1.Multicenter machine learning-based construction of a model for predicting potential organ donors and validation with decision curve analysis
Xu WANG ; Wenxiu LI ; Fenghua WANG ; Shuli WU ; Dong JIA ; Xin GE ; Zhihua SHAN ; Tongzuo LI
Organ Transplantation 2026;17(1):106-115
Objective To evaluate the predictive value of different machine learning models constructed in a multicenter environment for potential organ donors and verify their clinical application feasibility. Methods The study included 2 000 inpatients admitted to five domestic tertiary hospitals from January 2020 to December 2023, who met the criteria for potential organ donation assessment. They were randomly divided into a training set and an internal validation set (7∶3). Another 300 similar patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University from January 2024 to April 2025 were included as an external validation set. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and F1-score of three models were compared, and the consistency of the potential organ donor determination process was tested. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify predictive factors of potential organ donors. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to verify the resource efficiency of each model, and the threshold interval and intervention balance point were assessed. Results Apart from age, there were no significant differences in other basic characteristics among the centers (all P>0.05). The consistency of the potential organ donor determination process among researchers in each center was good [all 95% confidence interval (CI) lower limits >0]. In the internal validation set, the XGBoost model had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.92, 95% CI 0.89-0.94) and the best calibration (P=0.441, Brier score 0.099). In the external validation set, the XGBoost model also had the best predictive performance (AUC=0.91, 95% CI 0.88-0.94), outperforming logistic regression and random forest models. Multivariate logistic regression showed that mechanical ventilation had the greatest impact (odds ratio=2.06, 95% CI 1.54-2.76, P<0.001). DCA indicated that the XGBoost model had the highest net benefit in the threshold interval of 0.2-0.6. The “treat all” strategy only had a slight advantage at extremely low thresholds. The recommended threshold interval, which balances intervention costs and clinical benefits, considers ≥50% positive predictive value (PPV) and ≤50 referrals per 100 high-risk patients. Conclusions The XGBoost model established in a multicenter environment is accurate and well-calibrated in predicting potential organ donors. Combined with DCA, it may effectively guide the timing of clinical interventions and resource allocation, providing new ideas for the assessment and management of organ donation after brain death.
2.Human umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cell-derived exosomes attenuate renal ischemia-reperfusion injury by up-regulating ATF3 to inhibit the TLR4/NF-κB pathway
Xingyu* WAN ; Yujia LIU ; Ruiyan WANG ; Hao WANG ; Yi ZHAO ; Lu GUO ; Zhihua YANG ; Xinghua LÜ
Organ Transplantation 2026;17(2):275-286
Objective To investigate the protective effect and underlying mechanism of human umbilical cord mesenchymal stem cell-derived exosomes (hucMSC-Exo) on renal ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI). Methods hucMSC-Exos were isolated and characterized. A mouse renal IRI model was established and the animals were divided into Sham, IRI, IRI+hucMSC-Exo, IRI+hucMSC-Exo+JY-2 and Sham+JY-2 groups. Serum creatinine (Scr) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) were measured. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to evaluate renal histopathology. Enzyme-linked immune absorbent assay was performed to determine serum interleukin (IL)-1β and IL-18 levels. Western blotting was used to detect the expression of activating transcription factor 3 (ATF3), Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), nuclear factor (NF)-κB, NOD-like receptor protein 3 (NLRP3), cysteineyl aspartate specific proteinase (Caspase)-1 p20 and Gasdermin D(GSDMD). Real-time fluorescent quantitative polymerase chain reaction was employed to measure ATF3, TLR4 and NF-κB messenger RNA (mRNA). Immunohistochemistry was conducted to examine NLRP3, Caspase-1 p20 and GSDMD. An in vitro hypoxia/reoxygenation (H/R) model was established in HK-2 cells and divided into Control, H/R, H/R+hucMSC-Exo, H/R+hucMSC-Exo+JY-2 and Control+JY-2 groups. Western blotting was used to detect the expression of ATF3, TLR4 and NF-κB. Real-time fluorescent quantitative polymerase chain reaction was used to measure NLRP3, GSDMD and Caspase-1 mRNA. Results HucMSC-Exos were successfully isolated and identified. Compared with the Sham group, the IRI group exhibited elevated Scr and BUN, higher tubular injury scores, increased protein expression levels of ATF3, TLR4, NF-κB p65, NLRP3, Caspase-1 p20 and GSDMD, and raised mRNA expression levels of ATF3, TLR4, NF-κB. Compared with the IRI group, the IRI+hucMSC-Exo group showed decreased Scr and BUN, lower tubular injury scores, up-regulated ATF3 protein and mRNA, down-regulated TLR4, NF-κB p65, NLRP3, Caspase-1 p20 and GSDMD protein, and declined TLR4 and NF-κB mRNA. Compared with the IRI+hucMSC-Exo group, the IRI+hucMSC-Exo+JY-2 group exhibited increased Scr and BUN levels, elevated renal tubular injury scores, decreased ATF3 protein expression levels, elevated protein expression levels