1.Multicenter machine learning-based construction of a model for predicting potential organ donors and validation with decision curve analysis
Xu WANG ; Wenxiu LI ; Fenghua WANG ; Shuli WU ; Dong JIA ; Xin GE ; Zhihua SHAN ; Tongzuo LI
Organ Transplantation 2026;17(1):106-115
Objective To evaluate the predictive value of different machine learning models constructed in a multicenter environment for potential organ donors and verify their clinical application feasibility. Methods The study included 2 000 inpatients admitted to five domestic tertiary hospitals from January 2020 to December 2023, who met the criteria for potential organ donation assessment. They were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set (7∶3). Another 300 similar patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from January 2024 to April 2025 were included as an external validation set. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F1-score of three models were compared, and the consistency of the potential organ donor determination process was tested. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors of potential organ donors. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to verify the resource efficiency of each model, and the threshold interval and intervention balance point were assessed. Results Apart from age, there were no significant differences in other basic characteristics among the centers (all P>0.05). The consistency of the potential organ donor determination process among researchers in each center was good [all 95% confidence interval (CI) lower limits >0]. In the internal validation set, the XGBoost model had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.94) and the best calibration (P=0.441, Brier score 0.099). In the external validation set, the XGBoost model also had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.91, 95% CI 0.88-0.94), outperforming logistic regression and random forest models. Multivariate logistic regression showed that mechanical ventilation had the greatest impact (odds ratio=2.06, 95% CI 1.54-2.76, P<0.001). DCA indicated that the XGBoost model had the highest net benefit in the threshold interval of 0.2-0.6. The “treat all” strategy only had a slight advantage at extremely low thresholds. The recommended threshold interval, which balances intervention costs and clinical benefits, considers ≥50% positive predictive value (PPV) and ≤50 referrals per 100 high-risk patients. Conclusions The XGBoost model established in a multicenter environment is accurate and well-calibrated in predicting potential organ donors. Combined with DCA, it may effectively guide the timing of clinical interventions and resource allocation, providing new ideas for the assessment and management of organ donation after brain death.
2.Study on the effects of different dialysis modalities on sex hormone levels and menstrual patterns in childbearing-age women with uremia
Yi WU ; Zhihua SUN ; Ning SHAO
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(4):830-834
Objective To investigate the effects of different dialysis modalities on hormonal profiles and menstrual disorders in childbearing-age women with uremia.Methods From March 2020 to July 2024,102 childbearing-age women with uremia treated in the Department of Nephrology of Tianmen First People's Hospital were enrolled and divided into hemodialysis group(n=52)and peritoneal dialysis group(n=50),and 50 healthy women undergoing physical examinations were selected as the control group.Sex hormone lev-els and menstrual patterns were compared among three groups at baseline and 6 months post-dialysis.Results Pre-treatment levels of follicle-stimulating hormone(FSH),prolactin(PRL),and luteinizing hormone(LH)in both hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis groups were significantly higher than those in healthy controls,while progesterone(P)levels were lower(P<0.05).Post-treatment,hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis groups showed decreased FSH and increased LH,PRL,and P compared to baseline(P<0.05).Estradiol(E2)and P levels in hemodialysis group were slightly lower than those in the peritoneal dialysis group without statistical significance(P>0.05).No significant intergroup differences existed in FSH,LH,P,or PRL between hemodi-alysis and peritoneal dialysis groups post-treatment(P>0.05).Menstrual normalization and disorder rates in hemodialysis group were nonsignificantly lower than peritoneal dialysis group(P>0.05),whereas amenor-rhea incidence was significantly higher in hemodialysis group(P<0.05).Menstrual resumption rate after a-menorrhea showed no statistical difference between groups(P>0.05).Conclusion Both peritoneal dialysis and hemodialysis effectively ameliorate hormonal dysregulation in female uremia patients,while peritoneal dialysis demon-strates superior efficacy in improving menstrual disorders.
