1.Expert consensus on neoadjuvant PD-1 inhibitors for locally advanced oral squamous cell carcinoma (2026)
LI Jinsong ; LIAO Guiqing ; LI Longjiang ; ZHANG Chenping ; SHANG Chenping ; ZHANG Jie ; ZHONG Laiping ; LIU Bing ; CHEN Gang ; WEI Jianhua ; JI Tong ; LI Chunjie ; LIN Lisong ; REN Guoxin ; LI Yi ; SHANG Wei ; HAN Bing ; JIANG Canhua ; ZHANG Sheng ; SONG Ming ; LIU Xuekui ; WANG Anxun ; LIU Shuguang ; CHEN Zhanhong ; WANG Youyuan ; LIN Zhaoyu ; LI Haigang ; DUAN Xiaohui ; YE Ling ; ZHENG Jun ; WANG Jun ; LV Xiaozhi ; ZHU Lijun ; CAO Haotian
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2026;34(2):105-118
Oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) is a common head and neck malignancy. Approximately 50% to 60% of patients with OSCC are diagnosed at a locally advanced stage (clinical staging III-IVa). Even with comprehensive and sequential treatment primarily based on surgery, the 5-year overall survival rate remains below 50%, and patients often suffer from postoperative functional impairments such as difficulties with speaking and swallowing. Programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) inhibitors are increasingly used in the neoadjuvant treatment of locally advanced OSCC and have shown encouraging efficacy. However, clinical practice still faces key challenges, including the definition of indications, optimization of combination regimens, and standards for efficacy evaluation. Based on the latest research advances worldwide and the clinical experience of the expert group, this expert consensus systematically evaluates the application of PD-1 inhibitors in the neoadjuvant treatment of locally advanced OSCC, covering combination strategies, treatment cycles and surgical timing, efficacy assessment, use of biomarkers, management of special populations and immune related adverse events, principles for immunotherapy rechallenge, and function preservation strategies. After multiple rounds of panel discussion and through anonymous voting using the Delphi method, the following consensus statements have been formulated: 1) Neoadjuvant therapy with PD-1 inhibitors can be used preoperatively in patients with locally advanced OSCC. The preferred regimen is a PD-1 inhibitor combined with platinum based chemotherapy, administered for 2-3 cycles. 2) During the efficacy evaluation of neoadjuvant therapy, radiographic assessment should follow the dual criteria of Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST) version 1.1 and immune RECIST (iRECIST). After surgery, systematic pathological evaluation of both the primary lesion and regional lymph nodes is required. For combination chemotherapy regimens, PD-L1 expression and combined positive score need not be used as mandatory inclusion or exclusion criteria. 3) For special populations such as the elderly (≥ 70 years), individuals with stable HIV viral load, and carriers of chronic HBV/HCV, PD-1 inhibitors may be used cautiously under the guidance of a multidisciplinary team (MDT), with close monitoring for adverse events. 4) For patients with a poor response to neoadjuvant therapy, continuation of the original treatment regimen is not recommended; the subsequent treatment plan should be adjusted promptly after MDT assessment. Organ transplant recipients and patients with active autoimmune diseases are not recommended to receive neoadjuvant PD-1 inhibitor therapy due to the high risk of immune related activation. Rechallenge is generally not advised for patients who have experienced high risk immune related adverse events such as immune mediated myocarditis, neurotoxicity, or pneumonitis. 5) For patients with a good pathological response, individualized de escalation surgery and function preservation strategies can be explored. This consensus aims to promote the standardized, safe, and precise application of neoadjuvant PD-1 inhibitor strategies in the management of locally advanced OSCC patients.
2.Transverse dimensional changes following Twin-Block and slow maxillary expansion therapy in adolescents with Angle Class Ⅱ division 1 malocclusion: a cone-beam computed tomography study
PAN Yinti ; QIN Changtao ; ZHENG Yi ; GUO Anjie ; SUN Xin ; CHEN Zhixing ; MO Shuixue
Journal of Prevention and Treatment for Stomatological Diseases 2026;34(5):471-482
Objective:
To investigate the effects of a Twin-Block appliance combined with slow maxillary expansion (SME) on transverse dental and skeletal parameters in adolescent patients with Angle Class Ⅱ division 1 malocclusion, and to provide a reference for clinical orthodontic practice.
