1.Influence of 17β-estradiol in proliferation and differentiation of hippocampal neural stem cells and its mechanism
Ying YANG ; Liang ZHAO ; Yong YOU ; Qian XU ; Zhenjun YANG
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2025;51(2):317-324
Objective:To investigate the influence of 17β-estradiol(17β-E2)in the proliferation and differentiation capabilities of primary cultured hippocampal neural stem cells(NSCs),and to clarify its potential mechanism.Methods:The NSCs were isolated from the hippocampal tissue of SD rats within 24 h of birth,and divided into control group and 17β-E2 group.Immunofluorescence method was used to detect the expressions of Nestin and 5-ethynyl-2'-deoxyuridine(EdU)in NSCs in two groups,and the proliferation rates of NSCs were calculated.Western blotting method was used to detect the expression level of Nestin protein.Flow cytometry was used to analyze the percentages of NSCs at different cell cycles.Immunofluorescence method was used to identify the expressions of markers for neurons β Ⅲ-tubulin and astrocyte marker glial fibrillary acidic protein(GFAP)in the NSCs after differentiation,and the relative ratio of neurons to astrocytes was calculated.Western blotting method was used to detect the expression levels of β Ⅲ-tubulin and GFAP proteins as well as phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase(PI3K),protein kinase B(Akt),phosphorylated Akt(p-Akt),glycogen synthase kinase-3 beta(GSK-3β),phosphorylated GSK-3β(p-GSK-3β),and beta-catenin(β-catenin)proteins related to PI3K/Akt/GSK-3β pathway.Results:Immunofluorescence assay revealed positive Nestin expression in NSCs in two groups;compared with control group,the proliferation rate of NSCs in 17β-E2 group was increased(P<0.01).Compared with control group,the expression level of Nestin protein in the NSCs in 17β-E2 group was increased(P<0.05),and the percentage of NSCs in S phase was increased(P<0.01).Compared with control group,the relative ratio of neurons to astrocytes in 17β-E2 group was significantly increased(P<0.05).After differentiation,compared with control group,the expression level of β Ⅲ-tubulin protein in the NSCs in 17β-E2 group was increased(P<0.05),and the expression level of GFAP protein was decreased(P<0.01),while the expression levels of Akt,p-Akt,β-catenin,and p-GSK-3β proteins were increased(P<0.05 or P<0.01),and the expression level of GSK-3β protein was decreased(P<0.05).Conclusion:17β-E2 can promote the proliferation of NSCs and facilitate their differentiation towards neurons,and its mechanism may be related to the PI3K/Akt/GSK-3β signaling pathway.
2.Trajectories and influencing factors of perioperative pain catastrophizing in patients undergoing lumbar internal fixation surgery
Shaojuan TIAN ; Xiaolan ZHAO ; Dakai ZHOU ; Rui SHI ; Zhenjun ZHU
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(21):2889-2894
Objective:To explore the latent trajectory class of perioperative pain catastrophizing in patients undergoing lumbar internal fixation surgery and analyze the influencing factors of these latent classes.Methods:A total of 180 patients who underwent lumbar internal fixation surgery at Xinxiang Central Hospital from January to December 2023 were selected using convenience sampling. The Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) was used to assess pain catastrophizing at 1 day preoperatively and on postoperative days 3, 7, and 14. Latent Class Growth Modeling (LCGM) was employed to identify trajectory classes of pain catastrophizing, and Logistic regression analysis was used to examine their influencing factors.Results:A total of 177 patients completed the follow-up, with a follow-up rate of 98.33% (177/180) . The overall perioperative PCS score was (30.39±10.86) . PCS scores at 1 day preoperatively and on postoperative days 3, 7, and 14 were (37.63±6.23) , (33.27±6.00) , (28.55±9.02) , and (23.81±9.33) , respectively. The proportions of patients with PCS≥38 at the four times were 42.94% (76/177) , 23.16% (41/177) , 22.60% (40/177) , and 12.43% (22/177) , respectively. LCGM identified three latent trajectory classes of perioperative pain catastrophizing: "high-level declining group" (55.93%, 99/177) , "high-level fluctuating group" (28.81%, 51/177) , and "persistent high-level group" (15.25%, 27/177) . Logistic regression analysis showed that payment method, surgical duration, and preoperative PCS score were significant influencing factors of pain catastrophizing trajectory classes ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:Pain catastrophizing levels in patients undergoing lumbar internal fixation surgery peaked preoperatively. While most patients showed a declining trend postoperatively, a subset exhibited fluctuating or persistently high levels. Payment method, surgical duration, and preoperative pain catastrophizing levels significantly influenced the trajectory of pain catastrophizing, warranting attention from clinical nursing staff.