3.Distribution characteristics of smoking behavior among adult twins in China
Shunkai LIU ; Wenjing GAO ; Weihua CAO ; Jun LYU ; Canqing YU ; Shengfeng WANG ; Tao HUANG ; Dianjianyi SUN ; Chunxiao LIAO ; Yuanjie PANG ; Ruqin GAO ; Min YU ; Jinyi ZHOU ; Xianping WU ; Zhong DONG ; Fan WU ; Dezheng WANG ; Zhihua XU ; Yu LIU ; Jianrui WANG ; Jie YIN ; Shengli YIN ; Liming LI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;59(7):1090-1096
This study aims to describe the population and regional distribution characteristics of smoking behavior among adult twins in the China Twin Registry (CNTR), as well as the concordance rates for smoking behavior in monozygotic and dizygotic twins, and estimate the heritability. The study population included adult twins in CNTR who had smoking questionnaire data. A random-effects regression model was used to describe the distribution of smoking behavior among different subgroups based on various characteristics. The concordance of smoking behavior between different zygosity groups was calculated, and heritability was estimated. A total of 28 444 twin pairs were included in this study, with an average age of (36.6±12.0) years. Among male twins, 41.2% were current smokers, while only 1.2% of females smoked. Higher smoking rates were observed among male smokers in the 50-59 age group ( z=23.0, P<0.001), northern regions ( z=2.9, P<0.01), rural areas ( z=-5.2, P<0.001), those who were divorced/widowed ( z=3.8, P<0.001), and first-born twins ( z=-4.3, P<0.001), while lower smoking rates were found in those with higher education ( z=-16.1, P<0.001) and unmarried individuals ( z=-16.0, P<0.001). The smoking concordance rate for male monozygotic twins was 69.6%, significantly higher than the 57.3% concordance rate for dizygotic twins ( χ 2=105.0, P<0.05). The heritability of smoking behavior in male twins was estimated at 28.9% (95% CI: 24.3%-33.4%). Stratified analyses showed differences in heritability across regions and age groups: the heritability in northern regions was 32.6% (95% CI: 27.3%-38.0%), higher than the 21.0% (95% CI: 12.4%-29.5%) observed in southern regions; the highest heritability of 35.1% (95% CI: 26.3%-43.9%) was found in the 18-29 age group, with heritability decreasing with age. In conclusion, the smoking rate and influencing factors in the twin population are similar to those in the general population, with unique characteristics, such as higher smoking rates in first-born twins. Genetic factors have a significant impact on smoking behavior.
4.The comparative study of TyG and TyG-BMI index with occurrence of hyperuricemia in physical examina-tion population
Qian NIE ; Xuemei ZHANG ; Zhihua HAO ; Ruolin XIE ; Huanxin LIU ; Xiaoqian WU ; Luping REN
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(8):1192-1198
Objective To investigate the predictive capacity of the Triglyceride-Glucose(TyG)index and the Triglyceride-Glucose-Body Mass Index(TyG-BMI)for the development of hyperuricemia(HUA)in a health examination population,and to identify suitable indicators as risk assessment tools for HUA.Methods This study ultimately included 12 004 participants from a health examination cohort.According to SUA levels,the partici-pants were categorized into a normal group(n=9 952)and a hyperuricemia(HUA)group(n=2 052).The TyG index and TyG-BMI index were calculated,and participants were further stratified into four groups(Q1—Q4)based on the quartiles of these indices.Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between TyG,TyG-BMI,and HUA.The predictive value of TyG,TyG-BMI,and their combination for HUA was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)curves and the Area Under the Curve(AUC).Subgroup analyses were carried out by gender and age.Results The TyG and TyG-BMI indices were significantly elevated in the HUA group compared to the normal group.The prevalence of HUA was markedly higher in the TyG-Q4 and TyG-BMI-Q4 groups than in the other three corresponding quartile groups.Binary logistic regression analysis revealed a positive association between TyG,TyG-BMI levels,and the risk of HUA.The AUC values for predicting HUA using TyG,TyG-BMI,and their combination were 0.700,0.747,and 0.822,respectively.Specifically,for males,the AUC values were 0.641,0.674,and 0.709,respectively,whereas for females,they were 0.742,0.776,and 0.829,respectively.Among individuals younger than 60 years old,the AUC values were 0.716,0.759,and 0.835,respectively,while for those aged 60 years or older,the values were 0.614,0.645,and 0.731,respectively.Conclusions TyG and TyG-BMI are significantly associated with the risk of HUA.Specifically,TyG-BMI demon-strates superior predictive performance compared to TyG alone.Moreover,the combination of TyG and TyG-BMI further improves predictive accuracy,particularly among female and middle-aged or younger populations.
