1.Development and multicenter validation of machine learning models for predicting postoperative pulmonary complications after neurosurgery.
Ming XU ; Wenhao ZHU ; Siyu HOU ; Hongzhi XU ; Jingwen XIA ; Liyu LIN ; Hao FU ; Mingyu YOU ; Jiafeng WANG ; Zhi XIE ; Xiaohong WEN ; Yingwei WANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(17):2170-2179
BACKGROUND:
Postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) are major adverse events in neurosurgical patients. This study aimed to develop and validate machine learning models predicting PPCs after neurosurgery.
METHODS:
PPCs were defined according to the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome standards as occurring within 7 postoperative days. Data of cases meeting inclusion/exclusion criteria were extracted from the anesthesia information management system to create three datasets: The development (data of Huashan Hospital, Fudan University from 2018 to 2020), temporal validation (data of Huashan Hospital, Fudan University in 2021) and external validation (data of other three hospitals in 2023) datasets. Machine learning models of six algorithms were trained using either 35 retrievable and plausible features or the 11 features selected by Lasso regression. Temporal validation was conducted for all models and the 11-feature models were also externally validated. Independent risk factors were identified and feature importance in top models was analyzed.
RESULTS:
PPCs occurred in 712 of 7533 (9.5%), 258 of 2824 (9.1%), and 207 of 2300 (9.0%) patients in the development, temporal validation and external validation datasets, respectively. During cross-validation training, all models except Bayes demonstrated good discrimination with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.840. In temporal validation of full-feature models, deep neural network (DNN) performed the best with an AUC of 0.835 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.805-0.858) and a Brier score of 0.069, followed by Logistic regression (LR), random forest and XGBoost. The 11-feature models performed comparable to full-feature models with very close but statistically significantly lower AUCs, with the top models of DNN and LR in temporal and external validations. An 11-feature nomogram was drawn based on the LR algorithm and it outperformed the minimally modified Assess respiratory RIsk in Surgical patients in CATalonia (ARISCAT) and Laparoscopic Surgery Video Educational Guidelines (LAS VEGAS) scores with a higher AUC (LR: 0.824, ARISCAT: 0.672, LAS: 0.663). Independent risk factors based on multivariate LR mostly overlapped with Lasso-selected features, but lacked consistency with the important features using the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) method of the LR model.
CONCLUSIONS:
The developed models, especially the DNN model and the nomogram, had good discrimination and calibration, and could be used for predicting PPCs in neurosurgical patients. The establishment of machine learning models and the ascertainment of risk factors might assist clinical decision support for improving surgical outcomes.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
ChiCTR 2100047474; https://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.html?proj=128279 .
Adult
;
Aged
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Algorithms
;
Lung Diseases/etiology*
;
Machine Learning
;
Neurosurgical Procedures/adverse effects*
;
Postoperative Complications/diagnosis*
;
Risk Factors
;
ROC Curve
2.Development of DUS testing guidelines for new Atractylodes lancea varieties.
Cheng-Cai ZHANG ; Ming QIN ; Xiu-Zhi GUO ; Zi-Hua ZHANG ; Hao-Kuan ZHANG ; Xiao-Yu DAI ; Sheng WANG ; Lan-Ping GUO
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(6):1515-1523
Atractylodes lancea is a perennial herbaceous plant of Asteraceae, with rhizomes for medical use. However, A. lancea plants from different habitats have great variability, and the germplasm resources of A. lancea are unclear and mixed during production. Therefore, it is urgent to protect new varieties of A. lancea. The distinctness, uniformity, and stability(DUS) testing of new plant varieties is the foundation of plant variety protection, and the DUS testing guidelines are the technical basis for variety approval agencies to conduct DUS testing. In this study, the phenotypic traits of 94 germplasm accessions of A. lancea were investigated considering the breeding and variety characteristics of A. lancea in China. The traits were classified and described, and 24 traits were preliminarily determined, including 20 basic traits that must be tested and four traits selected to be tested. The 20 basic traits included 3 quality traits, 5 false quality traits, and 12 quantitative traits, corresponding to 1 plant traits, 2 stem traits, 8 leaf traits, 6 flower traits, and 3 seed traits. The measurement ranges and coefficients of variation of eight quantitative traits were determined, on the basis of which the grading criteria and codes of the traits were determined and assigned. The guidelines has guiding significance for the trait evaluation, utilization, and breeding of new varieties of A. lancea.