3.Establishment and application of an RPA-LFD method for detection of Akabane virus
Jiafu SHANG ; Xuehui ZHOU ; Yanyan LIU ; Xia LIU ; Xingwei NI ; Tingting XU ; Zhiguo ZHAO ; Yan WANG ; Zhenjun WANG ; Xiaowei YANG ; Guangwei ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(8):1601-1608
To establish a rapid visual detection method for Akabane virus(AKAV)on site,specific primers and probes based on the S fragment of AKAV were designed in this experiment.Corre-sponding groups were added to the primers or probes to fulfil the requirement of the combination of recombinase polymerase amplification(RPA)with lateral flow dipstick(LFD).The reaction temperature and time,concentrations of the primer and probe were optimized to establish the RPA-LFD method for detecting AKAV.After that,the specificity,sensitivity and clinical reliability of the method were evaluated.The results showed that after 20 minutes of reaction at 37 ℃,the test results could be read on LFD paper.There was no cross reaction against blue tongue virus,Pasteurella multocida,bovine infectious rhinotracheitis virus and bovine Mycoplasma bovis,and the detection limit was 2.5 × 100 copies/μL of standard plasmid.Detection of clinical samples showed a consistent results with that by RT-PCR method.These findings indicated that the RPA-LFD method established had the advantages of good specificity,high sensitivity,simple operation and visualization,and could be applied to clinical detection,which provides new technical support for the rapid diagnosis and prevention and control of AKAV.
4.Establishment and application of an RPA-LFD method for detection of Akabane virus
Jiafu SHANG ; Xuehui ZHOU ; Yanyan LIU ; Xia LIU ; Xingwei NI ; Tingting XU ; Zhiguo ZHAO ; Yan WANG ; Zhenjun WANG ; Xiaowei YANG ; Guangwei ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Veterinary Science 2025;45(8):1601-1608
To establish a rapid visual detection method for Akabane virus(AKAV)on site,specific primers and probes based on the S fragment of AKAV were designed in this experiment.Corre-sponding groups were added to the primers or probes to fulfil the requirement of the combination of recombinase polymerase amplification(RPA)with lateral flow dipstick(LFD).The reaction temperature and time,concentrations of the primer and probe were optimized to establish the RPA-LFD method for detecting AKAV.After that,the specificity,sensitivity and clinical reliability of the method were evaluated.The results showed that after 20 minutes of reaction at 37 ℃,the test results could be read on LFD paper.There was no cross reaction against blue tongue virus,Pasteurella multocida,bovine infectious rhinotracheitis virus and bovine Mycoplasma bovis,and the detection limit was 2.5 × 100 copies/μL of standard plasmid.Detection of clinical samples showed a consistent results with that by RT-PCR method.These findings indicated that the RPA-LFD method established had the advantages of good specificity,high sensitivity,simple operation and visualization,and could be applied to clinical detection,which provides new technical support for the rapid diagnosis and prevention and control of AKAV.