5.Influencing factors of chronic dyslipidemia in T2DM patients with diabetes point system management in Qingpu District,Shanghai
Zhouli WU ; Sen WANG ; Jie CHEN ; Zhihua REN ; Kaiyou YE ; Yueqin JIANG ; Ya WU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(2):56-60
Objective To understand the influencing factors of chronic dyslipidemia in T2DM patients who signed a contract for diabetes point system management in Qingpu District, and to provide a basis for comprehensive intervention and prevention and control of dyslipidemia in T2DM patients and to optimize the management strategy of Qingpu District diabetes point system. Methods Among the T2DM patients who signed the diabetes point system from 2017 to 2023, patients with chronic dyslipidemia and normal blood lipids were selected and included in the case group and the control group, respectively. A case-control study was conducted with 1:1 matching by age and gender to analyze the factors influencing dyslipidemia. Results Multifactorial paired logistic regression analysis showed that overweight/obesity and central obesity and smoking in T2DM patients increased the risk of dyslipidemia by 1.93, 2.27, and 2.16 times, respectively. Long-term use of lipid-lowering drugs, duration of diabetes for 5 years or more, regular physical exercise, knowledge of blood lipid status, and married status could reduce the risk of dyslipidemia in T2DM patients (OR values were 0.547, 0.452, 0.685, 0.386 and 0.354, respectively). Current complications (history of stroke, coronary heart disease, and renal insufficiency) were also associated with dyslipidemia (OR=1.802, 95% CI:1.125-2.888). Conclusion The management of diabetes point system in Qingpu District should strengthen the feedback and interpretation of blood lipid monitoring results, improve patients’ health awareness of blood lipid management, and actively take comprehensive management of lifestyle intervention and drug treatment to effectively control blood lipid and reduce the occurrence of related complications.
6.Establishment of Vero cell line overexpressing pAPN gene and its effect on porcine epidemic diarrhea virus replication
Qiuyong CHEN ; Zhihua SUN ; Rujing CHEN ; Xuemin WU ; Renjie WU ; Jinli QIU ; Bing HE ; Yutao LIU ; Longbai WANG ; Lunjiang ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(2):181-186
pAPN is a zinc-dependent metalloprotease,mediating the fusion between virus and host cell,and playing a role as the receptor of coronavirus.To explore the effect of pAPN on PEDV rep-lication,the full-length pAPN gene was amplified from the porcine small intestinal by PCR,and was cloned into the lentiviral vector via the homologous site digested with BamH Ⅰ and Not Ⅰ to obtain the recombinant lentiviral vector PLVX-pAPN-mCMV-ZsGreen1-puro.The recombinant lentiviral vector and helper plasmids pLP1,pLP2,pLP-VSVG were co-transfected into 293T cells for lentiviral packaging.Vero cells were infected with the packaged lentivirus and the pAPN gene overexpressing cells were screened by puromycin.The stable expression of Vero-pAPN monoclonal cell line was screened by a limited dilution method,and the effect of the cell line on the replication of PEDV was determined by qPCR for N mRNA transcription level,Western blot for N protein level,and TCID50.The results showed that the packaged lentivirus could infect Vero cells,and the monoclonal cell line Vero-pAPN(2C5)could stably expressed pAPN.The Vero-pAPN cell line can promote the replication of PEDV,the N gene mRNA transcription level was significantly different at 12-48 h(P<0.05),the N protein expression level increased,and the TCID50 was significantly different at 24 and 48 h(P<0.05).In conclusion,the Vero-pAPN cell line was constructed in this study and it can significantly promote the replication of PEDV,which provides a candidate cell line for PEDV vaccine production and isolation.
