1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.The Detection of Trypsin and Pepsin in middle Ear Effusion for Children with Acute Suppurative Otitis Media
Jinqiang SUN ; Zeqi ZHAO ; Zhengzhong HAN ; Dan JIN ; Yudi SHAO ; Hao WANG ; Tingting TANG ; Wei LI
Journal of Audiology and Speech Pathology 2024;32(3):241-244
Objective To investigate the presence of pepsin and trypsin in the middle ear effusion of children with acute suppurative otitis media(ASOM).Methods Middle ear effusion samples were collected from 71 children with ASOM at Children's Hospital of Xuzhou.According to the characteristics of the middle ear effusions,the effu-sion was divided into serous and mucous types.The pH testing,Western Blotting(WB),and enzyme-linked immu-nosorbent assay(ELISA)were performed.Results ① There were 49.29%(35/71)of ASOM patients had a posi-tive RSI score(>13).② The positive rate of pepsin in ASOM children was 49.29%(35/71),and the positive rate of trypsin was 42.25%(30/71).In addition,the positive rate of pepsin in RSI-positive children was 100%(35/35),and the positive rate of trypsin was 60%(21/35).There was no significant difference in the positive rate of pepsin and trypsin between serous and mucous middle ear effusion(P>0.05).③ The pepsin concentration was 47.80(39.80,69.30)ng/ml and the trypsin concentration was 291.87±20.45 ng/ml in middle ear effusion of chil-dren with ASOM who had a positive WB test,and the trypsin concentration was significantly higher than pepsin(P<0.05).There was no significant difference between the pepsin and the trypsin concentrations in serous and mu-cous middle ear effusion(P>0.05).④ The pH value of mucous middle ear effusion was 7.39±0.28,and the pH value of serous middle ear effusion was 7.36±0.26.There was no significant difference between the pH value in se-rous and mucous middle ear effusion(P>0.05).Conclusion The detection rates of pepsin and trypsin in middle ear effusion of children with ASOM were high which has important diagnostic value for children with ASOM combined with LPRD.
3.Activation of Pink1/Parkin pathway alleviates the acute lung injury in exertional heat stroke rats
Zhengzhong SUN ; Liya JIANG ; Ran MENG ; Yunya MA ; Yan GU ; Yuxiang ZHANG ; Jiaxing WANG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(7):983-990
Objective:To investigate the role of Pink1/Parkin-induced mitophagy in acute lung injury of exertional heat stroke rats.Methods:Sixty SD rats were randomly divided into four groups, including normal group (CON group), normal Parkin overexpression group (CON+Parkin group), heat stroke group (EHS group) and heat stroke Parkin overexpression group (EHS+Parkin group), with fifteen rats in each group. The rat model of exertional heat stroke was established and the survival curve was drawn. Pulmonary coefficient and pulmonary capillary permeability were detected. HE staining was used to observe the pathological changes of lung tissue. ELISA was used to detect the contents of IL-6, IL-1β, TNF-α and ROS in lung tissue; immunohistochemistry was used to observe apoptosis in lung tissue; Western blot was used to determine the expression of Pink1, Parkin, P62 and LC3 in rat lung tissue, and the LC3II/LC3I ratio was calculated. Single factor multi-level group comparison was performed by single factor analysis of variance, SNK-q method was used to further pairwise comparison between groups.Results:Compared with the normal group, the survival rate of EHS group was decreased ( P<0.001), lung coefficient and pulmonary vascular permeability were increased [(4.39±0.42), (33.38±8.29) μg/g, P<0.05)], lung tissue was exudative and solid, the levels of inflammatory factors IL-6, IL-1β, TNF-α and ROS were significantly increased[(34.31±5.34) pg/mL, (34.03±4.78) pg/mL, (91.64±8.16) pg/mL, (259.01±89.17) U/mg, P<0.05)], and apoptosis was increased. Western and immunohistochemistry results showed that the expressions of Pink1 and Parkin were decreased, co-location of Pink1and Parkin was attenuated, LC3II/LC3I were decreased, and P62 expression was increased. Compared with the EHS group, the survival rate of EHS+Parkin group was significantly increased ( P<0.05), lung coefficient and pulmonary vascular permeability were decreased [(3.83±0.62), (22.49±7.90) μg/g, P<0.05)], exudation and consolidation and other pathological changes were significantly reduced, and the levels of the above inflammatory factors and ROS were significantly decreased [(14.09±3.24) pg/mL, (26.94±2.11) pg/mL、(63.35±11.62) pg/mL, (161.13±26.31) U/mg, P<0.05]. Lung tissue apoptosis was reduced. The co-location of Pink1and Parkin、Parkin expression and LC3II/LC3I ratio were increased ( P<0.05), P62 expression was decreased( P<0.05), while Pink1 expression was not significant different (q=0.75). There was no difference between normal group and normal Parkin overexpression group (q=0.95). Conclusion:Activation of Pink1/Parkin-induced mitophagy can alleviate the acute lung injury in exertional heat stroke rats.