Atractylodes/growth & development*
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China
;
Phenotype
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Guidelines as Topic
;
Plant Breeding
3.Professor YANG Zhong-qi's prescription patterns for hypertension based on latent structure model and association rule analysis.
Hui-Lin LIU ; Shi-Hao NI ; Xiao-Jiao ZHANG ; Wen-Jie LONG ; Xiao-Ming DONG ; Zhi-Ying LIU ; Hui-Li LIAO ; Zhong-Qi YANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(10):2865-2874
Based on latent structure model and association rule analysis, this study investigates the prescription patterns used by professor YANG Zhong-qi in treating hypertension with traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) and infers the associated TCM syndromes, providing a reference for clinical syndrome differentiation and treatment. The observation window spanned from January 8, 2013, to June 26, 2024, during which qualified herbal decoction prescriptions meeting efficacy criteria were extracted from the outpatient medical record system of the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine and compiled into a standardized database. Statistical analysis of high-frequency herbs included frequency counts and herbal property-channel tropism analysis. Latent structure modeling and association rule analysis were performed using R 4.3.2 and Lantern 5.0 software to identify core herbal combinations and infer TCM syndrome patterns. A total of 2 436 TCM prescriptions were included in the study, involving 263 drugs with a cumulative frequency of 29 783. High-frequency herbs comprised Uncariae Ramulus cum Uncis, Poria, Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma, Puerariae Lobatae Radix, and Alismatis Rhizoma, predominantly categorized as deficiency-tonifying, heat-clearing, and blood-activating and stasis-resolving herbs. Latent structure analysis identified 18 latent variables, 74 latent classes, 5 comprehensive clustering models, and 15 core herbal combinations, suggesting that the core syndrome clusters include liver Yang hyperactivity pattern, Yin deficiency with Yang hyperactivity pattern, phlegm-stasis intermingling pattern, and liver-kidney insufficiency pattern. Association rule analysis revealed 22 robust association rules. RESULTS:: indicate that hypertension manifests as a deficiency-rooted excess manifestation, significantly associated with functional dysregulation of the liver, lung, spleen-stomach, heart, and kidney. Key pathogenic mechanisms involve liver Yang hyperactivity, phlegm-stasis interaction, and liver-kidney insufficiency. Therapeutic strategies should prioritize liver-calming, spleen-fortifying, and deficiency-tonifying principles, supplemented by dynamic regulation of Qi-blood and Yin-Yang balance according to syndrome evolution, alongside pathogen-eliminating methods such as phlegm-resolving and stasis-dispelling. Synergistic interventions like mind-tranquilizing therapies should be tailored to individual conditions.
Hypertension/drug therapy*
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
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Humans
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Medicine, Chinese Traditional
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Drug Prescriptions
;
Latent Class Analysis
4.Serum Lipidomics Profiling to Identify Potential Biomarkers of Ischemic Stroke: A Pilot Study in Chinese Adults.
Ji Jun SHI ; Zu Jiao NIE ; Shu Yao WANG ; Hao ZHANG ; Xin Wei LI ; Jia Ling YAO ; Yi Bing JIN ; Xiang Dong YANG ; Xue Yang ZHANG ; Ming Zhi ZHANG ; Hao PENG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(8):918-925
OBJECTIVE:
Lipid oxidation is involved in the pathogenesis of atherosclerosis and may be contribute to the development of Ischemic stroke (IS). However, the lipid profiles associated with IS have been poorly studied. We conducted a pilot study to identify potential IS-related lipid molecules and pathways using lipidomic profiling.
METHODS:
Serum lipidomic profiling was performed using LC-MS in 20 patients with IS and 20 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. Univariate and multivariate analyses were simultaneously performed to identify the differential lipids. Multiple testing was controlled for using a false discovery rate (FDR) approach. Enrichment analysis was performed using MetaboAnalyst software.
