1.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
2.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
3.Age estimation based on machine learning and thin-layer CT of sternal end of clavicle
Yuxiao SUN ; Xinyi WANG ; Keranmu REFATIJIANG ; Zhen XU ; Haiyuan NI ; Mengjun ZHAN ; Zhenhua DENG
Chinese Journal of Forensic Medicine 2023;38(6):623-627,632
Objective The Kellinghaus grading method was used to manually read and grade the thin-layer CT of sternal end of clavicle,and a variety of traditional statistical methods as well as machine learning methods were used to construct age estimation models for adolescents and adults in early adulthood,to explore the value of the application of machine learning technology in the study of age estimation of the Han Chinese population in Sichuan.Methods Thin-section CT images of the chest were retrospectively collected from 491 individuals aged 10~30 years,and the collected samples were assigned a reading grade with reference to the Kellinghaus grading method.10%of the xases were randomly selected as the test set,and the remaining data were used as the training set to construct a variety of traditional statistical regression models and machine learning models for estimating the age of adolescents and adults in early adulthood,and the performance of the models was evaluated by using the mean absolute error(MAE).Results The statistical regression model with the best efficacy was the cubic regression model,with an MAE value of 1.34 for males and 1.57 for females;of the three machine learning models,the Random Forest model had the best predictive efficacy for males,with an MAE value of 1.39,and the Support Vector model had the best predictive efficacy for females,with an MAE value of 1.51.Conclusion In the construction of age estimation models for sternal end of clavicle,the machine learning model has a certain improvement in the accuracy of age prediction,but there is no obvious advantage compared with the traditional statistical regression model,and the use of the machine learning method in age estimation based on sternal end of clavicle still needs further exploration.
4.Clinical application of Grunenwald incision in cervicothoracic junction surgery
Yanzhao XU ; Zhen ZHANG ; Yuefeng ZHANG ; Huilai LYU ; Zhenhua LI ; Yonggang ZHU ; Peng SU ; Bokang SUN ; Ziqiang TIAN
Chinese Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2023;39(7):409-413
Objective:To investigate the clinical application of Grunenwald incision in cervicothoracic junction surgery.Methods:The clinical data of 25 patients with cervicothoracic junction tumor and 1 patient with cervicothoracic junction trauma in the single treatment group of Department of Thoracic Surgery, the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from December 2011 to September 2021 were analyzed retrospectively, including 19 males and 7 females, aged 9-73 years old. Among the 26 patients, there were 9 cases of upper mediastinal tumor, 6 cases of superior sulcus tumor, 4 cases of thyroid tumor invading the upper mediastinal, 4 cases of chest wall tumor, 2 cases of esophageal cancer combined with supraclavicular lymph node metastasis, and 1 case of foreign body penetrating injury at the cervicothoracic junction. Grunenwald incision or additional posterolateral thoracic incision, median sternal incision, neck collar incision were used in all patients. The degree of tumor resection was evaluated. The operation time, intraoperative blood loss, length of hospital stay were observed, and the postoperative follow-up was analyzed.Results:There was no perioperative death in the whole group. 14 cases were treated with Grunenwald incision alone, 6 cases with additional posterolateral chest incision, 4 cases with additional neck collar incision, and 2 cases with additional median sternal incision. The tumors were completely resection in 22 cases, palliative tumor resection in 3 cases, and complete foreign body removal in 1 case. Postoperative pathology included 4 cases of schwannoma; 3 cases of lung adenocarcinoma, thyroid cancer and myofibroblastoma, respectively; 2 cases of supraclavicular lymph node metastasis of esophageal cancer and lung squamous carcinoma, respectively; 1 case of large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma, metastatic carcinoma of the first rib after lung squamous cell carcinoma, ganglioneuroma, nodular goiter, hemangioma, well differentiated liposarcoma, vascular endothelial tumor and cavernous angioma, respectively. The operation time was 120-430 min, with a mean of(226.92±88.40)min. The intraoperative blood loss was 100-1 000 ml, with a mean of(273.46±196.34)ml. The length of hospital stay was 6-26 days, with a mean of(12.73±4.46 )days. 26 patients were followed up for 6-130 months, with a mean of(57.88±43.64) months. During the follow-up period, 6 patients died.Conclusion:Grunenwald incision can provide good exposure of the structures near the cervicothoracic junction, preserve the integrity of sternoclavicular joint, reduce shoulder deformity, and has advantages for patients with cervicothoracic junction tumors, high rib resection, and cervicothoracic junction trauma.