4.Effect of Guizhi Fuling Capsule on NF-κB/MAPK Signaling Pathway in Rats with Endometritis
Lan SUN ; Jiachun LI ; Liwei HUANG ; Yuhui YAN ; Zhengzhong WANG ; Li WANG
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2023;25(6):2081-2088
Objective To investigate the effect of Guizhi Fuling Capsule on NF-κB and MAPK signaling pathway in lipopolysaccharide(LPS)-induced rat endometritis model.Methods The rats were randomly divided into 6 groups according to body weight,namely sham-operation group,model group,positive group(dexamethasone,2.5 mg·kg-1),Guizhi Fuling Capsule high-dose,medium-dose and low-dose groups(0.54,0.27,0.14 g·kg-1),with 10 rats in each group.The sham operation group and the model group were given 0.5%CMC-Na by gavage,and the other groups were given corresponding drugs by gavage once a day for 7 consecutive days.One hour after the last administration,the animals were anesthetized by intraperitoneal injection of 10%chloral hydrate.The rats in the sham operation group only underwent laparotomy and abdominal closure.The left uterus of the rats in the other groups was scratched and injected with a syringe(1.0 μg·μL-1)LPS normal saline solution 0.25 mL.24 hours after LPS injection,the uterine tissues of rats were collected and the pathological changes and MPO,TNF-α,IL-1β,IL-6 were measured in uterine tissues.The expression levels of NF-κB p65,IκBα,ERK,p38 and their phosphorylated proteins were measured in uterine tissues.Results Compared with sham operation group,histopathological score,MPO,TNF-α,IL-1β and IL-6 levels in model group were significantly increased(P<0.01),and NF-κBp65,IκBα,ERK,p38 protein phosphorylation levels were significantly increased(P<0.01).Compared with model group,Guizhi Fuling capsule significantly decreased pathological score of uterus,TNF-α,IL-1β,and IL-6 levels(P<0.01),and significantly decreased NF-κBp65,IκBα,ERK,p38 protein phosphorylation levels(P<0.01).Conclusion Guizhi Fuling capsule plays an anti-inflammatory role in endometritis by inhibiting the transmission of NF-κB and MAPK signaling pathways and inhibiting the secretion of inflammatory factors IL-1β,TNF-α and IL-6 in uterine tissue.
