1.Construction and evaluation of a risk prediction model for acute kidney injury in severe burn patients
He-dong XIANG ; Wen-zhao CHEN ; Hong-zhuang ZHANG ; Li-tao WEI ; Pei ZHAN ; Wei YANG ; Chang-quan LI ; Meng QIAO ; Chao-wei CHEN ; Zhi-qiang TIAN
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2025;34(10):886-891
Objective To explore the influencing factors of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients,and to construct a visual risk nomogram model.Methods A total of 390 patients with severe burn admitted to the Institute of Burn Frostbite and Tissue Function Reconstruction of Chinese People's Armed Police Force Specialty Medical Center from January 2018 to January 2022 were collected as an internal training data set,and 50 patients with severe burn admitted from February to December 2022 were collected as an external validation data set.The 390 patients of the internal training data set were divided into the acute kidney injury group and the non-acute kidney injury group according to the occurrence of acute kidney injury,and the baseline data of patients in the two groups were compared.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression were used to analyze the risk factors of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients of the internal training data set,and a nomogram model was drawn.Subsequently,the model was verified both internally and externally.Kaplan-Meier analysis and Log-rank test were used to compare the 90-day survival rate of patients between the acute kidney injury group and the non-acute kidney injury group.Results The burn area(OR=1.18,95%CI:1.06 to 2.36,P=0.004),sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA)score(OR=1.81,95%CI:1.21 to 5.92,P<0.001),inhalation injury(OR=3.21,95%CI:1.23 to 6.35,P<0.001),neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR)(OR=1.22,95%CI:1.05 to 3.65,P<0.001)and albumin(ALB)(OR=0.78,95%CI:0.57 to 0.92,P=0.011)were the independent risk factors for the development of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients.The nomogram model was established by the above factors.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)of the internal training data set was 0.833(95%CI:0.752 to 0.935),the sensitivity was 81.2%,and the specificity was 83.2%.The AUC of the external validation data set was 0.842(95%CI:0.762 to 0.912),the sensitivity 87.2%,and the specificity was 78.7%.The 90-day survival rate of patients in the acute kidney injury group after burns was significantly lower than that in the non-acute kidney injury group(P<0.001).Conclusion Larger burn area,higher SOFA score,combined inhalation injury,increased NLR,and decreased ALB level are the risk factors for the occurrence of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients,which are related to the 90-day survival rate of patients after burns.The nomogram model based on the risk factors can provide certain reference for clinical individualized prevention and treatment of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients.
2.Construction of prognostic nomogram prediction model of differentiated thyroid cancer surgery combined with iodine-131 therapy based on 18F-FDG PET/CT and tumor markers
Dong-qiong CHEN ; Jian-wei LIU ; Dan JIANG ; Zhi-quan LI
Chinese Journal of Current Advances in General Surgery 2025;28(10):763-768
Objective:To investigate the relationship between 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography(18F-FDG PET/CT)and tumor markers and the prognosis of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer(DTC)treated with surgery combined with iodine-131,and to construct a nomogram prediction model.Methods:The clinical data of 134 patients with DTC who underwent surgery combined with iodine-131 treatment in our hospital from January 2021 to January 2023 were retrospectively analyzed.According to the prognosis after 1 year of treatment,they were divided into a good prognosis group(n=106)and a poor prognosis group(n=28).The general data,18F-FDG PET/CT related parameters[maximum standardized uptake value(SUVmax),metabolic volume(MTV),total lesion