5.Trajectories and influencing factors of perioperative pain catastrophizing in patients undergoing lumbar internal fixation surgery
Shaojuan TIAN ; Xiaolan ZHAO ; Dakai ZHOU ; Rui SHI ; Zhenjun ZHU
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2025;31(21):2889-2894
Objective:To explore the latent trajectory class of perioperative pain catastrophizing in patients undergoing lumbar internal fixation surgery and analyze the influencing factors of these latent classes.Methods:A total of 180 patients who underwent lumbar internal fixation surgery at Xinxiang Central Hospital from January to December 2023 were selected using convenience sampling. The Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS) was used to assess pain catastrophizing at 1 day preoperatively and on postoperative days 3, 7, and 14. Latent Class Growth Modeling (LCGM) was employed to identify trajectory classes of pain catastrophizing, and Logistic regression analysis was used to examine their influencing factors.Results:A total of 177 patients completed the follow-up, with a follow-up rate of 98.33% (177/180) . The overall perioperative PCS score was (30.39±10.86) . PCS scores at 1 day preoperatively and on postoperative days 3, 7, and 14 were (37.63±6.23) , (33.27±6.00) , (28.55±9.02) , and (23.81±9.33) , respectively. The proportions of patients with PCS≥38 at the four times were 42.94% (76/177) , 23.16% (41/177) , 22.60% (40/177) , and 12.43% (22/177) , respectively. LCGM identified three latent trajectory classes of perioperative pain catastrophizing: "high-level declining group" (55.93%, 99/177) , "high-level fluctuating group" (28.81%, 51/177) , and "persistent high-level group" (15.25%, 27/177) . Logistic regression analysis showed that payment method, surgical duration, and preoperative PCS score were significant influencing factors of pain catastrophizing trajectory classes ( P<0.05) . Conclusions:Pain catastrophizing levels in patients undergoing lumbar internal fixation surgery peaked preoperatively. While most patients showed a declining trend postoperatively, a subset exhibited fluctuating or persistently high levels. Payment method, surgical duration, and preoperative pain catastrophizing levels significantly influenced the trajectory of pain catastrophizing, warranting attention from clinical nursing staff.
6.Construction of a model based on multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy for predicting pathological complete response after neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer
Ying JIN ; Zhiwei ZHAI ; Liting SUN ; Pingdian XIA ; Hang HU ; Chongqiang JIANG ; Baocheng ZHAO ; Hao QU ; Qun QIAN ; Yong DAI ; Hongwei YAO ; Zhenjun WANG ; Jiagang HAN
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(4):403-411
Objective:To investigate the value of transanal multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy (TMFP) in predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant radiotherapy and chemotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and to establish a predictive model for providing clinical guidance regarding the treatment of LARC.Methods:In this multicenter, prospective, cohort study, we collected data on 110 LARC patients from four hospitals between April 2020 and March 2023: Beijing Chaoyang Hospital of Capital Medical University (50 patients), Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University (41 patients), Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (16 patients), and Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University (three patients). The patients had all received TMFP after completing standard nCRT. The variables studied included (1) clinicopathological characteristics; (2) clinical complete remission (cCR) and efficacy of TMFP in determining pCR after NCRT in LARC patients; and (3) hospital attended, sex, age, clinical T- and N-stages, distance between the lower margin of the tumor and the anal verge, baseline and post-radiotherapy serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 concentrations, chemotherapy regimen, use of immunosuppressants with or without radiotherapy, radiation therapy dosage, interval between surgery and radiotherapy, surgical procedure, clinical T/N stage after radiotherapy, cCR, pathological results of TMFP, puncture method (endoscopic or percutaneous), and number and timing of punctures. Single-factor and multifactorial logistic regression analysis were used to determine the factors affecting pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. A prediction model was constructed based on the results of multivariat analysis and the performance of this model evaluated by analyzing subject work characteristics (ROC), calibration, and clinical decision-making (DCA) curves. pCR was defined as complete absence of tumor cells on microscopic examination of the surgical specimens of rectal cancer (including lymph node dissection) after NCRT, that is, ypT0+N0. cCR was defined according to the Chinese Neoadjuvant Rectal Cancer Waiting Watch Database Study Collaborative Group