Methods:
This retrospective study was approved by the Institutional Ethics Committee. A total of 21 adolescents with Class Ⅱ division 1 malocclusion who underwent two-phase treatment with a Twin-Block appliance combined with SME at the Department of Orthodontics, College & Hospital of Stomatology, Guangxi Medical University, in 2021 to 2023 were consecutively enrolled. In the first phase, a functional appliance was used to coordinate the skeletal relationship between the maxilla and mandible by leveraging growth potential. In the second phase, a fixed appliance was employed for fine adjustments of the dental arches based on the specific condition. Cone-beam computed tomography (CBCT) scans were obtained before treatment (T0) and after the first phase of functional correction (T1). Transverse measurements at the first molar region, including molar buccolingual inclination, dental arch width, and basal bone width, were performed using Dolphin 3D Imaging software. Changes between T0 and T1 were statistically analyzed.
Results:
After the first phase of treatment, the left and right maxillary first molars showed a significant increase in buccal inclination by 5.47° ± 1.38° and 5.35° ± 1.61°, respectively (P<0.001). The arch width in the maxillary first molar region also increased by (2.68 ± 1.14) mm, and the basal bone width increased by (1.14 ± 1.24) mm (all P<0.001). The proportion of skeletal expansion accounted for an average of 42.86%, while dental expansion accounted for 57.14%. No statistically significant changes were observed in any mandibular transverse measurements (all P>0.05).
Conclusion
In adolescent patients with Angle Class Ⅱ division 1 malocclusion accompanied by maxillary transverse deficiency, Twin-Block appliance combined with SME can effectively expand maxillary dental arch and basal bone width while improving sagittal relationship, thereby correcting transverse discrepancy. The maxillary width changes were predominantly dental.
3.Clinical characteristics of locally advanced rectal cancer patients with pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy: a national multicenter study
Jiale GAO ; Yuanyuan2 YANG ; Zhengyang YANG ; Jiagang3 HAN ; Ang? LI ; Gang? LIU ; Yi? SUN ; Liting SUN ; Pengyu WEI ; Jianyong ZHENG ; Hongwei YAO ; Zhongtao ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2025;24(6):739-745
Objective:To analyze the clinical characteristics of locally advanced rectal cancer patients with pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopatholo-gical data of 46 patients with locally advanced rectal cancer who were admitted to 6 medical centers, including Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University et al, from June 2021 to November 2022 were collected. There were 29 males and 17 females, aged (61±4)years. Patients received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy combined with immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy, and under-went radical total mesorectal excision during 6-12 weeks after radiotherapy. Observation indicators: (1) comparison of clinical characteristics between pCR and non-pCR patients;(2) postoperative complications and adverse reactions of pCR and non-pCR patients. Comparison of measurement data with normal distribution between groups was conducted using the t test. Comparison of measurement data with skewed distribution between groups was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Comparison of count data between groups was conducted using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. Comparison of ordinal data between groups was conducted using the Mann-Whitney U test. Results:(1) Comparison of clinical characteristics between pCR and non-pCR patients. Before neoadjuvant therapy, there were 14 cases aged ≥50 years and 6 cases aged <50 years in pCR patients, versus 25 cases and 1 case in non-pCR patients, showing a significant difference between the two groups ( P<0.05). After neoadjuvant therapy, cases in clinical stage T0, T1, T2, T3, T4 were 11, 1, 5, 3, 0 for pCR patients versus 7, 4, 2, 11, 2 for non-pCR patients, cases of tumor regression grade 1, 2, 3, 4 were 11, 8, 1, 0 for pCR patients versus 7, 14, 4, 1 for non-pCR patients, cases in low-risk, medium-risk, high-risk of neoadjuvant rectal scoring and grading were 20, 0, 0 for pCR patients versus 4, 18, 4 for non-pCR patients, respectively, showing significant differences in above indicators between the two groups ( Z=-2.256, -2.104, -5.458, P<0.05). (2) Postoperative complications and adverse reactions of pCR and non-pCR patients. Postoperative complications occurred in 2 cases of pCR patients and 5 cases of non-pCR patients, postoperative adverse reactions occurred in 11 cases of pCR patients and 10 cases of non-pCR patients, showing no significant difference between the two groups ( P>0.05). Conclusion:Compared with locally advanced rectal cancer patients aged ≥50 years, those aged <50 years have significant benefits from neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy combined with immunotherapy. Clinical T staging and magnetic resonance imaging-detected tumor regression grade after neoadjuvant therapy have predictive value for patients with pCR .