gly-colysis(TLG)]and serum tumor markers[thyroglobulin(Tg),thyroglobulin antibody(TgAb)]levels were compared between the two groups.Pearson correlation coefficient was used to analyze the correlation between the related parameters and the tumor marker levels.Logistic multivariate analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of DTC prognosis.Re-ceiver operating characteristic curve(ROC)was used to analyze the predictive efficacy of related parameters combined with tumor markers on poor prognosis.Anomogram prediction model for poor prognosis was constructed and the predic-tive efficacy of the model was evaluated.Results:The proportion of stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ,the proportion of total resection and the levels of thyroid stimulating hormone(TSH),SUVmax,MTV,TLG,Tg and TgAb in the poor prognosis group were higher than those in the good prognosis group,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.05).Pearson correlation co-efficient showed that SUVmax,MTV,TLG and Tg,TgAb levels were positively correlated with tumor markers(P<0.05).Lo-gistic analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding variables,SUVmax,MTV,TLG,Tg and TgAb were independent influencing factors for the poor prognosis of DTC(P<0.05).ROC analysis showed that the combination of SUVmax,MTV,TLG,Tg and TgAb was significantly better than each parameter alone in predicting poor prognosis(P<0.05).The nomo-gram prediction model was constructed.ROC evaluation showed that the model had good prediction performance.K-fold cross validation showed that the model had stable performance and good generalization ability.Conclusion:The 18F-FDG PET/CT related parameters SUVmax,MTV,TLG and tumor markers Tg and TgAb are all independent factors affecting the poor prognosis of DTC patients treated with surgery combined with iodine-131.The prognostic nomogram prediction model based on the above factors has good predictive efficacy and can be used to guide clinical decision-making.
3.Predictive model for intra-abdominal pressure in critically ill patients based on multiple regression and variational auto-encoders
Yi ZHANG ; Zhi-qin ZHU ; Wen-lin LI ; Dong-chu ZHAO ; Chang LIU ; Zhi-wei FAN ; Zhen WANG ; Lian-yang ZHANG ; Hao TANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(11):10-17
Objective To propose a multiple regression-variational auto-encoders(MR-VAE)model to realize precise and non-invasive prediction of intra-abdominal pressure(IAP)in critically ill patients.Methods At first,a dataset was constructed by retrospectively analysing baseline characteristics and clinical indicators of 100 critically ill patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit of Daping Hospital of Army Medical University between 30 August 2019 and 30 March 2021.Then,a MR-VAE prediction model was developed by integrating a feedforward neural network for supervised regression onto a variational autoencoder(VAE)framework and incorporating multiple regression strategies to mitigate feature interference.Finally,the MR-VAE model had its performance evaluated by its comparison with five classical models including support vector machines(SVM),convolutional neural networks(CNN),Scikit-learn integrated model(SIM),multi-layer perceptron(MLP)and K-nearest neighbors(KNN),and its prediction accuracy verified by testing the data of 10 randomly selected patients.Results The MR-VAE model behaved the best when compared with the five classical models,with a mean squared error(MSE)of 0.207,a root mean square error(RMSE)of 0.454,a mean absolute error(MAE)of 0.361,a median absolute deviation(MAD)of 0.243,an explained variance score(EVS)of 0.814 and a R2of 0.823,which also outperformed the five models in fitting performance,convergence and final loss.In random sample testing,the MR-VAE model exhibited high consistency between predicted and actual values.Conclusion The MR-VAE model proposed can accurately predict IAP,which has great potential in reducing the repeated measurements of IAP in critically ill patients and providing new ideas for the early diagnosis and treatment of IAH.
