1.Predictive value of machine learning models based on CT imaging features for papillary thyroid carcinoma
Hanlin ZHU ; Bo FENG ; Haifeng ZHANG ; Meihua ZHANG ; Min TIAN ; Tong ZHANG ; Peiying WEI ; Zhijiang HAN
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2025;19(1):68-73
Objective:To establish three machine learning prediction models based on CT imaging characteristics of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) , and use SHAP (shapley additive explanations) analysis to investigate the contribution of each CT image features in the best model.Methods:CT imaging features in 426 cases of 440 PTCs confirmed pathologically from Jan. 2016 to Jan. 2021 at the affiliated Hangzhou First People’s Hospital of Westlake University Medical School were retrospectively analyzed. compared with 467 cases of 528 nodular goiter (NG) , evaluating the distribution of four CT characteristics: cookie bite sign, enhanced range of narrowing/blur (ERNB) , microcalcifications, and irregular shape. We split the data into 8∶2 ratio for training and testing sets, then constructed three machine learning models using XGBoost, RF, and SVM. Based on AUC, accuracy, F1 score, and other metrics, we selected the best model. Lastly, we used SHAP values to assess each CT feature’s contribution and positive/negative effects on the model.Results:Among 440 PTC and 528 NG nodules, CT features like cookie bite sign, ERNB, microcalcifications, and irregular shape occurred in 326 and 30 ( χ 2=483.05, P<0.001) , 363 and 106 ( χ 2=374.45, P<0.001) , 158 and 53 ( χ 2=94.24, P<0.001) , and 354 and 52 ( χ 2=491.34, P<0.001) nodules, respectively. The machine learning models built using XGBoost, RF, and SVM had AUC, accuracy, and F1 scores ranging from 0.884~0.925, 0.867~0.873, and 0.844~0.854 respectively on the training set. On the test set, the scores ranged from 0.869~0.923, 0.845~0.871, and 0.803~0.845. Among them, the XGBoost model demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance on the test set. Among the four CT features, irregular shape had the highest absolute SHAP value, positively contributing to PTC diagnosis. Conclusion:XGBoost model showed the highest PTC diagnostic performance. Irregular shape had the greatest positive impact on PTC diagnosis.
2.Clinical risk factors for central lymph node metastasis of single thyroid micropapillary carcinoma (≤1cm) at different locations
Yunfeng FANG ; Huijun CAO ; Chunfeng HU ; Tong ZHANG ; Peiying WEI ; Zhijiang HAN
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2025;19(4):552-557
Objective:Papillary thyroid carcinoma with a maximum tumor diameter of ≤1 cm was defined as papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). To explore the clinical risk factors of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTC at different locations.Methods:The clinical and pathological data of 1383 cases with solitary PTC in Hangzhou First People’s Hospital were retrospectively analyzed, and they were divided into isthmus group (175 cases), near-isthmus group (95 cases) and lateral lobe group (1113 cases) according to their tumor location. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to analyze the relationship between gender, age, tumor maximum diameter, Hashimoto’s thyroiditis (HT) and CLNM, and the threshold for the occurrence of CLNM in each group of age and tumor maximum diameter was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) .Results:The proportion of CLNM in the isthmus group, near-isthmus group and the lateral lobe group were 39.4% (69/175), 35.8% (34/95) and 29.6% (329/1113), respectively ( χ2=7.84, P=0.020). The intra-group comparison showed that there were statistical differences between the isthmus group and the lateral lobe group ( χ2=6.90, P=0.011), and there were no statistical differences between the isthmus group and near-isthmus group ( χ2=0.35, P=0.601), and near-isthmus group and the lateral leaf group ( χ2=1.62, P=0.313). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that male ( OR: 3.697) and age < 38.5 years ( OR: 4.727) were independent risk factors for CLNM in PTC in the Isthmus Group, while male ( OR: 2.193), without HT ( OR: 1.702), tumor maximum diameter > 6.5 mm ( OR: 2.535) and age < 45.5 years ( OR: 3.030) were independent risk factors for CLNM in PTC in the lateral lobe group. Conclusions:Male sex and age are independent risk factors for CLNM in isthmus and lateral lobe PTC, and uncomplicated HT and tumor maximum diameter are also independent risk factors for CLNM in lateral lobe PTC. The incidence of CLNM in PTC in the isthmus, near-isthmus and lateral lobes decreased sequentially, and PTC in the near isthmus can not be simply regarded as the isthmus or lateral lobe PTC, and the lymph nodes in the central area should be fully evaluated before surgery to provide individualized treatment.
