-rib fracture, sternum fracture, thoracic vertebral fracture, bilateral pulmonary contusion, bilateral pneumothorax, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, epidural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, cervical vertebral fracture, brain herniation, cerebral contusion, lumbar vertebral fracture, pelvic and abdominal cavity hematoma, liver injury, kidney injury, spleen injury, clavicle fracture, scapular fracture, femoral fracture, and pelvic fracture, and injury scores such as shock index (SI), modified shock index (MSI), injury severity score (ISS), revised trauma score (RTS), Glasgow coma score (GCS), and thoracic trauma severity (TTS) score. Univariate binary logistic regression analysis was used to screen for risk factors of death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries. LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis were employed to identify predictive variables and independent risk factors for mortality in those patients and to construct a regression equation. A nomogram prediction model based on the regression equation was developed using R language. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted to evaluate the discrimination of the model. The ROC curves were internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 resamples. The calibration of the model was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) goodness-of-fit test. The clinical application value of the model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC) analysis. Results:There were statistically significant differences between the survival group and the death group in systolic blood pressure, SaO 2, NLR, lactate, number of combined injuries, subarachnoid hemorrhage, subdural hematoma, skull fracture, skull base fracture, brain herniation, liver injury, SI, MSI, ISS, RTS, GCS, and TTS ( P<0.05 or 0.01). The results of the univariate binary logistic regression analysis showed that the above-mentioned related variables except for systolic blood pressure were all significantly associated with death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Five predictive variables, TTS, GCS, brain herniation, ISS, and lactate were obtained in LASSO regression analysis. The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that GCS ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.58, 0.83), brain herniation ( OR=46.18, 95% CI 4.27, 499.26), TTS ( OR=1.71, 95% CI 1.30, 2.24), and lactate ( OR=1.35, 95% CI 1.01, 1.80) were independent risk factors for death in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries ( P<0.05 or 0.01). Based on the aforementioned independent risk factors, a regression formula was constructed as follows: P=e x/(1+e x), with the x=-0.36×"GCS"+3.83×"brain herniation"+0.53×"TTS"+0.30×"lactate levels"-11.03. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on the equation was 0.97 (95% CI 0.93, 1.00). The AUC was internally validated using the Bootstrap method with 1 000 samples, resulting in an AUC of 0.97 (95% CI 0.91, 1.00). The results of the H-L goodness-of-fit test showed that the bias-corrected calibration curve of the model was in good consistence with the actual curve and both of them were close to the ideal curve. In the evaluation of the clinical application value of the predictive model, the DCA results showed that the predictive model could achieve good clinical net benefit. The CIC results showed that when the threshold probability was greater than 0.7, the model-identified high-risk patients for death highly matched the patients who actually died. Conclusion:The predictive model for mortality in patients with multiple trauma combined with thoracic injuries based on GCS, brain herniation, TTS, and lactate has good predictive performance and clinical application value.
3.Effect of sacroiliac joint reduction on the treatment of Tile type C pelvic fractures in children
Bo WANG ; Zhiqun ZHANG ; Zhan DONG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2024;26(5):385-390
Objective:To analyze the effect of sacroiliac joint reduction on the treatment of Tile type C pelvic fractures in children.Methods:A retrospective study was performed to analyze the 28 children [17 males and 11 females with an age of (10.2±3.1) years] with Tile type C pelvic fracture who had been admitted to Department of Orthopaedics, Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from March 2017 to January 2022. The children were divided into a group of 16 cases subjected to non-reduction of the sacroiliac joint (NRSJ) and a group of 12 cases subjected to reduction of the sacroiliac joint (RSJ). The 2 groups were compared in terms of preoperative general data, surgical time, intraoperative bleeding, pelvic diagonal line before and 1 week after surgery, and Cole score for pelvic fracture efficacy at the last follow-up.Results:There was no statistically significant difference in the preoperative general data or in the preoperative pelvic diagonal between the 2 groups, indicating comparability ( P>0.05). The surgical time in group NRSJ [(77.0±12.9) min] was significantly shorter than that in group RSJ [(104.7±24.3) min], the intraoperative bleeding in group NRSJ [(32.8±7.6) mL] significantly less than that in group RSJ [(65.7±13.4) mL], and the pelvic diagonal line [(27.7±5.3) mm] in group NRSJ significantly longer than that in group RSJ [(4.0±1.2) mm] ( P<0.05). The follow-up time was (18.9±3.0) months for group NRSJ and (17.0±2.2) months for group RSJ, showing no statistically significant difference ( P>0.05). The Cole scoring at the last follow-up yielded 2 excellent, 3 good, 5 fair, and 6 poor cases in group NRSJ, significantly worse than those in group RSJ (9 excellent, 2 good, 1 fair, and 0 poor cases) ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Surgical reduction of the sacroiliac joint in children with Tile C pelvic fracture is very important. Compared with non-reduction of the sacroiliac joint, the surgical reduction incurs longer surgical time and more intraoperative bleeding, but leads to higher quality of pelvic reduction, which can further correct the deformity of the pelvic ring and improve the Cole score for pelvic fracture efficacy.