criteria after treatment, which specify an absence of ulceration and nodules on endoscopy; negative rectal palpation; no tumor signals on rectal MRI T2 and DWI sequences; normal serum CEA concentrations, and no evidence of recurrence on pelvic computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging.Results:Of the 110 patients, 45 (40.9%) achieved pCR after nCRT, which was combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors in 34 (30.9%). cCR was diagnosed before puncture in 38 (34.5%) patients, 43 (39.1%) of the punctures being endoscopic. There were no complications of puncture such as enterocutaneous fistulae, vaginal injury, prostatic injury, or presacral bleeding . Only one (2.3%) patient had a small amount of blood in the stools, which was relieved by anal pressure. cCR had a sensitivity of 57.8% (26/45) for determining pCR, specificity of 81.5% (53/65), accuracy of 71.8% (79/110), positive predictive value 68.4% (26/38), and negative predictive value of 73.6% (53/72). In contrast, the sensitivity of TMFP pathology in determining pCR was 100% (45/45), specificity 66.2% (43/65), accuracy 80.0% (88/110), positive predictive value 67.2% (45/67), and negative predictive value 100.0% (43/43). In this study, the sensitivity of TMFP for pCR (100.0% vs. 57.8%, χ 2=24.09, P<0.001) was significantly higher than that for cCR. However, the accuracy of pCR did not differ significantly (80.0% vs. 71.8%, χ 2=2.01, P=0.156). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that a ≥4 cm distance between the lower edge of the tumor and the anal verge (OR=7.84, 95%CI: 1.48-41.45, P=0.015), non-cCR (OR=4.81, 95%CI: 1.39-16.69, P=0.013), and pathological diagnosis by TMFP (OR=114.29, the 95%CI: 11.07-1180.28, P<0.001) were risk factors for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. Additionally, endoscopic puncture (OR=0.02, 95%CI: 0.05-0.77, P=0.020) was a protective factor for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.934 (95%CI: 0.892-0.977), suggesting that the model has good discrimination. The calibration curve was relatively close to the ideal 45° reference line, indicating that the predicted values of the model were in good agreement with the actual values. A decision-making curve showed that the model had a good net clinical benefit. Conclusion:Our predictive model, which incorporates TMFP, has considerable accuracy in predicting pCR after nCRT in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This may provide a basis for more precisely selecting individualized therapy.
7.Clinical effects of free anterolateral thigh perforator flaps in repairing diabetic foot ulcers under a multi-disciplinary team cooperation model
Jianjun ZHAO ; Zhenjun XIE ; Guohong ZHAO ; Jianhua ZHANG ; Huawei SUN ; Huikai BAI ; Huifeng ZHANG ; Dongbin ZHANG ; Erhui XIAO ; Guosong ZHU
Chinese Journal of Burns 2024;40(8):756-761
Objective:To explore the clinical effects of free anterolateral thigh perforator flaps in repairing diabetic foot ulcers (DFUs) under a multi-disciplinary team (MDT) cooperation model.Methods:The study was a retrospective observational study. From June 2018 to December 2022, 49 DFU patients who met the inclusion criteria were admitted to the Department of Hand and Foot Microscopy and Wound Repair Surgery of Henan Provincial People's Hospital (People's Hospital of Zhengzhou University), including 28 males and 21 females, aged from 47 to 68 years, with type 2 diabetes history period ranging from 6 months to 21 years. Under a MDT cooperation model, the physicians from department of endocrinology comprehensively assessed the patients, stabilized the patients' general condition, and controlled their complications, the surgeons from department of vascular surgery assessed and improved the patients' lower limb blood supply, the physicians from department of infectious diseases provided anti-infection treatment plans, the physicians from department of anesthesiology and perioperative medicine assessed the patients' perioperative risk and ensured their perioperative safety, and according to the patients' condition, the physicians from departments such as cardiology, neurology, nutrition, and rehabilitation actively and timely participated in the treatment. The surgeons from department of hand and foot microscopy and wound repair surgery prepared the wound base and used free anterolateral thigh perforator flaps to repair the wounds. After once or multiple debridement in the first stage, the wound area ranged from 5.0 cm×4.5 cm to 17.0 cm×10.0 cm. After once or twice vacuum sealing drainage treatment, the free anterolateral thigh perforator flaps were used to repair the wounds with incision area of 6 cm×5 cm to 18 cm×11 cm in the second stage. The descending branches of lateral circumflex femoral artery and the accompanying veins of flaps were anastomosed to the arteries and veins in the recipient sites, respectively. The wounds in the flap donor sites were sutured directly. After surgery, whether the patient's perioperative period was stable, the survival of flaps, the