1.Distribution of respiratory pathogens in patients with pneumonia in Yinzhou,Ning-bo,2015-2024
Ziming YANG ; Shuya LI ; Xiaotong LI ; Peng SHEN ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongbo LIN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Siyan ZHAN ; Zhike LIU
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2025;57(3):496-506
Objective:To describe the epidemiological characteristics of 22 common respiratory patho-gens in patients with pneumonia in Yinzhou,Ningbo,from January 1,2015 to December 21,2024.Methods:The test data of 22 common respiratory pathogens in patients diagnosed with pneumonia or lung infection in the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform from January 1,2015 to December 21,2024 were collected.The positive cases,positive rates,and positive proportions were calculated.The epidemiological characteristics were described by the year,sex,age group,season,and coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic period.Results:A total of 77 531 pneumonia patients were included,with 492 696 respiratory pathogen tests performed.The number of respiratory pathogen tests and positive cases of pneumonia patients in Yinzhou showed an upward trend.In the study,34.63%of the pneumo-nia patients tested positive for at least one pathogen,and the pathogen non-detection rate decreased from 79.44%in 2015 to 58.38%in 2024.The overall pathogen positive rate was 9.12%,which decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic and had not returned to the historical level after the COVID-19 pande-mic.The positive rate was highest in children aged 6-17 years(13.99%),and lowest in the elderly over 60 years(4.16%).The top 3 highest number of positive cases was Mycoplasma pneumoniae,influenza A virus,and influenza B virus;the top 3 highest positive rates of pathogen tests were Mycoplasma pneu-moniae(25.26%),rhinovirus(12.02%),and Bordetella pertussis(11.66%).The pathogen spectrum proportion in men was similar to that in women,only showing a higher ratio of Mycobacterium tuberculosis and a slightly lower ratio of Mycoplasma pneumoniae(P<0.001).Mycoplasma pneumoniae,respiratory syncytial virus,and rhinovirus infections were more common in children,while influenza virus,Mycobac-terium tuberculosis,and Streptococcus pyogenes infections were more common in adults and the elderly(P<0.001).Influenza virus and human metapneumovirus infections were more common in winter,rhi-novirus and Bordetella pertussis infections were more common in spring,and Mycoplasma pneumoniae in-fections were relatively more common in fall(P<0.001).After the COVID-19 pandemic,the propor-tions of rhinovirus,respiratory syncytial virus,and human metapneumovirus infections in the pneumonia patients increased signi-ficantly,reaching 7.53%,4.26%,and 2.25%,respectively,while the propor-tions of influenza B virus and Mycobacterium tuberculosis infections decreased to 4.14%and 2.80%,re-spectively(P<0.001).Conclusion:In the past decade,the scale of respiratory pathogen infection in the pneumonia population in Yinzhou had expanded significantly,and there were differences in distribu-tion by the year,gender,age group,and season.The respiratory pathogen spectrum in pneumonia pa-tients after the COVID-19 pandemic had a trend of diversification.
2.Development and validation of an XGBoost-based prediction model for acute liver injury in statin users
Xianglong MENG ; Yuelin YU ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yu ZHU ; Yueqi YIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(8):867-876
Objective To develop and validate a prediction model to identify high-risk individuals who are at-risk to develop acute liver injury(ALI)within 180 days in new statin users,and to support early clinical intervention.Methods Data were sourced from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform,covering statin initiators aged 18 years and older from January 1,2010,to October 31,2021.The dataset was divided into a derivation cohort and a temporal validation cohort based on the time of statin initiation.Predictors were selected using LASSO regression,and the model was constructed using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with cost-sensitive learning.Model performance was evaluated using Brier scores,Harrell's C-index,and calibration curves.Results A total of 126,440 statin initiators were included,with 90,542 in the derivation cohort and 35,898 in the validation cohort.Within 180 days of initial statin use,412(0.33%)patients developed ALI,including 305(0.34%)in the derivation cohort and 107(0.30%)in the validation cohort.The final model incorporated 16 predictors,which included demographic characteristics,lifestyle factors,family history,medical history,statin use,and concomitant medication use.The model demonstrated excellent overall performance[Brier score=0.0043,95%CI(0.0038,0.0049)],discrimination[Harrell's C-index=0.761,95%CI(0.725,0.794)],and calibration in internal validation.In temporal validation,the model also performed well[Brier score=0.0044,95%CI(0.0036,0.0052),Harrell's C-index=0.703,95%CI(0.614,0.781)].Conclusion This study develope and validate a prediction model for ALI in statin users,providing clinicians with a reliable tool for individualized risk assessment.This model can help achieve risk stratification and reduce the occurrence of ALI.