4.Analysis of toxic material basis of Dryopteris crassirhizoma by UPLC-ESI-MS/MS
Rong-hui ZHENG ; Cui-jie WEI ; Fei-fei XIE ; Xin-ya WAN ; Xiao-jie LIANG ; Zhi-wen DUAN ; Dong-mei SUN ; Xiang-dong CEHN
Chinese Traditional Patent Medicine 2025;47(10):3305-3314
AIM To establish a UPLC-ESI-MS/MS method for analyzing the toxic material basis of 95%ethanol cold soaked ultrasonic extract(EC),95%ethanol heated reflux extract(EH)and water decoction extract(WD)from Dryopteris crassirhizoma Nakai.METHODS The analysis was performed on a 25 ℃ thermostatic agilent ZORBAX RRHD StableBond C18 column(2.1 mm×150 mm,1.8 μm),with the mobile phase comprising of methanol-0.2%formic acid flowing at 0.30 mL/min,and heated electrospray ion source was adopted in positive and negative ion scanning.Compounds were identified by Compound Discover 3.3 software combined with the database and related literature,and the main differential components were screened by Heatmap cluster analysis and partial least squares discriminant analysis.RESULTS 72 compounds were identified(22 phloroglucinols,19 flavonoids,8 phenylpropanoids,6 terpenoids and 17 other components).The main toxic differential components were phloroglucinols such as flavaspidic acid AB,didemethylpseudoaspidin AA and filixic acid PBP,flavonoids such as(-)-epicatechin,(-)-epigallocatechin,cianidanol,and other compounds such as indole-3-carboxaldehyde.CONCLUSION This method can rapidly,effectively and comprehensively characterize the main chemical composition of D.crassirhizoma,and provide a reference for the study of its pharmacological mechanism.
5.The value of total volume response and total mass response in the therapeutic evaluation of lung metastasis of hepatocarcinoma
Jun-cheng WAN ; Cai-hong YU ; Chang-yu LI ; Yong-jie ZHOU ; Wei ZHANG ; Jian-hua WANG ; Zhi-ping YAN ; Guo-wei YANG ; Zhuo-yang FAN ; Xu-dong QU
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(2):201-208,231
Objective To analyze the correlation between lesion volume,lesion mass,and maximum lesion diameter in the assessment of advanced hepatocarcinoma with lung metastasis,and to evaluate the application value of total volume response and total mass response of lung metastatic lesions in efficacy assessment.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the CT imaging data of 20 patients clinically confirmed with hepatocarcinoma and lung metastases,followed by subsequent follow-up to monitor their survival outcomes.Volume measurement software was used to measure the volume of lesions before and after treatment.We recored lesion diameter,volume measurements and CT values,calculated the mass of the lesions.The correlation between lesion volume,mass and diameter was analyzed,as well as the correlation between the change rates of volume,mass and lesion diameter.Additionally,the total volume and total mass of all lesions were calculated.The correlation between the change rates of total volume/total mass and the change rate of pulmonary lesion diameter under the RECIST 1.1 criteria,as well as the correlation with changes in patients'tumor markers,were analyzed.Furthermore,the overall volume response and overall mass response of lesions were evaluated based on changes in total volume and total mass,and their consistencies with the RECIST 1.1 criteria for efficacy evaluation were analyzed.Finally,univariate Cox regression analysis was performed to explore the association between these variables and patient survival outcomes.Results There was strong correlation between lesion volume,mass and tumor diameter(r=0.771,0.775),between the rate of change in mass and the rate of change in lesion diameter(r=0.846),and between the rates of change in total volume/total mass and the rate of change in pulmonary lesion diameter under the RECIST 1.1 criteria(r=0.800,0.896).The correlation between the rates of change in total volume/total mass and patients'tumor markers was not statistically significant.There was moderate correlation between the rate of change in volume and the rate of change in lesion diameter(r=0.692).The evaluation results of total volume response and total mass response for pulmonary lesions in advanced hepatocarcinoma with lung metastasis were generally consistent with the RECIST 1.1 criteria(Kappa=0.486,0.426).Univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that total lesion volume(P=0.047)and total lesion mass(P=0.049)were independent prognostic factors for survival outcomes.Conclusion Lesion volume,mass,and diameter,as well as their respective change rates,were found to be interrelated.Furthermore,total lesion volume and total lesion mass were identified as independent prognostic factors for survival outcomes.The total volume response and total mass response are promising evaluation methods in evaluating the efficacy of lung metastasis of hepatocarcinoma,which are different from the RECIST 1.1 evaluation criteria.