4.Identifications of the Novel Mutants on CDH23 Gene in a Family with Non-syndromic Hereditary Deafness
Yi SUN ; Yutong GE ; Yalin LIU ; Qingya HAN ; Hong ZHENG
Journal of Audiology and Speech Pathology 2025;33(1):45-49
Objective To study the etiology of a Chinese family with two cases of recessive non-syndromic hearing loss.Methods The clinical data of the family were collected.DNA was extracted from venous blood sam-ples,and whole-exome sequencing were performed to analyze potential causative deafness genes.Sanger sequencing was performed to verify the gene variants.Results There were 5 people among two generations in this family.The proband(Ⅱ-2,9 years old)and her brother(Ⅱ-3)had sensori-neural hearing loss,while their parents had normal hearing.The whole-exome high-throughput sequencing found that the patient carried two mutations in the CDH23 gene:c.4762C>T(p.ARG1588TRP)and c.6604G>A(p.ASP2202ASN).According to the American College of medical genetics and genomics(ACMG)genetic variation classification standards and guidelines,both c.6604G>A and c.4762C>T variants were identified as pathogenic.Conclusion The new compound heterozygous mutations c.4762C>T and c.6604G>A in the CDH23 gene are highly likely to be the causative factors for deafness in this family.
5.Consensus on the use of DSA-guided intrathecal drug delivery system combined with Zi Wu Liu Zhu Acupoint Therapy for cancer pain management
Yi LU ; Cunzhi LIU ; Wujun GENG ; Xiaozhen ZHENG ; Jingdun XIE ; Guangfang ZHANG ; Chao LIU ; Yun LI ; Yan QU ; Lei CHEN ; Xizhao HUANG ; Hang TIAN ; Yuhui LI ; Hongxin LI ; Heying ZHONG ; Ronggui TAO ; Jie ZHONG ; Yue ZHUANG ; Junyang MA ; Yan HU ; Jian FANG ; Gaofeng ZHAO ; Jianbin XIAO ; Weifeng TU ; Jiaze SUN ; Yuting DUAN ; Bao WANG
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(8):1800-1808
Objective To explore the efficacy of DSA-guided intrathecal drug delivery system combined with Zi Wu Liu Zhu Acupoint Therapy for management of cancer pain and provide reference for its standardized clinical application.Methods and Results Recommendations were formulated based on literature review and expert group discussion,and consensus was reached following expert consultation.The consensus recommendations are comprehensive,covering the entire treatment procedures from preoperative assessment and preparation,surgical operation process,postoperative management and traditional Chinese medicine treatment to individualized treatment planning.The study results showed that the treatment plans combining traditional Chinese with Western medicine effectively alleviated cancer pain,reduced the use of opioid drugs,and significantly improved the quality of life and enhanced immune function of the patients.Postoperative follow-up suggested good treatment tolerance among the patients without serious complications.Conclusion The formulated consensus is comprehensive and can provide reference for clinicians to use DSA-guided intrathecal drug delivery system combined with Zi Wu Liu Zhu Acupoint Therapy.The combined treatment has a high clinical value with a good safety profile for management of cancer pain.
6.Network analysis of perceived social support,depressive and anxiety symptoms in rural-to-urban migrated and rural residents
Sifang NIU ; Xingmeng NIU ; Shuzhang HU ; Yu SUN ; Yi ZHENG ; Yueqin HUANG ; Fuqin MU ; Yan LIU
Chinese Mental Health Journal 2025;39(3):251-258
Objective:To explore relationships and differences of perceived social support and depression-anx-iety symptoms between rural-to-urban migrated residents and rural residents.Methods:A total of 5 958 rural-to-ur-ban migrated residents and 4 720 rural residents were recruited.The Patient Health Questionnaire-9,Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7,and Perceived Social Support Scale were used to assess symptoms of depression,anxiety,and social support,respectively.Network estimation,centrality and predictability measurement,accuracy and stability verification,and network comparison were conducted based on R 4.2.0 to compare the network structure differ-ences between the two groups of residents.Results:In rural-to-urban migrated residents,"lack of energy"in depres-sive symptoms and"inability to control worry"in anxiety symptoms were the nodes with the highest expected influ-ence(EI).In rural residents,"low self-evaluation"in depressive symptoms and"difficulty relaxing"in anxiety symptoms were the nodes with the highest EI.The highest node of perceived social support EI for both groups was"support from relatives/leaders."The bridge nodes were the same for rural-to-urban migrated residents and rural residents,with"be down in spirits"being the nodes with the highest bridge expected influence.The results of net-work comparison test showed that the overall network structure of rural-to-urban migrated residents and rural resi-dents was statistically different(P<0.05).Conclusion:There are correlation and difference among depressive symptoms,anxiety symptoms,and perceived social support in rural-to-urban migrated and rural residents.