5.Hypoxia-inducible factor 1α affects the migration and invasion of hypoxia-inducible pancreatic cancer cells through regulating miRNA-296-5p
Jian YIN ; Guanghui ZHU ; Zhengzhong FENG ; Jialiang SUN
Cancer Research and Clinic 2022;34(1):19-25
Objective:To investigate the effect of miRNA-296-5p (miR-296-5p) on the migration and invasion of hypoxia-induced pancreatic cancer cells and its related mechanisms.Methods:Human pancreatic cancer cell line PANC-1 was selected. Pancreatic cancer tissues from 55 pancreatic cancer patients who underwent the resection and adjacent carcinoma normal pancreatic tissues from 10 patients at Shanghai Fengxian District Central Hospital and Bengbu Medical College First Affiliated Hospital between January 2010 and December 2014 were collected. The expression levels of hypoxia-inducible factor 1α (HIF-1α) and miR-296-5p in tissue microarray of pancreatic cancer and adjacent carcinoma normal pancreatic tissues were detected by using immunohistochemistry and in situ hybridization. The relationship between miR-296-5p and HIF-1α as well as their correlation with clinicopathological characteristics of patients were analyzed. PANC-1 cells were divided into hypoxic group and normoxic group. Transwell assay was used to detect the cell migration and invasion ability of both groups. Real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was used to examine the expressions of HIF-1α and miR-296-5p under hypoxic environment of both groups. The expression of HIF-1α was interfered by transfecting small interfering RNA (siRNA). PANC-1 cells were divided into PANC-1 group (the empty control), PANC-1-NC group (the negative control) and PANC-1-siRNA group. The expression of miR-296-5p was measured. After co-transfecting miR-296-5p agonist and miR-296-5p inhibitor, the cells were divided into Agomir-miR-296-5p group (agonist group), Agomir-miR-296-5p-NC group (agonist negative control group), Antagomir-miR-296-5p group (inhibitor group) and Antagomir-miR-296-5p-NC group (inhibitor negative control group). Transwell assay was used to detect the cell migration and invasion ability of all groups. Luciferase reporter gene system was used to verify whether miR-296-5p promoter region had binding site of HIF-1α.Results:The high expression rate of HIF-1α in pancreatic cancer tissues was higher than that of adjacent carcinoma normal pancreatic tissues [81.8% (45/55) vs. 0 (0/10), P<0.01], and the high expression rate of miR-296-5p in pancreatic cancer tissues was lower than that of adjacent carcinoma normal pancreatic tissues [12.7% (7/55) vs. 90.0% (9/10), χ2 = 27.23, P<0.01]. The expression of HIF-1α was negatively correlated with that of miR-296-5p ( r = -0.53, P<0.01). The low expression of miR-296-5p was closely related with the tumor diameter, TNM staging, lymph node metastasis (all P<0.05). The number of PANC-1 invasion cell was 15.3±2.1 in normoxic group and 24.7±1.5 in hypoxic group, and the difference was statistically significant ( t = 0.26, P = 0.003). The number of PANC-1 migration cell was 20.7±3.8 in hypoxic group and 32.7±1.2 in normoxic group, and the difference was statistically significant ( t = 5.25, P = 0.006). The relative expression level of HIF-1α mRNA in PANC-1 cell of hypoxic group was higher than that of normoxic group [(1.00±0.01) vs. (0.30±0.02)], and the difference was statistically significant ( t = 56.45, P<0.01); the relative expression level of miR-296-5p in PANC-1 cell of hypoxic group was lower than that of normoxic group [(1.14±0.04) vs. (3.05±0.20)], and the difference was statistically significant ( t = 16.05, P<0.01). The number of invasion cells in PANC-1 group, PANC-1-NC group and PANC-1-siRNA group was 24.7±1.5, 25.7±1.5, 12.0±1.7, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant ( F = 68.13, P<0.01).The cell invasion ability in PANC-1-siRNA group was decreased compared with that in PANC-1 group ( t = 9.50, P = 0.001). The number of cell migration was 32.7±1.2, 37±1.0, 17.3±1.2, respectively in PANC-1 group, PANC-1-NC group and PANC-1-siRNA group, and the difference was statistically significant ( F = 262.09, P<0.01). The cell migration ability in PANC-1-siRNA group was decreased compared with that in PANC-1 group ( t = 16.26, P<0.01). The cell invasion and migration ability in Antagomir-miR-296-5p group was increased compared with that in PANC-1 group (all P<0.05); the cell invasion and migration ability in Agomir-miR-296-5p group was decreased compared with that in PANC-1 group (all P<0.05). The results of luciferase activity detected by luciferase reporter gene system showed that miR-296-5p had the target binding to HIF-1α. Conclusions:HIF-1α plays a key role in the invasion and migration of hypoxia-induced pancreatic cancer cells through negatively reducing miR-296-5p.