3.Predictive value of machine learning models based on CT imaging features for papillary thyroid carcinoma
Hanlin ZHU ; Bo FENG ; Haifeng ZHANG ; Meihua ZHANG ; Min TIAN ; Tong ZHANG ; Peiying WEI ; Zhijiang HAN
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2025;19(1):68-73
Objective:To establish three machine learning prediction models based on CT imaging characteristics of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) , and use SHAP (shapley additive explanations) analysis to investigate the contribution of each CT image features in the best model.Methods:CT imaging features in 426 cases of 440 PTCs confirmed pathologically from Jan. 2016 to Jan. 2021 at the affiliated Hangzhou First People’s Hospital of Westlake University Medical School were retrospectively analyzed. compared with 467 cases of 528 nodular goiter (NG) , evaluating the distribution of four CT characteristics: cookie bite sign, enhanced range of narrowing/blur (ERNB) , microcalcifications, and irregular shape. We split the data into 8∶2 ratio for training and testing sets, then constructed three machine learning models using XGBoost, RF, and SVM. Based on AUC, accuracy, F1 score, and other metrics, we selected the best model. Lastly, we used SHAP values to assess each CT feature’s contribution and positive/negative effects on the model.Results:Among 440 PTC and 528 NG nodules, CT features like cookie bite sign, ERNB, microcalcifications, and irregular shape occurred in 326 and 30 ( χ 2=483.05, P<0.001) , 363 and 106 ( χ 2=374.45, P<0.001) , 158 and 53 ( χ 2=94.24, P<0.001) , and 354 and 52 ( χ 2=491.34, P<0.001) nodules, respectively. The machine learning models built using XGBoost, RF, and SVM had AUC, accuracy, and F1 scores ranging from 0.884~0.925, 0.867~0.873, and 0.844~0.854 respectively on the training set. On the test set, the scores ranged from 0.869~0.923, 0.845~0.871, and 0.803~0.845. Among them, the XGBoost model demonstrated the highest diagnostic performance on the test set. Among the four CT features, irregular shape had the highest absolute SHAP value, positively contributing to PTC diagnosis. Conclusion:XGBoost model showed the highest PTC diagnostic performance. Irregular shape had the greatest positive impact on PTC diagnosis.