3.Insights on facilitators and barriers to regulating non-medical use of prescription opioids:a qualitative study
Yuehan DUAN ; Huziwei ZHOU ; Yingzi YANG ; Qiaorui WEN ; Hongling CHU ; Jingling WANG ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yexiang SUN ; Yu ZHU ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(11):1265-1275
Objective The aim is to understand the common scenarios of non-medical use of prescription opioids(NMUPO)and analyze the potential facilitating and hindering factors in the regulatory process of NMUPO from the perspective of healthcare professionals.Methods Healthcare professionals in local hospitals were surveyed through a two-stage purposive sampling from June to August 2022 in Ningbo,China.The survey was conducted using a semi-structured questionnaire on topics,and thematic analysis were used to identify and summarise key themes and patterns.Results A total of 75 participants were included,the average age was(43.9±7.2)years,and 54(72.0%)were male.The most common NMUPO scenarios involved middle-aged males pretending acute severe pain to obtain injectable opioids.The facilitating and hindering factors related to the regulation of NMUPO can be categorized into three types:institutional governance,technical support,and individual behaviors.At the institutional level,facilitating factors included strict national prescribing policies and local"narcotic drug card"systems,while barriers comprised incomplete lists of controlled substances.At the technological support level,facilitating factors included the establishment of regional health information platforms,while barriers included the lack of standardized prescription guidelines and diagnostic decision-support tools.At the individual level,facilitating factors included the public's cautious attitude toward drug misuse,while barriers included strained doctor-patient relationships.Conclusion China still faces significant challenges in addressing NMUPO and urgently needs to improve the existing regulatory system.It is recommended that reforms be carried out in areas such as pharmaceutical control mechanisms,drug treatment and rehabilitation services,preventive health education activities,and the optimized use of health information systems.
4.Development and validation of an XGBoost-based prediction model for acute liver injury in statin users
Xianglong MENG ; Yuelin YU ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yu ZHU ; Yueqi YIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(8):867-876
Objective To develop and validate a prediction model to identify high-risk individuals who are at-risk to develop acute liver injury(ALI)within 180 days in new statin users,and to support early clinical intervention.Methods Data were sourced from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform,covering statin initiators aged 18 years and older from January 1,2010,to October 31,2021.The dataset was divided into a derivation cohort and a temporal validation cohort based on the time of statin initiation.Predictors were selected using LASSO regression,and the model was constructed using the extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost)algorithm combined with cost-sensitive learning.Model performance was evaluated using Brier scores,Harrell's C-index,and calibration curves.Results A total of 126,440 statin initiators were included,with 90,542 in the derivation cohort and 35,898 in the validation cohort.Within 180 days of initial statin use,412(0.33%)patients developed ALI,including 305(0.34%)in the derivation cohort and 107(0.30%)in the validation cohort.The final model incorporated 16 predictors,which included demographic characteristics,lifestyle factors,family history,medical history,statin use,and concomitant medication use.The model demonstrated excellent overall performance[Brier score=0.0043,95%CI(0.0038,0.0049)],discrimination[Harrell's C-index=0.761,95%CI(0.725,0.794)],and calibration in internal validation.In temporal validation,the model also performed well[Brier score=0.0044,95%CI(0.0036,0.0052),Harrell's C-index=0.703,95%CI(0.614,0.781)].Conclusion This study develope and validate a prediction model for ALI in statin users,providing clinicians with a reliable tool for individualized risk assessment.This model can help achieve risk stratification and reduce the occurrence of ALI.