healing of wounds in the flap donor and recipient sites were observed. During the follow-up, the texture and appearance of flaps, whether there was a new ulcer, and the patient's walking ability were observed.Results:All the patients had stable perioperative period. Among them, the flaps in 46 patients survived successfully; the flaps in 2 patients developed complete necrosis, including 1 case whose ulcer was healed after repair of pedicled flap from the lower leg, and 1 case who underwent amputation of the lower leg; the flap in 1 patient developed partial necrosis, which was healed after dressing change and skin grafting. The wounds in the flap donor and recipient sites healed well. During the postoperative follow-up of 6-24 months, the flaps had good texture and appearance with no new ulcers, and the patients had no obvious impairment in daily walk.Conclusions:The MDT cooperation model can sufficiently ensure the perioperative safety of DFU patients. The free anterolateral thigh perforator flaps can repair the DFU wounds achieving good clinical effects with high flap survival rate and decreased amputation rate.
8.Clinical efficacy of UBE-LIF versus posterior lesion removal bone graft fusion fixation in the treatment of lumbar brucelli spondylitis
Bei LIU ; Yongming LIU ; Jiandong ZHAO ; Yinjun YANG ; Yiqi LI ; Fayan WEN ; Yan LI ; Zhenjun LI
Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University(Medical Sciences) 2024;45(1):160-166,封3
Objective To compare the safety and clinical efficacy of lesion removal combined with percutaneous pedicle screw fixation with classical posterior lesion removal in the treatment of lumbar brucelli spondylitis(LBS)by unilateral biportal endoscopic technique with transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion(UBE-LIF)technique.Methods The clinical data of 32 patients with LBS admitted by the Department of Spine and Orthopedics of Gansu Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2020 to January 2022 were retrospectively analyzed,and the clinical data of the 32 LBS patients were divided into 15 cases in the UBE-LIF group and 17 cases in the posterior group.The general data,surgery-related indexes,and postoperative pathological HE staining of the two groups were recorded and analyzed.The patients'clinical recovery was assessed according to their erythrocyte sedimentation rate(ESR)and C-reactive protein(CRP),low back pain visual analogue score(VAS),Japanese Orthopaedic Association(JOA)score,and Oswestry Dysfunction Index(ODI)preoperative,1 week after surgery,1,3,6 months and 1 year after surgery.Lumbar lordosis angle(LL)and intervertebral space height(DH)were measured by imaging before surgery and at the last follow-up,and intervertebral bone graft fusion was assessed using Suk grading criteria.Results Both groups successfully completed the operation and no serious postoperative complications occurred.There were no significant differences in gender,age,surgical segment,operation time,preoperative ESR and CRP,preoperative VAS,JOA score and ODI index,preoperative LL and DH(P>0.05).The intraoperative blood loss,postoperative drainage,postoperative getting out of bed,and postoperative hospital stay in UBE-LIF group were significantly lower than those in the posterior group(P<0.001).Pathological examination of diseased tissues was performed during surgery,all of which was consistent with brucellosis changes.Patients in both groups were followed up for 12-18 months,with an average of 14.8 months.The VAS,JOA score,and ODI index at all postoperative time points in the two groups were significantly improved compared with the preoperative period(P<0.05).The difference between the two groups was significantly greater than that in the postoperative group:VAS score was lower in UBE-LIF group than in the posterior group(P<0.01),CRP in both groups was higher than that in the preoperative group,and the elevation level was significantly lower in UBE-LIF group than in the posterior group(P<0.001).There was no significant difference in ESR between the two groups compared with that before surgery(P>0.05).There were no significant differences in VAS,JOA score,ODI index,CRP or ESR between the remaining time points after surgery(P>0.05).At the last follow-up,imaging examination showed that the overall fusion rate of intervertebral bone graft in UBE-LIF group was 93.3%and 94.1%in the posterior group,without significant difference(x2=0.246,P=0.884).LL and DH were significantly improved in both groups compared with preoperative ones(P<0.01),and the two groups did not significantly differ before and after surgery(P>0.05).Conclusion Both surgical treatments for LBS are safe effect.Compared with posterior lesion removal bone graft fusion internal fixation,UBE-LIF technology combined with percutaneous pedicle screw internal fixation has the advantages of clear intraoperative vision,less blood loss,faster early postoperative recovery,and shorter postoperative hospital stay,and thus is a feasible surgical method for the minimally invasive treatment of LBS.