6.Supervision of private clinics:Status quo, problems and suggestions
Chaoqun WANG ; Yang SUN ; Zhengzhong MAO ; Xuefei GU
Chinese Journal of Health Policy 2016;9(7):23-27
Objective:To understand the current situation and problems of the supervision of individual clinics in China , and put forward some reform suggestions .Methods:Two cities were selected from typical provinces in east-ern, central and western regions by typical sampling .The investigation was conducted by semi-structured interviews and typical clinic participant observation method .Results:There were serious problems in the regulation of the pri-vate clinics and it was necessary to build efficient regulation mechanism .Conclusions:We should strengthen the su-pervision of private clinics .In the future , we should improve the access threshold for the private clinic; strengthen inter-sector cooperation and joint law enforcement; promote information exchange and information network construc-tion;use economic incentives and punitive measures at the same time and make the association itself and social su -pervision work .
7.Expression and antiviral assay of bovine interferon-gamma.
Zhengzhong 'U ; Xiang CHEN ; Fengli SHAN ; Chuang MENG ; Lin SUN ; Jinlin HUANG ; Zhiming PAN ; Shizhong GENG ; Xinan JIAO
Chinese Journal of Biotechnology 2011;27(2):269-276
Bovine interferon-gamma (BoIFN-gamma) gene was amplified by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) from total RNA of bovine spleen lymphocytes stimulated with ConA. The products of RT-PCR were cloned into pVAX1 vector, positive recombinant clone was identified by restriction enzyme digestion and sequencing. The recombinant plasmid pVAX1-BolFN-gamma was transfected into COS-7 cells mediated by lipofectine, indirect immunofluorescent assay analysis confirmed that rBoIFN-gamma was expressed in COS-7 cells. BoIFN-gamma gene (without signal peptide) was cloned into pET-30a(+) and pGEX-6p-1 vector, and transformed into the Escherichia coli cells. After optimizing the induction condition, SDS-PAGE analysis showed that the expression products were all found in soluble form and had a molecular weight of 23 kDa and 43 kDa respectively. BoLFN-gamma precursor gene (with signal peptide) was cloned into transfer vector pFastBac 1, and transformated into DH10Bac E. coli cells. By site-specific transposition, BoIFN-gamma gene was integrated into shuttle vector Bacmid, and transfected into the Sf9 insect cells mediated by lipofectine to produce recombinant baculovirus. Indirect immunofluorescent assay analysis confirmed that rBac-BoLFN-gamma was expressed successfully in Baculovirus vector system. The antiviral activities of rHis-BoIFN-gamma, rGST-BoIFN-gamma and rBac-BoIFN-gamma were up to 8.389 x10(7) U/mg, 6.554 x10(5) U/mg and 4.096 x 10(4) U/mL respectively, which were analyzed in MDBK/VSV system. A sandwich ELISA was established using monoclonal antibodies 3E6 and 5G4, which can detect BoIFN-gamma in quantity and provide a useful method for the clinical practice and research of BolFN-gamma.
Animals
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Antiviral Agents
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pharmacology
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Baculoviridae
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genetics
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metabolism
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COS Cells
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Cattle
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Cercopithecus aethiops
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Escherichia coli
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genetics
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metabolism
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Genetic Vectors
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genetics
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Interferon-gamma
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biosynthesis
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genetics
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pharmacology
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Recombinant Proteins
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biosynthesis
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genetics
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pharmacology
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Transfection
8.Clinical study on intervention of spleen-restoring decoction integrating with dormancy hygiene education on subhealthy insomnia of deficiency of both heart and spleen pattern.
Ren YE ; Zhengzhong YUAN ; Chunxiu DAI ; Wei LI ; Xiuhua SONG ; Zhiqing CHENG ; Wanhua HU ; Yan LIN ; Xiaoyun WANG ; Shuchen SUN ; Jincai HE
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2011;36(16):2285-2289
OBJECTIVETo appraise the clinical efficacy, safety and compliance of the intervention of spleen-restoring decoction combined with dormancy hygiene education and the intervention of spleen-restoring decoction alone on sub-healthy insomnia of deficiency of both the heart and spleen pattern.