5.Insights on facilitators and barriers to regulating non-medical use of prescription opioids:a qualitative study
Yuehan DUAN ; Huziwei ZHOU ; Yingzi YANG ; Qiaorui WEN ; Hongling CHU ; Jingling WANG ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Yexiang SUN ; Yu ZHU ; Shengfeng WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2025;34(11):1265-1275
Objective The aim is to understand the common scenarios of non-medical use of prescription opioids(NMUPO)and analyze the potential facilitating and hindering factors in the regulatory process of NMUPO from the perspective of healthcare professionals.Methods Healthcare professionals in local hospitals were surveyed through a two-stage purposive sampling from June to August 2022 in Ningbo,China.The survey was conducted using a semi-structured questionnaire on topics,and thematic analysis were used to identify and summarise key themes and patterns.Results A total of 75 participants were included,the average age was(43.9±7.2)years,and 54(72.0%)were male.The most common NMUPO scenarios involved middle-aged males pretending acute severe pain to obtain injectable opioids.The facilitating and hindering factors related to the regulation of NMUPO can be categorized into three types:institutional governance,technical support,and individual behaviors.At the institutional level,facilitating factors included strict national prescribing policies and local"narcotic drug card"systems,while barriers comprised incomplete lists of controlled substances.At the technological support level,facilitating factors included the establishment of regional health information platforms,while barriers included the lack of standardized prescription guidelines and diagnostic decision-support tools.At the individual level,facilitating factors included the public's cautious attitude toward drug misuse,while barriers included strained doctor-patient relationships.Conclusion China still faces significant challenges in addressing NMUPO and urgently needs to improve the existing regulatory system.It is recommended that reforms be carried out in areas such as pharmaceutical control mechanisms,drug treatment and rehabilitation services,preventive health education activities,and the optimized use of health information systems.
6.Distribution of respiratory pathogens in patients with pneumonia in Yinzhou,Ning-bo,2015-2024
Ziming YANG ; Shuya LI ; Xiaotong LI ; Peng SHEN ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongbo LIN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Siyan ZHAN ; Zhike LIU
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2025;57(3):496-506
Objective:To describe the epidemiological characteristics of 22 common respiratory patho-gens in patients with pneumonia in Yinzhou,Ningbo,from January 1,2015 to December 21,2024.Methods:The test data of 22 common respiratory pathogens in patients diagnosed with pneumonia or lung infection in the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform from January 1,2015 to December 21,2024 were collected.The positive cases,positive rates,and positive proportions were calculated.The epidemiological characteristics were described by the year,sex,age group,season,and coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19)pandemic period.Results:A total of 77 531 pneumonia patients were included,with 492 696 respiratory pathogen tests performed.The number of respiratory pathogen tests and positive cases of pneumonia patients in Yinzhou showed an upward trend.In the study,34.63%of the pneumo-nia patients tested positive for at least one pathogen,and the pathogen non-detection rate decreased from 79.44%in 2015 to 58.38%in 2024.The overall pathogen positive rate was 9.12%,which decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic and had not returned to the historical level after the COVID-19 pande-mic.The positive rate was highest in children aged 6-17 years(13.99%),and lowest in the elderly over 60 years(4.16%).The top 3 highest number of positive cases was Mycoplasma pneumoniae,influenza A virus,and influenza B virus;the top 3 highest positive rates of pathogen tests were Mycoplasma pneu-moniae(25.26%),rhinovirus(12.02%),and Bordetella pertussis(11.66%).The pathogen spectrum proportion in men was similar to that in women,only showing a higher ratio of Mycobacterium tuberculosis and a slightly lower ratio of Mycoplasma pneumoniae(P<0.001).Mycoplasma pneumoniae,respiratory syncytial virus,and rhinovirus infections were more common in children,while influenza virus,Mycobac-terium tuberculosis,and Streptococcus pyogenes infections were more common in adults and the elderly(P<0.001).Influenza virus and human metapneumovirus infections were more common in winter,rhi-novirus and Bordetella pertussis infections were more common in spring,and Mycoplasma pneumoniae in-fections were relatively more common in fall(P<0.001).After the COVID-19 pandemic,the propor-tions of rhinovirus,respiratory syncytial virus,and human metapneumovirus infections in the pneumonia patients increased signi-ficantly,reaching 7.53%,4.26%,and 2.25%,respectively,while the propor-tions of influenza B virus and Mycobacterium tuberculosis infections decreased to 4.14%and 2.80%,re-spectively(P<0.001).Conclusion:In the past decade,the scale of respiratory pathogen infection in the pneumonia population in Yinzhou had expanded significantly,and there were differences in distribu-tion by the year,gender,age group,and season.The respiratory pathogen spectrum in pneumonia pa-tients after the COVID-19 pandemic had a trend of diversification.