9.Effects of soybean isoflavones on the reproductive development of young mice
Wenda XU ; Silin DONG ; Han ZHANG ; Yinglin SONG ; Jingyi CHI ; Zhenjun ZHAO ; Hui SHI
China Pharmacy 2024;35(6):678-682
OBJECTIVE To investigate the effects of soybean isoflavones (SI) on the reproductive development of young mice. METHODS C57BL/6 young mice were randomly divided into control group, SI low-dose and high-dose groups (10, 100 mg/kg), with 10 mice in each group (half male and half female). The young mice in each group were given corresponding liquid intragastrically, once a day, for 2 consecutive weeks. After the last administration, the percentage of body weight increase was calculated; serum estradiol and testosterone levels, malondialdehyde (MDA) content, total antioxidant capacity (T-AOC), superoxide dismutase (SOD) and glutathione peroxidase (GSH-Px) activities in the reproductive organs of the young mice were determined. The histopathological changes in the reproductive organs were observed. The cell apoptosis of reproductive organs was detected. RESULTS Compared with the control group, the percentage of body weight increase in female mice was increased significantly in the SI high-dose group, while that of male mice was decreased significantly (P<0.05 or P<0.01). Cystic follicles could be seen in the ovarian tissue in SI groups, a loose arrangement of spermatocytes could be seen in the testicular tissue, and partial epithelial cell shedding could be seen in epididymal tissue. The serum level of testosterone in female young mice and the serum levels of testosterone and estradiol in male young mice in SI groups, GSH-Px activity in the ovarian tissue of female young mice in the SI low-dose group, T-AOC activities in the ovarian tissue of female young mice in SI groups as well as the apoptotic rates of cells in testicular and epididymal tissue of male young mice in SI groups were increased significantly (P<0.05 or P< 0.01); the serum level of estradiol in female young mice in SI groups, SOD activity in the ovarian tissue of female young mice in the SI high-dose group, and MDA contents in the ovarian tissue of female young mice in SI groups as well as the apoptotic rates of cells in ovarian tissue of female mice in SI groups were decreased significantly (P<0.05 or P<0.01). CONCLUSIONS SI can enhance the antioxidant stress capacity of ovarian tissue in female young mice and reduce their oxidative stress damage, but it has certain toxicity to reproductive organs in male mice.