METHODStudy design took multi-centers, blind and randomized control trial, 107 participants with sub-healthy insomnia of deficiency of both the heart and spleen pattern were assigned to A group (52 cases) which was treated with the intervention of spleen-restoring decoction combined with dormancy hygiene education and B group (55 cases) which was treated with the intervention of spleen-restoring decoction single, compared by efficacy, PSQI score, CGI score, WHOQOL-BREF score and security.
RESULTThe efficacy of two group was 79.58%. There was no significant different between them. The PSQI scores before treatment was (11.80 +/- 2.08) and which afer treatment was (6.78 +/- 2.84) of A group. The PSQI scores before treatment was (11.61 +/- 2.00) and which afer treatment was (6.73 +/- 2.27) of B group. There was significant difference in PSQI scores both A group and B group after treatment (P < 0.01); the results of CGI score and WHOQOL-BREF score before and after measurement showed the same as PSQI. There were no significant difference between two groups in all scores after treatment and there was no interaction between time pots and treatment factors . Withdrawal reaction analysis: comparing CGI after withdraw 2 weeks and at the end of treatment course, there was no significant difference between two groups. The same result was in comparison among groups.
CONCLUSIONBoth the intervention of spleen-restoring decoction integrating with dormancy hygiene education and spleen-restoring decoction had obvious clinical efficacy on treating subhealthy insomnia of deficiency of both the heart and spleen pattern, and had high compliance and safety. The intervention of spleen-restoring decoction integrating with dormancy hygiene education showed no better clinical efficacy than spleen-restoring decoction did.
Adult ; Female ; Health Education ; Humans ; Hygiene ; Male ; Medicine, Chinese Traditional ; Middle Aged ; Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders ; drug therapy ; physiopathology ; Splenic Diseases ; drug therapy
9.Study on the Antihepatocarcinoma Activity and the Acute Toxicity of Aclacimomycin-A Solid Lipids Nanoparticle for Injection in Mice in Vivo
Shiming SUN ; Lin HE ; Zhengzhong WU
China Pharmacy 2005;0(18):-
OBJECTIVE:To study the antihepatocarcinoma activity and toxicity of Aclacimomycin-A solid lipids nanoparticle for injection(ACM-SLN)in nude mice in vivo with ACM for injection as the reference preparation.METHODS:The nude mice were divided into control group,ACM group and ACM-SLN group after tumor transplantation,which were injected with the corresponding medicine before the tumor-inhibition rates of which were calculated,which were then injected with ACM and ACM-SLN,respectively before the LD50 of mice were calculated.RESULTS:Compared with the control group,the tumor inhibition rates of ACM-SLN group and ACM group were 78.4%and 38.8%,respectively,the LD50 of which were 16.3 mg/kg and 18.0mg/kg,respectively.CONCLUSION:The ACM-SLN is superior to ACM in terms of the anti-tumor effect while without the increase of toxicity.
10.A retrospective clinicopathological study of lung abscess in the elderly
Tieying SUN ; Manli CHEN ; Zhengzhong MA
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2003;0(08):-
Objective To explore the causes of misdiagnosis of lung abscess and its clinical pathological characters. Methods The clinical data of autopsy-proven lung abscess in Beijing Hospital from 1980 to 1995 were reviewed. Results Twelve patients consisted of 11 males and 1 female. Their age ranged from 60 to 88 years. None of them was clinically diagnosed lung abscess before death. Concomitant dieases were severe and complex, mostly coronary disease, hypertension, COPD, cerebrovascular disease and diabetes mellitus. The clinical presentation and chest X-ray of lung abscess in the elderly were deceptively nonspecific and variable. Over 2 types of pathogens were isolated from sputum culture, mostly klebsiella pneumoniae, pseudomonas aeruginosa, candida. The autopsy showed 3 cases with a isolated lung abscess and 9 cases with lung multi-abscess. Conclusions The reasons for misdiagnosis of lung abscess in the elderly might be the variability of clinical presentation, the other concomitant disease. Frequent pursuit of chest CT scan in suspected cases is guarranted .


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