7.Exploratory study of starting age and interval of gastroscopy for different gastric mucosal lesions
Jiayi LI ; Peng SHEN ; Zhanghang ZHU ; Mengling TANG ; Liming SHUI ; Yexiang SUN ; Zhiqin JIANG ; Hongbo LIN ; Jianbing WANG ; Mingjuan JIN ; Kun CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1244-1250
Objective:To understand the current status of gastroscopy in diagnosing gastric lesions in general population, and to recommend the optimal age for the first gastroscopy and intervals for repeated gastroscopy.Methods:The gastroscopy records of residents aged 18-80 years in Yinzhou District of Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, between April 2010 and December 2021 were analyzed retrospectively. The detections of gastric lesions across different years, age and genders were described. Goodness of fit tests were applied to compare the differences in detection rates of different lesions in first-time endoscopy in different age groups and different populations. Generalized additive models were used to fit the trend of age specific gastric lesion detection rate explore the optimal age for gastroscopy. The appropriate gastroscopy intervals were determined according to the progress of the gastric lesions detected in repeated gastroscopy.Results:A total of 237 751 participants with 344 398 gastroscopy records were included in analyses. A total of 5 597 cases of chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG), 9 796 cases of intestinal metaplasia (IM), 165 cases of low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (LGIN), 52 cases of high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia (HGIN) and 435 cases of gastric cancer were detected by the first gastroscopy. The overall detection rate of gastric lesions increased significantly in age group 45-70 years, and remained stable after 70 years old, with LGIN and HGIN showing notable increases at 50 and 55 years old, respectively. Repeated gastroscopy detected CAG, IM, LGIN, and HGIN at a higher rate compared with the first gastroscopy. Normal/superficial gastritis progressed in 3-5 years, whereas CAG or more severe lesions progressed in 1-6 years.Conclusion:Gastroscopy is recommended for general population aged 45 years and above. Furthermore, gastroscopy can be performed every 3-5 years for individuals with normal endoscopy results and once a year for patients with CAG or more severe gastric lesions.
8.Analysis of Potential Suitable Areas and Key Ecological Factors of Polygonatum odoratum Based on MaxEnt Model
Anling HUANG ; Jinxiang JIANG ; Zhiqin REN ; Youqiong HU ; Zhiwei WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(18):178-185
ObjectiveThe potential suitable area for ecological planting, key ecological factors, and suitable range of Polygonatum odoratum in China were analyzed to provide theoretical and scientific guidance for the artificial planting of P. odoratum. MethodA total of 454 geographical distribution records of P. odoratum in China and 118 ecological factors were used in this study. The maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) was adopted to predict the suitable areas of P. odoratum. The key ecological factors and their suitable ranges were analyzed by the jackknife method, contribution rates of ecological factors, and response curves. ResultThe suitable areas of P. odoratum were mainly located in the northwest, north, and northeast of China, the highly suitable areas of which were concentrated in Shaanxi, Shanxi, Gansu, etc. Solar radiation in November (Srad11), precipitation in July (Prec7), percentage of evergreen/deciduous needleleaf trees (Class1), silt content (2-50 μm) mass fraction (SLTPPT), and annual average temperature (Bio1) were found to be the key ecological factors affecting the suitable distribution of P. odoratum in China. The cumulative contribution rate of solar radiation factors (31.29%)>vegetation factors (25.61%)>soil factors (19.52%)>precipitation factors (11.38%)>temperature factors (8.57%)>topography factors (3.63%). ConclusionIt is suggested to carry out ecological planting of P. odoratum mainly in Shaanxi (such as Baoji and Ankang Cities and Ningshan, Liuba, and Hua Counties), Gansu (such as Tianshui City, Gannan Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture, and Liangdang and Huating Counties), and Shanxi (such as Yangquan, Taiyuan, Fenyang, and Jinzhong Cities, as well as Xingxian County) of China. Solar radiation factors should be given priority in the planting process, followed by vegetation, soil, precipitation, temperature, and topography factors. The range of key ecological factors, namely Srad11, Prec7, Class1, SLTPPT, and Bio1 should be controlled within 8 095.21-10 334.98 (optimum 8 787.50) kJ·m-2·d-1, 109.99-223.60 (146.91) mm, 1.00%-9.45% (6.76%-10.68%), 41.73%-50.35% (46.53%), and 3.29-16.33 (13.57) °C, respectively.
9.Incidence density of sleep disorders among adults in Yinzhou District
CHEN Yunpeng ; YIN Yueqi ; SUN Yexiang ; SHEN Peng ; ZHU Yu ; JIANG Zhiqin
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2024;36(12):1028-1031
Objective:
To investigate the incidence density of adult sleep disorders (SD) in Yinzhou District, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province from 2017 to 2023, so as to provide insights into formulating the control measures of SD.