7.Development and validation of a nomogram prediction model of suicidal ideation in community residents
Yan QIN ; Sifang NIU ; Xingmeng NIU ; Yangziye GUO ; Yu SUN ; Yi ZHENG ; Fuqin MU ; Zhaorui LIU ; Yueqin HUANG ; Yan LIU
Chinese Mental Health Journal 2025;39(3):244-250
Objective:To explore the risk factors of suicidal ideation in community residents in Shandong province,China,and to establish a prediction model and a nomogram for the risk of suicidal ideation.Methods:To-tally 11 087 community residents in Jining City,Zoucheng City,and Weifang City,Shandong Province,were recrui-ted as the study subjects.The general information questionnaire,Composite International Diagnostic Interview-3.0,General Anxiety Disorder-7,were used to collect demographic information,mental health status,family information,and lifestyle using a computer-assisted interview system to conduct face-to-face interview.LASSO regression and binary logistic regression analyses were used to develop a nomogram model of the risk of suicidal ideation.Results:Young people,female,smoking,non-new town residents,no physical exercise,difficulty approaching people,anxiety symptoms and depression were effective predictors of suicidal ideation.The area under the curve(AUC)of the training set(AUC)was 0.89(95%CI:0.85-0.93)and AUC of the validation set(AUC)was 0.83(95%CI:0.75-0.92).Conclusion:The nomogram prediction model constructed in this study on suicidal ideation in com-munity residents has a high degree of differentiation and accuracy.It could be used to screen people at high risk of suicide and provide intervention to suicidal ideation in community residents.
8.Distribution and resistance profiles of bacterial strains isolated from cerebrospinal fluid in hospitals across China:results from the CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program,2015-2021
Juan MA ; Lixia ZHANG ; Yang YANG ; Fupin HU ; Demei ZHU ; Han SHEN ; Wanqing ZHOU ; Wenen LIU ; Yanming LI ; Yi XIE ; Mei KANG ; Dawen GUO ; Jinying ZHAO ; Zhidong HU ; Jin LI ; Shanmei WANG ; Yafei CHU ; Yunsong YU ; Jie LIN ; Yingchun XU ; Xiaojiang ZHANG ; Jihong LI ; Bin SHAN ; Yan DU ; Ping JI ; Fengbo ZHANG ; Chao ZHUO ; Danhong SU ; Lianhua WEI ; Fengmei ZOU ; Xiaobo MA ; Yanping ZHENG ; Yuanhong XU ; Ying HUANG ; Yunzhuo CHU ; Sufei TIAN ; Hua YU ; Xiangning HUANG ; Sufang GUO ; Xuesong XU ; Chao YAN ; Fangfang HU ; Yan JIN ; Chunhong SHAO ; Wei JIA ; Gang LI ; Jinsong WU ; Yuemei LU ; Fang DONG ; Zhiyong LÜ ; Lei ZHU ; Jinhua MENG ; Shuping ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Chuanqing WANG ; Pan FU ; Yunjian HU ; Xiaoman AI ; Ziyong SUN ; Zhongju CHEN ; Hong ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Yuxing NI ; Jingyong SUN ; Kaizhen WEN ; Yirong ZHANG ; Ruyi GUO ; Yan ZHU ; Jinju DUAN ; Jianbang KANG ; Xuefei HU ; Shifu WANG ; Yunsheng CHEN ; Qing MENG ; Yong ZHAO ; Ping GONG ; Ruizhong WANG ; Hua FANG ; Jilu SHEN ; Jiangshan LIU ; Hongqin GU ; Jiao FENG ; Shunhong XUE ; Bixia YU ; Wen HE ; Lin JIANG ; Longfeng LIAO ; Chunlei YUE ; Wenhui HUANG
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(3):279-289
Objective To investigate the distribution and antimicrobial resistance profiles of common pathogens isolated from cerebrospinal fluid(CSF)in CHINET program from 2015 to 2021.Methods The bacterial strains isolated from CSF were identified in accordance with clinical microbiology practice standards.Antimicrobial susceptibility test was conducted using Kirby-Bauer method and automated systems per the unified CHINET protocol.Results A total of 14 014 bacterial strains were isolated from CSF samples from 2015 to 2021,including the strains isolated from inpatients(95.3%)and from outpatient and emergency care patients(4.7%).Overall,19.6%of the isolates were from children and 80.4%were from adults.Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacteria accounted for 68.0%and 32.0%,respectively.Coagulase negative Staphylococcus accounted for 73.0%of the total Gram-positive bacterial isolates.The prevalence of MRSA was 38.2%in children and 45.6%in adults.The prevalence of MRCNS was 67.6%in adults and 69.5%in children.A small number of vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium(2.2%)and linezolid-resistant Enterococcus faecalis(3.1%)were isolated from adult patients.The resistance rates of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae to ceftriaxone were 52.2%and 76.4%in children,70.5%and 63.5%in adults.The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant E.coli and K.pneumoniae(CRKP)was 1.3%and 47.7%in children,6.4%and 47.9%in adults.The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii(CRAB)and Pseudomonas aeruginosa(CRPA)was 74.0%and 37.1%in children,81.7%and 39.9%in adults.Conclusions The data derived from antimicrobial resistance surveillance are crucial for clinicians to make evidence-based decisions regarding antibiotic therapy.Attention should be paid to the Gram-negative bacteria,especially CRKP and CRAB in central nervous system(CNS)infections.Ongoing antimicrobial resistance surveillance is helpful for optimizing antibiotic use in CNS infections.
9.Changing antibiotic resistance profiles of the bacterial strains isolated from geriatric patients in hospitals across China:data from CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program,2015-2021
Xiaoman AI ; Yunjian HU ; Chunyue GE ; Yang YANG ; Fupin HU ; Demei ZHU ; Yingchun XU ; Xiaojiang ZHANG ; Hui LI ; Ping JI ; Yi XIE ; Mei KANG ; Chuanqing WANG ; Pan FU ; Yuanhong XU ; Ying HUANG ; Ziyong SUN ; Zhongju CHEN ; Yuxing NI ; Jingyong SUN ; Yunzhuo CHU ; Sufei TIAN ; Zhidong HU ; Jin LI ; Yunsong YU ; Jie LIN ; Bin SHAN ; Yan DU ; Sufang GUO ; Lianhua WEI ; Fengmei ZOU ; Hong ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Chao ZHUO ; Danhong SU ; Dawen GUO ; Jinying ZHAO ; Hua YU ; Xiangning HUANG ; Wen'en LIU ; Yanming LI ; Yan JIN ; Chunhong SHAO ; Xuesong XU ; Chao YAN ; Shanmei WANG ; Yafei CHU ; Lixia ZHANG ; Juan MA ; Shuping ZHOU ; Yan ZHOU ; Lei ZHU ; Jinhua MENG ; Fang DONG ; Zhiyong LÜ ; Fangfang HU ; Han SHEN ; Wanqing ZHOU ; Wei JIA ; Gang LI ; Jinsong WU ; Yuemei LU ; Jihong LI ; Jinju DUAN ; Jianbang KANG ; Xiaobo MA ; Yanping ZHENG ; Ruyi GUO ; Yan ZHU ; Yunsheng CHEN ; Qing MENG ; Shifu WANG ; Xuefei HU ; Jilu SHEN ; Wenhui HUANG ; Ruizhong WANG ; Hua FANG ; Bixia YU ; Yong ZHAO ; Ping GONG ; Kaizhen WENG ; Yirong ZHANG ; Jiangshan LIU ; Longfeng LIAO ; Hongqin GU ; Lin JIANG ; Wen HE ; Shunhong XUE ; Jiao FENG ; Chunlei YUE
Chinese Journal of Infection and Chemotherapy 2025;25(3):290-302
Objective To investigate the antimicrobial resistance of clinical isolates from elderly patients(≥65 years)in major medical institutions across China.Methods Bacterial strains were isolated from elderly patients in 52 hospitals participating in the CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program during the period from 2015 to 2021.Antimicrobial susceptibility test was carried out by disk diffusion method and automated systems according to the same CHINET protocol.The data were interpreted in accordance with the breakpoints recommended by the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)in 2021.Results A total of 514 715 nonduplicate clinical isolates were collected from elderly patients in 52 hospitals from January 1,2015 to December 31,2021.The number of isolates accounted for 34.3%of the total number of clinical isolates from all patients.Overall,21.8%of the 514 715 strains were gram-positive bacteria,and 78.2%were gram-negative bacteria.Majority(90.9%)of the strains were isolated from inpatients.About 42.9%of the strains were isolated from respiratory specimens,and 22.9%were isolated from urine.More than half(60.7%)of the strains were isolated from male patients,and 39.3%isolated from females.About 51.1%of the strains were isolated from patients aged 65-<75 years.The prevalence of