7.Consensus on informed consent for orthodontic treatment
Yang CAO ; Bing FANG ; Zuolin JIN ; Hong HE ; Yuxing BAI ; Lin WANG ; Haiping LU ; Zhihe ZHAO ; Tianmin XU ; Weiran LI ; Min HU ; Jinlin SONG ; Jun WANG ; Fang JIN ; Ding BAI ; Xianglong HAN ; Yuehua LIU ; Bin YAN ; Jie GUO ; Jiejun SHI ; Yongming LI ; Zhihua LI ; Xiuping WU ; Jiangtian HU ; Linyu XU ; Lin LIU ; Yi LIU ; Yanqin LU ; Wensheng MA ; Shuixue MO ; Liling REN ; Shuxia CUI ; Yongjie FAN ; Jianguang XU ; Lulu XU ; Zhijun ZHENG ; Peijun WANG ; Rui ZOU ; Chufeng LIU ; Lunguo XIA ; Li HU ; Weicai WANG ; Liping WU ; Xiaoxing KOU ; Jiali TAN ; Yuanbo LIU ; Bowen MENG ; Yuantao HAO ; Lili CHEN
Chinese Journal of Stomatology 2025;60(12):1327-1336
This consensus was developed by the Orthodontic Society of the Chinese Stomatological Association to provide a systematic, scientific, and practical guideline for informed consent in orthodontic care. Orthodontic treatment is typically lengthy, highly individualized, and involves multiple factors such as growth and development, occlusal function, and facial esthetics. Rapid technological advances and diverse risk profiles make the traditional reliance on orthodontist experience or institutional templates insufficient to ensure patients′ full understanding and autonomous decision-making. To address this, the expert panel conducted extensive reviews of domestic and international guidelines, analyzed representative dispute cases, and performed multicenter patient-clinician surveys. Using a multi-round Delphi method, the group established a standardized informed consent framework covering the initial consultation, treatment, and retention phases. The consensus emphasizes that informed consent is not only a fundamental legal and ethical requirement but also a key step in building trust, improving patient compliance, and enhancing treatment satisfaction. Orthodontists should clearly and comprehensively explain treatment plans, potential risks, uncertainties, and associated costs, while respecting the autonomy of patients or guardians, and maintain continuous communication and dynamic evaluation throughout the treatment process. The release of this consensus provides unified and authoritative guidance for clinical orthodontics, helping to standardize informed consent, enhance its transparency, safeguard patient rights, reduce medical risks, and promote high-quality, sustainable development of orthodontic practice.
8.The comparative study of TyG and TyG-BMI index with occurrence of hyperuricemia in physical examina-tion population
Qian NIE ; Xuemei ZHANG ; Zhihua HAO ; Ruolin XIE ; Huanxin LIU ; Xiaoqian WU ; Luping REN
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(8):1192-1198
Objective To investigate the predictive capacity of the Triglyceride-Glucose(TyG)index and the Triglyceride-Glucose-Body Mass Index(TyG-BMI)for the development of hyperuricemia(HUA)in a health examination population,and to identify suitable indicators as risk assessment tools for HUA.Methods This study ultimately included 12 004 participants from a health examination cohort.According to SUA levels,the partici-pants were categorized into a normal group(n=9 952)and a hyperuricemia(HUA)group(n=2 052).The TyG index and TyG-BMI index were calculated,and participants were further stratified into four groups(Q1—Q4)based on the quartiles of these indices.Binary logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between TyG,TyG-BMI,and HUA.The predictive value of TyG,TyG-BMI,and their combination for HUA was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic(ROC)curves and the Area Under the Curve(AUC).Subgroup analyses were carried out by gender and age.Results The TyG and TyG-BMI indices were significantly elevated in the HUA group compared to the normal group.The prevalence of HUA was markedly higher in the TyG-Q4 and TyG-BMI-Q4 groups than in the other three corresponding quartile groups.Binary logistic regression analysis revealed a positive association between TyG,TyG-BMI levels,and the risk of HUA.The AUC values for predicting HUA using TyG,TyG-BMI,and their combination were 0.700,0.747,and 0.822,respectively.Specifically,for males,the AUC values were 0.641,0.674,and 0.709,respectively,whereas for females,they were 0.742,0.776,and 0.829,respectively.Among individuals younger than 60 years old,the AUC values were 0.716,0.759,and 0.835,respectively,while for those aged 60 years or older,the values were 0.614,0.645,and 0.731,respectively.Conclusions TyG and TyG-BMI are significantly associated with the risk of HUA.Specifically,TyG-BMI demon-strates superior predictive performance compared to TyG alone.Moreover,the combination of TyG and TyG-BMI further improves predictive accuracy,particularly among female and middle-aged or younger populations.