of TLR4, NF-κB p65, NLRP3, Caspase-1 p20, and GSDMD, decreased ATF3 mRNA expression levels, and elevated mRNA expression levels of TLR4 and NF-κB. (all P < 0.05). Compared with the Control group, the expression levels of ATF3, TLR4 and NF-κB p65 proteins were increased in the H/R group, and the expression levels of NLRP3, Caspase-1 and GSDMD mRNA were increased. Compared with the H/R group, the expression level of ATF3 protein was increased, the expression levels of TLR4 and NF-κB p65 proteins were decreased, and the expression levels of NLRP3, Caspase-1 and GSDMD mRNA were decreased in the H/R+hucMSC-Exo group. Compared with the H/R+hucMSC-Exo group, the expression level of ATF3 protein was decreased, the expression levels of TLR4 and NF-κB p65 proteins were increased, and the expression levels of NLRP3, Caspase-1 and GSDMD mRNA were increased in the H/R+hucMSC-Exo+JY-2 group (all P < 0.05). Conclusions HucMSC-Exos alleviate renal IRI by up-regulating ATF3, thereby negatively regulating the TLR4/NF-κB signaling pathway and subsequently inhibiting pyroptosis.
3.The causal relationship between immune cells and heart failure risk and the mediating role of serum metabolites: A Mendelian randomization study
Yun ZHU ; Jiaming WEI ; Ruifang LIN ; Yongjun LIU ; Yue LIU ; Guohua ZHANG ; Zhihua GUO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(01):115-121
Objective To explore the causal relationship between immune cells and heart failure (HF), and the mediating role of serum metabolites, in order to identify potential biomarkers and therapeutic targets. Methods We employed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis method based on genome-wide association study (GWAS) data, analyzing the direct and indirect effects of 731 types of immune cells and 1 400 metabolites on HF. We selected valid instrumental variables and conducted statistical analyses using R software. The primary analysis was performed using the inverse variance weighted method, supplemented by MR-Egger analysis and weighted median method. The stability of the results was assessed through tests such as Cochran’s Q test. Results Our research found a negative causal relationship between PD-L1 on CD14−CD16+ and HF. Sensitivity analysis supported this result. The reverse MR analysis did not find an effect of HF on PD-L1 on CD14−CD16+, indicating that PD-L1 on CD14−CD16+ might play a unidirectional role in reducing the risk of HF. Further mediation MR analysis showed that PD-L1 on CD14−CD16+ might influence the risk of HF onset by regulating the levels of sphingomyelin (d17:1/14:0, d16:1/15:0), with a mediation effect ratio of 6.7%. Conclusion PD-L1 on CD14−CD16+ may reduce the risk of HF by elevating the levels of sphingomyelin (d17:1/14:0, d16:1/15:0), which provides a new perspective for understanding the pathogenesis of HF.
4.Epidemiological characteristics, outcome analysis, and management strategies for DAT-positive blood donors
Shiyu YIN ; Zhihua XU ; Xueqin GENG ; Zhuan LIU ; Hongliang HUANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(3):360-366
Objective: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics, outcome patterns, and management strategies for blood donors with a positive direct antiglobulin test (DAT). Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on donation data from 808 386 donors from 2013 to 2023, focusing on those whose blood was discarded due to DAT positivity. Follow-up was performed on 125 DAT-positive donors, and 98 blood samples were collected. The samples were re-tested for DAT, DAT typing (IgG/C3d), and unexpected antibody screening using both the tube method and the microcolumn gel method. Results: Epidemiological characteristics: Retrospective data revealed 147 DAT-positive blood donors, yielding a positivity rate of 1/5 500. The DAT positivity rate using the tube method was 0.118‰ (49/416 893), lower than that of the microcolumn gel method at 0.25‰ (98/391 493). Among DAT-positive individuals, 44.2% (65/147) exhibited agglutination intensity<2+. Outcome analysis: The proportion of donors with positive DAT test results that converted to negative was 54.1% (53/98), with a conversion interval ranging from 8 to 117 months (mean 49.9 months). All donors in the negative conversion group had a previous DAT intensity<2+, whereas 95.6% (43/45) of the non-negative conversion group had intensity ≥2+ (P<0.001). Unexpected antibodies (anti-E, anti-M, etc.) were detected in 18 cases. Methodological differences: Review of results revealed 35 cases positive by both the DAT tube assay and microcolumn gel method. An additional 10 cases were positive by only one method: 5 were positive only by the tube assay, and 5 were positive only by the microcolumn gel method. Clinical validation: Among 14 DAT-positive donors who became negative and donated blood again, the clinical infusion efficacy of red blood cell products could be assessed in 10 cases, with 9 cases demonstrating effective infusion. Conclusion: Some DAT-positive blood donors may naturally convert to negative status, with the intensity of previous test results potentially serving as a key predictive factor for conversion. It is recommended to employ a combined approach of tube-based and microcolumn gel-based methods for retesting, concurrently screening for irregular antibodies. A tentative tiered management strategy is proposed: individuals with DAT intensity <2+ should be deferred for 12 months before retesting, while those with ≥2+ intensity should be permanently deferred.