4.Clinical risk factors for central lymph node metastasis of single thyroid micropapillary carcinoma (≤1cm) at different locations
Yunfeng FANG ; Huijun CAO ; Chunfeng HU ; Tong ZHANG ; Peiying WEI ; Zhijiang HAN
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2025;19(4):552-557
Objective:Papillary thyroid carcinoma with a maximum tumor diameter of ≤1 cm was defined as papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). To explore the clinical risk factors of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTC at different locations.Methods:The clinical and pathological data of 1383 cases with solitary PTC in Hangzhou First People’s Hospital were retrospectively analyzed, and they were divided into isthmus group (175 cases), near-isthmus group (95 cases) and lateral lobe group (1113 cases) according to their tumor location. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to analyze the relationship between gender, age, tumor maximum diameter, Hashimoto’s thyroiditis (HT) and CLNM, and the threshold for the occurrence of CLNM in each group of age and tumor maximum diameter was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) .Results:The proportion of CLNM in the isthmus group, near-isthmus group and the lateral lobe group were 39.4% (69/175), 35.8% (34/95) and 29.6% (329/1113), respectively ( χ2=7.84, P=0.020). The intra-group comparison showed that there were statistical differences between the isthmus group and the lateral lobe group ( χ2=6.90, P=0.011), and there were no statistical differences between the isthmus group and near-isthmus group ( χ2=0.35, P=0.601), and near-isthmus group and the lateral leaf group ( χ2=1.62, P=0.313). Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that male ( OR: 3.697) and age < 38.5 years ( OR: 4.727) were independent risk factors for CLNM in PTC in the Isthmus Group, while male ( OR: 2.193), without HT ( OR: 1.702), tumor maximum diameter > 6.5 mm ( OR: 2.535) and age < 45.5 years ( OR: 3.030) were independent risk factors for CLNM in PTC in the lateral lobe group. Conclusions:Male sex and age are independent risk factors for CLNM in isthmus and lateral lobe PTC, and uncomplicated HT and tumor maximum diameter are also independent risk factors for CLNM in lateral lobe PTC. The incidence of CLNM in PTC in the isthmus, near-isthmus and lateral lobes decreased sequentially, and PTC in the near isthmus can not be simply regarded as the isthmus or lateral lobe PTC, and the lymph nodes in the central area should be fully evaluated before surgery to provide individualized treatment.
5.Changes of retinal structure and function before and after panretinal photocoagulation in patients with proliferative diabetic retinopathy
Nannan DONG ; Liqing WEI ; Yu CHEN ; Jiapeng WANG ; Leilei LIN
International Eye Science 2025;25(5):718-724
AIM: To analyze the changes of retinal structure and function before and after panretinal photocoagulation(PRP)in patients with proliferative diabetic retinopathy(PDR).METHODS: Prospective study. Totally 98 cases(98 eyes)of PDR patients who underwent PRP in Eye Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from January 2022 to May 2023 were included. Optical coherence tomography angiography(OCTA)was used to detect central retinal thickness(CRT), central macular thickness(CMT), subfoveal choroidal thickness(SFCT), foveal avascular zone(FAZ), deep vascular complex(DVC)blood flow density, superficial vascular complex(SVC)blood flow density before and at 1 wk, 1 and 3 mo after PRP. During the follow-up, 1 eye underwent vitrectomy, 2 eyes were lost to follow-up, and finally 95 eyes completed 1 a follow-up, with a loss rate of 3%. According to the visual prognosis at 1 a after treatment, the patients were divided into two groups: 73 eyes in good prognosis group and 22 eyes in poor prognosis group(including 9 eyes of visual disability and 13 eyes of visual regression). The changes in retinal structure and function before and after PRP treatment were compared between the two groups of patients, and the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and decision curve were used to analyze the predictive value of retinal structure and function for PDR treatment.RESULTS: There were statistical significant differences in PDR staging, CRT, CMT, SFCT, DVC blood flow density, and SVC blood flow density between the two groups of patients before treatment(all P<0.05). At 1 wk, 1 and 3 mo after treatment, the FAZ area of both groups decreased compared to before treatment, while the blood flow density of DVC and SVC increased compared to before treatment(both P<0.05). However, there was no significant difference in the blood flow density of FAZ, DVC, and SVC between the two groups at 1 wk, 1 and 3 mo after treatment(all P>0.05). The CRT, CMT and SFCT of the two groups at 1 wk after treatment were higher than those before treatment(all P<0.05), but there were no significant differences between the two groups(all P>0.05). The CRT, CMT and SFCT at 1 and 3 mo after treatment were lower than those at 1 wk after treatment and before treatment in both groups. The CRT, CMT and SFCT in the poor prognosis group at 3 mo after treatment were higher than those at 1 mo after treatment, and were higher than those in the good prognosis group(all P<0.05). ROC analysis showed that, at 3 mo after laser treatment in PDR patients, the area under the curve of the CRT, CMT, and SFCT alone or in combination after treatment for 1 a was 0.788, 0.781, 0.783, and 0.902, respectively, and the combined prediction value was better(P<0.05). Decision curve analysis showed that the combined detection of CRT, CMT, and SFCT in PDR patients at 3 mo after treatment can improve the predictive value of visual prognosis.CONCLUSION: The optimal time for retinal structure and function recovery in PDR patients after PRP treatment is between 1 wk and 1 mo. OCTA measurement of CRT, CMT, and SFCT at 3 mo after treatment can predict the visual prognosis during the 1 a treatment period.