10.Construction of a model based on multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy for predicting pathological complete response after neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced rectal cancer
Ying JIN ; Zhiwei ZHAI ; Liting SUN ; Pingdian XIA ; Hang HU ; Chongqiang JIANG ; Baocheng ZHAO ; Hao QU ; Qun QIAN ; Yong DAI ; Hongwei YAO ; Zhenjun WANG ; Jiagang HAN
Chinese Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery 2024;27(4):403-411
Objective:To investigate the value of transanal multipoint full-layer puncture biopsy (TMFP) in predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant radiotherapy and chemotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) and to establish a predictive model for providing clinical guidance regarding the treatment of LARC.Methods:In this multicenter, prospective, cohort study, we collected data on 110 LARC patients from four hospitals between April 2020 and March 2023: Beijing Chaoyang Hospital of Capital Medical University (50 patients), Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University (41 patients), Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (16 patients), and Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University (three patients). The patients had all received TMFP after completing standard nCRT. The variables studied included (1) clinicopathological characteristics; (2) clinical complete remission (cCR) and efficacy of TMFP in determining pCR after NCRT in LARC patients; and (3) hospital attended, sex, age, clinical T- and N-stages, distance between the lower margin of the tumor and the anal verge, baseline and post-radiotherapy serum carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen (CA)19-9 concentrations, chemotherapy regimen, use of immunosuppressants with or without radiotherapy, radiation therapy dosage, interval between surgery and radiotherapy, surgical procedure, clinical T/N stage after radiotherapy, cCR, pathological results of TMFP, puncture method (endoscopic or percutaneous), and number and timing of punctures. Single-factor and multifactorial logistic regression analysis were used to determine the factors affecting pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. A prediction model was constructed based on the results of multivariat analysis and the performance of this model evaluated by analyzing subject work characteristics (ROC), calibration, and clinical decision-making (DCA) curves. pCR was defined as complete absence of tumor cells on microscopic examination of the surgical specimens of rectal cancer (including lymph node dissection) after NCRT, that is, ypT0+N0. cCR was defined according to the Chinese Neoadjuvant Rectal Cancer Waiting Watch Database Study Collaborative Group criteria after treatment, which specify an absence of ulceration and nodules on endoscopy; negative rectal palpation; no tumor signals on rectal MRI T2 and DWI sequences; normal serum CEA concentrations, and no evidence of recurrence on pelvic computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging.Results:Of the 110 patients, 45 (40.9%) achieved pCR after nCRT, which was combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors in 34 (30.9%). cCR was diagnosed before puncture in 38 (34.5%) patients, 43 (39.1%) of the punctures being endoscopic. There were no complications of puncture such as enterocutaneous fistulae, vaginal injury, prostatic injury, or presacral bleeding . Only one (2.3%) patient had a small amount of blood in the stools, which was relieved by anal pressure. cCR had a sensitivity of 57.8% (26/45) for determining pCR, specificity of 81.5% (53/65), accuracy of 71.8% (79/110), positive predictive value 68.4% (26/38), and negative predictive value of 73.6% (53/72). In contrast, the sensitivity of TMFP pathology in determining pCR was 100% (45/45), specificity 66.2% (43/65), accuracy 80.0% (88/110), positive predictive value 67.2% (45/67), and negative predictive value 100.0% (43/43). In this study, the sensitivity of TMFP for pCR (100.0% vs. 57.8%, χ 2=24.09, P<0.001) was significantly higher than that for cCR. However, the accuracy of pCR did not differ significantly (80.0% vs. 71.8%, χ 2=2.01, P=0.156). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that a ≥4 cm distance between the lower edge of the tumor and the anal verge (OR=7.84, 95%CI: 1.48-41.45, P=0.015), non-cCR (OR=4.81, 95%CI: 1.39-16.69, P=0.013), and pathological diagnosis by TMFP (OR=114.29, the 95%CI: 11.07-1180.28, P<0.001) were risk factors for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. Additionally, endoscopic puncture (OR=0.02, 95%CI: 0.05-0.77, P=0.020) was a protective factor for pCR after NCRT in LARC patients. The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.934 (95%CI: 0.892-0.977), suggesting that the model has good discrimination. The calibration curve was relatively close to the ideal 45° reference line, indicating that the predicted values of the model were in good agreement with the actual values. A decision-making curve showed that the model had a good net clinical benefit. Conclusion:Our predictive model, which incorporates TMFP, has considerable accuracy in predicting pCR after nCRT in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. This may provide a basis for more precisely selecting individualized therapy.

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