5.Epigenetic mechanism of Diwu Yanggan Capsule in improving liver regeneration microenvironment in a rat model of liver cancer
Minggang WANG ; Jiamei DONG ; Zhihua YE ; Xiang GAO ; Qi CHEN ; Xiaoqiao YU ; Hanmin LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(2):362-371
ObjectiveTo investigate the epigenetic mechanism of Diwu Yanggan Capsule in improving liver regeneration microenvironment in a rat model of liver cancer by regulating DNA methylation, and to provide a basis for scientific clinical medication. MethodsA total of 48 specific pathogen-free Sprague-Dawley rats were divided into normal group, model group, and Diwu Yanggan Capsule group using a random number table, with 16 rats in each group. The Solt-Farber two-step method was used to establish a rat model of liver cancer. The rats in the Diwu Yanggan Capsule group were given Diwu Yanggan Capsule at a dose of 750 mg/kg/d by gavage, and those in the normal group and the model group were given an equal volume of normal saline by gavage. Liver tissue samples were collected from each group of rats after 16 weeks of continuous intervention; DNA methylation chips were used to analyze the change in DNA methylation in liver tissue, and gene ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses were used for data analysis. In addition, the MeDIP-PCR technique was used to detect the changes in candidate differentially methylated genes such as YWHAB, ADCK2, ERLIN2, SEMA3B, and TPH2 in the liver tissue of rats, and Western blot and RT-qPCR were used to verify the expression of key methylated genes. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and a one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison between multiple groups, while the least significant difference t-test was used for further comparison between two groups. ResultsThe DNA methylation chip analysis showed that compared with the normal group, the model group had significant methylation changes in the promoter region of 2 422 genes in liver tissue of rats. The GO functional enrichment analysis and the KEGG pathway enrichment analysis showed that these differentially methylated genes were significantly enriched in metabolic pathways such as steroid hormone biosynthesis and drug metabolism-cytochrome P450. Compared with the model group, the Diwu Yanggan Capsule group had significant reversal of promoter methylation in 1 650 genes, and the KEGG enrichment analysis showed that these genes were mainly involved in the pathways closely associated with cell proliferation, apoptosis, and microenvironment regulation, such as the calcium ion signaling pathway, the cAMP signaling pathway, and the extracellular factor signaling pathway. Compared with the model group, the Diwu Yanggan Capsule group had a significant increase in the promoter methylation level of the ADCK2 gene (P<0.05) and significant reductions in the promoter methylation levels of the ERLIN2 and TPH2 genes (all P<0.05). Compared with the model group, the Diwu Yanggan Capsule group had significant reductions in the mRNA expression levels and the protein expression levels of the ADCK2 (all P<0.05). ConclusionAbnormal DNA methylation in liver tissue participates in the development and progression of liver cancer. The effect of Diwu Yanggan Capsule on DNA methylation level is an important epigenetic mechanism for its effect in the prevention and treatment of liver cancer.