6.Prediction of clinical risk factors for lymph node metastasis in central group of monofocal papillary thyroid carcinoma
Tong ZHANG ; Min TIAN ; Huijun CAO ; Zhijiang HAN ; Yanyan SHU ; Peiying WEI
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2024;18(1):83-87
Objective:To determine the clinical factors affecting Central lymph node metastases (CLNM) of single Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). To predict the value of age for CLNM under different genders and the status of Hashimoto’s thyroiditis (HT) .Methods:The clinical data of 4 115 patients with PTMC (≤10.0 mm) and 664 patients with PTC (> 10.0 mm) in Hangzhou First People’s Hospital affiliated to Westlake University Medical School from Jan. 2010 to Aug. 2023 were retrospectively analyzed, and the independent risk factors of PTMC and PTC CLNM were identified by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. According to different gender and HT status, the patients were divided into male group, female group, HT group and non-HT group. The optimal age threshold and diagnostic efficacy of CLNM in each subgroup were determined by Receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC) .Results:The proportion of CLNM in 3451 PTMCs and 664 PTCs was 27.2% (937/3451) and 58.9% (391/664) ( χ2=256.565, P<0.050), respectively. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis showed that larger tumor ( OR 1.230), male ( OR 2.085), older age ( OR 0.960) and HT ( OR 0.697) were independent predictors of the occurrence of CLNM in PTMC. Only male ( OR 1.460) and older ( OR 0.963) PTC were independently associated with CLNM. Subgroup analysis showed that the age-predicted AUC of CLNM in male, HT and non-HT patients in PTC were higher than that of PTMC, which were 0.642-0.689 and 0.635-0.659, respectively. The age thresholds of female, HT and non-HT subgroups in PTC were lower than those in PTMC, which were 38.5 to 39.5 years old and 41.5 to 42.5 years old, respectively. Conclusions:Larger tumor, male, older patients and HT can independently predict the risk of CLNM in PTMC, while only male and older people can independently predict the risk of CLNM in PTC. There are certain differences in the age of CLNM occurrence between PTMC and PTC patients with different genders and HT combination status. It is of great significance to correctly understand these differences for providing personalized clinical treatment.
7.Diagnostic value of enhanced CT value in central lymph node metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma patients with Hashimoto’s thyroiditis
Ping DING ; Tong ZHANG ; Min TIAN ; Peiying WEI ; Zhijiang HAN
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2024;18(4):520-524
Objective:To explore the diagnostic efficacy of enhanced CT value in central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) with Hashimoto’s thyroiditis (HT) .Methods:The 209 central lymph nodes of 209 patients with PTC confirmed by surgery and pathology were retrospectively analyzed, and they were divided into HT group and non-HT group, including 77 lymph nodes (52 negative and 25 positive) in the HT-PTC group and 132 lymph nodes (74 negative and 58 positive) in the non-HT group. The CT values of lymph nodes were measured on enhanced CT images, and the optimal thresholds and corresponding sensitivity and specificity of enhanced CT values in the two groups were analyzed by the receiver operating characteristic curve.Results:The enhanced CT values of metastatic lymph nodes in the two groups were (103.2±21.1) Hu and (101.9±25.4) Hu, respectively ( t=0.23, P>0.05), and the enhanced CT values of benign lymph nodes were (72.0±15.8) Hu and (68.5±10.9) Hu, respectively ( t=-1.38, P>0.05). The area under the curve of enhanced CT values in the HT group and non-HT group were 0.882 and 0.918, respectively, and the optimal thresholds were 78.8 Hu and 74.7 Hu, respectively, with corresponding sensitivity of 92.0% and 91.4%, and specificity of 67.3% and 77.0%, respectively, for the diagnosis of CLNM in the two groups. Conclusion:The enhanced CT value has high and similar diagnostic efficiency for CLNM in HT group and non-HT group, providing a theoretical basis for the early clinical development of individualized treatment plans.