Methods:
The electronic health records of permanent residents aged 18 years and over in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2023 were collected through the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform. New cases of SD were diagnosed for the first time a year after establishing health records. The incidence density was estimated using Poisson distribution. The temporal, population and regional distribution characteristics of new cases of SD were analyzed using a descriptively epidemiological method.
Results:
From 2017 to 2023, there were 1 255 129 permanent residents aged 18 years and over in Yinzhou District, with a total observed person-time of 6 292 884 person-years and a median of 5.67 (interquartile range, 3.74) person-years. There were 165 490 new cases of SD, including 67 095 males (40.54%) and 98 385 females (59.46%). The incidence density of SD in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2023 was 26.30/1 000 person-years, with no significant trend observed (P>0.05). The incidence density of SD was higher in females than in males (29.63/1 000 person-years vs. 22.57/1 000 person-years, P<0.05). The highest incidence density of SD was observed in individuals aged 70 to <80 years (63.30/1 000 person-years), and the lowest was in individuals aged 18 to <30 years (7.24/1 000 person-years). The incidence density of SD in individuals aged 30 years and over was higher than that in individuals aged 18 to <30 years (all P<0.05). The incidence density of SD was 32.03/1 000 person-years in individuals with junior high school education or below, which was higher than individuals with senior high school/technical secondary school education (25.93/1 000 person-years) and college degree and above (18.87/1 000 person-years, all P<0.05). Dongliu Street, Dongjiao Street, and Baihe Street had relatively higher incidence densities of SD, at 45.11/1 000 person-years, 42.87/1 000 person-years and 40.16/1 000 person-years, respectively.
Conclusions
From 2017 to 2023, there was no significant trend in the incidence density of SD in Yinzhou District. Higher incidence density were observed in females, the elderly, and individuals living in central urban areas.
10.Expression of CLEC4G in liver disease and its correlation with hepatocellular carcinoma
Manling TANG ; Xiang CHEN ; Zhiqin XIE ; Meiyuan HUANG ; Hui LIN ; Zuiming JIANG
International Journal of Surgery 2020;47(3):164-168,封三
Objective:To investigate the expression level of C-type lectin domain family 4 member G ( CLEC4 G) in liver disease tissues and its correlation with the clinicopathological characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. Methods:The cancer tissue and the corresponding adjacent tissues (at least 2 cm from the edge of the cancer tissue), cut in surgeries from January to December in 2019, of 40 HCC patients in Zhuzhou Central Hospital, as well as 10 normal liver tissue samples (seen as far away as possible from the edge of the cancer tissue with naked eyes) and 10 liver cirrhosis samples were analyzed retrospectively. The tumor genome atlas (TCGA) database was used to screen the HCC transcriptome data sets, and bioinformatics methods were used to make expression heat maps and box maps which can help analyze the difference of CLEC4 G in cancer and adjacent tissues. The mRNA expression level of CLEC4 G was detected by conducting real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR (qRT-PCR), and the protein expression level of CLEC4G was detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC). The measurement data were expressed as mean±standard deviation ( Mean± SD). Group t test was used for inter-group comparison. The counting information was expressed as a percentage (%). The χ2 test was adopted to analyze the correlation between CLEC4 G expression level and the clinicopathological features of patients. Results:The expression level of CLEC4 G in cancer tissues was significantly decreased in heat map compared with that in adjacent tissues. In the box figure, the relative expression of CLEC4 G mRNA in the cancer tissues was (82.5±18.9) and (3 354.4±296.2) in paracancer tissues, with statistically significant difference ( P<0.001). Respectively, qRT-PCR and IHC showed that mRNA of CLEC4 G were abundant in normal liver tissues (3 301.3±286.4), while they were very little in liver cancer tissues (63.6±32.9), significantly decreasing in liver cirrhosis (1 742.6±208.7) and paracancer tissues (1 553.2±249.9), with statistically significant difference ( P<0.001). Moreover, low CLEC4 G expression level was associated with tumor vascular metastasis in HCC patients. Conclusions:CLEC4 G is highly expressed in normal liver tissue, but with the progression of malignant liver disease, it is significantly decreased with little expression in HCC tissue. It can be expected to be a good marker for the pathological diagnosis of HCC.


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