RESULTS:
Based on the 294 lipids assayed, principal component analysis (PCA) and orthogonal partial least squares discriminant analysis (OPLS-DA) models were used to distinguish patients with IS from healthy controls. Fifty-six differential lipids were identified with an FDR-adjusted P less than 0.05 and variable influences in projection (VIP) greater than 1.0. These lipids were significantly enriched in glycerophospholipid metabolism (FDR-adjusted P = 0.009, impact score = 0.216).
CONCLUSIONS
Serum lipid profiles differed significantly between patients with IS and healthy controls. Thus, glycerophospholipid metabolism may be involved in the development of IS. These results provide initial evidence that lipid molecules and their related metabolites may serve as new biomarkers and potential therapeutic targets for IS.
Humans
;
Pilot Projects
;
Lipidomics
;
Male
;
Female
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Middle Aged
;
Ischemic Stroke/blood*
;
Aged
;
China
;
Lipids/blood*
;
Adult
;
Case-Control Studies
;
East Asian People
5.Quantitative Evaluation of Influences of Material Properties on Latent Fingerprint Development Effects
Jie LI ; Ming LI ; Rong-Wei MA ; Zhi-Ze XU ; Chuan-Hao FANG ; Meng WANG
Chinese Journal of Analytical Chemistry 2025;53(8):1279-1289,中插4-中插18
The influence of material properties on fingerprint development effects were systematically studied.Firstly,carbon dots/NaYF4 and Cu nanoclusters/starch nanocomposites respectively possessing different fluorescent intensities and dual fluorescent colors,as well as NaYF4 micro-/nano-materials exhibiting different morphologies,sizes,and surface properties were chemically synthesized and further used for latent fingerprint development.Then,the developing effects were comprehensively evaluated by visual analysis combining with spectral characterization and Python-based calculation.Finally,the influences of material properties on latent fingerprint development were quantitatively evaluated from three dimensions including contrast,sensitivity,and selectivity.The fluorescence properties of developing materials and substrates could significantly affect the developing contrast,namely,the stronger the developing signal,the higher the contrast;the weaker the background noise,the higher the contrast.The sizes and morphologies of the developing materials could respectively influence the quantity and quality of developed minutiae,and significantly affect the developing sensitivity,namely,the smaller the particle size of developing materials,the more the quantity of developed minutiae and the higher the sensitivity;the smaller the surface area of developing materials,the higher the quality of developed minutiae and the higher the sensitivity.The surface properties together with the sizes and morphologies of developing materials could influence their adsorption performances,and significantly affect the developing selectivity,namely,the stronger the specific adsorption of developing materials with fingerprint substance,and the weaker the non-specific adsorption of developing materials with substrate,the higher the selectivity.Moreover,the fingerprint development using the materials with suitable surface area and appropriate mass would have a high selectivity.
6.Creation and Exploration of the"Organized Fill-in-the-Blank Format"Disci-pline Construction Model for Forensic Medicine in the New Era
Zhi-Wen WEI ; Hong-Xing WANG ; Jun-Hong SUN ; Hao-Liang FAN ; Hong-Liang SU ; Le-Le WANG ; Wen-Ting HE ; Zhe CHEN ; Jie ZHANG ; Xiang-Jie GUO ; Ji LI ; Geng-Qian ZHANG ; Xin-Hua LIANG ; Jiang-Wei YAN ; Qiang-Qiang ZHANG ; Cai-Rong GAO ; Ying-Yuan WANG ; Hong-Wei WANG ; Jun XIE ; Bo-Feng ZHU ; Ke-Ming YUN
Journal of Forensic Medicine 2025;41(1):25-29
Forensic medicine has been designated as a first-level discipline,presenting new opportunities and challenges for the development of forensic medicine.Since the 1980s,the establishment of foren-sic medicine discipline and the cultivation of high-level forensic talents have become hot topics in the development of forensic medicine in China.Since the 13th Five-Year Plan,the forensic team of Shanxi Medical University has been aiming at the forefront,proposing the development goals of"Five First-class"and the discipline development path"Six Major Achievements".It has selected benchmark disci-plines,identified gaps in disciplinary development,unified thoughts,formulated completion timelines,concentrated superior resources,assigned tasks to individuals,and created an"Organized Fill-in-the-Blank Format"forensic medicine discipline construction model with the characteristics of the new era.The construction model of forensic medicine has achieved good results in the goals,discipline frame-work,scientific research,talent cultivation,discipline team and platform construction,forming a rela-tively complete discipline construction and management system,and accumulating valuable experience for the construction of first-level discipline and high-level talent cultivation of forensic medicine.