6.Prediction of Multifunctional Parameters of SPECT Gated Myocardial Perfusion Imaging for Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Chronic Kidney Disease
Ying ZHANG ; Zhi CHANG ; Xu HAN ; Jian JIAO ; Zihe YANG ; Quan LI ; Wei DONG ; Hongzhi MI
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging 2025;33(7):751-757
Purpose To evaluate the predictive value of multifunctional parameters of single photon emission computed tomography gated myocardial perfusion imaging(SPECT G-MPI)for major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)in chronic kidney disease(CKD)with abnormal stress myocardial perfusion.Materials and Methods A total of 99 patients diagnosed with CKD from June 2017 to March 2024 who underwent stress and rest G-MPI indicating abnormal myocardial perfusion in Beijing Anzhen Hospital,Capital Medical University.The American Heart Association 17-segment 5-point method and PHASE software were used to obtain the left ventricular myocardial perfusion,functional and synchronization parameters.According to the occurrence of MACE,the patients were divided into MACE group and non-MACE group.Cox regression was used to analyze the predictors related to MACE.The receiver operator characteristic curve was used to analyze the performance of predictors,the survival curves were obtained by the Kaplan-Meier method,Log-rank test was used to compare the differences in different groups.Results Finally,we enrolled 99 CKD patients with abnormal stress myocardial perfusion.35 patients(35.35%)developed MACE during the follow-up period.Cox regression analysis showed that stress phase bandwidth(SPBW)(HR=1.015,95%CI 1.002-1.028)and sum difference score(SDS)(HR=1.105,95%CI 1.008-1.211)were independent risk factors for predicting MACE(both P<0.05).The optimal cut-off value of SPBW and SDS for predicting MACE were 69° and 6 points,the area under the curve was 0.801 and 0.778,respectively.The incidence of MACE in the SPBW≥69° group and SDS≥6 points group was higher than that in SPBW<69° group and SDS<6 points group(66.6%vs.13.2%,53.3%vs.20.4%,both P<0.05).Conclusion SPECT G-MPI multifunctional parameters can be used to predict the prognosis of CKD patients with abnormal stress myocardial perfusion.SPBW and SDS are independent risk factors for MACE in these patients.
7.Predictive value of stress myocardial perfusion imaging with gated SPECT for cardiac death in patients with chronic kidney disease
Ying ZHANG ; Jian JIAO ; Zhi CHANG ; Xu HAN ; Quan LI ; Junqi LI ; Yehong ZHANG ; Xiaofen XIE ; Wei DONG ; Hongzhi MI
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2025;45(6):346-351
Objective:To evaluate the clinical predictive value of SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) in the occurrence of cardiac death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).Methods:A retrospective follow-up was performed for 160 patients (109 males, 51 females; age: 68.5(61.0, 74.0) years) who underwent MPI in Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University between June 2017 and March 2024. The 17-segment 5-point method was used for image analysis to obtain the left ventricular myocardial perfusion and functional parameters. The patients were followed up for cardiac death, and divided into death group and survival group. Clinical data of those 2 groups were compare by χ2 test, the independent-sample t test or Mann-Whitney U test. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to analyze the predictors related to cardiac death. The ROC curve was used to analyze the performance of predictors. Survival curves were obtained by the Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank test was performed to compare the difference between 2 groups. Results:The follow-up time of 160 patients with CKD was 26.0(10.0, 46.5) months. Of 160 patients, 17 died and 143 survived. There were statistically significant differences in body mass index (BMI), previous myocardial infarction, previous revascularization, hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), positive MPI, left ventricular end-diastolic volume (EDV), end-systolic volume (ESV), ejection fraction (EF), summed stress score (SSS), summed rest score (SRS) and summed difference score (SDS) between the death group and the survival group ( χ2 values: 4.58-16.13, t values: -2.34, -3.97, Z values: from -2.81 to 5.02, all P<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that SSS (hazard ratio ( HR)=1.153, 95% CI: 1.062-1.252, P=0.001) and hs-CRP ( HR=1.031, 95% CI: 1.004-1.058, P=0.023) were independent risk factors for cardiac death in patients with CKD. The optimal cut-off value of SSS for predicting cardiac death in those patients was determined to be 8 with the AUC of 0.815, and the incidence of cardiac death in the SSS ≥8 group was significantly higher than that in the SSS<8 group (33.3%(12/36) vs 4.0%(5/124); χ2 = 25.44, P<0.001). Conclusion:MPI is an important imaging method for the evaluation of cardiac death in patients with CKD, SSS and hs-CRP are important risk factors in predicting cardiac death in those patients.