8.Predictive value of dual-phase enhanced CT for central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma
Tong ZHANG ; Min TIAN ; Yanyan SHU ; Peiying WEI ; Zhijiang HAN
Chinese Journal of Endocrine Surgery 2023;17(4):425-429
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of dual-phase enhanced CT for central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) .Methods:The CT data of 220 central lymph nodes in 182 cases of PTMC confirmed by surgery and pathology were retrospectively analyzed. The lymph nodes were divided into 0.3 cm-0.4 cm group, 0.4 cm-0.5 cm and ≥ 0.5 cm groups according to the size of them. The CT values of arterial phase and venous phase of lymph nodes were measured, respectively. The distribution of dual-phase CT values of lymph nodes in the three groups was analyzed by t test. The optimal threshold values of dual-phase enhanced CT values of lymph nodes in each group were obtained by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) . Results:The area under ROC curve of arterial phase CT in predicting CLNM was 0.717, 0.707 and 0.761, the optimal threshold was 71.4Hu, 63.3Hu and 72.9Hu, and the sensitivity and specificity were 50.0% and 92.3%, 63.6% and 81.0%, 52.4% and 82.9%, respectively. The area under the ROC curve of venous phase CT value in predicting CLNM was 0.744, 0.729, and 0.662, the optimal thresholds were 71.1 HU, 80.3 HU, and 61.3 HU, and the sensitivity and specificity were 52.8% and 87.2%, 54.2% and 86.7%, 82.6% and 46.7%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of dual-phase combined CT values in predicting CLNM in 3 groups were 44.1% and 94.7%, 50.0% and 88.1%, 52.4% and 85.4%, respectively.Conclusion:Dual-phase enhanced CT can effectively predict central lymph node metastasis of PTMC, and the combination of the two can further improve the specificity of predicting CLNM and provide an important basis for reducing unnecessary surgical trauma.
9.Study on quality grade standard of premature Forsythia suspensa
Zhijiang WEI ; Xiaohong REN ; Ye ZHANG ; Xi DAI ; Ran GUO ; Zihan ZHAO ; Lulu LIU ; Yong LIU ; Weidong LI
China Pharmacy 2022;33(7):842-847
OBJECTIVE To study the quality grade stand ard of the premature Forsythia suspensa . METHODS A total of 138 batches of premature F. suspensa were collected from the main producing areas of F. suspensa in China. According to 2020 edition of Chinese Pharmacopoeia ,the contents of impurities ,moisture,ethanol-soluble extract ,volatile oil ,forsythin and forsythoside A in the premature F. suspense were determined ,and the qualified samples were screened. AHP-PCA mixed weighting method was used to give comprehensive weight to the indicators (except for the limit of impurity ). The comprehensive score of the samples was calculated. The suggestions on the quality grade division of premature F. suspensa were put forward according to cluster analysis of K-mean value. RESULTS & CONCLUSIONS The contents of impurities ,moisture,ethanol-soluble extract ,volatile oil ,forsythin and forsythoside A in the premature F. suspense were 0-7.80%,1.60%-8.18%,13.13%-61.60%,0.21%-3.47%,0.02%-2.15% and 0.79%-14.04%,respectively;average contents of them were 1.24%,4.97%,34.88%,2.01%,0.42%,6.86%,respectively. Totally 47 batches of 138 batches were qualified in all indexes. It is suggested that the quality grade of the premature F. suspense can be divided into three grades :in first grade of F. suspense ,the contents of volatile oil ,forsythin,forsythoside A , ethanol-soluble extract and moisture were ≥2.40%,≥0.59%,≥8.34%,≥38.66% and ≤4.99%,respectively;in second grade of F. suspense ,the contents of above indicators were ≥2.26%,≥0.41%,≥7.47%,≥32.58% and ≤5.33%,respectively;in third grade of F. suspense ,the contents of above indicators were ≥2.15%,≥0.32%,≥4.60%,≥31.52% and≤7.23%,respectively.