7.Effect of triptolide on the expression of Polo-like kinase-1 in CT26 colon cancer and its antitumor activity
Zhi-Hao LU ; Xue-Ming LI ; Yan-Ling JIANG ; Xu ZHAO ; Jing FENG ; Jian LI
Acta Anatomica Sinica 2025;56(1):4-10
Objective To investigate the antitumor effects of triptolide against CT26 colon cancer and its impact on the expression of Polo-like kinase-1(PLK-1)protein.Methods Forty clean grade BALB/c mice,each mouse was implanted with 1×106 CT26 cells into the dorsal side of the right forelimb to establish a tumor-bearing mouse model.Experimental animals were randomly divided into four groups,the tumor model group(saline control),the positive drug group[oxaliplatin,5 mg/(kg·d)],the low-dose triptolide group[50 μg/(kg·/d)],and the high-dose triptolide group[100 μg/(kg·d)].The drugs were administered through intraperitoneal injection(10 times in total,once every other day).The in vitro effects of the drugs on the proliferation,migration,invasion,and mitosis of CT26 cells were also assessed.Results Triptolide significantly inhibited the proliferation,migration,and invasion of CT26 colon cancer cells,and disrupted the separation of centrosomes and the correct arrangement of chromosomes during the prophase of mitosis in tumor cells.The binding energy of triptolide and PLK-1 protein was-7.1 kcal/mol,and it could down-regulate the expression of PLK-1 in CT26 cells.Conclusion Triptolide exerts its antitumor effects against CT26 colon cancer by downregulating the expression of PLK-1.
8.Risk factors and their predictive efficacy for early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture
Deen WAN ; Yongzhou YAN ; Feng SHUANG ; Hao LI ; Zhi ZENG ; Mudan HUANG ; Lu HAN ; Xiang PENG ; Di YANG ; Ming CHEN ; Qixin LIU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(3):274-281
Objective:To investigate the risk factors and their predictive efficacy for early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on the clinical data of 203 elderly patients with hip fracture admitted to the 908th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the PLA and the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from January 2022 to December 2023, including 54 males and 149 females, aged 65-100 years [(80.5±7.7)years]. There were 96 patients with femoral neck fracture and 107 patients with intertrochanteric fracture. According to the AO/OTA classification, the fracture was classified as type 31A in 107 patients and type 31B in 96. Among them, 81 patients were treated with proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA), 65 with semi-hip arthroplasty, 52 with total hip arthroplasty (THA), and 5 with closed reduction and cannulated nail internal fixation. The patients were divided into complication group ( n=65) and non-complication group ( n=138) according to whether complications (mainly including delirium, lung infection, stress ulcer, and deep vein thrombosis of the lower limbs) occurred within 15 days after surgery. The gender, age, age stage, educational level, cause of injury, associated underlying diseases before surgery, AO/OTA classification, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) score, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), anesthesia method, operation method, operation time, intraoperative blood loss, length of hospital stay, etc., were recorded in the two groups. Univariate analysis and multivariate binary logistic regression analysis were used to evaluate the correlation between the above indexes and the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture and to determine their independent risk factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the predictive efficacy of each risk factor for the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture. Results:Univariate analysis showed a certain correlation between age, age stage, associated underlying diseases before surgery, AO/OTA classification, ASA classification, mFI-5 score, PNI, operation method, and length of hospital stay and the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture ( P<0.05), while gender, educational level, cause of injury, anesthesia method, operation time, and intraoperative blood loss were not correlated with the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture ( P>0.05). The results of multivariate binary logistic regression analysis showed that the associated underlying diseases before surgery ( OR=5.46, 95% CI 1.33, 22.39, P<0.05), mFI-5 score ( OR=15.90, 95% CI 5.36, 47.15, P<0.01), and PNI ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.60, 0.81, P<0.01) were significantly correlated with the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture. The results of ROC curve analysis showed that mFI-5 score (AUC=0.85, 95% CI 0.80, 0.91) and PNI (AUC=0.87, 95% CI 0.82, 0.93) had moderate predictive efficacy, while the early warning efficacy of associated underlying diseases was low (AUC=0.54, 95% CI 0.45, 0.62). The combination of the above risk factors was more effective in predicting early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture (AUC=0.95, 95% CI 0.92, 0.98). Conclusions:The mFI-5 score, PNI, and associated underlying diseases before surgery are independent risk factors for early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture. The mFI-5 score and PNI have a higher predictive efficacy than associated diseases before surgery on the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture, while the combination of the above risk factors provides a significantly better predictive performance.