8.Effects of fangchinoline derivative LYY-32 on biological properties of BLM DNA helicase
Wang-ming ZHANG ; Qin-ying FENG ; Xiao-yu SONG ; Xin-zhong ZHOU ; Juan LU ; Wan-qing XIE ; Zhi-wen LAI ; Wei-dong PAN ; Jie-lin LIU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(9):1680-1686
Aim To investigate the effects of the fangchinoline derivative LYY-32 on the biological prop-erties of the BLM642-1290 DNA helicase,in order to lay a foundation for further research on its antitumor activity.Methods Fluorescence polarization assay,malachite green-phosphate and ammonium molybdate colorime-try,and fluorescein-labeled DNA gel electrophoresis experiments were conducted to study the effects of fangchinoline derivative LYY-32 on the DNA binding activity,ATPase activity,and DNA unwinding activity of BLM642-1290 DNA helicase.The effects of LYY-32 on the DNA unwinding activity of DNA helicase in cells were studied using fluorescent techniques and time-lapse microscopy.Ultraviolet spectral scanning was used to investigate the effects of LYY-32 on the confor-mation of the BLM642-1290 DNA helicase.Results At a concentration of 10 μmol·L-1,the inhibition rate of LYY-32 on BLM642-1290 DNA helicase binding to dsDNA was 53.17%.At a concentration of 5 μmol·L-1,the inhibition rate of LYY-32 on BLM642-1290 DNA helicase binding to ssDNA was 88.49%.The inhibition rate of LYY-32 on the ATPase activity of BLM642-1290 DNA he-licase was 89.3%at a concentration of 50 μmol·L-1.When the concentration of LYY-32 exceeded 5μmol·L-1,its inhibition rate on the DNA unwinding activity of BLM642-1290 DNA helicase was 100%.LYY-32 also significantly inhibited the DNA unwinding ac-tivity of DNA helicase in cells.However,LYY-32 had no effect on the conformation of BLM642-1290 DNA heli-case.Conclusion The DNA binding activity,AT-Pase activity,and DNA unwinding activity of BLM642-1290 DNA helicase could be significantly inhibi-ted by the fangchinoline derivative LYY-32.