9.Detection and genetic evolution analysis of pathogens borne by Pulex irritans in selected areas of Xinjiang
Xinxin HAN ; Jing ZHAO ; Xuefeng LIU ; Yitao LI ; Tingting WU ; Junang DAI ; Mengyang YAN ; Zhihua SUN ; Hui ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(8):852-858
This study identified the types and pathogen carrying status of fleas on the surface of sheep in some areas of southern Xinjiang,and analyzed the genetic evolution differences with respect to related pathogens.The aim was to provide a reference for the local prevention and control of fleas and insect borne infectious diseases.A total of 1 586 fleas were collected from agricultural and pas-toral areas of Tumushuke City and Hotan Prefecture.Flea species were identified on the basis of morphology and the Pulex irritans mi-tochondrial COII gene.Flea DNA was extracted,and PCR was conducted to amplify the Bartonella gltA gene;Arsenophonus,Ana-plasma,Ehrlichia,and Wolbachia 16S rRNA genes;RickettsiaOmpA,17kDa,16S rRNA genes,and Yersinia pestis 16S rDNA gene.The amplified products were sequenced,and the homology of the genes of the three detected pathogens(gltA gene of Bartonella,16S rRNA gene of Wolbachia,and Anaplasma phagocytophilum)with respect to known corresponding genes of the same pathogen in Gen-Bank was analyzed.Phylogenetic trees were constructed with the adjacency method in MEGA 11.0.According to morphological and mo-lecular biology identification results,all fleas collected in this study were Pulex irritans.PCR indicated that the target gene fragments had been added to the mitochondrial COII,BartonellagltA,Wolbachia,and autophagosomal 16S rRNA genes of human fleas,all of which were consistent with the expected fragment sizes.Target bands were not amplified from Ehrlichia,Arsenophonus,spotted fever group Rickettsia,and Yersinia pestis.According to homology and genetic evolution analysis of human flea mitochondrial COII and the corresponding genes of the above-described pathogens,the COX2 gene(ON455234.1)of human fleas in Tumushuke city and Iran ob-tained in this study showed the highest homology(99.84%).The COII gene(NC_063709.1)of human fleas in Hetan City and Hunan region showed the highest homology(100%).Our findings further confirmed that the flea species was Pulex irritans.The PCR amplifi-cation results indicated that the collected Pulex irritans carried multiple pathogens,among which Bartonella and Wolbachia had the highest infection rates,and the infection rate with Anaplasma phagocytophilum was relatively low.This study is the first to discover flea species on the surface of sheep in some areas of southern Xinjiang.Our findings preliminarily confirmed that Bartonella,Wolba-chia,and Anaplasma phagocytophilum are the main Pulex irritans pathogens.
10.Detection and genetic evolution analysis of pathogens borne by Pulex irritans in selected areas of Xinjiang
Xinxin HAN ; Jing ZHAO ; Xuefeng LIU ; Yitao LI ; Tingting WU ; Junang DAI ; Mengyang YAN ; Zhihua SUN ; Hui ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Zoonoses 2025;41(8):852-858
This study identified the types and pathogen carrying status of fleas on the surface of sheep in some areas of southern Xinjiang,and analyzed the genetic evolution differences with respect to related pathogens.The aim was to provide a reference for the local prevention and control of fleas and insect borne infectious diseases.A total of 1 586 fleas were collected from agricultural and pas-toral areas of Tumushuke City and Hotan Prefecture.Flea species were identified on the basis of morphology and the Pulex irritans mi-tochondrial COII gene.Flea DNA was extracted,and PCR was conducted to amplify the Bartonella gltA gene;Arsenophonus,Ana-plasma,Ehrlichia,and Wolbachia 16S rRNA genes;RickettsiaOmpA,17kDa,16S rRNA genes,and Yersinia pestis 16S rDNA gene.The amplified products were sequenced,and the homology of the genes of the three detected pathogens(gltA gene of Bartonella,16S rRNA gene of Wolbachia,and Anaplasma phagocytophilum)with respect to known corresponding genes of the same pathogen in Gen-Bank was analyzed.Phylogenetic trees were constructed with the adjacency method in MEGA 11.0.According to morphological and mo-lecular biology identification results,all fleas collected in this study were Pulex irritans.PCR indicated that the target gene fragments had been added to the mitochondrial COII,BartonellagltA,Wolbachia,and autophagosomal 16S rRNA genes of human fleas,all of which were consistent with the expected fragment sizes.Target bands were not amplified from Ehrlichia,Arsenophonus,spotted fever group Rickettsia,and Yersinia pestis.According to homology and genetic evolution analysis of human flea mitochondrial COII and the corresponding genes of the above-described pathogens,the COX2 gene(ON455234.1)of human fleas in Tumushuke city and Iran ob-tained in this study showed the highest homology(99.84%).The COII gene(NC_063709.1)of human fleas in Hetan City and Hunan region showed the highest homology(100%).Our findings further confirmed that the flea species was Pulex irritans.The PCR amplifi-cation results indicated that the collected Pulex irritans carried multiple pathogens,among which Bartonella and Wolbachia had the highest infection rates,and the infection rate with Anaplasma phagocytophilum was relatively low.This study is the first to discover flea species on the surface of sheep in some areas of southern Xinjiang.Our findings preliminarily confirmed that Bartonella,Wolba-chia,and Anaplasma phagocytophilum are the main Pulex irritans pathogens.


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