5.Preliminary results of surgical treatment of fibrous dysplasia of proximal femur in children
Zhen BIAN ; Yuan GUO ; Zhenhua ZHU ; Xuemin LYU ; Gang FU ; Zheng YANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(9):730-736
Objective:To investigate the surgical treatment, clinical effect and revision reasons of children with proximal femoral fibrous dysplasia(FD).Methods:The clinical data of 26 children with polyostotic FD of proximal femur who underwent surgery at Department of Pediatric Orthopaedics, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital from June 2016 to June 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 18 males and 8 females with a mean age of 9.2 years (range:5 to 16 years).One of them was McCune Albright syndrome. Fifteen cases were in first operation and 11 cases were in revision operation. The operation methods and results were reviewed,and the causes of revision were analyzed.Results:Among the 15 children who underwent the first operation,13 cases underwent osteotomy or fracture reduction and interlocking intramedullary nail(IMN) fixation;One case underwent valgus osteotomy and pediatric hip plate(PHP)internal fixation;One case underwent valgus osteotomy+lesion curettage+allogeneic bone graft+PHP fixation. Among the 11 children who underwent revision surgery,9 cases were treated with IMN fixation,1 case with PHP fixation,and 1 case with PHP fixation+allogeneic bone graft. The causes of revision included distal fixation failed in 6 cases,proximal fixation failed in 3 cases,plate fixation failed in 5 cases,and recurrence occurred after curettage and artificial bone graft in 2 cases. Patients were followed up for 1.4 years(range:1.0 to 3.5 years) after recent operation. The osteotomy or fracture healed well with good deformity correction. Postoperative complications included infection in 1 case and local bone partial resorption in 1 case.Conclusions:Osteotomy combined with rigid internal fixation is an effective surgical treatment for fibrous dysplasia of proximal femur in children. Internal fixation should cover the whole length of lesion. Intramedullary nail is the most common choice. Because the growth of height and the progress of the disease itself,this deformity is prone to recur in children,needing closely follow-up after operation.
6.Preliminary results of surgical treatment of fibrous dysplasia of proximal femur in children
Zhen BIAN ; Yuan GUO ; Zhenhua ZHU ; Xuemin LYU ; Gang FU ; Zheng YANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(9):730-736
Objective:To investigate the surgical treatment, clinical effect and revision reasons of children with proximal femoral fibrous dysplasia(FD).Methods:The clinical data of 26 children with polyostotic FD of proximal femur who underwent surgery at Department of Pediatric Orthopaedics, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital from June 2016 to June 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. There were 18 males and 8 females with a mean age of 9.2 years (range:5 to 16 years).One of them was McCune Albright syndrome. Fifteen cases were in first operation and 11 cases were in revision operation. The operation methods and results were reviewed,and the causes of revision were analyzed.Results:Among the 15 children who underwent the first operation,13 cases underwent osteotomy or fracture reduction and interlocking intramedullary nail(IMN) fixation;One case underwent valgus osteotomy and pediatric hip plate(PHP)internal fixation;One case underwent valgus osteotomy+lesion curettage+allogeneic bone graft+PHP fixation. Among the 11 children who underwent revision surgery,9 cases were treated with IMN fixation,1 case with PHP fixation,and 1 case with PHP fixation+allogeneic bone graft. The causes of revision included distal fixation failed in 6 cases,proximal fixation failed in 3 cases,plate fixation failed in 5 cases,and recurrence occurred after curettage and artificial bone graft in 2 cases. Patients were followed up for 1.4 years(range:1.0 to 3.5 years) after recent operation. The osteotomy or fracture healed well with good deformity correction. Postoperative complications included infection in 1 case and local bone partial resorption in 1 case.Conclusions:Osteotomy combined with rigid internal fixation is an effective surgical treatment for fibrous dysplasia of proximal femur in children. Internal fixation should cover the whole length of lesion. Intramedullary nail is the most common choice. Because the growth of height and the progress of the disease itself,this deformity is prone to recur in children,needing closely follow-up after operation.
7.Clostridium difficile carriage in infants and the characteristics of isolates
Tianxiang ZHOU ; Zhenhua SHU ; Kelin XIAO ; Zhongxing WANG ; Guangxing MAI ; Yong XIA ; Zhen HUANG ; Huisheng FAN ; Conghui GU
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2017;38(13):1735-1737
Objective To investigate the carrying status and characteristics of Clostridium difficile isolated from infants.Methods Two hundred and thirty-eight stool specimens were collected from infant younger than 1 year old,that were hospitalized or outpatient from August to November 2015.Immunochromatography targeted GDH and toxin A&B of C.difficile was used for C.difficile screening,and those positive specimens were inoculated in CDIF and anaerobic culture.C.difficile isolates were genotyped by using slpA sequence typing (slpA ST),and tcdA,tcdB,cdtA and cdtB of C.difficile isolates were detected by PCR.Results Fifty C.difficile strains were isolated from 238 stool samples,and the isolated rates of C.difficile from <3 months,3 months to <6 months,and 6 months to 1 years old groups were 9.3%,17.6% and 27.3%(χ2=6.940,P=0.031<0.05),respectively.52.0%(26/50) of the C.difficile isolates were toxigenic,and 69.2% (18/26) toxigenic isolates harbored tcdA+tcdB+cdtA-cdtB-.Fifty C.difficile isolates were genotyped as 11 slpA STs,slpA ST fr-02 and kr-02 were the commonest genotypes in toxigenic C.difficile isolates;however,that was slpA ST xr-03 in non-toxigenic isolates.Conclusion High C.difficile carriage is found in infants younger than 1 year old,and more than half of C.difficile isolates are toxigenic.Most of toxigenic isolates harbored toxin A and B.The genotype of C.difficile isolates is different between toxigenic isolates and non-toxigenic isolates.