9.Construction and evaluation of a risk prediction model for acute kidney injury in severe burn patients
He-dong XIANG ; Wen-zhao CHEN ; Hong-zhuang ZHANG ; Li-tao WEI ; Pei ZHAN ; Wei YANG ; Chang-quan LI ; Meng QIAO ; Chao-wei CHEN ; Zhi-qiang TIAN
Journal of Regional Anatomy and Operative Surgery 2025;34(10):886-891
Objective To explore the influencing factors of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients,and to construct a visual risk nomogram model.Methods A total of 390 patients with severe burn admitted to the Institute of Burn Frostbite and Tissue Function Reconstruction of Chinese People's Armed Police Force Specialty Medical Center from January 2018 to January 2022 were collected as an internal training data set,and 50 patients with severe burn admitted from February to December 2022 were collected as an external validation data set.The 390 patients of the internal training data set were divided into the acute kidney injury group and the non-acute kidney injury group according to the occurrence of acute kidney injury,and the baseline data of patients in the two groups were compared.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression were used to analyze the risk factors of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients of the internal training data set,and a nomogram model was drawn.Subsequently,the model was verified both internally and externally.Kaplan-Meier analysis and Log-rank test were used to compare the 90-day survival rate of patients between the acute kidney injury group and the non-acute kidney injury group.Results The burn area(OR=1.18,95%CI:1.06 to 2.36,P=0.004),sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA)score(OR=1.81,95%CI:1.21 to 5.92,P<0.001),inhalation injury(OR=3.21,95%CI:1.23 to 6.35,P<0.001),neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio(NLR)(OR=1.22,95%CI:1.05 to 3.65,P<0.001)and albumin(ALB)(OR=0.78,95%CI:0.57 to 0.92,P=0.011)were the independent risk factors for the development of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients.The nomogram model was established by the above factors.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)of the internal training data set was 0.833(95%CI:0.752 to 0.935),the sensitivity was 81.2%,and the specificity was 83.2%.The AUC of the external validation data set was 0.842(95%CI:0.762 to 0.912),the sensitivity 87.2%,and the specificity was 78.7%.The 90-day survival rate of patients in the acute kidney injury group after burns was significantly lower than that in the non-acute kidney injury group(P<0.001).Conclusion Larger burn area,higher SOFA score,combined inhalation injury,increased NLR,and decreased ALB level are the risk factors for the occurrence of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients,which are related to the 90-day survival rate of patients after burns.The nomogram model based on the risk factors can provide certain reference for clinical individualized prevention and treatment of acute kidney injury in severe burn patients.
10.Predictive value of stress myocardial perfusion imaging with gated SPECT for cardiac death in patients with chronic kidney disease
Ying ZHANG ; Jian JIAO ; Zhi CHANG ; Xu HAN ; Quan LI ; Junqi LI ; Yehong ZHANG ; Xiaofen XIE ; Wei DONG ; Hongzhi MI
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2025;45(6):346-351
Objective:To evaluate the clinical predictive value of SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) in the occurrence of cardiac death in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD).Methods:A retrospective follow-up was performed for 160 patients (109 males, 51 females; age: 68.5(61.0, 74.0) years) who underwent MPI in Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University between June 2017 and March 2024. The 17-segment 5-point method was used for image analysis to obtain the left ventricular myocardial perfusion and functional parameters. The patients were followed up for cardiac death, and divided into death group and survival group. Clinical data of those 2 groups were compare by χ2 test, the independent-sample t test or Mann-Whitney U test. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to analyze the predictors related to cardiac death. The ROC curve was used to analyze the performance of predictors. Survival curves were obtained by the Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank test was performed to compare the difference between 2 groups. Results:The follow-up time of 160 patients with CKD was 26.0(10.0, 46.5) months. Of 160 patients, 17 died and 143 survived. There were statistically significant differences in body mass index (BMI), previous myocardial infarction, previous revascularization, hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), positive MPI, left ventricular end-diastolic volume (EDV), end-systolic volume (ESV), ejection fraction (EF), summed stress score (SSS), summed rest score (SRS) and summed difference score (SDS) between the death group and the survival group ( χ2 values: 4.58-16.13, t values: -2.34, -3.97, Z values: from -2.81 to 5.02, all P<0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that SSS (hazard ratio ( HR)=1.153, 95% CI: 1.062-1.252, P=0.001) and hs-CRP ( HR=1.031, 95% CI: 1.004-1.058, P=0.023) were independent risk factors for cardiac death in patients with CKD. The optimal cut-off value of SSS for predicting cardiac death in those patients was determined to be 8 with the AUC of 0.815, and the incidence of cardiac death in the SSS ≥8 group was significantly higher than that in the SSS<8 group (33.3%(12/36) vs 4.0%(5/124); χ2 = 25.44, P<0.001). Conclusion:MPI is an important imaging method for the evaluation of cardiac death in patients with CKD, SSS and hs-CRP are important risk factors in predicting cardiac death in those patients.

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