methicillin-resistant strains(MRSA)was 38.8%in 32 190 strains of Staphylococcus aureus.No vancomycin-or linezolid-resistant strains were found.The resistance rate of E.faecalis to most antibiotics was significantly lower than that of Enterococcus faecium,but a few vancomycin-resistant strains(0.2%,1.5%)and linezolid-resistant strains(3.4%,0.3%)were found in E.faecalis and E.faecium.The prevalence of penicillin-susceptible S.pneumoniae(PSSP),penicillin-intermediate S.pneumoniae(PISP),and penicillin-resistant S.pneumoniae(PRSP)was 94.3%,4.0%,and 1.7%in nonmeningitis S.pneumoniae isolates.The resistance rates of Klebsiella spp.(Klebsiella pneumoniae 93.2%)to imipenem and meropenem were 20.9%and 22.3%,respectively.Other Enterobacterales species were highly sensitive to carbapenem antibiotics.Only 1.7%-7.8%of other Enterobacterales strains were resistant to carbapenems.The resistance rates of Acinetobacter spp.(Acinetobacter baumannii 90.6%)to imipenem and meropenem were 68.4%and 70.6%respectively,while 28.5%and 24.3%of P.aeruginosa strains were resistant to imipenem and meropenem,respectively.Conclusions The number of clinical isolates from elderly patients is increasing year by year,especially in the 65-<75 age group.Respiratory tract isolates were more prevalent in male elderly patients,and urinary tract isolates were more prevalent in female elderly patients.Klebsiella isolates were increasingly resistant to multiple antimicrobial agents,especially carbapenems.Antimicrobial resistance surveillance is helpful for accurate empirical antimicrobial therapy in elderly patients.
10.Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio combined with CURB-65 score for elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia admitted to department of emergency
Jia-yi ZHENG ; Fu-peng WU ; Hai-su LU ; Yu-qi TAO ; Ke-yu SUN
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(3):416-423
Objective To develop an objective and precise prognostic model for assessing severity and prognosis in elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia(CAP)admitted to the emergency department.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on elderly patients with CAP admitted to Department of Emergency,Minhang Hospital,Fudan University between Jun 2018 and Dec 2020.With the primary outcome being the 30-day in-hospital mortality rate of elderly CAP patients,four systemic inflammatory response markers,including the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio(MLR),platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio(PLR),and systemic immune-inflammation index(SII)were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses.The predictive performance of different scoring systems was compared.Results A total of 421 elderly CAP cases were enrolled.The results of the multivariate Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that NLR was an independent risk factor for elderly inpatients with CAP.We combined NLR with the existing CURB-65 score for joint optimization to construct a scoring system or a clinical prognosis model,by quantifying and assigning optimal cut-off value of 11.4 for NLR,and established the NLR+CURB-65 score.The ROC curve was constructed to compare the areas under the curve of the three different scoring systems(NLR,CURB-65,and NLR+CURB-65).The area under the curve of the NLR+CURB-65 score was significantly higher than that of the CURB-65 score.Based on the optimal cut-off value of 3 for NLR+CURB-65 score,the patients were stratified into high-risk group(n=188)and low-risk group(n=233).The K-M survival curve was utilized and indicated that compared with high-risk group,low-risk group had a lower mortality rate and a higher discharge rate.Conclusion For elderly emergency hospitalized patients with CAP,the combination of NLR and CURB-65 score showed high predictive value for assessing disease severity and prognosis.


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