4.Clinical efficacy of distal radius dome osteotomy combined with Vickers ligament release in the treatment of Madelung′s deformity
Liukun XU ; Bo WANG ; Wei LIAO ; Zhan DONG ; Zhiqun ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2024;39(10):761-765
Objective:To analyze the clinical efficacy of the distal radius dome osteotomy combined with Vickers ligament release (DRO+ VR) in the treatment of Madelung′s deformity.Methods:A retrospective case series analysis.The clinical data of 15 children with Madelung′s deformity treated in the Children′s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2012 to August 2023 were collected, and the children were divided into the DRO+ VR group and the other operation group according to the surgical method.The follow-up time was recorded, and the ulnar tilt (UT), lunate subsidence (LS), palmar carpal displacement (PCD), lunate fossa angle (LFA), wrist flexion (WF), wrist extension (WE), and visual analogue scale (VAS) were measured before surgery and at the last follow-up.The independent samples t-test was used for measurement data comparison, and the Fisher′s exact test was used for categorical variable comparison. Results:The follow-up time was 10-96 months, with the time of (27.17±15.51) months in the DRO+ VR group and (48.00±24.06) months in the other operation group.There was no significant difference in preoperative general data, imaging indexes and functional evaluation between the 2 groups (all P>0.05).The comparison of imaging indexes and functional evaluation of children in the DRO+ VR group before surgery and at the last follow-up showed that the differences in UT [(49.00±3.10) ° vs.(31.83±2.40) °], LFA [(34.50±3.78) ° vs.(49.83±4.02) °], LS [(7.29±3.61) mm vs.(2.29±1.48) mm], PCD [(12.06±3.39) mm vs.(4.35±2.37) mm], WF [(61.17±1.47) ° vs.(67.50±3.33) °], WE [(48.67±1.86) ° vs.(60.50±4.42) °], and VAS [(7.33±1.03) points vs.(2.67±0.52) points] were statistically significant (all P<0.05).At the last follow-up, the results of imaging indexes and functional evaluation of the 2 groups showed that the improvement of UT was (17.17±2.32) ° in the DRO+ VR group and (51.78±7.66) ° in the other operation group, which had statistically difference ( t=-2.241, P=0.043). Conclusions:DRO+ VR is an effective approach for treating Madelung′s deformity in children.It can significantly improve children′s imaging indexes and wrist joint function and alleviate pain symptoms.Surgical intervention should be actively considered for patients with severe deformity and pain symptoms related to Madelung′s deformity.