10.Gonococcal infections of the penile skin and accessory glands in men: high-frequency ultrasound features and their clinical significance
Wenge FAN ; Qingsong ZHANG ; Xun YE ; Mei WEI ; Zhijiang FAN ; Jing ZHANG ; Ling WANG ; Qiao XUE ; Xiaoyu TAO ; Hao DING ; Jun ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Dermatology 2022;55(6):528-531
Objective:To investigate ultrasonographic manifestations of gonococcal infections of the penile skin and accessory glands in men, and to assess their clinical significance.Methods:From January 2014 to January 2021, male patients with gonococcal infections of the penile skin and accessory glands were collected from Department of Dermatology, Changshu No.1 People′s Hospital. The diagnosis had been confirmed by laboratory examinations, and these patients had not received relevant treatment. The real-time ultrasound imaging system SIEMENS ACUSON X300 was used to examine the penile skin and accessory gland lesions infected with Neisseria gonorrhoeae, with the probe frequency ranging from 7.5 to 15 MHz. Patients with tubular anechoic fluid-filled areas on the high-frequency ultrasound images received a single dose of intramuscular ceftriaxone (1 g) ; those with oval-shaped anechoic fluid-filled areas on the high-frequency ultrasound images received incision and drainage followed by intramuscular injection of ceftriaxone at a dose of 1 g once a day for 5 consecutive days; those with hypoechoic or mixed echoic areas on the high-frequency ultrasound images received intramuscular injection of ceftriaxone at a dose of 1 g once a day for 5 consecutive days, and if the nodules did not regress after 1-month treatment, local resection would be performed. One month after the treatment, the patients were followed up, and the efficacy was evaluated. Results:A total of 32 male patients with gonococcal infections of the penile skin and accessory glands were collected. They were aged 28.54 ± 3.27 years, all had a history of non-marital sexual contact, and the duration from non-marital sexual contact to the onset of symptoms was 4.45 ± 1.03 days. The disease course was 8.64 ± 1.87 days. Lesions were all solitary, and located at the external urethral meatus in 16 cases (50.00%) , at the glans penis in 7 cases (21.88%) , beside the foreskin frenulum in 5 cases (15.62%) , and at the penile raphe in 4 cases (12.50%) . Sixteen patients (50.00%) presented with sinus-like lesions, 9 (28.13%) with abscesses, 7 (21.87%) with nodules, and all had tenderness on palpation. High-frequency ultrasound examination showed tubular anechoic fluid-filled areas in 16 cases (50.00%) , oval-shaped anechoic fluid-filled areas in 7 cases (21.88%) , hypoechoic areas in 5 cases (15.62%) , and mixed echoic areas in 4 cases (12.50%) . Gonococcal infections involved the cavernous body of the urethra in 16 cases (50.00%) , cavernous body of the penis in 5 cases (15.62%) , and subcutaneous tissue of the penis in 11 cases (34.38%) . After the treatment, all the patients were cured.Conclusion:High-frequency ultrasound can be used in the assessment of skin lesions and selection of treatment regimens for male patients with gonococcal infections of the penile skin and accessory glands.

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