9.Experimental study on autologous osteochondral transplantation in the treatment of recurrent anterior dislocation of the shoulder joint with articular cartilage defect in rabbits.
Tao LIU ; Sen FANG ; Fang-Xiang LIU ; Ming-Tao ZHANG ; Zhi-Tao YANG ; Bo-Rong ZHANG ; Jun-Wen LIANG ; Xi-Hao WANG ; Jin JIANG ; Xiang-Dong YUN
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(6):619-625
OBJECTIVE:
To explore clinical effect of autologous osteochondral transplantation (AOT) in the treatment of recurrent anterior dislocation of the shoulder joint with glenoid cartilage defect in rabbits by establishing a model of recurrent anterior dislocation of the shoulder joint with < 20% glenoid cartilage defect in rabbits.
METHODS:
Twenty-four male New Zealand white rabbits, aged 6-month-old, weighed (2.69±0.17) kg were selected. The labrum of shoulder joint of rabbits was artificially destroyed to establish a model of recurrent anterior dislocation of shoulder joint with cartilage defect. They were divided into AOT surgery group and simple suture group, with 12 rabbits in each group. AOT group were underwent AOT surgery, while simple suture group was treated with simple Bankart suture for recurrent shoulder joint dislocation. At 6 and 12 weeks after operation, 6 rabbits between two groups were sacrificed for sampling. The dietary conditions, activity conditions, mental states of rabbits and healing conditions of grafts in the specimens were observed and compared between two groups. HE staining was used to observe cell creep, cell morphology, inflammatory cell infiltration, fibrochondrocytes and their arrangement. Masson staining was used to observe the formation and arrangement of collagen fibers; Safrane-green staining was used to observe the regeneration of articular cartilage, subchondral bone and bone tissue. Bone mineral density (BMD), bone volume (BV) and trabecular thickness (Tb.Th) between two groups were measured by Micro-CT to evaluate the remodeling of shoulder glenoid bone defects by autologous osteochondral cartilage.
RESULTS:
After different surgical interventions were carried out in both groups of rabbits, at 6 weeks after the operation, the abduction, extension, internal rotation and external rotation of the shoulder joint on the operated side showed limited range of motion compared with the contralateral side, while adduction and forward flexion showed no obvious abnormalities compared with the contralateral side. At 12 weeks after operation, the range motion of tshoulder joints in both groups of rabbits had returned to the state before modeling. The effects of HE staining, Masson staining and safrane-green staining at 12 weeks after operation in both groups were stronger than the staining results at 6 weeks after operation. Moreover, the results of HE staining, Masson staining and safranin fixation green staining in AOT group at 6 and 12 weeks after operation were all higher than those in simple suture group. Micro-CT scan results at 6 and 12 weeks after operation showed that BMD (0.427±0.014), (0.466±0.032) g·cm-3, BV(116.171±3.527), (159.327±3.500) mm3, and Tb.Th (0.230±0.006), (0.285±0.009) mm in AOT group, which were higher than those of simple suture group in BMD(0.358±0.011), (0.384±0.096) g·cm-3, BV(72.657±3.903), (118.713±3.860) mm3, and Tb.Th(0.204±0.009), (0.243±0.007) mm;and the differences were statistically significant (P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
AOT procedure could effectively promote osteogenesis and fibrocartilage regeneration in the cartilage defect area of the shoulder glenoid <20%, which is conducive to reshaping the structure of the shoulder glenoid.
Animals
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Rabbits
;
Male
;
Transplantation, Autologous
;
Cartilage, Articular/injuries*
;
Shoulder Dislocation/physiopathology*
;
Bone Transplantation
;
Shoulder Joint/surgery*

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