5.Clinical effect analysis of retrograde elastic stable intramedullary nailing in distal humerus metaphysis-diaphyseal junction fractures in children
Zhan DONG ; Zhiqun ZHANG ; Kai TANG ; Yue LOU ; Gang LIN ; Xiangshui SUN ; Pengfei ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Applied Clinical Pediatrics 2020;35(14):1089-1092
Objective:To assess the clinical effect of retrograde elastic stable intramedullary nailing(ESIN) in distal humerus metaphysis-diaphyseal junction fractures in children.Methods:A total of 14 cases of children with distal humerus metaphysis-diaphyseal junction fractures treated by retrograde ESIN in Children′s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 2016 to December 2018 were retrospectively analyzed.There were 9 males and 5 females, aged 3.0-13.2 years old(median: 6.4 years old). Nine cases had fractures on the left side and 5 cases on the right side.Two prebent ESINs were inserted into the proximal humerus metaphysis through the humerus marrow cavity from medial and lateral sides of the distal humerus respectively after the closed/open reduction of fractures.After surgery, the shoulder abductor stent or long arm plaster was used for fixation post-operatively.X - ray examination was performed at regular post-operative follow-up.The stability of internal fixation was analyzed by measuring the Baumann angle and checking whether humeral anterior lines passed through capitulum humeri in lateral radiographs immediately after the surgery and at the last follow-up.Meanwhile, efficacy was evaluated according to Flynn functional evaluation criteria.Results:All the 14 patients in this group were followed up for 10-27 months after the operation, with an average of 18.4 months.The Baumann angle was within the normal range at both the end of the operation and the last follow-up, and no significant difference was observed.Lateral radiographs showed humeral anterior lines passed through the capitulum humeri.According to Flynn functional scores, there were 13 excellent cases and 1 good case.No wound infection, intramedullary nailing displacement, Volkmann contracture, cubital varus deformity, or iatrogenic nerve injury occurred in any of the children.Conclusion:Retrograde ESIN technique is a safe and reliable treatment for children with distal humerus metaphysis-diaphyseal junction fractures.
6.TSA-induced apoptosis of gastric carcinoma SGC-7901 cell and its mechanism
Yazhou LI ; Weidong GONG ; Rui ZHAN ; Daihui NI ; Wenxian LI ; Zhimin WANG ; Zhiqun WU
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2010;19(3):220-223
Objective To investigate the apoptosis of gastric carcinoma SGC-7901 cell induced by histone deacetylase inhibitor(TSA)and to clarify its mechanisms.Methods The apoptosis-inducing role of TSA on gastric carcinoma SGC-7901 cell was investigated with the help of cell proliferation assay,Annexin V stain,cell flow analyzer and Tunel assay.Western blot,gene chips,real time PCR were employed to study the influence and mechanisms of TSA on the expression of gastric carcinoma cell SGC-7901 p53,bax,etc.Results TSA could induce the apoptosis of gastric carcinoma SGC-7901 cells,increase the expression of p53 and bax,and decrease the expression of bcl-2.survivin and easpase in gastric carcinoma SGC-7901 cells.TSA could transfer AIF and EndoG from mitochondria to nucleus.The apoptosis induced by TSA was brought about through the regulation of multiple apoptosis-related genes,and the apoptosis pathway induced by TSA was caspase-independent.Conclusion TSA can induce caspase-independent apoptosis in gastric carcinoma SGC-7901 cell through the regulation of multiple apoptosis-related genes.
7.Closed reduction with elastic intramedullary nailing and open reduction with Kirschner wire fixation for treatment of radial neck fractures in children: a comparative study
Lei WANG ; Yue LOU ; Kai TANG ; Xinhua PAN ; Zhiqun ZHANG ; Gang LIN ; Xiangshui SUN ; Fei LIU ; Lei NI ; Zhan DONG ; Pengfei ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2010;26(6):535-537
Objective To investigate the curative effect and feasibility of closed reduction with elastic intramedullary nailing and open reduction with Kirschner wire fixation in treatment of obviously displaced radial neck fractures in children. Methods From July 2006 to December 2007, 18 children with types Ⅱ and Ⅲ O' Brien radical neck fractures were admitted to Nanjing Children' s Hospital. Of all, six children received open reduction and fixation with Kirschner wire and six weeks of cast immobilization; the other 12 children received closed reduction and fixation with elastic intramedullary nail and three weeks of cast immobilization. The children were followed up for mean 12 months to investigate postoperative functional recovery of the elbow joint and presence of complications. Results All children achieved excellent clinical outcomes, without excessive radial bone growth, early closure of radial bone marrow, bone bridge formation or ectopic calcification around the joint. According to Tibone and Stoltz' s clinical evaluation methods, closed reduction with elastic intramedullary nailing had less trauma, faster recovery, fewer complications and better cosmesis than traditional open reduction with Kirschner wire fixation for children with obviously displaced radial neck fractures. Conclusion Closed reduction with elastic intramedullary nailing is a better option for obviously displaced radial neck fractures in children.

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