6.Construction of Syndrome Diagnosis Scale for Chronic Atrophic Gastritis with Turbid Toxin and Stomach Accumulation Based on Delphi Method and Analytic Hierarchy Process
Zhihua LIU ; Xiaoyu LIU ; Yuman WANG ; Runze LI ; Hua LI ; Runxue SUN ; Shaopo WANG ; Jianming JIANG ; Yanru DU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(11):235-243
ObjectiveTo construct a scale for the diagnosis of chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) with turbid toxin accumulating in the stomach. MethodsFirst, a research group was established to construct the scale framework. Relevant literature of CAG with syndrome of turbid toxin accumulating in the stomach was searched in CNKI, Wanfang Database (WF), and VIP Database (CQVIP) from April 1, 2003 to April 1, 2023, and items were preliminarily selected after standardization of terms. Through clinical investigation, the discrete trend method, correlation coefficient method, Cronbach's coefficient method, and factor analysis method were used to screen symptom items, and the frequency method was used to screen signs, tongue coating, and pulse conditions. Three rounds of Delphi expert consultation were conducted to determine the items of the scale. The weight of each item was obtained by the analytic hierarchy process. ResultsA total of 49 articles were included, and 45 items were obtained after primary screening, including 28 symptoms, 2 signs, 10 tongue coatings, and 5 pulse conditions. After clinical investigation, 15 symptoms were retained, and 8 signs and pulse conditions of tongue coating were retained. The positive coefficients of experts in three rounds of Delphi expert consultation were 100%, 96.67%, and 100%, respectively. The expert authority coefficients were 0.86, 0.87, and 0.87, respectively, and the coordination coefficients were 0.18, 0.25, and 0.30. After core group discussion, Delphi method investigation, and AHP weight assignment, the diagnostic scale items of CAG with turbid toxin accumulating in stomach syndrome were finally established, namely, dark red or purplish tongue proper with yellow greasy (or dry) coating (30 points), epigastric stuffiness and fullness or pain (15 points), sticky and unsmooth defecation (10 points), taste disturbance (sticky mouth, fetid breath, bitter taste, 7 points), heartburn or acid regurgitation (6 points), dizziness and clouding (5 points), general heaviness and fatigue (5 points), slippery, string‑slippery, or slippery‑rapid pulse (5 points), dysuria (or yellow or deep yellow urine, 4 points), poor appetite (4 points), dull complexion (3 points), sticky, greasy, and fetid secretions (3 points), and poor sleep (3 points). ConclusionBased on the establishment, screening, confirmation, and weighting of an item pool, combined with subjective and objective approaches as well as qualitative and quantitative methods, a diagnostic scale for CAG with the syndrome of turbid toxin accumulating in the stomach was successfully constructed.
7.Introduction of the main addition and revision of the Chinese Pharmacopoeia 2025 Edition(Volume Ⅱ)
ZHOU Yi ; WANG Zhijun ; YUE Zhihua ; CHENG Qilei ; YUE Ruiqi ; YANG Xi ; GUO Wei ; MA Shuangcheng
Drug Standards of China 2025;26(1):023-027
The Pharmacopeia of the People’s Republic of China 2025 Edition (referred to as the Chinese Pharmacopoeia 2025 Edition, ChP 2025) will be promulgated and implemented. This article introduces the process of development of ChP 2025 Edition (Volume Ⅱ), including the selection, the revision of general notices,the addition and revision of drug monographs, etc., and provides some analysis and examples to illustrate,which can facilitate the readers to understand and implement the ChP 2025 Edition (Volume Ⅱ).
8.Influencing factors of chronic dyslipidemia in T2DM patients with diabetes point system management in Qingpu District,Shanghai
Zhouli WU ; Sen WANG ; Jie CHEN ; Zhihua REN ; Kaiyou YE ; Yueqin JIANG ; Ya WU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(2):56-60
Objective To understand the influencing factors of chronic dyslipidemia in T2DM patients who signed a contract for diabetes point system management in Qingpu District, and to provide a basis for comprehensive intervention and prevention and control of dyslipidemia in T2DM patients and to optimize the management strategy of Qingpu District diabetes point system. Methods Among the T2DM patients who signed the diabetes point system from 2017 to 2023, patients with chronic dyslipidemia and normal blood lipids were selected and included in the case group and the control group, respectively. A case-control study was conducted with 1:1 matching by age and gender to analyze the factors influencing dyslipidemia. Results Multifactorial paired logistic regression analysis showed that overweight/obesity and central obesity and smoking in T2DM patients increased the risk of dyslipidemia by 1.93, 2.27, and 2.16 times, respectively. Long-term use of lipid-lowering drugs, duration of diabetes for 5 years or more, regular physical exercise, knowledge of blood lipid status, and married status could reduce the risk of dyslipidemia in T2DM patients (OR values were 0.547, 0.452, 0.685, 0.386 and 0.354, respectively). Current complications (history of stroke, coronary heart disease, and renal insufficiency) were also associated with dyslipidemia (OR=1.802, 95% CI:1.125-2.888). Conclusion The management of diabetes point system in Qingpu District should strengthen the feedback and interpretation of blood lipid monitoring results, improve patients’ health awareness of blood lipid management, and actively take comprehensive management of lifestyle intervention and drug treatment to effectively control blood lipid and reduce the occurrence of related complications.