8.The action mechanisms of Morus alba leaves extract for the treatment of diabetes based on plasma metabolomics.
Tao JI ; Lili ZHANG ; Xiaochen HUANG ; Shulan SU ; Zhen OUYANG ; Zhenhua ZHU ; Sheng GUO ; Erxin SHANG ; Dawei QIAN ; Jinao DUAN
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica 2015;50(7):830-5
In order to evaluate the effect and mechanism of the mulberry leaf alkaloid, flavones, and polysaccharide intervention on diabetes, the overall metabolite profiling characteristics for the plasma of diabetic mouse was performed by using an ultra-performance liquid chromatography/electrospray-tandem mass spectrometry (UPLC-ESI-MS). The 8 potential biomarkers were found in diabetic mice plasma based on the data of MS/MS characteristics obtained from the UPLC-OrbitrapMS analysis, which mainly involved in sphingolipids, amino acid metabolic pathway. The principal component analysis showed that the normal group and model group were obviously distinguished and implied that metabolic disturbance was happened in diabetic mice plasma. The extracts of mulberry leaf flavonoids, polysaccharide, alkaloid had exhibited the effects of callback function for diabetic mice through regulating the amino acid metabolism and sphingolipid metabolism.
9.Open reduction combined with Salter or Pemberton osteotomy and proximal femoral osteotomy for the management of developmental dislocation of the hip in children between the ages of 2 and 3 years
Zhen BIAN ; Zhenhua ZHU ; Yuan GUO ; Jianli ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedics 2015;(9):935-941
Objective The objective was to discussing the difference between the Pemberton osteotomy and Salter osteot?omy which performed in patients between the ages of 2 and 3 years who suffered from developmental dislocation of the hip (DDH). Methods A retrospective review of the results of operation treatment for DDH in 59 children (84 hips) from January 1998 to De?cember 2008 was conducted. There are 10 boys (14 hips) and 49 girls (70 hips). The age of the patients was between 2-3 years old at the time of treatment 2.5±0.4 years. Surgery consist of open reduction of the hip, capsulorraphy, shortening and derotational oste?otomy of proximal femur, and innominate osteotomy which include Pemberton osteotomy (33 hips), Salter osteotomy (51 hips). McKay and Severin modified criteria were used to assess the function and radiographic results of the hip. Results The average follow?up time was 5.6±3.5 years ranging from 2 to 16 years. According to Severin criteria at final follow?up, 78 hips (93%) had ex?cellent and good results;4 hips were fair and 2 hips poor result. The radiology results in Salter osteotomy were better than Pember?ton osteotomy (rate of excellent and good results 100%vs. 82%,χ2=7.43, P=0.003). According to the McKay criteria Salter osteoto?my and Pemberton osteotomy have no significant difference in latest follow?up (the satisfactory rate 100%vs. 97%,χ2=1.56, P=0.39). 18 hips (21%) had proximal femoral growth disturbance which 10 hips in Pemberton group, 8 hips in Salter group. There is no significant difference (χ2=2.54, P=0.17). Conclusion Open reduction, innominate osteotomy and proximal femoral osteotomy were effective procedures for the treatment of DDH in children between 2-3 years old. More attention should be taken in Pember?ton osteotomy to prevent the acetabular bony edge absorption.
10.Immunomodulatory effects of seaweed polysaccharide in aged mice
Zhen HUANG ; Xiuwen CHI ; Zhenhua SHU ; Junsheng SUN
International Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2015;(13):1801-1803,1806
Objective To explore the immunomodulatory effects of seaweed polysaccharide(PSS)in aged mice induced by D-ga-lactose (D-gal).Methods D-gal was injected intraperitoneally to establish the aged mice model,meanwhile the aged mice was intra-gastricly administrated by PSS.Peritoneal macrophages were collected,and macrophage secretion of nitric oxide (NO),nitric oxide synthase (NOS)levels and expression levels of inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS)mRNA were detected.The spleen indexs of the agd mice were calculated,and effects of PSS on spleen microscopic structure of mouse were observed.The changes of spleen cell cycle in aged model mice were detected by flow cytometry assay.Results PSS could enhance macrophage synthesis of NO and NOS of the aged mice and up-regulate the expression of iNOS mRNA levels.And the spleen index of the aged mice increased obviously, the hyperplasia of spleen capsule was obvious.Moreover,PSS could increase the percentage of S phase and G2/M phase cells of the aged mice spleen.Conclusion PSS could enhance the immune function of aged mice induced by D-gal,which is worthy of further study,which development.

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