9.Optimizing 5-aminosalicylate for moderate ulcerative colitis: expert recommendations from the Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition
Filiz AKYÜZ ; Yoon Kyo AN ; Jakob BEGUN ; Satimai ANIWAN ; Huu Hoang BUI ; Webber CHAN ; Chang Hwan CHOI ; Nazeer CHOPDAT ; Susan J CONNOR ; Devendra DESAI ; Emma FLANAGAN ; Taku KOBAYASHI ; Allen Yu-Hung LAI ; Rupert W LEONG ; Alex Hwong-Ruey LEOW ; Wai Keung LEUNG ; Julajak LIMSRIVILAI ; Virly Nanda MUZELLINA ; Kiran PEDDI ; Zhihua RAN ; Shu Chen WEI ; Jose SOLLANO ; Michelle Mui Hian TEO ; Kaichun WU ; Byong Duk YE ; Choon Jin OOI
Intestinal Research 2025;23(1):37-55
The lack of clear definition and classification for “moderate ulcerative colitis (UC)” creates ambiguity regarding the suitability of step-up versus top-down treatment approaches. In this paper, experts address crucial gaps in assessing and managing moderate UC. The Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition comprised 24 experts who convened to share, discuss and vote electronically on management recommendations for moderate UC. Experts emphasized that the goal of treating UC is to attain clinical, biomarker, and endoscopic remission using cost-effective strategies such as 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASAs), well-tolerated therapy that can be optimized to improve outcomes. Experts agreed that 5-ASA therapy could be optimized by maximizing dosage (4 g/day for induction of remission), combining oral and topical administration, extending treatment duration beyond 8 weeks, and enhancing patient adherence through personalized counselling and reduced pill burden. Treatment escalation should ideally be reserved for patients with predictors of aggressive disease or those who do not respond to 5-ASA optimization. Premature treatment escalation to advanced therapies (including biologics and oral small molecules) may have long-term health and financial consequences. This paper provides consensus-based expert recommendations and a treatment algorithm, based on current evidence and practices, to assist decision-making in real-world settings.
10.Optimizing 5-aminosalicylate for moderate ulcerative colitis: expert recommendations from the Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition
Filiz AKYÜZ ; Yoon Kyo AN ; Jakob BEGUN ; Satimai ANIWAN ; Huu Hoang BUI ; Webber CHAN ; Chang Hwan CHOI ; Nazeer CHOPDAT ; Susan J CONNOR ; Devendra DESAI ; Emma FLANAGAN ; Taku KOBAYASHI ; Allen Yu-Hung LAI ; Rupert W LEONG ; Alex Hwong-Ruey LEOW ; Wai Keung LEUNG ; Julajak LIMSRIVILAI ; Virly Nanda MUZELLINA ; Kiran PEDDI ; Zhihua RAN ; Shu Chen WEI ; Jose SOLLANO ; Michelle Mui Hian TEO ; Kaichun WU ; Byong Duk YE ; Choon Jin OOI
Intestinal Research 2025;23(1):37-55
The lack of clear definition and classification for “moderate ulcerative colitis (UC)” creates ambiguity regarding the suitability of step-up versus top-down treatment approaches. In this paper, experts address crucial gaps in assessing and managing moderate UC. The Asia-Pacific, Middle East, and Africa Inflammatory Bowel Disease Coalition comprised 24 experts who convened to share, discuss and vote electronically on management recommendations for moderate UC. Experts emphasized that the goal of treating UC is to attain clinical, biomarker, and endoscopic remission using cost-effective strategies such as 5-aminosalicylates (5-ASAs), well-tolerated therapy that can be optimized to improve outcomes. Experts agreed that 5-ASA therapy could be optimized by maximizing dosage (4 g/day for induction of remission), combining oral and topical administration, extending treatment duration beyond 8 weeks, and enhancing patient adherence through personalized counselling and reduced pill burden. Treatment escalation should ideally be reserved for patients with predictors of aggressive disease or those who do not respond to 5-ASA optimization. Premature treatment escalation to advanced therapies (including biologics and oral small molecules) may have long-term health and financial consequences. This paper provides consensus-based expert recommendations and a treatment algorithm, based on current evidence and practices, to assist decision-making in real-world settings.


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